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RATS! RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

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Page 1: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

RATS!RATS!

Rachel FewsterSteven Miller

James RussellHamish MacInnes

Department of StatisticsUniversity of Auckland

Page 2: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Home, sweet home

Aotearoa New

Zealand is unique

Page 3: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Home, sweet home

... and under threat.

Aotearoa New

Zealand is unique

Page 4: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

There are no native land mammals in

New Zealand.

POSSUMS

STOATS

CATS

GOATSFERRETS

MICE

RATS

DEER

PIGSHUMANS

Native birds can’t compete!

Page 5: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

RATS are RATS are among the among the

worstworst

COMPETITION

PREDATION

HABITAT DESTRUCTIO

N

VANDALS!

THIEVES!

MURDERERS!

Page 6: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

There are There are three rat three rat species in species in

New Zealand:New Zealand:

Page 7: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

1. Ship rats: 1. Ship rats: Rattus rattusRattus rattus The Climbers The Climbers

Page 8: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland
Page 9: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

2. Norway rats: 2. Norway rats: Rattus norvegicusRattus norvegicus The SwimmersThe Swimmers

Page 10: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

3. Kiore (Pacific rat): 3. Kiore (Pacific rat): Rattus exulansRattus exulansThe first and The first and

smallestsmallest All three species

originate from Asia.

Page 11: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

How to tell them apart?

First look at the foot:

Kiore have a brown diamond on the foot.

Page 12: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Then look at the tail:

• Ship rats have long tails for climbing!

• Norway rats have shorter tails, pale underneath.

Page 13: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

• Ship rats are most common

• Norways are bigger but

less common

• Kiore are much

less common

All three species are present in the

Bay of Islands

Page 14: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Rats are everywhere in New Zealand

Even on islands

How do they get there?

Page 15: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

1. Swimming

How do they get there?

They do it deliberately

Page 16: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

2. Boat rides

How do they get there?

Moored boats are easy swimming targets

Page 17: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

How do they get there?

3. Cling to driftwood

Page 18: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

3. Cling to driftwood

How do they get there?

Page 19: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

How do they get there?

4. ConspiracyOur aim is to understand rat movements,

for best protection of

sanctuary islands

Page 20: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Closely related rats mean lots of swimmers!Unrelated rats

mean isolation.

Our research at the University of Auckland:

Use genetics to see how much

movement there is between different

islands

Page 21: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

If we eradicate rats on an island...and replace by threatened birds...will we get a reinvasion?

Page 22: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Basic idea: Populations that are isolated from each other have different genetics.

e.g. people in Germany...

...look different from people in Italy.

Page 23: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Same with rats:

• Are rats swimming between Are rats swimming between different islands?different islands?

RATSRATS

RATSRATS

RATSRATS

??

?

We might be able to tell from their genetics.

Page 24: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

RATSRATS

RATSRATS

RATSRATS

?

??

If an island is truly

isolated…

RATSRATS

…the genetics of its rats may

differ from other islands.

Same with rats:

Page 25: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

RATSRATS

RATSRATS

RATSRATS

??

?

If islands are linked by regular swimming…

…their genetics may be very similar.

Same with rats:

We use genetics to see how

much rats are swimming between islands.

Page 26: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

First we had to catch

some rats....

Page 27: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

The Fieldworker’s Problem

Page 28: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Fieldwork Rat: Rattus catchus

ifyoucanus

Catching rats….

…is not as easy as it sounds!

Page 29: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

But even worse…

…there are some unwanted side effects…

Page 30: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

So we asked DoC to catch some rats for us instead.

Page 31: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

• 500 rats caught in total!• Norway rats hold the islands• Some ship rats and kiore on the islands• Ship rats hold the mainland

DNA from 300 Norway rats sent to the lab

Page 32: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

DNA from 80 ship rats sent to the lab

These ship rats on Urupukapuka are new since the 1980s

Page 33: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Months of work for Hamish MacInnes, our lab scientist, to test the genetics of nearly 400 rats

We use the same lab techniques as the police use to solve murders with DNA evidence

Page 34: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

What do genetic results look like?

We’ll use an example from Aotea, Great Barrier Island ...

