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Page 1 of 13
May 1, 2020
Technology – Small Cap
Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Pooja Sharma, B.Eng. (E&C), MFIN | 647.794.1922 | [email protected]
Highlight: With its release of in line Q419 results, QUIS introduced preliminary Q120 guidance
ranges supporting modest revenue outperformance. We expect QUIS’s IT services to benefit
from accelerated COVID-19 led cloud-adoption trends beyond 2020 due to longer sales and
deployment cycles associated with cloud infrastructure. Clearly, the Company has benefitted
from the Azure cloud assessment program that has led to 127 opportunities converting into
consulting projects as of December 19, 2019. We anticipate a sizable untapped opportunity
associated with its partnership with Microsoft (MSFT-Nasdaq, NR) where Azure is still a small
component within MSFT’s large enterprise base and the current cloud shift is a significant
tailwind. Microsoft announced with its FQ220 results an increase of 59% y/y in Azure cloud
business, noting that the COVID-19 impact will continue to be reflected in future periods.
Event: QUIS reported Q419 revenue/adj. EBITDA of $5.4M/$0.3M (39.0% y/y; 1.3%
sequentially) versus our estimates at $5.5M/$0.6M, after adjusting for a discretionary bonus of
$0.5M which would have supported EBITDA at $0.8M. Results for Q419 reflected revenue
growth of 39% including acquisitions while the Q418 EBITDA drain was $0.7M. For the full-year
2019, revenue/EBITDA was at $18.5M/$1.3M up from $12.6M/-$1.0M in 2018. Given the
current economic environment, the Company released preliminary Q120 guidance with
revenue put at $10.9-11.1M and adjusted EBITDA at $1.0-1.2M compared to our previous
forecasts of revenue/EBITDA at $10.1M/$1.4M. We are encouraged by the prospective revenue
outperformance while the modest EBITDA pressure was attributed to higher investment costs
in LedgerPay where costs are expenses rather than capitalized.
Revisions: We increased our 2020/21 revenue/EBITDA by $5.7M/$0.8M and $5.8M/$1.3M to
$47.1M/$6.8M and $53.4M/$8.5M, respectively. We look for potential upside to our baseline
assumptions as the Company signs additional LedgerPay and legacy cloud business contracts.
PT Revision: We are taking our PT from C$0.80 to C$0.95 reflecting our bullish view towards
LedgerPay alongside its Microsoft and dunnhumby (Private) partnerships. We are deliberately
reserving further upside revisions as we see further momentum. We are all too acutely aware
of the scarcity of PT/forecast upgrades in current markets.
Valuation: QUIS is currently trading at a pro forma 2020 EV/Sales and EV/Adj. EBITDA of 1.7x
and 11.9x, respectively, versus its North American IT Services and Consultants/Managed
Services comparables trading at 1.3x and 11.3x, and 3.1x and 17.2x, respectively (Exhibits 3, 4).
We see the emergence of LedgerPay revenues as a significant positive catalyst for both our
baseline forecasts and our valuation benchmarking. We note that global payment technology
providers average 8.9x/7.3x 2020/21 revenues (Exhibit 5) while our survey of 37 SaaS providers
where revenue growth for 2020/21 averaged 16.5%/17.5% reflected 9.1x/7.8x 2020/21
EV/Revenue (Exhibit 6).
Our two peer groups would support a valuation of 6-8x revenues associated with LedgerPay
that could represent upwards of $0.40/shr where its SaaS and license related revenue run-
rate surpass $5M – not an unachievable target. The Company’s objective to sign a LedgerPay bank sponsor and launch a scale merchant model to directly compete with the “big 4” as the default payment platform for any Microsoft Azure cloud customer.
QUIS-TSXV: C$0.21
Speculative Buy C$0.40 Price Target
Quisitive Technology Solutions Inc.
Q419 Actual, Q120 Guidance in Line; Cloud Acceleration Benefits to Continue; Strong Recurring Revenue Base; Partnerships; PT up $0.15
Projected Total Return: 36%
Market Data (C$)
Market Capitalization (M) 76.8
Net Debt (M) 35.6
Enterprise Value (M) 112.5
Basic Shares O/S 109.77
Avg. Daily Volume (M) 0.081
52 Week Range $0.85 / $0.07
Dividend Yield 0.0%
Management
CEO Michael Reinhart
CFO
Top Institutional Ownership % Held
-- --
Total Insider Ownership 20.4%
Revisions (US$) New Old
2020 Revenue 47.1 41.4
2020 Adj. EBITDA 6.8 6.0
2020 EPS 0.00 0.00
Financial Metrics (US$)
FYE 31-Dec 2018 2019 2020E
Total Revenue 12.6 18.5 47.1
Adj. EBITDA (1.0) 1.3 6.8
Adj. EBITDA (%) -7.6% 6.9% 14.5%
Diluted EPS (0.09) (0.08) 0.00
Valuation Data
DCF - Current/Target 0.92 1.03
EV/Rev 6.4 4.4 1.7
EV/EBITDA (85.0) 63.8 11.9
P/E NM NM 2424.4
Quarterly Data (US$)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2019 4.01 4.18 5.34 5.40
2020 11.02 11.29 12.12 12.70
2019 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.3
2020 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.3
2019 (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.04)
2020 (0.00) (0.00) 0.00 0.01
Company Description
Michael Murphy, CPA
Revenue
Adj. EBITDA
EPS
Quisitive is a digital technology consulting firm whose mission it is to
acquire and integrate companies to become a leading provider of
Microsoft professional services in North America. Quisitive is one of 35
companies that have earned the designation of “National Solution
Provider” or NSP. Most National Solutions Providers are regionally
based and have limited ability to expand services to scale to
Microsoft’s addressable market. Quisitive plans to create its own tier
within the NSP designation as the premier Microsoft Solution
Provider in North America, providing scale through acquisition to
address the growing demand for Microsoft Azure based services.
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
$0.80
$0.90
Feb-19 Apr-19 Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20
Vo
lum
e (M
)
Pric
e (C
$)
Source: Consensus Data – FactSet, Historicals –
Company Filings, Forecasts/Estimates –
Echelon Wealth Partners
All numbers in US Dollars unless stated
otherwise.
QUIS-TSXV: C$0.70
Speculative Buy C$0.95 ↑ (prev. C$0.80) Target
Page 2 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
The prospective signing of a banking partner to pursue a complete platform solution with a target of end of year or
Q121 would represent a significant catalyst.
Investment Thesis: Our inclusion of Quisitive in our Top Picks Portfolio mandate for Q220 (March 31 pricing $0.41)
reflected our portfolio’s focus on well-managed companies serving growth markets where we see the potential for
significant positive catalysts. We believe recent headlines around the overwhelming demand for Azure services
supports the Company’s alignment with Microsoft. In this regard, we are bullish on the Company’s organic and inorganic growth as a consolidator in the Azure ecosystem. We see the recently announced LedgerPay agreement with Rev19 as
a significant step towards LedgerPay securing significant wins in a growth market where the LedgerPay twofold value
proposition is compelling.
