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Qualitative analysis of food webs in the Pacific Ocean J Young, J Dambacher, R Olson, V Allain, F Galvan-Magana, M Lansdell, N Bocanegra- Castillo, V Alatorre-Ramirez, S Cooper, L Duffy Wealth from Oceans

Qualitative analysis of food webs in the Pacific Ocean · 2010. 12. 29. · 49. 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0. swordfish yft. lancetfish. squid. Key players Small fish •yellowfin

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  • Qualitative analysis of food webs in the Pacific Ocean

    J Young, J Dambacher, R Olson, V Allain, F Galvan-Magana, M Lansdell, N Bocanegra-Castillo, V Alatorre-Ramirez, S Cooper, L Duffy

    Wealth from Oceans

  • Acknowledgements

    http://www.frdc.com.au/�

  • Origins of the study

  • Reports also in PFRP Newsletter, GLOBEC newsletter

  • Prey Fam Tot Wt g % Wt'Other Teleostei' 2049 56.3Scombridae 557 15.3'Other Cephalopoda' 308 8.5Ommastrephidae 153 4.2'Unidentified' 145 4.0Exocoetidae 76 2.1Engraulidae 59 1.6Gempylidae 59 1.6Carangidae 40 1.1Thalassocarididae 26 0.7'Caridea' 17 0.5'Hyperiidea' 16 0.4Alepisauridae 15 0.4Bramidae 13 0.4Monacanthidae 10 0.3Acanthuridae 9 0.3'Decapoda' 8 0.2'Stomatopoda' 7 0.2Argonautidae 7 0.2Serranidae 6 0.2

    Skipjack tunatrophic links

  • Multiple predators

  • Understanding complexity through system structure or if this is all we know then what do we know?

  • Bray-Curtisyou are whoyou eat.

    6

    432

    7

    1

    5

    1

    5-7

    32,4

    1

    5-7

    2-4

    1

    Social networkyou are whoyou eat andwho eats you!

  • Aim

    Perturb an influential species (yellowfin tuna) that could be directly affected by ocean warming and trace the effects to commercially important species in three different regions of the Pacific Ocean

  • Stomach collections

    Stomachs collected : CSIRO 3102, SPC 1691, IATTC 3882Sampling area ~ 35 million km2Prey taxa 651 overall248 taxa > 1% wet weight

    CSIRO (PESCI) data base

  • Key player analysis

    Fragmentationthe species/group that, when removed, causes the most disruption or fragmentation is the key player

    Qualitative analyses: method flow chart

    Perturbationsof species/groups to positive or negative inputs e.g. temperature

    “Full” diet matrix (after removal of weak links and isolates

    Reachthe influence of a species/group

    Reduced model/Aggregation (REGE)

    Qualitative dynamics

    Role equivalence(social network theory)

  • SW Pacific Food Web: Key Player AnalysesRemoval/Fragmentation

    yellowfin tuna

  • Key players - identified from their reach through, and their ability to fragment, a food web

    Insert presentation title

    sw cw ceLancetfish + +Mahi +Opah +Skipjack +Albacore +Yellowfin + +swordfish +tripletail +squid + +

  • Southwest Pacific Ocean

    236

    183

    119

    112

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    153

    210

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    126

    92

    177

    71

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    185

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    142 105

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    168

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    83149

    2

    37

    34

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    1314

    69

    68

    66 65

    151127117

    122115

    123

    121124

    116

    10615277

    7574 76

    38

    96 9495 990

    145

    49

    5.0

    4.5

    4.0

    3.5

    3.0

    2.5

    2.0

    1.5

    1.0

    236

    183

    119

    112

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    153

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    92

    177

    71

    196

    27

    185

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    212

    39

    120

    25

    5

    100

    180

    52

    142 105

    234

    193

    174

    114

    140

    35

    70

    239

    108

    23815

    195191192

    207199 200201 202203 205206

    215

    197

    179

    182 228241

    165167155 156 161163 157

    168

    169

    41

    10293

    4 3

    64

    72

    12

    147

    83149

    2

    37

    34

    44

    1314

    69

    68

    66 65

    151127117

    122115

    123

    121124

    116

    10615277

    7574 76

    38

    96 9495 990

    145

    49

    5.0

    4.5

    4.0

    3.5

    3.0

    2.5

    2.0

    1.5

    1.0

    swordfishyft

    lancetfishsquid

    Small fish Key players•yellowfin tuna•Swordfish•lancetfish•squid•small fish

    S = 109TL=3.6

  • Central Western Pacific Ocean

    236

    183

    144

    139

    128

    175

    2230

    219

    153

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    126

    8

    248

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    176 27189 187

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    42

    21

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    230 225

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    5

    100

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    5661

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    24193

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    140

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    48

    146

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    17

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    214

    207 199203 204

    186

    197

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    165

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    163 157158 162 160170168

