46
Non-Bank Lending Market Perspective Q3 2020 Understanding the Alternative Lending Landscape

Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

Non-Bank Lending

Market Perspective

Q3 2020 

Understanding the Alternative Lending Landscape

Page 2: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Why Are Non-Banks Important?

2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview

3-5 Key Findings

6-43 Summary of Responses and

Bank Comparisons

Butler, Kelsey. “How Private Credit Soared to Fuel Private Equity Boom.” Bloomberg.com, Bloomberg, 2019,

www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-22/how-private-credit-soared-to-fuel-private-equity-boom-quicktake

 

Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

https://www.federalreserve.gov/data/sloos/sloos-202010.htm

CITATIONS:

www.cerebrocapital.com

44 About Cerebro Capital

Page 3: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

Non-bank lenders have existed for decades but were typically considered a last resortoption for companies on the brink of failure. However, in the decade following thefinancial crisis, middle-market CFOs, business owners, and financial sponsors havebeen turning to non-bank lenders as a viable lending solution. 

What caused the demand shift?After the financial crisis abated, traditional banks faced increased regulatory scrutinythat resulted in tighter lending criteria. Credit committees declined more borrowers andreduced lending limits. Gone were the days when a long standing relationship couldtip the scales for companies who were just outside the bank lending criteria. Manymid-market companies that were still performing well were left asking where to turn.Over the past decade, the vacuum created in the market was filled by a proliferation ofnon-bank lending. With an ability to provide credit in structures and amounts thattraditional banks could not, these lenders experienced strong demand from well-performing firms willing to pay higher interest rates to ensure access to capital.

 

01

Global Private

Credit Market

2000 2018 2020

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

Billio

ns

Estimate for 2020

What helped alternative credit supply?   This demand was met by a strong supply ofinvestment capital from institutional investors likepension funds and insurance companies. To helpthe economy recover faster, the Federal Reserveintroduced low interest rate policy, which reducedthe yield on traditional fixed income assets liketreasuries and resulted in billions of dollarsmigrating to higher yield investments like directlending. In just the past two decades, “[global] privatecredit, which includes distressed debt and venturefinancing, has ballooned from $42.4 billion in 2000to $776.9 billion in 2018. By one estimate, the totalis likely to top $1 trillion in 2020.”- Bloomberg (Butler), September 2019

 

WHY ARE NON-BANKS IMPORTANT?

Page 4: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

NON-BANK

LENDING

MARKET

PERSPECTIVE

Q3 2020

COMMON TYPES OF 

NON-BANK LENDERS

VENTURE DEBT FUNDS

ASSET-BASED LENDERS

MEZZANINE FUNDS

SBICS & BDCS

PRIVATE DEBT FUNDS

“Top middle-market CFOs should beregularly evaluating the expandinguniverse of corporate lenders,especially in times of economicvolatility." - Matthew Bjonerud, CEO, Cerebro Capital

02

Cerebro Capital connects mid-market borrowers to a breadth of lending options,including both bank and non-bank lenders. While commercial bank lending has beentracked over the past 25 years by the Federal Reserve, non-bank lending creditmarkets are not studied as consistently as commercial banks, leading to opacity in thealternative lending market. Cerebro launched a quarterly survey of non-bank lendingactivity for middle market commercial and industrial (C&I) loans that illustrates theperspectives of private credit lenders, also known as alternative lenders.  About the Survey The survey included non-bank lending partners nationally and was conducted byCerebro as a complement to the Federal Reserve’s Senior Loan Officer OpinionSurvey on Bank Lending Practices, also released quarterly. Cerebro hopes to shedlight on this $1 trillion industry that is now approaching one-third the size of commercialbank lending. Furthermore, our findings provide insights on the impact that the currenteconomic environment is having on lending markets

Non-bank lenders from Cerebro Capital’slender network were surveyed in October2020. Cerebro's lender participationexceeded the number of participants in theFederal Reserve’s Senior Loan OfficerSurvey of the same period by 10%. Participating lenders represented over$335 billion in combined assets managed,with a primary lending focus of loan sizesfrom $2 million to $100 million.Participants included some of the oldestand largest non-bank lenders in the U.S.,including private and publicly traded firms. 