In addition to its legacy cloud business, we believe that the QUIS’s first party offerings like CRG emPerfrom and LedgerPay offer a huge market potential while reinforcing the Company’s ability to develop high-value software
products that support recurring SaaS licensing and maintenance revenue. LedgerPay’s payment and processing cloud
platform offers huge potential with the US market alone for non-cash payments in 2016 being put at $144B. With the
ability to charge 2% fees on the total payments processed represents an ~$3B TAM opportunity for Quisitive’s LedgerPay. We expect monetization to leverage multiple distribution channels and partnership models.
Exhibit 1 – QUIS: Financial Summary
Note: We have greater confidence in our full-year 2020 forecast; however, quarterly distribution is subject to LedgerPay revenue recognition. We would
also like to highlight that the growth in cloud services and consolidation of Menlo will lower gross profit margins in the forecast period while increasing the
EBITDA margin. LedgerPay, on the other hand, is both gross profit and EBITDA accretive.
Source: Company Filings, EWP Estimates
Market Double, Ongoing Momentum Sustainable: QUIS’s share price has more than doubled in the last one month when the closest benchmark S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index is up nearly 30% and the broader S&P/TSX Composite
index has returned 22%. The strength in QUIS represents an ongoing trend rather than a recovery move as QUIS
shares are ahead 160% on a YTD basis. We ascribe the consistent strength to the Company’s successful IT services
acquisitions together with its leverage to surging cloud computing and the announcement of its first commercial
contract for LedgerPay where QUIS strategically selected Rev19 where it represents a strong proof-of-concept (POC)
and proof-of-economics (POE) client. We note the positive response to the Company’s recent virtual investor conference where partners Microsoft and dunhummby alike were very specific and supportive in describing the
importance of their partnerships. We believe the merits behind QUIS’ selection as Microsoft’s US Partner of the Year
award for 2019 moved from a commercial award to take on deeper elements of its strategic alignment. Similarly, QUIS’ alignment with dunhummby took on a strategic element where the Company played a role in supporting the merits of
Microsoft’s Azure to dunhummby. This preceded dunhummby signing on with Microsoft’s Azure and moving away from
Google.
Focus on SaaS, Remote Working: The COVID-19 outbreak has supported the long-term secular tech trend of increased
cloud adoption by companies across industries. Morgan Stanley’s Q120 AlphaWise CIO survey reflects momentum
behind Microsoft’s Azure as their benchmark survey revealed that 39% of CIOs prefer Microsoft Azure, followed by 25%
voting in favour of Amazon’s AWS (AMZN-Nasdaq, NR). We believe that Microsoft with its enterprise software suite
and long-standing client relationships is expected to benefit from the accelerated telecommuting adoption. Quisitive’s
Quisitive
Technology
Solutions Q419 Q419E 2019 2019E Q120E Q120E Q220E Q320E Q420E 2020E 2020E 2021E 2021E 2022E
SUMMARY -
Consolidated Est. Prev. Est. Prev. Est. Prev. Est. Est. Est. Est. Prev. Est. Prev. Est.
Revenue 5,404,860 5,463,563 18,525,288 18,991,370 11,024,294 10,102,262 11,290,811 12,115,424 12,701,421 47,131,949 41,400,908 53,430,041 47,611,044 63,688,609
Growth % 38.5% 40.0% 46.9% 50.6% 175.0% 152.0% 170.0% 127.0% 135.0% 154.4% 118.0% 13.4% 15.0% 19.2%
Gross Profit 2,316,619 2,458,603 7,937,076 8,486,438 4,189,232 4,647,040 4,742,141 5,512,518 6,033,175 20,477,065 19,200,911 25,112,119 22,139,136 31,207,419
Growth % 46.2% 55.2% 69.8% 81.6% 161.0% 189.5% 156.8% 114.0% 160.4% 158.0% 126.3% 22.6% 15.3% 24.3%
Margin % 42.9% 45.0% 42.8% 44.7% 38.0% 46.0% 42.0% 45.5% 47.5% 43.4% 46.4% 47.0% 46.5% 49.0%
Adj. EBITDA 323,876 613,118 1,269,240 1,950,307 1,124,478 1,436,738 1,354,897 1,999,045 2,349,763 6,828,183 6,044,506 8,548,807 7,247,325 10,190,177
Growth % -261.7% -406.1% -233.2% -304.7% 404.8% 545.0% 422.3% 133.8% 625.5% 438.0% 209.9% 25.2% 19.9% 19.2%
Margin % 6.0% 11.2% 6.9% 10.3% 10.2% 14.2% 12.0% 16.5% 18.5% 14.5% 14.6% 16.0% 15.2% 16.0%
Flow-through % 34.9% 52.1% 37.5% 45.5% 12.9% 19.9% 15.4% 16.9% 27.8% 19.4% 18.3% 27.3% 19.4% 16.0%
Capex (Incl. Intangibles) 7,308 301,205 41,255 335,152 320,493 281,789 306,792 295,057 285,679 1,208,021 1,035,823 1,074,519 858,920 987,181
Intensity % 0.1% 5.5% 0.2% 1.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.5% 2.0% 1.8% 1.6%
Net Debt 24,287,646 23,090,762 24,287,646 23,090,762 25,654,271 31,060,076 25,597,342 24,981,014 24,019,598 24,019,598 29,387,205 20,446,862 26,041,822 15,279,984
Net Debt:Adj. EBITDA 14.62x 11.84x 14.62x 11.84x 10.01x 9.82x 5.02x 4.00x 2.91x 2.91x 4.86x 2.39x 3.59x 1.50x
EPS (FD) -$0.037 -$0.010 -$0.084 -$0.042 -$0.004 $0.000 -$0.003 $0.002 $0.005 $0.000 $0.001 $0.019 $0.016 $0.033
Page 3 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
2019 US Partner of the Year award reflected recognition of its ‘cloud assessment program’ as it drove adoption of all
three Microsoft clouds and Microsoft O365 services. In awarding QUIS, Microsoft recognized the Company’s 121
assessments that led to $400M in Azure Consumed Revenue (ACR). We believe that the partnership with Microsoft has
become critical in the current COVID-19 period when cloud infrastructure spending is expected to increase by 3.6% to
$61.9B in 2020, as reported by IDC. More than the growth, disruption in the market is bringing greater value to the
Microsoft partnership for both organic gains and as an industry consolidator.
LedgerPay Potential – Bold Ambitions, Supported by Microsoft, dunnhumby: The platform provides merchants the
ability to tokenize payment data that can then be monetized either directly via resale to third parties such as brands or
internally through deriving tactics to better realize on buyer behaviours with targeted promotions. Furthermore, we
believe the platform insights can be monetized by QUIS given its partnership with dunnhumby. For those not familiar
with the space, dunnhumby is owned by Tesco [large retailer based in Europe]. It is recognized as the global leader in
customer service data sciences. The LedgerPay platform also provides a cost-effective, easy to integrate, payment
processing service on a cloud platform, to the ISOs (Independent Sales Organizations) like Rev19, or the merchants
directly. Both the payment and tokenization (data collection) services are independent and complementary to each
other and provide a huge opportunity in the market where $7.1T (~35% of the US GDP in 2018) worth of transactions
in 2018 were cashless, up from $5.5T in 2015. The payment market is undergoing significant technology shifts as cloud
capabilities overtake traditional topologies and the ISOs (independent sales organizations – they work directly with the
end client) and the payment processors themselves are seeing aggressive consolidation (currently 4-5 primary from 8-
9 previously). The ISOs aggregate payments from their end clients and they turn to the payment processors who deal
with the end banks for credit processing.
