Quinn/Rauner poll

5/19/2018 Quinn/Rauner poll

1/12

November 1-2, 2014Survey of 1,064 likely voters


3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Illinois Survey ResultsQ1 The candidates for Governor are Democrat Pat

Quinn, Republican Bruce Rauner, andLibertarian Chad Grimm. If the election wastoday, who would you vote for?

47%Pat Quinn........................................................

45%Bruce Rauner..................................................

3%Chad Grimm ...................................................

5%Undecided.......................................................

Q2 Combined horse race, with Grimm supporters

and undecideds asked if they lean Quinn orRauner

48%Pat Quinn........................................................

48%Bruce Rauner..................................................

4%Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 The candidates for U.S. Senate are DemocratDick Durbin, Republican Jim Oberweis, andLibertarian Sharon Hansen. If the election wastoday, who would you vote for?

51%Dick Durbin .....................................................

41%Jim Oberweis ..................................................

4%Sharon Hansen ...............................................

4%Undecided.......................................................

Q4 Combined horse race, with Hansen supportersand undecideds asked if they lean Durbin orOberweis

52%Dick Durbin .....................................................

44%Jim Oberweis ..................................................

4%Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of PresidentBarack Obamas job performance?

42%Approve ..........................................................

50%Disapprove......................................................

9%Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor PatQuinns job performance?

31%Approve ..........................................................

54%Disapprove......................................................

15%Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Bruce Rauner?

39%Favorable........................................................

42%Unfavorable ....................................................

19%Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator DickDurbins job performance?

44%Approve ..........................................................

41%Disapprove......................................................

15%Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Jim Oberweis?

32%Favorable........................................................

37%Unfavorable ....................................................

31%Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator MarkKirks job performance?

38%Approve ..........................................................

28%Disapprove......................................................

34%Not sure ..........................................................

Q11 In the last presidential election, did you vote forBarack Obama or Mitt Romney?

54%Barack Obama ................................................

41%Mitt Romney....................................................

5%Someone else / Don't remember....................


2/12







Q12 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

15%Very liberal ......................................................

19%Somewhat liberal ............................................

30%Moderate.........................................................

24%Somewhat conservative..................................

12%Very conservative ...........................................

Q13 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

53%Woman ...........................................................

47%Man.................................................................

Q14 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

41%Democrat ........................................................

29%Republican......................................................

29%Independent / Other........................................

Q15 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If

African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.

8%Hispanic..........................................................

72%White ..............................................................

14%African-American ............................................

5%Other...............................................................

Q16 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are olderthan 65, press 4.

10%18 to 29...........................................................

20%30 to 45...........................................................

47%46 to 65...........................................................

23%Older than 65 ..................................................

Q17 Mode

80%Phone .............................................................

20%Internet ...........................................................


3/12

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney

Someone else /Don't remember

Gov

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Chad Grimm

Undecided

47% 78% 7% 36%

45% 15% 86% 38%

3% 3% 3% 7%

5% 4% 4% 19%

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Gov Leaners

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Not sure

48% 81% 7% 37%

48% 16% 90% 43%

4% 4% 3% 19%

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Senate

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Sharon Hansen

Undecided

51% 84% 11% 27%

41% 11% 82% 33%

4% 3% 4% 7%

4% 2% 2% 32%

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Senate Leaners

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Not sure

52% 85% 12% 30%

44% 12% 86% 40%

4% 3% 2% 31%

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Obama Approval

App rove

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 72% 5% 13%

50% 16% 92% 63%

9% 12% 3% 24%

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Quinn Approval

App rove

Disapprove

Not sure

31% 52% 5% 21%

54% 27% 90% 49%

15% 21% 5% 30%


4/12

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Rauner Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

39% 16% 73% 19%

42% 68% 9% 32%

19% 16% 18% 49%

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Durbin Approval

App rove

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 71% 12% 24%

41% 14% 77% 34%

15% 15% 11% 42%

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Oberweis Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 13% 60% 18%

37% 56% 14% 18%

31% 31% 26% 64%

Base

2012 Pres Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Kirk Approval

App rove

Disapprove

Not sure

38% 33% 47% 28%

28% 33% 23% 8%

34% 34% 30% 64%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Gov

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Chad Grimm

Undecided

47% 88% 75% 45% 20% 12%

45% 10% 16% 45% 71% 81%

3% 2% 5% 4% 2% 3%

5% 0% 5% 6% 6% 4%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Gov Leaners