Page 5: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

Borrower demand for non-bank alternatives is surging. 

03

NON-BANK LENDING KEY FINDINGS

Survey conducted by Cerebro Capital in October 2020. N = 68

Over the next 6 months, how do you expect demand for C&I loans from yourlending institution to change compared to its current level, apart from

normal seasonal variation?

Strengthen

substantially

Strengthen

somewhat

Remain basically

unchanged

Weaken somewhat Weaken

substantially

0

10

20

30

40

76% of non-bank lenders expect loan demand to strengthen over thecoming months as borrowers leave commercial banks in search ofrelaxed covenants and flexible loan structures.

Page 6: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

04

NON-BANK LENDING KEY FINDINGS

Macroeconomic conditions are creating an even

bigger opportunity for alternative lenders.

Survey conducted by Cerebro Capital in October 2020. N = 68

Looking ahead over the next six months, how are changes in the macroeconomy likely toimpact your lending business? Please check all that you feel apply:

The macroeconomic environmenthas minimal effect on our

lending decisions.

We anticipate relaxing ourcredit standards as the

macroeconomy strengthens.

We anticipate tightening ourcredit standards as the

macroeconomy weakens.

We are anticipating a weakeningeconomy that will disadvantage

our competitors and this, inturn, will provide us with

expanding opportunities to extendcredit.

We anticipate a strengtheningeconomy that will likely lead to

an expanding supply of credit andless attractive opportunities forour institution to extend credit.

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

With 63% of non-bank lenders anticipating a weakening economythat will disadvantage competitors and provide more opportunitiesfor them to lend, non-bank lenders are seizing the opportunity toland deals with strong middle-market companies.

Page 7: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

Some lenders anticipate tightening credit standards,

while others may look to ease standards.  

05

NON-BANK LENDING KEY FINDINGS

Survey conducted by Cerebro Capital in October 2020. N = 69

How do you anticipate lending standards for C&I loans at your lendinginstitution to change over the next 6 months, compared to its current

standards, apart from normal seasonal variation?

Tightened considerably Tightened somewhat Remained basicallyunchanged

Eased somewhat Eased considerably

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

One-quarter of lenders anticipate tighter lending standards in thecoming months ahead, potentially due to weakened economicconditions, while other lenders are anticipating easing standards towin new business.

Page 8: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1. Looking back over the past three months, how have your lending

institution's credit standards changed for C&I loans?

06

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"Over the past three months, how have your bank's credit standards for approving applications for C&Iloans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers and acquisitions—to large andmiddle-market firms and to small firms changed?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

28

39

2

6

32

35

4

Tightened

considerably

Tightened

somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40

# Responses

Commercial Banks (69) Non-Bank Lenders (77)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 9: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1a. Because your lending institution has tightened its credit standards for

C&I loans over the past three months, how important have the following

possible reasons been for the change?

07

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If your bank has tightened or eased its credit standards or its terms for C&I loans or credit lines overthe past three months (as described in questions 1 and 2), how important have been the followingpossible reasons for the change?  Possible reasons for tightening credit standards or loan terms."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Deterioration in your lending institution's current or expected capital position:

31

10

1

22

8

4

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

# Responses

Commercial Banks (42) Non-Bank Lenders (34)

Less favorable or more uncertain economic outlook:

4

13

29

2

15

17

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

# Responses

Commercial Banks (46) Non-Bank Lenders (34)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 10: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1a. Because your lending institution has tightened its credit standards for

C&I loans over the past three months, how important have the following

possible reasons been for the change?