Forrester in its November 2019 report entitled, “The Future of Retail Revenues Must Be Data Led” indicated that 85%
of grocers stated developing new revenue streams was their top priority. In sizing the opportunity, Quisitive indicated
that a US grocer ranked in the top 10-20 processed $1.6B of non-cash payment transactions. This was characterized
as a $30M annual revenue opportunity for LedgerPay. Partners such as dunnhumby can monetize retail data for up
to ~0.25% of a retailer’s top line.
Turning to the payment processing aspect, as a rule of thumb ISOs can realize a similar 0.25% while the largest prospect
lies in the roughly 1.5-2.0% that the payment processors realize. It should be noted that Quisitive’s LedgerPay platform can work with ISOs and payment processing companies but it could also partner with a bank to launch a scale, direct
processor to compete with the four to five primary payment processors in the US, as the default payment platform for
any Microsoft Azure cloud customer. We note that Quisitive has historically worked with the Chase Bank in developing
the payments solutions. Please refer to Exhibit 2 for depictions of the payment and tokenization ecosystem flows
according to the cardholder and in the eyes of Quisitive.
Consistent with our description of “bold ambition” we note that Quisitive indicates that “Quisitive’s LedgerPay SaaS solution is poised to disrupt the status quo and transform payment transactions into beneficial, profitable and
actionable experiences for both merchants and consumers through cloud-based payment and data analytics solutions.”
We don’t typically clip company position statements; however, we feel it was worthwhile in this case to reflect the
potential of LedgerPay to transform Quisitive. In a less bullish perspective, base case scenario, we see it having
significant value as the Company’s differentiator as it builds organically and through acquisition in its Microsoft
aligned model.
Rev19 Deal: On March 26, QUIS announced signing a deal with Rev19, a private, Texas-based merchant services, and
financial technology company that includes software license, annual license support and maintenance, and annual
support and production services for its payment processing and payment tokenization platform ‘LedgerPay’. Financial terms of the deal were not disclosed; however, management noted that the value of the deal is expected to cover
LedgerPay’s cost of development, generate profit, and contribute towards investments for future development. QUIS
is actively working with Microsoft to co-develop additional features for tighter integration of LedgerPay on Microsoft
Azure. Although non-exclusive, QUIS’s partnership with Microsoft and dunnhumby is collectively significant to enhance
Page 4 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
the product marketability by adding additional functionalities. Rev19 has been an aggressive acquirer of merchant
service companies over the LTM with its annual retail clearance volumes now >$1B.
Financial Impact: The agreement with Rev19 includes upfront payment and annual support, services, and production
fees. The deal is heavy on license fees that are nearly 80% of the total value and will be realized in the next three
quarters. Management expects Rev19 to go live with LedgerPay in H220, where the service payments are expected in
2021. With an estimated $2M spent on the development of LedgerPay in the last 2.5 years, out of which an estimated
$1M was spent in the last one year, we estimate the value of the deal to be between $3-5M. We see additional
upside from LedgerPay as the Company signs additional contracts and delivers on the Rev19 contract.
Exhibit 2 – LedgerPay Ecosystem; Tokenization Value Chain
Source: Company Presentation
Page 5 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
Valuation
QUIS is currently trading at a pro forma 2020 EV/Sales and EV/Adj. EBITDA of 1.7x and 11.9x, respectively, versus its
North American IT Services and Consultants/Managed Services comparables trading at 1.3x and 11.3x, and 3.1x and
17.2x, respectively (Exhibits 3, 4).
We note that global payment technology providers average 8.9x/7.3x 2020/21 revenues (Exhibit 5) while our survey of
37 SaaS providers where revenue growth for 2020/21 averaged 16.5%/17.5% reflected 9.1x/7.8x 2020/21 EV/Revenue
(Exhibit 6).
Exhibit 3 – Global IT Services Comparables
Source: Consensus Data - FactSet
GLOBAL IT SERVICES COMPARABLES
Price Mkt Cap. LTM Rev EV/Sales EV/EBITDA P/E
