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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
December 22, 2017
Executive Briefing
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
Survey Overview
December Hogs and Pigs
Data Collection Period November 30 – December 12
Sample Size 9,226
Collection Methods Mail, Telephone, Internet, Face-to-Face Interview
Primary Data ItemsTotal Inventory: by class, weight group, and quarter;
Sows Farrowing; Pig Crop; and Pigs per Litter
December 22, 2017
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions
Survey Item
Initial
Estimate(1,000 head)
Previous
Revision(1,000 head)
Current
Revision(1,000 head)
Net
Revision(1,000 head)
Current
Estimate(1,000 head)
December 1, 2016All Hogs
and Pigs71,500
+25
+0.03%
+20
+0.03%
+45
+0.06%71,545
March 1, 2017All Hogs
and Pigs70,976
-305
-0.4%
+30
+0.04%
-275
-0.4%70,701
June 1, 2017All Hogs
and Pigs71,650
-220
-0.3%
-420
-0.6%
-640
-0.9%71,010
Pig Crop 32,264 No revision-474
-1.5%
-474
-1.5%31,790
September 1, 2017All Hogs
and Pigs73,549 No revision
-250
-0.3%
-250
-0.3%73,299
December 22, 2017
U.S. Hogs and Pigs December 1Item 2016 2017 % PY
1,000 head
All Hogs and Pigs 71,545 73,230 102
Breeding Hogs 6,110 6,179 101
Market Hogs 65,435 67,051 102
less than 50 lbs 20,887 21,447 103
50-119 lbs 18,102 18,549 102
120-179 lbs 13,786 14,105 102
180 lbs & over 12,660 12,949 102
Sows Farrowed 3,046 3,109 102
Pig Crop 32,372 33,399 103
number
Pigs per Litter 10.63 10.74 101
1,000 head
Dec-Feb Farrowings 2,986 3,070 103
Mar-May Farrowings 3,014 3,083 102
December 22, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs2008 - 2017
December 22, 2017
73.2
61
63
65
67
69
71
73
75
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mil
lion h
ead
December 1 September 1
71.5
73.3
December 1, 2017
Hogs and Pigs InventoryHead (1,000) and Percent of Previous Year
December 22, 2017
Inventory Down Up No Change
ID & WA
51
170
Combined
Trade Expectations Compared
to NASS Estimates Percent of Previous Year
Inventory Items
NASS
Estimate
Trade
Average
Trade
Range
All Hogs and Pigs 102.4% 102.0% 101.3% – 102.6%
Breeding Hogs 101.1% 100.8% 100.0% – 101.6%
Market Hogs 102.5% 102.1% 101.3% – 102.8%
Sep – Nov Pig Crop 103.2% 102.0% 101.5% – 103.0%
Farrowing Intentions
Dec – Feb 102.8% 101.1% 99.5% – 101.8%
Mar – May 102.3% 101.2% 100.0% – 102.1%
December 22, 2017
59
61
63
65
67
69
71
73
75
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mil
lion h
ead
ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate Lower Trade Range Upper Trade Range
All Hogs and PigsFirst Estimate Versus Final Estimate
2008 - 2017
December 22, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed2008-2017
December 22, 2017
3.07
3.08
3.11
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mil
lion h
ead
Sep-Nov Estimate Dec-Feb Intentions Mar-May Intentions
Breeding Herd InventoryDisposition and Utilization
Year
Sep 1
Estimate(1,000 head)
Slaughter(1,000 head)
Additions(1,000 head)
Dec1
Estimate(1,000 head)
Sow
Utilization(Percent)
2008 6,061 964 965 6,062 50
2009 5,875 941 917 5,850 50
2010 5,770 849 858 5,778 50
2011 5,806 880 877 5,803 50
2012 5,788 887 918 5,819 50
2013 5,816 826 767 5,757 48
2014 5,920 802 822 5,939 51
2015 5,986 772 789 6,002 49
2016 6,016 825 919 6,110 51
2017 6,117 839 901 6,179 51
December 22, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter2008-2017
December 22, 2017
10.6510.63
10.74
9.30
9.60
9.90
10.20
10.50
10.80
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Pig
s per
Lit
ter
Sep-Nov Jun-Aug
U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of OperationSeptember - November 2017
7.90
8.60
9.20
9.60
10.50
10.80 10.74
7.50
8.00
8.50
9.00
9.50
10.00
10.50
11.00
11.50
1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+ All
Pig
s per
Lit
ter
Size of Operation
December 22, 2017
Canadian Imports by QuarterFeeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Thousa
nd h
ead
Feeder Slaughter
December 22, 2017
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers
for Hogs and Corn
December 22, 2017
$1.50
$2.50
$3.50
$4.50
$5.50
$6.50
$7.50
$8.50
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Corn
$/b
u
Hogs
$/c
wt
Hogs Corn
Upcoming NASS Reports
Release Date Report Title
December 28, 2017 Agricultural Prices
January 2, 2018 Cotton System, Fats & Oils, Grain Crushings
January 12, 2018 Crop Production
Crop Production Annual
Grain Stocks
January 23, 2018 Milk Production
January 26, 2018 Cattle on Feed
January 31, 2018 Cattle
Sheep and Goats
December 22, 2017
December 22, 2017
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
All Reports Available At
www.nass.usda.gov
For Questions
(202) 720-3570
(800) 727-9540
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
December 22, 2017