08

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If your bank has tightened or eased its credit standards or its terms for C&I loans or credit lines overthe past three months (as described in questions 1 and 2), how important have been the followingpossible reasons for the change?  Possible reasons for tightening credit standards or loan terms."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Worsening of industry-specific problems:

2

12

31

18

16

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

# Responses

Commercial Banks (45) Non-Bank Lenders (34)

Less aggressive competition from other lenders (other financial intermediaries

or the capital markets):

33

11

1

16

16

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 10 20 30 40

# Responses

Commercial Banks (45) Non-Bank Lenders (34)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 11: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1a. Because your lending institution has tightened its credit standards for

C&I loans over the past three months, how important have the following

possible reasons been for the change?

09

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If your bank has tightened or eased its credit standards or its terms for C&I loans or credit lines overthe past three months (as described in questions 1 and 2), how important have been the followingpossible reasons for the change?  Possible reasons for tightening credit standards or loan terms."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Reduced tolerance for risk:

14

25

6

6

23

5

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

# Responses

Commercial Banks (45) Non-Bank Lenders (34)

Decreased liquidity in the secondary market for these loans:

37

7

1

26

7

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 10 20 30 40

# Responses

Commercial Banks (45) Non-Bank Lenders (34)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 12: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1a. Because your lending institution has tightened its credit standards for

C&I loans over the past three months, how important have the following

possible reasons been for the change?

10

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If your bank has tightened or eased its credit standards or its terms for C&I loans or credit lines overthe past three months (as described in questions 1 and 2), how important have been the followingpossible reasons for the change?  Possible reasons for tightening credit standards or loan terms."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Deterioration in your lending institution's current or expected liquidity position:

39

5

24

6

4

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 10 20 30 40

# Responses

Commercial Banks (44) Non-Bank Lenders (34)

Increased concerns about the effects of legislative changes, supervisory

actions, or changes in accounting standards:

32

10

3

13

18

3

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

# Responses

Commercial Banks (45) Non-Bank Lenders (34)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 13: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1b. Because your lending institution has eased its credit standards for

C&I loans  over the past three months, how important have the

following possible reasons been for the change?

11

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If your bank has tightened or eased its credit standards or its terms for C&I loans or credit lines overthe past three months (as described in questions 1 and 2), how important have been the followingpossible reasons for the change?  Possible reasons for easing credit standards or loan terms."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Improvement in your lending institution's current or expected capital position:

14

2

1

2

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15

# Responses

Commercial Banks (16) Non-Bank Lenders (4)

More favorable or less uncertain economic outlook:

10

4

2

2

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

# Responses

Commercial Banks (16) Non-Bank Lenders (4)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 14: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1b. Because your lending institution has eased its credit standards for

C&I loans  over the past three months, how important have the

following possible reasons been for the change?

12

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If your bank has tightened or eased its credit standards or its terms for C&I loans or credit lines overthe past three months (as described in questions 1 and 2), how important have been the followingpossible reasons for the change?  Possible reasons for easing credit standards or loan terms."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Improvement in industry-specific problems:

9

4

1

3

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10

# Responses

Commercial Banks (14) Non-Bank Lenders (4)

More aggressive competition from other lenders (other financial intermediaries

or the capital markets):

4

7

5

1

3

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8

# Responses

Commercial Banks (16) Non-Bank Lenders (4)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 15: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1b. Because your lending institution has eased its credit standards for

C&I loans  over the past three months, how important have the

following possible reasons been for the change?

13

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If your bank has tightened or eased its credit standards or its terms for C&I loans or credit lines overthe past three months (as described in questions 1 and 2), how important have been the followingpossible reasons for the change?  Possible reasons for easing credit standards or loan terms."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Increased tolerance for risk:

14

2

2

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15

# Responses

Commercial Banks (16) Non-Bank Lenders (4)

Increased liquidity in the secondary market for these loans:

12

4

2

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15

# Responses

Commercial Banks (16) Non-Bank Lenders (4)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 16: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

1b. Because your lending institution has eased its credit standards for

C&I loans  over the past three months, how important have the

following possible reasons been for the change?