NORTH AMERICA Ticker (Local) (US$) (US$) 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
CGI Inc. Class A GIB.A-CA 88.77 16,560 9,216 2.2 2.2 2.1 12.0 11.3 10.7 18.9 18.8 17.2
Calian Group Ltd. CGY-CA 45.40 437 362 1.2 1.0 0.9 14.6 11.5 10.0 17.9 20.0 17.8
Accenture Plc Class A ACN 185.19 117,971 44,656 2.7 2.7 2.6 16.5 14.9 14.5 25.2 24.2 22.8
DXC Technology Co. DXC 18.13 4,600 20,042 0.7 0.7 0.8 3.9 4.4 4.6 3.4 3.6 3.1
Conduent, Inc. CNDT 2.52 527 8,600 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.1 4.8 4.6 4.1 6.5 5.4
MAXIMUS, Inc. MMS 67.32 4,305 3,040 1.5 1.4 1.5 10.8 10.1 10.5 18.1 18.0 17.8
CACI International Inc Class A CACI 250.14 6,272 5,598 1.6 1.4 1.3 16.8 13.5 12.3 23.9 20.0 17.8
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation Class A BAH 73.44 10,297 7,274 1.6 1.5 1.4 16.1 15.0 13.8 23.4 21.4 18.8
Leidos Holdings, Inc. LDOS 98.81 14,016 11,094 1.5 1.3 1.2 14.7 13.5 11.8 19.1 18.2 15.6
Science Applications International Corp. SAIC 81.66 4,714 6,379 1.1 0.9 0.9 12.6 10.7 9.6 14.4 13.3 11.1
ManTech International Corporation Class A MANT 74.56 3,001 2,332 1.4 1.3 1.2 16.1 14.7 13.7 26.3 26.4 24.4
Averages: 1.4 1.3 1.3 12.4 11.3 10.6 17.5 16.8 15.2
EUROPE
Capgemini SE CAP-FR 85.74 15,913 15,809 1.1 1.0 0.9 7.7 7.0 6.2 13.4 13.8 11.9
Atos SE ATO-FR 65.06 7,781 12,970 0.9 0.9 0.9 6.2 6.8 6.4 8.4 9.3 8.5
Capita plc CPI-GB 0.3898 821 7,110 0.6 0.6 0.6 5.0 5.9 5.1 3.0 4.6 3.7
Sopra Steria Group SA SOP-FR 108.1 2,432 4,963 0.7 0.7 0.7 6.6 7.8 6.7 12.1 14.6 11.0
EVRY ASA EVRY-NO NA NA 1,458 1.2 NA NA 10.4 NA NA 13.5 NA NA
Indra Sistemas, S.A. Class A IDR-ES 7.865 1,522 2,997 0.7 0.7 0.7 6.3 6.6 5.9 NM NM 8.9
Averages: 0.9 0.8 0.8 7.0 6.8 6.1 10.1 10.6 8.8
AUSTRALIA/JAPAN
NTT DATA Corporation 9613-JP 1105.00 14,493 18,725 0.9 0.9 0.9 6.9 6.4 5.9 17.0 15.0 13.1
DWS Limited DWS-AU 0.71 61 114 0.8 NM NM 5.0 4.8 NM 9.0 5.6 NM
Empired Ltd EPD-AU 0.35 37 119 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.7 5.5 4.9 NM NM 10.0
Averages: 0.7 0.7 0.7 5.9 5.5 5.4 13.0 10.3 11.5
INDIA/OFFSHORE
Tata Consultancy Services Limited 532540-IN 2015 100,679 22,135 4.6 4.6 4.2 17.3 17.4 15.7 23.4 23.7 21.2
Infosys Limited 500209-IN 716 40,619 12,804 2.9 3.1 2.8 12.7 12.6 11.3 17.0 18.7 16.8
Cognizant Technology CTSH 58.02 31,832 16,783 1.8 1.9 1.8 9.7 10.0 9.2 14.5 15.7 14.3
Wipro Limited 507685-IN 191 14,494 8,606 1.4 1.4 1.4 7.1 7.5 7.1 11.5 12.1 11.1
Genpact Limited G 34.43 6,549 3,514 2.3 2.1 1.9 12.6 12.4 10.9 16.8 16.5 14.1
Virtusa Corporation VRTU 33.00 985 1,312 1.1 1.1 1.0 10.7 9.6 12.1 14.0 14.1 10.9
ExlService Holdings, Inc. EXLS 61.73 2,118 991 2.2 2.1 2.0 15.7 14.8 12.7 20.0 19.3 17.0
Globant SA GLOB 115.67 4,297 659 6.7 5.7 4.7 33.3 28.5 22.5 50.5 47.5 35.7
WNS (Holdings) Limited Sponsored ADR WNS 49 2,429 #N/A 2.8 3.0 2.6 11.4 16.5 11.2 15.8 25.1 16.2
Tech Mahindra Limited 532755-IN 546 7,024 5,150 1.2 1.1 1.0 7.3 6.6 5.8 11.2 10.9 9.6
Averages: 2.7 2.6 2.3 13.8 13.6 11.9 19.5 20.4 16.7
Page 6 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
Exhibit 4 – Global VARs/Consultants/Managed Services Comparables
Source: Consensus Data – FactSet
Exhibit 5 – Global Payment Technology Providers
Source: Consensus Data – FactSet
Exhibit 6 – Global SaaS Providers Survey (n=37)
GLOBAL VARs/MSPs
Price Mkt Cap. LTM Rev EV/Sales EV/EBITDA P/E
Ticker (Local) (US$) (US$) 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
Pivot Technology Solutions, Inc. PTG-CA 1.42 40 1,219 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.3 5.0 4.2 NM 2424.4 34.9
Tech Data Corporation TECD 140.64 4,993 36,998 0.2 0.2 NM 7.7 8.1 NM 11.2 12.1 NM
CDW Corp. CDW 110.80 15,762 18,032 1.1 1.1 1.1 14.0 14.1 13.2 18.2 19.4 17.0
PC Connection, Inc. CNXN 45.95 1,200 8,600 0.4 0.4 0.4 8.9 9.3 8.9 14.7 15.5 14.5
Insight Enterprises, Inc. NSIT 54.29 1,914 3,200 0.4 0.3 0.3 9.5 8.9 7.2 10.0 10.0 7.7
ManTech International Corporation Class A MANT 74.56 3,001 2,332 1.4 1.3 1.2 16.1 14.7 13.7 26.3 26.4 24.4
ePlus inc. PLUS 70.75 956 1,526 0.6 0.7 0.6 8.4 9.2 8.8 12.3 13.7 12.8
Softcat Plc SCT-GB 11.30 2,245 1,206 2.2 2.0 1.8 25.7 23.6 22.2 32.8 30.5 28.8
Virtusa Corporation VRTU 33.00 985 1,312 1.1 1.1 1.0 10.7 9.6 8.4 14.0 14.1 10.9
Perficient, Inc. PRFT 34.83 1,155 566 2.1 2.1 2.0 12.7 12.2 10.8 16.8 16.7 14.6
QSC AG QSC-DE 1.17 146 238 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 NM 16.0 1.9 NM NM
Computer Task Group, Incorporated CTG 4.14 62 384 0.2 0.2 0.2 5.0 4.9 4.5 10.3 12.9 11.5
CSP Inc. CSPI 10.84 45 77 NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM
WidePoint Corporation WYY 0.44 37 102 0.4 0.3 NM 10.2 11.3 NM NA 87.9 NM
