30
Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup Ed Tulauskas [email protected] October 25, 2018 Copyright © Random Walk Trading, LLC.

Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    3

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Raleigh Durham

Options Traders

Meetup

Ed Tulauskas

[email protected]

October 25, 2018

Copyright © Random Walk Trading, LLC.

Page 2: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Disclaimers Please read or listen carefully to the following disclaimers. By joining this

webinar, you acknowledge that you have read and understood this section.

Page 3: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Disclaimers

Random Walk Trading, LLC (“Random Walk”, RandomWalkTrading.com”), any of its

possible affiliates, their respective independent contractors, employees, officers or

agents are not acting as licensed financial advisers, registered broker-dealers,

investment advisers, tax advisers, etc. (Although some individuals may or may not hold

a license.) Furthermore, they do not provide financial or investment advice, make

recommendations, or conduct business by transacting trades. Random Walk adamantly

states that nothing in this communication constitutes a solicitation, promotion,

endorsement, offer or recommendation to buy or sell any investment, mutual fund,

debt instrument, commodity, or security as described herein.

Random Walk Trading does NOT offer auto trade. Case studies being provided are

historical examples illustrating how a particular equity, index and options strategies

could have been implemented. Random Walk is not providing students with real time

trading opportunities, nor giving investment advice. We strongly recommend that you

consult with a licensed financial professional for all your financial advice.

FOR EDUCATION PURPOSES ONLY

Page 4: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

This session is recorded. The recording and slides for this session will be available for you on our video

center a few hours after the session.

Page 5: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Agenda:

Why SPX Options?

Basic Example – Bearish Risk Reversal

Review a recent example

Q&A

Trading SPX Weeklies

Page 6: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Why SPX Options?

1. Highly liquid

2. Tax Efficient: 1256 contract treatment

3. Many strikes to pick from

4. Weekly expirations (Monday, Wednesday, Fridays, Quarterlies, Monthly)

Page 7: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Basic Example

Bearish Risk Reversal

Page 8: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

First let’s look at an option chain

DTE: 30 days or

45 days?

Strike Width: 5 or

10 or 20 points?

Do you want

credit with that

burger? (i.e.

Butterfly)

Venus Butterflies (long vertical

width > short vertical width)

Page 9: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Let’s look at the Put Broken Wing Butterflies and 1-3-2 Butterflies Compare the BWBs vs the 1-3-2’s:

How much more credit do I get for the 1-3-2 Butterfly? Am I comfortable with that additional risk? What is the VIX?

Page 10: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

And let’s not forget the call Broken Wing Butterflies and 1-3-2 Butterflies

What choices do we have on the call side? How do we want to pay for the put side? The markets don’t take

credit cards. The trader has a delicate dance between the put side cost vs call side while controlling margin.

Page 11: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

We can create a bearish risk reversal using butterflies

Page 12: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Trading SPX Weeklies

Lets review a recent class example

Page 13: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Trade 46D: Friday 9.21.18 We wanted to create a bearish risk reversal created with butterflies vs verticals

Page 14: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Friday 9.21.18: We get our put fly filled Our directional put fly gets

filled for $1.90, 5 contracts

or $950 total debit.

Page 15: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Friday 9.28.18: A week goes by. No fills

Page 16: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Monday 10.1.18:

We get filled on 10 contracts of the 2820/2780/2730 put butterfly for .25 x 10 or

$250 total debit

So capital invested so far:

$950 put butterfly

+ $250 stacked put butterfly

$1200 Total capital invested

Page 17: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Wednesday 10.10.18: The BIG move

The SPX and the markets made a

monster move to the downside

today. Since we did not get filled

on the $2.50 credit call bwb we

changed it to a 2915/2950/3000

call bwb for $1.00 debit, 5

contracts and got filled. We also

got filled on selling 2870/2865 put

spread for $4.00 x 5 = $2,000 total

credit (80% max profit on the

spread)

Page 18: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Wednesday 10.10.18: What’s next?

We are going to setup

entering selling the next put

spread the 2865/2845 for

$18.00 x 5 or $9,000 profit.

