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180 Newport Center Dr. Suite 230 | Newport Beach, CA | 92660 | 949-640-0600 | www.twinrockpartners.com
IN THIS ISSUE:
Letter from CEO
TRP Market Overviews
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER | Q1 19
Q1 | 18 www.twinrockpartners.com
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
Dear Friends of TwinRock,
“The pace of change and the threat of disruption creates tremendous opportunities.” - Steve Case, founder of
AOL, Revolution LLC, Case Foundation, Revolution Health Group
In business theory, disruptive innovation is one that creates a new market and value network. The disruptive
innovation accomplishes this by disrupting an existing market or network of entrenched, successful businesses
and replacing established market-leading firms, products and alliances with new ones.
In our first Quarterly Newsletter for 2019 we’ll take a closer look at how successful companies cope with
disruption while others fail, and the effect that disruption is having on investment.
The Innovator’s Dilemma
Although the word itself has existed for quite some time, the term disruption surfaced in the business world
thanks in large part to the book The Innovator’s Dilemma, authored by Clayton Christensen back in 1997.
In his book, Christensen introduced the idea of disruptive innovation. He used the phrase to describe two
events: First, how companies could meet the current needs of their customers. Secondly, how small companies
with little money could enter an established market and displace established companies – and in the process
pocketing their customers and cash flows - by creating an entirely new system.
Disruption is a 2-way street
Disruption goes both ways. In today’s business world you’re either doing the disrupting or getting disrupted. If a
company isn’t intentionally changing for the better, then it’s safe to say that at some point – and based on
Moore’s Law probably sooner rather than later – another company will come along and make that change for
them.
A recent article on disruption from Inc. observes:
"Right now, at this very moment, either your company is disrupting the marketplace, or you're actively being
disrupted. This isn't meant to be fear-based, but it's the reality of the situation. Between the pace at which
technology advances and the rate at which ideas are generated, disruption is truly a natural cause of the times.
If you're comfortable in your business, you need to be thinking about who knows you’re comfortable and how
they are planning to make you uncomfortable. There is a constant ebb and flow of disruption and being
disrupted."
Q1 | 18 www.twinrockpartners.com
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
Why some companies are victims of disruption
Complacency (mixed with a little bit of arrogance) is the #1 reason why companies get disrupted.
Some companies refuse to adapt, fighting change tooth-and-nail, such as the entrenched taxi industry vs. Uber
and Lyft, or the hotel sector vs. Airbnb. Other times companies don’t see change coming or are simply too slow
to react, as with IBM taking +20 years to adapt to competition from Apple and Microsoft.
In addition to being complacent, five other reasons companies allow themselves to become victims of disruption
are:
• Technological innovation is intimidating or confusing
• Consumer behavior shifts before a business realizes change is taking place
• Lack of agility due to bureaucratic decision making
• Hiring people because they are “cost effective” vs. working with talent that can think creatively and
strategically
• Misalignment between executives where everyone is not on the same “innovation page”
How other companies disrupt themselves
Other companies would rather disrupt themselves then have somebody else do it for them. This proactive
approach to disruption not only allows established players to avoid being victims, but also gain entirely new
customer bases and create additional revenue streams.
Some of the ways that companies can disrupt themselves from within include:
• Making strategic decisions that are user-centric and customer-centric instead of company-centric
• Eliminating the mindset of scarcity and boosting the creative process by “going big or going home”
• Focusing on staying lean and mean by avoiding multiple layers of management and hiring in-house
experts allows change to be made on a dime
• Experimenting with different pricing models, messaging, and marketing to think outside the box
• Encouraging continuous employee education through webinars, conferences, and company-
sponsored resources to quickly discover what’s hot and what’s not
Disruptive events that are currently taking place as we speak
Regular readers of our weekly email articles may have already noticed that disruption has been a consistent
theme so far in 2019:
Q1 | 18 www.twinrockpartners.com
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
Disruptive innovations that are changing how time and space are used
Twelve years ago, Airbnb was founded as a couch-surfing business with no customers and no revenues. Today the company operates in almost every country around the world and was recently valued at $38 billion according to Forbes. Airbnb is helping to revolutionize the tourism industry and is battling the entrenched hotel industry head-on by applying the time-share concept to under-used living space to benefit both property owners and users. Uber recently went public and at the time of this writing has a market cap of just under $70 billion. Founded in
2009, Uber is a ride-hailing company operating in 60 countries and 400 cities around the world. Similar to the
way that Airbnb gives property owners a way to make money from unused living space, Uber allows vehicle
owners to earn income from unused auto time. The company is disrupting the entrenched taxi industry and
faces violent protests in some cities.
Coworking office operators such as WeWork and Knotel are revolutionizing the use of real estate from a fixed
asset to fluid space as a service. In just a few short years they have changed the way that tenants view and pay
for business office space, forcing property owners and management companies to become service providers
instead of collectors of rent. WeWork is now the largest private occupier of Manhattan office space with about
5.3 million square feet under lease which has been converted into coworking space.
How a 27 pound, $500 electric scooter is disrupting transit oriented development
Transit oriented development (TOD) has been rapidly growing in many major metro areas. Real estate
developers have been paying big premiums for land near mass transit locations for mixed-use projects.
Residents and businesses have been paying top dollar to locate near rapid transit stops to avoid highway
congestion and rush hour traffic.
But the TOD gravy train may soon be coming to an end thanks to companies such as Bird. The company provides shared electric scooters, bicycles, and shared transit vehicles that reduce the need for personal automobiles.
Along with Uber and Lyft, Bird is helping to reduce highway congestion and speed up travel times using
lightweight, inexpensive electric scooters that are friendly to the environment without resorting to billion dollar
TOD development. There’s no longer the same rationale for living near mass transit locations, which will likely
reduce the premium value currently placed on transit oriented development projects.
Why parking lot companies just can’t find the love
Investing in parking lots used to be one of the purest coupon clipper investments around, perhaps second only
to owning T-bills. But thanks to disruption, the safety of owning parking lots may soon be coming to an end.
Q1 | 18 www.twinrockpartners.com
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
Innovative transportation companies such as Uber, Lyft, and Bird have been steadily taking business away from
entrenched parking lot operators.
Ace Parking Management is one of the largest parking management companies in the country. A recent article
from the San Diego Union-Tribune reports that Ace Parking claims to be losing about 50% of its nightclub parking
business and 25% of its restaurant valet parking business to these new alternative transportation services.
Parking lot companies are finding it difficult to feel the love nowadays. Consumers adore ride-hailing companies
for the affordability and convenience. Municipalities are looking forward to replacing parking lots that generate
little tax revenue with property development that contributes more to the economy and the environment.
How blockchain and digital tokens are disrupting real estate investment
Blockchain is the underlying mechanism or “protocol” that makes digital currency like Bitcoin and
cryptocurrency work. Blockchain is also rapidly changing the way that real estate works.
The blockchain protocol is being used to verify data and transactions between two or more parties. It is making
data verification simpler, efficient, and more transparent while at the same time keeping private data safe and
secure. Some of the ways that blockchain is being used to disrupt and improve the real estate business include:
• Automating invoicing and payments, lease reconciliations, and the collection and analysis of big data
within multi-property portfolios
• Shortening the verification of ownership and lien searches from weeks to seconds because
blockchain data is immediately accessible and unchangeable
• Eliminating the need for costly title insurance and title company fees to dramatically reduce the cost
of every real estate transaction
• Removing the existing barriers of access to capital by using digital tokens to make fractional
ownership of investment real estate easy, affordable, and tradeable
It’s always better to be the disruptor
Disruption is a two-way street. Businesspeople today need to decide if they will willingly change and harness the
new opportunities that disruption offers or allow themselves to be disrupted by an upstart competitor.
When a business is big and successful it’s easy to become arrogant and complacent. Traditional office space
operators, the taxi and hotel industries, and parking lot operators are discovering the hard way what it feels like
to be the one getting disrupted instead of doing the disrupting.
Please stayed tuned to learn how TwinRock plans to disrupt commercial real estate in the coming weeks…
Q1 | 18 www.twinrockpartners.com
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
We look forward to sharing our thoughts again in our next quarterly report. In the meantime, should you have
any questions, we look forward to hearing from you.
Very truly yours,
Alexander Philips
Chief Executive and Investment Officer
Oklahoma Oklahoma City & Tulsa
TRP Market Overviews
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
Q1 | 18 www.twinrockpartners.com
Oklahoma City Market
PREPARED BY
Alexander Philips
CEO & CIO
Multi-Family Market Report
MULTI-FAMILY MARKET REPORT
Market Key Statistics 2
Vacancy 3
Rent 5
Construction 9
Under Construction Properties 10
Sales 11
Sales Past 12 Months 12
Economy 14
Market Submarkets 17
Supply & Demand Trends 20
Vacancy & Rent 22
Sale Trends 24
Deliveries & Under Construction 26
Oklahoma City Multi-Family
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OverviewOklahoma City Multi-Family
12 Mo. Delivered Units
74912 Mo. Absorption Units
1,611Vacancy Rate
10.0%12 Mo. Asking Rent Growth
2.5%Optimism has spread throughout Oklahoma City, as themultifamily market continues to make positive strides.The local economy has regained its footing since the oilbust in 2015-16 and overall employment gains haveeclipsed national averages thanks to furtherdiversification in the employment base away from theenergy sector. As a result of this job growth, demand forapartments has increased and fundamentals are wellpositioned. Rents have surpassed levels prior to the oildownturn, and occupancies have continued to increase.
The economic picture remains bright, with the continuedinvestment of the MAPS (Metropolitan Area Projects)program’s revitalization of the urban core. Thisrenaissance will further improve infrastructure and shouldultimately attract more businesses and people to thearea, increasing the likelihood for multifamily demand.Investors have taken notice as sales volume eclipsed the$400 million mark for the second consecutive year, aidedby robust activity from out-of-state buyers.
KEY INDICATORS
Asking RentVacancy RateUnitsCurrent Quarter Effective RentAbsorption
UnitsDelivered Units
Under ConstrUnits
$1,0298.4%18,5494 & 5 Star $1,012 61 0 1,018
$7289.5%38,0623 Star $717 233 0 210
$62811.4%32,7451 & 2 Star $619 18 0 0
$76110.0%89,356Market $748 312 0 1,228
ForecastAverage
HistoricalAverage
12 MonthAnnual Trends Peak When Trough When
9.7%9.0%-1.1%Vacancy Change (YOY) 12.4% 2016 Q4 7.1% 2000 Q2
7897581,611Absorption Units 2,271 2013 Q3 (491) 2016 Q4
8511,057749Delivered Units 2,931 2015 Q3 14 2008 Q4
87820Demolished Units 941 2012 Q3 0 2019 Q1
1.2%1.6%2.5%Asking Rent Growth (YOY) 5.9% 2001 Q2 -2.9% 2010 Q1
1.3%1.5%3.9%Effective Rent Growth (YOY) 5.8% 2001 Q2 -2.9% 2010 Q1
N/A$223.5M$462 MSales Volume $478.1M 2018 Q1 $875.0K 2005 Q4
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VacancyOklahoma City Multi-Family
The story for Oklahoma City's multifamily market hasshifted recently, mirroring the health of the localeconomy. Several major energy employers haveresumed hiring after a couple of years of layoffs, and thelocal economy continues to add jobs, eclipsing thenational average at 2.4% year-over-year growth.Oklahoma City has continued to attract more non-energy employers to the area, helping to diversify thetenant base and adding more stability to the economy.As a result, more people have begun to flock to the city,and the unemployment rate has steadily declined.
Demand has returned to the metro as a result of thiscontinued job growth, causing vacancies to compress.Roughly 2,000 units were absorbed in 2018, eclipsingthe previous cycle high in 2014. However, several largeprojects are scheduled to deliver soon, which could placea strain on fundamentals in the near term. Mostdeliveries have been of the 4 & 5 Star designation,where demand has been most prevalent. TheDowntownOklahoma City Submarket has received alarge share of recently delivered units, and its
fundamentals have improved substantially. Vacancies inthe urban core have dropped nearly 500 basis pointssince its peak in late 2016 and rents have continued togrow.
Fundamentals have been tested in Oklahoma City thiscycle, mainly because of a large supply wave thatentered the market just as demand dropped off. A strongrecovery in the early post-recession years prompted aheavy development wave of around 6,000 units thatopened from 2014 to 2016. Vacancies expanded at arapid pace and increased by around 400 basis pointsduring that time.
This was the largest supply wave to hit the market inrecent memory. But construction was not the only factorbehind the vacancy increase. The energy industry is amajor source of employment in the metro, and oil pricesdropped, causing consolidations across several majoremployers, just as the new supply entered the market.As a result, demand dropped significantly during thoseyears.
ABSORPTION, NET DELIVERIES & VACANCY
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VacancyOklahoma City Multi-Family
VACANCY RATE
VACANCY BY BEDROOM
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RentOklahoma City Multi-Family
Rents have improved significantly over the past twoyears, expanding by about 3% during that time. Theincreased demand, coupled with the slowdown ofdevelopment since the beginning of 2017, has allowedlandlords to raise prices. The local economy hasimproved, and with job growth at healthy levels,multifamily communities have benefited, with 4 & 5 Starproperties faring the best. But to compete for renters, themost recently built properties are offering concessions,
such as one month free rent. Concessions are highest inDowntown Oklahoma City, where most recent deliverieshave occurred.
Rents saw the highest growth in the years prior to the oildownturn when gains averaged between 2-3%. Sincethen, it has been a slow return to metro norms asdemand persists.
DAILY ASKING RENT PER SF
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RentOklahoma City Multi-Family
MARKET RENT PER UNIT & RENT GROWTH
MARKET RENT PER UNIT BY BEDROOM
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RentOklahoma City Multi-Family
4 & 5 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Oklahoma City $0.82 $8.28$0.26$0.04$1.13$0.28$0.91$1.17$0.38$0.97$0.61 $1.71
Canadian County $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
Central Oklahoma… $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
Downtown Oklahom… $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
Edmond $0.81 $7.97$0.25$0.04$1.08$0.27$0.88$1.10$0.37$0.97$0.58 $1.62
Midwest City/Del City $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
Moore $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
Norman $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
Northeast Oklahom… $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
Northwest Oklahom… $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
South Oklahoma City $0.82 $8.33$0.26$0.04$1.14$0.28$0.92$1.18$0.39$0.97$0.61 $1.72
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
3 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Oklahoma City $0.75 $4.28$0.19$0.04$0.46$0.20$0.48$0.27$0.16$0.92$0.28 $0.53
Canadian County $0.78 $6.07$0.22$0.04$0.73$0.23$0.66$0.69$0.29$0.95$0.43 $1.05
Central Oklahoma… $0.74 $4.15$0.18$0.04$0.51$0.19$0.47$0.19$0.09$0.91$0.27 $0.56
Downtown Oklahom… $0.75 $4.20$0.18$0.04$0.54$0.19$0.48$0.17$0.08$0.93$0.27 $0.57
Edmond $0.75 $4.23$0.18$0.04$0.47$0.19$0.47$0.24$0.14$0.93$0.28 $0.54
Grady County $0.75 $4.27$0.18$0.04$0.40$0.20$0.46$0.31$0.21$0.93$0.28 $0.51
Lincoln County $0.75 $4.27$0.18$0.04$0.40$0.20$0.46$0.31$0.21$0.93$0.28 $0.51
McClain County $0.76 $4.83$0.20$0.04$0.50$0.21$0.52$0.43$0.23$0.93$0.33 $0.68
Midwest City/Del City $0.75 $4.63$0.19$0.05$0.39$0.20$0.48$0.44$0.28$0.93$0.32 $0.60
Moore $0.74 $4.20$0.18$0.04$0.38$0.21$0.46$0.32$0.22$0.91$0.27 $0.47
Norman $0.75 $4.27$0.18$0.04$0.40$0.20$0.46$0.31$0.21$0.93$0.28 $0.51
Northeast Oklahom… $0.75 $4.20$0.18$0.04$0.54$0.19$0.48$0.17$0.08$0.93$0.27 $0.57
Northwest Oklahom… $0.74 $4.22$0.18$0.04$0.39$0.20$0.46$0.31$0.21$0.90$0.28 $0.51
South Oklahoma City $0.75 $4.19$0.18$0.04$0.34$0.26$0.48$0.36$0.28$0.92$0.25 $0.33
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
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RentOklahoma City Multi-Family
1 & 2 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Oklahoma City $0.68 $3.50$0.18$0.04$0.33$0.19$0.45$0.24$0.14$0.60$0.19 $0.46
Canadian County $0.68 $3.64$0.18$0.04$0.33$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.20$0.60$0.19 $0.50
Central Oklahoma… $0.68 $3.40$0.18$0.04$0.33$0.18$0.45$0.17$0.07$0.60$0.19 $0.51
Downtown Oklahom… $0.68 $3.37$0.18$0.04$0.32$0.18$0.45$0.17$0.07$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Edmond $0.68 $3.64$0.18$0.04$0.33$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.20$0.60$0.19 $0.50
Grady County $0.68 $3.68$0.18$0.04$0.33$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.20$0.63$0.20 $0.50
Lincoln County $0.68 $3.62$0.18$0.04$0.32$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.20$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Logan County $0.68 $3.62$0.18$0.04$0.32$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.20$0.59$0.19 $0.50
McClain County $0.68 $3.62$0.18$0.04$0.32$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.20$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Midwest City/Del City $0.68 $3.62$0.18$0.05$0.29$0.14$0.40$0.37$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Moore $0.68 $3.62$0.18$0.04$0.33$0.22$0.45$0.32$0.21$0.60$0.19 $0.40
Norman $0.68 $3.63$0.18$0.04$0.33$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.20$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Northeast Oklahom… $0.68 $3.37$0.18$0.04$0.32$0.18$0.45$0.17$0.07$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Northwest Oklahom… $0.68 $3.61$0.18$0.04$0.32$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.19$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Outlying Cleveland… $0.68 $3.62$0.18$0.04$0.32$0.19$0.44$0.29$0.20$0.59$0.19 $0.50
South Oklahoma City $0.68 $3.60$0.18$0.04$0.32$0.25$0.45$0.35$0.23$0.60$0.19 $0.31
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
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ConstructionOklahoma City Multi-Family
Rising construction costs, coupled with a shortage oflabor workers, has resulted in a slowdown indevelopment over the past two years. The demand forlabor has ultimately increased costs due to the lack ofworkers. Because of this, the multifamily market hasrecorded below-average supply in consecutive years.
Construction is concentrated in the Downtown OklahomaCity, Northwest Oklahoma City and Norman submarkets,and proximity to retail is an emphasis for severalprojects. Norman is home to the University of Oklahoma,whose presence keeps demand drivers more stable thanin other parts of the metro. One of the largercommunities completed this year is the 350-unit WestVillage downtown, which is anchored by strong retailincluding the Jones Assembly and the 21C MuseumHotel.
Meanwhile, Downtown Oklahoma City is receiving themost development, as the city transforms its urban core.
MAPS 3 has continued to revitalize the city with severalmajor projects, including Scissortail Park and theConvention Center. Also, the recently completedstreetcar will increase accessibility throughout downtown.One of the largest developments of the cycle is the SteelYard Apartments, located in the Bricktown neighborhood.The community opened an initial phase of units inDecember 2017, and now have a total of 250 unitsonline.
Demand for properties delivered in the past two yearshas struggled though, with occupancies just about 70%as of 19Q2. However, absorption on recent deliveries inDowntown Oklahoma City has improved. One of thelarger deliveries was the 4 Star, 329-unit LiftApartments, which started moving in tenants at the endof 16Q2, and completed all phases in 17Q1. Thecommunity was just 25% occupied at the start of 2017,but as of April was close to full occupancy.
DELIVERIES & DEMOLITIONS
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Under Construction PropertiesOklahoma City Multi-Family
Properties
6Units
1,228Percent of Inventory
1.4%Avg. No. Units
205UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTIES
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Property Name/Address Rating Units Stories Start Complete Developer/Owner
Dec-20186929 Sooner Rd
Liberty Creek Village516 2 Apr-2020
Gardner Tanenbaum Holdings
Gardner Tanenbaum Holdings1
Aug-201715400 Lone Oak Rd
Crown Lone Oak Apartm…286 3 Jul-2019
Leinbach Company
Leinbach Company2
Aug-2018120 N Robinson Ave
First National Center - A…193 - Jan-2021
Cornerstone Development
NE CS FNC Residences, LLC3
Aug-201615501 N Pennsylvania Ave
The Lofts at North Penn192 - Jun-2019
-
Sooner Traditions Realty4
Jun-20182013 E Cherry St
Markland/Wiles Apartme…24 3 Jun-2019
Bryan Properties
-5
Mar-2017627 NW 5th St
Town House Apartments17 2 Jun-2019
David Wanzer
David Wanzer6
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SalesOklahoma City Multi-Family
Sales volume continued to exceed metro norms in 2018with more than $400 million trading hands for the secondconsecutive year. Much of this volume can be attributedto an increased presence from out-of-state investors.Representing close to 70% of the transactions in 2018and the top 10 trades of the year in terms of volume,non-Oklahoma buyers’ involvement is expected toincrease with the continued re-development of thedowntown as well as opportunities for high-yieldinvestments.