Averages: 0.9 0.9 0.9 10.8 11.4 11.4 15.3 23.6 15.8
CONSULTANTS/MANAGED SERVICES
Price Mkt Cap. LTM Rev EV/Sales EV/EBITDA P/E
Ticker (Local) (US$) (US$) 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. QUIS-CA 0.70 41 23 4.4 1.7 1.5 63.8 11.9 9.5 NM 2424.4 34.9
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation Class ACTSH 58.02 31,832 16,783 1.8 1.9 1.8 9.7 10.0 9.2 14.5 15.7 14.3
EPAM Systems, Inc. EPAM 220.89 12,280 2,294 5.3 4.5 3.7 28.2 25.4 19.9 40.8 37.8 30.1
Perficient, Inc. PRFT 34.83 1,155 566 2.1 2.1 2.0 12.7 12.2 10.8 16.8 16.7 14.6
Globant SA GLOB 115.67 4,297 659 6.7 5.7 4.7 33.3 28.5 22.5 50.5 47.5 35.7
ExlService Holdings, Inc. EXLS 61.73 2,118 991 2.2 2.1 2.0 15.7 14.8 12.7 20.0 19.3 17.0
Genpact Limited G 34.43 6,549 3,514 2.3 2.1 1.9 12.6 12.4 10.9 16.8 16.5 14.1
Averages: 3.4 3.1 2.7 18.7 17.2 14.3 26.6 25.6 21.0
Global Payments Tech Providers
Price Mkt Cap. LTM Rev EV/Sales EV/EBITDA P/E
Ticker (Local) (US$) (US$) 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. QUIS-CA 0.70 41 23 4.4 1.7 1.5 63.8 11.9 9.5 NM 2424.4 34.9
PayPal Holdings Inc PYPL 123.00 144,266 17,534 7.9 7.0 6.0 28.7 25.6 21.1 39.7 37.8 30.7
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. FIS 131.89 81,473 10,332 7.7 6.1 5.6 18.8 14.4 12.5 23.5 23.1 19.3
Fiserv, Inc. FISV 103.06 69,703 10,187 5.4 5.4 5.0 16.9 14.3 12.7 25.8 23.1 19.0
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP 146.69 63,047 14,712 4.5 4.4 4.4 19.2 17.9 17.6 26.9 25.4 25.1
Global Payments Inc. GPN 166.02 49,827 4,912 9.1 6.3 5.6 20.9 14.3 12.0 26.7 27.1 21.5
Adyen NV ADYYF 990.00 29,796 NA 55.1 43.7 30.8 101.1 78.7 52.8 148.5 118.0 78.5
Square, Inc. Class A SQ 65.14 28,632 4,714 13.2 12.5 9.5 71.6 89.5 51.4 81.4 118.8 65.7
FleetCor Technologies, Inc. FLT 241.25 20,610 2,649 9.5 9.6 8.6 16.7 16.3 14.2 20.5 20.6 17.4
Wirecard AG WDI-DE 90.40 11,170 2,513 3.3 2.7 2.1 11.7 9.0 6.9 20.8 16.2 12.2
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. JKHY 163.55 12,548 1,631 8.1 7.5 7.0 24.8 23.1 21.1 46.5 44.7 40.3
Temenos AG TEMN-CH 125.60 9,248 946 11.0 11.2 9.9 26.7 24.9 22.4 37.0 36.1 32.1
WEX Inc. WEX 132.32 5,737 1,724 4.6 4.9 4.3 11.4 11.7 9.8 14.4 16.4 13.5
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ACIW 27.40 3,175 1,258 3.6 3.1 2.9 14.9 10.8 10.0 48.1 20.2 18.5
EVERTEC, Inc. EVTC 25.34 1,821 487 4.7 4.8 4.5 10.3 10.5 9.5 12.9 14.2 12.1
Bottomline Technologies (de), Inc. EPAY 41.63 1,832 435 4.2 4.0 3.7 17.9 18.0 16.0 30.8 31.6 27.9
Averages: 10.1 8.9 7.3 27.4 25.3 19.3 40.2 38.2 28.9
Page 7 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
Source: Consensus Data – FactSet
Global SaaS
1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year C2019 C2020 C2021 C2020 C2021 C2020 C2021 C2020 C2021 C2019 C2020 C2021
Average (25%+ y/y 2020 Rev. Growth) 23.1% 3.8% 13.5% 20.0% 18.5x 14.9x 11.5x 48.6x 38.3x 868.3x 185.5x 38.2% 33.0% 66.7% 65.9% 66.9%
Average (≤ 25%, ≥15% y/y 2020 Rev. Growth)
26.8% 0.0% 11.1% 9.0% 9.2x 7.8x 6.6x -3.4x -248.5x 58.9x 32.9x 19.0% 19.1% 75.8% 76.2% 76.6%
Average (≤ 15% y/y 2020 Rev. Growth) 18.7% -4.2% 2.1% 6.5% 7.7x 7.7x 7.2x 45.5x 42.2x 31.4x 21.5x 6.3% 10.4% 74.3% 74.0% 74.0%
Average (85+% 2020 Gross Margin) 17.1% -6.3% 2.2% 2.1% 10.5x 9.7x 8.7x 29.7x -238.1x 41.1x 25.1x 9.8% 12.7% 87.8% 88.0% 88.1%
Average (85-70% 2020 Gross Margin) 18.8% -3.9% 5.7% 5.2% 11.1x 9.6x 8.1x 44.5x 37.4x 47.9x 34.8x 19.3% 18.6% 77.8% 78.2% 76.1%
Average (< 70% 2020 Gross Margin) 29.4% 4.8% 12.7% 21.9% 10.7x 8.9x 7.2x 21.4x 17.2x 474.8x 103.8x 22.4% 23.1% 56.5% 56.3% 57.1%
Average (>20% Rev Growth ∩ 80%+ Gross Margin - 2020)
24.0% -6.7% 4.5% 5.2% 12.5x 10.2x 8.4x -33.8x -618.3x 47.4x 35.7x 21.0% 21.0% 86.9% 87.4% 87.7%
Average (10-20% Rev Growth ∩ 70-80% Gross Margin - 2020)
21.9% -3.1% 6.4% 6.6% 8.5x 7.4x 6.7x 33.7x 31.2x 27.9x 22.9x 13.3% 11.9% 77.7% 77.7% 78.1%
Average 22.1% -1.3% 7.2% 9.8% 10.2x 9.1x 7.8x 30.2x -52.9x 183.5x 53.2x 16.5% 17.5% 73.5% 73.2% 73.5%
Median 19.2% -4.4% 3.3% 4.7% 8.5x 7.0x 6.3x 31.2x 26.7x 27.5x 23.0x 13.5% 17.4% 75.1% 73.6% 73.4%
Gross Margin
Revenue Growth
Global SaaS - Revenue Growth ∩ Gross Margin
Revenue Growth
y/y% Gross Profit MarginEV/EBITDAReturns EV/Sales EV/Gross Profit
Page 8 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
Exhibit 7 – QUIS: Detailed Financials and Forecast
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc.
Income Statement (FYE Dec, US$) 2018 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Act. Act. Act. Act. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est.
