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QUTE-‐EUROPE Deliverable D4.3 Third year WP4 progress report 1
QUTE-‐EUROPE (600788)
DELIVERABLE D4.3 THIRD YEAR WP4 PROGRESS REPORT
QUTE-‐EUROPE Deliverable D4.3 Third year WP4 progress report 2
Work package number: WP4
Work package title: Exploitation
The aim of this work package is to foster links within the community of international research groups, and with QIPC stakeholders from outside the research community, as well as to coordinate the interaction between all interested parties. A main point of emphasis will be to establish sustained international contacts between the research community in Europe and the communities overseas (USA, Canada, Asia, Australia, and the BRICS countries). Also sustained contacts with representatives from commercial and industrial stakeholders will be an important part of the work. Task 4.1 International contacts In the final year there were no specific activities planned regarding the development of international contacts. Members of QUTE-‐EUROPE were in regular contacts with partners outside EU, however, the coordination action does not really have its counterpart in these countries. The activities of the whole WP were focused more one industrial partners (including non-‐European ones). The planned meeting between representatives of BRICS countries and Europe did not happen, because there was no real interest from BRICS countries. In the light of our survey of QIPC activities in these countries and also the political situation such result was not unexpected. The idea was that the survey during the 2nd year of the project will generate relevant contact points for the meeting to happen, but unfortunately this approach was not successful. The sustainable connection between Europe and overseas communities is already established research-‐wise and can be documented by increasing number of joint QIPC publications. There is also a relatively stable exchange of researchers in both ways. In order to strenghten the communication also internationally European QIPC community have submitted 2 COST proposals (Quantum Communication in Space, Quantum Technologies) that includes also research groups outside Europe. One of them was successful and second one will be resubmitted again this year. There is also a new one (Quantum walks and networks) under preparation. QUTE partners play an active role in preparation of these proposals. Task 4.2 Contacts with industry
The final period of QUTE has seen an enormous amount of activity with respect to the involvement of industry in the quantum information processing and communication domain. Due to the timing of the QUTE project we were fortunate enough to be able to organize industry sessions at two QIPC conferences; the first in Florence (IT) in 2013 and the second in Leeds (UK) in 2015. In parallel, we have coordinated an industry white paper, and massively expanded the listings of industries involved and interested in quantum technologies. We elaborate these main industrial-‐oriented activities below.
QUTE-‐EUROPE Deliverable D4.3 Third year WP4 progress report 3
Industrial Forum
The industry session of the 2015 QIPC conference in Leeds (UK) was again a huge success, both in terms of the speakers we were able to attract and also the large participation of the academic community in this increasingly important event. This years speakers were:
• Richard Murray, a Technologist in Emerging Technologies and Industries from Innovate UK talking about Industry perspectives of Quantum Technologies
• Trevor Cross, the Chief Technology Officer from e2v talking about Quantum Sensing • Sean Kwak, Leader of the Quantum Technology Lab for SK (South Korea) Telecom talking
about Quantum Communication • Colin Williams, the Director of Business Development & Strategic Partnerships for D-‐wave
systems, talking about Quantum Computation.
This represented a diverse cross section of industries and application areas for quantum technologies bringing both a European and international perspective. The details of the event can be found here: http://www.qipc2015.leeds.ac.uk/scientific-‐programme/industry-‐session.html
Industry Meetings
2015 saw two seminal industry-‐oriented events in Brussels.
• On May 6 2015 a meeting was organized between industry, academics and the European commission entitled: “Towards a European quantum technology industry”. A report on this event, including a list of attendees can be found in the annex A: “Workshop on Quantum Technologies and Industry 6th May 2015.pdf”.
Photo from the May 6 2015 meeting with participants working in group discussions on different application areas
• On October 13 the Quantum Technologies: Opportunities for European industry. A report on this event, as list of attendees and the associated industry white paper that arose out of the first of these meetings, can be found in the annex B: “Quantum Technologies -‐ Opportunities for European industry.pdf”. We worked closely with the European commission to bring all of these people together.
QUTE-‐EUROPE Deliverable D4.3 Third year WP4 progress report 4
Industry White Paper
After the first industry meeting in Brussels in May 2015 a small group was organized to write the first industry white paper for quantum technologies. The vision was to understand the current level of company interest in quantum technologies, and what barriers are preventing companies from expressing a greater level of involvement. Secondly, to present recommendations for action that will generate more industry traction from quantum technologies in the future. The authors were: Richard Murray (Innovate UK -‐ UK), Peter Mueller (IBM Zurich Research -‐ CH), Jean Lautier-‐Gaud (Muquans -‐ FR), Kelly Richdale (IDQuantique -‐ CH), Steve Maddox (e2v -‐ UK), Freeke Heijman (Dutch ministry of economic affairs -‐ NL), Tommaso Calarco (University of Ulm -‐ DE). This can be found in annex B “Quantum Technologies -‐ Opportunities for European industry.pdf”.
Industry Contacts
In the process of organising these events we have been able to continue expanding the number of industries that are in contact with the community and increasingly involved in quantum technologies in general. Notably, the profile of the contact has become increasingly high-‐level as witnessed by the group of CEO-‐level representatives at these commission meetings for example, from Bosch, Nokia, Safran, Thales and IMEC. During this period we have, however, stopped updating the industry database on the QUROPE web site as we are preparing to move to a new site and system, which is currently under discussion.
List of Annexes: Annex A -‐ Workshop on Quantum Technologies and Industry 6th May 2015 Annex B -‐ Quantum Technologies -‐ Opportunities for European industry
DIGITAL AGENDA FOR EUROPE: A EUROPE 2020 INITIATIVE
WORKSHOP ON QUANTUM TECHNOLOGIES AND INDUSTRY
6 May 2015, DG CONNECT, Avenue de Beaulieu 25, B-1049 Brussels
FINAL REPORT
Prepared by
Yasser Omar
University of Lisbon and Instituto de Telecomunicações
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Table of Contents Executive Summary .......................................................................................................................................... 3 The Current Investment in Quantum Technologies ........................................................................ 5 Applications for Quantum Technologies ............................................................................................... 7 Tackling the Challenges of Quantum Technologies ......................................................................... 9 Action Plans and Concluding Remarks ................................................................................................ 14 Appendix 1 – The Workshop Agenda .................................................................................................... 17 Appendix 2 – The Workshop Participants .......................................................................................... 18
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Executive Summary
A workshop on Quantum Technologies and Industry was held by the European Commission’s Communications Networks, Content and Technology Directorate General (DG CONNECT) in Brussels on 6 May 2015. The aim was to identify what could be the markets for quantum technologies, and how these could be industrialised. The workshop had more than 60 participants from different parts of Europe, representing in a balanced way the academic, industrial and governmental sectors. Research in quantum information sciences and quantum technologies currently involves an estimated workforce of 7,000 researchers around the world and a yearly budget of 1.5 billion Euro. Europe accounts for 35% of these researchers and has invested significantly in this domain over the last decade, obtaining excellent results at the scientific level, including Nobel prizes. Quantum technologies, such as quantum sensing, quantum cryptography and quantum computation, have a very high strategic interest for both states and industry. Furthermore, this domain holds the promise of a wide range of applications, with the potential for technological leaps in sectors as diverse as energy, security and healthcare, amongst others. And – despite the very strong scientific expertise established in Europe – the USA, Canada, China, South Korea and Singapore are taking leadership positions in the research, development and innovation in quantum technologies. There are now several very large initiatives in Europe promoting the industrialisation of quantum technologies, namely in the UK and in the Netherlands, but an EU-wide common strategy and plan are lacking. Following several presentations where this situation was discussed, the workshop moved to a participatory mode, with the goal of collectively identifying what could be the markets for quantum technologies, and how these could be industrialised in Europe. In particular, after getting input from all the participants, the following six key areas of quantum technologies were identified:
• Quantum Metrology • Quantum Sensing • Quantum Communications • Quantum Memories • Quantum Simulation • Quantum Computation Groups were set to discuss and prepare a pitch for each of these areas, and all participants were invited to determine what could be the hurdles to the industrialisation of these technologies. The audience then came to a consensus on what are the key challenges that need to be addressed, and discussed in groups concrete measures to tackle those issues. Finally, all the participants contributed to prioritise these measures, and the workshop concluded with the proposal and discussion of the following key action plans for the development of a quantum technologies industry and market in Europe: 1. Improve the dissemination about the potential benefits of quantum technologies.
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2. Expand exploratory research on quantum technologies and extend it to support research aiming at higher technology readiness levels. 3. Improve the coordination between different existing research programmes on quantum technologies. 4. Mobilise European industrial players and have a policy paper on quantum technologies produced by industry, endorsed at CEO or board level. 5. Develop a programme for training in quantum technologies. 6. Develop standards for quantum technologies. These actions will need the proactive and collaborative intervention of the European Commission, Member States, academia and the industrial sector, and their corresponding leaders. Together with the unique assets of the EU, namely a strong culture and mechanisms for collaborative research, development and innovation, as well as a very strong expertise in quantum information sciences in particular, and in fundamental science in general, these measures can lead to the development and establishment of a quantum technology industry and market in Europe, with very strong expected economical and societal impacts, and making the EU a world leaders in this promising new domain.
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The Current Investment in Quantum Technologies The workshop started with an address by Thierry van der Pyl, Director of DG CNECT/C – Excellence in Science, who summarised the results of the investment by the European Commission (EC) in research on quantum information sciences and quantum technologies. Over the last 15 years, the EC has invested more than 350 million Euro in these fields, obtaining excellent results at the scientific level, including Nobel prizes, and putting the EU as a whole amongst the world leaders in this domain, as measured by the quality and quantity of scientific publications. However, the corresponding number of patents has been quite low. It was stated that it is now time to capitalise on the advanced level of expertise built in Europe over the last decade and further develop quantum technologies to the level of commercial applications, and contribute in a more direct way to the development of the EU economy. This strategy is, furthermore, in consonance with Horizon 2020, where innovation is as important as research. Georg Peter, head of the Security Technology Assessment Unit at the European Commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC), corroborated this view, explaining the role of the JRC and the strategic interest of quantum technologies for the EU.