This trend has continued into 2019, with the acquisitionof the Landing by a private investor from California. This4 Star, 252-unit asset was purchase for $32 million($127,000/unit) in early January.
This renaissance in the Downtown Oklahoma Submarkethas resulted in many developments and demand hasincreased significantly from the renter base.Fundamentals have steadily improved and sales volumehas ticked up as well representing nearly a third of thetransaction volume in the past two years. Most notablethis year was the trade of the 339-unit Council CrossingApartments for $19.1 million ($56,000/unit) in October by
Denver-based Pauls Real Estate Investments. Perhapsmost noteworthy was the November 2017 sale of theMetropolitan Apartments for $63.8 million ($193,000/unit).Weidner Property Management, based in WashingtonState, acquired the 329-unit asset, which delivered in2016. The community was 95% occupied at the time ofclosing and traded at a 5.25% cap rate.
The average cap rate in the metro now ranges around8%. This alone has enticed several national investorswho are looking for opportunities in the south region,since larger metros like Houston, Dallas-Fort Worth, andAustin trade closer to a 6% cap rate. Since the metrocontains a large portion of Class B and C properties,investors have found opportunities for value-addprojects. For example, Houston-based JuniperInvestment Group purchased the 2 Star RidgeApartments for $9 million at a 7.8% cap.
Sales volume has picked up throughout this cycle, withmore than $2.5 billion trading hands, and outside buyersare having more of a presence in the market. Around halfof that cycle total has traded hands over the past threeyears, with more than $400 million last year.
SALES VOLUME & MARKET SALE PRICE PER UNIT
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Sales Past 12 MonthsOklahoma City Multi-Family
Sale Comparables
73Avg. Price/Unit (thous.)
$64Average Price (mil.)
$6.6Average Vacancy at Sale
10.0%SALE COMPARABLE LOCATIONS
SALE COMPARABLES SUMMARY STATISTICS
Sales Attributes Low Average Median High
Sale Price $100,000 $6,595,121 $2,175,000 $81,600,000
Price Per Unit $6,250 $64,012 $39,124 $126,984
Cap Rate 4.3% 6.8% 6.7% 9.8%
Vacancy Rate at Sale 0% 10.0% 8.3% 39.3%
Time Since Sale in Months 0.9 6.4 6.0 11.7
Property Attributes Low Average Median High
Property Size in Units 8 111 72 708
Number of Floors 1 2 2 4
Average Unit SF 475 814 806 1,238
Year Built 1925 1971 1971 2018
Star Rating 2.4
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Sales Past 12 MonthsOklahoma City Multi-Family
RECENT SIGNIFICANT SALES
Sale InformationProperty Information
RatingProperty Name/Address Yr Built Units Vacancy Sale Date Price Price/Unit Price/SF
500 Central Park Dr- 2006
The Lincoln at Central Park1 708 8.1% 4/25/2019 $81,600,000 $115,254 $114
777 N Air Depot Blvd- 2004
The Lodge @ 7772 298 5.0% 11/2/2018 $36,000,000 $120,805 $113
4800 E Interstate 240 Service…- 2017
The Landing3 252 7.9% 1/11/2019 $32,000,000 $126,984 $140
12301-12401 N MacArthur Blvd- 1983
Woodland Trails4 542 19.6% 8/1/2018 $28,824,000 $53,180 $79
1600 Ann Branden Blvd- 1999
The Renaissance At Norman5 228 9.7% 10/25/2018 $24,160,400 $105,966 $88
6700 W Memorial Rd- 2012
Brandon Place Apartments6 201 13.0% 6/1/2018 $23,400,000 $116,417 $114
360 N Pebble Creek Ter- 1999
Pebble Creek Apartments7 192 5.7% 12/14/2018 $19,750,000 $102,864 $65
215 NE 28th St- 1967
Capitol on 28th8 223 4.9% 8/14/2018 $19,700,000 $88,340 $122
7920 NW 21st St- 1975
Council Crossing9 339 13.0% 10/1/2018 $19,100,000 $56,342 $68
12500 S Western Ave- 2002
Oak Place Apartment Homes10 240 6.3% 6/25/2018 $16,400,000 $68,333 $91
10700 S May- 2015
Cross Timber Apartments11 150 3.3% 12/28/2018 $16,125,000 $107,500 $102
6100 N Meridian Ave- 1973
Six100 Meridian Apartments12 271 6.6% 12/14/2018 $10,350,000 $38,191 $46
3834 N Oak Grove Dr- 1972
The Ridge13 278 11.5% 9/5/2018 $9,000,000 $32,374 $37
4215 SE 53rd St- 1973
The Commons14 210 7.1% 3/6/2019 $8,335,000 $39,690 $49
1800 N Rockwell Ave- 1969
The Belmont15 162 16.7% 3/5/2019 $8,004,999 $49,413 $49
2809-2815 Dewey Ave- 1999
Emerald Greens16 204 8.8% 4/26/2019 $7,450,000 $36,519 $40
6810 NW 16th St- 1971
Foxcroft17 188 5.3% 10/11/2018 $6,680,000 $35,531 $38
5537 S Sunny Ln- 1974
Aspen Walk Apartments18 146 14.4% 12/19/2018 $6,665,000 $45,650 $52
4625 Tinker Diagonal St- 1972
Cedar Hills Apartments19 124 17.7% 12/14/2018 $6,000,000 $48,387 $57
2930 N Shartel Ave- 1935
The Breighton Apartments20 96 25.0% 7/18/2018 $5,834,000 $60,770 $64
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EconomyOklahoma City Multi-Family
After the downturn of the energy sector due to the dropin oil prices in 2014-15, the Oklahoma City economy hasreturned to positive growth. In 2018, job growth waspositive, netting 13,000 jobs and eclipsing the nationalaverage for the entirety of the year. The sectors thathave contributed the most to this growth have beenconstruction (4.5% Y/Y), leisure and hospitality (3.6%Y/Y), and manufacturing (3.4% Y/Y). With the nationaleconomy still adding jobs even this late in this economicexpansion, gains could continue to increase throughoutthe economy.
Much of Oklahoma City’s economic success can beattributed to the urban renaissance put forth by theMAPS 3 projects over the course of the decade. MAPS3, a $777-million capital improvement program, wasvoted in at the end of 2009. This plan is intended toimprove quality of life by way of several projects,including Oklahoma river improvements, sidewalkimprovements, Fairgrounds Expo Building and the SeniorHealth & Wellness Center. The projects beganconstruction in 2012 and are expected to continue until2020. More recently, the implementation of the ModernStreetcar is in full effect, which should improvetransportation to and from districts in and arounddowntown. In 2018, the attention has shifted to two largedevelopments: the Downtown Convention Center andScissortail Park. Together, these projects are more thehalf the MAPS 3 budget at a total of $420 million.Scissortail Park, an area that extends 70 acres, willprovide lakes and nature walks and serve as a getawayfrom everyday lives. Located just east of the park will bethe 200,000-SF Downtown Convention Center, whichofficially broke ground in June 2018.
Three of the nation’s largest energy producers areheadquartered in OKC, and the energy sector accountsfor roughly 3% of total employment and 10% of totalearnings in the Oklahoma City metro. The metro’sexposure to the energy industry is nearly 10 times higher
than the national average, second only to Houston's.Throughout the recovery, the local boom in hydraulicfracturing, or “fracking,” buoyed the Oklahoma Cityeconomy, leading to impressive growth. The Oklahomastate economy outperformed that of the rest of thenation, with an unemployment rate under 4% for much ofthe recovery. However, the recent struggles of theenergy industry halted employment growth. Oil prices fellsharply in the back half of 2014 and throughout 2015.The energy market has certainly begun to regain itsfooting, and Oklahoma’s rig count has continued to rise,reaching a three-year high as of 2019. Much of thissuccess can be attributed to the continued growth in theCana Woodford Basin – home to the SCOOP andSTACK fields.
Although heavily tied to the industry, there is more to theOklahoma City economy than energy, and the city stilloffers employers many economic advantages comparedto other locales. According to Oxford Economics, thecost of doing business here is roughly 20% below thenational average, which attracts service-oriented, back-office-type jobs to the metro. The metro has hosted anumber of corporate relocations, including those ofBoeing (aerospace) and Continental Resources (energy),a trend that could continue as companies take advantageof the market’s low business costs. Furthermore, theOklahoma City Economic Development Trust's StrategicInvestment Program continues to offer various economicdevelopment incentives for employers looking to expandexisting operations in the city. The public sector accountsfor a large chunk of employment here as well. InOklahoma City’s workforce, one person out of every fiveis employed in the government sector, and the metro’stwo largest employers are the State of Oklahoma andTinker Air Force Base, which together employ more than69,000. Approximately 7.5% of the gross metro product(GMP) is tied to government civilian and defensespending, ranking it sixth in the National Index in termsof exposure to government spending.
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EconomyOklahoma City Multi-Family
OKLAHOMA CITY EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY IN THOUSANDS
NAICS Industry Jobs LQ MarketUS USMarketUSMarket
Current Jobs Current Growth 10 Yr Historical 5 Yr Forecast
0.13%-0.18%0.61%0.05%1.69%0.10%0.634Manufacturing
0.45%0.63%1.08%1.45%1.13%1.68%0.9114Trade, Transportation and Utilities
0.33%0.62%0.80%0.87%0.06%-0.15%1.066 Retail Trade
0.43%0.35%0.91%0.74%1.28%1.75%0.934Financial Activities
0.77%0.79%-0.03%0.75%0.49%1.71%1.3129Government
0.32%0.60%1.71%3.03%3.68%6.67%1.555Natural Resources, Mining and Construction
0.33%0.18%2.09%1.33%2.06%1.95%0.995Education and Health Services
0.91%0.61%2.48%1.67%2.51%1.77%0.986Professional and Business Services
0.45%0.40%-0.06%-4.51%-0.05%-2.08%0.67Information
0.41%0.81%2.41%2.88%2.31%3.43%1.177Leisure and Hospitality
0.23%0.38%0.91%2.24%1.15%1.38%1.230Other Services
Total Employment 661 1.0 2.20% 1.67% 1.42% 1.33% 0.54% 0.50%
Source: Oxford Economics
LQ = Location Quotient
Source: Oxford Economics
YEAR OVER YEAR JOB GROWTH
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EconomyOklahoma City Multi-Family
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
Current ChangeCurrent Level
Metro U.S.Metro U.S.Demographic Category
10-Year Change
Metro U.S. Metro U.S.
Forecast Change (5 Yrs)
Population 328,988,8131,405,675 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7%
Households 121,188,641518,184 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
Median Household Income $63,753$58,638 3.4% 3.7% 2.3% 2.2% 4.6% 4.3%
Labor Force 163,511,781687,636 0.2% 1.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
Unemployment 3.8%2.9% -0.7% -0.1% -0.3% -0.5% - -
Source: Oxford Economics
POPULATION GROWTH
Source: Oxford Economics
LABOR FORCE GROWTH INCOME GROWTH
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SubmarketsOklahoma City Multi-Family
OKLAHOMA CITY SUBMARKETS
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SubmarketsOklahoma City Multi-Family
SUBMARKET INVENTORY
12 Month Deliveries Under Construction
Bldgs Units Percent Rank
Inventory
Bldgs Units Percent RankBldgs Units % Market RankSubmarketNo.
1 Canadian County 4,187 4.7% 9 0 0 0% -43 0 0 0% -
2 Central Oklahoma City 18,726 21.0% 1 0 0 0% -296 1 20 0.1% 5
3 Downtown Oklahoma City 4,791 5.4% 8 2 210 4.4% 3113 1 345 7.2% 1
4 Edmond 6,624 7.4% 5 0 0 0% -60 1 16 0.2% 6
5 Grady County 464 0.5% 11 0 0 0% -16 0 0 0% -
6 Lincoln County 147 0.2% 14 0 0 0% -5 0 0 0% -
7 Logan County 181 0.2% 13 0 0 0% -11 0 0 0% -
8 McClain County 315 0.4% 12 0 0 0% -13 0 0 0% -
9 Midwest City/Del City 6,375 7.1% 6 0 0 0% -50 1 24 0.4% 4
10 Moore 5,834 6.5% 7 0 0 0% -34 0 0 0% -
11 Norman 11,913 13.3% 3 0 0 0% -138 1 44 0.4% 3
12 Northeast Oklahoma City 1,648 1.8% 10 0 0 0% -26 0 0 0% -
13 Northwest Oklahoma City 17,922 20.1% 2 2 478 2.7% 277 1 300 1.7% 2
14 Outlying Cleveland County 86 0.1% 15 1 24 27.9% 45 0 0 0% -
15 South Oklahoma City 10,143 11.4% 4 1 516 5.1% 1121 0 0 0% -
SUBMARKET RENT
Yr. Growth
Asking Rents
Per UnitSubmarketNo.
Effective Rents
RankRank Yr. GrowthRankPer SF ConcessionPer SFPer Unit
1 Canadian County 4.6%5 3.5% 5$781 14$0.90 0.7%$0.89$775
2 Central Oklahoma City 3.5%10 2.1% 10$684 7$0.79 1.4%$0.78$674
3 Downtown Oklahoma City 7.2%1 4.4% 1$1,287 6$1.51 1.5%$1.48$1,267
4 Edmond 5.3%2 2.9% 2$843 11$0.97 0.9%$0.97$836
5 Grady County 3.0%11 0.7% 11$533 10$0.73 0.9%$0.72$528
6 Lincoln County 0.3%14 0.3% 14$562 12$0.59 0.8%$0.58$558
7 Logan County 0.9%15 0.8% 15$489 9$0.54 0.9%$0.54$485
8 McClain County 3.2%12 3.1% 12$619 13$0.71 0.7%$0.70$614
9 Midwest City/Del City 5.1%8 2.9% 8$690 8$0.83 1.1%$0.82$683
10 Moore 5.3%3 4.1% 3$786 5$0.92 1.5%$0.91$774
11 Norman 4.1%4 2.0% 4$766 4$0.92 1.8%$0.90$753
12 Northeast Oklahoma City -4.5%6 -1.8% 6$800 1$0.90 3.3%$0.87$774
13 Northwest Oklahoma City 2.7%7 1.7% 7$756 2$0.86 2.1%$0.84$740
14 Outlying Cleveland County 0.8%13 0.8% 13$552 15$0.68 0.6%$0.68$548
15 South Oklahoma City 3.5%9 2.6% 9$660 3$0.82 1.8%$0.81$648
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SubmarketsOklahoma City Multi-Family
SUBMARKET VACANCY & ABSORPTION
12 Month Absorption
Rank Construct. Ratio
Vacancy
Units % of InvUnits PercentSubmarketNo. Rank
1 Canadian County 245 5.9% -(55) -1.3% 151
2 Central Oklahoma City 2,596 13.9% 0.826 0.1% 914
3 Downtown Oklahoma City 653 13.6% 2.2155 3.2% 513
4 Edmond 418 6.3% 0.282 1.2% 62
5 Grady County 72 15.5% -(2) -0.4% 1415
6 Lincoln County 16 10.7% -1 0.7% 1112
7 Logan County 15 8.0% -1 0.6% 117
8 McClain County 21 6.6% -2 0.8% 103
9 Midwest City/Del City 551 8.6% 0.830 0.5% 88
10 Moore 425 7.3% -181 3.1% 45
11 Norman 1,055 8.9% 0.2276 2.3% 39
12 Northeast Oklahoma City 128 7.8% -40 2.5% 76
13 Northwest Oklahoma City 1,659 9.3% 0.5575 3.2% 110
14 Outlying Cleveland County 6 7.0% -0 0% -4
15 South Oklahoma City 1,055 10.4% -300 3.0% 211
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AppendixOklahoma City Multi-Family
OVERALL SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 855 0.9%92,850 749 0.8% 1.1
2022 783 0.9%91,995 638 0.7% 1.2
2021 775 0.9%91,212 617 0.7% 1.3
2020 611 0.7%90,437 726 0.8% 0.8
2019 815 0.9%89,826 1,216 1.4% 0.7
YTD 345 0.4%89,356 737 0.8% 0.5
2018 1,008 1.1%89,011 2,039 2.3% 0.5
2017 855 1.0%88,003 1,361 1.5% 0.6
2016 1,841 2.2%87,148 (491) -0.6% -
2015 2,326 2.8%85,307 895 1.0% 2.6
2014 1,465 1.8%82,981 1,431 1.7% 1.0
2013 1,635 2.0%81,516 1,045 1.3% 1.6
2012 1,089 1.4%79,881 1,280 1.6% 0.9
2011 407 0.5%78,792 376 0.5% 1.1
2010 978 1.3%78,385 1,545 2.0% 0.6
2009 842 1.1%77,407 151 0.2% 5.6
2008 14 0%76,565 4 0% 3.5
2007 311 0.4%76,551 (231) -0.3% -
4 & 5 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 950 4.5%22,262 820 3.7% 1.2
2022 877 4.3%21,312 712 3.3% 1.2
2021 677 3.4%20,435 599 2.9% 1.1
2020 707 3.7%19,758 589 3.0% 1.2
2019 847 4.7%19,051 785 4.1% 1.1
YTD 345 1.9%18,549 247 1.3% 1.4
2018 587 3.3%18,204 1,105 6.1% 0.5
2017 838 5.0%17,617 809 4.6% 1.0
2016 1,794 12.0%16,779 1,780 10.6% 1.0
2015 2,576 20.8%14,985 1,635 10.9% 1.6
2014 1,521 14.0%12,409 1,441 11.6% 1.1
2013 1,556 16.7%10,888 1,241 11.4% 1.3
2012 1,566 20.2%9,332 1,400 15.0% 1.1
2011 838 12.1%7,766 817 10.5% 1.0
2010 972 16.3%6,928 995 14.4% 1.0
2009 990 19.9%5,956 822 13.8% 1.2
2008 0 0%4,966 (32) -0.6% 0
2007 303 6.5%4,966 275 5.5% 1.1
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AppendixOklahoma City Multi-Family
3 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 0 0%38,272 (11) 0% 0
2022 0 0%38,272 1 0% 0
2021 193 0.5%38,272 109 0.3% 1.8
2020 0 0%38,079 105 0.3% 0
2019 17 0%38,079 374 1.0% 0
YTD 0 0%38,062 429 1.1% 0
2018 421 1.1%38,062 452 1.2% 0.9
2017 17 0%37,641 368 1.0% 0
2016 52 0.1%37,624 (1,138) -3.0% 0
2015 10 0%37,572 (398) -1.1% 0
2014 52 0.1%37,562 3 0% 17.3
2013 108 0.3%37,510 (83) -0.2% -
2012 28 0.1%37,402 222 0.6% 0.1
2011 (436) -1.2%37,374 (473) -1.3% 0.9
2010 0 0%37,810 341 0.9% 0
