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Document of The World Bank Report No: ICR00002916 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IDA-43670) ON A CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 22.0 MILLION (US$ 33.6 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF UGANDA FOR A KAMPALA INSTITUTIONAL AND INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT ADAPTABLE PROGRAM LOAN (APL) PROJECT June 27, 2014 Urban Development & Services Practice 1 (AFTU1) Country Department AFCE1 Africa Region Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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Page 1: Public Disclosure Authorized - Documents & Reports - All Documents | The World Bank · PDF file · 2016-07-12The World Bank Report No: ... ISR Implementation Supervision Report KCC

Document of

The World Bank

Report No: ICR00002916

IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT

(IDA-43670)

ON A

CREDIT

IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 22.0 MILLION

(US$ 33.6 MILLION EQUIVALENT)

TO

THE REPUBLIC OF UGANDA

FOR

A KAMPALA INSTITUTIONAL AND INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT

ADAPTABLE PROGRAM LOAN (APL) PROJECT

June 27, 2014

Urban Development & Services Practice 1 (AFTU1)

Country Department AFCE1

Africa Region

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CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

(Exchange Rate Effective July 31, 2007)

Currency Unit = Uganda Shillings (Ushs)

Ushs 1.00 = US$ 0.0005

US$ 1.53 = SDR 1

FISCAL YEAR

July 1 – June 30

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

APL Adaptable Program Loan

CAS Country Assistance Strategy

CRCS Citizens Report Card Surveys

CSOs Civil Society Organizations

EA Environmental Analysis

EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return

EMP Environment Management Plan

FA Financing Agreement

FRAP Financial recovery action plan

GAAP Governance Assessment and Action Plan

GAC Governance and Anti-corruption

GoU Government of Uganda

HDM-4 Highway Development and Management Model

HR Human Resource

ICR Implementation Completion Report

IDA International Development Association

IPF Investment Project Financing

IPPS Integrated Personnel and Payroll System

ISM Implementation Support Missions

ISR Implementation Supervision Report

KCC Kampala City Council

KCCA Kampala Capital City Authority

KDMP Kampala Drainage Master Plan

KIIDP Kampala Institutional and Infrastructure Development Project

LGDP Local Government Development Program

M&E Monitoring and evaluation

MDGs Millennium Development Goals

MoLG Ministry of Local Government

MTR Mid-term review

NCRP Nakivubo Channel Rehabilitation Project

NEMA National Environmental Management Agency

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NPV Net Present Value

OAG Office of the Auditor General

PAP Project Affected Persons

PCU Project Coordination Unit

PDO Project Development Objectives

PDU Procurement and Disposable Unit

PEAP Poverty Eradication Action Plan

PIP Project Implementation Plan

QAG Quality Assurance Group

QMS Quality Management System

RAP Resettlement Action Plan

SFR Strategic Framework for Reform

TA Technical Assistance

UFUP Uganda First Urban Project

UJAS Uganda Joint Assistance Strategy

Ushs Uganda Shillings

VOC Vehicle Operating Costs

Vice President: Makhtar Diop

Country Director: Philippe Dongier

Sector Director: Jamal Saghir

Sector Manager: R. Mukami Kariuki

Project Team Leader: Martin Onyach-Olaa

ICR Team Leader: Chyi-Yun Huang

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UGANDA

Kampala Institutional and Infrastructure Development Project

CONTENTS

Data Sheet

A. Basic Information

B. Key Dates

C. Ratings Summary

D. Sector and Theme Codes

E. Bank Staff

F. Results Framework Analysis

G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs

H. Restructuring

I. Disbursement Graph

1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design ............................................... 1

2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes .............................................. 9

3. Assessment of Outcomes .......................................................................................... 16

4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome ......................................................... 25

5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ..................................................... 25

6. Lessons Learned ....................................................................................................... 27

7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners .......... 28

Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing .......................................................................... 29

Annex 2. Outputs by Component ................................................................................. 30

Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ................................................................. 35

Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ............ 62

Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ........................................................................... 64

Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results ................................................... 66

Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ..................... 67

Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders ....................... 75

Annex 9. APL Triggers, Benchmarks and Status ......................................................... 76

Annex 10. List of Supporting Documents .................................................................... 78

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A. Basic Information

Country: Uganda Project Name:

Kampala Institutional

and Infrastructure

Development Project

Project ID: P078382 L/C/TF Number(s): IDA-43670

ICR Date: 04/12/2014 ICR Type: Core ICR

Lending Instrument: APL Borrower: GOVERNMENT OF

UGANDA

Original Total

Commitment: XDR 22.00M Disbursed Amount: XDR 21.74M

Revised Amount: XDR 22.00M

Environmental Category: B

Implementing Agencies:

Kampala Capital City Authority

Cofinanciers and Other External Partners: NA

B. Key Dates

Process Date Process Original Date Revised / Actual

Date(s)

Concept Review: 05/11/2004 Effectiveness: 11/19/2008 11/19/2008

Appraisal: 05/07/2007 Restructuring(s): 12/03/2010

12/27/2012

Approval: 11/06/2007 Mid-term Review: 04/30/2009 11/24/2010

Closing: 12/31/2010 12/31/2013

C. Ratings Summary

C.1 Performance Rating by ICR

Outcomes: Moderately Satisfactory

Risk to Development Outcome: Moderate

Bank Performance: Moderately Satisfactory

Borrower Performance: Moderately Satisfactory

C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR)

Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings

Quality at Entry: Moderately Satisfactory Government: Moderately Satisfactory

Quality of Supervision: Satisfactory Implementing

Agency/Agencies: Moderately Satisfactory

Overall Bank

Performance: Moderately Satisfactory

Overall Borrower

Performance: Moderately Satisfactory

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C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators

Implementation

Performance Indicators

QAG Assessments

(if any) Rating

Potential Problem Project

at any time (Yes/No): Yes

Quality at Entry

(QEA): None

Problem Project at any

time (Yes/No): Yes

Quality of

Supervision (QSA): None

DO rating before

Closing/Inactive status: Satisfactory

D. Sector and Theme Codes

Original Actual

Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing)

Flood protection 23 23

Rural and Inter-Urban Roads and Highways 23 23

Solid waste management 23 23

Sub-national government administration 31 31

Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing)

City-wide Infrastructure and Service Delivery 50 50

Municipal finance 25 25

Municipal governance and institution building 25 25

E. Bank Staff

Positions At ICR At Approval

Vice President: Makhtar Diop Obiageli Katryn Ezekwesili

Country Director: Philippe Dongier John McIntire

Sector Manager: Rosemary Mukami Kariuki Jaime M. Biderman

Project Team Leader: Martin Onyach-Olaa Solomon Alemu

ICR Team Leader: Chyi-Yun Huang

ICR Primary Author: Chyi-Yun Huang

F. Results Framework Analysis

Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective (PDO) is to support the Recipient’s efforts to improve the

institutional efficiency of KCC, through the implementation of the Strategic Framework for

Reform of the KCC.

Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority) The PDO was not revised.

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(a) PDO Indicator(s)

Indicator Baseline Value

Original Target

Values (from

approval

documents)

Formally

Revised

Target

Values

Actual Value

Achieved at

Completion or

Target Years

Indicator 1 : Reduction of KCC's overdue liabilities

Value

quantitative or

Qualitative)

UGX 8 billion UGX 3 billion UGX0.5

billion UGX 0 billion

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

103%. Target achieved and surpassed. While an amount of UGX 2.6 billion was

still recorded as KCCA liabilities, there are no supporting documents for the

claims. KCCA is in the process of clearing off the liabilities officially through

the Accountant General. So far, public notices have been published in the print

media requesting for potential claimants to come forward but no response was

received. Thus the liabilities would be written off by mid-year after further

verification by the Accountant General.

Indicator 2 : Increase the percentage share of KCC own source revenue spent on service

delivery.

Value

quantitative or

Qualitative)

10% 30% 34% 32.7%

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

96%. Target mostly achieved. Original target was achieved but slightly below

revised target which was higher than original target.

Indicator 3 : Increase KCC's own source revenue.

Value

quantitative or

Qualitative)

UGX 22 billion UGX30 billion UGX33.5

billion UGX55.71 billion

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

166%. Target achieved and well surpassed. KCCA performed well in increasing

its own source revenue collections from property rates, ground rent, licenses,

hotel tax, advertisements and other sources mainly due to improvement in

efficiency of the Revenue Directorate.

Indicator 4 : Increase in public satisfaction in service delivery in (a) Roads, (b) Drainage and

(c) Solid waste

Value

quantitative or

Qualitative)

(a) Roads 18%; (b)

Drainage 22%; and (c)

Solid waste 44%

(a) Roads 50%; (b)

Drainage 31%;

and (c) Solid waste

60%

(a) Roads

50%; (b)

Drainage 31%;

and (c) Solid

waste 60%

(a) Roads 29%; (b)

Drainage 22%; and

(c) Solid waste 46%

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

(a) Roads 58%; (b) Drainage 71%; (c) Solid Waste 77%. Target not met. Level

of satisfaction is measured by the citizen report card surveys which pertain to

overall Kampala services, and not just KIIDP (which only marginally contributed

to results).

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Indicator 5 : Average traffic growth on KIIDP upgraded roads.