Walter van de Velde, from DG CNECT/C2 – FET, one of the organizers of the workshop, then addressed the audience and set the goals of the meeting, asking why there is still not a large quantum technologies industry in Europe, and what would be necessary steps to establish it. The final talk of the first part of the workshop was delivered by Freeke Heijman-te Paske, who presented Global developments on Quantum Technologies, a study conducted for the Ministry of Economic Affairs of the Netherlands. There are currently around 7,000 researchers worldwide publishing scientific work on quantum technologies (excluding those doing classified work, for states or in the private sector). The EU leads with a work force of almost 2,500 researchers and an accumulated investment of more than half-a-billion Euro by the EC, namely from the Future and Emerging Technologies (FET) programme, the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions, and the European Research Council. However, the USA, with around 1,200 researchers and a public investment of around 360 million Euro, leads by far in terms of publications in very high-impact journals, as well as in the number of citations. It is also North America which is leading the industrial investment in quantum computing, namely with D-Wave – The Quantum Computing Company in Canada, and IBM, Google and Microsoft in the USA, amongst others. And several countries are making governmental investments in quantum technologies considered of strategic interest for the state, namely in quantum communications, quantum cryptography and quantum computation, and their corresponding industrialisation. These include, amongst others, the USA, China, South Korea and Singapore. In Europe, the UK has recently launched a
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national strategy for quantum technologies, corresponding to an investment of 370 million Euro during the 2015-2020 period, with a significant part of it being targeted at industries. Another example is the Netherlands which has selected quantum technologies as one of the four Dutch National Icons, i.e. examples of ground breaking innovation projects selected from around 160 applicants at national level. Overall, the market for quantum technologies is growing worldwide, and Europe has the largest research body in this domain, but is behind in terms of technological and industrial leadership. The workshop then moved to a participatory mode, where all participants contributed with their views about quantum technologies and about their potential to emerge as a market, as well as the corresponding challenges, as described in the following sections.
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Applications for Quantum Technologies Following the first part of the workshop, based on presentations, the participatory part began with all participants being asked to identify where in Europe they came from, as well as if they were from the academic sector, the industry sector or from governmental/European agencies. The representation proved to be quite wide and significant, as there were participants from North, South, East and West Europe, and there was a good balance between participants from the university, industrial and governmental sectors (see Appendix 2 for the full list of participants). The participants were then asked to pair with someone from a different sector than their own, and try to convince each other what areas and applications of quantum technologies they find most promising. Furthermore, they were asked to write this information on a piece of paper and put it up on a wall, in one of three areas, indicating if they believed this would be a short term (less than 5 years), medium term (5 to 10 years) or long term (more than 10 years) application. Following this exercise, six key areas of quantum technologies were identified: 1. Quantum Metrology 2. Quantum Sensing 3. Quantum Communications 4. Quantum Memories 5. Quantum Simulation 6. Quantum Computation The participants were then divided into six groups, one for each of these areas, to discuss them in more detail. After the discussion period, one representative from each group made a three minute pitch to gain support from industry and investors for their quantum technology, as summarised below. Quantum Metrology aims at achieving the ultimate precision measurements, namely at the quantum scale. It is establishing new standards for time, distance, etc., which are not only of fundamental interest, but furthermore have very important applications, allowing, for example, for more precise positioning and navigation technologies. Associated to that is also the development of very sensitive quantum accelerometers and gyroscopes. However, a regulatory framework will be needed to test, validate and certify the new standards and measures. Quantum Sensing is a very promising quantum technology. For example, cold atoms systems are very sensitive to gravitational distortions from varying mass densities and can thus be used for prospecting natural resources and for finding buried assets and constructions. A timeline of 18 months was proposed to develop a portable demonstrator to image gravity. Note this technology can also be exploited for inertial navigation, where GPS satellite signals are not available, for example indoors, or in tunnels and underground parking lots. The ultrasensitive measurement of magnetic fields, in the range of femtotesla, can also have medical applications, for example for brain imaging using magnetic encephalography. Finally, quantum enhanced imaging exploits squeezed or entangled light sources for a wide range of applications, including sub-shot noise detection, seeing around corners, low light levels for biological/medical
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imaging to minimise damage, and detecting light at wavelengths where there are no single-photon detectors (or no cheap single-photon arrays). Quantum Communications can be used to ensure privacy against eavesdropping. In principle, quantum cryptography can also be exploited to keep secrets secure indefinitely. In fact, quantum cryptography is currently the most developed quantum technology, being already a commercial product, albeit with a limited range (around 300 km in cable communications) and with a very limited number of customers. However, it is a growing field, expected to gain a larger market share over the next three to five years, finding customers amongst large companies, namely in the health and finance sectors. Furthermore, it may also become increasingly present in government communications, and in the management of infrastructures such as smart electricity grids. Quantum cryptography will eventually be available for ordinary consumers. And it raises issues of state security which will have to be dealt with. Quantum Memories are a crucial ingredient for building quantum repeaters. These, in turn, are necessary for the development of long-distance quantum communication without the use of classical trusted nodes. Furthermore, new technologies are necessary for the development of quantum networks and the corresponding routing of quantum information. Finally, quantum memories will also be very important for quantum information processing. Quantum Simulation exploits quantum systems to efficiently simulate the dynamics of other quantum systems. Currently it still does not beat a classical computer, but it is believed it may do so within the next three years or so. This could then lead to faster quantum chemistry and materials simulations, with potential applications for the development of new drugs, as well as of new superconducting materials that could make energy distribution much more efficient. Quantum Computation is the hardest of the quantum technologies to develop and a longer term goal, possibly decades away. Once available, it would allow for the fast solving of very complex problems, such as optimisation problems with a wide range of applications, namely in machine learning, in medicine (protein folding), etc. However, the development of scalable hardware is still a major challenge, although there are many research groups tackling it. One potential spin-off of this experimental effort is the development of more energy-efficient (cryo)electronics. During these presentations all participants were invited to note the challenges they believed would be an obstacle to the ideas being pitched. These challenges were then discussed in the next session of the meeting.
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Tackling the Challenges of Quantum Technologies Following the sales pitch for each of the quantum technologies described in the previous section, each participant was invited to identify the potential hurdles to the industrialisation of these technologies. These hurdles were then discussed and summarised with the participation of the whole audience, and the following eight questions were deemed necessary to address: • Are there other applications for quantum technologies, namely for daily use? • What are the societal benefits of quantum technologies? How to raise quantum awareness and counter quantum "phobia"? • Why invest now in quantum technologies? And how to establish academic/industry partnerships to develop these technologies? • How to create a quantum technologies supply chain? • What skill set do we need in Europe? How to get it? • Who should be the industrial players? Large companies or SMEs? • How much will be the return on investment in quantum technologies? And when? What will be the market size? • What level of standardisation will be necessary? When and how can it be achieved? The participants were then divided into eight groups, to discuss and find answers to these questions, with one rotation allowing each participant to contribute to two groups. A set of measures were distilled from these discussions, as summarised below for each of the questions.
Are there other applications for quantum technologies, namely for daily use? Quantum technologies have applications in many sectors, including small applications for daily use, not only large scale ones. The following potential applications were identified, presented per sector:
- Security/Defence: random number generators, quantum cryptography for all, detection of objects underground and across walls, long term data storage, gas sensors for pollutants, detection of drugs and explosives. - Transport: inertial navigation, without GPS satellite signals. - Computing: faster algorithms, namely for factoring, searching and machine learning. - Retail: secure financial transactions, product authentication, magnetic skin type determination for adequacy of cosmetics, functional sensing in packaging. - Finance: time stamping, time synchronisation, holdover clocks, secure communications. - Healthcare: drug development, biomolecular readout, precision dosimetry, higher resolution medical imaging, faster artificial intelligence diagnostics, long term storage of medical records. - Energy: more efficient photovoltaics, fossil fuel exploration, carbon sequestration supervision, cryoelectronics, high-temperature superconducting materials for energy efficient distribution, secure smart energy networks, timing for phase synchronisation. - Education: teaching quantum physics with demonstrations, quantum toys. - Gaming: magnetic brain interface, faster artificial intelligence computing, random number generators.
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- Infrastructure: utility mapping, assessing water distribution networks for leakage, detecting sinkholes, assessing rail track integrity. To help develop these promising quantum technologies, the following measures were proposed: Create quantum technologies application competitions. Create quantum technologies demonstration competitions. Proactive adoption of quantum technologies by governments. Create rolling grant innovation initiatives.
What are the societal benefits of quantum technologies? How to raise quantum awareness and counter quantum "phobia"? The potential societal benefits of quantum technologies are enormous, given all their possible applications, as described in the previous question. Furthermore, the development of quantum technologies offers also a deeper understanding of nature and new fundamental knowledge. To achieve these societal benefits, the following measures were proposed:
Launch an EU initiative to build a market/supply chain. Identify existing EU research and innovation programmes to which quantum technologies can contribute. Academia and industry should communicate the benefits of their discoveries.
Why invest now in quantum technologies? And how to establish academic/industry partnerships to develop these technologies? Given the potential disruptive applications of quantum technologies in many sectors, as already described in the first question, and the strong investment in these technologies in other parts of the world, the European industrial sector cannot stand back, or it risks losing its competitiveness. Furthermore, given the strong expertise existing in the European academic sector in quantum information sciences and quantum technologies, it would be of mutual interest to establish partnerships between these two sectors. The development of research associated to industrial partners is of great interest for academic organisations, which can benefit from the expertise in systems engineering and from the embedding for societal impact, as well as from future jobs. And for the industrial sector it is also beneficial to develop work in partnership with academia, obtaining early exposure to new scientific and technological developments, as well as getting access to a highly skilled employable work force, and also leverage public investment in this domain. To ensure this development, the following measures were proposed:
Give grants for start-ups and incubators in quantum technologies, not necessarily fast track, but allowing for medium track. Find mechanisms to help industry make smart investments, fostering the creation and developing of companies, promoting European technological leadership. Create a programme at EU level on quantum technologies.
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How to create a quantum technologies supply chain? How to make the technology choices, including for scalability and manufacturability, is non-trivial. Markets are driven by early adopters, regulations and critical volume. One first, shorter term, approach to creating a quantum technologies supply chain could be to develop component technologies. For example, there are currently about 1,000 groups around the world doing experimental research on cold atoms, each of them typically spending 250 kEuro on components. Thus, providing research and development (R&D) funds for components and sub-components (e.g. photonics, electronics, vacuum technologies) would be very beneficial. For more innovative technologies, a supply chain should be fostered for early adopters, and adapted to reach volume. An example could be the defence industries, where the complete supply chain could be grown to partially cover the civilian market as well. To achieve these goals, the following measures were proposed: Development of technology roadmaps and market studies to identify the unique selling points of different quantum technologies. Sufficient funding made available for intellectual protection and for "proof of market" demonstrators. Governments and the EC should fund technological gap analysis, as well as fill the gaps and single points of failure.