2009 (148) -0.4%37,810 (370) -1.0% 0.4
2008 6 0%37,958 103 0.3% 0.1
2007 8 0%37,952 (321) -0.8% 0
1 & 2 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 (95) -0.3%32,316 (60) -0.2% 1.6
2022 (94) -0.3%32,411 (75) -0.2% 1.3
2021 (95) -0.3%32,505 (91) -0.3% 1.0
2020 (96) -0.3%32,600 32 0.1% -
2019 (49) -0.1%32,696 57 0.2% -
YTD 0 0%32,745 61 0.2% 0
2018 0 0%32,745 482 1.5% 0
2017 0 0%32,745 184 0.6% 0
2016 (5) 0%32,745 (1,133) -3.5% 0
2015 (260) -0.8%32,750 (342) -1.0% 0.8
2014 (108) -0.3%33,010 (13) 0% 8.3
2013 (29) -0.1%33,118 (113) -0.3% 0.3
2012 (505) -1.5%33,147 (342) -1.0% 1.5
2011 5 0%33,652 32 0.1% 0.2
2010 6 0%33,647 209 0.6% 0
2009 0 0%33,641 (301) -0.9% 0
2008 8 0%33,641 (67) -0.2% -
2007 0 0%33,633 (185) -0.6% 0
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AppendixOklahoma City Multi-Family
OVERALL VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
02023 9.7% 09,002 $789 $0.93 0.8% $776 $0.91
0.12022 9.7% 0.18,894 $783 $0.92 0.8% $770 $0.90
(0.6)2021 9.6% 0.18,752 $777 $0.91 0.7% $764 $0.90
(0.4)2020 9.5% (0.2)8,596 $771 $0.90 1.3% $758 $0.89
02019 9.7% (0.8)8,709 $761 $0.89 1.7% $748 $0.88
(0.1)YTD 10.0% (0.5)8,916 $761 $0.89 1.6% $748 $0.88
0.42018 10.5% (1.3)9,310 $748 $0.88 1.7% $732 $0.86
2.02017 11.8% (0.7)10,340 $736 $0.86 1.3% $712 $0.83
(2.9)2016 12.4% 2.510,837 $726 $0.85 -0.7% $701 $0.82
(0.2)2015 10.0% 1.48,518 $731 $0.86 2.3% $714 $0.84
(0.7)2014 8.5% (0.1)7,091 $715 $0.84 2.4% $710 $0.83
0.22013 8.7% 0.67,057 $698 $0.82 3.2% $691 $0.81
1.62012 8.1% (0.3)6,469 $677 $0.79 3.0% $672 $0.79
1.22011 8.4% 06,654 $657 $0.77 1.4% $653 $0.77
2.82010 8.5% (0.8)6,629 $648 $0.76 0.2% $644 $0.76
(5.9)2009 9.3% 0.87,191 $647 $0.76 -2.7% $642 $0.75
(0.7)2008 8.5% 06,499 $665 $0.78 3.2% $661 $0.77
-2007 8.5% 0.76,495 $644 $0.76 3.8% $640 $0.75
4 & 5 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.1)2023 8.9% 0.21,988 $1,070 $1.16 0.7% $1,052 $1.14
02022 8.7% 0.41,859 $1,062 $1.15 0.8% $1,044 $1.13
(0.7)2021 8.3% 0.11,694 $1,053 $1.14 0.8% $1,036 $1.12
(1.3)2020 8.2% 0.31,617 $1,044 $1.13 1.6% $1,027 $1.11
1.12019 7.9% (0.2)1,498 $1,028 $1.11 2.8% $1,011 $1.10
1.2YTD 8.4% 0.41,559 $1,029 $1.12 3.0% $1,012 $1.10
1.12018 8.0% (3.2)1,460 $1,000 $1.08 1.7% $982 $1.06
3.82017 11.2% (0.4)1,978 $983 $1.06 0.6% $950 $1.03
(3.7)2016 11.6% (1.3)1,948 $976 $1.06 -3.1% $943 $1.02
(1.0)2015 12.9% 4.91,933 $1,008 $1.09 0.6% $989 $1.07
(1.9)2014 8.0% (0.4)991 $1,002 $1.09 1.6% $996 $1.08
0.42013 8.4% 2.0911 $986 $1.07 3.6% $973 $1.05
0.82012 6.4% 0.9597 $952 $1.03 3.1% $948 $1.03
2.42011 5.5% (0.4)431 $923 $1.00 2.3% $918 $0.99
3.42010 5.9% (1.4)410 $902 $0.98 0% $896 $0.97
(6.4)2009 7.3% 1.9434 $902 $0.98 -3.4% $895 $0.97
(0.6)2008 5.3% 0.6265 $934 $1.01 2.9% $930 $1.01
-2007 4.7% 0.3235 $908 $0.98 3.6% $902 $0.98
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AppendixOklahoma City Multi-Family
3 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
02023 9.2% 03,507 $757 $0.90 0.9% $743 $0.89
0.12022 9.1% 03,496 $750 $0.90 0.9% $737 $0.88
(0.5)2021 9.1% 0.23,498 $743 $0.89 0.8% $730 $0.87
0.22020 9.0% (0.3)3,415 $737 $0.88 1.3% $724 $0.87
(0.7)2019 9.2% (1.4)3,520 $728 $0.87 1.1% $715 $0.86
(0.6)YTD 9.5% (1.1)3,629 $728 $0.87 1.2% $717 $0.86
02018 10.7% (0.2)4,058 $720 $0.86 1.8% $701 $0.84
2.32017 10.9% (0.9)4,091 $707 $0.84 1.8% $682 $0.81
(3.2)2016 11.8% 3.14,441 $695 $0.83 -0.6% $668 $0.80
(0.1)2015 8.7% 1.13,253 $699 $0.83 2.6% $680 $0.81
(0.2)2014 7.6% 0.12,847 $681 $0.81 2.7% $676 $0.81
(0.5)2013 7.5% 0.52,798 $663 $0.79 2.9% $657 $0.78
2.22012 7.0% (0.5)2,608 $644 $0.77 3.5% $638 $0.76
0.92011 7.5% 0.22,801 $623 $0.74 1.3% $619 $0.74
2.32010 7.3% (0.9)2,764 $615 $0.73 0.4% $611 $0.73
(5.5)2009 8.2% 0.63,105 $612 $0.73 -1.9% $608 $0.73
(0.4)2008 7.6% (0.3)2,883 $624 $0.75 3.6% $620 $0.74
-2007 7.8% 0.92,979 $602 $0.72 4.1% $598 $0.71
1 & 2 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
02023 10.9% (0.1)3,507 $649 $0.78 0.6% $639 $0.77
0.12022 10.9% 03,539 $645 $0.78 0.7% $635 $0.77
(0.4)2021 10.9% 03,559 $641 $0.77 0.6% $631 $0.76
(0.2)2020 10.9% (0.4)3,564 $637 $0.77 1.0% $627 $0.76
(0.3)2019 11.3% (0.3)3,692 $631 $0.76 1.2% $621 $0.75
(0.7)YTD 11.4% (0.2)3,728 $628 $0.76 0.8% $619 $0.75
0.22018 11.6% (1.5)3,792 $623 $0.75 1.5% $610 $0.74
(0.5)2017 13.0% (0.5)4,271 $614 $0.74 1.4% $596 $0.72
(1.7)2016 13.6% 3.44,448 $606 $0.73 1.9% $589 $0.71
0.72015 10.2% 0.33,331 $594 $0.72 3.6% $581 $0.70
(0.2)2014 9.9% (0.3)3,252 $574 $0.69 2.8% $569 $0.69
0.92013 10.1% 0.33,347 $558 $0.67 3.0% $553 $0.67
1.62012 9.8% (0.3)3,264 $542 $0.65 2.1% $537 $0.65
0.42011 10.2% (0.1)3,422 $531 $0.64 0.5% $527 $0.64
3.12010 10.3% (0.6)3,455 $528 $0.64 0.1% $524 $0.63
(5.8)2009 10.9% 0.93,653 $527 $0.64 -2.9% $523 $0.63
(1.0)2008 10.0% 0.23,351 $543 $0.66 2.8% $540 $0.65
-2007 9.8% 0.63,281 $529 $0.64 3.8% $525 $0.63
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AppendixOklahoma City Multi-Family
OVERALL SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 182- $63,035 8.0%
2022 -- - -- 181- $62,631 8.0%
2021 -- - -- 180- $62,429 7.9%
2020 -- - -- 181- $62,833 7.8%
2019 -- - -- 180- $62,364 7.8%
YTD $168.7 M24 2.6% $72,293$7,030,500 1777.2% $61,399 7.7%
2018 $407.1 M79 9.7% $50,589$5,501,845 1737.6% $59,901 7.7%
2017 $424.4 M97 9.4% $55,431$4,877,934 1667.9% $57,474 7.8%
2016 $333.7 M74 7.5% $55,540$5,133,571 1598.4% $54,949 7.8%
2015 $330.9 M77 8.0% $48,739$4,297,220 1559.2% $53,787 7.8%
2014 $279.8 M60 8.1% $44,365$4,823,515 1498.5% $51,577 7.9%
2013 $304.2 M43 6.6% $60,173$7,605,853 1399.7% $48,141 8.2%
2012 $219.7 M43 5.8% $51,153$5,780,342 1378.1% $47,462 8.1%
2011 $93.7 M27 3.5% $34,388$3,470,630 1319.3% $45,223 8.2%
2010 $78.3 M29 3.6% $27,612$2,698,379 1219.5% $41,888 8.4%
2009 $76.5 M36 5.6% $22,069$2,389,687 919.5% $31,648 9.4%
2008 $239.8 M30 6.4% $48,681$7,993,469 1009.2% $34,637 9.1%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
4 & 5 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 187- $106,151 7.1%
2022 -- - -- 185- $105,555 7.1%
2021 -- - -- 185- $105,278 7.1%
2020 -- - -- 186- $105,956 7.0%
2019 -- - -- 185- $105,000 6.9%
YTD $113.6 M2 5.2% $118,333$56,800,000 1815.7% $103,039 6.9%
2018 $41.3 M3 2.0% $111,829$13,755,000 1776.7% $100,848 6.9%
2017 $138.3 M3 4.8% $164,305$46,115,000 1735.6% $98,711 6.8%
2016 $133.2 M5 7.3% $108,089$26,633,200 1655.9% $93,669 6.9%
2015 $36.2 M1 2.0% $120,833$36,250,000 1615.6% $91,419 6.9%
2014 $67.6 M4 6.4% $84,881$16,891,386 1546.6% $87,545 7.0%
2013 $197.9 M6 16.0% $113,407$32,982,554 1447.2% $81,679 7.2%
2012 $155.7 M4 16.7% $99,808$38,925,000 1416.8% $80,319 7.2%
2011 $15.8 M1 2.8% $73,102$15,790,000 1326.0% $75,393 7.3%
2010 $19.7 M1 3.5% $80,738$19,700,000 1236.5% $70,082 7.5%
2009 $20.7 M1 6.7% $51,930$20,668,000 93- $52,978 8.4%
2008 $108.3 M4 23.7% $91,879$27,081,408 1007.6% $56,906 8.2%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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AppendixOklahoma City Multi-Family
3 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 180- $58,589 7.9%
2022 -- - -- 179- $58,170 7.9%
2021 -- - -- 178- $57,940 7.8%
2020 -- - -- 179- $58,283 7.7%
2019 -- - -- 178- $57,847 7.7%
YTD $17.1 M8 1.0% $45,523$2,133,875 1757.7% $57,005 7.6%
2018 $265.6 M23 12.9% $58,389$12,073,336 1695.8% $54,917 7.7%
2017 $182.8 M21 10.7% $50,683$10,753,826 1627.0% $52,516 7.7%
2016 $109.6 M20 6.7% $50,813$6,089,058 1567.5% $50,693 7.8%
2015 $198.5 M22 9.5% $55,891$9,021,386 1548.8% $49,870 7.7%
2014 $158.0 M23 11.4% $40,799$7,182,498 1487.2% $48,106 7.7%
2013 $58.7 M8 3.0% $63,837$8,380,825 1387.4% $44,725 8.0%
2012 $30.9 M9 3.0% $39,716$5,143,167 1368.4% $44,265 8.0%
2011 $49.2 M5 3.7% $35,718$9,844,000 1318.2% $42,453 8.0%
2010 $38.0 M8 3.3% $30,209$4,750,438 1219.1% $39,335 8.2%
2009 $21.0 M11 5.3% $18,133$2,329,111 91- $29,679 9.2%
2008 $105.0 M13 6.8% $40,640$8,078,077 1009.2% $32,484 8.9%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
1 & 2 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 178- $42,466 8.6%
2022 -- - -- 177- $42,193 8.6%
2021 -- - -- 176- $42,068 8.5%
2020 -- - -- 178- $42,380 8.4%
2019 -- - -- 177- $42,165 8.4%
YTD $38.1 M14 3.1% $38,099$2,718,643 1757.1% $41,652 8.3%
2018 $100.3 M53 10.2% $32,031$2,046,084 1738.7% $41,255 8.3%
2017 $103.2 M73 10.5% $32,186$1,540,600 1628.5% $38,625 8.4%
2016 $90.9 M49 8.6% $34,713$2,164,597 1549.1% $36,782 8.5%
2015 $96.2 M54 9.0% $32,732$1,780,842 1509.6% $35,876 8.5%
2014 $54.2 M33 5.0% $33,099$1,693,230 14310.2% $34,138 8.6%
2013 $47.7 M29 7.6% $19,930$1,765,667 13510.6% $32,090 8.9%
2012 $33.1 M30 6.0% $16,911$1,181,929 1328.8% $31,563 8.9%
2011 $28.7 M21 3.4% $25,373$1,366,524 12810.3% $30,432 8.9%
2010 $20.5 M20 4.0% $15,428$1,027,475 11810.2% $28,023 9.2%
2009 $34.8 M24 5.8% $18,231$1,583,636 899.5% $21,203 10.3%
2008 $26.5 M13 3.5% $22,754$2,035,648 1009.6% $23,846 9.8%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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AppendixOklahoma City Multi-Family
DELIVERIES & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Net DeliveriesInventory
Bldgs Units BldgsBldgs Units VacancyYear
Under Construction
Units
Deliveries
Bldgs Units
2023 92,850 9.7%- - 955 - -- 855
2022 91,995 9.7%- - 884 - -- 782
2021 91,213 9.6%- - 874 - -- 775
2020 90,438 9.5%- - 709 - -- 611
2019 89,827 9.7%- - 864 - -- 816
YTD 89,356 10.0%1,008 1 345 6 1,2281 345
2018 89,011 10.5%1,007 8 1,008 7 1,5738 1,008
2017 88,003 11.8%999 5 855 12 1,8485 855
2016 87,148 12.4%994 13 1,846 9 1,65712 1,841
2015 85,307 10.0%982 10 2,586 15 2,3589 2,326
2014 82,981 8.5%973 8 1,573 17 3,8486 1,465
2013 81,516 8.7%967 8 1,664 11 2,0137 1,635
2012 79,881 8.1%960 10 1,594 12 2,2758 1,089
2011 78,792 8.4%952 3 843 13 1,9902 407
2010 78,385 8.5%950 4 978 5 1,1594 978
2009 77,407 9.3%946 6 1,039 5 1,4985 842
2008 76,565 8.5%941 2 14 9 2,0112 14
2007 76,551 8.5%939 2 311 6 1,0282 311
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Tulsa Market
PREPARED BY
Alexander Philips
CEO & CIO
Multi-Family Market Report
MULTI-FAMILY MARKET REPORT
Market Key Statistics 2
Vacancy 3
Rent 5
Construction 9
Under Construction Properties 10
Sales 11
Sales Past 12 Months 12
Economy 14
Market Submarkets 16
Supply & Demand Trends 19
Vacancy & Rent 21
Sale Trends 23
Deliveries & Under Construction 25
Tulsa Multi-Family
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OverviewTulsa Multi-Family
12 Mo. Delivered Units
18812 Mo. Absorption Units
927Vacancy Rate
9.0%12 Mo. Asking Rent Growth
2.5%The Tulsa multifamily market has seen elevated demandduring the past year, but it experienced a slowdown inthe first half of 2019. However, vacancies have continuedto drop and were roughly in line with the metro'shistorical average as of 19Q2. Consequently, rents haveimproved, experiencing a nearly 2.5% increase in thepast 12 months. Vacancies and rents will likely continueto benefit from the slowdown in development that hasoccurred, and the immediate outlook for 2019 isforecasted to fall short of metro norms.
Recent employment gains have benefited the Tulsa
multifamily market by way of elevated demand since thebeginning of last year. Companies have increased hiringamid rising oil prices, and apartments have been a clearbenefactor. However, oil price fluctuation could have afurther impact on apartment fundamentals in 2019, asthe uncertainty of the energy sector remains.
The improving economic conditions have also enticedinvestors, and the out-of-state presence contributed tothe cycle's second highest total volume in 2018.Investment activity has persisted into 2019, with nearlyall deals coming from non-Oklahoman buyers.
KEY INDICATORS
Asking RentVacancy RateUnitsCurrent Quarter Effective RentAbsorption
UnitsDelivered Units
Under ConstrUnits
$9427.7%13,9174 & 5 Star $927 156 97 525
$6698.8%29,2353 Star $654 (5) 0 0
$62110.5%15,7591 & 2 Star $615 0 0 0
$7269.0%58,911Market $713 151 97 525
ForecastAverage
HistoricalAverage
12 MonthAnnual Trends Peak When Trough When
9.7%9.1%-1.3%Vacancy Change (YOY) 11.7% 2017 Q4 7.3% 2007 Q3
144501927Absorption Units 1,556 2018 Q4 (755) 2016 Q4
347624188Delivered Units 1,955 2009 Q3 8 2003 Q4
7570Demolished Units 639 2015 Q4 0 2019 Q1
1.2%1.2%2.5%Asking Rent Growth (YOY) 3.5% 2001 Q1 -1.8% 2009 Q4
1.5%1.1%4.8%Effective Rent Growth (YOY) 4.4% 2019 Q2 -2.7% 2016 Q3
N/A$138.9M$373 MSales Volume $412.7M 2019 Q1 $0 2006 Q1
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VacancyTulsa Multi-Family
Thanks to low development and increased demand,vacancies have continued to drop in the past 12 months.Development hit a cyclical low in 2018, and the outlookfor this year remains at levels below the metro’s long-term average. Roughly 520 market-rate units are underconstruction, representing a slowdown compared withmost years of the cycle.
This stoppage has allowed the market to adjust to theglut of apartments that were delivered in recent years,especially in 2017, when nearly 1,600 units came on line.Lease-up on newer properties (since 2017) hasimproved, with occupancies approaching 90% as of19Q2. This is an impressive improvement from a yearago, when these units were close to 70% occupied. Thehealth and success of the local economy have manyoptimistic on the outlook for the Tulsa multifamily market.
Elevated job growth contributed to strong absorption
throughout 2018. Tulsa’s economy has improveddrastically since the oil bust in 2014–15, and themanufacturing and trade sectors led growth amongsectors in 2018. The unemployment rate has sincetrended downwards and has returned to levels seen priorto the decrease in oil prices. As a result, demand hassignificantly improved in the past two years, andvacancies have nearly returned to historical norms forthe metro.
And while Tulsa has experienced low population growthin each of the past two years, there are several initiativesunderway that are likely to increase employment. Someof the recent projects include Sodifel Group's $360million facility, Amazon’s $130 million fulfillment center,and Whirlpool’s $55 million expansion. In total, theseprojects will add thousands of jobs in the metro, likely tobenefit apartment demand for the years to come.
ABSORPTION, NET DELIVERIES & VACANCY
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VacancyTulsa Multi-Family
VACANCY RATE
VACANCY BY BEDROOM
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RentTulsa Multi-Family
Increased demand has directly translated into higherrents in the Tulsa metro throughout 2018. Rents havecontinued to trend upwards and have now surpassedlevels prior to the oil bust in 2014-15. For the first timesince then, year-over-year growth has been at healthylevels at nearly 2.5%. Within the metro, asking rents arethe highest in the Downtown and in South Tulsa.Respectively, rents in these areas hold about a 45% and25% premium relative to the metro average. Both ofthese submarkets have seen increased demand anddevelopment in recent years, and rents are likely toremain elevated if renters continue to flock here.
During the economic downturn in 2014, lagging jobgrowth coupled with a glut of new supply, left rent growthwith much to be desired. Vacancies expanded duringthat time, causing landlords to search for ways to attractrenters, and thus concessions increased. Although,healthy economic conditions over the past 12 monthshave resulted in a shift in power from the renters to thelandlords. With only a handful of projects in theimmediate pipeline, rents a likely to increase further ifdemand persists.