Total Revenue 12,606,724 4,008,834 4,181,782 5,337,191 5,404,860 18,525,288 47,131,949 53,430,041 63,688,609 75,152,559 87,928,494 102,876,338 120,365,315
Total Cost of Sales 7,933,300 2,403,821 2,334,801 2,761,350 3,088,241 10,588,212 26,654,884 28,317,922 32,481,191 37,952,042 43,964,247 50,923,787 58,979,005
Sales and Marketing 2,056,445 659,169 791,864 890,489 945,186 3,294,509 6,689,332 8,014,506 10,190,177 11,648,647 13,189,274 14,917,069 16,851,144
General and Administrative 3,569,533 723,097 779,766 771,981 985,341 3,236,831 6,488,230 8,014,506 10,190,177 11,648,647 13,189,274 14,917,069 16,851,144
Research and Development 0 0 15,920 58,360 62,216 136,496 471,319 534,300 636,886 751,526 879,285 1,028,763 1,203,653
Restructuring Charges 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - - - - -
Stock Based Compensation 403,864 45,745 49,687 32,939 161,233 289,604 706,979 801,451 955,329 1,127,288 1,318,927 1,543,145 1,805,480
Depreciation 94,787 148,719 159,376 180,867 175,264 664,226 851,902 94,038 6,371 398 24 1 0
Amortization 1,488,101 403,581 479,433 628,636 748,223 2,423,368 1,933,609 1,783,499 1,645,043 1,517,335 1,399,542 1,290,893 1,190,678
Total Operating Expenses 7,612,730 1,980,311 2,276,046 2,563,272 3,077,463 10,045,034 17,141,372 19,242,301 23,623,984 26,693,840 29,976,327 33,696,941 37,902,100
Operating Income (2,939,306) -375,298 -429,065 12,569 -760,844 (2,107,958) 3,335,693 5,869,819 7,583,435 10,506,677 13,987,920 18,255,610 23,484,211
Total Other Income (3,632,707) -281,247 -1,234,212 -445,269 -2,600,464 (5,199,316) (3,298,340) (3,277,582) (3,023,138) (2,788,446) (2,571,974) (2,372,307) (2,188,140)
EBT (6,572,013) -656,545 -1,663,277 -432,700 -3,361,308 (7,307,274) 37,352 2,592,236 4,560,297 7,718,231 11,415,947 15,883,303 21,296,071
Income Taxes (38,187) 0 -71,225 -75,016 76,806 (69,435) (7,470) (518,447) (912,059) (1,543,646) (2,283,189) (3,176,661) (4,259,214)
Net Income (Loss) (6,610,200) -656,545 -1,734,502 -507,716 -3,284,502 (7,376,709) 29,882 2,073,789 3,648,238 6,174,585 9,132,757 12,706,643 17,036,857
EPS
Basic EPS (0.09) -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 (0.08) 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.12 0.16
Diluted EPS (0.09) -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 (0.08) 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.12 0.16
Shares Outstanding
Shares Outstanding, Basic 70,243,772 84,831,013 86,322,242 89,981,328 89,981,328 87,813,530 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309
Shares Outstanding, Diluted 70,243,772 84,831,013 86,322,242 89,981,328 89,981,328 87,813,530 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309 109,766,309
Operating Metrics
Gross Profit 4,673,424 1,605,013 1,846,981 2,575,841 2,316,619 7,937,076 20,477,065 25,112,119 31,207,419 37,200,517 43,964,247 51,952,551 61,386,311
EBITDA (952,554) 222,747 46,961 1,067,482 487,370 1,269,240 6,828,183 8,548,807 10,190,177 13,151,698 16,706,414 21,089,649 26,480,369
EBT (6,572,013) -656,545 -1,663,277 -432,700 -3,361,308 (7,307,274) 37,352 2,592,236 4,560,297 7,718,231 11,415,947 15,883,303 21,296,071
Net Income (813,874) -548,345 -802,644 -226,864 1,623,270 97,117 29,882 2,073,789 3,648,238 6,174,585 9,132,757 12,706,643 17,036,857
Adj. EBITDA (952,554) 222,747 259,431 855,011 323,876 1,269,240 6,828,183 8,548,807 10,190,177 13,151,698 16,706,414 21,089,649 26,480,369
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc.
Balance Sheet (As at Dec 31, US$) 2018 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Act. Act. Act. Act. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est.
Current Assets
Cash 273,448 66,955 998,809 781,588 1,419,756 1,419,756 10,889,464 11,184,617 13,328,358 18,432,328 26,843,262 39,194,866 56,265,676
Restricted Cash & ST Inv. 0 0 0 0 7,310,500 7,310,500 7,310,500 7,310,500 7,310,500 7,310,500 7,310,500 7,310,500 7,310,500
Trade & Other Receivables 1,400,739 1,951,689 2,574,619 3,231,003 3,964,599 3,964,599 6,259,427 7,198,341 8,580,423 10,124,899 11,846,132 13,859,974 16,216,170
Investment/Income Tax Credits 0 0 0 0 331,010 331,010 0 192,274 220,542 257,688 298,510 345,764 400,457
Prepaid Expenses & Other Assets 191,971 277,669 536,606 654,603 205,593 205,593 1,066,919 1,238,643 1,420,746 1,660,045 1,923,022 2,227,436 2,579,776
Inventory 510,444 461,284 286,154 225,272 196,645 196,645 292,107 339,122 388,979 454,495 526,495 609,839 706,304
Total Current Assets 2,376,602 2,757,597 4,396,188 4,892,466 13,428,103 13,428,103 25,818,417 27,463,497 31,249,548 38,239,955 48,747,920 63,548,379 83,478,884
Non-Current Assets
Property and Equipment 179,840 1,240,183 1,215,909 1,061,985 900,148 900,148 96,101 6,483 404 25 2 0 0
Intangible Assets 4,922,572 4,518,991 9,814,184 9,190,568 9,962,968 9,962,968 9,189,524 8,476,125 7,818,108 7,211,174 6,651,357 6,135,000 5,658,728
Goodwill 5,752,748 5,752,748 16,439,450 16,439,450 15,005,578 15,005,578 23,779,768 23,779,768 23,779,768 23,779,768 23,779,768 23,779,768 23,779,768
Prepaid Expenses & Other 27,347 27,347 205,860 274,950 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Assets 13,259,109 14,296,866 32,071,591 31,859,419 39,296,797 39,296,797 58,883,811 59,725,872 62,847,827 69,230,921 79,179,047 93,463,147 112,917,380
Current Liabilities
Trade & Other Payables 2,109,409 1,862,031 7,653,217 2,699,330 4,396,151 4,396,151 4,381,599 5,086,828 5,834,687 6,817,432 7,897,421 9,147,583 10,594,564
Deferred Revenue 0 0 1,636,920 1,512,464 1,241,957 1,241,957 3,594,502 4,133,677 4,927,344 5,814,265 6,802,690 7,959,148 9,312,203
Operating Line 230,253 1,014,171 540,498 930,098 1,840,630 1,840,630 1,697,739 1,565,940 1,444,373 1,332,244 1,228,819 1,133,424 1,045,434
Short-Term Debt 6,430,945 6,868,152 4,009,025 9,199,336 17,751,377 17,751,377 16,373,305 15,102,215 13,929,802 12,848,406 11,850,961 10,930,949 10,082,359
Provisions 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Current Liabilities 8,770,607 9,744,354 13,839,660 14,341,228 25,230,115 25,230,115 26,047,145 25,888,660 26,136,207 26,812,347 27,779,892 29,171,103 31,034,560
Non-Current Liabilities
Term Loan 0 674,516 13,965,690 13,656,779 13,425,895 13,425,895 24,148,518 22,273,824 20,544,666 18,949,746 17,478,642 16,121,743 14,870,183
Provision/Loan/Benefits Payable 0 0 46,818 46,264 1,969,419 1,969,419 1,969,419 1,969,419 1,969,419 1,969,419 1,969,419 1,969,419 1,969,419
Total Liabilities 8,770,607 10,418,870 27,852,168 28,044,271 40,625,429 40,625,429 52,165,082 50,131,904 48,650,292 47,731,512 47,227,953 47,262,266 47,874,162
Shareholders Equity
Share Capital 9,117,405 9,117,405 9,679,633 9,793,723 9,793,723 9,793,723 9,793,723 9,793,723 9,793,723 9,793,723 9,793,723 9,793,723 9,793,723
Contributed Surplus 374,266 415,332 461,062 450,411 819,609 819,609 1,526,588 2,328,039 3,283,368 4,410,656 5,729,584 7,272,729 9,078,209
Retained Earnings (6,593,814) -7,233,857 -8,954,986 -9,442,814 -13,901,107 (13,901,107) (13,871,225) (11,797,436) (8,149,198) (1,974,614) 7,158,144 19,864,787 36,901,644
Total Shareholders Equity 4,488,502 3,877,996 4,219,423 3,815,148 -1,328,632 -1,328,632 -591,771 2,283,469 6,887,036 14,188,909 24,640,594 38,890,382 57,732,718
Total Liabilities & Shareholders Eq. 13,259,109 14,296,866 32,071,591 31,859,419 39,296,797 39,296,797 51,573,311 52,415,372 55,537,327 61,920,421 71,868,547 86,152,647 105,606,880
Page 9 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
Source: Company Filings, EWP Estimates
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc.
