Q-Poll 9-28

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FOR RELEASE: SEPTEMBER 28, 2010

ANGRY VOTERS PUSH McMAHON CLOSER IN SENATE RACE,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY CONNECTICUT POLL FINDS;

BUT MOST VOTERS SAY HER ADS ARE ANNOYING

Propelled by Connecticut likely voters who say they are angry with government, formerwrestling executive Linda McMahon, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate, is closing in on

Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, and now trails just 49 46 percent,

according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 51 45 percent Blumenthal lead in a September 14 likely voter

survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll, conducted by live

interviewers.

In todays survey, 4 percent are undecided and 9 percent of voters who name a

candidate say they could change their mind by Election Day. Blumenthal leads 89 9 percent

among Democrats. McMahon leads 80 16 percent among Republicans. Independent voters

shift from 47 46 percent for Blumenthal September 14 to 49 44 percent for McMahon

today. In a gender reversal, women back Blumenthal 56 39 percent while men back

McMahon 52 44 percent.

The 33 percent of likely voters who say they are angry with the federal government

support McMahon 78 20 percent.

With five weeks to go, the Connecticut Senate race is very close. Attorney General

Richard Blumenthal is ahead by only a statistically insignificant 3 points. Blumenthal has to

be concerned about Linda McMahons momentum. He can hear her footsteps as she closes in

on him, said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.

McMahon clearly is capitalizing on the anger that one-third of voters are feeling

toward the federal government.

-more-

Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.Director,

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Quinnipiac University Poll/September 28, 2010 page 2

But McMahon has to be concerned that voters are still divided on her, Dr. Schwartz

added. There continues to be a big gender gap, as weve seen in other states such a New

York and Pennsylvania. Women are going with the Democrat and men are siding with the

Republican.

Usually debates dont make much of a difference, but in a race this close next months

debates could be a game changer.

Connecticut likely voters approve 68 29 percent of the job Blumenthal is doing as

attorney general and have a 51 41 percent favorable opinion of him.

McMahon gets a split 42 43 percent favorability.

Connecticut likely voters disapprove 51 45 percent of the job President Barack

Obama is doing.Offered four choices to describe their feelings about the federal government:

2 percent say enthusiastic;

21 percent say satisfied;

43 percent say dissatisfied;

33 percent say angry.

Of the 95 percent of Connecticut likely voters who have seen McMahon TV ads, 56

percent find them annoying and 40 percent find them informative. Among all voters, 54

percent say McMahons TV, radio and direct mail advertising is excessive, while 37 percentsay it is about right.

Of the 87 percent who have seen Blumenthal TV ads, 54 percent find them informative

and 42 percent find them annoying. Blumenthals advertising has been about right, 49 percent

say, while 33 percent say he hasnt advertised enough and 11 percent call it excessive.

Linda McMahon has spent about $22 million on her campaign, but is it overkill? A

majority of voters say that it has been excessive. In contrast, many Democrats feel that

Blumenthal hasnt been doing enough on the advertising front, Schwartz said.

As McMahon has flooded the airwaves, many voters are saying, Enough already!

From September 21 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,083 Connecticut likely

voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New

Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for

research.

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For more data or RSS feedhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-

5201, or follow us on Twitter.

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6. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates

were Richard Blumenthal the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you

vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Blumenthal or

McMahon? This table includes "Leaners".

LIKELY VOTERS........................................

Angry with

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Fed GovQ32

Blumenthal 49% 16% 89% 44% 44% 56% 20%

McMahon 46 80 9 49 52 39 78

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -

DK/NA 4 4 1 6 4 4 1

TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today, and

the candidates were Richard Blumenthal the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for

whom would you vote?

LIKELY VOTERS..

Sep 28 Sep 14

2010 2010

Blumenthal 49 51

McMahon 46 45

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - -

DK/NA 4 3

6a. (If candidate choice q6) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your

mind before the election?

LIKELY VOTERS........

CAND CHOICE Q6Tot RB LM

Made up 91% 91% 90%

Might change 9 9 9

DK/NA - - -

TREND: (If candidate choice) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your

mind before the election?

LIKELY VOTERS..

CAND CHOICE Q6..

Sep 28 Sep 14

2010 2010Made up 91 89

Might change 9 11

DK/NA - -

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7. (If Blumenthal voter) Is your vote for Senator mainly for Blumenthal or against

McMahon? (*Subgroup not large enough to report)

LIKELY BLUMENTHAL VOTERS..............

Tot *Rep Dem Ind Men Wom

For Blumenthal 75% 79% 66% 74% 75%

Against McMahon 21 16 33 22 20

DK/NA 4 5 2 4 4

TREND:(If voting for Blumenthal) Is your vote for Senator mainly for Blumenthal or

against McMahon? (*subgroup not large enough to report)

LIKELY VOTERS..

Sep 28 Sep 14

2010 2010

For Blumenthal 75 73%

Against McMahon 21 22

DK/NA 4 5

8. (If McMahon voter) Is your vote for Senator mainly for McMahon or against Blumenthal?

(*Subgroup not large enough to report)

LIKELY McMAHON VOTERS.................

Tot Rep *Dem Ind Men Wom

For McMahon 52% 58% 49% 47% 58%

Against Blumenthal 44 38 47 50 34

DK/NA 5 5 5 3 7

TREND: (If voting for McMahon) Is your vote for Senator mainly for McMahon or againstBlumenthal? (*subgroup not large enough to report)

LIKELY VOTERS..

Sep 28 Sep 14

2010 2010

For McMahon 52 53

Against Blumenthal 44 42

DK/NA 5 6

9. Is your opinion of - Richard Blumenthal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard

enough about him?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom

Favorable 51% 22% 85% 46% 44% 58%

Unfavorable 41 71 8 45 47 34

Hvn't hrd enough 6 4 6 5 7 5

REFUSED 2 2 - 4 2 3

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TREND: Is your opinion of - Richard Blumenthal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you

heard enough about him?

LIKELY VOTERS..

Sep 28 Sep 14

2010 2010

Favorable 51 55

Unfavorable 41 39

Hvn't hrd enough 6 4

REFUSED 2 1

10. Is your opinion of - Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough

about her?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Favorable 42% 76% 13% 43% 46% 38%

Unfavorable 43 14 69 46 39 47

Hvn't hrd enough 14 10 18 10 14 14

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of - Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard

enough about her?

LIKELY VOTERS..

Sep 28 Sep 14

2010 2010

Favorable 42 45Unfavorable 43 41

Hvn't hrd enough 14 13

REFUSED 1 1

11. Have you seen any of Linda McMahon's television advertisements for this year's

election for United States Senator?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Yes 95% 98% 95% 95% 96% 95%

No 4 2 4 5 4 4

DK/NA - - - - - -

12. (If seen ads) From what you have seen of Linda McMahon's television ads, are they

more informative or more annoying?

LIKELY VOTERS(HAVE SEEN ADS Q11)......


Informative 40% 65% 14% 41% 43% 36%

Annoying 56 29 84 56 53 60

DK/NA 4 6 2 3 3 4

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13. Have you received any mail from Linda McMahon's campaign for United States Senator?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Yes 68% 82% 54% 72% 70% 66%

No 28 16 41 24 25 31

DK/NA 4 2 5 5 5 3

14. (If received mail) From what you have seen of Linda McMahon's campaign mailings, are

they more informative or more annoying?

LIKELY VOTERS(HAVE RECEIVED MAIL Q13).


Informative 44% 65% 18% 41% 47% 40%

Annoying 48 27 76 52 46 52DK/NA 8 7 7 7 7 8

15. Thinking about the McMahon campaign's amount of advertising on television, radio, and

through mail, do you think Linda McMahon's campaign advertising has been excessive, just

about right, or not enough?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Excessive 54% 38% 73% 54% 49% 60%

About right 37 58 15 36 44 29

Not enough 5 3 7 4 3 7DK/NA 4 2 4 5 4 4

16. Have you seen any of Richard Blumenthal's television advertisements for this year's

election for United States Senator?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Yes 87% 89% 86% 89% 87% 88%

No 12 10 13 10 13 11

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1

17. (If seen ads) From what you have seen of Richard Blumenthal's television ads, are

they more informative or more annoying?

LIKELY VOTERS(HAVE SEEN ADS Q16)......


Informative 54% 31% 78% 54% 50% 59%

Annoying 42 67 18 41 46 37

DK/NA 4 2 4 5 4 4

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18. Have you received any mail from Richard Blumenthal's campaign for United States

Senator?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Yes 30% 29% 37% 28% 28% 32%

No 64 69 57 63 66 63

DK/NA 6 3 6 9 6 5

19. (If received mail) From what you have seen of Richard Blumenthal's campaign mailings,

are they more informative or more annoying?

LIKELY VOTERS(HAVE RECEIVED MAIL Q18).


Informative 57% 39% 77% 49% 57% 56%

Annoying 33 50 13 41 31 35

DK/NA 11 11 10 10 12 9

20. Thinking about the Blumenthal campaign's amount of advertising on television, radio,

and through mail, do you think Richard Blumenthal's campaign advertising has been

excessive, just about right, or not enough?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Excessive 11% 20% 4% 11% 13% 9%About right 49 47 47 51 49 49

Not enough 33 24 45 32 31 35

DK/NA 7 10 4 7 7 7

26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as

State Attorney General?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Approve 68% 47% 90% 65% 64% 72%

Disapprove 29 49 9 30 33 23

DK/NA 4 4 1 6 3 5

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as

State Attorney General?

LIKELY VOTERS..

Sep 28 Sep 14

2010 2010

Approve 68 70

Disapprove 29 26

DK/NA 4 4

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27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Approve 45% 8% 83% 38% 38% 52%

Disapprove 51 90 13 56 57 44

DK/NA 4 2 4 6 5 4

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as

President?

LIKELY VOTERS..

Sep 28 Sep 15

2010 2010

Approve 45 45

Disapprove 51 52DK/NA 4 3

28. Is your opinion of - Bill Clinton favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough

about him?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Favorable 65% 37% 93% 63% 59% 72%

Unfavorable 30 58 4 31 35 23


REFUSED 3 4 1 4 3 3

29. Is your opinion of - Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough

about her?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Favorable 30% 53% 5% 34% 33% 26%

Unfavorable 57 26 91 52 53 63


REFUSED 3 3 1 4 3 3

30. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough

about him?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Favorable 49% 9% 89% 43% 42% 56%

Unfavorable 48 89 9 51 55 40

Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 2 - 2

REFUSED 2 1 1 4 2 2

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31. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you

heard enough about it?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................


Favorable 37% 66% 6% 41% 43% 30%

Unfavorable 37 11 68 33 31 44

Hvn't hrd enough 23 21 26 20 23 24

REFUSED 2 1 - 5 3 2

32. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how

you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied

but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

LIKELY VOTERS.........................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom

Enthusiastic 2% - 5% 1% 1% 3%

Satisfied 21 7 36 20 19 23

Dissatisfied 43 40 43 42 44 41

Angry 33 52 14 36 35 31

DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1

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Q-Poll 9-28