DAILY ASKING RENT PER SF
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RentTulsa Multi-Family
MARKET RENT PER UNIT & RENT GROWTH
MARKET RENT PER UNIT BY BEDROOM
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RentTulsa Multi-Family
4 & 5 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Tulsa $0.82 $7.74$0.26$0.01$0.85$0.29$0.98$1.01$0.39$0.97$0.49 $1.67
Creek County $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
Downtown Tulsa $0.80 $7.06$0.24$0.01$0.75$0.28$0.88$0.88$0.36$0.95$0.45 $1.46
East Tulsa $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
Midtown South $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
Midtown Tulsa $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
North Tulsa $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
Riverside/Peoria $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
Rogers County $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
South Tulsa County $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
South Tulsa/Broken… $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
Wagoner County $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
West Tulsa County $0.82 $7.91$0.26$0.01$0.88$0.29$1.01$1.05$0.40$0.97$0.50 $1.72
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
3 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Tulsa $0.74 $4.52$0.18$0.01$0.37$0.24$0.51$0.38$0.25$0.86$0.29 $0.69
Creek County $0.75 $4.55$0.18$0.01$0.36$0.24$0.50$0.36$0.25$0.91$0.30 $0.69
Downtown Tulsa $0.75 $4.55$0.18$0.01$0.36$0.24$0.50$0.36$0.25$0.91$0.30 $0.69
East Tulsa $0.75 $4.53$0.18$0.01$0.36$0.24$0.50$0.36$0.25$0.90$0.30 $0.68
Midtown South $0.72 $4.76$0.19$0.01$0.44$0.25$0.57$0.46$0.27$0.76$0.28 $0.81
Midtown Tulsa $0.72 $4.22$0.18$0.01$0.35$0.23$0.49$0.35$0.24$0.78$0.26 $0.61
North Tulsa $0.72 $4.29$0.18$0.01$0.35$0.23$0.49$0.36$0.25$0.80$0.27 $0.63
Osage County $0.75 $4.55$0.18$0.01$0.36$0.24$0.50$0.36$0.25$0.91$0.30 $0.69
Riverside/Peoria $0.75 $4.55$0.18$0.01$0.36$0.24$0.50$0.36$0.25$0.91$0.30 $0.69
Rogers County $0.73 $4.36$0.18$0.01$0.35$0.24$0.49$0.36$0.25$0.83$0.28 $0.64
South Tulsa County $0.77 $5.39$0.20$0.01$0.49$0.25$0.63$0.53$0.29$0.92$0.35 $0.95
South Tulsa/Broken… $0.75 $4.54$0.18$0.01$0.36$0.24$0.50$0.36$0.25$0.90$0.30 $0.69
Wagoner County $0.75 $4.55$0.18$0.01$0.36$0.24$0.50$0.36$0.25$0.91$0.30 $0.69
West Tulsa County $0.75 $4.55$0.18$0.01$0.36$0.24$0.50$0.36$0.25$0.91$0.30 $0.69
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
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RentTulsa Multi-Family
1 & 2 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Tulsa $0.68 $3.78$0.18$0.01$0.33$0.23$0.48$0.35$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.51
Creek County $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Downtown Tulsa $0.68 $3.78$0.18$0.01$0.33$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.61$0.19 $0.51
East Tulsa $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Midtown South $0.68 $3.81$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.24$0.51$0.36$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Midtown Tulsa $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
North Tulsa $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Okmulgee County $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Pawnee County $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Riverside/Peoria $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Rogers County $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
South Tulsa County $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
South Tulsa/Broken… $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Wagoner County $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
West Tulsa County $0.68 $3.74$0.18$0.01$0.32$0.23$0.47$0.34$0.23$0.59$0.19 $0.50
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
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ConstructionTulsa Multi-Family
After a large supply wave over the past several years,multifamily development has come to a halt. The leastamount of units came online last year since 2010 andlevels are likely to remain below averages. Coming off apinnacle year in 2017 when nearly 1,600 units delivered,the Tulsa metro's vacancies hit record highs and lease-up on new apartments struggled for the entirety of theyear. However, with increased job growth, lease-up onrecent deliveries has been robust and occupancies areclose to 90% as of May. With little development in thepipeline, vacancies are likely to continue to fall this year.
South Tulsa has been the primary location for newdevelopment recently, with more than 1,200 unitsdelivering since 2017. Of these units delivered, thelargest project is 71 at Tulsa Hills, which finisheddelivering its final units in early 2018. The 4 Star, 341-unit property was nearly fully occupied as of May. Morerecently, the 97-unit 727 Lofts completed in early 2019along the Arkansas River. With the increaseddevelopment and easy access to downtown, manyrenters have been attracted to this area.
DELIVERIES & DEMOLITIONS
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Under Construction PropertiesTulsa Multi-Family
Properties
7Units
525Percent of Inventory
0.9%Avg. No. Units
75UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTIES
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Property Name/Address Rating Units Stories Start Complete Developer/Owner
Sep-20171717 Riverside Dr
The Cosmopolitan Apart…264 5 Jul-2019
Bomasada Group, Inc.
Bomasada Group, Inc.1
Feb-2019305 N Main St
90 4 Mar-2020Cowen Construction
Cowen Construction2
Jan-2019111 W 5th St
111 Lofts69 10 Aug-2019
-
-3
Mar-2019703 S Owasso Ave
The Village Flats54 3 Dec-2019
Tulsa Property Group
-4
Apr-201812650 E 100th St N
Legacy East 10020 - Jun-2019
-
Simmons + Kourtis5
Oct-20181515 E 15th St
1515 Cherry Street and T…15 4 Oct-2019
Oak Properties LLC
-6
May-2017102 S Main St
Mowery Lofts13 2 Jun-2019
-
Steve & Renee Mowery7
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SalesTulsa Multi-Family
Improving economic conditions spurred increased salesactivity in the Tulsa metro throughout 2018 and into thisyear. In the second highest year this cycle, the metrorecorded nearly $345 million in transactions last year.This is due in large part to the increased activity fromout-of-state buyers, which make up the top five deals of2018 in terms of volume. Among the top trades, HamiltonPoint Investments controls the top two: the 296-unitStonehaven Villas ($30 million, or 101,000/unit) and the260-unit Preston Lakes apartments ($26.35 million, or$101,000/unit). These are located in the South Tulsa/
Broken Arrow Submarket, an area which has seen robustactivity in the past few years.
While Class A properties made up the lion share of dealsin 2018, typically, sales in the Tulsa metro involve 1 & 2Star or 3 Star properties that go for$30,000–$50,000/unit. Cap rates for these properties aretypically 8%–12%, significantly higher than in nearbymetros like Oklahoma City and Northwest Arkansas, letalone core coastal metros.
SALES VOLUME & MARKET SALE PRICE PER UNIT
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Sales Past 12 MonthsTulsa Multi-Family
Sale Comparables
55Avg. Price/Unit (thous.)
$63Average Price (mil.)
$7.8Average Vacancy at Sale
9.3%SALE COMPARABLE LOCATIONS
SALE COMPARABLES SUMMARY STATISTICS
Sales Attributes Low Average Median High
Sale Price $180,000 $7,794,738 $2,029,000 $37,500,000
Price Per Unit $9,259 $63,446 $45,061 $233,333
Cap Rate 5.3% 7.0% 6.3% 11.0%
Vacancy Rate at Sale 0% 9.3% 9.4% 46.4%
Time Since Sale in Months 0.9 7.5 7.8 12.0
Property Attributes Low Average Median High
Property Size in Units 5 148 89 651
Number of Floors 1 2 2 4
Average Unit SF 417 812 798 1,144
Year Built 1918 1971 1973 2015
Star Rating 2.6
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Sales Past 12 MonthsTulsa Multi-Family
RECENT SIGNIFICANT SALES
Sale InformationProperty Information
RatingProperty Name/Address Yr Built Units Vacancy Sale Date Price Price/Unit Price/SF
8601 S Mingo Rd- 2015
Atria Luxury Apartments1 285 5.3% 12/5/2018 $37,500,000 $131,578 $84
9303 E 81st St- 2009
Sonoma Grande Luxury Apart…2 336 8.0% 3/20/2019 $35,067,000 $104,366 $100
5202 E 81st St- 2000
The Vintage on Yale3 360 9.4% 12/12/2018 $35,000,000 $97,222 $102
7705 S Mingo Rd- 2006
Estancia Luxury Apartments4 294 6.5% 3/20/2019 $30,683,000 $104,363 $90
8110 S 107th Ave- 1999
Stonehaven Villas5 296 9.1% 6/14/2018 $30,000,000 $101,351 $106
5181 S Harvard Ave- 1984
Waterford Tulsa Apartments6 344 5.2% 10/16/2018 $23,564,000 $68,500 $96
1800 W Granger St- 2006
The Heights at Battle Creek7 276 8.7% 8/15/2018 $23,500,000 $85,144 $82
2505 E 88th St- 1974
Bandon Trails Apartments8 340 10.0% 10/26/2018 $22,500,000 $66,176 $70
9601 E 21st Pl- 1974
Shoreline Apartments9 464 9.7% 6/7/2018 $18,800,000 $40,517 $52
10011 S Sheridan Rd- 1985
Bellevue at Sheridan10 256 8.2% 12/13/2018 $16,250,000 $63,476 $81
910 E 61st St S- 1982
The View at Riverside11 328 18.9% 6/28/2018 $15,119,000 $46,094 $65
2302 S 137th East Ave- 1975
Metro Plex Apartments12 216 10.7% 10/24/2018 $9,881,500 $45,747 $38
1563 S 79th East Ave- 1972
The Woods at 79th13 206 8.3% 6/28/2018 $9,495,500 $46,094 $28
1054 E 57th Pl- 1978
Waterstone Apartments14 243 8.2% 3/20/2019 $9,150,000 $37,654 $53
2929 S 129th East Pl- 1984
Ashwood Apartments15 144 4.2% 8/20/2018 $6,650,000 $46,180 $58
1801 S 132nd East Pl- 1974
Summer Stone Duplexes16 172 1.2% 3/8/2019 $6,517,000 $37,889 $41
9743 E 12th St- 1973
Madison Park Apartments17 128 3.1% 6/14/2018 $5,000,000 $39,062 $46
444 S Mingo Rd- 1968
Meadowbrook Apartments18 116 7.8% 10/12/2018 $4,100,000 $35,344 $42
10156 E Admiral Blvd- 1971
The Addison Apartments19 160 13.1% 12/21/2018 $3,950,000 $24,687 $29
4646 S Fulton Ave- 1980
Heston Pointe20 60 18.3% 5/29/2018 $3,700,000 $61,666 $77
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EconomyTulsa Multi-Family
Tulsa’s job market has improved significantly, eclipsingthe national average for year-over-year job growth inthe last quarter of 2017 and remaining above throughoutlast year into 2019. Employment gains have continuedthroughout the year, and companies are starting to feelthe stability of the economy for the first time since the oildownturn in 2014-15.
With the heavy reliance of the energy industry, Tulsa feltthe brunt of the decrease in oil prices with the loss ofthousands of jobs. Since then, employment growth hasregained momentum and the unemployment rate hasreturned to the same levels as when the oils pricesstarted to dive. The energy market has certainly begun to
regain its footing, and Oklahoma’s rig count hascontinued to rise reaching a three-year high as of 19Q1.Much of this success can be attributed to the continuedgrowth in the Cana Woodford Basin – home to theSCOOP and STACK fields.
The aerospace manufacturing sector, another one ofTulsa’s major industries, has also started to begin addingback jobs. The Tulsa area has nearly 20,000 aerospaceworkers, led by giant manufacturers and overhaulfacilities at Spirit AeroSystems, NORDAM and AmericanAirlines. Aerospace parts manufacturing has continued toexpand in the metro and now has about 1.4% higherconcentration relative to the nation as a whole.
TULSA EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY IN THOUSANDS
NAICS Industry Jobs LQ MarketUS USMarketUSMarket
Current Jobs Current Growth 10 Yr Historical 5 Yr Forecast
0.13%0.35%0.61%-0.09%1.69%1.46%1.455Manufacturing
0.45%1.13%1.08%0.88%1.13%1.06%1.085Trade, Transportation and Utilities
0.33%0.68%0.80%0.64%0.06%-0.75%1.048 Retail Trade
0.43%0.09%0.91%-0.32%1.28%-0.33%0.924Financial Activities
0.77%0.82%-0.03%-0.23%0.49%-3.00%0.855Government
0.32%0.05%1.71%1.51%3.68%6.30%1.333Natural Resources, Mining and Construction
0.33%-0.11%2.09%1.25%2.06%0.76%1.072Education and Health Services
0.91%0.55%2.48%0.58%2.51%-0.17%0.960Professional and Business Services
0.45%0.15%-0.06%-2.70%-0.05%-1.99%0.87Information
0.41%0.76%2.41%2.14%2.31%2.30%0.946Leisure and Hospitality
0.23%0.78%0.91%1.85%1.15%0.99%1.221Other Services
Total Employment 457 1.0 0.75% 1.67% 0.71% 1.33% 0.53% 0.50%
Source: Oxford Economics
LQ = Location Quotient
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EconomyTulsa Multi-Family
Source: Oxford Economics
YEAR OVER YEAR JOB GROWTH
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
Current ChangeCurrent Level
Metro U.S.Metro U.S.Demographic Category
10-Year Change
Metro U.S. Metro U.S.
Forecast Change (5 Yrs)
Population 328,988,8131,000,767 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Households 121,188,641382,755 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6%
Median Household Income $63,753$53,484 1.6% 3.7% 1.3% 2.2% 5.1% 4.3%
Labor Force 163,511,781489,074 0.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
Unemployment 3.8%3.2% -0.8% -0.1% -0.3% -0.5% - -
Source: Oxford Economics
POPULATION GROWTH
Source: Oxford Economics
LABOR FORCE GROWTH INCOME GROWTH
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SubmarketsTulsa Multi-Family
TULSA SUBMARKETS
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SubmarketsTulsa Multi-Family
SUBMARKET INVENTORY
12 Month Deliveries Under Construction
Bldgs Units Percent Rank
Inventory
Bldgs Units Percent RankBldgs Units % Market RankSubmarketNo.
1 Creek County 384 0.7% 12 0 0 0% -9 0 0 0% -
2 Downtown Tulsa 3,370 5.7% 8 4 402 11.9% 1166 1 62 1.8% 2
3 East Tulsa 6,163 10.5% 3 0 0 0% -31 0 0 0% -
4 Midtown South 6,684 11.3% 2 0 0 0% -54 0 0 0% -
5 Midtown Tulsa 4,065 6.9% 4 0 0 0% -85 0 0 0% -
6 North Tulsa 3,505 5.9% 7 2 33 0.9% 345 1 10 0.3% 3
7 Okmulgee County 150 0.3% 13 0 0 0% -6 0 0 0% -
8 Osage County 31 0.1% 15 0 0 0% -1 0 0 0% -
9 Pawnee County 82 0.1% 14 0 0 0% -2 0 0 0% -
10 Riverside/Peoria 3,787 6.4% 5 0 0 0% -40 0 0 0% -
11 Rogers County 1,030 1.7% 10 0 0 0% -22 1 9 0.9% 4
12 South Tulsa County 3,657 6.2% 6 0 0 0% -26 2 107 2.9% 1
13 South Tulsa/Broken Arrow 23,631 40.1% 1 1 90 0.4% 2111 0 0 0% -
14 Wagoner County 838 1.4% 11 0 0 0% -8 0 0 0% -
15 West Tulsa County 1,534 2.6% 9 0 0 0% -16 0 0 0% -
SUBMARKET RENT
Yr. Growth
Asking Rents
Per UnitSubmarketNo.