Cash Flow Statement (FYE Dec, US$) 2018 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Act. Act. Act. Act. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. Est.
Cash Provided By Operating Activities
Net Income (Loss) (6,610,200) -656,545 -1,734,502 -507,716 -4,477,944 (7,376,707) 29,882 2,073,789 3,648,238 6,174,585 9,132,757 12,706,643 17,036,857
Amortization of Intangibles 1,488,101 403,581 479,433 628,636 911,718 2,423,368 1,933,609 1,783,499 1,645,043 1,517,335 1,399,542 1,290,893 1,190,678
Depreciation of Property & Equipment 94,787 148,719 -53,094 393,337 175,264 664,226 851,902 94,038 6,371 398 24 1 0
Stock Based Compensation Expense 403,864 45,745 49,687 32,940 161,232 289,604 706,979 801,451 955,329 1,127,288 1,318,927 1,543,145 1,805,480
Impairment 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - - - - -
Gain on sale of asset 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - - - - -
Changes in Non-Cash Working Capital
Trade & Other Receivables 82,484 -550,950 306,603 -656,385 -733,596 (1,634,328) (2,294,828) (938,914) (1,382,082) (1,544,476) (1,721,233) (2,013,842) (2,356,196)
Investment/Income Tax Credits 0 0 0 0 0 - 331,010 (192,274) (28,268) (37,146) (40,822) (47,254) (54,694)
Prepaid Expenses & Other Assets (64,121) -85,699 31,212 -21,207 63,667 (12,027) (861,326) (171,723) (182,104) (239,298) (262,977) (304,414) (352,340)
Trade & Other Payables (119,033) -247,559 212,441 -353,041 2,335,355 1,947,196 (14,552) 705,229 747,860 982,744 1,079,989 1,250,162 1,446,981
Deferred (Unbilled) Revenue 0 0 152,710 -134,148 501,957 520,519 2,352,545 539,175 793,666 886,922 988,425 1,156,457 1,353,055
(2,421,917) -877,287 -358,789 -654,491 1,736,575 (153,992) 2,939,759 4,647,255 6,154,196 8,802,835 11,822,634 15,498,446 19,973,357
Investing Activities
Purchase of Property & Equipment 0 -5,063 -28,884 0 -7,308 (41,255) (47,856) (4,420) (292) (18) (1) (0) (0)
Purchase of Intangibles -86,001 0 0 0 0 - (1,160,165) (1,070,100) (987,026) (910,401) (839,725) (774,536) (714,407)
Business Acquisition -3,335,529 0 -3,331,084 0 149,885 (3,181,199) (8,774,190) - - - - - -
Redemption of Short-Term Investments & 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - - - - -
Total Cash From Investing Activities -3,421,530 -5,063 -3,359,968 0 142,577 (3,222,454) (9,982,211) (1,074,519) (987,318) (910,419) (839,726) (774,536) (714,407)
Financing Activities
Proceeds from Loan 0 0 5,016,223 -175,848 1,454,766 6,295,141 12,500,000 - - - - - -
Operating Line (Repayment) -1,162,104 783,917 -473,672 389,600 -699,845 - (142,891) (131,799) (121,567) (112,129) (103,425) (95,396) (87,990)
Repayment of Loan -194,440 -108,060 108,060 0 -1,886,477 (1,886,477) (3,155,449) (3,145,784) (2,901,571) (2,676,316) (2,468,549) (2,276,911) (2,100,150)
Issue of Equity 7,473,438 0 0 223,517 -109,427 114,090 - - - - - - -
Total Cash From Financing Activities 6,116,894 675,857 4,650,611 437,270 6,069,516 11,833,254 9,201,660 (3,277,582) (3,023,138) (2,788,446) (2,571,974) (2,372,307) (2,188,140)
Net Increase in Cash 273,447 -206,493 931,854 -217,221 7,948,668 8,456,808 2,159,208 295,153 2,143,740 5,103,970 8,410,934 12,351,604 17,070,810
Beginning Cash 1 273,448 66,955 998,809 781,588 273,448 8,730,256 10,889,464 11,184,617 13,328,358 18,432,328 26,843,262 39,194,866
Ending Cash 273,448 66,955 998,809 781,588 8,730,256 8,730,256 10,889,464 11,184,617 13,328,358 18,432,328 26,843,262 39,194,866 56,265,676
Total Cash Provided By Operating
Activities
Page 10 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. – Tear Sheet (QUIS-TSXV, SPEC BUY, C$0.95 PT)
Source: Consensus Data - FactSet, Historicals- Company Filings, Forecasts/Estimates-Echelon Wealth Partners estimates
Company Description Consensus Current Return
Rating: Spec Buy
Target: 0.95$ 36%
Median: 0.95$ 36%
High: 0.95$ 36%
Low: 0.95$ 36%
Buy 1Hold 0
Sell 0
# of Ratings 1
Financial Summary/Key Metrics 2017 2018 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E Top Inst. Ownership % Held
Revenue 12.61 4.01 4.18 5.34 5.40 18.53 47.13 53.43 63.69 -- --
Total Revenue 12.61 4.01 4.18 5.34 5.40 18.53 47.13 53.43 63.69
Growth y/y 30% 65% 38% 243% 154% 13% 19%
Consensus
Adj. EBITDA (0.95) 0.22 0.26 0.86 0.32 1.27 6.83 8.55 10.19
Growth y/y -233% 438% 25% 19%
Diluted EPS (0.09) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.04) (0.08) 0.00 0.02 0.03
Growth y/y -11% -100% 6840% 76%
Cash 0.27 0.07 1.00 0.78 1.42 1.42 10.89 11.18 13.33
Net Debt 6.39 8.49 17.52 23.00 24.29 24.29 24.02 20.45 15.28
CAPEX 0.09 0.01 0.03 - 0.01 0.04 1.21 1.07 0.99
Key Statistics Value
52 Wk High 0.85
Balance Sheet 2018 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E 52 Wk Low 0.07
Cash 0.27 0.07 1.00 0.78 1.42 1.42 10.89 11.18 13.33 YTD Chg. 164%
Trade & Other Receivables 1.40 1.95 2.57 3.23 3.96 3.96 6.26 7.20 8.58 1 Yr. Chg. 200%
Inventory 0.51 0.46 0.29 0.23 0.20 0.20 0.29 0.34 0.39 Beta 11.3
Total Current Assets 2.38 2.76 4.40 4.89 13.43 13.43 25.82 27.46 31.25 Market Cap 55.3
EV 81.0
Total Assets 13.26 14.30 32.07 31.86 39.30 39.30 58.88 59.73 62.85 Shares Outstanding 109.8
LTM Dividend 0
Trade & Other Payables 2.11 1.86 7.65 2.70 4.40 4.40 4.38 5.09 5.83 Dividend Yield
Deferred Revenue - - 1.64 1.51 1.24 1.24 3.59 4.13 4.93
Total Current Liabilities 8.77 9.74 13.84 14.34 25.23 25.23 26.05 25.89 26.14 Valuation 2018 2019
EV/Rev 6.4 4.4
Total Liabilities 8.77 10.42 27.85 28.04 40.63 40.63 52.17 50.13 48.65 EV/EBITDA NM 63.8
Total Liabilities & Shareholders Equity 13.26 14.30 32.07 31.86 39.30 39.30 51.57 52.42 55.54 P/E NM NM
Comparables
Multiples Analysis 1 Week 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020
QUIS-CA 0.70 0.95 0.0% 6% 83% 120% 164% 200% 19 47 1.3 6.8 (0.04) 0.00
PRFT 34.72 40.5 0.0% 12% 39% -31% -25% 19% 566 579 95 98 2.07 2.09
CTSH 59.23 58.3 1.5% 13% 27% -6% -4% -18% 16,783 16,561 3,165 3,067 3.99 3.70
EPAM 223.43 225.2 0.0% 11% 28% -4% 5% 26% 2,294 2,670 427 475 5.42 5.85
GLOB 118 118.5 0.0% 13% 38% -6% 11% 44% 659 772 132 154 2.29 2.43