    164

    5414113713893

    10197

    43

    131

    64 62

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    83

    87

    148

    3729

    28

    2326

    44

    201916 18

    86

    84

    55

    133 135 136

    104 40

    1

    130

    68

    66 65

    67

    129

    151150127

    122115121

    110

    111124

    107

    106152 77

    75 737476

    10 88

    7 6 998

    145 143

    4946

    5.0

    4.5

    4.0

    3.5

    3.0

    2.5

    2.0

    1.5

    1.0

    236

    183

    144

    139

    128

    175

    2230

    219

    153

    210

    235

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    126

    8

    248

    188

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    176 27189 187

    240

    42

    21

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    181 233

    230 225

    80

    5

    100

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    227

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    171

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    70

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    48

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    207 199203 204

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    166

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    164

    5414113713893

    10197

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    3729

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    201916 18

    86

    84

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    133 135 136

    104 40

    1

    130

    68

    66 65

    67

    129

    151150127

    122115121

    110

    111124

    107

    106152 77

    75 737476

    10 88

    7 6 998

    145 143

    4946

    5.0

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    4.0

    3.5

    3.0

    2.5

    2.0

    1.5

    1.0

    Key players•albacore•mahi mahi•squid, •small fish

    S = 142TL=3.5

  • Central Eastern Pacific Ocean

    245

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    80

    27

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    24

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    7879 81

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    7775 7476

    95 8889 69

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    5.0

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    2.0

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    1.0

    245

    219

    153

    126

    231

    80

    27

    82

    56

    24

    239

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    242 217

    223

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    103

    57 59

    32

    36

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    7879 81

    109

    113

    98

    178

    246237247 216244

    134

    91

    222

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    53

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    198 215

    226229

    165154157 160159

    170 168

    169

    645860 51

    37

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    125108

    118

    7775 7476

    95 8889 69

    143

    47

    173

    5.0

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    1.0

    yft

    Key players•yellowfin tuna•Triple tail•mahi mahi•skipjack •small fish

    S = 91TL=3.5

  • Aggregated food webs of three regions of the Pacific Ocean.

    T1 4.30.02

    South Western Pacific Ocean

    Predation Trophic Level

    Tier mean SD

    T2 4.20.31

    T3 3.40.66

    T1 4.40.13

    T2 4.00.47

    T3 3.80.55

    T4 3.20.63

    T1 4.20.27

    T2 4.20.29

    T3 3.60.65

    T4 3.00.76

    Central Western Pacific Ocean

    Central Eastern Pacific Ocean

    •Nodes represent groups of taxa with similar predator–prey relationships and are arranged in predation tiers (Tn)

    •Groups with asterisks contain key players. Shown for each tier are mean and standard deviation of trophic levels of taxa in each group.

    •These network structures were used to create qualitative models of each pelagic ecosystem, which were used for perturbation analyses.

  • +: yellowfin tuna

    -: swordfish, albacore,southern bluefin tuna

    -: bigeye tuna

    -: squid

    --+: mako sharkSW Pacific Food Web: climate change scenarios

    +

    -

  • Perturbation response of increasing yellowfin tuna on other commercial fish species

    Mahimahi

    Skipjack Albacore Bigeye tuna

    swordfish

    South western Pacific

    - + - - -

    Centralwestern Pacific

    + - - + +

    Central eastern Pacific

    + - - - na

  • Conclusions, caveats and future research

    •Identified species that were “key players” in the three regions•Positive perturbation of yellowfin tuna impacted commercially important species in SW Pacific, varying results in other regions•Sharks not keystone species (support from quantitative studies)•Response of a species to a change in ocean conditions (e.g. ocean warming) depends on food web structure – importance of detail in trophic studiesCaveats•Sampling methodology (Lancetfish longline caught v rainbow runners purse seine)Future research•Fisheries exploitation and feedbacks that drive fishing fleet•Direct comparisons with quantitative models

    Qualitative analysis of food webs in the Pacific OceanAcknowledgementsOrigins of the studySlide Number 4Slide Number 5Multiple predatorsSlide Number 7Slide Number 8AimStomach collectionsSlide Number 11Slide Number 12Key players - identified from their reach through, and their ability to fragment, a food webSouthwest Pacific OceanCentral Western Pacific OceanCentral Eastern Pacific OceanAggregated food webs of three regions of the Pacific Ocean.Slide Number 18Perturbation response of increasing yellowfin tuna on other commercial fish speciesConclusions, caveats and future research