What skill set do we need in Europe? How to get it? The EU has an excellent academic expertise in quantum technologies, but the links to industry are still not very strong. For the development of quantum technologies, a dialogue between researchers, system designers, testing engineers and business leaders and entrepreneurs will need to be cultivated. Furthermore, the incubation of new companies in quantum technologies could be done within a network, benefiting from a wide range of expertise, contributing in a more effective manner to filling the gap of missing companies in Europe in this domain. To achieve these goals, the following measures were proposed: Create training networks on quantum technologies involving both academic and industrial partners. Fund feasibility studies for quantum technological companies, e.g. 30 kEuro in a first stage, and then 150 kEuro if they make it to the development stage. Create an EU-wide incubator network for quantum technology, where funding for the research groups is improved if they have a spin-off component, and reward delivery.
Who should be the industrial players? Large companies or SMEs? The field of quantum technology in Europe is recognized as an academic activity with very high potential for industrialisation. The required future tasks are a complex interplay between large institutions and SMEs. On the one hand, large companies, but also universities and governmental labs, need the support to invest in basic research and development. On the other hand, well established and very specialized SMEs are needed to contribute by the means of quantum-technology-related new applications in their field of expertise. New SMEs and start-ups need to be incubated to enable the new
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market on quantum technologies. As a conclusion it can be stated that all the players are required to contribute. Several large companies, such as Thales and Airbus, already have some activity in the domain of quantum technologies. However, there is need to foster the SMEs as well. To achieve progress on the industrial side within Europe, the following measures were proposed: Support the existing industry by the means of Horizon 2020 and other programs to accelerate efforts in performing research and development on quantum technologies and in its related fields. National and EU agencies should coordinate efforts and strategic directions in what fosters the creation of new quantum technology companies and start-ups. Educate people for industry, but in particular as customers and consumers for the new quantum technologies.
How much will be the return on investment in quantum technologies? And when? What will be the market size? The EU offers some good advantages for the development of quantum technologies, namely good collaborative R&D mechanisms and culture. Furthermore, it has the European Space Agency (ESA) as an early adopter, as well as many national metrology institutes working on quantum metrology. On the other hand, the EU has a more limited defence R&D and less focussed research programmes compared to the USA and China. Sensing and metrology quantum technologies correspond to a 100 – 1,000 MEuro global market, with a time scale of a few years, and approaching return on investment. In this domain, the EU is in a good position. Quantum communications is a very large global market, in the range of billions of Euro, and still emerging. The EU is in a good position, but Asia, and China in particular, are catching up quickly. The return on investment will be medium term. Finally, quantum computing is potentially an even larger market, but will take a long time to develop, and the return on investment is hard to predict at this stage. The EU position at the purely scientific level is excellent, but in terms of the technological developments it is behind the USA, where IBM, Google and Microsoft have been investing consistently in this area. To grow the quantum technologies market size and return on investment in Europe, the following was proposed:
Fund quantum technologies in the Horizon 2020 programme, including collaborations between academia and industry. Possibly create a large centre of excellence or grand project on quantum technologies at EU level. Further coordinate and share academic progress in this domain.
What level of standardisation will be necessary? When and how can it be achieved? The establishment of standards for quantum technologies, be it for communications or for sensing or metrology, is crucial for their development. In particular, standardisation
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will ensure interoperability, accelerate a widespread adoption, and stimulate a supply chain. This will be crucial to development of global markets, and building trust with assurance and certification. To achieve these goals, the following measures were proposed: Develop appropriate traceable measurement techniques useful for the standards. Fund European Telecommunications Standards Institute (ETSI) Specialist Task Forces and their supporting projects dedicated to particular technical issues, which need elaboration by very specialised (and rare) experts. Fund the participation of SMEs in the standardisation processes, especially start-ups and spin-offs, who otherwise will not be able to pursue a sustainable contribution to standardisation, which is crucial for its success and for fostering the intellectual property portfolios of these small organisations. These conclusions, from each of the eight groups, were presented to and discussed by the whole audience. After that, each participant was invited to choose the five measures he or she considered as priority measures for the industrialisation of quantum technologies in Europe. Finally, once the key next steps were identified, the participants gathered to identify who should be responsible to promote each of these steps: the European Commission, the Member States, academia or the industry sector. The concrete actions to be taken, and by whom, are described in the following section.
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Action Plans and Concluding Remarks Following the discussions previously described and the contributions from the participants from the different sectors, the workshop ended with the identification of the key concrete actions that need to be taken to market and industrialise quantum technologies in Europe, as well as with the identification of the corresponding actors. In conclusion, the following concrete actions were proposed, associated to the following actors: 1. Improve the dissemination about the potential benefits of quantum technologies (All actors, i.e. EC, Member States, academia and industry) Quantum technologies are emergent technologies, with the potential to bring very innovative applications to a wide range of sectors, including security, energy and healthcare, amongst others, as described in the previous section. However, these are still largely unknown outside the research community. In view of the importance and impact of these applications, as well as of the development and industrialisation of quantum technologies taking place elsewhere in the world, it was deemed necessary to improve the awareness of European decision-makers and of European society about this novel and promising technological domain. In particular, the measures to improve the dissemination about the potential benefits of quantum technologies should target:
• policy makers and the general public, including measures to prevent and address "quantum phobia" effects. • CEOs and company board members to stimulate investments, as well as Angel investors. • potential students and researchers, tomorrow's quantum technologies engineers. All actors, i.e. EC, Member States, academia and industry, should contribute to this important effort.
2. Expand exploratory research on quantum technologies and extend it to support research aiming at higher technology readiness levels (EC and Member States) In Europe, in the current research on quantum information sciences and quantum technologies there is still a significant gap between the results obtained in the laboratory and industrially relevant technology. It is of paramount importance that the EC and Member States expand support for exploratory research on quantum technologies and extend it to also support research projects aiming at bridging this gap. These should include sufficient funding for intellectual protection and for "proof of market" demonstrators. Furthermore, governments and the EC should fund technological gap analysis, as well as fill the gaps and single points of failure. To exploit the synergies and vast expertise in quantum technologies existing in Europe, some EU-level measures were further proposed, such as the creation of a Flagship in quantum technologies, and the development of a grand European project in this domain, such as an European-wide quantum key distribution system. Finally, it was suggested that European agencies (e.g. ESA) and governments themselves should proactively adopt quantum technologies and contribute to generate the corresponding supply chain.
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3. Improve the coordination between different existing research programmes on quantum technologies (EC, Member States, academia and industry) To reduce the duplication of the research efforts, it was deemed very important to improve the coordination between the different research programmes on quantum technologies currently ongoing in Europe. Furthermore, the coordination with efforts from other relevant research domains should also be considered. Further coordination at the European level can also contribute to improve the links between academia and industry with the goal of developing more industrially relevant technology. In fact, the creation of a EU-wide incubator network for quantum technology was suggested as a more efficient and effective mean to foster the creation of new companies and start-ups. Furthermore, it was suggested the JRC could help identify which market sectors are relevant for application of quantum technologies. Overall, a common strategy for the development and industrialisation of quantum technologies should be defined at EU level, taking into account the different stakeholders. Namely, it was suggested to create a European programme on quantum technologies, as well as a large centre of excellence in this domain. One of the goals should be to exploit the unique culture and mechanisms of international collaboration that exist in Europe to create a globally attractive and fruitful research, development and innovation environment in quantum technologies. 4. Mobilise European industrial players and have a policy paper on quantum technologies produced by industry, endorsed at CEO or board level (Industry and academia) In the closing discussion of the workshop it was emphasised how important it will be to have input from the industrial sector in the definition of a European strategy for quantum technologies, as well as a strong commitment to contribute to the development of this strategy. In particular, it was suggested to explore the possibility of forming an industry platform on quantum technologies. Furthermore, it was decided to have a policy paper on quantum technologies produced by industry, with a strong endorsement from company leaders. Richard Murray, from Innovate UK, volunteered to lead this effort. Finally, it was suggested to link this initiative to the white paper on quantum technologies being prepared by the FET coordination action QUTE-EUROPE – Quantum Technologies for Europe, namely with the addition of a new layer on quantum control and quantum engineering. Overall, the strategic input and commitment from industry leaders is deemed crucial for the industrialisation of quantum technologies in Europe. 5. Develop a programme for training in quantum technologies (Academia and industry) It is important to ensure that sufficient numbers of quantum engineers will be ready to support the rollout of quantum technologies in the market. Therefore, the creation of training networks in this domain, involving both academic and industrial partners, were
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suggested. It will be important to train a new generation of individuals in this area, with the necessary scientific and technical skills, as well as with a development and innovation culture. Additional support should also be made available to foster entrepreneurial and spin-off initiatives. 6. Develop standards for quantum technologies (ETSI, academia and industry) The establishment of standards will be key for the development and maturing of quantum technologies. Standards are needed to address a global market and support the emergence of supply chains and quantum technology eco-systems. Important work has already been started at the level of quantum communications, namely for quantum key distribution, but it needs to be expanded to other types of quantum technologies. In particular, it was suggested that (pre)standardisation should be started as early as possible and continuously pursued as the research, development and innovation proceed, as otherwise there is the danger this will become a too expensive and too slow process. The European Telecommunications Standards Institute (ETSI) will play a key role at global level in this effort, and Gaby Lenhart volunteered to lead this initiative. Conclusion In conclusion, the EU is in an excellent position to develop a quantum technology industry and market. It currently benefits from unique assets at a global level: a very strong culture and mechanisms for collaborative research, development and innovation, as well as a very strong expertise in quantum information sciences in particular, and in fundamental science in general. Building on these, the concrete action plans that resulted from this workshop, with the committed intervention of the EC, Member States, academia and the industrial sector, and their corresponding leaders, can make the EU a world leader in quantum technologies, with the potential for very important economical and societal impacts.
