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Q3 2016
GUSTAF HAGMAN
VIKTOR FRITZÉN
Group CEO and Co-founder
Group CFO
2
Presenters
The greatest gaming experience
Number one in mobile gaming
3
Vision
4
Agenda
• Quarterly report highlights • Business update • Business KPIs • Financials • Targets & Summary • Q&A
Quarterly report
Highlights and events
5
Revenue since start
39.7 MEUR
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
2012-Q1 2012-Q2 2012-Q3 2012-Q4 2013-Q1 2013-Q2 2013-Q3 2013-Q4 2014-Q1 2014-Q2 2014-Q3 2014-Q4 2015-Q1 2015-Q2 2015-Q3 2015-Q4 2016-Q1 2016-Q2 2016-Q3
Revenue:
39.7 MEUR +17.3 MEUR
EBITDA:
9.8 MEUR 24.7 % margin
Deposits:
123.7 MEUR +87 %
Organic growth:
+76 %
Mobile deposits:
67 %
7
Q3 2016 Highlights
8
Drivers behind Q3’16 development
Mobile focus
Technology leadership
Effective marketing
Customer growth from previous quarter
LEOVEGAS NUMBER 1 IN ONLINE GAMBLING QUARTERLY
• In the latest edition of Online Gambling Quarterly, an industry publication that focuses on strategy and financials, LeoVegas was the company expected to be the number 1 winner in the next twelve months based on a survey of 42 individuals that are executives in the gaming industry and finance professionals that invest in the gaming space
• In the same survey Mobile Casino was expected to be the fastest growing segment in our industry
COMMENTS
10
Expansion strategy Continue to enter regulated
markets or markets that are soon to be regulated
Denmark License granted
Live during the autumn
Local and experienced team
No one have taken the mobile position
Expansion overview
11
Live casino vertical continues to deliver strong growth
First with portrait mode
LeoVegas Sport and LeoVegas Live Casino
Continuous product development
Continuous focus on superior speed in the user experience
12
compared to October last year
Current Trading – Start of Q4
12.8 MEUR
63 %
NGR in October
an increased of
Business updates
13
14
The next step in the Casino evolution – portrait mode
15
LeoVegas’ offering is based on gaming as a fun and attractive form of entertainment
Responsible gaming is a fundamental principle in all we do
A Continuous Focus on Responsible Gaming
Responsible gaming training and certification for all
employees
Sophisticated player tools and measures for limiting deposits, time, wagering, losses etc.
Information and tests for both
players and relatives
Self exclusion measures and forced exclusion by us when
gaming related problems
discovered
16
Holding company based in Malta part of LeoVegas Mobile Gaming Group
New business prospects can be driven in separate entrepreneurial companies, independent of LeoVegas’ other operations
Continuously evaluating new opportunities and promote innovation within mobile gaming
Is not expected to have any material impact on growth and earnings in the short term
Two investments to date: Authentic Gaming and 21 Heads Up
Independent Mobile Productions - IMP
17
Authentic Gaming delivers an innovative live casino solution with streaming from land-based casinos
Targets the fastest growing segment of the online casino market
Live with LeoVegas, more operators expected in Q4
IMP – Authentic Gaming
18
Regulated and soon to be regulated markets for LeoVegas
Markets where LeoVegas has a gaming license
Country Tax structure
0.5% on Sports turnover and 1.5
KEUR per license
15% on GGR
20% on GGR
Markets LeoVegas pays gaming taxes or VAT but without license*
Country Tax structure
23% VAT
19% VAT
40% on GGR
Soon to be regulated markets where LeoVegas has presence
Country Expectation
Expected Q3’18
Expected Q1’18
35% on GGR Expected Q1’17
*No local license regime is in place
Gaming taxes
Less competition
Local monopoly
Decreased bonus costs
Decreased marketing clutter
Market increases in size
More marketing channels
Tax pushed onto supply chain