14

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If your bank has tightened or eased its credit standards or its terms for C&I loans or credit lines overthe past three months (as described in questions 1 and 2), how important have been the followingpossible reasons for the change?  Possible reasons for easing credit standards or loan terms."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Improvement in your lending institution's current or expected liquidity position:

12

3

3

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

# Responses

Commercial Banks (15) Non-Bank Lenders (4)

Reduced concerns about the effects of legislative changes, supervisory actions,

or changes in accounting standards:

15

1

2

1

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20

# Responses

Commercial Banks (16) Non-Bank Lenders (4)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 17: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2. Looking back over the past three months, how has demand for draws

on existing C&I term loan commitments and/or draws on (existing) lines

of credit changed?

15

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"Apart from normal seasonal variation, how has demand for C&I loans changed over the past threemonths? (Please consider only funds actually disbursed as opposed to requests for new or increasedlines of credit.)."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

2

10

20

33

3

8

17

33

9

4

Substantially

stronger

Moderately

stronger

About the same

Moderately weaker

Substantially

weaker

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

# Responses

Commercial Banks (68) Non-Bank Lenders (71)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 18: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2a. If demand for C&I loans has strengthened over the past three

months, how important have the following possible reasons been for the

change?

16

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If demand for C&I loans has strengthened or weakened over the past three months (as described inquestion 4), how important have been the following possible reasons for the change? If stronger loandemand (answer 1 or 2 to question 4A or 4B), possible reasons."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Customer inventory financing needs increased:

11

3

1

7

16

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20

# Responses

Commercial Banks (15) Non-Bank Lenders (25)

Customer accounts receivable financing needs increased:

11

3

1

9

10

6

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

# Responses

Commercial Banks (15) Non-Bank Lenders (25)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 19: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2a. If demand for C&I loans has strengthened over the past three

months, how important have the following possible reasons been for the

change?

17

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If demand for C&I loans has strengthened or weakened over the past three months (as described inquestion 4), how important have been the following possible reasons for the change? If stronger loandemand (answer 1 or 2 to question 4A or 4B), possible reasons."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Customer investment in plant or equipment increased:

11

4

18

5

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20

# Responses

Commercial Banks (15) Non-Bank Lenders (25)

Customer internally generated funds decreased:

7

6

2

8

7

10

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

# Responses

Commercial Banks (15) Non-Bank Lenders (25)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 20: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2a. If demand for C&I loans has strengthened over the past three

months, how important have the following possible reasons been for the

change?

18

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If demand for C&I loans has strengthened or weakened over the past three months (as described inquestion 4), how important have been the following possible reasons for the change? If stronger loandemand (answer 1 or 2 to question 4A or 4B), possible reasons."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Customer merger or acquisition financing needs increased:

7

5

3

13

8

4

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

2 4 6 8 10 12 14

# Responses

Commercial Banks (15) Non-Bank Lenders (25)

Customer borrowing shifted to your lending institution from other lender

sources because these other sources became less attractive:

9

5

1

5

10

10

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

# Responses

Commercial Banks (15) Non-Bank Lenders (25)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 21: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2a. If demand for C&I loans has strengthened over the past three

months, how important have the following possible reasons been for the

change?

19

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If demand for C&I loans has strengthened or weakened over the past three months (as described inquestion 4), how important have been the following possible reasons for the change? If stronger loandemand (answer 1 or 2 to question 4A or 4B), possible reasons."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Customer precautionary demand for cash and liquidity increased:

5

9

1

5

7

13

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15

# Responses

Commercial Banks (15) Non-Bank Lenders (25)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 22: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2b. If demand for C&I loans has weakened over the past three months,

how important have the following possible reasons been for the change?

20

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If demand for C&I loans has strengthened or weakened over the past three months (as described inquestion 4), how important have been the following possible reasons for the change? If weaker loandemand (answer 4 or 5 to question 4A or 4B), possible reasons."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Customer inventory financing needs decreased:

12

19

8

5

5

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20

# Responses

Commercial Banks (39) Non-Bank Lenders (12)

Customer accounts receivable financing needs decreased:

14

16

8

1

7

4

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20

# Responses

Commercial Banks (38) Non-Bank Lenders (12)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 23: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2b. If demand for C&I loans has weakened over the past three months,

how important have the following possible reasons been for the change?

