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CBRE RESEARCH
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights
A quarterly snapshot of Canadian commercial real estate cap rates and investment trends.
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights
CAP RATE SUMMARY SHEET 23-24
GLOSSARY OF TERMS 25
CITY-BY-CITY ANALYSIS
Victoria 10Vancouver 11Calgary 12Edmonton 13Saskatoon 14Winnipeg 15London 16Kitchener-Waterloo 17Toronto 18Ottawa 19Montreal 20QuebecCity 21Halifax 22
CANADIAN INVESTMENT TRENDS
Investment 3DebtMarket 4Office 5Industrial 6Retail 7Multifamily 8Hotel 9
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 3
CANADIAN INVESTMENT TRENDS
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
Q3 20
18
211 bps
426 bps
231 bps465 bps
321 bps
Source: CBRE Research, Q3 2018
National Average Cap Rate
All-Properties National Average Cap Rate10-Yr GoC Bond Yield
Investment SummaryDOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA 4.81% tu
A 5.63% tu
B 6.50% p
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.31% tu
B 7.16% q
INDUSTRIAL
A 5.22% q
B 6.20% q
RETAIL
Regional 5.23% tu
Power 6.09% p
Neighbourhood 6.16% tu
Strip 5.86% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 6.73% tu
Urban Streetfront 5.34% q
High Street 3.81% p
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 3.89% q
High Rise B 4.48% q
Low Rise A 4.45% q
Low Rise B 4.97% q
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.14% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.27% tu
Focused Service 7.98% tu
Paul MorassuttiVice Chairman, Valuation & Advisory Serviceswww.cbre.ca/paul.morassutti
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• WhilethebackgroundnoiseoftheNAFTAmelodramaandlong-termbondyieldincreaseshasbeenhardtotuneout,investorsarefocusedonsectorfundamentalsthatforthemostpartremainrocksolid.
• Canadahasseenanincreaseininternationalfirmsexpandingtheiroperationsoverrecentquarters.Whileentrantshavecomefromavarietyofsectors,themajorityhavebeentechfirms.
• Buyersremaindisciplinedbutcapratestightenedslightlyforanyassetorsectordisplayingstrongrentalrategrowthsuchasindustrialandmultifamilyproperties.
• TheagreementinprinciplefortheUSMCAalleviatesmuchoftheuncertaintysurroundingCanada’seconomicoutlook,openingthewayfordeferredinvestmentstoproceed.
CANADIAN INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 4
Mortgage Rates to Government of Canada Bonds
Debt Market Summary
5-Yr Commercial Mortgage Rate 10-Yr Commercial Mortgage Rate
5-Yr GoC Bond Yield10-Yr GoC Bond Yield
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
CAD/USD
Q2 2018 Q3 2018Change QoQ (%)
$0.76 $0.77 p 1.75%
CANADA PRIME RATE
Q2 2018 Q3 2018Change QoQ (%)
3.45% 3.70% p 7.25%
30-DAY CDOR
Q2 2018 Q3 2018Change QoQ (%)
1.67% 1.83% p 9.98%
WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE (USD)
Q2 2018 Q3 2018Change QoQ (%)
$74.15 $73.25 q -1.21%
5-YEAR MORTGAGE SPREAD RANGE
Q2 2018 Q3 2018Change QoQ (%)
1.40% - 1.90% 1.40% - 1.90% tu 0.00%
10-YEAR MORTGAGE SPREAD RANGE
Q2 2018 Q3 2018Change QoQ (%)
1.50% - 2.00% 1.50% - 2.00% tu 0.00%
Source: CBRE Limited, Thomson Reuters Eikon, Q3 2018
Source: CBRE Research, Thomson Reuters, Q3 2018
Carmin Di FioreExecutive Vice President, Debt & Structured Financewww.cbre.ca/carmin.difiore
MARKET MOVERS
• CreditspreadswereunchangedinQ32018ascompetitiveliquiditycontinuestodrivemarkets.Whilespreadsseemtohavehitaresistancetofurtherdeclines,lendersarewillingtocompeteondealstructureissuesinvolvingLTV’s,amortizationandrecourse.
• BondyieldsrespondedmoretoBOCguidancethantheprotracteduncertaintyofNAFTAnegotiationswithCanadian5and10-yearbondyieldsincreasingalmost30basispointsduringthequarter.An11thhouragreementinprincipleretainedtheessenceofNAFTA’skeyvirtueswithsomediminutionintradecostefficiencies.
• GlobalattentionwillnowfocusontheU.S.midtermelectionsandthehopefuladoptionofNAFTA2.0in2019.However,steelandaluminumtariffsstillremainalongwiththeimplicationsofaU.S.-Chinatradewarontheglobaleconomy.
CANADIAN INVESTMENT TRENDS REGIONAL RANKINGS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 5
Downtown AA & ASuburban ADowntown BSuburban B
DOWNTOWN AA & A
SUBURBAN A
DOWNTOWN B
SUBURBAN B
National Office Summary
Historical Office Cap Rates
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Mon
treal
Vict
oria
Otta
wa
Win
nipe
g
Cal
gary
Que
bec
City
Edm
onto
n
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Hal
ifax
Sask
atoo
n
Lond
on-W
inds
or
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Vict
oria
Mon
treal
Otta
wa
Win
nipe
g
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Que
bec
City
Hal
ifax
Sask
atoo
n
Cal
gary
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Edm
onto
n
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Vanc
ouve
r
Vict
oria
Toro
nto
Mon
treal
Otta
wa
Cal
gary
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Que
bec
City
Win
nipe
g
Sask
atoo
n
Hal
ifax
Edm
onto
n
Lond
on-W
inds
or
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Vict
oria
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Que
bec
City
Otta
wa
Mon
treal
Win
nipe
g
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Sask
atoo
n
Edm
onto
n
Hal
ifax
Cal
gary
Lond
on-W
inds
or
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
-25 bps
+25 bps
Cap Rate rQ/Q National Average
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
Q2-15
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
Q2-16
Q3-16
Q4-16
Q1-17
Q2-17
Q3-17
Q4-17
Q1-18
Q2-18
Q3-18
• Aftertwoconsecutivequartersofnoreportedchangesinofficesectorcaprates,ClassBpropertieshavebeguntoshowminormovementsinQ32018.AggressivevaluationsinTorontodowntownClassBproducteasedslightlywhilesuburbanofficepricinginMontrealtightenedfurther.