We will also enter buying the

2900/2915 call spread for .20

x 5 or $100 total debit. If we

get filled on both tomorrow

we will have…

Page 19: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Thursday 10.11.18: Goal / Next steps

The SPX is trying to keep

afloat and started to move

higher we changed the put

spread (-2865/2845) to

$15.50 to get filled and lock

in some profits, although

could have got the $18.00 by

end of the day but we never

can tell what the markets

will do. With the move down

we got filled on the call

vertical for .15 (2900/-2915)

Page 20: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Friday 10.12.18: Where are we?

The markets appeared to hold their

own. Experienced a power loss

from hurricane Michael, a powerful

and fast moving Category 4 storm.

No fills today but entering a sell the

next 20 point ITM put vertical for

$18.50 (-2845/2825). The weekly

SPX chart shows a bounce, at least

for now, off the 2743 level

Page 21: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Friday 10.12.18: Our position

Page 22: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Tuesday 10.16.18: One Day Left

The markets continue the downward slide, enough to fill a portion

of our ITM put vertical. We got filled on selling the 2845/2825 put

vertical for $18.80 credit for a total of 5 x $18.80 = $9,400 total

credit. We will setup in selling the next ITM put vertical

Page 23: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Wednesday 10.17.18: The final day

The last day of expiration for

this day and what a day. We

cancelled and replaced the ITM

put spread to sell for $13.50 OR

if the SPX rallied above 2800.

Well, the market rallied in the

afternoon and triggered the

order to get filled @$8.40

credit or $8.40 x 5 contracts =

$4,200 total credit

Page 24: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Setting up some OCO orders (both short and long side)

We also setup an OCO for the short put vertical. Either we buy back the put vertical

for .25 debit or a couple points below the morning low if the market deteriorates to

help prevent our profits from evaporating.

Page 25: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

After the dust settles

In the afternoon the market

rallied and triggered to buy

back part of the short put

vertical for .25 (the

2760/2730 put vertical).

Remember since we sold a

good portion of the long put

vertical that increases the

downside put margin. With

the higher VIX, the market

spreads can get pretty wide

- so stick to verticals if at

all possible.

Page 26: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Analysis

5 Debits:

5 Put Butterflies (2870/-2820/2780) = $950

10 Stacked Put Butterflies ( 2820/-2780/27300 = $250

5 Call Butterflies (2915/-2950/3000) = $500

5 Call Verticals (2900/-2915) = $75

10 Put Verticals (2760/-2730) = $250

Total Debit: $2,025

5 Credits:

5 Put Verticals (-2870/2865) = $2,000

5 Put Verticals (-2865/2845) = $7,750

5 Put Verticals (-2845/2825) = $9,400

5 Put Verticals (-2825/2815) = $4,750

5 Put Verticals (-2815/2800) = $4,200

Total Credits: $28,100

140 Contracts x $1 per contract = $140 commissions

Page 27: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

In Summary

At the end of the day, we netted out one of our most

profitable trades for 2018.

ROI = $26,075 / $9,525 = +274% ROI in 26 days

Page 28: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Ed’s Master Combo Package

ADVANCED GUIDE IN OPTION TRADING

ADJUSTMENT

+

ADVANCED OPTION TRADING GUIDE ON HOW TO

THRIVE IN A VOLATILE MARKET

+

ULTIMATE OPTION TRADING GUIDE TO LAYER

SPREADS

VISIT WWW.RANDOMWALKTRADING.COM

/POWER-COMBO-2018

Or

Call/Email the office @ [email protected] or

1-855-798-0008 (US) or at 1-302-250-4611 (Outside US).

Page 29: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Join Random Walk Today!

Two webinars per week (Tuesday and Thursday)

Tuesdays: we review open positions

Thursdays: dedicated to SPX weekly strategy

SMS Text of trade activity

Chat room

Weekly trade write ups of open positions

Just $60 / month (includes SMS text messaging)

Any questions? Email Ed at [email protected]

Page 30: Raleigh Durham Options Traders Meetup

Thank you! Have a good evening!

The recording and slides for this session will soon be available for you on our video center. If you have any inquiries, feedback or concerns, please feel free to call us at

1-855-798-0008 (US) or at 1-302-250-4611 (Outside US). You can also send us an e-mail at [email protected] or [email protected] anytime.