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Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine September 29-October 14, 2018

Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

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Page 1: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine

September 29-October 14, 2018

Page 2: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Methodology

2

• The survey was conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in

Survey Research.

• The survey was conducted throughout Ukraine (except for the occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas) from September 29,

2018, through October 14, 2018, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.

• The sample consisted of 2,400 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by gender, age, region, and settlement size. The distribution of population by regions and settlementsis based on statistical data of the Central Election Commission from the 2014 parliamentary elections, and the distribution of population by age and gender is based on data from the State Statistics Committee of Ukraine from January 1, 2017.

• A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection.

• Stage One: The territory of Ukraine was split into 25 administrative regions (24 regions of Ukraine and Kyiv). The survey was conducted throughout all regions of Ukraine, with the exception of the occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas.

• Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to their size:

• Cities with populations of more than 1 million

• Cities with populations of between 500,000-999,000

• Cities with populations of between 100,000-499,000

• Cities with populations of between 50,000-99,000

• Cities with populations of up to 50,000

• Villages

Cities and villages were selected by the PPS method (probability proportional to size). The number of selected cities/villages in each region is proportional to the share of population living in cities/villages of a certain type in eachregion.

• Stage Three: Households were selected by the random route method, and respondents were selected by the “last birthday” rule.

• The margin of error does not exceed 2.0 percent for the full sample.

• The response rate is 62.7 percent.

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was financed by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).

Page 3: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

3

Geographical Key

*Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents of Crimea and the so-

called separatist-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts (“the Donbas”) were not surveyed in this poll.

Page 4: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

National Mood

Page 5: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction?

5

13% 14%15%

18%

34%

29%

15%17%

15%

11%13%

11%13%

18%

16%14%

15% 15% 16%

71%

66%69%

64%

48%

51%

72%

68%70%

76%71% 72% 72%

68% 67%

71% 71% 70% 71%

16%

20%

16%

17% 18%20%

13%15% 15%

13% 15% 17%15%

15%

17%15%

14% 15% 14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 6: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

6%

5%

5%

8%

8%

7%

11%

8%

14%

14%

10%

15%

20%

20%

21%

25%

24%

20%

20%

23%

29%

28%

31%

37%

34%

33%

34%

36%

33%

35%

31%

33%

30%

35%

57%

60%

51%

44%

54%

45%

40%

37%

35%

31%

35%

36%

37%

30%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

4%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

2%

5%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

April 2017

June 2017

September 2017

December 2017

March 2018

June 2018

September 2018

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Difficult to answer/No answer

Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Ukraine changed?

6

Page 7: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

6%

6%

9%

14%

8%

9%

8%

3%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

6%

5%

6%

10%

9%

8%

37%

39%

45%

37%

46%

41%

44%

46%

37%

19%

14%

18%

20%

15%

18%

23%

23%

26%

27%

26%

31%

29%

29%

36%

34%

30%

27%

30%

30%

31%

29%

34%

37%

29%

34%

36%

36%

38%

37%

34%

31%

32%

31%

31%

27%

33%

18%

18%

13%

15%

14%

17%

14%

18%

22%

40%

55%

45%

40%

47%

40%

36%

37%

34%

34%

33%

27%

32%

28%

2%

3%

3%

5%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

November 2011

March 2012

May 2012

September 2012

May 2013

September 2013

February 2014

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

April 2017

June 2017

September 2017

December 2017

March 2018

June 2018

September 2018

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Difficult to answer/No answer

Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed?

7

Page 8: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

7%

8%

13%

17%

8%

12%

9%

12%

10%

10%

9%

11%

7%

6%

8%

8%

9%

11%

13%

10%

15%

11%

13%

30%

32%

35%

31%

38%

27%

20%

16%

13%

14%

19%

25%

21%

21%

21%

24%

28%

26%

27%

27%

30%

24%

24%

32%

32%

26%

24%

29%

29%

31%

26%

26%

23%

24%

23%

32%

23%

25%

27%

25%

20%

25%

26%

23%

20%

23%

17%

15%

11%

11%

12%

17%

28%

35%

43%

35%

27%

27%

23%

31%

27%

27%

21%

23%

16%

16%

17%

23%

17%

13%

12%

14%

16%

12%

13%

12%

11%

8%

17%

20%

12%

16%

18%

19%

14%

16%

19%

17%

20%

13%

20%

21%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

November 2011

March 2012

May 2012

September 2012

May 2013

September 2013

February 2014

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

April 2017

June 2017

September 2017

December 2017

March 2018

June 2018

September 2018

Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Difficult to answer/No answer

In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine to change?

8

Page 9: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Electoral Moods: Presidential Election

Page 10: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Do you intend to vote in the presidential election scheduled for March 2019?

10

34%

43%

6%

12%

5%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 11: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

11

(Disaggregated by region, age)

28%

34%

40%

28%

33%

34%

41%

46%

42%

41%

42%

41%

43%

44%

7%

6%

4%

9%

6%

5%

3%

13%

14%

9%

16%

15%

10%

8%

6%

5%

6%

5%

4%

7%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-35

36-50

51+

East

South

Center

West

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you intend to vote in the presidential election scheduled for March 2019?

Page 12: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

34%

29%

30%

35%

37%

42%

43%

44%

44%

47%

50%

46%

69%

58%

60%

53%

48%

51%

51%

46%

47%

43%

6%

2%

5%

5%

3%

6%

2%

1%

6%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

13%

6%

7%

3%

4%

2%

4%

1%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Undecided

Oleksandr Shevchenko

Volodymyr Zelenskyi

Andriy Sadovyi

Oleh Liashko

Sviatoslav Vakarchuk

Yulia Tymoshenko

Anatoliy Hrytsenko

Vadym Rabinovych

Yuriy Boyko

Petro Poroshenko

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer/No answer

12

(Disaggregated by first choice in presidential elections)

Do you intend to vote in the presidential election scheduled for March 2019?

Page 13: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

If the presidential election were held next Sunday and the following candidates participated in the election, which of them

would you vote for?

13

17%

14%

4%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

4%

4%

4%

6%

7%

8%

8%

14%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Difficult to answer/No answer

I would not vote

Other

Oleksandr Vilkul

Roman Bezsmertnyi

Vitaliy Skotsyk

Serhiy Taruta

Valentyn Nalyvaichenko

Oleh Tyahnybok

Andriy Sadovyi

Oleksandr Shevchenko

Sviatoslav Vakarchuk

Oleh Liashko

Vadym Rabinovych

Yuriy Boyko

Anatoliy Hrytsenko

Petro Poroshenko

Volodymyr Zelenskyi

Yulia Tymoshenko

(All respondents)

Page 14: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

14

(Likely voters: n=1,851)

17%

5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

4%

5%

5%

8%

9%

10%

10%

17%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Difficult to answer/No answer

Other

Oleksandr Vilkul

Roman Bezsmertnyi

Vitaliy Skotsyk

Serhiy Taruta

Valentyn Nalyvaichenko

Oleh Tyahnybok

Andriy Sadovyi

Oleksandr Shevchenko

Sviatoslav Vakarchuk

Oleh Liashko

Vadym Rabinovych

Yuriy Boyko

Anatoliy Hrytsenko

Volodymyr Zelenskyi

Petro Poroshenko

Yulia Tymoshenko

If the presidential election were held next Sunday and the following candidates participated in the election, which of them

would you vote for?

Page 15: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Do you think that the democratic opposition to the current authorities should have a single candidate for the presidential

election?

15

40%

20%

40%

Yes

No

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 16: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

16

Who, in your opinion, should be the single candidate for the presidential election from the democratic opposition to current

authorities?

24%

18%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

8%

17%

22%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Difficult to answer/No answer

Other

Svitlana Zalishchuk

Oleksandr Solontay

Hanna Hopko

Yuriy Derevyanko

Serhiy Leshchenko

Vasyl Hatsko

Mustafa Nayem

Viktor Chumak

Yehor Sobolyev

Andriy Sadovyi

Sviatoslav Vakarchuk

Anatoliy Hrytsenko

(Those who think that democratic opposition should have a single candidate: n=971)

Page 17: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Electoral Moods: Parliamentary Elections

Page 18: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Do you intend to vote in the parliamentary elections scheduled for October 2019?