• Investorinterestisrisingforunderperformingofficepropertiesthathavepotentialforrepositioning.
• Improvingmacroeconomicconditionsandatightlabourmarketsupportapositiveoutlookfortheofficesectorwithfundamentalstoremainhealthyacrossthecountry.
CANADIAN INVESTMENT TRENDS REGIONAL RANKINGS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 6
INDUSTRIAL A
INDUSTRIAL B
National Industrial Summary
Historical Industrial Cap Rates
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Otta
wa
Victo
ria
Cal
gary
Mon
treal
Edm
onto
n
Kitch
ener
-Wat
erlo
o
Win
nipe
g
Hal
ifax
Sask
atoo
n
Que
bec
City
Lond
on-W
inds
or
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Vanc
ouve
r
Vict
oria
Toro
nto
Cal
gary
Otta
wa
Mon
treal
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Edm
onto
n
Win
nipe
g
Sask
atoo
n
Hal
ifax
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Que
bec
City
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Cap Rate rQ/Q National Average
-25 bps
-25 bps
-25 bps
-13 bps
-63 bps
-25 bps -25 bps
• TheaveragenationalindustrialcaprateforClassAandBpropertiesdroppedby5bpsinQ32018,markingthetenthconsecutivequarterofcompressionsinceearly2016.
• InvestorscontinuetotargetpropertiesinVancouverandQuebecCitywhichhascausedcapratestofallacrossallclassesofindustrialproductinbothcities.
• Demandforindustrialassetsremainshighandlimitedavailablesupplyissustainingrobustmarketprices.StrongfundamentalsandastabilizingAlbertaneconomyaredrivinginvestmentactivityforindustrialpropertiesfromcoasttocoast.
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
Q2-16
Q3-16
Q4-16
Q1-17
Q2-17
Q3-17
Q4-17
Q1-18
Q2-18
Q3-18
Industrial AIndustrial B
CANADIAN INVESTMENT TRENDS REGIONAL RANKINGS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 7
REGIONAL
POWER
STRIP
NEIGHBOURHOOD
STRIP (NON-ANCHORED)
National Retail Summary
Historical Retail Cap Rates
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Vict
oria
Cal
gary
Edm
onto
n
Sask
atoo
n
Otta
wa
Mon
treal
Win
nipe
g
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Hal
ifax
Que
bec
City
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Vanc
ouve
r
Vict
oria
Sask
atoo
n
Cal
gary
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Otta
wa
Edm
onto
n
Win
nipe
g
Toro
nto
Mon
treal
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Hal
ifax
Que
bec
City
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Vict
oria
Vanc
ouve
r
Cal
gary
Toro
nto
Edm
onto
n
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Sask
atoo
n
Otta
wa
Win
nipe
g
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Mon
treal
Hal
ifax
Que
bec
City
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Vanc
ouve
r
Vict
oria
Toro
nto
Cal
gary
Mon
treal
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Otta
wa
Edm
onto
n
Sask
atoo
n
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Win
nipe
g
Que
bec
City
Hal
ifax
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Vanc
ouve
r
Vict
oria
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Cal
gary
Toro
nto
Edm
onto
n
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Sask
atoo
n
Otta
wa
Win
nipe
g
Que
bec
City
Mon
trea
l
Hal
ifax
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Cap Rate rQ/Q National Average
RegionalStripPowerStrip (non-anchored)Neighbourhod
-37 bps
-25 bps+38 bps
+30 bps
• TheretailsectorcontinuestoevolvewithvaluationsdivergingacrossretailformatsinQ32018.Whilemostremainedstableduringthequarter,thenationalaveragecapratedeclinedforurbanstreetfrontretailandroseforpowercentresaswellashighstreetretailproperties.
• Retailinvestmentswereactiveduringthequarterasdemandforfood-anchoredpropertiesremainedstableandsiteswithresidentialdevelopmentopportunitiesraisedinvestorinterest.
• RetailproductinVancouver,TorontoandVictoriacontinuetoleadvaluationsacrossCanada.
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
Q2-16
Q3-16
Q4-16
Q1-17
Q2-17
Q3-17
Q4-17
Q1-18
Q2-18
Q3-18
CANADIAN INVESTMENT TRENDS REGIONAL RANKINGS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 8
High Rise ALow Rise A
High Rise BLow Rise B
HIGH RISE A
LOW RISE A
HIGH RISE B
LOW RISE B
National Multifamily Summary
Historical Mulifamily Cap Rates
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Otta
wa
Mon
treal
Cal
gary
Edm
onto
n
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Hal
ifax
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Que
bec
City
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Vanc
ouve
r
Vict
oria
Toro
nto
Otta
wa
Cal
gary
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Edm
onto
n
Mon
trea
l
Sask
atoo
n
Hal
ifax
Win
nipe
g
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Que
bec
City
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Van
couv
er
Toro
nto
Vic
tori
a
Otta
wa
Cal
gar
y
Mon
trea
l
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Hal
ifax
Que
bec
City
Edm
onto
n
Sask
atoo
n
Win
nipeg
Lond
on-W
indso
r
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Vict
oria
Otta
wa
Cal
gary
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Mon
trea
l
Hal
ifax
Edm
onto
n
Que
bec
City
Win
nipe
g
Sask
atoo
n
Lond
on-W
inds
or
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Cap Rate rQ/Q National Average
David MontressorExecutive Vice President, National Apartment Groupwww.cbre.ca/david.montressor
-13 bps-25 bps-25 bps
-25 bps
-25 bps -38 bps
-25 bps -62 bps -38 bps
• Extremelystrongfundamentalsandlimitedsupplyofmultifamilyassetsareliftingpropertyvaluations.ThenationalaveragecapratefellacrossallcategoriesofmultifamilypropertiesinQ32018,particularlyforlowriseClassBproductwhichexperiencedthelargestcapratemovementinthequarter.