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Appendix 1 – The Workshop Agenda
Agenda
Workshop on Quantum Technologies
6 May 2015 European Commission
Avenue de Beaulieu 25, 1160 Brussels Room: BU25 0/S1
09:00 Arrival of participants / networking 09:30 Welcome address - Thierry Van der Pyl, Stefan Lechner,
European Commission 09:45 Market for Quantum Technologies - Freeke Heijman-te Paske,
Netherlands Ministry of Economic Affairs 10:00 Applications for Quantum Technologies (participatory) State-of-the-art in quantum sensing/metrology, QKD, quantum computing/simulation 11:00 Coffee / networking 11:15 Markets for Quantum Technologies (participatory) Standards, supply chains, end-users, timescales 12:30 Standing Lunch / networking 13h30 What is needed to industrialise Quantum Technologies? (participatory) Roadmaps, researcher-industry liaison, forums, training, investment 15:15 Coffee / networking 15:30 Action plans for Quantum Technologies and industry (participatory) Who? What? When? 16h30 Closing of the meeting /networking
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Appendix 2 – The Workshop Participants
Name Organisation Marc Almendros Signadyne (ES) Klitos Andrea Univ York (UK)
Elke Anklam JRC, Institute For Reference Materials and Measurements (EU)
Hans Aschauer Siemens (DE) Konrad Banaszek Univ Warsaw (PL) Paolo Bianco Airbus/Astrium (UK) Kai Bongs Univ Birmingham (UK) Roumen Borissov REA, FET Open (EU) Gabriele Bulgarini Single Quantum (NL) Tommaso Calarco Univ Ulm (DE) Brendan Casey Kelvin Nanotechnology (UK) Bob Cockshott Innovate UK (UK) Trevor Cross e2v (UK) Aymard de Touzalin DG Connect, FET (EU) Thierry Debuisschert Thales (FR) Ivo Degiovanni INRIM (IT) David Delpy (UK) Jean-Luc Dorel DG Connect, eInfrastructure (EU) Marceline Du Prie TU Delft (NL) Servaas Duterloo TU Delft (NL) Julian Ellis DG Connect, FET (EU) Mark Farries Gooch and Housego (UK) Andrea Feltrin DG Connect, FET (EU) Afonso Ferreira DG Connect, Trust and Security (EU) Ales Fiala DG Connect, FET (EU) Martin Freer Univ Birmingham (UK) Eric Fribourg-Blanc DG Connect, Components (EU) David Guedj DG Connect, Digital Science (EU) Freeke Heijman-te Paske Ministry of Economic Affairs (NL) Nils Hempler M Squared Lasers (UK) Andrew Houghton DG Connect, FET Flagships (EU) Meret Kraemer JRC, Security Technology Assessment (EU) Sigrid Landry DG Connect, FET (EU) Gaby Lenhart ETSI (FR) Adam Lewis JRC, Security Technology Assessment (EU) Leon Lobo NPL (UK) Charles Marcus Univ Copenhagen (DK) Matthew Markham Element 6 (UK) Béatrice Marquez-Garrido DG Connect, FET (EU) Paul Martin Plextek Limited (UK)
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John Morton UCL (UK) Peter Mueller IBM (CH) Richard Murray Innovate UK (UK) Per Nihlen Sunet (SE) Yasser Omar Univ Lisbon (PT), rapporteur Georgios Papadakis Innovate UK (UK) Douglas Paul Univ Glasgow (UK) Momtchil Peev AIT (AT) Rene Penning de Vries (NL) Georg Peter JRC, Security Technology Assessment (EU) Iuliana Radu IMEC (BE) Pascal Rochat Spectratime (CH)
Guillem Sague High-Tech Gründerfonds Management GmbH (DE)
Andrew Shields Toshiba CRL (UK) Thomas Skordas DG Connect, FET Flagships (EU) Peter Smith Univ Southampton (UK) Tim Spiller Univ York (UK) Rob Thew Univ Geneva (CH) Albert van Breemen ASML (NL) Walter van de Velde DG Connect, FET (EU) Floor van der Pavert (NL) Thierry Van der Pyl DG Connect, Excellence in Science (EU) Willy Van Puymbroeck DG Connect, Components (EU) Rogier Verberk TNO /QuTech (NL)
Lee Vousden Department for Business Innovation & Skills (UK)
Andreas Wallraff ETHZ (CH) Ian Walmsley Univ Oxford (UK) Frans Widdershoven NXP (NL) Alastair Wilson Univ Glasgow (UK) Mario Ziman Slovak Academy of Sciences (SK) Katerina Ivaskeviciute DG Connect (EU) – Photographer
QUANTUM TECHNOLOGIES Opportunities for European industry
Tommaso Calarco Center for Integrated Quantum Science and Technology (IQST) University of Ulm
and European Academy of Sciences
Report on a round table discussion and stakeholder meetingheld in the Berlaymont building of the European Commission on October 13, 2015
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Table of Contents
Executive summary .................................................................................................................. 3
Quantum Technologies: Opportunities for European Industry ................................................... 4
Industry round table ................................................................................................................ 4 Introduction by Commissioners Günther H. Oettinger and Carlos Moedas ......................................... 4 Discussion topics .............................................................................................................................. 5
1. Scientific Leadership and Training.............................................................................................. 5 2. Coordination ............................................................................................................................. 5 3. Favorable innovation ecosystem ............................................................................................... 5 4. Establishing engineering capability ............................................................................................ 6 5. Standardization ......................................................................................................................... 6
Conclusions by the Commissioners ................................................................................................... 6
Stakeholder meeting ‘Bridging from excellent research to innovation’ ...................................... 7 Introduction by JRC Director General V. Sucha .................................................................................. 7 Session 1: Quantum Communication ................................................................................................ 7 Session 2: Quantum Metrology and Sensing ...................................................................................... 7 Session 3: Quantum Computing and Simulation ................................................................................ 8 Session 4: Member States Involvement............................................................................................. 8 Conclusions by DG Connect Deputy Director General Z. Stancic ......................................................... 8
Appendix 1: Agenda ................................................................................................................. 9 10.00 – 12.00 Industry Round Table .................................................................................................. 9 13.00 – 13.10 Introduction to stakeholders'session .......................................................................... 9 Session 1: Quantum communication .................................................................................................. 9 Session 2: Quantum metrology and sensing ....................................................................................... 9 Session 3: Quantum computing and simulation ................................................................................. 9 Session 4: Member States involvement ............................................................................................. 9
Appendix 2: List of participants .............................................................................................. 10
Appendix 3: Presentation by JRC Director General V. Sucha .................................................... 12
Appendix 4: Industry Perspectives on Quantum Technologies ................................................. 19
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Executive summary The impact of quantum science on industry and society has been revolutionary, bootstrapping the semiconductor industry on which all computing, communications as well as the vast majority of sensors are nowadays based. The resulting first generation quantum devices are everywhere: we wear them on our wrist, we talk into them, we watch and share content on them, they even control the engines in our cars.
The discussion at both the round table and the stakeholder meetings made it apparent that we are on the verge of a new revolution, with new quantum technologies poised to have a comparable impact on almost every aspect of our daily lives.
The question that has been thoroughly addressed was: what exactly does it take for Europe to stay at the forefront of this second quantum revolution? This is not an easy question to answer, given the unique nature of the quantum technology field, in which the distinction between basic science, applied research and technology are no longer valid in a traditional sense.
Several elements of a European strategy have been identified, which can be summarized in a few important points.
1. Scientific and industrial leadership should be reinforced, as research and its application are indispensable for innovation like light is for painting. This can be achieved through: − Scaling up targeted investment in outstanding scientific projects and centres across
Europe, promoting intra-European collaboration and mobility of researchers and engineers, in academia as well as in industry;
− Broad-spectrum but agile roadmapping, in terms of goals rather than specific milestones, with the agility to adapt to progress and to concentrate on the most successful options;
− Developing educational programs targeting the training of technicians, engineers, scientists, and developers of quantum technologies.
2. Investment should be coordinated, both at the National and European level through strategic platforms and documents. In particular, current joint programming instruments such as the ERA-NET scheme should be used to encourage all Member States to participate through public-public and public-private partnerships.
3. A favorable European innovation ecosystem should be created, in order to facilitate the transfer of basic research findings into real life market applications. This can be achieved through: − Fostering the growth of SMEs, for example by actively seeking their engagement in public
R&D, and stimulating academia spin-off; − Creating a European wide quantum innovation fund to share the business and technical
risks with quantum technology enterprises investing in long-term endeavors. 4. Leading engineering capability attractive to industry and investments should be
established. This can be achieved through: − Investing in excellent local ecosystems in which academia, technology centers and
companies collaborate towards common strategic goals; − Fostering public-private partnerships offering modalities for cooperation between
industry and academia.
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5. Standardization should be encouraged for the most mature quantum technologies, such as quantum key distribution. At the same time, national metrological institutes should collaborate in developing quantum-based standards and certifications.
Quantum Technologies: Opportunities for European Industry The event, convened by Commissioner Günther H. Oettinger with the participation of Commissioner Carlos Moedas, was structured in two parts. A morning high-level industry round table gave an opportunity to discuss industrial interest and a potential European strategy for investment in the domain of quantum technologies. An afternoon stakeholder meeting further elaborated on the way forward to bridge from excellent research to future commercial exploitation of quantum technology research results in Europe. High-level scientists from Europe's leading quantum laboratories participated in the event, including Nobel laureates Serge Haroche and David Wineland, as did policy makers and representatives of major industrial research and technology laboratories with an interest in quantum technologies (ASML, Bosch, e2V, IMEC, Nokia, Safran, Thales).
Industry round table Introduction by Commissioners Günther H. Oettinger and Carlos Moedas Commissioner Oettinger opened the morning discussion by pointing out the need to turn the European research capability into future uses of quantum technologies (QT). Europe has now the ambition to advance the quantum technologies agenda, making this exciting topic a priority in order to play a major role in this technological revolution, capable of transforming many sectors of the digital economy in the short, medium and long term – for instance in health monitoring, data security, and high-performance computing. Europe has already invested in these technologies, and the Commission welcomes the strong activities taking place e.g. in the United Kingdom and the Netherlands. To move forward, Europe needs a concerted effort in this direction, involving European industries. Indeed, fierce competition is building up and there is a concrete risk that our competitors (the US and China with particularly strong strategies and investments, but also Japan and Korea to mention a few examples) will take the lead, while Europe might risk lagging behind. Hence the Commission would like to strengthen European public-private partnership activities, and to hear what participants expect in terms of Commission funding, to enable Europe to be at the leading edge of the QT revolution.
Commissioner Moedas noted that DG Connect and DG Research are active at the border where the digitalization will take place, so it is important that the two DGs share a common strategy, also because the research being carried out needs to be adequately explained to citizens. This is indeed a major challenge for quantum technologies but it needs to be addressed, as it would be hard to justify major investments in this area if the public cannot understand what we are doing and why. So far, EC investment in quantum technologies has been channeled through FET programs but the EC now wants to do more, since it will be paramount for the implementation of the strategy envisioned by Commissioner Oettinger for the future of Europe. However, policy makers need help from scientists to understand the challenges ahead. Commissioner Moedas identified two main challenges: first, translating basic research into real life market applications, i.e. bridging the gap from the needed basic research towards the industrial and societal dimensions; and second, understanding how Europe can make the difference, e.g. what can ERC do to get the industry and societal pillars involved. The round table discussion would be
5
important to hear the level of European industry interest and participation in Quantum Technologies, to identify the main difficulties and bottlenecks, and to gather suggestions to contribute to a European strategy for open science and open innovation.
The ensuing discussion revolved mainly around five themes as summarized below.