18

30%

43%

8%

12%

7%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 19: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, which

political party would you vote for?

19

18%

16%

4%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

4%

6%

6%

6%

7%

14%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Difficult to answer/No answer

I would not vote

Other

Revival Party (Vidodzehnnia)

Narodnyi Front

Nash Krai

Socialist Party

Movement of New Forces

Justice

Democratic Alliance

Osnova

Agrarian Party of Ukraine

UKROP

Svoboda

Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)

Radical Party

For Life Party (Za Zhyttia)

Opposition Bloc

Civic Position

Servant of the People (Sluha Narodu)

Bloc Petro Poroshenko (BPP Solidarnist)

Fatherland (Batkivshchyna)

(All respondents)

Page 20: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, which

political party would you vote for?

20

(Among likely voters: n=1,751)

18%

4%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

3%

4%

5%

5%

8%

8%

8%

9%

17%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Difficult to answer/No answer

Other

Socialist Party

Narodnyi Front

Nash Krai

Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)

Movement of New Forces

Osnova

Justice

Democratic Alliance

Agrarian Party of Ukraine

UKROP

Svoboda

Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)

Radical Party

For Life (Za Zhyttia)

Servant of the People (Sluha Narodu)

Opposition Bloc

Civic Position

Bloc Petro Poroshenko (BPP Solidarnist)

Fatherland (Batkivshchyna)

Page 21: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which other political party would you vote for if the party that you have

chosen above did not participate in the elections?

21

8%

31%

19%

4%

1%1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

No answer

Difficult to answer

I would not vote

Other

Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)

National Corps

Nash Krai

Bloc Petro Poroshenko (BPP Solidarnist)

Socialist Party

Osnova

Movement of New Forces

Justice

UDAR

Agrarian Party of Ukraine

Narodnyi Front

Svoboda

UKROP

Opposition Bloc

Radical Party

For Life (Za Zhyttia)

Civic Position

Fatherland (Batkivshchyna)

Servant of the People (Sluha Naroda)

Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)

(All respondents)

Page 22: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

22

(Among likely voters: n=1,751)

47%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

No answer/Difficult to answer

Other

Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)

National Corps

Nash Krai

Socialist Party

Bloc Petro Poroshenko (BPP Solidarnist)

UDAR

Agrarian Party of Ukraine

Osnova

Narodnyi Front

Movement of New Forces

Justice

Svoboda

UKROP

Opposition Bloc

For Life (Za Zhyttia)

Radical Party

Civic Position

Servant of the People (Sluha Narodu)

Fatherland (Batkivshchyna)

Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which other political party would you vote for if the party that you have

chosen above did not participate in the elections?

Page 23: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Assessment of Ukrainian Authorities’ Performance

Page 24: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

9%

11%

15%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

33%

36%

40%

21%

20%

22%

15%

16%

17%

16%

15%

13%

12%

9%

12%

13%

20%

19%

22%

34%

29%

28%

32%

36%

30%

33%

32%

38%

31%

31%

30%

29%

27%

24%

13%

33%

40%

42%

43%

37%

44%

43%

43%

41%

46%

50%

50%

50%

11%

11%

10%

8%

6%

6%

8%

9%

7%

6%

8%

6%

8%

7%

6%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

April 2017

June 2017

September 2017

December 2017

March 2018

June 2018

September 2018

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko?*

24*Petro Poroshenko has been President of Ukraine since June 2014. Previous IRI polling data reflects

attitudes toward the previous president.

Page 25: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

12%

16%

13%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

34%

36%

35%

10%

11%

11%

6%

19%

12%

14%

13%

15%

14%

14%

17%

16%

17%

16%

27%

32%

29%

25%

25%

30%

28%

30%

32%

34%

28%

30%

29%

26%

27%

24%

15%

52%

54%

57%

64%

29%

51%

49%

46%

42%

49%

43%

45%

50%

9%

8%

10%

6%

5%

5%

4%

21%

8%

6%

7%

7%

8%

9%

8%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

April 2017

June 2017

September 2017

December 2017

March 2018

June 2018

September 2018

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Cabinet of Ministers under Volodymyr Hroisman?*

25*Volodymyr Hroisman has been Prime Minister of Ukraine since April 2016. Previous IRI polling data reflects

attitudes toward prior prime ministers.

Page 26: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

2%

6%

6%

3%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

11%

32%

33%

14%

9%

10%

10%

5%

9%

7%

7%

6%

6%

7%

5%

7%

7%

30%

24%

24%

36%

35%

35%

31%

29%

35%

29%

28%

31%

33%

27%

27%

28%

25%

50%

26%

26%

37%

49%

48%

52%

59%

46%

58%

60%

57%

55%

59%

61%

58%

64%

8%

11%

11%

9%

6%

6%

7%

6%

9%

5%

4%

5%

5%

6%

6%

6%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

February 2014

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

April 2017

June 2017

September 2017

December 2017

March 2018

June 2018

September 2018

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Parliament of Ukraine?

26

Page 27: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government?

27

7%

9%

7%

9%

2%

3%

5%

2%

1%

5%

4%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

35%

31%

21%

16%

20%

17%

13%

15%

16%

11%

11%

10%

11%

10%

9%

9%

9%

8%

7%

6%

16%

18%

27%

24%

26%

30%

21%

21%

27%

29%

22%

23%

19%

24%

25%

26%

26%

23%

16%

21%

20%

20%

23%

40%

28%

36%

46%

31%

46%

48%

55%

48%

37%

46%

48%

50%

49%

52%

51%

63%

3%

1%

7%

1%

7%

1%

6%

14%

1%

6%

19%

2%

3%

4%

4%

4%

11%

2%

20%

19%

15%

10%

17%

14%

8%

16%

9%

8%

8%

10%

12%

16%

13%

10%

11%

12%

13%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Svyatoslav Vakarchuk

Volodymyr Zelensky

Anatoliy Hrytsenko

Yuliya Tymoshenko

Andriy Sadovyi

Vitaliy Klychko

Yuriy Boyko

Valentyn Nalyvaychenko

Volodymyr Hroisman

Oleh Lyashko

Petro Poroshenko

Vadym Rabinovich

Oleksandr Vilkul

Mikhail Saakashvili

Oleh Tyahnybok

Andriy Parubiy

Arsen Avakov

Oleksandr Turchynov

Viktor Medvedchuk

Arseniy Yatsenyuk

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable

Very unfavorable Have not heard the name Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 28: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

28

18-35 36-50 51+ West Center South East

Svyatoslav Vakarchuk 52% 42% 30% 50% 44% 31% 32%

Volodymyr Zelenskyi 53% 41% 29% 34% 43% 44% 40%

Anatoliy Hrytsenko 20% 26% 34% 37% 33% 24% 11%

Yulia Tymoshenko 20% 22% 28% 29% 28% 23% 15%

Andriy Sadovyi 20% 21% 20% 39% 20% 12% 10%

Vitaliy Klychko 21% 18% 18% 20% 26% 15% 12%

Yuriy Boyko 12% 17% 24% 10% 13% 27% 25%

Valentyn Nalyvaichenko 12% 17% 20% 22% 23% 15% 6%

Volodymyr Hroisman 17% 15% 18% 19% 18% 17% 12%

Oleh Lyashko 13% 13% 18% 16% 18% 14% 12%

Petro Poroshenko 15% 12% 16% 17% 15% 12% 15%

Vadym Rabinovych 8% 14% 19% 5% 12% 19% 23%

Oleksandr Vilkul 9% 11% 18% 3% 9% 28% 14%

Mikhail Saakashvili 12% 13% 11% 15% 12% 9% 10%

Oleh Tyahnybok 11% 11% 12% 19% 13% 8% 4%

Andriy Parubiy 10% 8% 11% 17% 7% 8% 8%

Arsen Avakov 11% 9% 9% 9% 13% 9% 7%

Oleksandr Turchynov 9% 8% 10% 15% 9% 8% 4%

Viktor Medvedchuk 5% 10% 11% 4% 4% 16% 12%

Arseniy Yatsenyuk 6% 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 3%

What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government?