Effective Rents
RankRank Yr. GrowthRankPer SF ConcessionPer SFPer Unit
1 Creek County 7.5%13 3.4% 13$679 4$0.76 1.9%$0.74$666
2 Downtown Tulsa 1.8%1 1.3% 1$1,059 6$1.31 1.6%$1.29$1,042
3 East Tulsa 5.7%9 3.3% 9$625 7$0.79 1.4%$0.78$616
4 Midtown South 5.3%12 2.5% 12$646 2$0.77 2.2%$0.76$632
5 Midtown Tulsa 1.8%11 1.1% 11$619 8$0.78 1.4%$0.77$610
6 North Tulsa 6.3%4 4.3% 4$789 10$0.90 1.1%$0.89$780
7 Okmulgee County 1.0%10 1.0% 10$584 13$0.78 0.8%$0.78$580
8 Osage County 2.0%15 2.0% 15$421 12$0.60 0.8%$0.60$417
9 Pawnee County 3.4%14 0.6% 14$491 14$0.67 0.5%$0.67$489
10 Riverside/Peoria 3.0%7 2.1% 7$652 5$0.83 1.8%$0.82$640
11 Rogers County 5.5%8 2.9% 8$700 15$0.81 0.3%$0.81$698
12 South Tulsa County 8.1%2 5.5% 2$922 9$1.01 1.1%$1.00$911
13 South Tulsa/Broken Arrow 4.9%6 2.0% 6$730 3$0.86 2.0%$0.84$716
14 Wagoner County 1.0%5 1.1% 5$802 1$0.87 2.9%$0.85$778
15 West Tulsa County 6.1%3 2.5% 3$694 11$0.92 0.9%$0.91$688
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SubmarketsTulsa Multi-Family
SUBMARKET VACANCY & ABSORPTION
12 Month Absorption
Rank Construct. Ratio
Vacancy
Units % of InvUnits PercentSubmarketNo. Rank
1 Creek County 43 11.1% -2 0.6% 712
2 Downtown Tulsa 459 13.6% 0.3221 6.6% 314
3 East Tulsa 389 6.3% -164 2.7% 43
4 Midtown South 841 12.6% -(75) -1.1% 1413
5 Midtown Tulsa 395 9.7% -(72) -1.8% 1311
6 North Tulsa 268 7.7% 6.42 0% 97
7 Okmulgee County 12 7.9% -1 1.0% 109
8 Osage County 2 7.4% -0 0% -6
9 Pawnee County 3 3.3% -0 0% -1
10 Riverside/Peoria 571 15.1% -(84) -2.2% 1515
11 Rogers County 50 4.8% 0.615 1.5% 62
12 South Tulsa County 241 6.6% 0.3366 10.0% 14
13 South Tulsa/Broken Arrow 1,844 7.8% -347 1.5% 28
14 Wagoner County 56 6.7% -2 0.2% 85
15 West Tulsa County 121 7.9% -41 2.7% 510
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AppendixTulsa Multi-Family
OVERALL SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 411 0.7%60,521 132 0.2% 3.1
2022 396 0.7%60,110 63 0.1% 6.3
2021 339 0.6%59,714 53 0.1% 6.4
2020 204 0.3%59,375 48 0.1% 4.3
2019 366 0.6%59,171 355 0.6% 1.0
YTD 106 0.2%58,911 234 0.4% 0.5
2018 82 0.1%58,805 1,556 2.6% 0.1
2017 1,594 2.8%58,723 883 1.5% 1.8
2016 481 0.8%57,129 (755) -1.3% -
2015 686 1.2%56,648 327 0.6% 2.1
2014 1,070 1.9%55,962 792 1.4% 1.4
2013 495 0.9%54,892 637 1.2% 0.8
2012 669 1.2%54,397 1,057 1.9% 0.6
2011 719 1.4%53,728 826 1.5% 0.9
2010 12 0%53,009 293 0.6% 0
2009 1,277 2.5%52,997 609 1.1% 2.1
2008 1,086 2.1%51,720 210 0.4% 5.2
2007 200 0.4%50,634 649 1.3% 0.3
4 & 5 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 419 2.8%15,562 325 2.1% 1.3
2022 403 2.7%15,143 289 1.9% 1.4
2021 347 2.4%14,740 220 1.5% 1.6
2020 212 1.5%14,393 159 1.1% 1.3
2019 370 2.7%14,181 340 2.4% 1.1
YTD 106 0.8%13,917 218 1.6% 0.5
2018 72 0.5%13,811 896 6.5% 0.1
2017 1,494 12.2%13,739 1,059 7.7% 1.4
2016 397 3.4%12,245 327 2.7% 1.2
2015 1,304 12.4%11,848 612 5.2% 2.1
2014 1,108 11.7%10,544 863 8.2% 1.3
2013 629 7.1%9,436 640 6.8% 1.0
2012 626 7.7%8,807 728 8.3% 0.9
2011 712 9.5%8,181 594 7.3% 1.2
2010 0 0%7,469 48 0.6% 0
2009 910 13.9%7,469 867 11.6% 1.0
2008 476 7.8%6,559 305 4.7% 1.6
2007 200 3.4%6,083 330 5.4% 0.6
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AppendixTulsa Multi-Family
3 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 0 0%29,235 (122) -0.4% 0
2022 0 0%29,235 (143) -0.5% 0
2021 0 0%29,235 (106) -0.4% 0
2020 0 0%29,235 (68) -0.2% 0
2019 0 0%29,235 52 0.2% 0
YTD 0 0%29,235 53 0.2% 0
2018 10 0%29,235 386 1.3% 0
2017 100 0.3%29,225 (151) -0.5% -
2016 98 0.3%29,125 (642) -2.2% -
2015 (211) -0.7%29,027 (32) -0.1% 6.6
2014 0 0%29,238 (110) -0.4% 0
2013 0 0%29,238 38 0.1% 0
2012 75 0.3%29,238 257 0.9% 0.3
2011 0 0%29,163 182 0.6% 0
2010 12 0%29,163 167 0.6% 0.1
2009 367 1.3%29,151 6 0% 61.2
2008 610 2.2%28,784 30 0.1% 20.3
2007 0 0%28,174 252 0.9% 0
1 & 2 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 (8) -0.1%15,724 (71) -0.5% 0.1
2022 (7) 0%15,732 (83) -0.5% 0.1
2021 (8) -0.1%15,739 (61) -0.4% 0.1
2020 (8) -0.1%15,747 (43) -0.3% 0.2
2019 (4) 0%15,755 (37) -0.2% 0.1
YTD 0 0%15,759 (37) -0.2% 0
2018 0 0%15,759 274 1.7% 0
2017 0 0%15,759 (25) -0.2% 0
2016 (14) -0.1%15,759 (440) -2.8% 0
2015 (407) -2.5%15,773 (253) -1.6% 1.6
2014 (38) -0.2%16,180 39 0.2% -
2013 (134) -0.8%16,218 (41) -0.3% 3.3
2012 (32) -0.2%16,352 72 0.4% -
2011 7 0%16,384 50 0.3% 0.1
2010 0 0%16,377 78 0.5% 0
2009 0 0%16,377 (264) -1.6% 0
2008 0 0%16,377 (125) -0.8% 0
2007 0 0%16,377 67 0.4% 0
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AppendixTulsa Multi-Family
OVERALL VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 10.6% 0.46,388 $757 $0.90 0.5% $744 $0.89
(0.1)2022 10.2% 0.56,108 $753 $0.90 0.8% $740 $0.88
(0.6)2021 9.7% 0.45,775 $747 $0.89 0.9% $734 $0.88
(0.2)2020 9.2% 0.25,489 $740 $0.88 1.5% $728 $0.87
(0.1)2019 9.0% (0.2)5,332 $729 $0.87 1.6% $717 $0.86
(0.6)YTD 9.0% (0.2)5,294 $726 $0.87 1.2% $713 $0.85
1.02018 9.2% (2.5)5,418 $718 $0.86 1.8% $696 $0.83
1.92017 11.7% 0.96,891 $705 $0.84 0.8% $678 $0.81
(3.1)2016 10.8% 2.16,176 $700 $0.84 -1.1% $675 $0.81
(0.5)2015 8.7% 0.54,945 $707 $0.84 2.0% $692 $0.83
(0.4)2014 8.2% 0.34,587 $693 $0.83 2.5% $687 $0.82
1.12013 7.8% (0.3)4,308 $676 $0.81 2.9% $666 $0.80
0.42012 8.2% (0.8)4,452 $657 $0.79 1.7% $653 $0.78
0.92011 9.0% (0.3)4,837 $646 $0.77 1.4% $641 $0.77
2.32010 9.3% (0.5)4,943 $637 $0.76 0.5% $633 $0.76
(4.5)2009 9.9% 1.05,223 $634 $0.76 -1.8% $629 $0.75
02008 8.8% 1.54,559 $646 $0.77 2.7% $641 $0.77
-2007 7.3% (0.9)3,684 $629 $0.75 2.7% $625 $0.75
4 & 5 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 9.6% 0.41,499 $982 $1.04 0.5% $967 $1.03
(0.2)2022 9.3% 0.51,405 $977 $1.04 0.8% $962 $1.02
(0.6)2021 8.8% 0.71,290 $970 $1.03 0.9% $955 $1.02
(0.3)2020 8.1% 0.31,164 $961 $1.02 1.5% $946 $1.01
(0.3)2019 7.8% (0.7)1,111 $947 $1.01 1.9% $932 $0.99
(0.8)YTD 7.7% (0.9)1,071 $942 $1.00 1.3% $927 $0.99
1.62018 8.5% (6.0)1,180 $930 $0.99 2.2% $906 $0.96
2.72017 14.6% 1.82,001 $910 $0.97 0.5% $875 $0.93
(3.8)2016 12.8% 0.11,567 $905 $0.96 -2.2% $869 $0.92
02015 12.7% 5.01,499 $925 $0.98 1.6% $905 $0.96
(0.8)2014 7.7% 1.7808 $910 $0.97 1.7% $902 $0.96
1.22013 6.0% (0.5)564 $895 $0.95 2.5% $883 $0.94
(0.5)2012 6.5% (1.7)574 $874 $0.93 1.2% $870 $0.93
1.22011 8.3% 0.8675 $863 $0.92 1.8% $855 $0.91
3.52010 7.4% (0.6)556 $848 $0.90 0.5% $843 $0.90
(5.4)2009 8.1% (0.5)604 $844 $0.90 -3.0% $837 $0.89
(0.1)2008 8.6% 2.1562 $869 $0.93 2.4% $864 $0.92
-2007 6.4% (2.4)390 $849 $0.90 2.5% $843 $0.90
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AppendixTulsa Multi-Family
3 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 10.3% 0.43,003 $701 $0.87 0.7% $687 $0.85
(0.1)2022 9.9% 0.52,880 $696 $0.86 1.0% $682 $0.84
(0.6)2021 9.4% 0.42,737 $690 $0.85 1.1% $675 $0.84
0.32020 9.0% 0.22,632 $682 $0.84 1.7% $668 $0.83
02019 8.8% (0.2)2,563 $671 $0.83 1.4% $657 $0.81
(0.3)YTD 8.8% (0.2)2,564 $669 $0.83 1.1% $654 $0.81
0.52018 8.9% (1.3)2,616 $661 $0.82 1.4% $637 $0.79
2.02017 10.2% 0.82,994 $652 $0.80 1.0% $624 $0.77
(3.1)2016 9.4% 2.52,738 $646 $0.80 -1.0% $621 $0.77
(0.7)2015 6.9% (0.6)2,001 $652 $0.81 2.0% $638 $0.79
(0.6)2014 7.5% 0.42,180 $640 $0.79 2.7% $633 $0.78
1.22013 7.1% (0.1)2,068 $623 $0.77 3.3% $612 $0.76
0.82012 7.2% (0.6)2,107 $603 $0.74 2.2% $599 $0.74
0.52011 7.8% (0.6)2,288 $590 $0.73 1.4% $586 $0.72
2.62010 8.5% (0.5)2,469 $582 $0.72 0.9% $577 $0.71
(5.3)2009 9.0% 1.12,624 $577 $0.71 -1.7% $572 $0.71
0.72008 7.9% 1.92,265 $587 $0.72 3.6% $582 $0.72
-2007 6.0% (0.9)1,685 $567 $0.70 2.9% $563 $0.70
1 & 2 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 12.0% 0.41,886 $637 $0.81 0.2% $631 $0.80
(0.1)2022 11.6% 0.51,823 $636 $0.81 0.4% $630 $0.80
(0.4)2021 11.1% 0.41,748 $634 $0.80 0.5% $627 $0.80
(0.7)2020 10.8% 0.21,694 $630 $0.80 0.9% $624 $0.79
(0.3)2019 10.5% 0.21,658 $625 $0.79 1.6% $619 $0.79
(0.9)YTD 10.5% 0.21,660 $621 $0.79 1.0% $615 $0.78
1.12018 10.3% (1.7)1,623 $615 $0.78 1.9% $601 $0.76
0.22017 12.0% 0.21,896 $603 $0.77 0.8% $585 $0.74
(2.1)2016 11.9% 2.71,871 $598 $0.76 0.6% $585 $0.74
(0.7)2015 9.2% (0.7)1,445 $595 $0.75 2.7% $585 $0.74
1.02014 9.9% (0.5)1,600 $579 $0.73 3.4% $575 $0.73
0.92013 10.3% (0.5)1,677 $560 $0.71 2.4% $554 $0.70
0.82012 10.8% (0.6)1,770 $547 $0.69 1.6% $542 $0.69
1.32011 11.4% (0.3)1,874 $538 $0.68 0.7% $534 $0.68
(0.6)2010 11.7% (0.5)1,918 $534 $0.68 -0.5% $530 $0.67
(1.1)2009 12.2% 1.61,995 $537 $0.68 0.1% $533 $0.68
(1.6)2008 10.6% 0.81,733 $537 $0.68 1.1% $533 $0.68
-2007 9.8% (0.4)1,608 $531 $0.67 2.8% $527 $0.67
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AppendixTulsa Multi-Family
OVERALL SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 179- $61,692 7.6%
2022 -- - -- 179- $61,525 7.6%
2021 -- - -- 178- $61,423 7.6%
2020 -- - -- 179- $61,571 7.5%
2019 -- - -- 178- $61,183 7.5%
YTD $85.8 M9 1.9% $77,417$9,530,889 1755.5% $60,452 7.4%
2018 $343.4 M61 13.4% $60,122$6,359,569 1747.4% $60,097 7.4%
2017 $191.5 M47 7.2% $50,236$5,470,022 1628.1% $55,778 7.5%
2016 $64.4 M37 4.5% $32,679$2,146,981 16010.3% $55,192 7.4%
2015 $221.9 M46 8.9% $44,376$5,043,764 1598.2% $54,815 7.4%
2014 $383.6 M69 15.8% $43,488$5,726,074 1518.5% $52,030 7.5%
2013 $172.1 M39 8.8% $37,527$5,061,750 1398.3% $48,068 7.8%
2012 $132.1 M31 6.4% $39,562$4,553,669 1349.2% $46,259 7.9%
2011 $64.9 M25 4.6% $26,825$3,416,716 1287.4% $43,998 8.0%
2010 $38.8 M18 2.9% $25,334$2,156,181 1179.9% $40,222 8.3%
2009 $68.1 M25 5.2% $24,814$2,836,010 8910.2% $30,668 9.2%
2008 $99.2 M8 4.7% $41,012$12,400,875 1007.2% $34,460 8.8%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
4 & 5 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 176- $98,985 7.1%
2022 -- - -- 175- $98,820 7.1%
2021 -- - -- 175- $98,757 7.0%
2020 -- - -- 176- $99,035 7.0%
2019 -- - -- 175- $98,375 6.9%
YTD $65.8 M2 4.5% $104,365$32,875,000 1735.5% $97,504 6.8%
2018 $122.4 M4 8.6% $103,599$30,587,500 1715.8% $96,588 6.9%
2017 $24.1 M2 3.0% $59,179$12,072,500 158- $89,050 7.0%
2016 -- - -- 158- $89,166 6.9%
2015 $34.3 M1 2.4% $120,351$34,300,000 158- $89,296 6.8%
2014 $146.2 M6 14.5% $95,610$24,364,701 152- $85,424 6.9%
2013 $67.2 M3 8.5% $83,582$22,400,000 1416.5% $79,271 7.2%
2012 $91.9 M3 11.8% $88,536$30,633,333 1376.8% $77,079 7.2%
2011 $1.6 M1 1.9% $9,987$1,568,000 130- $73,277 7.3%
2010 $11.0 M1 2.0% $72,697$11,050,000 1198.3% $66,807 7.5%
2009 -- - -- 90- $50,777 8.4%
2008 $27.6 M2 6.5% $64,637$13,800,000 1007.0% $56,345 8.1%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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AppendixTulsa Multi-Family
3 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 186- $53,866 7.5%
2022 -- - -- 185- $53,620 7.4%
2021 -- - -- 184- $53,429 7.4%
2020 -- - -- 184- $53,473 7.3%
2019 -- - -- 183- $53,052 7.3%
YTD $8.3 M2 0.6% $43,973$4,133,500 181- $52,425 7.2%
2018 $156.3 M21 16.1% $56,698$10,417,326 1806.3% $52,156 7.2%
2017 $132.3 M14 8.8% $55,094$12,025,545 1647.0% $47,681 7.3%
2016 $24.4 M7 3.4% $39,587$4,885,000 1629.1% $46,826 7.3%
2015 $120.0 M14 10.2% $40,343$8,569,971 1616.4% $46,537 7.3%
2014 $188.5 M26 17.8% $36,179$7,248,266 1518.0% $43,907 7.4%
2013 $62.7 M9 6.7% $32,150$6,965,778 1398.3% $40,398 7.7%
2012 $21.7 M8 3.9% $20,944$3,102,714 13310.1% $38,522 7.9%
2011 $50.5 M8 5.6% $31,003$6,316,875 1266.9% $36,517 8.0%
2010 $20.1 M5 3.4% $20,356$4,014,250 11511.7% $33,405 8.3%
2009 $38.8 M8 5.2% $25,552$4,854,844 88- $25,548 9.2%
2008 $48.5 M4 4.6% $36,270$12,114,018 1007.1% $28,986 8.8%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
1 & 2 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 171- $42,032 8.5%
2022 -- - -- 171- $42,009 8.5%
2021 -- - -- 171- $42,039 8.5%
2020 -- - -- 172- $42,261 8.4%
2019 -- - -- 172- $42,184 8.4%
YTD $11.8 M5 1.8% $40,555$2,352,200 1705.5% $41,863 8.3%
2018 $64.8 M36 12.7% $36,511$1,851,624 1698.8% $41,387 8.3%
2017 $35.0 M31 7.8% $34,955$1,592,035 1649.0% $40,306 8.1%
2016 $40.0 M30 10.2% $29,531$1,599,378 16110.8% $39,578 8.1%
2015 $67.6 M31 11.4% $38,832$2,332,621 1579.7% $38,569 8.1%
2014 $49.0 M37 13.0% $23,514$1,400,109 1499.3% $36,496 8.2%
2013 $42.2 M27 12.7% $23,039$1,918,523 1378.9% $33,700 8.6%
2012 $18.4 M20 8.2% $14,598$970,389 13211.2% $32,367 8.6%
2011 $12.8 M16 4.2% $20,244$1,281,460 1268.2% $31,045 8.7%
2010 $7.7 M12 2.4% $19,518$640,833 1169.8% $28,504 9.0%
2009 $29.2 M17 7.5% $23,897$1,826,594 8910.2% $21,738 10.0%
2008 $23.2 M2 4.0% $35,291$11,575,464 1007.5% $24,557 9.6%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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AppendixTulsa Multi-Family
DELIVERIES & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Net DeliveriesInventory
Bldgs Units BldgsBldgs Units VacancyYear
Under Construction
Units
Deliveries
Bldgs Units
2023 60,522 10.6%- - 419 - -- 411
2022 60,111 10.2%- - 403 - -- 395
2021 59,716 9.7%- - 347 - -- 340
2020 59,376 9.2%- - 212 - -- 204
2019 59,172 9.0%- - 370 - -- 367
YTD 58,911 9.0%622 2 106 7 5252 106
2018 58,805 9.2%620 3 82 6 4183 82
2017 58,723 11.7%617 11 1,810 5 35910 1,594
2016 57,129 10.8%607 6 495 10 1,8035 481
2015 56,648 8.7%602 7 1,325 7 6165 686
2014 55,962 8.2%597 4 1,108 8 1,3612 1,070
2013 54,892 7.8%595 3 629 5 1,393(5) 495
2012 54,397 8.2%600 3 701 5 1,1411 669
2011 53,728 9.0%599 4 719 3 7014 719
2010 53,009 9.3%595 1 12 5 7941 12
2009 52,997 9.9%594 6 1,277 4 7246 1,277
2008 51,720 8.8%588 4 1,086 6 1,2774 1,086
2007 50,634 7.3%584 1 200 6 1,7261 200
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Fayetteville, Arkansas
TRP Market Overviews
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
Q1 | 18 www.twinrockpartners.com
Northwest Arkansas Market
PREPARED BY
Alexander Philips
CEO & CIO
Multi-Family Market Report
MULTI-FAMILY MARKET REPORT
Market Key Statistics 2
Vacancy 3
Rent 5
Construction 8
Under Construction Properties 9
Sales 11
Sales Past 12 Months 12
Economy 14
Market Submarkets 16
Supply & Demand Trends 18
Vacancy & Rent 20
Sale Trends 22
Deliveries & Under Construction 24
Northwest Arkansas Multi-Family
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OverviewNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
12 Mo. Delivered Units
65912 Mo. Absorption Units
491Vacancy Rate
4.8%12 Mo. Asking Rent Growth
2.7%Northwest Arkansas has formed a rock-solid economy,with swelling population growth driving recent apartmentconstruction. While 2018’s totals were below historicalnorms, 2017 saw more units deliver than any other yearin a decade. This supply-side pressure caused animmediate uptick in vacancies, but persistent demand,coupled with low deliveries throughout 2018, has allowedfundamentals to strengthen significantly. Vacancy ratesare just below historical averages, and rent growthcontinues to post impressive results.
Fundamentals will be tested in the years to come, withanother heavy wave of development primed to hit. Nearly2,700 units are under construction, and a plethora is in
proposal stages. Much of the concentration continues tobe in the North, with a heavy focus on DowntownBentonville as well as in Rogers, specifically PinnacleHills.
Overall, apartments located near the metro's major jobcenters and the University of Arkansas continue toperform well. Employment growth has continued tobolster, anchored by the three Fortune 500 companieslocated here—Walmart, Tysons, and J. B. Hunt—as wellas related support companies located in the area. Year-over-year job gains in Northwest Arkansas haveoutpaced the national average every year since 2010.
KEY INDICATORS
Asking RentVacancy RateUnitsCurrent Quarter Effective RentAbsorption
UnitsDelivered Units
Under ConstrUnits
$9357.7%7,0954 & 5 Star $920 67 0 2,159
$6924.0%17,7433 Star $689 48 33 543
$6363.6%3,7061 & 2 Star $633 (3) 0 0
$7564.8%28,544Market $749 112 33 2,702
ForecastAverage
HistoricalAverage
12 MonthAnnual Trends Peak When Trough When
5.6%4.8%0.5%Vacancy Change (YOY) 8.8% 2008 Q4 2.1% 2016 Q3
1,059809491Absorption Units 1,909 2004 Q3 (1) 2014 Q1
1,193860659Delivered Units 2,323 2017 Q3 0 2015 Q1
2360Demolished Units 84 2015 Q4 0 2019 Q1
1.3%1.3%2.7%Asking Rent Growth (YOY) 6.9% 2007 Q1 -3.4% 2009 Q4
1.3%1.3%2.8%Effective Rent Growth (YOY) 6.8% 2007 Q1 -3.3% 2009 Q4
N/A$67.9M$295 MSales Volume $300.5M 2019 Q1 $1.0M 2008 Q2
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VacancyNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
Despite some recent growing pains caused by a hugeyear of deliveries in 2017, Northwest Arkansas’apartment market has benefited from a strong localeconomy and an expanding labor force. With Walmart,Tysons, and J.B. Hunt all continuing to expand within themetro, job growth is likely to persist in the years to come.Suppliers, of both physical items and services, who selldirectly to Walmart continue to flock to the metro.Overall, the area has added over 16,000 jobs in the pasttwo years and has lowered its unemployment rate toroughly 3%.
As a result, occupancies have remained healthy recently,even during years of above-average supply. With highdemand and low availability, developers have takennotice, with nearly 2,700 units currently underconstruction and many in proposal stages as well. Due tothe robust population growth, this is expected to be the
norm for years to come. Demand for apartmentscontinues to reach new heights, and many residentshave chosen to rent rather than buy.
Alternatives for single-family residences may continue togrow, as well. With a limited supply of single-familyhomes and high demand, home prices in the metro haveseen a rapid appreciation over the past five years,growing by nearly 50%. These prices have becomeunattainable for many, with increases significantlyoutpacing wage growth. Averages are now exceedingneighboring metros such as Tulsa and even OklahomaCity, and due to rising labor costs, this might not be thepeak. On the flip side, household incomes have keptpace with the rising rental rates since the recession,making it easy for residents to afford apartments thataverage about $760/month.
ABSORPTION, NET DELIVERIES & VACANCY
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VacancyNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
VACANCY RATE
VACANCY BY BEDROOM
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RentNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
Northwest Arkansas experienced strong rent gains in2018 relative to metro-averages. With robust demandcoupled with a slow year of deliveries, pricing power hasreturned to landlords. Asking rents in the metro are about$760/month, and year-over-year growth is nearly 2.7%. This comes after a peak year a development in 2017,which caused rent levels to fall. If this is any indicator tothe supply expected in the years to come, rents mayfollow similar paths.
The Central Benton County Submarket, which has seenmany of the deliveries in the metro over the past 12months, boasts the highest rents in the metro at justabout $835/unit. The nearly 3,000 units delivered inCentral Benton County since 2015 have particularly highasking rents, averaging about $1,000/unit, and were atroughly 90% occupancy as of April. These developmentscarry above-average asking rents because they areheavy in amenities and fall under the 4 Star designation.