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Pos
itiv
e /
Neg
ativ
e eff
ect
Probability
19
Local gaming regulations have pros and cons
Positive effects when market regulates
Negative effects when markets regulate
Marketing clutter
Positive and negative effects assessed against probability of occurring
More channels
Less competition
Supply chain
Bonus costs
Market size
may decrease as competitors scale back marketing to protect margins
in marketing open up
as smaller competitors may leave
absorbs its share of the gaming tax just as in the UK market
may decrease as competitors scale back to protect margins
may increase
Gaming taxes will decrease profitability
Local monopoly may enter into casino market (e.g. Danske Spil)
20
20
1
3
1
1
3
1
10
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Gaming tax Increased market size
Marketing clutter
decrease
More marketing channels
Changes in competition
Supply chain
absorb share of tax
Bonus costs Offsetting factors total
Impact on EBITDA
Per
cent
age
poi
nt im
pac
t on
EB
ITD
A m
arg
in
EBITDA impact in country where 20% tax is implemented
Example of potential EBITDA impact in market with 20% tax on revenue
• This is a hypothetical example of the EBITDA impact when a country regulates its gaming market based on analysis of other markets that have regulated
• An increased market size has the potential to have a very large impact on the absolute EBITDA level even though margins will be lower and has therefor been shaded in this example
• We expect that roughly half of the tax will naturally be offset and half will impact profitability – assuming that marketing investments are not scaled back
• If marketing investments were scaled back this would further mitigate the impact of the tax on margin, but would then decrease the growth potential
COMMENTS
Business KPI’s
21
22
“LeoVegas’ strategy is to prioritise growth.” “The launch of LeoVegas Sport in parallel with new marketing channels contributed to strong growth in new customers." “A return to a lower level of marketing in relation to revenue is expected in Q3.” – LeoVegas Q2 2016 report
From Q2 report
Q2’16 efforts Q3’16 results
Q3’16 drivers
18.7 MEUR in marketing
Record number of NDCs 109 718 in Q2’16
RDCs 22% Q-Q growth
Deposits 23% Q-Q growth
Revenue 28% Q-Q growth
Lower bonus costs
High marketing effectiveness
-
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000 New depositing customers (NDCs)
Returning depositing customers (RDCs)
-
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000 Actives customers
Returning depositing customers (RDCs)
New depositing customers (NDCs)
• New depositing customers (NDCs) are down from Q2’16, but are back on trend from the previous quarters
• The NDCs mix in Q3’16 is better than in Q2’16; despite fewer NDCs in Q3’16 they contributed more to NGR in Q3’16 than the NDC group from Q2’16 did in Q2’16
• Sequential growth in Returning depositing customers (RDCs) was the highest in 7 quarter at 22%
• The conversion from NDCs to RDCs from Q2’16 to Q3’16 was lower than usual but still high enough to fuel the strong development in Q3’16
• The number of active
customers, which includes customers making bets only with bonus money, decreased materially due to LeoVegas offering fewer potential customers freespins without a deposit
Depositing customers, new and returning Active customers and depositing customers COMMENTS
24
Customer base
81 751
74 638
338 861
• Average deposit per depositing customer in Q3’16 increased by 39% compared to Q2’16
• Average NGR per depositing customer increased by 50%
• Both average spend metrics in Q3’16 were back to historical levels
• The increase should be seen against the background that average spend in Q2’16 was unusually low driven by the high proportion of NDCs, which on average spend less, in combination with higher bonus costs that arose from the NDCs, as new customers get more bonuses, and higher bonus costs in combination with the the launch of LeoVegas Sports