Page 35: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

FitzroyMotu

KaikouraFitzroy region, Great Barrier Island

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

-30

-20

-10

010

2030

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai Kai

Fit

FitFit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

FitFitFit

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHaku

Haku

Nel

Nel

NelNelNel

Nel

NelNelNel

NelNel

%var: PC1=0.68; PC2=0.15; Tot=0.83

Page 36: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

FitzroyMotu

KaikouraFitzroy region, Great Barrier Island

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

-30

-20

-10

010

2030

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai Kai

Fit

FitFit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

FitFitFit

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHaku

Haku

Nel

Nel

NelNelNel

Nel

NelNelNel

NelNel

%var: PC1=0.68; PC2=0.15; Tot=0.83

Genetic results

Each point is one rat;

Each colour is a different

island

Look for:Overlap: closely related populationsSeparation: isolated populations

Page 37: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

-30

-20

-10

010

2030

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai Kai

Fit

FitFit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

FitFitFit

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHaku

Haku

Nel

Nel

NelNelNel

Nel

NelNelNel

NelNel

%var: PC1=0.68; PC2=0.15; Tot=0.83

FitKai

Nel

Haku

Page 38: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

-30

-20

-10

010

2030

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai Kai

Fit

FitFit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

FitFitFit

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHaku

Haku

Nel

Nel

NelNelNel

Nel

NelNelNel

NelNel

%var: PC1=0.68; PC2=0.15; Tot=0.83

Clear left-right divide: something

is stopping the rats from

swimming this small gap?

Page 39: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

-30

-20

-10

010

2030

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKai

Kai

KaiKaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKai

Kai

Kai

KaiKai

KaiKaiKai

Kai

Kai

Kai

Kai Kai

Fit

FitFit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

Fit

FitFitFit

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHaku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

Haku

HakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHakuHaku

Haku

Nel

Nel

NelNelNel

Nel

NelNelNel

NelNel

%var: PC1=0.68; PC2=0.15; Tot=0.83

Cliffs at the

landing points!

Page 40: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

The genetics tell us about rat movements in Aotea Great Barrier Island:

What do they say about the Bay of Islands...?

Page 41: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Results: Norway ratsNorway rats are good swimmers;

BoI has short distances and easy beach landings

Page 42: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

-20 0 20 40

-30

-20

-10

010

20

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WAE WAEWAEWAEWAE

WAEWAEWAE WAE WAEWAEWAE

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BCP

RUA

CliffRockCliffRockRangiateaRangiatea

RBC

%var: PC1=0.63; PC2=0.27; Tot=0.9

OKA WAE

URU

MAH

Massive jumble!

Motuarohia is furthest away and slightly

different

Page 43: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

-20 0 20 40

-30

-20

-10

010

20

MAHMAH

MAHMAHMAH

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MAHMAHMAH

MAHMAH

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WAEWAE

BCP

RUA

CliffRockCliffRockRangiateaRangiatea

RBC

%var: PC1=0.63; PC2=0.27; Tot=0.9

OKA WAE

URU

MAH

Page 44: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

-20 0 20 40

-30

-20

-10

010

20

MAHMAH

MAHMAHMAH

MAHMAH

MAHMAHMAH

MAHMAH

MAH MAH

MAH

MAHMAH

MAH MAHMAH

MAHMAH

MAH

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WAE

WAEWAE

WAEWAEWAE

WAEWAE

WAE

WAEWAE

BCP

RUA

CliffRockCliffRockRangiateaRangiatea

RBC

%var: PC1=0.63; PC2=0.27; Tot=0.9

URU

MAH

Conclusion:No island is safe from

Norway rats!These results were

used to help justify the eradication scheme for

all 7 islands simultaneously

OKA WAE

Page 45: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

What about ship rats?

Weaker swimmers;

Not present on islands in 1980s

Page 46: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Somehow a population of ship rats established on Urupukapuka in the last 20 years

Did they swim from Rawhiti?

Page 47: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Rawhiti

Urupukapuka

Kerikeri

Ship rat results

Urupukapuka rats are totally

different! Rawhiti

Kerikeri

Mainland rats from Kerikeri to

Rawhiti

Page 48: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Rawhiti

Urupukapuka

Kerikeri

Ship rat results

This invasion happened by

boat!Mainland rats are related over 80km

distance

Mainland rats from Kerikeri to

Rawhiti

Page 49: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

Kerikeri Urupukapu

ka

RawhitiRawhiti

Urupukapuka

Kerikeri

Conclusion:We need to deal with the

risk of rats arriving by boat.

We don’t think ship rats swam the 800m gap from

Te Rawhiti to Urupukapuka.

Page 50: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

The Bay of Islands has wonderful conservation potential

Page 51: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

The Bay of Islands has wonderful conservation potential

Page 52: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

The Bay of Islands has wonderful conservation potential

Swimming Norway rats are a major threatBoat invasions are also a riskWe all need to work together to keep the islands safe!

Page 53: RATS! Rachel Fewster Steven Miller James Russell Hamish MacInnes Department of Statistics University of Auckland

With thanks to our funding With thanks to our funding agencies:agencies: