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PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry Goode, PhD, PE Weston Head, MS Nick Norboge, PhD Ravi Chittilla Paul Broussard

PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

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Page 1: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN

NORTH CAROLINADaniel Findley, PhD, PEMichael Cobb, PhDEleni Bardaka, PhDLarry Goode, PhD, PE

Weston Head, MSNick Norboge, PhDRavi ChittillaPaul Broussard

Page 2: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Study Overview

- Challenges to the long-term sustainability of revenue streams

- Public perceptions of transportation taxes and fees vary by demographics

- Many states are exploring alternative funding mechanisms

- Survey was designed to better understand how the public perceives transportation taxes and fees

- Support exists for increasing road funding, preference exists for the gas tax, but support exists to diversify funding sources

Page 3: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Findings from Similar Studies Across the Country

* Indicates the variable was included in the model but was found to be insignificant

Indicates the variable was positively correlated with the dependent variable

Indicates the variable was negatively correlated with the dependent variable

Dependent VariableSupport for

Tolls

Support for

Increased Fuel

Tax

Support for

Increased Fuel

Tax

Support for

Variable VMT

(By Vehicle

Type)

Support for VMTWillingness to pay for road

improvements

Willingness to

pay Toll to be

free of delays

Support for Increased

Fuel Tax

Age (Older) (-) (+) * (-) * * * (+)

Education

(Higher Levels of Education = 1)(+) (+) (+) * * (+) (+)

Employment (Employed = 1) * * * *

Gender (Male = 1) * * (+) (-) * * * (+)

Income (Higher Income) (+) * (+) (+) (+)

Miles Driven (More miles driven) * * * * (+)

Opinion of Government Investment

in Transportation Funding

(Favorable Opinion = 1)

* (+) (+) (+)

Party Affiliation (Democrat = 1) (-) (+) (+) (+) (+) (+) (+)

General Level of Support 28% 29% 36% 19% 21% 38% 24% 40%

Location of Study

(Author, Year)

National

(Duncan, 2017)

California and Michigan

(Fisher/ Wassmer, 2016)

Virginia

(Yusuf, 2014)

California

(Weinstein/ Dill, 2007)

Ind

epen

den

t V

aria

ble

Virginia

(Yusuf, 2018)

National

(Nixon/ Agrawal, 2018)

Page 4: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

2019 Public Perception Survey

Sample Size = 2,245

Response rate = 6.4%

Mode = Mail & Web using address based sampling & demographic targets

Weights were applied to collected data to ensure sample demographics accurately represent adult NC population (Census)

Page 5: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

*Tasaico, July 12, 2019 NC FIRST Commission Presentation

According to the 2018 statewide customer survey, close to 75% of North Carolinians believed they are currently spending more than they actually do in transportation fees/taxes

Page 6: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Estimates of the Current State + Federal Gas Tax Rate per Gallon of Gas

Percentage of Group Who Responded Accurately

RD

Democrats vs Republicans

R U

MF

Females vs Males

<5050+

< BB +

Indicates Statistically Significant Difference (p-value < .05)

<1 2+

<3030+

< Bachelor’s vs Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

One or Less Vehicles in Household vs More than One Vehicle in Household

Co

rrec

t A

nsw

er

Page 7: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Majority Supports Increasing Transportation Spending Females vs Males:

< 50 yrs. Old vs 50 yrs. Old+

< Bachelor’s vs Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

Democrats vs Republicans

Support Funding Increase, Difference by Group

Indicates Statistically Significant Difference (p-value < .05)

Urban vs Rural:

RU

MF

<50 50+

< BB +

DR

Less than 30 miles Driven Daily vs More than 30 miles Driven Daily

One or Less Vehicles in Household vs More than One Vehicle in Household

<12+

<30 30+

< Bachelor’s vs Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

Less than 30 miles Driven Daily vs More than 30 miles Driven Daily

One or Less Vehicles in Household vs More than One Vehicle in Household

Page 8: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Where Should Road Funding Come From?