Discussion topics 1. Scientific Leadership and Training
We have to be aware that Nature is much more imaginative that we will ever be, Prof. Haroche warned the audience. Thus, in no other field is basic research so important to turn ideas into applications as it is in quantum technologies. Scientists are really to be regarded as the first quantum engineers, who use the laws of quantum mechanics to build and control systems at the quantum level, added Prof. Sanpera. Basic research in this field is by itself part of the technology development process, and the students and postdocs we train today in our labs will be the engineers and technology developers of future companies. In fact, remarked Prof. Kouwenhoven, training the best researchers and keeping them in Europe will be a decisive factor for success. Science will give rise to new technologies which will stimulate further scientific development, according to Prof. Walmsley. Quantum technologies cannot be developed in any different way, as they are more future looking, more high-risk and more high-payoff than any other technology. Europe is currently a leader in the global research effort on QT, also thanks to the European funding leveraging that of Member States in the past 15/20 years, remarked Minister Draxler. But now it is time to step up investment in both basic and applied research to capitalize on the previous efforts and sustain the momentum that has been built up. The point is that in the last three years the state-of-the-art of quantum technologies has really changed, concluded Prof. Zeilinger, and there are now specific goals that are within reach in the short to medium term. An exciting time is ahead of us, provided the right decisions are taken now.
2. Coordination In the field of quantum technology Europe has always been a single country, claimed Prof. Giacobino, thanks to the centralized funding of the field across several Framework Programmes. Building on such a stimulating atmosphere, an ERANET Cofound initiative in the field is being prepared, with a call for projects focusing on basic and applied research. The preparatory work triggered a lot of interaction on strategic thinking, giving also rise to a dialogue between Member States on how the area can be brought forward. And indeed, said State Secretary Dekker, if Europe wants to stay at the forefront in this promising area, it has to develop a coordinated strategy, in particular on how to help the transition from basic science to industrial take up. This will be one of the main points in the agenda of the Dutch Presidency of the EU, during which a broadly shared strategy will be presented at a major event in Amsterdam. On its side, Slovakia will make sure that the momentum is not lost when it will take over the EU presidency in June 2016, stated Minister Draxler. Federating regional, national and European agendas on quantum technologies coming both from the scientific and the industrial side will be a crucial ingredient for success, because no individual industry or Member State will be able to succeed alone in this field, concluded Prof. Calarco.
3. Favorable innovation ecosystem A five-year development plan represents a long term gap from an industrial perspective, stated Mr. Romero. This is a difficult situation from the business model angle, as industries may look at these kinds of technologies as too risky; for example, this represents the main reason why Nokia
6
is not yet strongly investing in the technology, as Dr. Niskanen explained. In fact, QT still needs a significant amount of basic research, confirmed Dr. Bolle, and the gap between basic and applied research, as well as academia and industry, should be bridged if we are to succeed in making these technologies a reality. This could be achieved, suggested Prof. Kouwenhoven, through a European program that supports investments in research, innovation, skills and technology demonstrations. The role of the EC in this field, which Safran sees as a new frontier, added Dr. Fabre, should be to catalyze the transition from basic research to application. A scheme to help companies identifying and develop uses, applications and markets for new technologies that will impact their business would be welcome, continued Dr. Erman. We have an incredible opportunity to make a difference, concluded Prof. van den Hove, if Europe is able to integrate the excellent research centers and fabrication facilities it possesses.
4. Establishing engineering capability If the aim is to build a future European quantum industry, what is needed, as already remarked by several participants, is a closer collaboration between the research and industrial communities, in order to realize the technology transfer phase, said Dr. Matthes. A worldwide race for technology and talent has started and the economic stakes are high, added Dr. Cross. Now is the time in which the landscape is beginning to form and it is important to step in, investing according to a well defined and clearly laid down strategy. Public-private partnerships can accelerate innovation, providing a relatively easy entry point for companies interested in exploring the potential of emerging quantum technologies. This would have the further advantage that industry would bring in their expertise into academia, acquiring at the same time expertise in quantum technologies, added Prof. Kouwenhoven. Dr. Cross concluded by presenting a report “Industry perspectives on Quantum Technologies”, attached in Appendix 4.
5. Standardization All players will cooperate towards the ultimate goal of building a scalable technology, said Mr. Romero; and the way to scale is through standards, which will provide at the same time specifications to enable technologies to come to the market. Closely related to standardization is the field of (quantum) metrology, added Prof. Inguscio, which together with quantum sensors constitute the areas having applications in the shortest term. In particular, national metrological institutes should collaborate for developing quantum-based standards and certifications. In this way Europe will be ready to play a key role in the future market where quantum limits will define the performance of industrial applications. Conclusions by the Commissioners There is an intrinsic danger in the exercise of predicting the future, remarked Commissioner Moedas. For example, predictions made in the past to anticipate the future of the internet turned out to be mostly wrong, apart from two aspects: first, a bottom-up approach is the way to go, giving freedom to researchers to invent the future; second, policy makers need to create links between stakeholders. The EU can be a catalyst in overcoming psychological barriers between basic and applied research. Quantum technology research is at the same time fundamental and applied: investing in this field is therefore important. The discussion has shown that quantum technologies have both a short-term and a long-term dimension, concluded Commissioner Oettinger. There is no reason why Europe cannot succeed in the global competition, given its broad and solid knowledge base, provided optimal synergies can be developed. The important question is which research goals should be funded at EU level, to remain competitive with the scientific and financial strength of other countries like USA and
7
China. This discussion should not remain an isolated event: a common protocol should be developed together with the EU Parliament and the rotating Presidencies of the next two years (Netherlands, Slovakia, Malta and United Kingdom), and in one year at the latest Commissioner Oettinger plans to host a follow-up discussion to advance collaboration on this strategic issue.
Stakeholder meeting ‘Bridging from excellent research to innovation’ Introduction by JRC Director General V. Sucha Director General Sucha recalled the first round table organized by the Joint Research Centre, as the scientific service of the EC for policy advice, in the Spring of 2013. After this initial horizon scanning, JRC recruited two scientists who are now screening the developments in the field of Quantum Technologies in order to identify areas in which there may be some need to change the policy framework. On top of this, JRC is developing new tools in cooperation with CERN to look at trends in science, based on patents, companies active in a certain field as well as mapping of cooperations. DG Sucha presented the first results of the application of this tool to Quantum Technologies, with a presentation that is attached in Appendix 3. Session 1: Quantum Communication An increase in world-wide dependence on accurate and secure records, involving increasing volumes of data handled across a growing global data infrastructure, coupled with increasingly sophisticated criminality are driving the demand for improved data and communications security, argued Dr. Baloo. Quantum technology is part of the solution to this problem if we build more affordable, user-friendly, off-the-shelf products for the wider business and consumer sectors. And to do that, according to Prof. Spiller, three things are needed: (1) a specific investment program, separated from basic research funding, for (2) early industrial engagement which must be (3) coordinated at the European level. Standardization is also an important dimension, Dr. Lenhart pointed out, as quantum key distribution systems have to be compatible with current fiber technology; it will build trust and secure interoperability at the same time. In addition, standardization will help us thinking in terms of a global market, like big players do. Session 2: Quantum Metrology and Sensing Until now quantum mechanics has been only used to understand basic properties of materials, as devices have been built using classical laws. However, as Prof. Aspect explained, we can now make use of quantum entanglement and the ability to manipulate single quantum objects to build truly quantum devices. The latter – which include but are not limited to quantum clocks, accelerometers, gyroscopes, gravity sensors and nano-optomechanical systems – are poised to disrupt a global market worth billions of dollars. So we are here in the presence of the two factors that Dr. Desruelle thinks are needed to run a successful company: a killer product and a mass market where to sell it, in order to improve everybody’s life. But then, as Dr. Roelver pointed out, this implies that these devices need to be affordable (0.1 to 1 euro), reliable (up to 10 years), small and operate at room temperature. That’s why Bosch is looking at systems based on Nitrogen Vacancy centers, which have shown good promise but are still far from commercialization. Indeed, for most quantum technologies, industry must still rely on the excellent research done in academia, which needs in turn to develop and propose new ideas. This is why, according to Dr. Desruelle, the field is in a phase where ‘patient’ funding preceding venture capital investments is called for: in fact, it is difficult to attract the latter as it is currently problematic to clearly assess the business and technological risks. And this is a very good idea, concluded Prof. Aspect, as in the process of making sensor devices featuring exquisite precision
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we learn about the quantum limits of Nature, we master them, and we finally find ways to go past them. Session 3: Quantum Computing and Simulation The way Nature computes is quantum, stated Prof. Kouwenhoven. This is not how our current computers compute, and that is why they are so slow and poorly performing for certain optimization tasks, whether it is maximizing the efficiency of a supply chain or the balance of stocks in a portfolio. And in industrial R&D, the search for the next generation of materials and chemicals involves painstaking laboratory trial and error, the most inefficient strategy. On the other hand, Dr. Curioni said, our society has grown thanks to an unprecedented growth in computational power; but a paradigmatic shift will be soon be needed if we want to ensure more growth, as already now one can clearly see huge amounts of workloads displaying exponential complexity. Not investing in its development is not an option anymore. It is a long term investment in basic science, engineering and device development, Prof. Walmsley pointed out, in which collaboration and networking are key factors. And Europe is ideally suited for being the place were a new synergy between industry and academia, between intellectual and entrepreneurial activities, is established. After 25 years of funding excellence in quantum information sciences, it is now time to embrace long term support and make an effort to deliver the technology. And this can be only done by ensuring a critical mass of excellent people capable of identifying ideas and corresponding business opportunities. Session 4: Member States Involvement There are two reasons that lead the Polish national funding organization NCN to coordinate the efforts for setting up the future QUANTERA proposal, an ERA-NET Cofund action in the quantum technology field, illustrated Prof. Karonski. The first one is how strong this scientific area is in Poland; the second one is the enthusiasm that can be infused in the initiative by a young agency such as NCN. There is also an emotional component, in that Poland as a new Member State feels a responsibility to take the lead in some initiatives. In addition, continued Prof. Delpy, no single Member State is able to cover all the knowledge needed, whereas Europe as a whole certainly can. The objective must be to develop an entire ecosystem, by training not only scientists but also engineers; therefore it is important that industry is involved in preparing and shaping the call for projects. This is certainly what should be done, remarked Ms. Heijman, as we need to capitalize on the excellent ideas that are emerging and bring at least some of them to the market. This will be one of the major items in the agenda of the next EU Presidency by the Netherlands, which will host a conference in Amsterdam on the 17-18 of May of 2016 with the intent to foster collaboration between the European scientific and industry communities, showcase innovation and provide a platform to present a comprehensive vision and roadmap across the spectrum of quantum technologies. Conclusions by DG Connect Deputy Director General Z. Stancic We have a unique opportunity in front of us, concluded Deputy Director General Stancic: a lot of exciting developments both at the Member State as well as at the European Union level, including two Commissioners who find Quantum Technologies extremely attractive and want to take them further. Time is ripe to accelerate the quantum technology endeavor, and this can be done by preparing a very comprehensive research agenda on quantum technologies, beyond the views of the research and industry communities alone, or of individual Member States. We need to be able to integrate all of the latter in a coherent vision. Success will depend on all of the involved actors, but the EC on its side is fully committed, and importantly DG RTD shares this
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view. A challenge is in front of us: To build on this momentum, and make Quantum Technologies happen.