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Not sure

48% 88% 76% 47% 22% 12%

48% 11% 20% 48% 74% 84%

4% 1% 4% 5% 4% 4%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Senate

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Sharon Hansen

Undecided

51% 87% 78% 54% 24% 14%

41% 9% 17% 35% 68% 81%

4% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3%

4% 1% 1% 7% 4% 1%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Senate Leaners

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Not sure

52% 87% 80% 55% 24% 14%

44% 9% 19% 39% 71% 83%

4% 4% 2% 6% 5% 3%


5/12

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Obama Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 78% 65% 42% 16% 10%

50% 16% 22% 47% 77% 87%

9% 6% 13% 11% 7% 4%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Quinn Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not sure

31% 63% 47% 29% 13% 5%

54% 21% 31% 51% 79% 89%

15% 16% 22% 20% 8% 6%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Rauner Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

39% 16% 18% 34% 61% 73%

42% 78% 67% 39% 19% 12%

19% 6% 15% 27% 20% 16%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Durbin Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 75% 69% 45% 20% 15%

41% 16% 20% 32% 66% 74%

15% 9% 12% 22% 14% 11%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Oberweis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 17% 16% 23% 46% 70%

37% 64% 56% 35% 22% 11%

31% 19% 28% 42% 32% 19%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Kirk Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not sure

38% 32% 29% 35% 54% 40%

28% 44% 36% 22% 17% 30%

34% 24% 35% 44% 29% 30%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gov

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Chad Grimm

Undecided

47% 49% 45%

45% 40% 50%

3% 3% 3%

5% 8% 1%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gov Leaners

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Not sure

48% 51% 45%

48% 44% 53%

4% 6% 2%


6/12

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Senate

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Sharon Hansen

Undecided

51% 52% 51%

41% 39% 44%

4% 4% 3%

4% 5% 2%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Senate Leaners

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Not sure

52% 52% 51%

44% 42% 46%

4% 6% 2%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 44% 39%

50% 47% 53%

9% 9% 8%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Quinn Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

31% 33% 29%

54% 51% 58%

15% 17% 13%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Rauner Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

39% 36% 43%

42% 42% 42%

19% 22% 15%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Durbin Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 42% 47%

41% 36% 46%

15% 21% 8%

Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 28% 37%

37% 34% 41%

31% 38% 22%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Kirk Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