DAILY ASKING RENT PER SF
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RentNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
MARKET RENT PER UNIT & RENT GROWTH
MARKET RENT PER UNIT BY BEDROOM
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RentNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
4 & 5 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Northwest Arkansas $0.62 $5.72$0.16$0.04$0.62$0.38$1.01$0.70$0.40$0.60$0.54 $0.65
Central Benton Cou… $0.62 $5.72$0.16$0.04$0.62$0.38$1.01$0.70$0.40$0.60$0.54 $0.65
Fayetteville $0.62 $5.72$0.16$0.04$0.62$0.38$1.01$0.70$0.40$0.60$0.54 $0.65
Northeast Washingt… $0.62 $5.72$0.16$0.04$0.62$0.38$1.01$0.70$0.40$0.60$0.54 $0.65
Southwest Benton… $0.62 $5.72$0.16$0.04$0.62$0.38$1.01$0.70$0.40$0.60$0.54 $0.65
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
3 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Northwest Arkansas $0.16 $4.00$0.16$0.04$0.41$0.32$0.64$0.49$0.30$0.45$0.40 $0.63
Central Benton Cou… $0.13 $3.91$0.16$0.04$0.40$0.32$0.64$0.47$0.28$0.44$0.41 $0.62
East Benton County $0.10 $3.80$0.16$0.04$0.39$0.31$0.62$0.45$0.28$0.43$0.40 $0.62
Fayetteville $0.11 $3.82$0.16$0.04$0.39$0.31$0.62$0.46$0.28$0.43$0.40 $0.62
Madison County $0.10 $3.80$0.16$0.04$0.39$0.31$0.62$0.45$0.28$0.43$0.40 $0.62
McDonald County $0.81 $5.97$0.19$0.06$0.54$0.32$0.82$0.96$0.49$0.64$0.38 $0.76
Northeast Washingt… $0.14 $3.95$0.16$0.04$0.41$0.32$0.64$0.47$0.29$0.45$0.41 $0.62
Southwest Benton… $0.17 $4.04$0.16$0.04$0.42$0.32$0.66$0.49$0.29$0.45$0.42 $0.62
Southwest Washing… $0.10 $3.80$0.16$0.04$0.39$0.31$0.62$0.45$0.28$0.43$0.40 $0.62
West Benton County $0.10 $3.80$0.16$0.04$0.39$0.31$0.62$0.45$0.28$0.43$0.40 $0.62
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
1 & 2 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
UtilitiesMgmt. InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures
Admin. Payroll Water Maint. Appliance Structural
Northwest Arkansas $0.13 $3.71$0.15$0.04$0.38$0.30$0.60$0.46$0.27$0.42$0.38 $0.58
Central Benton Cou… $0.10 $3.66$0.15$0.04$0.37$0.30$0.59$0.44$0.27$0.42$0.38 $0.60
East Benton County $0.10 $3.61$0.15$0.04$0.37$0.30$0.58$0.43$0.26$0.41$0.38 $0.59
Fayetteville $0.10 $3.61$0.15$0.04$0.37$0.30$0.58$0.43$0.26$0.41$0.38 $0.59
McDonald County $0.64 $5.13$0.14$0.06$0.47$0.31$0.77$0.86$0.40$0.61$0.38 $0.49
Northeast Washingt… $0.10 $3.62$0.15$0.04$0.37$0.30$0.59$0.43$0.26$0.41$0.38 $0.59
Southwest Benton… $0.10 $3.61$0.15$0.04$0.37$0.30$0.58$0.43$0.26$0.41$0.38 $0.59
Southwest Washing… $0.10 $3.61$0.15$0.04$0.37$0.30$0.58$0.43$0.26$0.41$0.38 $0.59
West Benton County $0.10 $3.61$0.15$0.04$0.37$0.30$0.58$0.43$0.26$0.41$0.38 $0.59
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
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ConstructionNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
A historic supply wave is underway following the lowlevels of construction from years following the recession.Just over 4,200 units have delivered since 2015, abouthalf of which came on line in 2017. These units haveleased well and, as of 19Q2, were close to 85%occupied. While 2018 experienced below-averagesupply, the pipeline remains heavy, and 2019 may beclose to cyclical highs in terms of units delivered, barringconstruction delays.
The Central Benton County Submarket, home toWalmart’s national headquarters, has grown its inventoryby close to 20% in the past two years and is expected toadd another 2,500 units in the next several years. Thejob growth created by Walmart has made this areaattractive to developers such as Watermark Residential,whose 4 Star, 220-unit Watermark on Walnut Creekstabilized during the second quarter of 2018.
Rogers’ local economy remains strong, with more than
1,100 jobs created in the city alone in 2018.Development is plentiful, and multifamily propertiescontinue to pop up. A true live/work/play environment isin the midst, with projects such as Pinnacle Heightscoming to fruition. This $100 million mixed-use projectbroke ground in early 2019 and will add about 300market-rate apartments to Pinnacle Hills, with hotels,retail, and many office developments nearby.
The Fayetteville Submarket is seeing plenty of action, aswell, with over 1,000 units delivered since 2017. Thisincludes Watermark Residential’s 4 Star, 208-unitWatermark at Steele Crossing and the 4 Star, 308-unitUptown Fayetteville Apartments. Both of these assetsare located along Steele Boulevard between NorthwestArkansas Mall and the Fulbright Expressway. Localdeveloper Lindsey & Associates has been present in themetro since the 1980s and has developed over 4,500units in that time. The company has been recently activewith the Greens at Fayetteville community.
DELIVERIES & DEMOLITIONS
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Under Construction PropertiesNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
Properties
14Units
2,564Percent of Inventory
8.9%Avg. No. Units
183UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTIES
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Property Name/Address Rating Units Stories Start Complete Developer/Owner
Jun-20181401 NE John Deshields…
Crystal Flats616 4 Aug-2020
-
Crystal Pickens Llc1
Mar-2018303 SE Ranger
Walton Crossing600 - Jun-2019
Lindsey & Associates, Inc.
Lindsey & Associates, Inc.2
Jan-20164000 S Dixieland Rd
Woodland Park427 2 Jun-2019
Orchard Properties LLC
Orchard Properties LLC3
Feb-20193941 S Champions Dr
West Village300 3 Dec-2020
Cushman & Wakefield Sage Part…
HUNT Ventures, LLC4
Mar-2018902 Brick Ave
Brick Avenue Lofts252 1 Jun-2019
Specialized Real Estate Group
Specialized Real Estate Group5
Jan-20192901 S 26th Pl
Palisades at Pleasant Cr…180 - Aug-2019
Engage Management
Engage Management6
Aug-2018735 W 15th St
Backwater Cove Apartm…69 3 Aug-2019
-
Baron Air Investments Llc7
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Under Construction PropertiesNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Property Name/Address Rating Units Stories Start Complete Developer/Owner
Jun-2018N Gregg Ave
Gregg Avenue Townhom…32 2 Jun-2019
Curry
Curry8
Mar-2019620 Highway 16
L&A Melgar, LLC Apartm…29 - Mar-2020
-
-9
Jan-2017521 N College Ave
Twin Arch Apartments17 1 Jun-2019
Mark Zweig Inc
Mark Zweig Inc10
Jan-2019234 SW 7th St
17 3 Sep-2019-
-11
Jul-2017E South St
SoCo1010 2 Jun-2019
High Street Real Estate Develop…
High Street Real Estate Develop…12
Sep-20171910-1946 W Maine St
Henson Hill9 2 Jun-2019
RPH Real Estate
RPH Real Estate13
Jun-2018400-422 SW C St
6 - Jun-2019-
-14
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SalesNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
A trio of motivators—a booming economy, strongpopulation growth and solid fundamentals—continue topush investors into Northwest Arkansas. Early signsshow that 2019 may be a pinnacle year in terms oninvestments for the multifamily market. As of April, morevolume has entered the market than total annual volumein five of the past seven years. This activity is anchoredby the sale of the 536-unit Sullivan Square apartmentsfor $63.6 million ($118,000/unit). Minnesota-basedTimberland Partners acquired this property in earlyMarch 2019, setting a record for highest sale price thiscycle.
Momentum continued in 2018, with more than $220million in sales volume trading hands, a cyclical peak.The presence of out-of-state investors cannot beignored, representing about 75% of the buyers. Forexample, the highest recorded deal was the Houston-based Sung Holdings Group acquisition of the 308-unit
Uptown Fayetteville Apartments for $55.6 million($180,000/unit) in early September. Also, earlier in 2018the 4 Star, 194-unit Harbin Pointe Apartments, whichwas acquired by Connecticut-based Hamilton PointInvestments for $16.7 million ($86,000/unit).
The continued eye from out-of-state investors hasincreased values of multifamily properties, as well as allcommercial assets throughout Northwest Arkansas.However, in-state investors are still finding value withinthe metro. The $33 million sale ($90,000/unit) ofMountain Ranch Apartments occurred in February 2017,with Tulsa-based Capital Assets selling to BSR Trust ata 6.5% cap rate. The 4 Star asset of 360 units was 95%leased at the time of sale. Also a regional player, LittleRock-based BSR has been in acquisition mode latelyand said in a press release that it acquired the propertybecause “the economic growth story in NorthwestArkansas is impossible to ignore.”
SALES VOLUME & MARKET SALE PRICE PER UNIT
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Sales Past 12 MonthsNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
Sale Comparables
26Avg. Price/Unit (thous.)
$104Average Price (mil.)
$11.9Average Vacancy at Sale
8.7%SALE COMPARABLE LOCATIONS
SALE COMPARABLES SUMMARY STATISTICS
Sales Attributes Low Average Median High
Sale Price $147,638 $11,891,249 $3,595,000 $63,600,000
Price Per Unit $6,969 $104,483 $72,500 $294,039
Cap Rate 5.0% 6.6% 5.8% 9.0%
Vacancy Rate at Sale 0% 8.7% 5.2% 54.5%
Time Since Sale in Months 2.5 5.9 6.0 10.2
Property Attributes Low Average Median High
Property Size in Units 7 110 41 535
Number of Floors 1 2 2 5
Average Unit SF 500 892 883 1,250
Year Built 1970 2003 2007 2019
Star Rating 3.1
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Sales Past 12 MonthsNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
RECENT SIGNIFICANT SALES
Sale InformationProperty Information
RatingProperty Name/Address Yr Built Units Vacancy Sale Date Price Price/Unit Price/SF
1102 SW Sullivan Way- 2017
Sullivan Square1 535 5.1% 3/7/2019 $63,600,000 $118,878 $130
3959 N Steele Blvd- 2017
Uptown Fayetteville Apartments2 308 5.5% 9/5/2018 $55,600,000 $180,519 $218
5900 W Stoney Brook Dr- 2007
Ranch at Pinnacle Point3 392 9.2% 12/20/2018 $48,425,000 $123,533 $134
257 Arborside Rd- 2016
Towne Park at Har-Ber Apart…4 237 3.0% 10/25/2018 $28,900,000 $121,940 $118
513 Dodson Rd- 2007
Parc At Rogers5 250 4.4% 11/19/2018 $28,232,612 $112,930 $166
5325 N Oak St- 2004
Chapel Ridge Springdale6 184 44.6% 10/19/2018 $13,350,000 $72,554 $70
1021 S Razorback Rd- 2006
The Quarters on Razorback…7 112 9.8% 8/24/2018 $11,250,000 $100,446 $115
401 SW A St- 2015
Briq on 4th Street8 62 1.6% 7/16/2018 $8,250,000 $133,064 $163
5806 SW Crozier Cir- 2017
Parc at Bentonville9 216 11.1% 11/19/2018 $7,615,218 $35,255 $95
3001 W Wedington Dr- 1973
Maple Manor Apartments10 128 7.8% 10/12/2018 $7,000,000 $54,687 $59
580 E Randall Wobbe Ln- 2008
Wobbe Lane Apartments11 128 3.1% 7/31/2018 $6,475,000 $50,585 $57
124 E Sycamore St- 2017
Sycamore Townhomes12 19 5.3% 11/6/2018 $4,137,500 $217,763 $131
- 20102400-2434 S Price Pl
13 32 3.1% 3/1/2019 $3,595,000 $112,343 $57
- -215 NW A St
14 7 0% 7/18/2018 $2,058,279 $294,039 $408
937-1011 N Betty Jo Dr- -
Betty Jo Apartments15 11 3.7% 3/8/2019 $1,687,174 $153,379 $144
- 2003944 N Storer Ave
16 20 5.0% 1/15/2019 $1,450,000 $72,500 $137
15 W Martin Luther King Blvd- 1970
Brookside Apartments17 16 6.3% 1/17/2019 $1,220,000 $76,250 $193
- 2003201-203 S Baggett St
18 24 4.2% 1/15/2019 $985,000 $41,041 $66
856 S Curtis Ave- -
Curtis Street Townhomes19 16 6.3% 11/9/2018 $950,000 $59,375 $50
1035 N Betty Jo Dr- 1985
Betty Jo Apartments20 26 27.3% 3/8/2019 $838,594 $32,253 $144
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EconomyNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
Northwest Arkansas, an area comprised of several cities,including Bentonville, Rogers, Fayetteville andSpringdale, has been one of the strongest markets interms of economic growth this cycle. Total nonfarmemployment is up close to 30% since the prior peak,while the U.S. is only about 8% above that mark. Muchof the growth through this cycle has been driven byexpansion in professional and business services, whichis about 50% higher since its prerecession peak.
This job growth is tied to that of Walmart, which hasseen its stock rise roughly 65% since the beginning of2012 to early May. This has attracted over 1,300suppliers to the state, many of which set up operations inNorthwest Arkansas. Coupled with the support of theUniversity of Arkansas, over 30,000 college studentsattend universities and colleges in Northwest Arkansas,fueling the metro-area companies a talent-rich pipelineof potential employees. This, combined with some of thelowest business costs in America, has helped make thearea a popular destination for corporate headquartersand, in turn, one of the premier job growth regionsnationally.
But growth could slow in the near term. NorthwestArkansas's unemployment rate is among the lowest inthe country, hovering around 3%, making it difficult tosustain the level of expansion the metro has seen thusfar in the economic recovery. Additionally, Walmartannounced its decision to cut close to 1,000 jobs at theBentonville Headquarters throughout the next few yearsin effort to focus on its e-commerce competition withAmazon.
Overall, the fallout from the recession in the metro wasnot as severe as others because the economy wasbuoyed by a polycentric metro area, transitioning fromreliance on manufacturing to a focus on burgeoningservices sector jobs. The economy made a swift reboundin office-using employment sectors, averaging roughly3.5% year-over-year growth in each of the past fiveyears. Education has also played a major part in theeconomic success story, with the University of Arkansasproviding jobs for as many as 4,500 people. The sector,combined with health services, saw an expansion ofnearly 3% year-over-year.
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY IN THOUSANDS
NAICS Industry Jobs LQ MarketUS USMarketUSMarket
Current Jobs Current Growth 10 Yr Historical 5 Yr Forecast
0.13%0.29%0.61%0.07%1.69%1.54%1.330Manufacturing
0.45%1.31%1.08%2.52%1.13%2.17%1.257Trade, Transportation and Utilities
0.33%1.11%0.80%2.29%0.06%0.74%1.027 Retail Trade
0.43%0.53%0.91%0.40%1.28%2.22%0.68Financial Activities
0.77%1.90%-0.03%2.51%0.49%2.83%0.936Government
0.32%0.71%1.71%2.96%3.68%2.65%0.812Natural Resources, Mining and Construction
0.33%0.95%2.09%3.83%2.06%2.09%0.730Education and Health Services
0.91%1.64%2.48%4.51%2.51%1.92%1.451Professional and Business Services
0.45%-2.17%-0.06%-0.38%-0.05%2.48%0.42Information
0.41%1.27%2.41%3.54%2.31%-0.32%0.926Leisure and Hospitality
0.23%0.85%0.91%2.82%1.15%2.01%0.99Other Services
Total Employment 262 1.0 1.89% 1.67% 2.71% 1.33% 1.21% 0.50%
Source: Oxford Economics
LQ = Location Quotient
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EconomyNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
Source: Oxford Economics
YEAR OVER YEAR JOB GROWTH
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
Current ChangeCurrent Level
Metro U.S.Metro U.S.Demographic Category
10-Year Change
Metro U.S. Metro U.S.
Forecast Change (5 Yrs)
Population 328,988,813555,033 1.9% 0.7% 2.1% 0.7% 1.6% 0.7%
Households 121,188,641200,584 1.7% 0.6% 1.8% 0.7% 1.5% 0.6%
Median Household Income $63,753$60,736 4.8% 3.7% 3.3% 2.2% 4.9% 4.3%
Labor Force 163,511,781278,063 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 0.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Unemployment 3.8%2.8% 0% -0.1% -0.4% -0.5% - -
Source: Oxford Economics
POPULATION GROWTH
Source: Oxford Economics
LABOR FORCE GROWTH INCOME GROWTH
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SubmarketsNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUBMARKETS
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SubmarketsNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
SUBMARKET INVENTORY
12 Month Deliveries Under Construction
Bldgs Units Percent Rank
Inventory
Bldgs Units Percent RankBldgs Units % Market RankSubmarketNo.
1 Central Benton County 10,105 35.4% 2 9 2,536 25.1% 181 7 621 6.1% 1
2 East Benton County 12 0% 9 0 0 0% -2 0 0 0% -
3 Fayetteville 12,234 42.9% 1 5 137 1.1% 2163 3 39 0.3% 2
4 Madison County 32 0.1% 8 0 0 0% -1 0 0 0% -
5 McDonald County 93 0.3% 7 0 0 0% -4 0 0 0% -
6 Northeast Washington C… 4,981 17.5% 3 0 0 0% -66 0 0 0% -
7 Southwest Benton County 713 2.5% 4 1 29 4.1% 315 0 0 0% -
8 Southwest Washington C… 94 0.3% 6 0 0 0% -7 0 0 0% -
9 West Benton County 280 1.0% 5 0 0 0% -10 0 0 0% -
SUBMARKET RENT
Yr. Growth
Asking Rents
Per UnitSubmarketNo.