25
Average spend per customer
COMMENTS Deposits EUR per depositing customer NGR EUR per depositing customer
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Deposits per depositing customer
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
NGR per depositing customer
2015-Q3 2016-Q3
Marketing Indexed to Q3'15
NDCs Indexed to Q3'15
Marketing / NDC (CAC)
• Marketing spend increased by 20% from Q3’15 to 14.3 MEUR in Q3’16
• During the same period NDCs increased by 76%
• The Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC), illustrated in the chart as marketing in relation to NDCs, in Q3’16 decreased 32% compared to Q2’16 and is at a historically low level
• The quality of the NDCs in Q3’16 was about the same as in Q3’15, which indicates that the marketing ROI increased substantially in Q3’16 compared to Q3’15
• The overall marketing mix was broadly similar in both periods
26
Marketing and customer acquisition cost
COMMENTS Marketing spend and NDCs indexed to Q3’15 in relation to marketing per NDCs
+20%
+76%
-32%
74 638
14.3 MEUR
• The increase in deposits in Q3’16 in euro terms was the highest of any quarter both on a sequential and annual basis
• Deposits in Q3’16 grew by 23% compared to Q2’16, which is the third fastest sequential growth rate since Q4’13, which follows Q2’16 that was the second fastest
• On an annual basis deposits in Q2’16 for the group grew 87%
• Growth rates per regions: • Nordics 63% • UK 59% • Rest of Europe 329% • Rest of World 244%
• Deposits increased by 57.4 MEUR from Q3’15 to Q3’16 of which the regions accounted for:
• Nordics 29.8 MEUR • UK 7.1 MEUR • Rest of Europe 12.0 MEUR • Rest of World 8.5 MEUR
27
Deposits
COMMENTS Deposits MEUR and Q-Q growth in deposits % Deposits MEUR by region
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Nordics UK Rest of Europe Rest of World
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
Deposits Growth in deposits Q-Q %
28
• The Nordics remained at 62% of total deposits in Q3’16
• Rest of Europe and Rest of World both increased their share of total deposits by 2 percentage points to 13% and 10% respectively
• The UK saw a significant decrease in its share of deposits to 15% from 19%
• NGR shares shifted from Q2’16 to Q3’16 in a different way as the Nordics decreased its share to 58% on the back of lower margin in the casino
• Rest of Europe increased its share of NGR at about the proportion of deposits
• Rest of World increased NGR proportionally to deposits but remained at an unusually high NGR to deposits ratio
• The UK stayed at 13% of NGR, which is just lower than the deposits share would suggest
• The deposit mix, however, is a better gauge of the development of the regions on a more fundamental level
Regional split
COMMENTS
Nordics 62%
United Kingdom
15%
Rest of Europe
13%
Rest of World 10%
Deposits 2016-Q3
Nordics 62%
United Kingdom
19%
Rest of Europe
11%
Rest of World
8%
Deposits 2016-Q2
Nordics 58%
United Kingdom
13%
Rest of Europe
14%
Rest of World
15%
NGR 2016-Q3
Nordics 62%
United Kingdom
13%
Rest of Europe
13%
Rest of World
12%
NGR 2016-Q2
• Deposits from mobile devices continued to grow its share of total deposits in the second quarter of 2016
• Mobile devices accounted for 67% of deposits in the quarter
• Deposits from mobile devices grew 114% year on year, while the same for desktop grew 48%
29
Mobile share of deposits
COMMENTS
50%
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
2015-Q1 2015-Q2 2015-Q3 2015-Q4 2016-Q1 2016-Q2 2016-Q3
Mobile deposits as a % of total
30
FINANCIALS
30.0
31.0
32.0
33.0
34.0
35.0
36.0
37.0
38.0
39.0
40.0
Revenue in constant currency
Currency movement Reported Revenue
39.9 39.7