38% 35% 42%

28% 23% 33%

34% 41% 26%


7/12

Base

Party

Democrat RepublicanIndependent

/ Other

Gov

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Chad Grimm

Undecided

47% 83% 6% 38%

45% 12% 90% 46%

3% 2% 1% 7%

5% 3% 3% 9%

Base

Party


/ Other

Gov Leaners

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Not sure

48% 85% 6% 40%

48% 13% 92% 52%

4% 2% 2% 8%

Base

Party


/ Other

Senate

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Sharon Hansen

Undecided

51% 84% 8% 48%

41% 11% 86% 38%

4% 2% 3% 7%

4% 2% 3% 7%

Base

Party


/ Other

Senate Leaners

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Not sure

52% 85% 9% 49%

44% 12% 88% 43%

4% 3% 3% 7%

Base

Party


/ Other

Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 75% 5% 31%

50% 15% 92% 56%

9% 10% 2% 13%

Base

Party


/ Other

Quinn Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

31% 58% 5% 19%

54% 24% 90% 60%

15% 18% 5% 21%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican

Independent

/ Other

Rauner Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

39% 15% 78% 35%

42% 69% 8% 38%

19% 16% 14% 27%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican

Independent

/ Other

Durbin Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 71% 14% 37%

41% 15% 74% 42%

15% 14% 12% 20%


8/12

Base

Party


/ Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 14% 66% 25%

37% 55% 14% 36%

31% 32% 21% 39%

Base

Party


/ Other

Kirk Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

38% 33% 48% 37%

28% 31% 22% 28%

34% 36% 30% 34%

Base

Race

Hispanic WhiteAfr ican-

Ameri can Other

Gov

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Chad Grimm

Undecided

47% 64% 37% 87% 45%

45% 32% 54% 9% 41%

3% 4% 4% - 3%

5% - 5% 4% 11%

Base

Race


Ameri can Other

Gov Leaners

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Not sure

48% 65% 38% 87% 50%

48% 35% 57% 10% 43%

4% - 4% 3% 8%

Base

Race


Ameri can Other

Senate

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Sharon Hansen

Undecided

51% 66% 43% 84% 57%

41% 29% 50% 7% 35%

4% 5% 3% 4% 7%

4% - 4% 5% 2%

Base

Race


Ameri can Other

Senate Leaners

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Not sure

52% 67% 43% 84% 57%

44% 33% 52% 9% 41%

4% - 4% 8% 2%


9/12

Base

Race


Ameri can Other

Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 41% 34% 76% 50%

50% 53% 59% 8% 37%

9% 6% 7% 17% 13%

Base

Race


Ameri can Other

Quinn Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

31% 46% 25% 49% 43%

54% 47% 61% 27% 44%

15% 7% 14% 24% 13%

Base

Race


Ameri can Other

Rauner Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

39% 42% 46% 11% 26%

42% 55% 36% 57% 56%

19% 3% 18% 33% 18%

Base

Race


Ameri can Other

Durbin Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 47% 40% 64% 38%

41% 46% 47% 9% 43%

15% 7% 13% 27% 19%

Base

Race


Ameri can Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 44% 36% 13% 15%

37% 45% 36% 39% 44%

31% 11% 29% 48% 41%

Base

Race


Ameri can Other

Kirk Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

38% 45% 40% 29% 27%

28% 32% 27% 25% 41%

34% 23% 33% 46% 32%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gov

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Chad Grimm

Undecided

47% 55% 45% 49% 41%

45% 41% 44% 44% 51%

3% 1% 4% 3% 3%

5% 3% 7% 4% 5%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gov Leaners

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Not sure

48% 55% 47% 50% 43%

48% 44% 49% 46% 53%

4% 1% 3% 4% 4%


10/12

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Senate

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Sharon Hansen

Undecided

51% 59% 41% 56% 48%

41% 39% 42% 39% 45%

4% - 9% 2% 4%

4% 1% 8% 3% 2%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Senate Leaners

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Not sure

52% 59% 41% 56% 50%

44% 39% 49% 41% 47%

4% 1% 10% 3% 3%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 48% 39% 44% 36%

50% 50% 51% 47% 54%

9% 3% 1 0% 9% 10%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Quinn Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

31% 28% 29% 32% 31%

54% 56% 53% 53% 56%

15% 16% 18% 14% 13%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Rauner Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

39% 44% 37% 37% 44%

42% 40% 36% 47% 39%

19% 16% 26% 16% 18%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Durbin Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 28% 39% 51% 44%

41% 53% 37% 38% 44%

15% 20% 24% 11% 12%


11/12

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 40% 33% 27% 37%

37% 32% 30% 44% 32%

31% 28% 36% 29% 31%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Kirk Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

38% 38% 32% 40% 42%

28% 39% 28% 28% 22%

34% 23% 39% 33% 36%

Base

Mode

Phone Internet

Gov

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Chad Grimm

Undecided

47% 46% 52%

45% 49% 31%

3% 3% 4%

5% 3% 13%

Base

Mode

Phone Internet

Gov Leaners

Pat Quinn

Bruce Rauner

Not sure

48% 47% 55%

48% 50% 38%

4% 3% 7%

BaseModePhone Internet

Senate

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Sharon Hansen

Undecided

51% 51% 54%

41% 45% 28%

4% 3% 6%

4% 1% 12%


Senate Leaners

Dick Durbin

Jim Oberweis

Not sure

52% 51% 56%

44% 46% 33%

4% 3% 11%

Base

Mode

Phone Internet

Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

42% 39% 53%

50% 54% 35%

9% 8% 12%

Base

Mode

Phone Internet

Quinn Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

31% 31% 30%

54% 58% 41%

15% 11% 29%


12/12

Base

Mode

Phone Internet

Rauner Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

39% 42% 29%

42% 44% 36%

19% 14% 35%

Base

Mode

Phone Internet

Durbin Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 44% 46%

41% 46% 20%

15% 10% 34%



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 34% 26%

37% 41% 25%

31% 26% 50%


Kirk Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

38% 41% 30%

28% 29% 21%

34% 30% 48%

Documents

Quinn/Rauner poll