• MultifamilypricingremainedstableinVancouverandTorontowhichcontinuetograpplewithhousingaffordabilityissues.
• Meanwhile,demandhasintensifiedinCalgary,Edmonton,MontrealandLondonwithallreportingtighteryieldsinQ32018.
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
Q2-16
Q3-16
Q4-16
Q1-17
Q2-17
Q3-17
Q4-17
Q1-18
Q2-18
Q3-18
CANADIAN INVESTMENT TRENDS REGIONAL RANKINGS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 9
Downtown Full Service Focused Service
Suburban Limited Service
DOWNTOWN FULL SERVICE
FOCUSED SERVICE
SUBURBAN LIMITED SERVICE
National Hotel Summary
Historical Hotel Cap Rates
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Otta
wa
Mon
treal
Win
nipe
g
Cal
gary
Que
bec
City
Edm
onto
n
Hal
ifax
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Lond
on-W
inds
or
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Otta
wa
Mon
trea
l
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Que
bec
City
Hal
ifax
Cal
gary
Win
nipe
g
Edm
onto
n
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Vanc
ouve
r
Toro
nto
Kitc
hene
r-W
ater
loo
Otta
wa
Win
nipe
g
Mon
trea
l
Que
bec
City
Hal
ifax
Cal
gary
Lond
on-W
inds
or
Edm
onto
n
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Cap Rate rQ/Q National Average
Bill StoneExecutive Vice President, CBRE Hotels
www.cbre.ca/bill.stone
• Capratesheldsteadythisquarterasthesectorcontinuestoperformatrecordlevelsonanationallevelfrombothatopandbottomlineperspective.
• SignificantappetiteforqualityassetsinTorontoandVancouverremains,whichisnotbeingmetbythescarcityofproductcomingtomarket.
• HotelsinAlbertasawa6%improvementinRevPARasofYTDJuly2018,signalingtheworstmaybeover.However,tradesarelimitedastherecontinuestobeaspreadbetweenbuyerandsellerexpectations.
• AlackofsupplyinTorontoisdrivinginvestorstoseeknewbuildopportunitieswhichcouldhaveshorttermimpactsonperformanceinselectsuburbanmarkets.
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.5%
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
Q2-16
Q3-16
Q4-16
Q1-17
Q2-17
Q3-17
Q4-17
Q1-18
Q2-18
Q3-18
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 10
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• Buyersandlendersareslightlymorecautiousduetothepotentialforhigherinterestratesaswellasheightenedprovincialandmunicipalpoliticaluncertainty.
• Demandremainsstrongacrossallpropertytypesduetoalackofavailableproductandscarcityofland.
• HealthycompetitionamonginstitutionalandprivatebuyersdemonstratecontinuedconfidenceinVictoria’smarketfundamentals.
Victoria DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA N/A
A 4.75% - 5.25% tu
B 5.25% - 5.75% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 5.00% - 5.50% tu
B 5.25% - 5.75% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 5.00% - 5.50% tu
B 5.25% - 5.75% tu
RETAIL
Regional 4.75% - 5.25% tu
Power 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Neighbourhood 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Strip 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 5.25% - 5.75% tu
Urban Streetfront 4.75% - 5.25% tu
High Street 4.50% - 5.00% tu
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A N/A
High Rise B 3.25% - 3.75% tu
Low Rise A 3.50% - 4.00% tu
Low Rise B 4.00% - 4.50% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service N/A
Suburban Limited Service N/A
Focused Service N/A
Ross MarshallVice President
www.cbre.ca/ross.marshall
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 11
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• Demandforindustrialpropertiesincreaseddramaticallyoverthelastquarter.Investorsarelookingtocapitalizeonthegrowingopportunitieswithinthisfundamentallystrongsector.
• Retaildemandinsecondarymarketscontinuetosufferdespitesolidtenantsalesinmanycases.Pressuredvaluationsalongsideownersdeterminedtodivestofthisassetclassareexpectedtobringsolidbuyingopportunitiesinthenearterm.
• Downtownandsuburbanofficeyieldsareexpectedtoremainaggressiveasfundamentalslooktofurtherimproveovertheneartomid-term.
• Multifamilyassetsremaininstrongdemandwithrecordlowcapratesbeingdrivenbynearzerovacancyrates.
Vancouver
Historical Vancouver Cap Rates
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA 3.75% - 4.00% tu
A 3.75% - 4.25% tu
B 4.00% - 4.50% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 4.75% - 5.50% tu
B 5.25% - 6.00% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 3.50%-4.00% q
B 4.25%-4.75% q
RETAIL
Regional 4.00% - 4.50% tu
Power 5.00% - 5.00% tu
Neighbourhood 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Strip 4.00% - 5.00% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Urban Streetfront 3.75% - 4.25% tu
High Street 3.50% - 4.00% tu
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 2.50% - 3.00% tu
High Rise B 3.00% - 3.50% tu
Low Rise A 2.75% - 3.25% tu
Low Rise B 3.25% - 4.25% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 4.50% - 6.00% tu
Suburban Limited Service 6.50% - 7.50% tu
Focused Service 6.00% - 7.50% tu
Jim SzaboVice Chairman, National Investment Team
www.cbre.ca/jim.szabo
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 12
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• AggressivevaluationsinothermajorCanadiancitieshaveincreasedtheamountofcapitalseekingopportunitiesinCalgary.