31
• Revenue in constant currency would have been 39.9 MEUR
• Negative currency effect from strengthening euro was 212 KEUR, decreasing revenue by 0.5%
Constant Currency Revenue
COMMENTS MEUR
-0.2
- 0.5 - 2.5
9.1 10.8 11.9
13.3 12.5 18.7
14.3
1.4 1.8
2.7 3.1
2.9
3.6
2.8
1.4 1.8
2.2
2.4 3.3
3.7
4.1
3.8
4.5
4.7
5.6
6.9
7.4
8.6
- 5.0
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
Cost of sales Personnel costs net of capitalised development costs Operating expenses including other income Marketing expenses EBITDA
1.0%
-2.6% 4.9% 6.7%
13.5%
-7.9%
24.7%
57.4% 58.6% 52.6% 50.9%
42.3%
60.4%
36.1%
8.8% 9.9%
12.0% 11.8% 9.9%
11.7%
7.1%
8.8% 9.6% 9.7% 9.1%
11.0% 11.9%
10.4%
24.0% 24.5%
20.7% 21.6% 23.2%
23.9%
21.7%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Cost of sales Personnel costs net of capitalised development costs Operating expenses including other income Marketing expenses EBITDA
• In Q3’16 EBITDA was 9.8 MEUR, a 24.7% margin
• The increase in EBITDA is dominated by lower marketing spend in relation to revenue
• Marketing was lower in Q3’16 compared to Q2’16 in lieu of a launch campaign for Sports and there was a lot of focus on optimization, e.g. the UK marketing was refocused towards digital channels
• The marketing to revenue ratio in Q2’16 and Q3’16 combined was 46.7%, which is close to LeoVegas’ historical average
• Cost of sales decreased as a percentage of revenues on the back of lower bonus costs in Q3’16 compared to Q2’16 where bonus costs were unusually large
• The strong revenue growth brought with it good operating leverage leaving both personnel expenses and operating expenses as a percentage of revenue lower than in Q2’16
32
P&L per quarter adjusted
COMMENTS P&L MEUR adjusted* P&L ratios adjusted*
*Adjusted for IPO-related expenses in Q4’15 and Q1’16
• The EBITDA margin in Q3’16 was 32.6 percentage points higher than in Q2’16
• The lower marketing to revenue ratio was the main driver, which added 24.3 percentage points
• Operating expenses contributed 4.6 percentage points as Q3’16 has an unusually low ratio of operating expenses to revenue driven by lower costs for new office space and IT infrastructure
• Personnel expenses in relation to revenue decrease 2.2 percentage points, which was expected as revenue increased at a much faster pace than personnel
• Cost of sales decreased 2.2 percentage points mainly driven by a normalisation of cost of sales in relation to revenue since Q2’16 was unusually high due to the large amount of bonus costs
33
EBITDA in Q3
COMMENTS EBITDA margin bridge from Q2 2016 to Q3 2016
-7.9%
2.2%
2.2%
4.6%
24.3%
-0.7%
24.7%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Q2'16 EBITDA margin
Cost of sales Personnel Opex Marketing Other items Q3'16 EBITDA margin
• The marketing to revenue ratio is the key determinant of the profit margin development at LeoVegas
• The marketing to revenue ratio in Q3’16 of 36% is the lowest level in any quarter to date, which is down from the highest level to date of 60% in Q2’16
• However, looking at the marketing to revenue ratio and EBIT margin year to date in 2016, they are both more normalised
• LeoVegas’ margins have been, and can likely continue to be, volatile between quarters, but will average out at levels that are consistent with LeoVegas’ 2018 financial targets
• Q4’16 marketing spend will be larger than Q3’16 both in value-terms and as a percentage of revenue
34
Marketing spend and margin
COMMENTS Marketing to revenue % (negative scale) and Adjusted* EBIT margin %, quarterly
*Adjusted for IPO-related expenses in Q4’15 and Q1’16
-65.0%
-60.0%
-55.0%
-50.0%
-45.0%
-40.0%
-35.0%
-30.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16
Mar
keti
ng e
xpen
se, %
of
reve
nues
, neg
ativ
e sc
ale
Ad
just
ed E
BIT
mar
gin
%
Adjusted EBIT margin %
Marketing expenses % of revenues 23.8% EBIT margin