(“Fully agree” and “somewhat agree” combined; disaggregated by age, region)

Page 29: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Views on Issues

Page 30: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Which three of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine?

(Multiple responses permitted)

30

57%

49%

26%

24%

22%

21%

15%

13%

11%

11%

9%

9%

8%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Military conflict in Donbas

Corruption within the state bodies

Low industry production

Growth of prices

Unemployment

Government incompetence

Political instability

Social protection for the poor

Hryvnia devaluation

Relations with Russia

Crime

Healthcare

Russian presence in Crimea

Environment

Delay in salary/pension payments

Lack/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water

Rights to land ownership

Russian language status

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 31: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally?

(Multiple responses permitted)

31

68%

29%

27%

24%

22%

20%

17%

11%

10%

10%

10%

9%

7%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

6%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Growth of prices

Military conflict in Donbas

Hryvnia devaluation

Unemployment

Healthcare

Social protection for the poor

Corruption within the state bodies

Low industry production

Lack/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water

Government incompetence

Crime

Delay in salary/pension payments

Political instability

Environment

Relations with Russia

Rights to land ownership

Russian presence in Crimea

Russian language status

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 32: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Views of Healthcare Reform

Page 33: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Have you or your family members signed a contract with your family doctor in the last six months?*

33

59%

34%

7%

Yes

No

Difficult to answer/No answer

*In October 2017, the Ukrainian parliament passed sweeping healthcare reform, allowing, among other

things, Ukrainians to choose their own doctor as opposed to being required to seek treatment only at clinics

near their legally registered address.

Page 34: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

34

18%

43%

12%

5%

22%

Very satisfied

Somewhat satisfied

Somewhat unsatisfied

Very unsatisfied

Difficult to answer/No answer

How do you rate your satisfaction with your family doctor?

(Among those who have signed a contract: n=1,407)

Page 35: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

35

10%

30%

17%

11%

32%

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Difficult to answer/No answer

What do you think of the key component for the new healthcare reform, whereby state budget money "follows the patient" and is paid to the family doctor or medical professional selected by the

patient to provide services?

Page 36: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Establishment of an IndependentOrthodox Ukrainian Church

Page 37: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Do you support the establishment of the Autocephalous Orthodox Ukrainian Church?

37

20%

22%

19%

25%

11%

13%

18%

15%

32%

27%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

June 2018

September 2018

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer/No answer

*Autocephaly would establish a united Ukrainian Orthodox Church independent from the Moscow Patriarchate.

Page 38: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

38

10%

17%

11%

30%

36%

22%

17%

13%

22%

36%

30%

25%

19%

6%

17%

10%

8%

13%

27%

2%

18%

3%

6%

15%

27%

37%

32%

20%

20%

27%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Orthodox, Moscow Patriarchate (n=427)

Atheist (n=133)

I believe in God, but do not belong to anyreligion (n=715)

Orthodox, Kyiv Patriarchate (n=776)

Greek Catholic (n=208)

All respondents

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you support the establishment of the Autocephalous Orthodox Ukrainian Church?

(Disaggregated by religious affiliation)

Page 39: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

In your opinion, will the establishment of the independent Autocephalous Orthodox Ukrainian Church foster unity or increase

division within the country?

39

32%

19%

25%

24%

It will foster unity of thecountry

It will have no impact on thecountry

It will increase division withinthe country

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 40: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

40

16%

22%

18%

53%

50%

32%

15%

21%

26%

14%

20%

19%

43%

32%

31%

10%

12%

25%

27%

26%

26%

23%

18%

24%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Orthodox, Moscow Patriarchate (n=427)

I believe in God, but do not belong to anyreligion (n=715)

Atheist (n=133)

Greek Catholic (n=208)

Orthodox, Kyiv Patriarchate (n=776)

All respondents

It will foster unity of the country It will have no impact on the country

It will increase division within the country Difficult to answer/No answer

In your opinion, will the establishment of the independent Autocephalous Orthodox Ukrainian Church foster unity or increase

division within the country?(Disaggregated by religious affiliation)

Page 41: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

41

72%

13%

19%

72%

3%

15%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Do not support establishment of theAutocephalous Orthodox Ukrainian Church

(n=649)

Support establishment of the AutocephalousOrthodox Ukrainian Church (n=1,106)

It will foster unification of the country It will have no impact in the country

It will increase division of the country Difficult to answer/No answer

<1%

In your opinion, will the establishment of the independent Autocephalous Orthodox Ukrainian Church foster unity or increase

division within the country?(Disaggregated by religious support for establishment of Autocephalous Church)

Page 42: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Attitudes toward Emigration

Page 43: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Are you personally considering the idea of emigrating abroad to find work?

43

29%

64%

7%

Yes

No

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 44: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

44

(Disaggregated by region, age)

11%

36%

47%

23%

28%

31%

31%

84%

56%

45%

72%

63%

61%

62%

5%

9%

9%

5%

9%

8%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

51+

36-50

18-35

South

East

Center

West

Yes No Difficult to answer/No answer

Are you personally considering the idea of emigrating abroad to find work?

Page 45: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Do you have a relative or friend who is currently abroad working or looking for work?

45

48%

48%

4%

Yes

No

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 46: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

46

(Disaggregated by region, age)

37%

56%

57%

40%

43%

44%

65%

58%

41%

41%

55%

54%

52%

33%

5%

3%

2%

4%

3%

4%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

51+

36-50

18-35

East

South

Center

West

Yes No Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you have a relative or friend who is currently abroad working or looking for work?

Page 47: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

47

What is the key reason why you are considering emigrating abroad?

38%

31%

27%

2% 2%

I am forced to do so to satisfy basic needsof my family

I would like to achieve self-fulfillment andfind new opportunities

I do not see any future in Ukraine

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

(Among those who considering emigrating abroad to find work: n=685)

Page 48: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

48

In your opinion, after the next presidential election in Ukraine (in the event the candidate you voted for does not win), will you be

more or less likely to consider emigrating abroad to find work there?

8%

65%

9%

18%

More likely

Elections will have no influence onmy decision

Less likely

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 49: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

49

3%

19%

71%

57%

11%

4%

15%

21%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Do not consider emigrating abroad to findwork (n=1,546)

Consider emigrating abroad to find work(n=685)

More likely Elections will have no influence on my decision Less likely Difficult to answer/No answer

In your opinion, after the next presidential election in Ukraine (in the event the candidate you voted for does not win), will you be more or less likely to consider idea of emigrating abroad to find

work there?(Disaggregated by receptiveness to emigration)

Page 50: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Foreign Policy Preferences

Page 51: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

2%

3%

3%

5%

6%

7%

9%

10%

10%

9%

18%

18%

20%

33%

32%

36%

37%

37%

39%

41%

26%

62%

55%

50%

43%

47%

47%

44%

39%

41%

24%

10%

15%

8%

12%

5%

4%

6%

7%

5%

28%

2%

2%

1%

3%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

3%

5%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Russia

Romania

Hungary

Germany

United States

Lithuania

Canada

Belarus

European Union

Poland

Very warm Warm Neutral Cold Very cold Difficult to answer/No answer

How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries?

51

Page 52: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

18-35 36-50 51+ West Center South East

Poland 60% 52% 42% 57% 49% 44% 48%

European Union 59% 48% 43% 60% 54% 37% 40%

Belarus 43% 46% 50% 35% 47% 52% 60%

Canada 51% 46% 41% 52% 51% 34% 41%

Lithuania 47% 43% 41% 51% 46% 36% 37%

Germany 43% 37% 35% 41% 38% 38% 35%

United States 46% 38% 33% 45% 44% 29% 32%

Hungary 26% 21% 21% 29% 22% 18% 22%

Romania 27% 20% 18% 25% 20% 20% 22%

Russia 15% 16% 25% 8% 15% 28% 33%

(“Very warm” and “warm” combined; disaggregated by age, region)

52

How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries?

