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    School of Management and Entrepreneurship (SNU)

    MBA

    ACADEMIC YEAR 2014-2015

    TERM-1

    Name of the Instructor: Surya Sarathi Majumdar

    Telephone Ext. No./Mobile Phone No. /0091 9831918230

    E-mail ID: [email protected]

    Office Location: C214-B

    Subject Title Quantitative Techniques in Management - I

    Subject Code

    Credit Value 2

    Levels Post-Graduate

    Total Teaching Contact

    Hours

    30

    Prerequisites None

    Objective 1)

    Teach how to calculate the probability of certain outcomes based

    on prior data.

    2)

    Impart knowledge on how to present and manipulate statistical

    data and draw inferences from same.

    3)

    Teach methods to test statistical data for existing patterns.

    4)

    To use inferences drawn from data to predict future results and

    forecast trends.

    Subject Learning Outcomes a)

    Learn about permutations, combinations, and Bayes theorem

    (Objective 1)

    b)

    Learn how to present data using various charts and graphs

    (Objective 2)

    c)

    Learn about ways of measuring statistical data such as mean,

    median, mode, deviation and variance, and probability

    distributions (objective 2)

    d)

    Learn about how to take samples, form estimates, and test for

    hypotheses regarding the data (objectives 2 and 3)

    e)

    Analyzing the variance in existing data (objectives 2 and 3)

    f)

    How to predict outcomes by drawing simple or multipleregression lines on existing data (objectives 3 and 4)

    g)

    Learn how to analyze and forecast trends and variations in data

    over time (objective 4)

    h)

    Learn how to perform all the above functions using a computer

    and large examples (objectives 1 to 4)

    Subject Synopsis/ Indicative

    Syllabus

    Simple probability calculations, Permuations and Combinations, Bayes

    Theorem; Presentation of data using charts and graphs; mean, median

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    School of Management and Entrepreneurship (SNU)

    and mode, variance and standard deviation; random variables and

    probability distributions; Sampling Methods; Estimation, point and

    interval; Hypothesis Testing, using parametric and non-parametric data;

    ANOVA; Correlation and regressionsimple, multiple, polynomial;

    forecasting and trend analysis

    Session plans See following page (with following details for each session)Topics

    Reading

    Case/Exercise

    Teaching/ Learning

    Methodologies

    Classroom lectures and practice exercises

    Assessment Specific assessment methods/tasks weighta

    Quizzes Best 6 out of 8 60%

    Mid-term 20%

    End-term 20%

    Total 100%

    Reading Lists and reference

    books/ materials etc

    Statistics for Management 7th

    Ed., by Levin, Rubin, Rastogi, & Siddiqui

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    School of Management and Entrepreneurship (SNU)

    Session Topics covered Reading Exercises

    1. Introduction to Probability,

    Permutations and combinations,

    Conditional probability, Bayesian

    equation

    SfM Ch.4

    2. Introduction to statistics, and organizingstatistical datafrequency distributions,

    charts, graphs

    SfM Ch.2

    3. Simple statistical measuresmean,

    median, mode, quartiles,

    SfM Ch. 3.1 Quiz 1Syllabus Sessions 1-2

    4. Statistical measuresvariance and

    standard deviation, shape and skew of

    data,

    SfM Ch. 3.2-3.6

    except 3.5

    5. Random variables, probability density

    and distribution, expected values

    SfM Ch. 5.1-5.2 Quiz 2Syllabus Sessions 3-4

    6. Probability distributionsbinomial,

    poisson, normal

    SfM Ch. 5.3-5.5,

    Ch.6

    7. Introduction to sampling, experiment

    design

    Quiz 3Syllabus Sessions 5-6

    8. Sample distributions, , random sampling

    with/without replacement, central limit

    theorem

    SfM Ch.7

    9. EstimationPoints and Interval

    Estimates

    SfM Ch.8 Quiz 4Syllabus Sessions 7-8

    10. Mid-term review

    11. Hypothesis testing, Errors in testing,

    Creating a hypothesis, testing methods

    SfM Ch.9

    12. Two sampling testing, test for difference

    between means, between proportions

    SfM Ch. 10

    13. Testing for nonparametric data, signed

    tests, rank-sum tests, rank correlation,

    mcnemar test

    SfM Ch. 12.4-12.6 Quiz 5Syllabus Sessions 11-

    12

    14. Chi-square test and Analysis of Variance SfM Ch.11, 12.1-

    12.3, 12.7

    15. Introduction to correlation and

    regression, covariance and correlation

    coefficient, simple linear regression

    SfM Ch.13 Quiz 6Syllabus Sessions 13-

    14

    16. Multiple linear regression SfM Ch. 14

    17. Model-building on multiple regression,

    Polynomial regression

    SfM Ch.15 Quiz 7Syllabus Sessions 15-

    1618. ForecastingTime Series and Trend

    Analysis

    SfM Ch.16.1-16.5

    19. Time series variationsCyclical,

    Seasonal, Irregular

    SfM Ch.16.6-16.8 Quiz 8Syllabus Sessions 17-

    18

    20. Finals review