Preferred Usage-Based, Difference by Group

0%

D R

Democrats vs Republicans

R U

MF

Females vs Males

<50 50+

< 50 yrs. Old vs 50 yrs. Old+

< B B +

Indicates Statistically Significant Difference (p-value < .05)

<12+

<3030+

Less than 30 miles Driven Daily vs More than 30 miles Driven Daily

One or Less Vehicles in Household vs More than One Vehicle in Household

Urban vs Rural

General Taxes: General sales tax, property tax, vehicle property taxUsage Based Fees: Fees from gasoline, tolls, or miles driven

Page 9: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Preference Ranking for How Transportation Should be Funded: By Amount of Fuel Used, Miles Driven or Vehicle Weight

Selected Most for Fuel Used, Difference by Group

D R

Democrats vs Republicans

RU

MF

<50 50+

< 50 yrs. Old vs 50 yrs. Old+

< BB +

Indicates Statistically Significant Difference (p-value < .05)

<12+

<3030+

Democrats vs Republicans

Urban vs Rural

Females vs Males

Page 10: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Perceived fairness of paying $400 in gas tax annually to drive 15,000 miles

Considered Fair, Difference by Group

DR

Democrats vs Republicans

R U

MF

Females vs Males

<50 50+

< 50 yrs. Old vs 50 yrs. Old+

< B B +

< Bachelor’s vs Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

Indicates Statistically Significant Difference (p-value < .05)

<12+

<30 30+

Females vs Males

One or Less Vehicles in Household vs More than One Vehicle in Household

Page 11: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Preference for Transportation Funding: Gas Tax Versus Vehicle Miles Driven

Preferred Miles Driven, Difference by Group

D R

Democrats vs Republicans

R U

MF

<5050+

< BB +

Indicates Statistically Significant Difference (p-value < .05)

<12+

<3030+

Less than 30 miles Driven Daily vs More than 30 miles Driven Daily

Urban vs Rural

Page 12: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Cost3%

Environment2%

Fairness78%

Logistics3%

Miscellaneous1%

Tax3%

Unrelated/Unclear10%

Reasons for Selecting Miles Driven FeeCost2%

Environment10%

Fairness49%

Logistics18%

Miscellaneous2%

Privacy3%

Tax4% Unrelated/Unclear

12%

Reasons for Selecting Gas Tax

Reasons for Selecting Gas Tax or Miles Driven Fee

“That way everyone would contribute, even the electric car drivers.”

“Because you cant cheat the gas pump, people will lie about their mileage.”

“Gasoline purchase is the result of size and efficiency of car, and amount miles driven by that car.”

“Taxing fuel usage should encourage fuel conservation which also will reduce environmental impact.”

“Your tax would be built into your fuel purchase, not a separate one-time bill you pay.

“A tax on miles driven is too invasive on privacy. If you don't GPS track, it would be too easy to cheat the system. I certainly don't want the State tracking me..”

Page 13: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Do you Support Hybrid Vehicle Drivers Paying Less in Tax Due to Higher Fuel Efficiency?

Supported Statement, Difference by Group

DR

Democrats vs Republicans

R U

Urban vs Rural

M F

<5050+

< 50 yrs. Old vs 50 yrs. Old+

< B B +

< Bachelor’s vs Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

Indicates Statistically Significant Difference (p-value < .05)

<12+

<30 30+

One or Less Vehicles in Household vs More than One Vehicle in Household

Females vs Males

Page 14: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

How much should each of these potential revenue sources contribute to NC roads?

Alternative Fuel Fee

Gas Tax

General Sales Tax

Highway Use Tax

Motor Vehicle and Drivers' License Fees

Property Tax

Tolls

Vehicle Miles Driven User Fee

100%

Additional Information

Baseline

Page 15: PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH …...PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF TRANSPORTATION FEES IN NORTH CAROLINA Daniel Findley, PhD, PE Michael Cobb, PhD Eleni Bardaka, PhD Larry

Summary

North Carolinians, in general (Majority):

• Support increasing transportation funding

• Have a preference for the gas tax, but support diversity of funding sources

• Do not know the current gas tax rate or believe that it is lower than it actually is

• Are split as to whether road funding should come from general taxes or usage based fees

• Believe that $400 a year in gas tax is a fair amount of money to travel 15,000 miles

• Hold similar beliefs on these opinions despite being from urban or rural counties