45
by Matthias Rupp Presentation in International Management - Master of Science in Energy Systems - FH Aachen, summer term 2012

Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    16

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

by Matthias Rupp

Presentation in International Management - Master of Science in Energy Systems - FH Aachen, summer term 2012

Page 2: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Rare Earths

The Conflict

Germany‘s Strategies

- What are Rare Earths? - Resources and Consumers - Prices - Usage of Rare Earths

- Facts - Development - Reasons beyond… - Effects

2

- „Rohstoffstrategie - „Allianz zur Rohstoffsicherung“ - Exploration project in Sachsen - „Ressourcen-Effizienz“

Page 3: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Source: http://www.spiegel.de

3

Page 4: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

What are Rare Earths?

4

Page 5: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

set of seventeen chemical elements in the periodic table

5

Page 6: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Source: http://library.thinkquest.org

6

Page 7: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Source: http://library.thinkquest.org

7

Page 8: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

set of seventeen chemical elements in the periodic table

fifteen lanthanides

Lanthanum Cerium Praseodymium Neodynium Promethium

Samarium Europium Gadolinium Terbium Dysprosium

Holmium Erbium Thulium Ytterbium Lutetium

8

Page 9: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

set of seventeen chemical elements in the periodic table

fifteen lanthanides

plus scandium and yttrium

- tend to occur in the same ore

deposits as the lanthanides - exhibit similar chemical properties

Rare earths are not „rare“ !!! (the elements occur mostly in a lot of widely scattered minerals or are mixed with other minerals. So it is hard to mine them.)

9

Page 10: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

10

Page 11: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Source: http://www.ggz.ch (2010)

Currently estimated resources [Mio. t]

Known recoverable reserves [Mio. t]

Existing planned mines

11

Page 12: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Source: http://www.usgs.gov/

Mining 2010 Production planned

in the short term Further large deposits

China 120.000 t

India 2.700 t

Brasil 650 t

Malaysia 380 t

12

Page 13: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Share of world mining of rare earths:

97 %

1.

2. 3.

2,1 % 0.5 %

13

Page 14: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

The 3 major importers/consumers of rare earths are

- Japan: 34.330 t

- EU: 23.013 t

- USA: 20.663 t

91 %

90 %

91 %

Share of imports from China:

14

Page 15: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Imports of rare earths by the European Union member states

38%

24%

16%

8%

8% 2% 2% 2%

France

Austria

Netherlands

Germany

Great Britain

Spain Belgium Italy

Source: http://www. oeko.de

15

Page 16: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Prices are risen since the last 10 years…

Source: http://www. Metal-Pages.com

Lig

ht

rare

eart

hs

Heavy r

are

eart

hs

16

Page 17: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

…and within 2011

Source: http://www. Metal-Pages.com

Lig

ht

rare

eart

hs

17

Heavy r

are

eart

hs

Page 18: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

18

Page 19: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

28% 19%

Source: http://www. oeko.de

18%

19%

9% 7%

Lanthanum Cerium Praseodymium Neodynium Promethium

Samarium Europium Gadolinium Terbium Dysprosium

Holmium Erbium Thulium Ytterbium Lutetium

Scandium Yttrum

19

Page 20: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Glass, polishing, ceramics

- Polishing compounds

- Colouring and decolouring

agent in glass

- Stabilizer in ceramics

- Ceramic capacitors

- UV adsorption

20

Page 21: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Metal alloys, batteries

- Alloys for steel and iron casting

- Super alloys

- Flint ignition devices

- NiMH-battery

- Fuel cell

- H2-storage

- Light weight construction

21

Page 22: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Magnets

- Motors and generators

Wind turbines

Electric vehicles

Hybrid vehicles

- Hard Discs

- MRI

- Speakers

- Magnetic cooling

22

Page 23: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Catalysts

- Automotive catalysts

- Catalysts in refining and

chemical processing

- Diesel additive

23

Page 24: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Phosphors, Luminescence

- Energy efficient lighting

- LED

- LCD

- Plasma display

- Laser

24

Page 25: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Others

- Water treatment

- Pigments

- Fertiliser

- Nuclear technology

- Defence

25

Page 26: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Toyota Prius

Source: http://www. arizonageology.blogspot.com

26 Σ ≈ 1 kg

Yearly production of Toyota Prius in 2010: 1.1 Mio Demand for rare earth for 1 car: 1 kg Toyota‘s yearly demand for rare earths : 1.1 tons (only for model Prius!)