-58.0%
-56.0%
-54.0%
-52.0%
-50.0%
-48.0%
-46.0%
-44.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
2014 2015 Jan - Sep 2016
Mar
keti
ng e
xpen
ses,
% o
f re
venu
e,s
neg
ativ
e sc
ale
Ad
just
ed E
BIT
mar
gin
Adjusted EBIT margin
Marketing to revenue ratio 10.3% EBIT margin
Marketing to revenue % (negative scale) and Adjusted* EBIT margin %, annually and year to date
35
• The main item on the asset side is cash, which increased its proportion of the balance sheet in Q3’16 on the back of high cash flow generation
• Current assets are dominated by receivables at payment service providers
• Intangible assets consist of capitalized development costs
• On the equity and liabilities side equity is the largest item
• Payables and accrual had small movements compared to Q2’16
Balance sheet
Balance sheet total 62.9 MEUR
COMMENTS Assets MEUR 30 September 2016 Equity and liabilities MEUR 30 September 2016
Cash and cash
equivalents, 48.1
Current assets, 8.3
Property, plant and
equipment, 1.1
Intangible assets,
5.4
Equity, 40.9
Payables and
accruals, 17.5
Other current
liabilities, 3.5
Other liabilities,
0.9
39.2
9.8
0.4 0.2 -0.1 -0.8 -0.6
48.1
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of
period
EBITDA Adjustments for non-cash items
Change in working capital
Investments in tangible assets
Investments in intangible assets
Effects from exchage rate movements
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
Cash flow from operating activities 10.3 MEUR
Cash flow from investing activities -0.9 MEUR
36
Cash flow
• Cash increased by 8.9 MEUR in the quarter
• Cash flow from operating activities increased predominantly from the EBITDA result
• Investing cash flow mainly consisted of capitalized development costs
COMMENTS Cash flow MEUR Q3 2016
Total increase in cash 8.9 MEUR
37
Targets & Summary
LeoVegas targets to reach EUR 300 million in revenue by 2018 Long-term organic growth above online gaming market
LeoVegas targets to reach an EBITDA margin of approximately 15% in 2018 Long-term at least 15% EBITDA margin assuming 100% regulated markets
LeoVegas dividend policy is to distribute a minimum of 50% of net profit over time No dividend in 2016
38
Financial targets
39
Financial targets 2018
16 37
83 100
300
2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Sep
2017 2018
?
?
-2%
6%
3%
11%
15%
2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Sep
2017 2018
?
Revenue MEUR EBITDA margin %
Revenue on track towards 2018 target EBITDA margin 2016 YTD ahead of trend
Organic growth of 76% and EBITDA of 9.8 MEUR a 25% margin
LeoVegas considered most likely to succeed among industry executives
Strong growth in returning customer driving deposits and revenue Expected start to Q4, October NGR of 12.8 MEUR, 63% growth
40
Summary Q3 2016
41
Technology leadership
Mobile First
Expansion Opportunities
Execution
Data driven
Drivers behind LeoVegas’ success
Q&A
42
APPENDIX
43
35.0
35.5
36.0
36.5
37.0
37.5
38.0
38.5
39.0
39.5
40.0
NGR Corrections Movements in local Jackpots
Other movements Revenue
0.3 39.7
“Underlying” NGR
44
• In Q3’16 the difference between NGR and revenue was minimal
• Corrections of 0.3 MEUR in Q3’16 is at a normal level, which compares to Q1’16 and Q2’16 where they were unusually high
• Movements in local jackpots and other movements combined reduced revenue by 0.1 MEUR
From NGR to Revenue
COMMENTS MEUR
39.6
0.1 -0.2
€0
€20
€40
€60
€80
€100
€120
€140
€M
Deposited amount per quarter €M
0 €
5 €
10 €
15 €
20 €
25 €
30 €
35 €
40 €
45 €
€M
NGR €M
-
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
90 000
RDCs
45
4 MAIN KPIS QUARTERLY NDCs 74 638 (last quarter 109 718) RDCs 81 751 (last quarter 66 917)
Deposits €123.7M (last quarter €100.1M) NGR €39.2M (last quarter €29.8M)
-
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
NDCs