Effective Rents
RankRank Yr. GrowthRankPer SF ConcessionPer SFPer Unit
1 Central Benton County 3.7%1 3.2% 1$863 2$0.96 0.9%$0.95$856
2 East Benton County -- - -$594 8- 0.3%-$593
3 Fayetteville 1.3%2 1.6% 2$699 1$0.84 1.1%$0.83$692
4 Madison County -- - -- -- 0%--
5 McDonald County 1.5%7 1.5% 7$220 5$0.35 0.3%$0.34$219
6 Northeast Washington C… 4.0%3 4.0% 3$675 7$0.79 0.3%$0.79$673
7 Southwest Benton County 2.8%4 2.9% 4$566 4$0.72 0.4%$0.72$563
8 Southwest Washington C… -0.6%6 -0.5% 6$684 3$0.57 0.5%$0.57$680
9 West Benton County 4.0%5 3.9% 5$574 6$0.62 0.3%$0.62$572
SUBMARKET VACANCY & ABSORPTION
12 Month Absorption
Rank Construct. Ratio
Vacancy
Units % of InvUnits PercentSubmarketNo. Rank
1 Central Benton County 577 5.7% 1.0623 6.2% 19
2 East Benton County 0 1.7% -0 0% -1
3 Fayetteville 623 5.1% -(137) -1.1% 98
4 Madison County 2 4.7% -0 0% -7
5 McDonald County 2 2.2% -0 0% -3
6 Northeast Washington C… 156 3.1% -7 0.1% 25
7 Southwest Benton County 15 2.0% -(1) -0.1% 62
8 Southwest Washington C… 4 3.7% -(1) -1.1% 76
9 West Benton County 7 2.3% -(1) -0.4% 74
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AppendixNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
OVERALL SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 1,093 3.3%34,114 1,105 3.2% 1.0
2022 1,030 3.2%33,021 1,158 3.5% 0.9
2021 1,336 4.4%31,991 1,582 4.9% 0.8
2020 1,508 5.2%30,655 1,010 3.3% 1.5
2019 990 3.5%29,147 677 2.3% 1.5
YTD 387 1.4%28,544 326 1.1% 1.2
2018 289 1.0%28,157 676 2.4% 0.4
2017 2,016 7.8%27,868 1,154 4.1% 1.7
2016 690 2.7%25,852 581 2.2% 1.2
2015 744 3.0%25,162 1,035 4.1% 0.7
2014 0 0%24,418 32 0.1% 0
2013 38 0.2%24,418 71 0.3% 0.5
2012 24 0.1%24,380 349 1.4% 0.1
2011 56 0.2%24,356 225 0.9% 0.2
2010 139 0.6%24,300 350 1.4% 0.4
2009 1,068 4.6%24,161 1,322 5.5% 0.8
2008 1,103 5.0%23,093 623 2.7% 1.8
2007 1,473 7.2%21,990 784 3.6% 1.9
4 & 5 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 1,114 10.0%12,212 1,040 8.5% 1.1
2022 1,051 10.5%11,098 992 8.9% 1.1
2021 947 10.4%10,047 1,180 11.7% 0.8
2020 1,405 18.3%9,100 904 9.9% 1.6
2019 728 10.4%7,695 496 6.4% 1.5
YTD 128 1.8%7,095 149 2.1% 0.9
2018 253 3.8%6,967 753 10.8% 0.3
2017 1,622 31.9%6,714 984 14.7% 1.6
2016 615 13.7%5,092 389 7.6% 1.6
2015 262 6.2%4,477 235 5.2% 1.1
2014 0 0%4,215 80 1.9% 0
2013 0 0%4,215 (37) -0.9% 0
2012 0 0%4,215 90 2.1% 0
2011 56 1.3%4,215 98 2.3% 0.6
2010 95 2.3%4,159 89 2.1% 1.1
2009 360 9.7%4,064 370 9.1% 1.0
2008 128 3.6%3,704 80 2.2% 1.6
2007 790 28.4%3,576 638 17.8% 1.2
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AppendixNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
3 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 7 0%18,314 78 0.4% 0.1
2022 7 0%18,307 175 1.0% 0
2021 417 2.3%18,300 417 2.3% 1.0
2020 130 0.7%17,883 122 0.7% 1.1
2019 258 1.5%17,753 186 1.0% 1.4
YTD 248 1.4%17,743 179 1.0% 1.4
2018 36 0.2%17,495 (89) -0.5% -
2017 394 2.3%17,459 193 1.1% 2.0
2016 63 0.4%17,065 169 1.0% 0.4
2015 566 3.4%17,002 759 4.5% 0.7
2014 0 0%16,436 16 0.1% 0
2013 38 0.2%16,436 111 0.7% 0.3
2012 24 0.1%16,398 200 1.2% 0.1
2011 0 0%16,374 111 0.7% 0
2010 44 0.3%16,374 222 1.4% 0.2
2009 708 4.5%16,330 934 5.7% 0.8
2008 975 6.7%15,622 603 3.9% 1.6
2007 683 4.9%14,647 248 1.7% 2.8
1 & 2 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 (28) -0.8%3,588 (13) -0.4% 2.2
2022 (28) -0.8%3,616 (9) -0.2% 3.1
2021 (28) -0.8%3,644 (15) -0.4% 1.9
2020 (27) -0.7%3,672 (16) -0.4% 1.7
2019 4 0.1%3,699 (5) -0.1% -
YTD 11 0.3%3,706 (2) -0.1% -
2018 0 0%3,695 12 0.3% 0
2017 0 0%3,695 (23) -0.6% 0
2016 12 0.3%3,695 23 0.6% 0.5
2015 (84) -2.2%3,683 41 1.1% -
2014 0 0%3,767 (64) -1.7% 0
2013 0 0%3,767 (3) -0.1% 0
2012 0 0%3,767 59 1.6% 0
2011 0 0%3,767 16 0.4% 0
2010 0 0%3,767 39 1.0% 0
2009 0 0%3,767 18 0.5% 0
2008 0 0%3,767 (60) -1.6% 0
2007 0 0%3,767 (102) -2.7% 0
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AppendixNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
OVERALL VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 4.9% (0.2)1,661 $795 $0.92 0.6% $788 $0.92
(0.1)2022 5.1% (0.6)1,674 $790 $0.92 0.9% $784 $0.91
(0.7)2021 5.6% (1.0)1,802 $784 $0.91 1.0% $777 $0.90
02020 6.7% 1.42,047 $776 $0.90 1.7% $769 $0.89
(1.9)2019 5.3% 0.61,547 $763 $0.89 1.7% $757 $0.88
(3.0)YTD 4.8% 0.21,384 $756 $0.88 0.6% $749 $0.87
3.22018 4.7% (1.4)1,320 $751 $0.87 3.6% $743 $0.86
(3.8)2017 6.1% 2.91,700 $725 $0.84 0.4% $717 $0.83
1.02016 3.2% 0.3837 $722 $0.84 4.1% $717 $0.83
1.92015 2.9% (1.3)728 $694 $0.81 3.1% $690 $0.80
(0.9)2014 4.2% (0.1)1,017 $673 $0.78 1.3% $670 $0.78
0.32013 4.3% (0.1)1,048 $664 $0.77 2.1% $659 $0.77
0.62012 4.4% (1.3)1,081 $650 $0.75 1.8% $646 $0.75
0.42011 5.8% (0.7)1,407 $638 $0.74 1.2% $634 $0.74
4.22010 6.5% (0.9)1,575 $631 $0.73 0.8% $626 $0.73
(1.9)2009 7.4% (1.4)1,785 $626 $0.73 -3.4% $621 $0.72
(4.3)2008 8.8% 1.72,040 $648 $0.75 -1.5% $642 $0.75
-2007 7.1% 2.81,560 $657 $0.76 2.8% $652 $0.76
4 & 5 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 9.3% (0.3)1,141 $955 $1.01 0.1% $940 $1.00
(0.1)2022 9.6% (0.4)1,068 $955 $1.01 0.3% $939 $1.00
(0.6)2021 10.0% (3.6)1,008 $951 $1.01 0.5% $936 $0.99
0.22020 13.6% 4.01,241 $947 $1.00 1.1% $932 $0.99
(3.0)2019 9.6% 1.5738 $937 $0.99 0.9% $922 $0.98
(3.2)YTD 7.7% (0.4)545 $935 $0.99 0.6% $920 $0.97
5.22018 8.1% (7.6)564 $929 $0.98 3.8% $910 $0.96
(5.8)2017 15.7% 7.51,055 $895 $0.95 -1.4% $878 $0.93
1.12016 8.2% 3.9417 $907 $0.96 4.4% $898 $0.95
2.12015 4.3% 0.4192 $869 $0.92 3.3% $864 $0.92
(0.9)2014 3.9% (1.9)163 $841 $0.89 1.2% $839 $0.89
0.42013 5.8% 0.9244 $831 $0.88 2.1% $824 $0.87
0.42012 4.9% (2.1)208 $814 $0.86 1.7% $807 $0.86
0.52011 7.1% (1.1)298 $801 $0.85 1.3% $795 $0.84
4.22010 8.2% 0340 $791 $0.84 0.8% $784 $0.83
(1.9)2009 8.2% (1.1)334 $784 $0.83 -3.4% $778 $0.82
(4.3)2008 9.3% 1.0344 $812 $0.86 -1.5% $806 $0.85
-2007 8.3% 3.1296 $824 $0.87 2.9% $816 $0.86
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AppendixNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
3 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 2.5% (0.4)449 $740 $0.90 0.9% $737 $0.89
(0.1)2022 2.8% (0.9)521 $734 $0.89 1.2% $731 $0.88
(0.7)2021 3.8% (0.1)689 $725 $0.88 1.3% $722 $0.87
02020 3.8% 0688 $716 $0.87 2.0% $713 $0.86
(1.4)2019 3.8% 0.2680 $702 $0.85 2.0% $699 $0.85
(2.8)YTD 4.0% 0.3704 $692 $0.84 0.6% $689 $0.83
2.32018 3.6% 0.7636 $688 $0.83 3.4% $685 $0.83
(2.9)2017 2.9% 1.1512 $666 $0.81 1.1% $661 $0.80
0.82016 1.8% (0.6)310 $659 $0.80 4.0% $655 $0.79
1.72015 2.4% (1.3)415 $634 $0.77 3.1% $631 $0.76
(0.7)2014 3.7% (0.1)608 $614 $0.74 1.4% $612 $0.74
0.12013 3.8% (0.5)623 $606 $0.73 2.1% $602 $0.73
0.72012 4.2% (1.1)696 $594 $0.72 2.0% $591 $0.72
0.42011 5.3% (0.7)872 $582 $0.70 1.2% $579 $0.70
4.22010 6.0% (1.1)982 $575 $0.70 0.8% $572 $0.69
(1.8)2009 7.1% (1.8)1,159 $571 $0.69 -3.3% $566 $0.69
(4.2)2008 8.9% 1.91,385 $590 $0.71 -1.5% $585 $0.71
-2007 6.9% 2.81,014 $599 $0.72 2.7% $595 $0.72
1 & 2 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.4)2023 2.0% (0.4)71 $672 $0.80 0.3% $669 $0.80
(0.3)2022 2.4% (0.5)86 $670 $0.80 0.7% $667 $0.79
(1.0)2021 2.9% (0.3)105 $666 $0.79 1.0% $663 $0.79
(0.8)2020 3.2% (0.2)119 $659 $0.79 1.9% $656 $0.78
(1.5)2019 3.5% 0.2129 $647 $0.77 2.8% $644 $0.77
(3.2)YTD 3.6% 0.4134 $636 $0.76 1.1% $633 $0.75
1.22018 3.3% (0.3)121 $629 $0.75 4.3% $625 $0.74
(1.1)2017 3.6% 0.6133 $604 $0.72 3.0% $600 $0.71
1.52016 3.0% (0.3)110 $586 $0.70 4.2% $583 $0.69
1.72015 3.3% (3.2)121 $563 $0.67 2.6% $560 $0.67
(2.0)2014 6.5% 1.7246 $548 $0.65 0.9% $545 $0.65
1.42013 4.8% 0.1181 $543 $0.65 2.9% $541 $0.64
0.82012 4.7% (1.6)177 $528 $0.63 1.5% $525 $0.62
(0.1)2011 6.3% (0.4)238 $521 $0.62 0.6% $517 $0.62
4.32010 6.7% (1.0)253 $517 $0.62 0.8% $514 $0.61
(1.9)2009 7.8% (0.5)293 $514 $0.61 -3.5% $509 $0.61
(4.4)2008 8.3% 1.6311 $532 $0.63 -1.6% $528 $0.63
-2007 6.6% 2.7251 $541 $0.64 2.8% $537 $0.64
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AppendixNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
OVERALL SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 231- $88,416 6.8%
2022 -- - -- 230- $88,175 6.7%
2021 -- - -- 229- $87,927 6.7%
2020 -- - -- 230- $88,152 6.6%
2019 -- - -- 229- $87,719 6.6%
YTD $73.8 M12 2.8% $98,202$7,384,764 2267.6% $86,584 6.5%
2018 $258.9 M25 10.1% $90,730$10,357,789 2226.7% $85,219 6.5%
2017 $67.8 M19 4.4% $60,690$4,236,909 1986.7% $75,887 6.7%
2016 $36.6 M19 3.8% $52,796$2,814,453 1907.0% $72,708 6.8%
2015 $173.5 M28 8.7% $79,864$6,427,544 1797.3% $68,506 6.9%
2014 $37.3 M22 5.1% $38,063$1,963,244 16510.3% $63,386 7.1%
2013 $54.5 M18 4.8% $55,631$3,203,706 1547.2% $58,935 7.3%
2012 $29.1 M7 2.9% $41,716$4,153,738 1466.3% $56,111 7.4%
2011 $72.5 M17 6.4% $46,815$4,265,706 1416.7% $53,901 7.5%
2010 $30.9 M11 3.2% $40,864$3,089,333 1247.7% $47,492 7.8%
2009 $15.4 M8 1.6% $39,989$2,199,370 945.6% $36,157 8.7%
2008 $8.0 M6 0.8% $50,892$1,997,500 1009.8% $38,332 8.6%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
4 & 5 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 239- $116,535 6.3%
2022 -- - -- 239- $116,744 6.2%
2021 -- - -- 240- $116,947 6.2%
2020 -- - -- 241- $117,775 6.1%
2019 -- - -- 241- $117,764 6.0%
YTD $63.6 M1 7.5% $118,879$63,600,000 2405.7% $116,910 6.0%
2018 $190.4 M10 25.2% $108,430$19,040,272 2345.9% $114,246 6.0%
2017 $35.4 M2 6.2% $85,378$17,715,875 2056.5% $100,073 6.3%
2016 -- - -- 194- $94,911 6.4%
2015 $76.3 M4 16.8% $101,752$19,078,494 1846.3% $89,620 6.5%
2014 $3.9 M1 3.0% $30,469$3,900,000 168- $82,036 6.7%
2013 $43.5 M5 18.0% $57,362$8,707,600 1576.9% $76,802 6.9%
2012 -- - -- 149- $72,914 7.1%
2011 $49.9 M3 20.8% $56,963$16,633,333 1465.4% $71,271 7.0%
2010 $8.3 M1 4.7% $42,976$8,337,333 1258.0% $61,117 7.4%
2009 -- - -- 95- $46,472 8.3%
2008 -- - -- 100- $48,806 8.2%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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AppendixNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
3 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 228- $79,373 6.9%
2022 -- - -- 227- $78,879 6.9%
2021 -- - -- 226- $78,379 6.8%
2020 -- - -- 225- $78,306 6.8%
2019 -- - -- 223- $77,643 6.7%
YTD $5.2 M4 0.7% $67,782$1,739,744 2218.0% $76,681 6.6%
2018 $52.3 M6 3.4% $87,613$8,717,526 2177.0% $75,411 6.6%
2017 $21.3 M10 2.8% $51,635$2,363,756 1956.5% $67,614 6.9%
2016 $25.8 M7 2.4% $71,453$4,299,065 1877.0% $64,962 6.9%
2015 $81.0 M12 6.2% $76,600$6,753,542 1767.1% $61,173 7.0%
2014 $26.0 M12 5.5% $39,911$2,886,904 1658.0% $57,173 7.2%
2013 $8.1 M9 2.3% $45,421$1,010,625 152- $52,905 7.4%
2012 $25.3 M5 2.7% $57,577$5,055,233 1457.5% $50,302 7.5%
2011 $18.0 M7 3.2% $34,465$2,575,000 1387.4% $47,833 7.6%
2010 $22.1 M8 3.3% $40,544$2,757,000 1237.5% $42,814 7.9%
2009 $15.2 M3 2.1% $44,116$5,058,667 945.6% $32,637 8.9%
2008 $7.6 M3 0.9% $51,712$2,516,667 100- $34,749 8.7%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
1 & 2 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 210- $62,053 7.5%
2022 -- - -- 209- $61,938 7.4%
2021 -- - -- 209- $61,801 7.4%
2020 -- - -- 209- $61,986 7.3%
2019 -- - -- 208- $61,627 7.3%
YTD $5.0 M7 4.0% $35,917$838,068 2029.0% $59,719 7.2%
2018 $16.2 M9 13.6% $32,409$1,804,095 20411.0% $60,383 7.2%
2017 $11.1 M7 8.6% $38,224$2,217,000 1887.5% $55,691 7.3%
2016 $10.8 M12 15.6% $32,511$1,541,928 186- $54,939 7.2%
2015 $16.2 M12 10.1% $44,348$1,471,564 1749.5% $51,434 7.4%
2014 $7.4 M9 5.3% $36,913$824,389 15912.6% $46,983 7.6%
2013 $2.8 M4 1.1% $67,619$710,000 1477.7% $43,611 7.9%
2012 $3.8 M2 6.8% $14,729$1,900,000 1435.0% $42,387 7.8%
2011 $4.6 M7 4.0% $30,613$656,000 1356.0% $40,035 8.0%
2010 $0.5 M2 0.8% $27,778$500,000 122- $36,203 8.3%
2009 $0.2 M5 1.2% $5,356$54,897 93- $27,506 9.2%
2008 $0.4 M3 1.0% $40,000$440,000 1009.8% $29,591 9.0%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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AppendixNorthwest Arkansas Multi-Family
DELIVERIES & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Net DeliveriesInventory
Bldgs Units BldgsBldgs Units VacancyYear
Under Construction
Units
Deliveries
Bldgs Units
2023 34,115 4.9%- - 1,121 - -- 1,093
2022 33,022 5.1%- - 1,058 - -- 1,030
2021 31,992 5.6%- - 1,364 - -- 1,336
2020 30,656 6.7%- - 1,536 - -- 1,509
2019 29,147 5.3%- - 997 - -- 990
YTD 28,544 4.8%349 6 387 15 2,7026 387
2018 28,157 4.7%343 4 289 17 2,5634 289
2017 27,868 6.1%339 10 2,016 13 95010 2,016
2016 25,852 3.2%329 5 690 13 2,5495 690
2015 25,162 2.9%324 4 828 5 7023 744
2014 24,418 4.2%321 0 0 4 8280 0
2013 24,418 4.3%321 1 38 0 01 38
2012 24,380 4.4%320 3 45 1 382 24
2011 24,356 5.8%318 1 56 3 451 56
2010 24,300 6.5%317 3 139 1 563 139
2009 24,161 7.4%314 3 1,068 3 1393 1,068
2008 23,093 8.8%311 7 1,103 4 1,0807 1,103
2007 21,990 7.1%304 13 1,473 8 1,59513 1,473
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Columbia, Missouri
TRP Market Overviews
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
Q1 | 18 www.twinrockpartners.com
Columbia Market
PREPARED BY
Alexander Philips
CEO & CIO
Multi-Family Market Report
MULTI-FAMILY MARKET REPORT
Market Key Statistics 2
Vacancy 3
Rent 5
Construction 7
Under Construction Properties 8
Sales 9
Sales Past 12 Months 10
Economy 12
Market Submarkets 14
Supply & Demand Trends 16
Vacancy & Rent 18
Sale Trends 20
Deliveries & Under Construction 22
Columbia Multi-Family
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OverviewColumbia Multi-Family
12 Mo. Delivered Units
012 Mo. Absorption Units
(35)Vacancy Rate
5.9%12 Mo. Asking Rent Growth
0%Apartment rents in the Columbia metro increased by1.3% year-over-year as of 19Q1, and have posted anaverage annual gain of 0.4% over the past three years.Vacancies in the metro were above the cycle average asof 19Q1, and, more or less, were unchanged over thepast four quarters. There are about 460 units currentlyunderway, representing a 4.9% expansion of the existinginventory. Over the past three years, 270 units havedelivered, or a cumulative inventory expansion of 2.9%.
Over the past four quarters, about 120 units traded, aninventory turnover of roughly 1.3%. This is essentially inline with the five-year average turnover of 2%. Jobgrowth remains lackluster. Over the past year, totalemployment increased by 0.9%, or about 850 jobs. Overthe past five years, employment has increased by 1%annually on average, compared to a 1.8% averageincrease nationally.
KEY INDICATORS
Asking RentVacancy RateUnitsCurrent Quarter Effective RentAbsorption
UnitsDelivered Units
Under ConstrUnits
$8825.2%2,1144 & 5 Star $871 (1) 0 464
$7426.0%5,7693 Star $731 14 0 0
$7696.6%1,6421 & 2 Star $755 0 0 0
$7865.9%9,525Market $775 13 0 464
ForecastAverage
HistoricalAverage
12 MonthAnnual Trends Peak When Trough When
6.0%5.8%0.4%Vacancy Change (YOY) 9.5% 2003 Q1 3.9% 2014 Q3
141161(35)Absorption Units 742 2008 Q3 (39) 2017 Q3
1451700Delivered Units 760 2008 Q3 0 2019 Q1
200Demolished Units 5 2014 Q2 0 2019 Q1
0.7%1.1%0%Asking Rent Growth (YOY) 3.6% 2001 Q1 -2.3% 2009 Q4
0.7%1.0%0.1%Effective Rent Growth (YOY) 3.4% 2001 Q1 -2.3% 2009 Q4
N/A$2.5M$363 KSales Volume $18.3M 2016 Q2 $0 2018 Q1
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VacancyColumbia Multi-Family
ABSORPTION, NET DELIVERIES & VACANCY
VACANCY RATE
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VacancyColumbia Multi-Family
VACANCY BY BEDROOM
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RentColumbia Multi-Family
DAILY ASKING RENT PER SF
MARKET RENT PER UNIT & RENT GROWTH
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RentColumbia Multi-Family
MARKET RENT PER UNIT BY BEDROOM
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ConstructionColumbia Multi-Family
DELIVERIES & DEMOLITIONS
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Under Construction PropertiesColumbia Multi-Family
Properties
2Units
464Percent of Inventory
4.9%Avg. No. Units
232UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTIES
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Property Name/Address Rating Units Stories Start Complete Developer/Owner
Apr-20171280 Cinnamon Hill Ln
Kelly Farms384 - Nov-2019
-
-1
Apr-20181985 Southhampton Dr
Sinclair Estates80 - Jun-2019
-
-2
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SalesColumbia Multi-Family
SALES VOLUME & MARKET SALE PRICE PER UNIT
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Sales Past 12 MonthsColumbia Multi-Family
Sale Comparables
1Avg. Price/Unit (thous.)