Page 27: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Source: http://www.dailystar.com

27

Page 28: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Remember: 97% of mined production of

rare earths in 2010 came out of China!

China has a monopoly on

rare earths!

28

Page 29: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

September 2009: China announced plans to reduce its export quota by 35,000 tons per year in 2010–2015 Reasons: - conserve scarce resources - protect environment

October 2010: further reduction of quotas* for rare earth exports by 30 percent Reason: - “protect the precious metals from over- exploitation” source: www. thehill.com

29

* A restriction imposed by a government on the amount or number of goods or services that may be exported within a given period

Page 30: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

September 2009

October 2010

End 2010: China decreased first round of export quotas in 2011 for rare earths by 14,446 tons (35% decrease from the previous first round of quotas in 2010)

July 2011: China announced further export quotas for the second half of the year (total production capped at 93,800 tons)

30

Page 31: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

September 2009

October 2010

End 2010:

July 2011:

September 2011: China announced the stop in production of 3 of its 8 major rare earth mines (responsible for almost 40% of China's total rare earth production)

Begin 2012: chinese trade ministry announced to reduce rare earth exports in first half year by 10.546 tons (27% less than in 2011)

Furthermore: Reduction of rare earth exporting companies from 26 to 11

Why?

„China wants to increase the prices for rare earths

because they dropped in the 2nd half of 2011 caused by the world economic slump“

source:www.spiegel.de

Remember:

31

Page 32: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

China wants to…

…promote its own industry

…attract foreign technology companies to China

…improve its technical know how – e.g. for renewable energy technique or

electrical engineering

32

Page 33: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Which effects does this have

on global market?

33

Page 34: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Increase of rare earths prices

Shortage on global market

Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped or even blocked

e.g. future technologies

EU, USA and Japan called the WTO to react on China’s export restrictions China announced to fight for their strategy (Currently China accepted a defeat by WTO concerning export restrictions of Zink and Magnesium)

34

Page 35: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

…but what are exactly Germany‘s

strategies to prevent shortage of rare earths?

35

Page 36: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

36

Page 37: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Federal Government tries to contract partnership agreements with resource rich countries as - Mongolia - Kazakhstan - Chile - Peru

The deal: Raw materials for technical know how

1st step, 2012

2nd step

supports industrialization

oil, gas, gold, uranium, rare earths

5th largest raw material reserves

37

Page 38: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Recently founded by 12 German companies, among others ThyssenKrupp, Bayer, BMW and Daimler

Goal: Setup of participations on raw material projects (mainly in European countries) to ensure the supply of german industry

Estimation: Raw materials stored in Europe have a value of about 100 billion €

Supported by the Federal Government („Roffstoffstrategie“)

38

Page 39: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Thousands of tons rare earths stored

Already found in the 70s

Deutsche Rohstoff AG started already drilling (1st end of March)

It has to be decided, if mining will ever start requires high technical know how and expensive equipment

39

Page 40: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Concept of the Federal Government

Goal: „Increase the efficiency of resources by market incentives, research, innovation and consulting“ (source: Federal Environment Ministry)

„Masterplan for sustainable growth“ (source: Norbert Röttgen, Federal Minister for Environment)

e.g.: Expansion of recycling economy: Imagine: Every EU-Citizen produces 17 kg electronic scrap per year (2020: 24kg) Improve recycling of the scrap

40

Page 41: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

…and what do other countries

to prevent shortage of raw

materials?

41

Page 42: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Goal: Secure stable supply of raw materials

Key business policy: - Funding for international mineral exploration

- Loan guarantees for high-risk mineral projects

- Stockpiling

- Information gathering

Toyota: - has already ensured the whole yield of the Indian „Ganjam-project“

42

Page 43: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

Why is the view concerning „rare

earths“ only pointed on China?

Russia and the USA have also

large resources but they don‘t

mine them.

43

Page 44: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

44

Thank you for your

attention!

Page 45: Rare earths - Daldrup Management/Rare Earths.pdf · Increase of rare earths prices Shortage on global market Development of industry of rare earth importing countries is handicapped

http://www.spiegel.de

http://library.thinkquest.org

http://www.ggz.ch

http://www.usgs.gov

http://www. oeko.de

http://www. Metal-Pages.com

http://www. arizonageology.blogspot.com

http://www.dailystar.com

http:// www. thehill.com

http:// www. toyota.de

http:// www. lynascorp.com

http:// www. wikipedia.com

VDI-Nachrichten

45

Only main sources are listed up (e.g. every source of each small picture is not listed up)