RAIL BALTICA’S STRATEGIC BENEFIT TO FINNISH INDUSTRY · Warehousing & VAS Liquid handling Road & rail Air Source: Finnish Ministry of Transport, 2011 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu

Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund)

RAIL BALTICA’S STRATEGIC BENEFIT TO FINNISH INDUSTRY

Ulla Tapaninen

Ph.D., Expert in International Logistics City of Helsinki


• Baltic Sea in 2010

• Finnish foreign trade

– Eastern European countries

• Benefits

– Security of supply

– Transit traffic income

– Costs, environment

CONTENTS

2 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu


BALTIC SEA TRAFFIC 2010 (GROWTH 09/10)

Source: Baltic Port List 2010, http://www.balticportlist.com/


Source: Baltic Transport Outlook 2030 intermediate report

+27% +42%

+4%

+22%

+18%

+49% +22%

+24%

+30% +28%

FORECAST PORT VOLUME GROWTH PER COUNTRY 20102030 (INTERNATIONAL CARGO)

4

BALTIC SEA PORTS 2010

Source: Baltic Port List 2010, http://www.balticportlist.com


Source: Baltic Port List 2010, http://www.balticportlist.com

BALTIC SEA PORTS 2010

6


FLIGHT PASSENGERS FROM HELSINKI


Source:

Finavia,

2012





• Benefits




CONTENTS


9


10


11

12


FINNISH IMPORT AND EXPORT 2011

Source: Finnish Customs 2012

Sea

82 %

Inland waterway

0 %

Rail 9 %

Road

4 %

Air 0

%

Post 0 %

Other 5 %

Import (t)

Sea

88 %

Inland waterway

1 %

Rail 3 %

Road

8 %

Air 0 %

Post 0 % Other

0 %

Export (t)

Total 61 810 000 tons Total 44 840 000 tons



TRANSPORT TO EASTERN EUROPE/ASIA

Source: Finnish Customs 2012



15





• Benefits




CONTENTS



DEPENDENCY OF IMPORT/EXPORT

Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu 17

Industry How long production can be carried out after a disruption

Energy production Coal: 3 months (reserves by law 3 months)

Oil production: 2−3 days (production process is then forced to put down), reserve

stocks of critical products (corresponding the amount of imports for 90 days)

Food supply & food exports Grain imports & exports: several months (can be stored )

Meat: 2−3 weeks (with special arrangements)

Animal feeds: 2−3 weeks (with special arrangements; if there is a breakdown etc.

at a factory, it will have an immediate impact)

Malt: several months (can be stored)

Milk products: 2−3 days

Other food products: from 2−3 days (perishable products) to 2−3 weeks (based on

the products)

Chemical industry Approximately 2 weeks (with special arrangements); 2−9 days

Pharmaceuticals & healthcare

supplies

Mandatory reserves by law industry & importers (3, 6 & 10 months) of critical

supplies, hospitals (3−6 month stocks)

Other supplies: 3 weeks to 2 months (products that are not mandatory to be kept

in stocks by law)

Forestry 12 hours−2 days

Metals and miming Depending on the product: from a few weeks to 2−3 months

Technology industry 2−3 days

Source:

Yliskylä

& al.

2011

SECURITY OF SUPPLY

18

Source:

Yliskylä

& al.

2011


19


TRANSIT TRAFFIC FIN-RUSSIA

Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu 20

M ton

Total

Import

Export

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Source:

Finnish

Transport

Agency,

2011


INCOME OF FINNISH TRANSIT TRAFFIC

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Sea traffic

Ports

Stevedoring

Haulage

Warehousing & VAS

Liquid handling

Road & rail

AirSource:

Finnish

Ministry of

Transport,

2011



ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS

TK1 1 302 km

TK2 1 428 km

TK3 1 243 km

TK4 2 217 km



SULPHUR CONTENT OF THE FUEL Global

1.1.2012 4,5 % > 3,5%

1.1.2020 0,5 % (at latest 2025)

SECA

1.7.2010 1,5 % > 1 %

1.1.2015 0,1 %

Ports

0.1 %-S in EU ports and inland waterways from 2010



SECA - AREA



EFFECT OF FUEL SULPHUR % ON FREIGHT LEVEL

Cargo / suphur

%

1,0% 0,5 % 0,1%

Container 4 - 13 % 8 – 18 % 44 – 51 %

Paper roll 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 40 %

Truck 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 41 %

Passenger car 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 41 %

Oil 3 – 8 % 5 – 11 % 28 – 32 %

Bulk 4 – 11 % 7 – 15 % 39 – 44 %

Timber 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 40 %

Steel 3 – 10 % 6 – 14 % 35 – 40 %

Source:

Finnish

Ministry of

Transportation

2009



EXTRA COST FOR FINNISH INDUSTRY Industry Export Import Total Extra cost €

Agriculture 0,0 % 0,7 % 0,41 % 1 763 994

Forestry 0,0 % 0,0 % 0,00 % 382

Mining 4,7 % 0,0 % 2,02 % 8 668 913

Construction 0,9 % 8,1 % 5,02 % 21 581 213

Pulp and paper 51,5 % 9,5 % 27,64 % 118 890 562

Metal 9,1 % 18,4 % 14,36 % 61 776 307

Technology 0,4 % 0,4 % 0,43 % 1 838 810

Chemistry 24,1 % 6,8 % 14,22 % 61 169 232

Food 3,1 % 2,1 % 2,51 % 10 812 674

Other industry 3,7 % 2,3 % 2,89 % 12 416 636

Retail 2,3 % 6,9 % 4,92 % 21 153 124

Other services 0,2 % 44,9 % 25,58 % 110 023 494

TOTAL 100 % 100 % 100 % 430 095 340

Source:

Finnish

Ministry of

Transportation

2009



Source: IMO,

2009

GLOBAL CO2 EMISSION

Elecricity and Heat

34,97 %

Other

15,28 %

Other Energy Industries

4,60 %

Manufacturing and

construction

18,18 %

Road transport

21,28 %

Rail transport

0,50 % Int. Shipping

2,70 % Dom. Shipping

0,60 %

Int. Aviation

1,90 %

• Share of shipping is expected to grow up to 12 – 18% in 2050



THANK YOU


Documents

RAIL BALTICA’S STRATEGIC BENEFIT TO FINNISH INDUSTRY · Warehousing & VAS Liquid handling Road & rail Air Source: Finnish Ministry of Transport, 2011 Ulla Tapaninen, 4.4.2012, Tartu