Appendix 1: Agenda
10.00 – 12.00 Industry Round Table
Hosted by Commissioner Günther H. Oettinger with Commissioner Carlos Moedas
13.00 – 13.10 Introduction to stakeholders'session
Vladimir Šucha, Director-General, Joint Research Center, European Commission
13.10 – 13.15 Reporting from the morning round table
Tommaso Calarco, European Academy of Sciences
13.15 – 14.15 Chair: Thierry Van der Pyl, Director DG Connect, European Commission
Session 1: Quantum communication
Ms Jaya Baloo, KPN Prof Tim Spiller, University of York Ms Gaby. Lenhart, ETSI
Session 2: Quantum metrology and sensing
Prof. Alain Aspect, Institut d’Optique Dr Bruno Desruelle, Muquans Dr Robert Roelver, Robert Bosch GmbH
14.15 Coffee break
14.45 – 15.45 Chair: Thierry Van der Pyl, Director DG Connect, European Commission
Session 3: Quantum computing and simulation
Prof. Ian Walmsley, University of Oxford Prof. Leo Kouwenhoven, Technical University of Delft Dr. Alessandro. Curioni, IBM
Session 4: Member States involvement
Prof. Dr. Hab. Michal Karonski, National Science Center of Poland Ms Freeke. Heijman-te Paske, Dutch Ministry for Economic Affairs Prof. David. Delpy, Chair UK Quantum Technologies Strategic Advisory Board
15.45 – 16.00 Conclusions
Zoran Stančič, Deputy Director-General, Communications Networks, Content and Technology, European Commission
Rapporteur: Tommaso Calarco, European Academy of Sciences
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Appendix 2: List of participants Alain Aspect* Institut d'Optique Jaya Baloo KPN Konrad Banaszek Univ. of WarsawPaolo Bianco Airbus Defence & Space Michael Bolle* Robert Bosch GmbHVladimir Bužek Slovak Academy of SciencesTommaso Calarco* Univ. Ulm Brendan Casey Kelvin NanotechnologyGerrit Cornelis Katerberg* Ministry of Education, Culture and Science, NL Trevor Cross* e2v Alessandro Curioni IBM Jo De Boeck IMEC Sander Dekker* Ministry of Education, Culture and Science, NL David Delpy EPSRC Bruno Desruelle Muquans David DiVincenzo RWTH Aachen/FZ Juelich Sander Dorenbos Single QuantumJuraj Draxler* Ministry of Education, Science, Research and Sports SK Marceline du Prie TU Delft Marko Erman* Thales Daniel Esteve CEA Pierre Fabre* Safran Elisabeth Giacobino* CNRS Nicolas Gisin Univ. GenevaJean-Pierre Hamaide Alcatel-Lucent Serge Haroche* Collège de FranceFreeke Heijman* Ministry of Economic Affairs NLIvan Hromada* SK Permanent Representation to EU Monika Hucáková* Ministry of Education, Science, Research and Sports SK Massimo Inguscio* INRiM Michał Karoński NCN Leo Kouwenhoven* TU Delft and QuTechGaby Lenhart ETSI Markus Matthes* ASML John Morton University College LondonRichard Murray Innovate UKAntti Niskanen* Nokia Christian Picollet Safran Iuliana Radu IMEC Grégoire Ribordy IdQuantique Guy Roberts Géant
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Pascal Rochat Spectratime Robert Rölver Robert Bosch GmbHLuis Jorge Romero* ETSI Pavol Šajgalík Slovak Academy of Sciences Dušan Šándor* SK Permanent Representation to EUAnna Sanpera* Univ. Autonoma de BarcelonaTim Spiller Univ. York Thomas Strohm Robert Bosch GmbHRobert Thew Univ. GenevaLluis Torner ICFO Luc Van den hove* IMEC Cora Van Nieuwenhuizen European ParliamentIan Walmsley* Univ. Oxford Witte Wijsmuller European ParliamentDavid Wineland NIST Paul Ymkers* NL Permanent Representation to EU Anton Zeilinger* Austrian Academy of SciencesMarek Żukowski Univ. Gdansk and NCN
(* denotes participants at the morning round table) European Commission. Günther H. Oettinger Carlos Moedas Michael Hager Cabinet Commissioner OettingerMaria Da Graça Carvalho Cabinet Commissioner MoedasVladimír Šucha JRC Meret Krämer JRC Martino Travagnin JRC Roberto Viola DG Connect Zoran Stančič DG ConnectThierry Van der Pyl DG ConnectAles Fiala DG Connect Aymard De Touzalin DG ConnectPascal Drabik DG ConnectAndrea Feltrin DG Connect Sigrid Landry DG ConnectWalter Van de Velde DG Connect
Technology Maturity for 5 quantum technologies.
Quantum computing and Quantum cryptography more mature than the three other technologies.
From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Web of Science (Thomson Reuters), Scopus (Elsevier), Patstat (European Patent Office).
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Comparing 2 quantum technologies with a commercialised technology
From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN),using data from Web of Science (Thomson Reuters), Scopus (Elsevier), Patstat (European Patent Office).
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Appendix3:PresentationbyJRCDirectorGeneralV.Šucha
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Scientific categories for articles about 5 quantum technologies
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QuantumComputingQuantumCryptographyQuantumSimulationQuantumRepeatersQuantumMetrology&Sensing
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From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier).
Comparing number of scientific categories of 2 Quantum technologies with a commercialised technology
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3DPrintingQuantumComputingQuantumCryptography
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From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier)
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Countries active in Quantum Computing (Patents+Publications, 2000-2013)From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
Countries active in Quantum Cryptography (Patents+Publications, 2000-2013)From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
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Countries in Quantum Metrology & Sensing (Patents+Publications,2000-2013)From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
Countries active in Quantum Repeaters (Patents+Publications, 2000-2013)From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
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Countries active in Quantum Simulation (Patents+Publications, 2000-2013)From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
Publishing countries (2672 articles) Vs Patenting Countries (196 patents)
For Quantum Computing (2000-2013)
From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
Evolution weight of actors in Quantum Cryptography (Publications+Patents)
2001
From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
2007
Evolution weight of actors in Quantum Cryptography (Publications+Patents)From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
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200120072014
Evolution weight of actors in Quantum Cryptography (Publications+Patents)From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
Weight of actors for Quantum Cryptography (Publications+Patents)Europe disaggregated
From Technology and Innovation Monitor (JRC-CERN), using data from Scopus (Elsevier) and Patstat (EPO)
2014
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Industry Perspectives on
Quantum Technologies
Report produced by: Richard Murray (Innovate UK-‐ UK), Peter Mueller (IBM Zurich Research-‐ CH), Jean Lautier-‐Gaud (Muquans-‐ FR), Kelly Richdale (IDQuantique-‐ CH), Steve Maddox (e2v-‐ UK), Freeke Heijman (Dutch ministry of economic affairs-‐ NL),
Tommaso Calarco (University of Ulm-‐ DE)
13th October 2015
Draft 5
Appendix4:IndustryPerspectivesonQuantumTechnologies
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Contents Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................... 4 Introduction – Why Quantum Technologies? ......................................................................... 5 What are the Opportunities for Quantum Technologies? ................................................. 6 Quantum Sensing and Measurement Systems .................................................................. 6 Quantum Metrology ...................................................................................................................... 6 Quantum imaging systems ......................................................................................................... 7 Quantum Information and Computation ............................................................................. 7 Quantum Communications ........................................................................................................ 7 Quantum Enabling Technologies ............................................................................................ 8
Existing Quantum Technology Markets .................................................................................... 9 Quantum Technologies in Europe ............................................................................................ 10 Global activities in Quantum Technologies .......................................................................... 12 What is the Current Level of Industry Interest for Quantum Technologies? ......... 13 Question: What relevance does your company see for the following technologies? ................................................................................................................................ 14 Question: What size market does your company see for devices with the following characteristics? ........................................................................................................ 15 Question: What are the current foreseen roadblocks to a future quantum technologies industry? .............................................................................................................. 15 Question: How can local, national and European support be used to overcome these roadblocks? ....................................................................................................................... 17
Conclusions and Recommendations ........................................................................................ 19 1. Fund technology development projects within companies ................................. 19 2. Stimulate European-‐wide co-‐working and networking ........................................ 19 3. Coherent support for development of technologies at all stages of maturity ............................................................................................................................................................. 19 5. Promote market finding activities .................................................................................. 20 6. Create an industry leadership group ............................................................................. 20
References ........................................................................................................................................... 21
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List of Figures Figure 1 Global investments. ...................................................................................................... 12 Figure 2 Industrial activities ....................................................................................................... 13 Figure 3 Relevant application areas ........................................................................................ 14 Figure 4 Expected market areas:. ............................................................................................. 15 Figure 5 Barriers identified by industry ................................................................................ 16 Figure 6 Actions for industry ...................................................................................................... 17
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Executive Summary Quantum technologies are a new generation of optical and electronic devices that use quantum effects to significantly enhance the performance over that of existing, ‘classical’ technologies. There is mounting evidence that many of these quantum technologies are ready to transition into commercial products, with significant short, medium and long-‐term opportunities for new businesses and job creation across the whole of Europe. This will strengthen the future position of European industries for many decades to come in areas as diverse as: ICT, finance, communication, health, space, construction and consumer markets.
European scientists already have a worldwide reputation for work in quantum science. In order to translate this advantage into an economic reward European companies must be incentivised to develop, integrate and sell quantum technologies as products and services that will serve real-‐world, commercial problems.
This paper seeks to understand the current level of company interest in quantum technologies, and what barriers are preventing companies from expressing a greater level of involvement. Secondly, it presents recommendations for action that will generate more industry traction from quantum technologies in the future.
To achieve this, the authors conducted a survey of company opinions with respect to quantum technologies. An analysis of the survey leads to six recommendations for the European commission and other national agencies.
1. Public funding for technology development projects withincompanies.2. Stimulate European-‐wide co-‐working and networking.3. Coherent support for technologies at all stages of maturity.4. Initiate early adopter programs within the public sector.5. Promote market-‐finding activities.6. Create an industry leadership group.