Page 53: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

40%41%38%

46%48%44%

51%49%50%47%45%

49%54%

50%47%47%49%

10% 8%

16%22%

11% 9%12%

9% 8% 7%13%

8% 7% 6% 6%10% 8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Warm Cold

42%40%39%

50%

57%55%58%58%58%54%53%

58%58%56%50%48%50%

6% 6%9%

15%

6%3% 5% 4% 4% 5% 7%

4% 4% 4%7% 8% 6%

0%

20%

40%

60%

44%

31%37%

41%41%39%40%36%

42%49%

46%43%38%

13%14%8% 9% 8% 9% 7%

12%6% 5% 5% 5%

9%

0%

20%

40%

60%46%

43%48%

44%44%41%41%

46%50%

47%47%43%

7% 6% 7% 6% 8% 9% 10%6% 4% 4% 5% 5%

0%

20%

40%

60%

European Union Poland

Germany Lithuania

53

How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries?

Page 54: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

52%50%51%

31%15%17%17%16%18%16%18%18%19%18%18%

22%19%

12%15%

19%

45%

66%

51%

61%59%58%58%56%56%51%49%48%48%

52%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Warm Cold

51%55% 56%

53%58%

50% 51%56%

52%

43%39%

46% 47%

7%2% 5% 4% 5% 6% 7%

3% 4%7% 9% 7% 7%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Russia Belarus

54

How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries?

24%26%26%

37%41%40%40%39%40%41%

38%42%

47%45%40%40%38%

18%16%22%24%

16%13%

18%16%15%15%

19%13%

9% 8% 10%15%15%

0%

20%

40%

60% 51%55%45%42%

46%45%41%

46%50%48%46%45%

7%2% 5% 5% 4% 5% 7% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

United StatesCanada

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55

How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries?

36%

27% 28% 23%

6%9% 9%

17%0%

20%

40%

60%

Sep.15 Dec.17 Mar.18 Sep.18

Warm Cold

30%23% 26%

22%

7% 9% 8%

12%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Sep.15 Dec.17 Mar.18 Sep.18

RomaniaHungary

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56

If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, which of the following should it be?

36%

37%

32%

40%

42%

41%

52%

53%

59%

55%

57%

57%

55%

54%

51%

53%

54%

52%

50%

52%

52%

54%

43%

41%

42%

37%

37%

36%

27%

24%

17%

14%

17%

15%

15%

15%

19%

18%

18%

14%

16%

18%

15%

14%

4%

5%

6%

5%

5%

9%

6%

10%

9%

12%

12%

12%

14%

12%

14%

14%

8%

9%

10%

15%

17%

16%

17%

17%

20%

18%

17%

14%

14%

13%

15%

20%

14%

16%

15%

19%

17%

15%

20%

24%

24%

14%

16%

16%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2012

May 2012

September 2012

May 2013

September 2013

February 2014

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

April 2017

June 2017

September 2017

December 2017

March 2018

June 2018

September 2018

European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 57: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

57

9%

23%

38%

11%

20%

20%

27%

20%

14%

42%

18%

15%

12%

19%

13%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ukraine should develop and follow the path of integrationwith the Customs Union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan

Ukraine should develop and follow its own independentpath, refusing integration with the EU and Customs Union

Ukraine should develop and follow the path of integrationwith the European Union

Fully agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 58: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

58

To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Ukraine should develop and follow its own independent path, refusing

integration with the EU and Customs Union.

(Disaggregated by preferred international economic union)

63%

20%

12%

23%

28%

16%

5%

25%

28%

3%

10%

29%

7%

18%

16%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/no answer (n=395)

Support integration with the Customs Union(n=333)

Support integration with the EU (n=1,292)

Fully agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 59: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote?

59

34%

38%

43%

41%

48%

48%

45%

39%

43%

46%

40%

34%

37%

43%

43%

45%

43%

40%

31%

30%

28%

30%

30%

32%

29%

27%

27%

26%

26%

33%

33%

31%

9%

7%

17%

14%

8%

10%

10%

12%

11%

12%

12%

15%

12%

7%

8%

8%

13%

15%

8%

15%

17%

13%

16%

17%

17%

14%

22%

24%

26%

17%

16%

15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

April 2017

June 2017

September 2017

December 2017

March 2018

June 2018

September 2018

Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 60: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Sources of Information

Page 61: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

61

Which of these sources of information do you use for obtaining political information?

75%

39%

33%

34%

29%

15%

12%

11%

7%

6%

3%

3%

3%

1%

<1%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

National Ukrainian TV – news, programs

Internet – websites

Relatives, friends

Internet – social media

Local TV (of your city/region) – news, programs

Ukrainian radio – news, programs

Articles in Ukrainian newspapers and magazines

Colleagues at work

Russian TV – news, programs

Billboards, stands in the streets

Leaflets, other free information by post

Russian radio – news, programs

Meetings with politicians

Articles in Russian newspapers and magazines

Other

None

Difficult to answer/No answer

(Multiple responses permitted)

Page 62: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

62

18-35 36-50 51+ West Center South East

National Ukrainian TV 61% 77% 84% 77% 73% 76% 71%

Internet – websites 59% 47% 20% 38% 42% 37% 39%

Relatives, friends 31% 32% 35% 31% 29% 40% 34%

Internet – social media 55% 41% 14% 38% 31% 35% 33%

Local TV (of your city/region) 21% 30% 35% 29% 24% 39% 27%

Ukrainian radio 9% 14% 21% 17% 16% 14% 13%

Articles in Ukrainian newspapers and magazines 7% 9% 18% 12% 16% 9% 10%

Colleagues at work 13% 15% 8% 10% 10% 14% 12%

Russian TV 3% 7% 9% 3% 5% 9% 13%

Billboards, stands in the streets 5% 6% 6% 4% 6% 7% 5%

Leaflets, other free information by post 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 6%

Russian radio 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 4%

Meetings with politicians 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3%

Articles in Russian newspapers and magazines - 1% 1% 1% - - 1%

Other - 1% - 1% - - 1%

None 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% - 1%

Difficult to answer/No answer 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 5%

(Disaggregated by age, region)

Which of these sources of information do you use to obtain political information?

Page 63: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

63

Batk

ivsh

chyna

BPP S

olidarn

ist

Civ

ic P

osi

tion

Za Z

hytt

ia

Sam

opom

ich

Opposi

tion B

loc

Radic

al Part

y

Svoboda

Slu

ha N

aro

du

UKRO

P

Would

not

vote

Undecid

ed

National Ukrainian TV 79% 70% 80% 79% 79% 78% 83% 73% 71% 84% 64% 75%

Internet – websites 33% 42% 37% 21% 48% 27% 22% 44% 56% 44% 39% 43%

Relatives, friends 32% 30% 38% 31% 32% 35% 21% 35% 40% 37% 34% 33%

Internet – social media 32% 33% 29% 21% 43% 28% 19% 31% 52% 55% 30% 37%

Local TV (of your city/region) 33% 37% 28% 38% 32% 41% 26% 29% 28% 42% 22% 24%

Ukrainian radio 17% 17% 21% 13% 13% 22% 21% 16% 13% 17% 10% 12%

Articles in Ukrainian newspapers and

magazines 18% 15% 15% 7% 8% 19% 17% 5% 10% 19% 6% 9%

Colleagues at work 8% 9% 13% 7% 16% 10% 4% 9% 20% 22% 11% 14%

Russian TV 7% 5% 8% 12% 5% 13% 6% 4% 5% 10% 7% 4%

Billboards, stands in the streets 6% 4% 6% 5% 2% 5% 2% 6% 9% 23% 3% 5%

Leaflets, other free information by

post5% 2% 5% 2% 5% 3% 3% 1% 5% 20% 1% 1%

Russian radio 4% 2% 3% 4% 0% 6% 8% - 1% 1% 2% 2%

Meetings with politicians 2% 5% 7% 2% 6% 2% 4% 2% 4% 12% 2% 3%

Articles in Russian newspapers and

magazines- - 1% 1% 2% 1% - - 1% 4% - -

Other - - - 2% - - - 2% - - - 1%

None 1% - 1% 2% 2% 5% - - 1% 3% 4% 2%

Difficult to answer/No answer 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% - - 2% - 2% 2%

(Disaggregated by first choice in parliamentary elections)

Which of these sources of information do you use to obtain political information?