• CapratesremainstableasCalgaryisinthemidstofeconomicrecoveryandleasingfundamentalscontinuetostabilize.
• Limitedacquisitionopportunitiesaresustaininghistoricallylowcapratesforcoreindustrialandmultifamilyassets.
• Privateinvestorswithvalue-addstrategiesareactivelyacquiringunderperformingofficeassetstoreposition.
Calgary
Historical Calgary Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA 5.25% - 5.75% tu
A 6.25% - 7.00% tu
B 7.75% - 8.50% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.25% - 6.75% tu
B 7.50% - 8.25% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 5.00% - 5.50% tu
B 5.75% - 6.25% tu
RETAIL
Regional 4.75% - 5.25% tu
Power 5.50% - 6.00% tu
Neighbourhood 5.25% - 5.75% tu
Strip 5.25% - 5.75% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 5.75% - 6.25% tu
Urban Streetfront 5.50% - 6.00% tu
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 4.00%-4.50% q
High Rise B 4.25%-4.75% q
Low Rise A 4.50%-5.00% q
Low Rise B 4.75%-5.25% q
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.00% - 8.75% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.00% - 9.25% tu
Focused Service 7.50% - 9.25% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Duncan McLeanSenior Vice President, National Investment Team
www.cbre.ca/duncan.mclean
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 13
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• Coreindustrialandmultifamilyproductremaininhighdemandwithlimitedsupplyavailable.
• Foodanddruganchoredpropertiesareattractingsignificantdemandrelativetounanchoredcentres.Meanwhile,privateinvestorsareshowingstrongappetiteforsmallerretailofferings.
• InvestorandtenantdemandforCBDofficecontinuestofocusontheICEDistrictandtheneighbouringtowers.
• Astheenergysectorcontinuestostabilize,pocketsofstrengtharerisinginthesoutheastandNisku/Leducindustrialsubmarkets.
Edmonton
Historical Edmonton Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA 5.50% - 6.00% tu
A 6.75% - 7.50% tu
B 8.00% - 10.00% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.75% - 7.50% tu
B 7.50% - 8.00% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 5.25% - 5.75% tu
B 6.50%-7.25% q
RETAIL
Regional 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Power 6.00% - 6.50% tu
Neighbourhood 5.50% - 6.00% tu
Strip 5.75% - 6.25% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 6.25% - 7.00% tu
Urban Streetfront 6.00% - 6.50% tu
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 4.00% - 4.50% tu
High Rise B 4.50% - 5.00% tu
Low Rise A 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Low Rise B 5.50%-6.00% q
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.25% - 8.75% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.50% - 9.50% tu
Focused Service 8.00% - 9.50% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Dave YoungExecutive Vice President, National Investment Team
www.cbre.ca/dave.young
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 14
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• Capratesremainstableacrossallassettypes,withslightdownwardpressureonindustrialproductaseconomicconditionscontinuetoimprove.
• ThelimitedinvestmentactivityinSaskatoonhasbeendrivenbyuserandowner-occupiergroups,primarilyintheretailsector.
• StrongleasingmomentumintoqualitynewofficeproductatRiverLandingcontinuestocreateuncertaintyforinvestmentinagingdowntownofficeassets.
Saskatoon
Historical Saskatoon Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA N/A
A 6.50% - 7.25% tu
B 7.25% - 8.25% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.50% - 7.25% tu
B 7.25% - 8.00% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 6.25% - 7.00% tu
B 6.75%-7.25% q
RETAIL
Regional 5.00% - 5.75% tu
Power 5.00% - 5.75% tu
Neighbourhood 5.75% - 6.50% tu
Strip 6.00% - 6.75% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 6.75% - 7.25% tu
Urban Streetfront 6.50% - 7.00% tu
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A N/A
High Rise B 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Low Rise A 5.25% - 5.75% tu
Low Rise B 6.00% - 6.50% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service N/A
Suburban Limited Service N/A
Focused Service N/A
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Michael BratvoldVice President, Managing Director
www.cbre.ca/michael.bratvold
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 15
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• ThecompletionoftheofficetowerlocatedatTrueNorthSquaremarkedadoublinginthedowntownClassAofficevacancyrate,despitethe365,000sq.ft.towerbeing60%preleased.
• Increasingleasingvelocityiscreatingopportunitiesforinvestorstocapitalizeandisraisinginterestinofficerepositioningprojects.
• Thepaceofindustriallandsalescontinuestoriseasdevelopershavebegunbridgingthegapbetweenmarketratesandconstructioncosts.Inparticular,theCentreportregionishighlyactiveandprovingsuccessfulinconnectingmarketdemandfornewsupplywithinvestorcapital.
Winnipeg
Historical Winnipeg Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA N/A
A 5.50% - 6.00% tu
B 6.50% - 7.00% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.50% - 7.00% tu
B 7.00% - 7.50% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 6.00% - 6.50% tu
B 6.50% - 7.25% tu
RETAIL
Regional 5.50% - 6.00% tu
Power 6.00% - 6.50% tu
Neighbourhood 6.50% - 7.00% tu
Strip 6.50% - 7.00% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 6.75% - 7.50% tu
Urban Streetfront 6.00% - 6.75% tu
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A N/A
High Rise B 5.00% - 5.75% tu
Low Rise A 5.50% - 6.00% tu
Low Rise B 5.75% - 6.00% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.00% - 8.50% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.00% - 9.50% tu
Focused Service 7.50% - 8.75% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Ryan BehieVice President, Managing Director
www.cbre.ca/ryan.behie
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 16
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• RetailtransactionvolumehasbeenrobustwithFirstCapitalRealtyselling50%interestsintheirretailpropertiesandRioCanREITsellingsomeoftheirplazas.
• Strengtheningindustrialfundamentalsareattractingincreasedinvestorinterestforthispropertytype.
London
Historical London Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA N/A
A 6.50% - 8.50% tu
B 8.00% - 9.00% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 7.50% - 8.00% tu
B 8.00% - 8.50% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 6.30% - 7.50% tu
B 7.50% - 8.50% tu
RETAIL
Regional 5.50% - 6.50% tu
Power 6.25% - 7.00% tu
Neighbourhood 6.00% - 7.50% tu
Strip 6.00% - 7.00% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 6.00% - 7.50% tu
Urban Streetfront 7.00% - 8.50% tu
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 4.75%- 5.50% q
High Rise B 5.25% - 6.50% tu
Low Rise A 5.00%- 6.75% q
Low Rise B 6.00% - 7.25% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.50% - 8.75% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.00% - 9.00% tu
Focused Service 7.75% - 9.00% tu
Peter WhatmoreSenior Vice President, National Investment Team
www.cbre.ca/peter.whatmoreOffice Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 17
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• LandisinhighdemandwithcoreandLRT-orientedinfillprojectsdrivingrecordvaluations.
• Industrialpropertiescontinuetobehighlysought-afterwithstrongfundamentalsleadingtospecconstructioninKitchenerandCambridge.YieldsonClassAproductstillrepresentapremiumoverothermajormarkets.
• Brick&breamofficeinventoryisvirtuallyfullyoccupiedandthetechsectorcontinuestodrivedemand.
• Thereisstronginvestorinterestinretailpropertiesasbuyersseekopportunitiesforaddingresidentialdensitytotransit-orientedsites.
• Scarcityofmultifamilyproductismaintaininghighmarketvaluesascapratesstabilizeamidrisinginterestrates.
Kitchener-Waterloo
Historical Kitchener-Waterloo Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA N/A
A 6.00% - 7.00% tu
B 6.50% - 7.25% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.00% - 7.00% tu
B 6.75% - 7.75% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 5.50% - 6.10% tu
B 6.00% - 7.25% tu
RETAIL
Regional 5.50% - 6.00% tu
Power 5.75% - 6.50% tu
Neighbourhood 5.50% - 6.50% tu
Strip 5.00% - 6.50% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 5.00% - 6.75% tu
Urban Streetfront 6.00% - 7.50% tu
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 4.25% - 4.75% tu
High Rise B 4.25% - 5.00% tu
Low Rise A 4.50% - 5.25% tu
Low Rise B 4.75% - 5.50% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.50% - 8.50% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.00% - 9.00% tu
Focused Service 7.50% - 8.50% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Peter WhatmoreSenior Vice President, National Investment Team
www.cbre.ca/peter.whatmore
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 18
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• Afterfourback-to-backquartersofrecordtradingvolumeduringQ32017toQ22018,investorsaretakingintoconsiderationtheglobalgeopoliticalissuesaswellasinterestratesrisingtolevelsnotseensince2008.
• Whileinvestorinterestremainshigh,liquidityabundantandfundamentalsverystrong,themarketseemstobeinaholdingpatternasmanyhavetakenawait-and-seeapproachtoinvestmentdecisions.
• Theadjustmentsinthebondmarketsuggestinflationmayberealwhichisgoodforrealestateinvestorsinthelongrun.
Toronto
Historical Toronto Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA 4.00% - 4.50% tu
A 4.25% - 4.75% tu
B 4.75%-5.25% p
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 5.50% - 6.25% tu
B 6.50% - 7.25% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 4.00% - 4.75% tu
B 5.00% - 6.00% tu
RETAIL
Regional 4.25% - 5.50% tu
Power 5.75%-7.00% p
Neighbourhood 5.00% - 6.25% tu
Strip 4.75% - 6.00% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 6.00% - 7.00% tu
Urban Streetfront 3.75% - 4.50% tu
High Street 3.50%-4.25% p
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 3.00% - 3.75% tu
High Rise B 3.50% - 4.25% tu
Low Rise A 3.00% - 3.75% tu
Low Rise B 3.50% - 4.50% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 4.50% - 6.00% tu
Suburban Limited Service 7.00% - 8.50% tu
Focused Service 7.00% - 8.00% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Peter SenstPresident, Canadian Capital Markets National Investment Teamwww.cbre.ca/peter.senst
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 19
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• TheinvestmentmarketinOttawahasbeenstrongandbolsteredbytherecordlevelofinvestmentactivityseenacrossCanadafromthefirsthalfof2018.
• Industrialandofficepropertiescontinuetobeinhighdemandandareconsideredthemosttradableassetsatthemoment.
• AnadditionalsurgeofinvestmentactivityisexpectedinQ42018tocapoffanothersolidyearoftradingvolume.
Ottawa
Historical Ottawa Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA 4.75% - 5.25% tu
A 5.00% - 5.50% tu
B 5.75% - 6.25% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.00% - 6.50% tu
B 6.75% - 7.25% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 4.50% - 5.00% tu
B 5.50% - 6.50% tu
RETAIL
Regional 5.00% - 5.75% tu
Power 5.75% - 6.50% tu
Neighbourhood 5.75% - 6.50% tu
Strip 5.50% - 6.25% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 6.50% - 7.50% tu
Urban Streetfront 4.75% - 5.50% tu
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 3.25% - 3.75% tu
High Rise B 4.00% - 4.25% tu
Low Rise A 3.50% - 4.00% tu
Low Rise B 4.25% - 4.75% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.00% - 8.00% tu
Suburban Limited Service 7.75% - 8.75% tu
Focused Service 7.50% - 8.50% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Nico ZentilSenior Vice President, National Investment Team
www.cbre.ca/nico.zentil
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 20
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• TheinvestmentmarketinMontrealremainsactiveacrossallpropertytypes,withparticularstrengthingroceryanchoredretailassets.However,theavailablesupplyofnewervintagehigh-qualitytrophyassetsislimited.
• Landvaluesarerisingasanincreasingnumberofinvestorsareseekingpurpose-builtmultifamilydevelopmentopportunities.
• Abundantcapitalissupportinganactiverealestatedebtmarket,notablyalsoinMontreal’shotelsector.
Montreal
Historical Montreal Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA 4.25% - 4.75% tu
A 5.00% - 5.50% tu
B 5.25% - 6.00% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 5.25% - 6.50% tu
B 6.75%-7.50% q
INDUSTRIAL
A 5.00%-5.75% q
B 6.00% - 6.75% tu
RETAIL
Regional 5.00% - 5.75% tu
Power 6.00% - 6.75% tu
Neighbourhood 6.50% - 7.00% tu
Strip 5.25% - 6.00% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 7.00% - 7.75% tu
Urban Streetfront 3.75% 4.50% q
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 3.75%-4.50% q
High Rise B 4.50% - 5.00% tu
Low Rise A 4.50% - 5.00% tu
Low Rise B 5.00%-5.75% q
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.00% - 8.00% tu
Suburban Limited Service 7.75% - 8.75% tu
Focused Service 7.50% - 8.75% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Nektar DiamantopoulosExecutive Vice President, National Investment Teamwww.cbre.ca/nektar. diamantopoulos
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 21
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• TheeconomyinQuebecCityishealthywithGDPgrowingatitsfastestpacesince2011andarecordlowunemploymentrateof4.2%.
• Investmentactivityisrobustwithover$900millioninnon-residentialrealestateinvestmentvolumeslastyearandover10,000residentialunitscurrentlyunderdevelopment.
• Majordevelopmentprojectssettobegininthenexttwoquartersincludethe500,000sq.ft.IlotMendelretailproject,the1.5millionsq.ft.mixed-usedevelopmentcalledLePhareandthe800,000sq.ft.industrialprojectbyGroupeDallaire.
Quebec City
Historical Quebec City Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA N/A
A 6.00% - 6.75% tu
B 6.25% - 7.50% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.25% - 7.00% tu
B 6.50% - 7.25% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 6.25%-7.00% q
B 7.50%-8.50% q
RETAIL
Regional 6.75%-7.75% q
Power 6.50% - 7.50% tu
Neighbourhood 7.00%-8.60% p
Strip 6.25% - 7.50% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 6.75% - 7.75% tu
Urban Streetfront N/A
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 4.75% - 5.75% tu
High Rise B 5.50% - 6.50% tu
Low Rise A 4.75% - 5.50% tu
Low Rise B 5.25% - 6.25% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.25% - 8.50% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.00% - 9.00% tu
Focused Service 7.50% - 9.00% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
Stéphane HudonVice President
www.cbre.ca/stephane.hudon 3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
INVESTMENT TRENDS
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 22
Q3 2018 CAP RATES
• InvestmentvolumesinHalifaxandtheAtlanticRegionareonpacetosurpasslastyear’stotalof$875million.
• TheAtlanticRegionisexperiencingthehighestlevelofindustrialinvestmentactivitysince2012withanumberofportfoliotradescompletedin2018.
• TheNationalShipbuildingStrategycontinuestogrowandbenefittheHalifaxeconomywiththefirstArcticPatrolVessellaunchedinSeptemberandtwomoreunderconstruction.
Halifax
Bob MussettSenior Vice President, National Investment Team
www.cbre.ca/bob.mussett
Historical Halifax Cap Rates
DOWNTOWN OFFICE rQ/Q
AA N/A
A 6.25% - 6.75% tu
B 7.00% - 7.50% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.50% - 7.50% tu
B 7.50% - 8.00% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 6.00% - 7.00% tu
B 7.25% - 7.75% tu
RETAIL
Regional 5.75% - 6.25% tu
Power 6.25%-7.00% q
Neighbourhood 7.00% - 8.00% tu
Strip 6.75% - 7.75% tu
Strip (non-anchored) 7.50% - 8.50% tu
Urban Streetfront 6.50% - 7.50% tu
High Street N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 4.75% - 5.25% tu
High Rise B 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Low Rise A 4.75% - 5.25% tu
Low Rise B 5.25% - 5.75% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.25% - 8.75% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.00% - 9.00% tu
Focused Service 7.50% - 9.00% tu
Office Downtown AA & AIndustrial A & B
Retail NeighbourhoodMultifamily High Rise B
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q3
2018
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates rQ/Q
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 23
DOWNTOWN OFFICE VICTORIA VANCOUVER CALGARY EDMONTON SASKATOON WINNIPEG LONDON-WINDSOR
AA N/A 3.75% - 4.00% tu 5.25% - 5.75% tu 5.50% - 6.00% tu N/A N/A N/A
A 4.75% - 5.25% tu 3.75% - 4.25% tu 6.25% - 7.00% tu 6.75% - 7.50% tu 6.50% - 7.25% tu 5.50% - 6.00% tu 6.50% - 8.50% tu
B 5.25% - 5.75% tu 4.00% - 4.50% tu 7.75% - 8.50% tu 8.00% - 10.00% tu 7.25% - 8.25% tu 6.50% - 7.00% tu 8.00% - 9.00% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 5.00% - 5.50% tu 4.75% - 5.50% tu 6.25% - 6.75% tu 6.75% - 7.50% tu 6.50% - 7.25% tu 6.50% - 7.00% tu 7.50% - 8.00% tu
B 5.25% - 5.75% tu 5.25% - 6.00% tu 7.50% - 8.25% tu 7.50% - 8.00% tu 7.25% - 8.00% tu 7.00% - 7.50% tu 8.00% - 8.50% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 5.00% - 5.50% tu 3.50% - 4.00% q 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.25% - 5.75% tu 6.25% - 7.00% tu 6.00% - 6.50% tu 6.30% - 7.50% tu
B 5.25% - 5.75% tu 4.25% - 4.75% q 5.75% - 6.25% tu 6.50% - 7.25% q 6.75% - 7.25% q 6.50% - 7.25% tu 7.50% - 8.50% tu
RETAIL
Regional 4.75% - 5.25% tu 4.00% - 4.50% tu 4.75% - 5.25% tu 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.00% - 5.75% tu 5.50% - 6.00% tu 5.50% - 6.50% tu
Sector/Power 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.00% - 5.00% tu 5.50% - 6.00% tu 6.00% - 6.50% tu 5.00% - 5.75% tu 6.00% - 6.50% tu 6.25% - 7.00% tu
Neighborhood 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.25% - 5.75% tu 5.50% - 6.00% tu 5.75% - 6.50% tu 6.50% - 7.00% tu 6.00% - 7.50% tu
Strip 5.00% - 5.50% tu 4.00% - 5.00% tu 5.25% - 5.75% tu 5.75% - 6.25% tu 6.00% - 6.75% tu 6.50% - 7.00% tu 6.00% - 7.00% tu
Non-anchored Strip Mall 5.25% - 5.75% tu 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.75% - 6.25% tu 6.25% - 7.00% tu 6.75% - 7.25% tu 6.75% - 7.50% tu 6.00% - 7.50% tu
Urban Streetfront 4.75% - 5.25% tu 3.75% - 4.25% tu 5.50% - 6.00% tu 6.00% - 6.50% tu 6.50% - 7.00% tu 6.00% - 6.75% tu 7.00% - 8.50% tu
High Street 4.50% - 5.00% tu 3.50% - 4.00% tu N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A N/A 2.50% - 3.00% tu 4.00% - 4.50% q 4.00% - 4.50% tu N/A - N/A 4.75% - 5.50% q
High Rise B 3.25% - 3.75% tu 3.00% - 3.50% tu 4.25% - 4.75% q 4.50% - 5.00% tu 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.00% - 5.75% tu 5.25% - 6.50% tu
Low Rise A 3.50% - 4.00% tu 2.75% - 3.25% tu 4.50% - 5.00% q 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.25% - 5.75% tu 5.50% - 6.00% tu 5.00% - 6.75% q
Low Rise B 4.00% - 4.50% tu 3.25% - 4.25% tu 4.75% - 5.25% q 5.50% - 6.00% q 6.00% - 6.50% tu 5.75% - 6.00% tu 6.00% - 7.25% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service N/A 4.50% - 6.00% tu 7.00% - 8.75% tu 7.25% - 8.75% tu N/A 7.00% - 8.50% tu 7.50% - 8.75% tu
Suburban Limited Service N/A 6.50% - 7.50% tu 8.00% - 9.25% tu 8.50% - 9.50% tu N/A 8.00% - 9.50% tu 8.00% - 9.00% tu
Focused Service N/A 6.00% - 7.50% tu 7.50% - 9.25% tu 8.00% - 9.50% tu N/A 7.50% - 8.75% tu 7.75% - 9.00% tu
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates rQ/Q
DOWNTOWN OFFICE KITCHENER-WATERLOO TORONTO OTTAWA MONTREAL QUEBEC CITY HALIFAX
AA N/A 4.00% - 4.50% tu 4.75% - 5.25% tu 4.25% - 4.75% tu N/A N/A
A 6.00% - 7.00% tu 4.25% - 4.75% tu 5.00% - 5.50% tu 5.00% - 5.50% tu 6.00% - 6.75% tu 6.25% - 6.75% tu
B 6.50% - 7.25% tu 4.75% - 5.25% p 5.75% - 6.25% tu 5.25% - 6.00% tu 6.25% - 7.50% tu 7.00% - 7.50% tu
SUBURBAN OFFICE
A 6.00% - 7.00% tu 5.50% - 6.25% tu 6.00% - 6.50% tu 5.25% - 6.50% tu 6.25% - 7.00% tu 6.50% - 7.50% tu
B 6.75% - 7.75% tu 6.50% - 7.25% tu 6.75% - 7.25% tu 6.75% - 7.50% q 6.50% - 7.25% tu 7.50% - 8.00% tu
INDUSTRIAL
A 5.50% - 6.10% tu 4.00% - 4.75% tu 4.50% - 5.00% tu 5.00% - 5.75% q 6.25% - 7.00% q 6.00% - 7.00% tu
B 6.00% - 7.25% tu 5.00% - 6.00% tu 5.50% - 6.50% tu 6.00% - 6.75% tu 7.50% - 8.50% q 7.25% - 7.75% tu
RETAIL
Regional 5.50% - 6.00% tu 4.25% - 5.50% tu 5.00% - 5.75% tu 5.00% - 5.75% tu 6.75% - 7.75% q 5.75% - 6.25% tu
Sector/Power 5.75% - 6.50% tu 5.75% - 7.00% p 5.75% - 6.50% tu 6.00% - 6.75% tu 6.50% - 7.50% tu 6.25% - 7.00% q
Neighborhood 5.50% - 6.50% tu 5.00% - 6.25% tu 5.75% - 6.50% tu 6.50% - 7.00% tu 7.00% - 8.60% p 7.00% - 8.00% tu
Strip 5.00% - 6.50% tu 4.75% - 6.00% tu 5.50% - 6.25% tu 5.25% - 6.00% tu 6.25% - 7.50% tu 6.75% - 7.75% tu
Non-anchored Strip Mall 5.00% - 6.75% tu 6.00% - 7.00% tu 6.50% - 7.50% tu 7.00% - 7.75% tu 6.75% - 7.75% tu 7.50% - 8.50% tu
Urban Streetfront 6.00% - 7.50% tu 3.75% - 4.50% tu 4.75% - 5.50% tu 3.75% - 4.50% q N/A 6.50% - 7.50% tu
High Street N/A 3.50% - 4.25% p N/A N/A N/A N/A
MULTIFAMILY
High Rise A 4.25% - 4.75% tu 3.00% - 3.75% tu 3.25% - 3.75% tu 3.75% - 4.50% q 4.75% - 5.75% tu 4.75% - 5.25% tu
High Rise B 4.25% - 5.00% tu 3.50% - 4.25% tu 4.00% - 4.25% tu 4.50% - 5.00% tu 5.50% - 6.50% tu 5.00% - 5.50% tu
Low Rise A 4.50% - 5.25% tu 3.00% - 3.75% tu 3.50% - 4.00% tu 4.50% - 5.00% tu 4.75% - 5.50% tu 4.75% - 5.25% tu
Low Rise B 4.75% - 5.50% tu 3.50% - 4.50% tu 4.25% - 4.75% tu 5.00% - 5.75% q 5.25% - 6.25% tu 5.25% - 5.75% tu
HOTEL
Downtown Full Service 7.50% - 8.50% tu 4.50% - 6.00% tu 7.00% - 8.00% tu 7.00% - 8.00% tu 7.25% - 8.50% tu 7.25% - 8.75% tu
Suburban Limited Service 8.00% - 9.00% tu 7.00% - 8.50% tu 7.75% - 8.75% tu 7.75% - 8.75% tu 8.00% - 9.00% tu 8.00% - 9.00% tu
Focused Service 7.50% - 8.50% tu 7.00% - 8.00% tu 7.50% - 8.50% tu 7.50% - 8.75% tu 7.50% - 9.00% tu 7.50% - 9.00% tu
Q3 2018 Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights CBRE Research | PAGE 24
CAP RATE: Estimates are provided by NIT members in respective markets based on market transactions and/or feedback from investors on their current yield expectations.