These recommendations are expected to accelerate the translation of science to real products that will create business growth. They will lead to a new, lucrative industry for Europe, creating long-‐term economic and societal benefits for the taxpayer.
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Introduction – Why Quantum Technologies? More than 100 years ago, a revolution occurred when mainly European scientists developed the foundations of quantum physics. These foundations have been used to underpin numerous scientific and technological advances such as the laser, and the transistor. We are now in the midst of a second ‘quantum revolution’ (Jonathan P. Dowling, 2003), where the rules of quantum physics are exploited to deliver devices with superior performance and revolutionary capabilities (see chapter What are the Opportunities for Quantum Technologies). In many instances, this transition to quantum devices is inevitable-‐ such as electronic devices, which will naturally become quantum as they are miniaturized over the next decade. These second revolution quantum devices are commonly known as ‘Quantum Technologies’. They are a new generation of solid state, electronic, optical and atomic devices with functionalities that are simply not possible using conventional techniques. The academic networks within Europe are prepared for this upcoming era and European quantum technologies oriented scientists have an outstanding scientific output and worldwide reputation. In order to turn this leading position in research into business growth it is imperative that European companies become active in developing, integrating and selling quantum technologies as products and services that will serve real-‐world, commercial problems. For the small numbers of companies who are already selling products based on quantum technologies (see chapter Existing Quantum Technology Markets), there is an opportunity to grow the market for these devices from sophisticated, niche markets into more mainstream markets, with higher volumes and greater profits. The purpose of this document is to present an industry perspective of quantum technologies. This paper summarises the perceived development challenges and market opportunities, and gives suggestions for public sector actions which will help to overcome these challenges. These initiatives will help to create a worldwide wave of quantum technology based applications that will create multiple, high-‐value business opportunities, as we saw when the transistor was invented.
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What are the Opportunities for Quantum Technologies? There is a significant opportunity to exploit the excellent science occurring in European academic laboratories, bring it to a professional engineering environment and to transition early scientific demonstrators of these devices into commercial products.
A detailed description of quantum technologies can be found within the QIPC report (Qurope, 2015). A simplified list of the opportunities for quantum technologies is shown below:
Quantum Sensing and Measurement Systems Such systems use quantum effects to precisely measure properties of the environment, such as frequency, acceleration, rotation rates, electromagnetic fields, temperature.
• Near-‐term technologies: atomic clocks, quantum gravity sensors, magnetic sensors
• Mid/Long-‐term technologies: quantum magnetometer / electrometers, quantum gyros.
• Markets: natural resources exploitation and civil engineering, indoor positioning, sensors for healthcare (such as brain imaging and Magneto encephalography (MEG)), telecommunications, security and defence, time stamping applications, synchronization, underground resource exploitation and monitoring, infrastructure monitoring, precise positioning.
Quantum Metrology These are systems which use quantum effects to allow for local, verifiable, reliable and robust calibration and measurement of the SI standard unit.
• Near-‐term technologies: atomic clocks. • Mid/long-‐term technologies: higher precision quantum clocks, quantum-‐
standardised SI units (e.g. Ampere, Candela). • Markets: quality and safety control in industry (production, assembly
lines…), time certification (commercial and financial transactions), and portable standard tests.
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Quantum imaging systems These devices use quantum effects to offer improved technical or fundamental noise and sensitivity limitations over classical imaging devices or techniques.
• Near-‐term technologies: NMR imaging, scanning tunnelling microscope single pixel imaging.
• Mid/long-‐term technologies: quantum-‐secured imaging, in-‐vivo cellular and neural imaging, single photon imaging.
• Markets: healthcare, biotechnology, infrastructure monitoring, security and defence.
Quantum Information and Computation Computing architectures which use data held in quantum states. Allowing significantly faster and better problem solving, for certain types of computing problems.
• Near-‐term technologies: special-‐purpose quantum computers, non-‐classical algorithms, post-‐quantum algorithms.
• Mid/Long-‐term technologies: universal quantum computer, quantum memories.
• Markets: IT and computer industry, Big Data, telecommunications, defence and security, real-‐time weather forecast, cognitive computing and control systems.
Quantum Communications Such communication systems use quantum effects to securely transmit classical data, or transmit quantum data.
• Near term technologies: quantum random number generators (QRNG) for secure key or token generation, point-‐to-‐point quantum key distribution (QKD) for secure key exchange in crypto systems.
• Mid/long-‐term technologies: quantum key distribution (QKD) global networks, quantum memories and repeaters, the quantum Internet.
• Markets: telecommunications, online gaming (QRNG), security and defence, high-‐quality entropy (randomness) for crypto functions & other online industries, quantum-‐secured commercial transactions, user authentication and ATM withdrawals.
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Quantum Simulation Quantum simulators are quantum systems, which for example simulate the performance of chemical or physical objects (materials) which are too complicated (or impossible) or too costly to study otherwise, thereby improving physical properties of existing materials or providing new materials.
• Near-‐term technologies: early studies of lattice materials, ultra-‐cold atoms, superconducting Qubits.
• Mid/long-‐term technologies: devices for direct simulation of superconductivity, complex (bio-‐) chemical reactions, advanced photonics, metamaterials, improved batteries.
• Markets: materials, pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, and energy efficient materials.
Quantum Enabling Technologies Devices which are fundamental components to the construction of a quantum technologies system; these may have spin-‐off applications.
• Near-‐term technologies: cryogenic systems, stabilised laser systems, optical frequency combs, single photon source detectors, materials (e.g. semiconductors, superconducting junctions), high frequency electronics, device processing technologies and quantum algorithms, protocols and software.
• Mid/long-‐term technologies: on-‐chip cold atom devices, qubits and quantum information storage devices.
• Markets: There are many opportunities for companies to sell quantum components and sub-‐systems at first to the academic market, and then to the growing quantum industry. In addition, there are multiple spin off markets for cutting edge photonic and electronic devices.
The future market for these technologies is significant and far reaching: estimated at $1,150M in 2020 for quantum communications systems, growing at a 20.6% CAGR in 2015-‐2020, and $850M in 2020 for quantum computing systems, growing at a 30% CAGR in 2015-‐2020. (Market research media ltd, 2014)
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Existing Quantum Technology Markets There is a significant market today for the enabling technologies that are contained within quantum technology systems. These include components such as: vacuum cells, lasers, optics, cryogenic and semiconductor systems, and high specification software and electronics. The initial market for these devices is to the scientific and research community.
In addition, systems and devices that rely on quantum technology are already beginning to gain commercial traction in some specific markets. For example, Quantum Random Number Generators (QRNG) are already in commercial use with Loterie Romande (one of the biggest lottery operators in Switzerland), and Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) has been used by the canton of Geneva in Switzerland since 2007 to secure the transmission of their election results.
Commercial quantum gravity meters have already been provided to support hydrology survey and management in France. New generation atomic clocks have been chosen by European and French space agencies to prepare the next stage of the Global Navigation Satellite System.
Quantum technology based products are expected to be used first in small-‐volume applications which can bear higher unit costs. As technology develops further and manufacturing techniques are enhanced quantum technology devices will become miniaturized, cost-‐reduced and mass-‐producible. This will open up multiple new market opportunities and quantum devices will begin to be embedded in consumer devices such as mobile phones and cars.
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Quantum Technologies in Europe Over the last 15 years, the EC has invested more than €350 million in research on quantum technologies and quantum information (Omar, 2015). In addition there have been substantial investments made by individual member states: over the last 2 years, the UK, with a £270 million national quantum technologies programme and the Netherlands, with a €135 million Qutech investment have established large national programs for the translation of science into technologies and are seen as key milestones in the growth of a quantum technologies industry. The sum of this investment means that European countries together are investing more funding into quantum technology science and research than any other country, according to publicly disclosed investments. More than 1/3 of quantum specialists are located at European universities and governmental laboratories. They published the most papers over the last decade and created the second highest number of patents worldwide (MEZ, 2015). Europe also has a growing number of very innovative, small, medium and large sized companies working in areas that will form future supply chains for quantum technologies. These include:
• components manufacturers-‐ such as Toptica (DE) in Laser technologies, e2v (UK) in vacuum electronics and photonics and single quantum (NL) selling single photon detectors;
• manufacturers of quantum devices-‐ such as IDQuantique (CH) selling quantum random number generators and quantum key distribution systems, and Muquans (Fr) selling quantum gravity sensing devices and atomic clocks;
• multinational enterprises-‐ such as IBM, Toshiba and Bosch who are interested in developing systems based on quantum technologies. Companies such as Microsoft and Intel have made large investments in European labs (NL, DK);
• ‘end users’-‐ such as Airbus and Alcatel-‐Lucent who are interested buying solutions, but who may not necessarily be interested in the underlying technology.
There is strong competition with other nations, outside of Europe and in comparison, funding of high-‐tech-‐SMEs within Europe is often challenging. Much of this is driven by a risk-‐averse culture where innovation is seen often as a source of risk rather than an opportunity. This causes a high reticence by companies, venture capitalists and other sources of private equity to fund projects if they cannot see a real demonstration of the project to fund. For contrast, there is much anecdotal evidence of large USA companies supporting high-‐risk innovation, where in Europe it would be seen as too risky.
Public funding and coordination for innovation can help to convince businesses and private equity to invest. Programmes such as the Future Emerging Technologies (FET) to are useful to fight this trend. Within FET, ‘Open’ and ‘Proactive’ are useful sources of funds for academic research of early stage technologies, and the Key Enabling Technologies (KET)-‐ such as the Photonics21
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initiative are useful for later stage technologies. However, a consistent and coherent set of mechanisms must be available to support quantum technologies throughout their development. This funding model must bridge the funding gap from early stage research, covered by FET programmes, through to a more established technology which is covered by KET programmes. These support mechanisms should provide applicants with a reasonable chance of winning funding so that they are seen as a worthwhile investment of the time and resources that are required to submit an application. Europe also does not have large-‐scale public procurement processes, such as the USA SBRI or DARPA models, which have been shown to be highly effective at bringing strategically important technologies to market. For example: DARPA sponsored the development of the chip scale atomic clock (CSAC) (Lutwak, 2011), which is now a world leading timing solution, used around the world in many commercial applications.
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Global activities in Quantum Technologies Worldwide interest in quantum technologies is increasing rapidly. Public scientific activity has grown over the last decade, measured by the number of authors publishing scientific papers. Europe still has the largest public research body in the world working on the topic, even compared to North America and Asia. However, when looking at industrial and public funding, some challenges are foreseeable. Especially in the field of quantum computation, where big investments are needed to exploit the results of the science, the investments are growing fast in the US, with big projects of Google, IBM, Microsoft and Lockheed Martin. Also public agencies like NSA, NASA and DARPA/IARPA are investing for strategic reasons. In China, Japan and South Korea, quantum communication is high on the agenda, for example China is planning to launch a satellite for a quantum key distribution link in 2016. Looking to industry co-‐authorships, Japan shows an efficient model of national research hub infrastructure, such as the Advanced Institutes, Riken and others, who perform close collaborations with industry. The USA has created an efficient strategy for producing patent publications, funding research calls that are also open to industry.