21

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If demand for C&I loans has strengthened or weakened over the past three months (as described inquestion 4), how important have been the following possible reasons for the change? If weaker loandemand (answer 4 or 5 to question 4A or 4B), possible reasons."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Customer investment in plant or equipment decreased:

6

23

11

6

4

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25

# Responses

Commercial Banks (40) Non-Bank Lenders (12)

Customer internally generated funds increased:

21

17

1

6

2

4

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25

# Responses

Commercial Banks (39) Non-Bank Lenders (12)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 24: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2b. If demand for C&I loans has weakened over the past three months,

how important have the following possible reasons been for the change?

22

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If demand for C&I loans has strengthened or weakened over the past three months (as described inquestion 4), how important have been the following possible reasons for the change? If weaker loandemand (answer 4 or 5 to question 4A or 4B), possible reasons."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Customer merger or acquisition financing needs decreased:

17

14

7

8

4

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20

# Responses

Commercial Banks (38) Non-Bank Lenders (12)

Customer borrowing shifted from your lending institution to other lender

sources because these other sources became more attractive:

31

6

1

3

4

5

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

# Responses

Commercial Banks (38) Non-Bank Lenders (12)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 25: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

2b. If demand for C&I loans has weakened over the past three months,

how important have the following possible reasons been for the change?

23

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"If demand for C&I loans has strengthened or weakened over the past three months (as described inquestion 4), how important have been the following possible reasons for the change? If weaker loandemand (answer 4 or 5 to question 4A or 4B), possible reasons."

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Customer precautionary demand for cash and liquidity decreased:

21

9

10

3

6

3

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 5 10 15 20 25

# Responses

Commercial Banks (40) Non-Bank Lenders (12)

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 26: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

3. Looking back over the past three months, for applications for C&I

loans that your lending institution is currently willing to approve, how

have the terms of those loans changed?

24

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"For applications for C&I loans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers andacquisitions—from large and middle-market firms and from small firms that your bank currently is willingto approve, how have the terms of those loans changed over the past three months?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

2

7

55

4

2

15

47

6

Tightened

considerably

Tightened

somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

# Responses

Commercial Banks (68) Non-Bank Lenders (70)

Maximum size of loans:

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 27: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

3. Looking back over the past three months, for applications for C&I

loans that your lending institution is currently willing to approve, how

have the terms of those loans changed?

25

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"For applications for C&I loans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers andacquisitions—from large and middle-market firms and from small firms that your bank currently is willingto approve, how have the terms of those loans changed over the past three months?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

10

55

3

1

6

60

2

1

Tightened

considerably

Tightened somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

# Responses

Commercial Banks (68) Non-Bank Lenders (70)

Maximum maturity of loans:

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 28: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

3. Looking back over the past three months, for applications for C&I

loans that your lending institution is currently willing to approve, how

have the terms of those loans changed?

26

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"For applications for C&I loans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers andacquisitions—from large and middle-market firms and from small firms that your bank currently is willingto approve, how have the terms of those loans changed over the past three months?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

18

43

7

1

24

32

12

1

Tightened

considerably

Tightened

somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40 50

# Responses

Commercial Banks (68) Non-Bank Lenders (70)

Costs of loans:

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 29: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

3. Looking back over the past three months, for applications for C&I

loans that your lending institution is currently willing to approve, how

have the terms of those loans changed?

27

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"For applications for C&I loans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers andacquisitions—from large and middle-market firms and from small firms that your bank currently is willingto approve, how have the terms of those loans changed over the past three months?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

20

37

11

2

21

39

6

2

Tightened

considerably

Tightened

somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40

# Responses

Commercial Banks (68) Non-Bank Lenders (70)

Spreads of loan rates over your lending institution's cost of funds (wider

spreads=tightened, narrower spreads=eased):

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 30: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

3. Looking back over the past three months, for applications for C&I

loans that your lending institution is currently willing to approve, how

have the terms of those loans changed?

28

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"For applications for C&I loans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers andacquisitions—from large and middle-market firms and from small firms that your bank currently is willingto approve, how have the terms of those loans changed over the past three months?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

4

21

39

5

7

32

27

4

Tightened

considerably

Tightened

somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40

# Responses

Commercial Banks (69) Non-Bank Lenders (70)

Premiums charged on riskier loans):

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 31: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

3. Looking back over the past three months, for applications for C&I

loans that your lending institution is currently willing to approve, how

have the terms of those loans changed?

29

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"For applications for C&I loans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers andacquisitions—from large and middle-market firms and from small firms that your bank currently is willingto approve, how have the terms of those loans changed over the past three months?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

1

23

41

3

3

21

45

1

Tightened

considerably

Tightened somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40 50

# Responses

Commercial Banks (68) Non-Bank Lenders (70)

Loan covenants:

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 32: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

3. Looking back over the past three months, for applications for C&I

loans that your lending institution is currently willing to approve, how

have the terms of those loans changed?

30

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"For applications for C&I loans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers andacquisitions—from large and middle-market firms and from small firms that your bank currently is willingto approve, how have the terms of those loans changed over the past three months?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

19

48

1

5

12

53

Tightened

considerably

Tightened

somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased

considerably

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

# Responses

Commercial Banks (68) Non-Bank Lenders (70)

Collateralization requirements:

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 33: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

3. Looking back over the past three months, for applications for C&I

loans that your lending institution is currently willing to approve, how

have the terms of those loans changed?

31

Corresponding Federal Reserve Question"For applications for C&I loans or credit lines—other than those to be used to finance mergers andacquisitions—from large and middle-market firms and from small firms that your bank currently is willingto approve, how have the terms of those loans changed over the past three months?"

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

8

25

32

3

4

8

54

4

Tightened

considerably

Tightened

somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

# Responses

Commercial Banks (68) Non-Bank Lenders (70)

Use of interest rate floors (more use=tightened, less use=eased):

Commercial Bank data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey, October 2020

Page 34: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4. How do you anticipate lending standards for C&I loans at your

lending institution to change over the next 6 months, compared to its

current standards, apart from normal seasonal variation?

32

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

1

16

36

16

Tightened

considerably

Tightened

somewhat

Remained

basically

unchanged

Eased somewhat

Eased considerably

0 10 20 30 40

Non-Bank Lenders (69)

Page 35: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4a. If you expect your lending institution to tighten its credit standards

for C&I loans, how important are the following possible reasons for the

expected change in standards?

33

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

9

4

4

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Non-Bank Lenders (17)

Expected deterioration in your lending institution's capital or liquidity

position):

Expected deterioration in collateral values:

3

8

6

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Non-Bank Lenders (17)

Page 36: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4a. If you expect your lending institution to tighten its credit standards

for C&I loans, how important are the following possible reasons for the

expected change in standards?

34

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Expected reduction in competition from other lenders:

6

9

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10

Non-Bank Lenders (17)

Expected reduction in risk tolerance:

2

10

5

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Non-Bank Lenders (17)

Page 37: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4a. If you expect your lending institution to tighten its credit standards

for C&I loans, how important are the following possible reasons for the

expected change in standards?

35

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Expected reduction in ease of selling loans in secondary market:

9

7

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10

Non-Bank Lenders (17)

Expected deterioration in credit quality of loan portfolio:

3

9

5

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Non-Bank Lenders (17)

Page 38: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4a. If you expect your lending institution to tighten its credit standards

for C&I loans, how important are the following possible reasons for the

expected change in standards?

36

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Increased concerns about the effects of legislative changes, supervisory

actions, or changes in accounting standards:

5

6

6

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10

Non-Bank Lenders (17)

Page 39: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4b. If you expect your lending institution to ease its credit standards for

C&I loans, how important are the following possible reasons for the

expected change in standards?