Office/IndustrialDOWNTOWN: The neighborhoods in a metropolitan area which are the most densely populated, contain the highest concentration of businesses, offer access to a variety of urban amenities, and are typically well serviced by public transit.
SUBURBAN: The portion of a metropolitan area that is outside the city centre with a less concentrated population and typically lower density land use than is typically found in the metro’s urban areas.
CLASS AA (OFFICE ONLY): The best quality office assets in a metropolitan area’s downtown submarket. Typically, these properties are newer, larger than 800,000 sq. ft. with large floor plates, fully or near fully leased at or above markets rents to top quality tenants.
CLASS A: Properties competing for higher-quality tenants with above average rental rates for the area. Buildings are in good physical shape, are well situated and contain high-quality finishes, top class building systems and exceptional accessibility features.
CLASS B: Properties competing for a wide range of tenants with average or below average rents for the area. Buildings are in good to fair shape and suitable for tenants seeking functional space at discounted rates.
RetailREGIONAL: Enclosed malls which have strong anchors with a high percentage of National tenants in CRU space. Occupiers focus on general merchandise or fashion-oriented offerings. Properties are typically anchored by at least two large format tenants, including most often a department store.
POWER CENTRES: Unenclosed retail centres comprised of freestanding and mostly unconnected single storey properties or “big boxes”, often including at least one large format brand name anchor tenant. Typically situated in a larger retail node but contain limited CRU space.
COMMUNITY/NEIGHBORHOOD: Enclosed or unenclosed shopping centres that serve a community and are generally anchored by some combination of a junior department store, supermarket, drug or sport store. Typically supply a wide range of apparel and soft goods.
STRIP (ANCHORED): Open-air centres anchored by either a grocery or major drugstore tenant. Designed to provide convenience shopping for the daily needs of consumers in the surrounding neighbourhood. Off-street parking typically offered on site.
STRIP (NON-ANCHORED): Open-air centre typically not anchored by either a grocery or drugstore tenant. Centres offer a narrow mix of goods and personal services to a limited trade area. Off-street parking typically offered on site.
HIGH STREET RETAIL: Self-contained streetfront properties centrally located along high-profile retail corridors. Properties are occupied by well-known brands at well above average rental rates. Parking is typically available on street or within a public parking structure.
URBAN STREETFRONT: Streetfront properties located side by side along major urban thoroughfares in close proximity to public transit. Properties may be occupied by a wide range of tenants at above average rental rates. Parking is typically available on street or within a public parking structure.
MultifamilyHIGH RISE: Multi-unit high density properties typically 5 storeys and above in height.
LOW RISE: Multi-unit properties typically 4 storeys and below in height.
CLASS A: Newer properties which are situated in desirable neighbourhoods, well-serviced by public transit, demand above average rents, and are furbished with top of the line finishes and amenities.
CLASS B: Older properties which offer functional space with rental rates near to or below the market average.
HotelCAP RATES (HOTEL SPECIFIC): Rates indicated are based on adjusted results after deduction of management fees and reserves for replacement
FULL SERVICE: Hotel properties offering an abundant provision of food and beverage services (meeting rooms and dining venues). Full service hotels also typically offer additional amenities such as room service, valet parking and concierge service. Examples of core brands would be Marriott, Hilton, Four Seasons.
LIMITED SERVICE: Hotel properties that are rooms focused and don’t offer a wide variety of additional amenities or services. This category would include “budget” limited service assets that offer no-frills rooms at modest prices, as well as more robust limited service properties that might offer a fitness room, a guest laundry facility, a market pantry, an indoor and/or outdoor pool, and/or a small meeting room. Examples would include Comfort Inn, Days Inn, Super 8.
FOCUSED SERVICE: Focused service hotels (also referred to as select service hotels) offer the fundamentals of limited-service properties together with a selection of the services and amenities characteristic of full-service properties. They may offer food and beverage facilities but on a less elaborate scale than one would find at full-service hotels. Extended Stay/All-Suite hotels are included in this sample. Examples would include Hampton Inn, Holiday Inn Express, Residence Inn.
GLOSSARY OF TERMS:
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