Figure 1 Global investments: Global investments and full time employees in quantum technologies in 2015. The sum of this effort is approximately 7000 researchers with a yearly budget of 1.5 Billion Euros (MEZ, 2015).
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What is the Current Level of Industry Interest for Quantum Technologies?
Figure 2 Industrial activities: ‘What is your current interest/activity in quantum technologies?’
Sponsoring/partnering ac/vi/es with universi/es : 28 %
Scou/ng/reconnaissance to learn what will be possible in the future : 25 %
Collabora/on with other industrial start-‐ups : 18 %
We are planning for a significant R&D spend : 15 %
Ini/al, small exploratory investments : 11 %
Nothing now, but perhaps in the future : 2 %
A large share of our R&D is used to develop this technology : 2 %
We will never be interested : 0 %
Quantum Technologies survey: understanding industry perspectives In order to understand more about industry attitudes, a survey was
conducted. In total 110 companies were contacted who were known to have some interest in quantum technologies, and 25 responses were received. ll
of the companies who replied stated that they had some interest in quantum technologies. The questionnaire consisted of 15 questions, the results from which have been used along with other sources to reference this paper. In multiple choice questions, companies were permitted to vote
for more than one answer.
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Many companies in the survey responded to say that ‘quantum enabling technologies’, such as components were very relevant to their business. For example IDQuantique produce revenue from the sale of single photon detectors and quantum random number generators which fuel the development of later stage quantum secure networks. There are a number of large companies that have the capacity to undertake development projects which may have a very long development time, but a large impact on future revenues. Today it is mostly American ICT companies that have started to invest in quantum computers. Google, IBM, Lockheed Martin, Toshiba and Microsoft all have considerable R&D efforts to develop quantum computation systems. Recently Intel announced a $50 million investment in the Delft QuTech centre for the development of quantum chips. This is because companies are only interested in undertaking work that leads to commercial, profitable opportunities within a very short time. Companies need a compelling case to invest, such as a short-‐term product that can quickly return revenue or a long-‐term product with the potential for a huge payback of investment.
Question: What relevance does your company see for the following technologies?
Figure 3 The relevance of quantum technologies: ‘How would you rate the relevance of the quantum technologies identified below to your organization within 5 years (left) and within 10 years (right)’? In this graph, red boxes indicate a large number of votes; green, a small number. Conclusion: companies are interested in many different types of quantum technologies, with most technologies having some relevance within 5 years, growing to medium or high relevance over 10 years.
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Question: What size market does your company see for devices with the following characteristics?
Figure 4 Expected application areas: ‘Indicate whether your company would see a market for devices with the following characteristics within 5 years (left) within 10 years (right)’. In this graph, red boxes indicate a large number of votes; green, a small number. Conclusion: companies thought that most applications for quantum technologies would serve niche or multiple niche markets within 5 years, growing to multiple niche markets, or general/consumer markets within 10 years.
A significant number of respondents had or were planning significant activities in quantum technologies: 15% of respondents were planning a significant R&D spend, 18% were involved in collaboration with industry start-‐ups and 28% were working with universities. 25% were performing scouting/reconnaissance to learn more about the technologies.
Question: What are the current foreseen roadblocks to a future quantum technologies industry? For companies to have an interest in this new field, it is important that they are able to provide the evidence to show that there is a business case for a return on investment within a relatively short time frame, typically less than 3-‐5 years. Companies must be able to demonstrate that there are short-‐term commercial opportunities at sufficiently low risk, offset against opportunities for return on investment. However, this return on investment may be complex, and difficult to predict. The survey asked companies to vote for what they believed to be the most significant barriers.
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Figure 5 Barriers identified by industry: Answers to the question: What are the current barriers to commercialising or using quantum technologies within your company?
The largest barrier to the commercialisation of quantum technologies was perceived to be that the supply chain needs more development (19% of votes). This represents the view stronger links are needed between companies in the supply chain, including components suppliers. The second greatest barrier was that new skills and expertise and understanding were needed (17%) due to the limited availability of trained engineers and technicians, who can work with the complex quantum systems. Third greatest barrier (16%) was that the market risk was too great. When asked about the perceived value of quantum technologies for end customers, most respondents noted “most people simply do now know what possibilities there are. However as media, news and big corporations are increasingly working in it, public demand will increase exponentially” or “There is lack of understanding of what benefits [quantum technologies] will offer”. Respondents also noted that there was a need for technical challenges to be overcome, and that standardisation was needed. This points to a circular argument – end customers can only begin to find solutions and applications to real problems when they have a evidence and
Supply chain : 19 % Need for new skills : 17 %
Market risk : 16 % Technical risk : 15 %
Standardisa/on/regulatory hurdles : 12 % Need for new facili/es : 10 %
Need new connec/ons : 9 % Lack of demand : 1 %
Import/export regula/ons : 1 %
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understanding of the performance and limitations of a technology, while technology providers can only work towards a relevant technology once they are aware of the solution and application. This is an area where the EU could bring value to incentivize the development of quantum technologies to industry leaders, as well as promoting more engineering and applications around quantum technologies. “Currently quantum technology in Europe is largely driven by academics, we need to shift the centre of activity to the end users and the industrial supply base. However the technical risk is high, so EU support is needed to drive commercialisation of a few key strategic areas” (Industry Perspectives on Quantum Technologies Consultation questionnaire, 2015). It was also noted that there is a lack of awareness within key market players, and that import/export regulations may present some barriers.
Question: How can local, national and European support be used to overcome these roadblocks?
Figure 6 Actions for industry: Answers to the question: ‘What actions should the European Commission take to help your company to achieve its ambitions in quantum technologies?’
Funding for companies : 22 %
Collabora/ons with academics : 21 %
Funding for academics : 18 %
Collabora/ons with other companies : 17 %
Interna/onal collabora/on : 10 %
Facili/es and technology parks : 9 %
EC ac/on will have no effect on my business : 4 %
No ac/on is needed. : 0 %
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When asked in the questionnaire “What actions should the European Commission take to help your company to achieve its ambitions in quantum technologies?” the most common answer was that funding is needed to undertake projects in companies (22% of votes). This shows that there is readiness to take on development projects within companies, and that some companies believe that the timing is right to start development projects to understand the opportunities or develop their own product or service. Companies stated that this funding would be useful to undertake marketing studies “to understand immature but rapidly developing markets.” or to spend on R&D activities, or for exploratory research. The second most popular answer was that companies need funding to undertake collaborations with academics (21%) and that funding was needed for academics (18%), showing that knowledge exchange, and continuation of research within universities was important. A number of companies believed that funding was needed for collaborations with other companies (17%). Some number of companies believed that international collaboration was needed (10%), or that facilities and technology parks were needed (9%).
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Conclusions and Recommendations Based on the result of the review, we recommend the following actions to accelerate the industrialization and commercialization of quantum technologies within Europe:
1. Public funding for technology development projects within companies. Public funding should be made available to address the scientific, engineering and manufacturing challenges of bringing quantum technologies to the point of commercial products. Many of the required skills reside in companies and therefore funding must be made available for projects which are led by companies, performed within companies and in collaboration with the academia. The projects should be looking to deliver tangible and functional outputs such as working demonstrator units. Projects should support patent applications, allow for testing, validation and, if necessary, standardization tasks. This action will create substantial interest within companies, and deliver devices that have been engineered for use and manufactured within a commercial environment. This will drive higher volume production, reduced costs and stimulate the growth of new markets.
2. Stimulate European-‐wide co-‐working and networking The knowledge needed to bring quantum technologies to market is currently spread amongst many unconnected groups. A European-‐wide mechanism must be created to foster better links between these individuals: bringing academic groups in contact with companies, putting large companies in contact with small companies, and linking the future supply chain. It must also include other sectors, such individuals from private equity and standardisation. This action will lead effective knowledge exchange between relevant people, to provide information to the people who will need it to support commercialisation efforts.
3. Coherent support for development of technologies at all stages of maturity There is a tremendous intellectual strength within European academia that should continue to be supported. A mechanism, such as a commercially focussed roadmap should be created which links this activity to commercial activities, and focuses development work on areas with the greatest short, mid or long term commercial potential. Secondly, public funding and support should be available for development activities at all stages of technology maturity, from blue skies
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academic research to funding for supply chain and late stage product development This action will seed the creation of long-‐lasting and meaningful relationships that will enable greater knowledge exchange between academics and companies. The task will also address the education of engineers and the general public.
4. Initiate early adopter programs within the public sector Support must be made available to link up procurement by public organisations, such as the European Space Agency, European Research Infrastructure, defence and other government departments to act as early adopters which may purchase and start to use the new technology.
This task will create a demand for quantum technologies that will incentivise companies to explore specific development programmes for a well-‐defined end market.
5. Promote market finding activities Support should be available to enable companies to identify and clarify markets for quantum technologies. This should be achieved by supporting non-‐technical projects that look to understand the potential benefits of new technologies. It will compare these technologies to alternative solutions and should take into account use in real-‐world environments. This will bring a greater understanding and appreciation of the opportunities that quantum technologies may create to the companies that will actually, buy, sell or use them. This task will clarify the business case for quantum technologies, thereby developing them into a solution. This will allow companies to develop stronger product lines, with greater revenue.
6. Create an industry leadership group An industry leadership group must be created who will represent the views of industry in this emerging sector. The group will provide direction to other individuals and organisations seeking to deliver commercialised products or strategies for commercialisation. In the first instance, this group will consist of the writing group for this document (disclosed on the front cover), who will be available for immediate consultation.
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References Industry Perspectives on Quantum Technologies Consultation questionnaire. (2015, September). Jonathan P. Dowling, G. J. (2003). Quantum technology: the second quantum revolution. Philosophic Transactions A . Lutwak, R. (2011). THE SA.45S CHIP-‐SCALE ATOMIC CLOCK. From http://scpnt.stanford.edu/pnt/PNT11/2011_presentation_files/18_Lutwak-‐PNT2011.pdf Market research media ltd. (2014). Quantum computing market forecast 2015-‐2020. MEZ. (2015). Global Development of Quantum Technology Market. The Netherlands: Ministery of Economic Affairs. Omar, Y. (2015). Workshop on quantum technologies and industry. University of Lisbon. Qurope. (2015). Quantum technologies in H2020.