37

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Expected improvement in your lending institution's capital or liquidity position:

7

7

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Non-Bank Lenders (16)

Expected increase in collateral values:

6

6

4

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8

Non-Bank Lenders (16)

Page 40: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4b. If you expect your lending institution to ease its credit standards for

C&I loans, how important are the following possible reasons for the

expected change in standards?

38

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Expected increase in competition from other lenders:

4

10

2

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Non-Bank Lenders (16)

Expected increase in risk tolerance:

4

11

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Non-Bank Lenders (16)

Page 41: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4b. If you expect your lending institution to ease its credit standards for

C&I loans, how important are the following possible reasons for the

expected change in standards?

39

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Expected increase in ease of selling loans in secondary market:

10

5

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Non-Bank Lenders (16)

Expected improvement in credit quality of loan portfolio:

5

8

3

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Non-Bank Lenders (16)

Page 42: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

4b. If you expect your lending institution to ease its credit standards for

C&I loans, how important are the following possible reasons for the

expected change in standards?

40

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

Reduced concerns about the effects of legislative changes, supervisory actions,

or changes in accounting standards:

6

9

1

Not Important

Somewhat Important

Very Important

0 2 4 6 8 10

Non-Bank Lenders (16)

Page 43: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

5. Looking ahead over the next six months, how are changes in the

macroeconomy likely to impact your lending business? Please check all

that you feel apply:

41

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

16 17 21 43 8

The macroeconomic

environment has

minimal effect on

our lending

decisions.

We anticipate

relaxing our

credit standards

as the

macroeconomy

strengthens.

We anticipate

tightening our

credit standards

as the

macroeconomy

weakens.

We are anticipating

a weakening

economy that will

disadvantage our

competitors and

this, in turn, will

provide us with

expanding

opportunities to

extend credit.

We anticipate a

strengthening

economy that will

likely lead to an

expanding supply of

credit and less

attractive

opportunities for

our institution to

extend credit.

Non-Bank Lenders (68)

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Page 44: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

6. Over the next 6 months, how do you expect demand for C&I loans

from your lending institution to change compared to its current level,

apart from normal seasonal variation?

42

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

13

39

15

1

Strengthen

substantially

Strengthen

somewhat

Remain basically

unchanged

Weaken somewhat

Weaken

substantially

0 10 20 30 40

Non-Bank Lenders (68)

Page 45: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

7. Over the next 6 months, what is your outlook for delinquencies and

charge-offs on your lending institution's C&I loans?

43

Corresponding Federal Reserve QuestionNo similar question asked in 3Q20.

Q3 2020 SURVEY RESPONSES

2

10

41

15

Improve

substantially

Improve somewhat

Remain around

current levels

Deteriorate

somewhat

Deteriorate

substantially

0 10 20 30 40 50

Non-Bank Lenders (68)

Page 46: Q3 2020 Market Perspective Non-Bank Le nding...2020/11/03  · TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Why Are Non-Banks Important? 2 Non-Bank Lending Survey Overview 3-5 Key Findings 6-43 Summary of

800+ BANK & NON-BANKLENDERS

Cerebro Capital offers the only data-driven matching algorithm for middle-marketcorporate borrowers and commercial lenders. Combining the power oftechnology, streamlined processes, and transactions team expertise, Cerebrooffers the greatest certainty that your company will find the right lending partnerin the market.  Benefits of the platform include:

Powered by over 800 bank and non-bank lenders, Cerebro Capital is a data-driven platform purposefully designed to democratize access to credit markets byconnecting corporate borrowers and lenders to source corporate loans rangingfrom $2 million to $100 million. Cerebro has created a holistic corporate loanmanagement solution designed to revolutionize the way borrowers, lenders,intermediaries and stakeholders manage corporate debt. Contact Cerebro

MATCHINGALGORITHMS

MANAGED RFPPROCESS

CONFIDENTIALITY & DATASECURITY

TRANSACTION & LOANEXPERTS

SUCCESS-BASEDFEE MODEL

44

ABOUT CEREBRO CAPITALABOUT CEREBRO CAPITAL

Debt Placement Innovated