Page 64: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

64

How often do you seek an additional source of information to verify a claim you have heard?

5%

11%

38%

31%

15%

Always

Most of the time

Sometimes

Never

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 65: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

65

Where are you most likely to see false or misleading information?(Multiple responses accepted)

44%

15%

14%

14%

10%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

5%

23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

National Ukrainian TV – news, programs

Internet – websites

Russian TV – news, programs

Internet – social media

Local TV (of your city/region) – news, programs

Relatives, friends

Russian radio – news, programs

Articles in Ukrainian newspapers and magazines

Ukrainian radio – news, programs

Articles in Russian newspapers and magazines

Billboards, stands in the streets

Leaflets, other free information by post

Meetings with politicians

Colleagues at work

Other

None

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 66: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

66

18-35 36-50 51+ West Center South East

National Ukrainian TV 38% 45% 48% 41% 37% 56% 45%

Internet – web-sites 21% 17% 10% 12% 16% 16% 17%

Relatives, friends 23% 16% 7% 15% 11% 18% 16%

Internet – social media 13% 16% 14% 20% 14% 11% 11%

Local TV (of your city/region) 8% 10% 12% 10% 5% 16% 13%

Ukrainian radio 3% 4% 6% 4% 6% 3% 4%

Articles in Ukrainian newspapers and magazines 4% 3% 5% 3% 3% 7% 6%

Colleagues at work 4% 5% 4% 8% 4% 3% 1%

Russian TV 2% 4% 5% 2% 3% 5% 4%

Billboards, stands in the streets 3% 3% 3% 6% 2% 2% 1%

Leaflets, other free information by post 3% 4% 2% 5% 1% 3% 2%

Russian radio 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2%

Meetings with politicians 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1%

Articles in Russian newspapers and magazines 1% 2% 2% - 2% 3% 2%

Other 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%

None 4% 4% 5% 7% 7% 1% 1%

Difficult to answer/No answer 23% 20% 25% 22% 27% 17% 28%

(Disaggregated by age, region)

Where are you most likely to see false or misleading information?

Page 67: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

67

Batk

ivsh

chyna

BPP S

olidarn

ist

Civ

ic P

osi

tion

Za Z

hytt

ia

Sam

opom

ich

Opposi

tion B

loc

Radic

al Part

y

Svoboda

Slu

ha N

aro

du

UKRO

P

WO

uld

not

vote

Undecid

ed

National Ukrainian TV 50% 30% 38% 58% 33% 55% 45% 48% 43% 38% 46% 44%

Internet – websites 14% 17% 19% 13% 9% 9% 6% 22% 28% 19% 14% 14%

Relatives, friends 11% 19% 11% 15% 18% 15% 7% 10% 23% 25% 14% 11%

Internet – social media 15% 17% 15% 9% 19% 13% 16% 23% 9% 33% 8% 14%

Local TV (of your city/region) 12% 12% 6% 19% 6% 11% 7% 6% 8% 6% 15% 6%

Ukrainian radio 4% 2% 4% 6% 5% 6% 9% 2% 8% 8% 3% 3%

Articles in Ukrainian newspapers and

magazines 4% 10% 2% 9% 1% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 5% 4%

Colleagues at work 5% 9% 6% 0% 18% 1% 3% 5% 1% 9% 3% 5%

Russian TV 3% 6% 2% 5% 6% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3%

Billboards, stands in the streets 4% 4% 4% 0% 11% 4% 3% 1% 2% 5% 1% 2%

Leaflets, other free information by

post1% 1% 3% 2% 6% 2% 4% 8% 2% 10% 2% 2%

Russian radio 1% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 10% 2% 2%

Meetings with politicians - 2% 3% 0% 5% 1% 5% 5% 3% - 2% 2%

Articles in Russian newspapers and

magazines1% 4% - 2% - 1% 1% - 4% - 1% 3%

Other 1% - 1% 0% - 1% - 1% 2% - 1% 1%

None 6% 5% 4% 4% 14% 4% 5% 5% 3% 7% 5% 3%

Difficult to answer/No answer 22% 19% 20% 17% 20% 22% 21% 12% 22% 11% 28% 28%

(Disaggregated by first choice in parliamentary elections)

Where are you most likely to see false or misleading information?

Page 68: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

68

Do you believe your community has a higher degree of vulnerability to disinformation due to the war on the Donbas?

15%

32%

18%

9%

26% Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 69: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

69

12%

15%

19%

17%

31%

30%

29%

44%

18%

18%

19%

13%

8%

10%

10%

6%

32%

26%

24%

20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Center

South

West

East

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you believe your community has a higher degree of vulnerability to disinformation due to the war on the Donbas?

(Disaggregated by region)

Page 70: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

70

What do you believe are the most efficient methods to combat disinformation?

37%

32%

27%

21%

16%

14%

2%

20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Fact-checking opportunities

Education to spot disinformation

Banning media outlets known to feature disinformationcontent

Blocking social network individuals known to featuredisinformation content

Warning labels on potential disinformation content

Ratings system for the credibility of various media outlets

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

(Multiple responses permitted)

Page 71: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

71

18-35 36-50 51+ West Center South East

Fact-checking opportunities 38% 42% 33% 34% 37% 37% 41%

Education to spot disinformation 32% 30% 32% 35% 28% 34% 30%

Banning media outlets known to

feature disinformation content28% 28% 26% 29% 24% 32% 22%

Blocking social network individuals

known to feature disinformation

content

24% 24% 17% 23% 18% 27% 14%

Warning labels on potential

disinformation content16% 16% 16% 16% 14% 20% 15%

Ratings system for the credibility

of various media outlets17% 16% 10% 10% 14% 13% 24%

Other 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 4% 2%

Difficult to answer/No answer 15% 16% 25% 19% 19% 20% 20%

(Disaggregated by age, region)

What do you believe are the most efficient methods to combat disinformation?

Page 72: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Demographics

Page 73: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

73

45%

55%

31%

26%

42%

4%

24%

37%

34%

1%

46%

37%

15%

2%

1%

25%

<1%

13%

5%

27%

4%

8%

6%

5%

5%

1%

67%

33%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Males

Females

18-35

36-50

51+

Primary/Non-complete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Non-complete higher

Dificult to answer/No answer

I do not work

Private

State

Public, nongovernmental

Dificult to answer/No answer

Worker

Farmer/Peasant

White collar

Higher or medium level executive

Pensioner (not working)

Student

Housewife

Unemployed

Self-employed/Entrepreneur

Other

Dificult to answer/No answer

City

Village

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UCATIO

NSECTO

R O

FEM

PLO

YM

EN

TO

CCU

PATIO

N

SETTLE

MEN

TTYPE

Demographics

Page 74: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

74

52%

27%

19%

91%

6%

3%

1%

32%

18%

9%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

6%

30%

1%

3%

98%

<1%

1%

<1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ukrainian

Russian

Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally

Ukrainian

Russian

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)

Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)

Greek Catholic

Catholic

Protestant

Judaism

Muslim

Atheist

I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

None

Member of a political party

Member of an NGO

Difficult to answer/No answer

LAN

GU

AG

ESPO

KEN

AT

HO

ME

NATIO

NALIT

YRELIG

ION

PARTIE

S,

NG

Os

MEM

BERSH

IP

Demographics

Page 75: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

75

12%

33%

40%

11%

2%

<1%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60%

We need to save money for food

We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrowmoney to buy clothes and shoes

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing andshoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases

like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and otherpurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing

more expensive things (e.g. appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensivepurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases

like a car or an apartment

I can buy anything at any time

Difficult to answer/No answer

FIN

AN

CIA

L S

TATU

S

Demographics

Page 76: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine:

Four Municipalities

September 29–October 17, 2018

Page 77: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Methodology

77

• The survey was conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in Survey Research.