EXLS 65.53 64.8 0.0% 23% 26% -11% -6% 5% 991 1,011 137 145 3.09 3.19
Comparables EV
Multiples Analysis 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
QUIS-CA 81 NM NM NM 4.37 1.72 1.52 63.80 11.86 9.47 NM 2,424.40 34.93
PRFT 1,206 NM 6.3% 7% 2.13 NM 1.95 12.71 NM 10.78 16.8 16.7 14.60
CTSH 30,778 6.6% 6.0% 6% 1.83 NM 1.78 9.73 NM 9.17 14.5 15.7 14.29
EPAM 12,065 1.4% 2.5% 3% 5.26 4.52 3.70 28.22 25.41 19.93 40.8 37.8 30.06
GLOB 4,385 0.5% 1.2% 1% 6.65 5.68 4.66 33.28 28.46 22.51 50.5 47.5 35.72
EXLS 2,152 4.8% 4.2% 5% 2.17 2.13 1.95 15.70 14.82 12.70 NM 19.3 16.99
FCF Yield EV/Rev EV/EBITDA P/E
Consensus Distribution
EBITDA (US$M) EPS (US$M)
Quisitive is a digital technology consulting firm whose mission it is to acquire and integrate companies
to become a leading provider of Microsoft professional services in North America. Quisitive is one of
35 companies that have earned the designation of “National Solution Provider” or NSP. Most
National Solutions Providers are regionally based and have limited ability to expand services to scale
to Microsoft’s addressable market. Quisitive plans to create its own tier within the NSP designation
as the premier Microsoft Solution Provider in North America, providing scale through acquisition
to address the growing demand for Microsoft Azure based services.
Price Target Div YieldReturn Rev (US$M)
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
$0.80
$0.90
Feb-19 Apr-19 Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20
Vo
lum
e (M
)
Pric
e (C
$)
Page 11 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
Important Information and Legal Disclaimers
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ANALYST CERTIFICATION
Company: Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. | QUIS:TSXV
I, Rob Goff, hereby certify that the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers. I also certify that I have not, am not, and will
not receive, directly or indirectly, compensation in exchange for expressing the specific recommendations or views in this report. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
Is this an issuer related or industry related publication? Issuer
Does the Analyst or any member of the Analyst’s household have a financial interest in the securities of the subject issuer?
If Yes: 1) Is it a long or short position? No position; and, 2) What type of security is it? None. No
The name of any partner, director, officer, employee or agent of the Dealer Member who is an officer, director or employee of the issuer, or who serves in any advisory
capacity to the issuer. None
Does Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. or the Analyst have any actual material conflicts of interest with the issuer? No
Does Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. and/or one or more entities affiliated with Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. beneficially own common shares (or any other class of common
equity securities) of this issuer which constitutes more than 1% of the presently issued and outstanding shares of the issuer? No
During the last 12 months, has Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. provided financial advice to and/or, either on its own or as a syndicate member, participated in a public offering,
or private placement of securities of this issuer? No
During the last 12 months, has Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. received compensation for having provided investment banking or related services to this Issuer? No
Has the Analyst had an onsite visit with the Issuer within the last 12 months? No
Has any Analyst, Partner, Director or Officer been compensated for travel expenses incurred as a result of an onsite visit with the Issuer within the last 12 months? No
Has the Analyst received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months? No
Is Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. a market maker in the issuer’s securities at the date of this report? No
Page 12 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
RATING DEFINITIONS
Buy The security represents attractive relative value and is expected to appreciate significantly from the current price over the next 12 month time
horizon.
Speculative Buy The security is considered a BUY but in the analyst’s opinion possesses certain operational and/or financial risks that are higher than average.
Hold The security represents fair value and no material appreciation is expected over the next 12-18 month time horizon.
Sell The security represents poor value and is expected to depreciate over the next 12 month time horizon.
Under Review While not a rating, this designates the existing rating and/or forecasts are subject to specific review usually due to a material event or share price
move.
Tender Echelon Wealth Partners recommends that investors tender to an existing public offer for the securities in the absence of a superior competing
offer.
Dropped
Coverage
Applies to former coverage names where a current analyst has dropped coverage. Echelon Wealth Partners will provide notice to investors
whenever coverage of an issuer is dropped.
RATINGS DISTRIBUTION
Recommendation Hierarchy Buy Speculative Buy Hold Sell Under Review Restricted Tender
Number of recommendations 44 32 12 1 11 0 4
% of Total (excluding Restricted) 44% 32% 12% 1% 11%
Number of investment banking relationships 13 14 13 5 0 3 0
% of Total (excluding Restricted) 40% 37% 14% 0% 9%
PRICE CHART, RATING & PRICE TARGET HISTORY
Date Target (C$) Rating
* 14-Aug-18 1.50 Spec Buy
26-Sep-18 1.00 Spec Buy
27-Nov-18 0.40 Spec Buy
06-Jun-19 0.46 Spec Buy
10-Feb-20 0.60 Spec Buy
03-Apr-20 0.70 Spec Buy
24-Apr-20 0.80 Spec Buy
01-May-20 0.95 Spec Buy
Coverage init iated: 08/14/2018 Data sourced from FactSet
*Prior analyst PT
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (TSXV:QUIS)
Price Target (C$)
Page 13 of 13 Rob Goff | 416-933-3351| [email protected]
Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (QUIS-TSXV) | May 1, 2020
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