$26Average Price (mil.)
$0.4Average Vacancy at Sale
14.3%SALE COMPARABLE LOCATIONS
SALE COMPARABLES SUMMARY STATISTICS
Sales Attributes Low Average Median High
Sale Price $363,329 $363,329 $363,329 $363,329
Price Per Unit $25,952 $25,952 $25,952 $25,952
Cap Rate 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
Vacancy Rate at Sale 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% 14.3%
Time Since Sale in Months 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2
Property Attributes Low Average Median High
Property Size in Units 14 14 14 14
Number of Floors 1 1 1 1
Average Unit SF 2,429 2,429 2,429 2,429
Year Built 2009 2009 2009 2009
Star Rating 3.0
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Sales Past 12 MonthsColumbia Multi-Family
RECENT SIGNIFICANT SALES
Sale InformationProperty Information
RatingProperty Name/Address Yr Built Units Vacancy Sale Date Price Price/Unit Price/SF
4409 Brown Station Rd- 2009
Seasons Brook Estates1 14 14.3% 6/14/2018 $363,329 $25,952 $11
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EconomyColumbia Multi-Family
COLUMBIA EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY IN THOUSANDS
NAICS Industry Jobs LQ MarketUS USMarketUSMarket
Current Jobs Current Growth 10 Yr Historical 5 Yr Forecast
0.13%0.40%0.61%2.59%1.69%1.29%0.54Manufacturing
0.45%0.52%1.08%0.23%1.13%-1.79%0.815Trade, Transportation and Utilities
0.33%0.65%0.80%-0.14%0.06%-3.37%1.011 Retail Trade
0.43%0.65%0.91%2.86%1.28%3.74%1.37Financial Activities
0.77%1.05%-0.03%-0.37%0.49%0.39%1.929Government
0.32%-0.60%1.71%-0.71%3.68%-2.87%0.63Natural Resources, Mining and Construction
0.33%0.34%2.09%2.31%2.06%1.61%0.813Education and Health Services
0.91%1.71%2.48%3.13%2.51%-2.28%0.811Professional and Business Services
0.45%0.10%-0.06%0.27%-0.05%0.08%0.71Information
0.41%0.94%2.41%3.37%2.31%8.13%1.113Leisure and Hospitality
0.23%0.12%0.91%1.37%1.15%-0.84%0.93Other Services
Total Employment 101 1.0 0.93% 1.67% 1.20% 1.33% 0.78% 0.50%
Source: Oxford Economics
LQ = Location Quotient
Source: Oxford Economics
YEAR OVER YEAR JOB GROWTH
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EconomyColumbia Multi-Family
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
Current ChangeCurrent Level
Metro U.S.Metro U.S.Demographic Category
10-Year Change
Metro U.S. Metro U.S.
Forecast Change (5 Yrs)
Population 328,988,813180,710 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7%
Households 121,188,64171,158 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
Median Household Income $63,753$51,399 1.4% 3.7% 0.9% 2.2% 3.9% 4.3%
Labor Force 163,511,78198,688 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Unemployment 3.8%2.1% -0.3% -0.1% -0.4% -0.5% - -
Source: Oxford Economics
POPULATION GROWTH
Source: Oxford Economics
LABOR FORCE GROWTH INCOME GROWTH
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SubmarketsColumbia Multi-Family
COLUMBIA SUBMARKETS
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SubmarketsColumbia Multi-Family
SUBMARKET INVENTORY
12 Month Deliveries Under Construction
Bldgs Units Percent Rank
Inventory
Bldgs Units Percent RankBldgs Units % Market RankSubmarketNo.
1 Columbia MO 80 100% 1 0 0 0% -3 0 0 0% -
SUBMARKET RENT
Yr. Growth
Asking Rents
Per UnitSubmarketNo.
Effective Rents
RankRank Yr. GrowthRankPer SF ConcessionPer SFPer Unit
1 Columbia MO -0.4%1 -0.4% 1$1,276 1$1.82 0.6%$1.81$1,269
SUBMARKET VACANCY & ABSORPTION
12 Month Absorption
Rank Construct. Ratio
Vacancy
Units % of InvUnits PercentSubmarketNo. Rank
1 Columbia MO 4 5.0% -0 0% -1
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AppendixColumbia Multi-Family
OVERALL SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 112 1.1%10,254 139 1.4% 0.8
2022 101 1.0%10,142 121 1.2% 0.8
2021 56 0.6%10,041 130 1.3% 0.4
2020 77 0.8%9,985 230 2.3% 0.3
2019 383 4.0%9,908 116 1.2% 3.3
YTD 0 0%9,525 (17) -0.2% 0
2018 0 0%9,525 73 0.8% 0
2017 0 0%9,525 (16) -0.2% 0
2016 519 5.8%9,525 307 3.2% 1.7
2015 48 0.5%9,006 24 0.3% 2.0
2014 24 0.3%8,958 135 1.5% 0.2
2013 197 2.3%8,934 85 1.0% 2.3
2012 130 1.5%8,737 162 1.9% 0.8
2011 0 0%8,607 85 1.0% 0
2010 0 0%8,607 5 0.1% 0
2009 220 2.6%8,607 212 2.5% 1.0
2008 434 5.5%8,387 589 7.0% 0.7
2007 384 5.1%7,953 231 2.9% 1.7
4 & 5 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 115 4.2%2,855 113 4.0% 1.0
2022 103 3.9%2,740 96 3.5% 1.1
2021 59 2.3%2,637 113 4.3% 0.5
2020 80 3.2%2,578 232 9.0% 0.3
2019 384 18.2%2,498 128 5.1% 3.0
YTD 0 0%2,114 (1) 0% 0
2018 0 0%2,114 21 1.0% 0
2017 0 0%2,114 127 6.0% 0
2016 519 32.5%2,114 364 17.2% 1.4
2015 36 2.3%1,595 (3) -0.2% -
2014 24 1.6%1,559 64 4.1% 0.4
2013 12 0.8%1,535 8 0.5% 1.5
2012 64 4.4%1,523 67 4.4% 1.0
2011 0 0%1,459 23 1.6% 0
2010 0 0%1,459 0 0% -
2009 31 2.2%1,459 55 3.8% 0.6
2008 434 43.7%1,428 526 36.8% 0.8
2007 384 63.0%994 190 19.1% 2.0
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AppendixColumbia Multi-Family
3 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 0 0%5,769 22 0.4% 0
2022 0 0%5,769 21 0.4% 0
2021 0 0%5,769 16 0.3% 0
2020 0 0%5,769 1 0% 0
2019 0 0%5,769 3 0.1% 0
YTD 0 0%5,769 (1) 0% 0
2018 0 0%5,769 56 1.0% 0
2017 0 0%5,769 (138) -2.4% 0
2016 0 0%5,769 (39) -0.7% 0
2015 12 0.2%5,769 23 0.4% 0.5
2014 0 0%5,757 76 1.3% 0
2013 190 3.4%5,757 73 1.3% 2.6
2012 0 0%5,567 22 0.4% 0
2011 0 0%5,567 44 0.8% 0
2010 0 0%5,567 5 0.1% 0
2009 189 3.5%5,567 159 2.9% 1.2
2008 0 0%5,378 50 0.9% 0
2007 0 0%5,378 33 0.6% 0
1 & 2 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
AbsorptionInventory
Units % of Inv Construction RatioUnits Growth % GrowthYear
2023 (3) -0.2%1,630 4 0.2% -
2022 (2) -0.1%1,633 4 0.2% -
2021 (3) -0.2%1,635 1 0.1% -
2020 (3) -0.2%1,638 (3) -0.2% 1.0
2019 (1) -0.1%1,641 (15) -0.9% 0.1
YTD 0 0%1,642 (15) -0.9% 0
2018 0 0%1,642 (4) -0.2% 0
2017 0 0%1,642 (5) -0.3% 0
2016 0 0%1,642 (18) -1.1% 0
2015 0 0%1,642 4 0.2% 0
2014 0 0%1,642 (5) -0.3% 0
2013 (5) -0.3%1,642 4 0.2% -
2012 66 4.2%1,647 73 4.4% 0.9
2011 0 0%1,581 18 1.1% 0
2010 0 0%1,581 0 0% -
2009 0 0%1,581 (2) -0.1% 0
2008 0 0%1,581 13 0.8% 0
2007 0 0%1,581 8 0.5% 0
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AppendixColumbia Multi-Family
OVERALL VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 5.3% (0.3)539 $806 $0.83 0.5% $795 $0.81
02022 5.6% (0.3)566 $802 $0.82 0.7% $791 $0.81
(0.2)2021 5.9% (0.8)588 $796 $0.82 0.7% $785 $0.80
0.52020 6.6% (1.6)661 $790 $0.81 1.0% $779 $0.80
(0.1)2019 8.2% 2.5817 $783 $0.80 0.5% $772 $0.79
0.4YTD 5.9% 0.2566 $786 $0.80 1.0% $775 $0.79
0.22018 5.8% (0.7)549 $778 $0.80 0.6% $767 $0.78
(0.2)2017 6.5% 0.2620 $774 $0.79 0.4% $752 $0.77
(1.7)2016 6.3% 2.0604 $770 $0.79 0.6% $758 $0.78
0.32015 4.3% 0.2392 $765 $0.78 2.3% $760 $0.78
02014 4.1% (1.2)369 $748 $0.77 2.0% $744 $0.76
0.22013 5.4% 1.2479 $733 $0.75 2.0% $730 $0.75
0.92012 4.2% (0.3)364 $719 $0.74 1.8% $716 $0.73
0.62011 4.5% (0.9)384 $706 $0.72 0.9% $702 $0.72
2.62010 5.4% 0466 $700 $0.72 0.3% $696 $0.71
(3.8)2009 5.4% 0469 $698 $0.71 -2.3% $693 $0.71
(0.9)2008 5.4% (2.2)456 $715 $0.73 1.4% $709 $0.73
-2007 7.7% 1.7611 $705 $0.72 2.3% $698 $0.71
4 & 5 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 5.9% (0.2)169 $893 $0.92 0.3% $882 $0.91
02022 6.1% 0167 $890 $0.92 0.6% $880 $0.91
(0.2)2021 6.1% (2.2)161 $885 $0.91 0.6% $874 $0.90
1.32020 8.3% (6.4)213 $879 $0.90 0.8% $869 $0.89
(2.7)2019 14.6% 9.5366 $872 $0.90 -0.5% $862 $0.89
(1.6)YTD 5.2% 0110 $882 $0.90 0.6% $871 $0.89
2.92018 5.1% (1.0)109 $877 $0.90 2.2% $869 $0.89
(4.6)2017 6.1% (6.0)130 $858 $0.88 -0.8% $843 $0.87
2.22016 12.1% 5.9256 $865 $0.89 3.9% $840 $0.86
1.02015 6.2% 2.399 $833 $0.85 1.7% $825 $0.85
(1.7)2014 3.9% (2.6)61 $819 $0.84 0.7% $817 $0.84
02013 6.5% 0.3100 $813 $0.83 2.4% $811 $0.83
1.42012 6.2% (0.4)94 $794 $0.82 2.4% $791 $0.81
1.02011 6.6% (1.4)97 $776 $0.80 1.0% $771 $0.79
2.42010 8.0% 0117 $768 $0.79 0% $763 $0.78
(3.8)2009 8.0% (1.7)117 $768 $0.79 -2.4% $761 $0.78
(0.9)2008 9.7% (13.5)139 $786 $0.81 1.4% $776 $0.80
-2007 23.2% 17.5231 $775 $0.80 2.3% $762 $0.78
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AppendixColumbia Multi-Family
3 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.2)2023 4.9% (0.4)280 $769 $0.80 0.7% $759 $0.79
02022 5.3% (0.4)303 $764 $0.79 1.0% $753 $0.78
(0.2)2021 5.6% (0.3)325 $757 $0.79 0.9% $746 $0.78
0.52020 5.9% 0341 $750 $0.78 1.1% $739 $0.77
1.12019 5.9% (0.1)343 $741 $0.77 0.6% $731 $0.76
1.3YTD 6.0% 0347 $742 $0.77 0.8% $731 $0.76
(0.8)2018 6.0% (1.0)346 $737 $0.77 -0.5% $724 $0.75
1.12017 7.0% 2.4403 $741 $0.77 0.3% $717 $0.75
(3.7)2016 4.6% 0.7265 $738 $0.77 -0.8% $732 $0.76
(0.2)2015 3.9% (0.2)226 $745 $0.77 2.8% $740 $0.77
1.22014 4.1% (1.3)237 $724 $0.75 3.0% $719 $0.75
0.32013 5.4% 1.9313 $703 $0.73 1.8% $699 $0.73
0.62012 3.5% (0.4)195 $690 $0.72 1.5% $687 $0.72
0.42011 3.9% (0.8)215 $680 $0.71 0.9% $676 $0.70
2.82010 4.7% (0.1)259 $674 $0.70 0.5% $670 $0.70
(3.7)2009 4.7% 0.4263 $670 $0.70 -2.3% $666 $0.69
(0.9)2008 4.3% (0.9)231 $686 $0.71 1.4% $683 $0.71
-2007 5.2% (0.6)281 $676 $0.70 2.3% $672 $0.70
1 & 2 STAR VACANCY & RENT
Market RentVacancy
Per Unit Per SF % GrowthUnits Percent Ppts ChgYear Per Unit Per SFPpts Chg
Effective Rent
(0.3)2023 5.5% (0.4)89 $780 $0.75 -0.1% $766 $0.74
(0.1)2022 5.9% (0.4)96 $781 $0.75 0.3% $766 $0.74
(0.6)2021 6.3% (0.3)102 $778 $0.75 0.4% $764 $0.73
(1.4)2020 6.5% 0107 $776 $0.75 1.0% $762 $0.73
1.02019 6.6% 0.8108 $768 $0.74 2.4% $754 $0.72
1.1YTD 6.6% 0.9109 $769 $0.74 2.5% $755 $0.73
(2.1)2018 5.7% 0.394 $750 $0.72 1.4% $734 $0.71
4.22017 5.4% 0.388 $740 $0.71 3.5% $715 $0.69
(2.4)2016 5.0% 1.083 $715 $0.69 -0.7% $709 $0.68
0.62015 4.1% (0.3)67 $720 $0.69 1.7% $715 $0.69
(0.9)2014 4.4% 0.472 $708 $0.68 1.1% $705 $0.68
0.42013 4.0% (0.5)66 $700 $0.67 2.0% $697 $0.67
1.12012 4.5% (0.1)74 $687 $0.66 1.6% $683 $0.66
0.52011 4.6% (1.0)73 $676 $0.65 0.5% $672 $0.65
2.42010 5.6% 089 $672 $0.65 0% $668 $0.64
(3.8)2009 5.6% 0.188 $672 $0.65 -2.4% $667 $0.64
(0.9)2008 5.5% (0.8)86 $688 $0.66 1.4% $684 $0.66
-2007 6.3% (0.5)99 $678 $0.65 2.3% $674 $0.65
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AppendixColumbia Multi-Family
OVERALL SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 181- $162,490 7.1%
2022 -- - -- 180- $162,071 7.1%
2021 -- - -- 180- $161,728 7.1%
2020 -- - -- 181- $162,469 7.0%
2019 -- - -- 181- $162,515 6.9%
YTD -- - -- 181- $162,116 6.8%
2018 $1.1 M2 1.3% $9,023$550,414 1799.0% $160,518 6.8%
2017 $0 M1 2.6% -- 172- $154,365 6.8%
2016 $1.8 M3 2.9% $148,854$1,786,250 169- $151,427 6.8%
2015 $16.5 M4 3.3% $57,180$5,508,333 1617.8% $144,328 6.9%
2014 -- - -- 156- $139,644 6.9%
2013 -- - -- 144- $129,449 7.2%
2012 $0 M1 2.8% -- 143- $128,281 7.1%
2011 -- - -- 136- $122,086 7.2%
2010 $3.1 M13 10.9% $10,838$1,555,250 121- $108,860 7.5%
2009 -- - -- 93- $83,339 8.3%
2008 -- - -- 100- $89,801 8.1%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
4 & 5 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 183- $242,082 6.8%
2022 -- - -- 183- $241,848 6.7%
2021 -- - -- 183- $241,705 6.7%
2020 -- - -- 184- $243,182 6.6%
2019 -- - -- 184- $243,798 6.6%
YTD -- - -- 184- $243,626 6.5%
2018 -- - -- 183- $241,621 6.5%
2017 -- - -- 177- $234,699 6.4%
2016 -- - -- 174- $230,312 6.4%
2015 $0 M1 0.8% -- 166- $220,223 6.5%
2014 -- - -- 160- $211,396 6.5%
2013 -- - -- 147- $194,755 6.8%
2012 -- - -- 145- $192,423 6.7%
2011 -- - -- 137- $180,992 6.9%
2010 -- - -- 122- $160,913 7.2%
2009 -- - -- 93- $123,034 8.0%
2008 -- - -- 100- $132,296 7.8%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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AppendixColumbia Multi-Family
3 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 180- $140,729 7.1%
2022 -- - -- 180- $140,053 7.1%
2021 -- - -- 179- $139,474 7.1%
2020 -- - -- 179- $139,883 7.0%
2019 -- - -- 179- $139,725 7.0%
YTD -- - -- 179- $139,287 6.9%
2018 $1.1 M2 2.1% $9,023$550,414 1779.0% $137,807 6.9%
2017 $0 M1 4.2% -- 168- $131,382 6.9%
2016 $0 M2 4.5% -- 165- $128,856 6.9%
2015 $15.4 M2 4.7% $57,156$7,687,500 1577.8% $122,316 7.0%
2014 -- - -- 153- $118,978 7.0%
2013 -- - -- 142- $110,744 7.3%
2012 $0 M1 4.5% -- 141- $109,945 7.2%
2011 -- - -- 135- $105,615 7.2%
2010 $0 M3 10.6% -- 121- $94,396 7.5%
2009 -- - -- 93- $72,277 8.3%
2008 -- - -- 100- $77,985 8.1%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
1 & 2 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/UnitDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/Unit Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 176- $113,983 7.4%
2022 -- - -- 177- $114,174 7.4%
2021 -- - -- 177- $114,348 7.4%
2020 -- - -- 178- $115,100 7.3%
2019 -- - -- 178- $114,966 7.2%
YTD -- - -- 177- $114,352 7.2%
2018 -- - -- 175- $112,979 7.2%
2017 -- - -- 169- $108,985 7.2%
2016 $1.8 M1 0.7% $148,854$1,786,250 165- $106,879 7.2%
2015 $1.2 M1 1.2% $57,500$1,150,000 159- $102,508 7.2%
2014 -- - -- 154- $99,600 7.3%
2013 -- - -- 143- $92,635 7.5%
2012 -- - -- 142- $91,996 7.4%
2011 -- - -- 135- $87,473 7.5%
2010 $3.1 M10 21.7% $10,838$1,555,250 121- $77,954 7.8%
2009 -- - -- 93- $59,878 8.7%
2008 -- - -- 100- $64,598 8.5%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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AppendixColumbia Multi-Family
DELIVERIES & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Net DeliveriesInventory
Bldgs Units BldgsBldgs Units VacancyYear
Under Construction
Units
Deliveries
Bldgs Units
2023 10,255 5.3%- - 115 - -- 112
2022 10,143 5.6%- - 103 - -- 100
2021 10,043 5.9%- - 60 - -- 57
2020 9,986 6.6%- - 80 - -- 78
2019 9,908 8.2%- - 384 - -- 383
YTD 9,525 5.9%105 0 0 2 4640 0
2018 9,525 5.8%105 0 0 2 4640 0
2017 9,525 6.5%105 0 0 1 3840 0
2016 9,525 6.3%105 3 519 0 03 519
2015 9,006 4.3%102 2 48 3 5192 48
2014 8,958 4.1%100 2 24 3 2982 24
2013 8,934 5.4%98 2 202 5 3221 197
2012 8,737 4.2%97 3 130 4 4643 130
2011 8,607 4.5%94 0 0 3 1300 0
2010 8,607 5.4%94 0 0 1 640 0
2009 8,607 5.4%94 6 220 0 06 220
2008 8,387 5.4%88 2 434 6 2202 434
2007 7,953 7.7%86 1 384 3 5201 384
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