• The survey was conducted in the cities of Kherson, Rivne, Severodonetsk and Slovyansk through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes between September 29 and October 17, 2018.

• The sample consisted of 1,200 residents of each municipality aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by gender and age. The distribution of population by region of the city is based on statistical data from the Central Election Commission from the 2014 parliamentary elections, which divided the city into electoral districts. The distribution of population by gender and age is based on data from the State Statistics Committee of Ukraine from January 1, 2017.

• A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection.

• The margin of error does not exceed 2.8 percent.

• The response percent for the full sample per municipality are as follows:

• Kherson: 66.7 percent

• Rivne: 69.2 percent

• Severodonetsk: 63.8 percent

• Slovyansk: 62.9 percent

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was financed by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).

Page 78: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Generally speaking, do you think that things in your city are going in the right direction or wrong direction?

78

38%

11%

48%

19%

35%

68%

30%

71%

26%

21%

22%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Slovyansk

Severodonetsk

Rivne

Kherson

Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 79: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

6%

2%

14%

2%

42%

10%

31%

19%

33%

26%

31%

60%

8%

45%

14%

12%

10%

16%

10%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Slovyansk

Severodonetsk

Rivne

Kherson

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your mayor?

79

Page 80: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

5%

<1%

11%

2%

39%

10%

33%

17%

31%

27%

29%

60%

12%

52%

12%

15%

13%

11%

14%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Slovyansk

Severodonetsk

Rivne

Kherson

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer/No answer

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your city council?

80

Page 81: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

81

In the past two years, have you had to interact with your city government offices (mayoral office, executive committee, city

council, rayon council, rayon administration, communal enterprises)?

32%

16%

21%

17%

65%

82%

71%

79%

3%

2%

9%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Slovyansk

Severodonetsk

Rivne

Kherson

Yes No Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 82: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

82

19%15% 17%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18

In the past two years, have you had to interact with your city government offices (mayoral office, executive committee, city council,

rayon council, rayon administration, communal enterprises)?(Percentage of “yes” responses; March, June and September 2018)

Kherson

13%17%

21%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18

8% 10%16%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18

17%

28%32%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18

Slovyansk

Rivne

Severodonetsk

Page 83: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

How would you rate the ease of accessibility of information about your mayor?

83

8%

8%

7%

4%

41%

37%

39%

25%

27%

29%

25%

37%

6%

7%

7%

16%

19%

19%

22%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Slovyansk

Severodonetsk

Rivne

Kherson

Easily accessible Somewhat accessible Somewhat inaccessibleInaccessible Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 84: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

How would you rate the ease of accessibility of information about your city councilmembers?

84

8%

8%

7%

4%

35%

39%

37%

26%

30%

27%

24%

38%

7%

8%

9%

16%

21%

19%

23%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Slovyansk

Severodonetsk

Rivne

Kherson

Easily accessible Somewhat accessible Somewhat inaccessibleInaccessible Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 85: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

How would you rate the ease of accessibility of information about your communal enterprises?

85

14%

12%

9%

4%

39%

46%

43%

38%

21%

20%

22%

29%

8%

8%

6%

12%

18%

15%

20%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Slovyansk

Severodonetsk

Rivne

Kherson

Easily accessible Somewhat accessible Somewhat inaccessibleInaccessible Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 86: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

1%

4%

7%

9%

8%

14%

18%

24%

22%

24%

38%

47%

46%

43%

43%

35%

22%

17%

19%

20%

8%

5%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Waiting time (if addressed personally, not throughtelephone, post, etc.)

Quality of service received

Manner in which office staff treated me

Level of office staff’s knowledge on the subject matter

How simple and clear the decisions and/or adviceprovided by the officials were

Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer

86

KhersonHow would you rate the service you received from the local

authorities?(Those who have interacted with city government offices in the past two years: n=201)

Page 87: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

4%

5%

3%

5%

4%

36%

37%

44%

36%

39%

36%

34%

32%

36%

34%

14%

13%

14%

13%

14%

4%

6%

3%

3%

4%

6%

6%

3%

6%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Waiting time (if addressed personally, not throughtelephone, post, etc.)

Quality of service received

Manner in which office staff treated me

Level of office staff’s knowledge on the subject matter

How simple and clear the decisions and/or adviceprovided by the officials were

Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer

87

RivneHow would you rate the service you received from the local

authorities?(Those who have interacted with city government offices in the past two years: n=248)

Page 88: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

1%

9%

12%

9%

9%

35%

35%

41%

42%

38%

43%

31%

31%

30%

26%

17%

19%

12%

12%

20%

4%

4%

2%

5%

4%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Waiting time (if addressed personally, not throughtelephone, post, etc.)

Quality of service received

Manner in which office staff treated me

Level of office staff’s knowledge on the subject matter

How simple and clear the decisions and/or adviceprovided by the officials were

Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer

88

SeverodonetskHow would you rate the service you received from the local

authorities?(Those who have interacted with city government offices in the past two years, n=187)

Page 89: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

3%

4%

4%

2%

4%

25%

28%

28%

27%

29%

40%

40%

48%

36%

37%

22%

18%

15%

17%

15%

7%

7%

3%

8%

8%

4%

3%

3%

10%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Waiting time (if addressed personally, not throughtelephone, post, etc.)

Quality of service received

Manner in which office staff treated me

Level of office staff’s knowledge on the subject matter

How simple and clear the decisions and/or adviceprovided by the officials were

Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer

89

SlovyanskHow would you rate the service you received from the local

authorities?(Those who have interacted with city government offices in the past two years: n=383)

Page 90: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

90

KhersonHow would you rate the quality of each of the following services

and/or public goods that are available in your city?

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

2%

<1%

1%

1%

2%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

5%

6%

6%

7%

9%

9%

10%

13%

14%

16%

19%

20%

19%

23%

25%

24%

25%

27%

27%

30%

24%

17%

32%

30%

47%

35%

30%

50%

45%

46%

49%

40%

41%

49%

41%

45%

52%

36%

51%

52%

53%

50%

44%

36%

41%

35%

24%

37%

33%

23%

30%

23%

26%

27%

30%

18%

25%

24%

10%

22%

12%

8%

6%

11%

27%

44%

19%

25%

18%

14%

25%

7%

10%

15%

5%

6%

8%

8%

10%

5%

4%

12%

3%

3%

4%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

7%

3%

11%

4%

3%

5%

11%

2%

4%

3%

3%

9%

5%

8%

9%

8%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Industrial development

Roads

Sidewalks

Accessibility for persons with disabilities

Medical institutions

Parking

Transportation infrastructure/Public transport

Sports facilities (stadiums, sports clubs, etc.)

Yards and areas near buildings

Environment

Public parks and gardens

Police activities

Trash collection

Sewage

Street lighting

Street markets and trade premises

Universities, technical institutes, colleges

Heating

Cultural premises (concert halls, libraries, etc.)

Kindergartens

Schools

Water supply

Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer

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91

KhersonIn your opinion, which areas should be a top priority for your municipal

authorities?(No more than three responses)

March 2018 June 2018 September 2018

Roads 48% 54% 50%

Housing and communal services 33% 30% 44%

Medical institutions 30% 39% 31%

Public transportation 22% 25% 30%

Industrial areas/Industrial development 12% 18% 17%

Securing transparency and openness of the municipal authorities 7% 12% 14%

Security 13% 8% 13%

Social assistance 20% 18% 13%

Sidewalks 6% 9% 9%

Environment 7% 7% 7%

Trash collection 9% 4% 6%

Yards and areas near houses 5% 3% 6%

Street lighting 9% 6% 5%

Heating 6% 1% 5%

Schools 8% 4% 4%

Kindergartens 5% 4% 4%

Land issues 3% 3% 4%

Parking 3% 2% 3%

Accessibility for persons with disabilities 5% 11% 3%

Sport facilities (stadiums, sport clubs, etc.) 4% 4% 3%

Sewage 3% 2% 3%

Administrative services provision 6% 5% 2%

Public parks and gardens 3% 3% 2%

Water supply 3% 1% 2%

Citizen participation in the decision-making process 6% 6% 1%

Street markets 2% 3% 1%

Cultural premises 2% 3% 0%

Other 0% 1% 2%

Difficult to answer/No answer 2% 2% 2%

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92

RivneHow would you rate the quality of each of the following services

and/or public goods that are available in your city?

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

4%

4%

2%

3%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

2%

6%

4%

10%

12%

14%

16%

17%

20%

20%

24%

27%

27%

27%

27%

29%

30%

29%

33%

34%

38%

38%

43%

41%

45%

28%

31%

36%

28%

51%

42%

38%

45%

54%

48%

51%

45%

36%

45%

42%

46%

42%

43%

40%

27%

42%

39%

33%

33%

29%

37%

20%

19%

25%

14%

13%

16%

6%

16%

25%

16%

10%

6%

13%

12%

7%

17%

7%

8%

24%

17%

14%

14%

6%

4%

11%

5%

4%

4%

1%

6%

7%

4%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

7%

1%

3%

5%

5%

6%

1%

3%

11%

3%

9%

1%

2%

11%

2%

1%

2%

13%

10%

3%

1%

9%

4%

3%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Accessibility for persons with disabilities

Parking

Industrial development

Roads

Medical institutions

Sports facilities (stadiums, sports clubs, etc.)

Environment

Police activities

Sidewalks

Yards and areas near buildings

Universities, technical institutes, colleges

Transportation infrastructure/Public transport

Trash collection

Sewage

Kindergartens

Schools

Street markets and trade premises

Street lighting

Cultural premises (concert halls, libraries, etc.)

Heating

Public parks and gardens

Water supply

Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 93: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

93

RivneIn your opinion, which areas should be a top priority for your municipal

authorities?(No more than three responses)

March 2018 June 2018 September 2018

Housing and communal services 22% 35% 33%

Roads 52% 34% 27%

Medical institutions 30% 20% 25%

Social assistance 16% 14% 18%

Trash collection 13% 9% 16%

Public transportation 11% 15% 14%

Yards and areas near houses 8% 10% 12%

Industrial areas/Industrial development 9% 13% 12%

Environment 8% 12% 11%

Security 9% 14% 10%

Securing transparency and openness of the municipal authorities 8% 7% 10%

Accessibility for persons with disabilities 8% 7% 9%

Heating 5% 4% 9%

Parking 6% 7% 8%

Schools 9% 5% 8%

Kindergartens 12% 7% 7%

Citizen participation in the decision-making process 4% 7% 5%

Land issues 3% 5% 4%

Sport facilities (stadiums, sport clubs, etc.) 5% 2% 4%

Water supply 2% 5% 4%

Street markets 3% 2% 4%

Sewage 3% 5% 4%

Sidewalks 6% 5% 3%

Street lighting 4% 4% 3%

Cultural premises 3% 2% 3%

Administrative services provision 3% 4% 3%

Public parks and gardens 3% 3% 3%

Other 2% 1% 3%

Difficult to answer/No answer 2% 2% 2%

Page 94: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

94

SeverodonetskHow would you rate the quality of each of the following services

and/or public goods that are available in your city?

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

2%

8%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

5%

9%

13%

15%

17%

27%

28%

28%

29%

32%

40%

50%

51%

56%

61%

58%

69%

4%

14%

35%

12%

38%

40%

55%

46%

36%

53%

60%

38%

59%

57%

44%

32%

28%

29%

28%

33%

29%

27%

66%

64%

49%

68%

52%

42%

31%

13%

19%

16%

10%

10%

8%

11%

15%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

3%

2%

28%

20%

14%

14%

6%

10%

4%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

4%

1%

2%

<1%

26%

27%

12%

1%

23%

4%

1%

4%

25%

20%

19%

13%

1%

1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Industrial development

Roads

Sidewalks

Accessibility for persons with disabilities

Yards and areas near buildings

Public parks and gardens

Trash collection

Police activities

Parking

Medical institutions

Sewage

Sports facilities (stadiums, sports clubs, etc.)

Environment

Street lighting

Heating

Kindergartens

Universities, technical institutes, colleges

Schools

Cultural premises (concert halls, libraries, etc.)

Transportation infrastructure/Public transport

Street markets and trade premises

Water supply

Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 95: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

95

SeverodonetskIn your opinion, which areas should be a top priority for your municipal

authorities?(No more than three responses)

March 2018 June 2018 September 2018

Housing and communal services 32% 39% 46%

Industrial areas/Industrial development 27% 38% 42%

Roads 59% 61% 39%

Social assistance 12% 16% 17%

Public parks and gardens 15% 10% 15%

Yards and areas near houses 9% 7% 12%

Sidewalks 15% 12% 8%

Medical institutions 22% 17% 8%

Security 3% 5% 7%

Securing transparency and openness of the municipal authorities 5% 3% 7%

Heating 6% 4% 5%

Trash collection 3% 1% 5%

Citizen participation in the decision-making process 2% 5% 4%

Sport facilities (stadiums, sport clubs, etc.) 2% 2% 3%

Schools 4% 2% 2%

Street lighting 3% 4% 2%

Accessibility for persons with disabilities 2% 2% 2%

Public transportation 3% 5% 2%

Kindergartens 3% 3% 1%

Culture premises 1% 0% 1%

Street markets 1% 1%

Parking 1% 0% 1%

Administrative services provision 2% 1% 0%

Land issues 1% 1% 0%

Sewage 1% 0% 0%

Environment 1% 1% 0%

Water supply 1% 0% 0%

Other 4% 6% 14%

Difficult to answer/No answer 10% 7% 13%

Page 96: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

96

SlovyanskHow would you rate the quality of each of the following services

and/or public goods that are available in your city?

<1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

6%

3%

3%

9%

8%

10%

12%

12%

14%

15%

15%

16%

16%

18%

20%

20%

20%

21%

26%

29%

28%

29%

29%

24%

17%

40%

32%

34%

49%

40%

50%

46%

43%

37%

34%

40%

44%

41%

48%

53%

50%

44%

50%

50%

45%

33%

41%

28%

44%

40%

26%

27%

25%

30%

21%

36%

33%

17%

23%

20%

23%

9%

20%

20%

7%

6%

15%

26%

36%

9%

14%

11%

8%

9%

8%

5%

6%

9%

14%

4%

7%

7%

5%

2%

2%

4%

1%

1%

3%

13%

2%

13%

1%

5%

4%

12%

2%

3%

13%

1%

1%

18%

5%

10%

1%

12%

<1%

1%

10%

12%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Accessibility for persons with disabilities

Industrial development

Parking

Water supply

Environment

Yards and areas near buildings

Heating

Public parks and gardens

Medical institutions

Sports facilities (stadiums, sports clubs, etc.)

Street lighting

Roads

Cultural premises (concert halls, libraries, etc.)

Sewage

Police activities

Sidewalks

Universities, technical institutes, colleges

Trash collection

Transportation infrastructure/Public transport

Schools

Kindergartens

Street markets and trade premises

Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer

Page 97: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

97

SlovyanskIn your opinion, which areas should be a top priority for your municipal

authorities?(No more than three responses)

March 2018 June 2018 September 2018

Housing and communal services 23% 38% 39%

Industrial areas/Industrial development 17% 23% 31%

Social assistance 13% 16% 28%

Medical institutions 24% 36% 24%

Water supply 16% 13% 21%

Roads 55% 37% 21%

Street lighting 11% 10% 12%

Environment 4% 10% 8%

Public transportation 8% 8% 7%

Securing transparency and openness of the municipal authorities 6% 9% 6%

Security 8% 6% 6%

Heating 5% 6% 6%

Sewage 6% 6% 6%

Administrative services provision 3% 4% 6%

Citizen participation in the decision-making process 4% 5% 6%

Public parks and gardens 7% 8% 6%

Trash collection 5% 5% 5%

Schools 7% 7% 5%

Accessibility for persons with disabilities 4% 6% 4%

Kindergartens 7% 6% 3%

Yards and areas near houses 5% 5% 3%

Sidewalks 13% 6% 3%

Sport facilities (stadiums, sport clubs, etc.) 5% 3% 3%

Cultural premises 4% 2% 2%

Land issues 2% 2% 2%

Street markets 1% 2% 2%

Parking 2% 2% 2%

Other 2% 2% 7%

Difficult to answer/No answer 2% 2% 1%

Page 98: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

Demographics

Page 99: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

99

43%

57%

33%

24%

43%

2%

17%

37%

40%

3%

49%

37%

12%

1%

1%

24%

<1%

12%

3%

29%

5%

11%

4%

2%

10%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Males

Females

18-35

36-50

51+

Primary/Incomplete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Incomplete higher

Dificult to answer/No answer

I do not work

Private

State

Public, nongovernmental

Dificult to answer/No answer

Worker

Farmer/Peasant

White collar

Higher or medium level executive

Pensioner (not working)

Student

Housewife

Unemployed

Self-employed/Entrepreneur

Other

Dificult to answer/No answer

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UC

ATIO

NSECTO

R O

FEM

PLO

YM

EN

TO

CCU

PATIO

N

KhersonDemographics

Page 100: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

100

8%

64%

28%

<1%

92%

6%

1%

0%

49%

12%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

6%

26%

1%

6%

99%

1%

<1%

<1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ukrainian

Russian

Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally

Difficult to answer/No answer

Ukrainian

Russian

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)

Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)

Greek Catholic

Protestant

Judaism

Muslim

Atheist

I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

None

Member of a political party

Member of an NGO

Difficult to answer/No answer

LAN

GU

AG

ESPO

KEN

AT H

OM

EN

ATIO

NALIT

YRELIG

ION

PARTIE

S,

NG

Os

MEM

BERSH

IP

KhersonDemographics

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101

10%

29%

46%

12%

1%

<1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60%

We need to save money for food

We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money forbuying clothes and shoes

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but weneed to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile

phone, or a vacuum cleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other purchases, but weneed to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive things (e.g.,

appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, butwe need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment

I can buy anything at any time

Difficult to answer/No answer

FIN

AN

CIA

L S

TATU

SKherson

Demographics

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102

45%

55%

37%

27%

36%

2%

11%

39%

45%

4%

40%

36%

18%

3%

4%

20%

1%

15%

5%

19%

9%

5%

7%

7%

11%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Males

Females

18-35

36-50

51+

Primary/Incomplete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Incomplete higher

Dificult to answer/No answer

I do not work

Private

State

Public, nongovernmental

Dificult to answer/No answer

Worker

Farmer/Peasant

White collar

Higher or medium level executive

Pensioner (not working)

Student

Housewife

Unemployed

Self-employed/Entrepreneur

Other

Dificult to answer/No answer

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UC

ATIO

NSECTO

R O

FEM

PLO

YM

EN

TO

CCU

PATIO

N

RivneDemographics

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103

89%

2%

8%

1%

95%

2%

1%

1%

56%

19%

1%

1%

3%

<1%

2%

12%

2%

4%

95%

1%

2%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ukrainian

Russian

Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally

Difficult to answer/No answer

Ukrainian

Russian

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)

Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)

Greek Catholic

Catholic

Protestant

Judaism

Atheist

I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

None

Member of a political party

Member of an NGO

Difficult to answer/No answer

LAN

GU

AG

ESPO

KEN

AT H

OM

EN

ATIO

NALIT

YRELIG

ION

PARTIE

S,

NG

Os

MEM

BERSH

IP

RivneDemographics

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104

9%

22%

41%

21%

4%

<1%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60%

We need to save money for food

We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrowmoney for buying clothes and shoes

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, butwe need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit,

a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other purchases,but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive

things (e.g., appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensivepurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a

car or an apartment

I can buy anything at any time

Difficult to answer/No answer

FIN

AN

CIA

L S

TATU

SRivne

Demographics

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105

45%

55%

25%

25%

49%

2%

18%

40%

40%

<1%

52%

33%

12%

<1%

3%

16%

<1%

11%

7%

36%

6%

6%

4%

5%

6%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Males

Females

18-35

36-50

51+

Primary/Incomplete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Incomplete higher

Dificult to answer/No answer

I do not work

Private

State

Public, nongovernmental

Dificult to answer/No answer

Worker

Farmer/Peasant

White collar

Higher or medium level executive

Pensioner (not working)

Student

Housewife

Unemployed

Self-employed/Entrepreneur

Other

Dificult to answer/No answer

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UC

ATIO

NSECTO

R O

FEM

PLO

YM

EN

TO

CCU

PATIO

N

SeverodonetskDemographics

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106

4%

83%

13%

<1%

66%

33%

2%

<1%

7%

52%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

12%

28%

<1%

1%

97%

2%

1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ukrainian

Russian

Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally

Difficult to answer/No answer

Ukrainian

Russian

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)

Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)

Greek Catholic

Catholic

Protestant

Judaism

Muslim

Atheist

I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

None

Member of a political party

Member of an NGO

Difficult to answer/No answer

LAN

GU

AG

ESPO

KEN

AT H

OM

EN

ATIO

NALIT

YRELIG

ION

PARTIE

S,

NG

Os

MEM

BERSH

IP

SeverodonetskDemographics

Page 107: Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine · 11/30/2018  · 3 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents

107

18%

39%

37%

5%

<1%

<1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60%

We need to save money for food

We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrowmoney for buying clothes and shoes

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes,but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a

good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and otherpurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing

more expensive things (e.g., appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensivepurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like

a car or an apartment

I can buy anything at any time

Difficult to answer/No answer

FIN

AN

CIA

L S

TATU

S

SeverodonetskDemographics

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108

45%

55%

24%

28%

48%

7%

17%

41%

32%

3%

49%

31%

16%

2%

2%

25%

<1%

13%

3%

33%

4%

7%

5%

4%

5%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Males

Females

18-35

36-50

51+

Primary/Incomplete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Incomplete higher

Dificult to answer/No answer

I do not work

Private

State

Public, nongovernmental

Dificult to answer/No answer

Worker

Farmer/Peasant

White collar

Higher or medium level executive

Pensioner (not working)

Student

Housewife

Unemployed

Self-employed/Entrepreneur

Other

Dificult to answer/No answer

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UC

ATIO

NSECTO

R O

FEM

PLO

YM

EN

TO

CCU

PATIO

N

SlovyanskDemographics

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109

6%

65%

27%

<1%

75%

22%

3%

1%

10%

35%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

8%

38%

3%

4%

96%

1%

1%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ukrainian

Russian

Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally

Difficult to answer/No answer

Ukrainian

Russian

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)

Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)

Greek Catholic

Catholic

Protestant

Judaism

Muslim

Atheist

I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion

Other

Difficult to answer/No answer

None

Member of a political party

Member of an NGO

Difficult to answer/No answer

LAN

GU

AG

ESPO

KEN

AT H

OM

EN

ATIO

NALIT

YRELIG

ION

PARTIE

S,

NG

Os

MEM

EBERSH

IP

SlovyanskDemographics

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110

25%

33%

28%

11%

2%

<1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60%

We need to save money for food

We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrowmoney for buying clothes and shoes

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes,but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a

good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and otherpurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing

more expensive things (e.g., appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensivepurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like

a car or an apartment

I can buy anything at any time

Difficult to answer/No answer

FIN

AN

CIA

L S

TATU

S

SlovyanskDemographics

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