Value

quantitative or

Qualitative)

2% NA 20% 31%

Date achieved 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

155%. Target achieved and well surpassed. New indicator after restructuring. As

not all road works were fully completed by project closing (but were eventually

completed by end May 2014), a calculation was made using Average Annual

Daily Traffic estimates which gives the average annual traffic growth from 2011-

2014 on KIIDP upgraded roads. (Note: The value 31% is an calculation taking an

average on the five roads completed under the project; the corresponding value

for each of the road ranged from 15% to 40%).

Indicator 6 : Number of people directly affected by floods along Lubigi Channel.

Value

quantitative or

Qualitative)

8800 people NA 0 0

Date achieved 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

100%. Target achieved. New indicator after restructuring. No flooding has been

reported in the Lubigi channel catchment area in 2013.

(b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s)

Indicator Baseline Value

Original Target

Values (from

approval

documents)

Formally

Revised

Target Values

Actual Value

Achieved at

Completion or

Target Years

Indicator 1 : Reduction in building plan permit approval processing.

Value

(quantitative

or Qualitative)

1 year 2 months 2 months 2 months

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

100%. Target achieved.

Indicator 2 : Percentage of property rate demand notes issued to property owners.

Value

(quantitative

or Qualitative)

30% 90% 100% 100%

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

100%. Target achieved.

Indicator 3 : Gravel roads upgraded (km)

Value

(quantitative

or Qualitative)

0km 9km 12.89km 8.73km

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

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Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

68%. Below target. The actual total road length supported by KIIDP was

11.81km (below restructured target) of which 8.73km of road (or 74%) was fully

completed and operational by project closing. The remaining portion was

substantially completed by project closing and largely accessible by pedestrians;

they were fully completed by KCC by end May 2014.

Indicator 4 : Poor quality bitumen roads and associated drains improved and strengthened

(km)

Value

(quantitative

or Qualitative)

348.08 kms 374.07km NA 0km

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

This activity was dropped during restructuring of the project since all roads

maintenance in the country is now being funded under the Uganda National Road

Funds.

Indicator 5 : Primary drainage channel expanded and lined (km)

Value

(quantitative

or Qualitative)

0km 3.6km 3.6km 3.6km

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

100%. Target achieved.

Indicator 6 : Secondary drainage channels expanded and lined

Value

(quantitative

or Qualitative)

0km 4km NA 0km

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

Activity dropped following project restructuring due to decrease in balance of

funding for sub-components.

Indicator 7 : Tertiary drainage “black spots” improved

Value

(quantitative

or Qualitative)

0 4 NA 0

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

Activity dropped following project restructuring due to decrease in balance of

funding for sub-components.

Indicator 8 : KCC utilizing results of annual Citizens Score Card to measure service delivery

satisfaction

Value

(quantitative

or Qualitative)

Citizen Report Card

completed for baseline 2 2 2

Date achieved 06/01/2006 12/31/2010 12/31/2012 12/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

100%. Target achieved. Results of Citizens Score Card were used as feedback to

inform KCCA operations and services.

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G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs

No. Date ISR

Archived DO IP

Actual

Disbursements

(USD millions)

1 11/30/2007 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0.00

2 05/20/2008 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0.00

3 06/25/2008 Satisfactory Moderately

Unsatisfactory 0.00

4 11/20/2008 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 0.00

5 05/28/2009 Satisfactory Satisfactory 1.61

6 12/01/2009 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 1.79

7 06/10/2010 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 3.34

8 01/29/2011 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 4.47

9 07/12/2011 Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory 5.97

10 01/30/2012 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 9.62

11 07/29/2012 Satisfactory Satisfactory 14.61

12 03/30/2013 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 22.55

13 08/04/2013 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 26.15

14 01/17/2014 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 30.11

H. Restructuring (if any)

Restructuring

Date(s)

Board

Approved

PDO Change

ISR Ratings at

Restructuring

Amount

Disbursed at

Restructuring

in USD

millions

Reason for Restructuring &

Key Changes Made DO IP

12/03/2010 Y S MS 3.54

(i) Extension of closing date by

twenty four months from

December 31, 2010 to

December 31, 2012; (ii)

Reduction in total project

funding (decrease in counterpart

funding); (iii) Reallocation of

the credit between components

and; (iv) Additional category of

eligible expenditure (grants to

community for involuntary

resettlement).

12/27/2012 NA S S 18.72

A further extension of closing

date from December 31, 2012 to

December 31, 2013.

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If PDO and/or Key Outcome Targets were formally revised (approved by the original approving

body) enter ratings below:

Outcome Ratings

Against Original PDO/Targets Moderately Satisfactory

Against Formally Revised PDO/Targets Moderately Satisfactory

Overall (weighted) rating Moderately Satisfactory

I. Disbursement Profile

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1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design

1.1 Context at Appraisal

Country Context

1. Kampala is the capital city of Uganda and its center of economic, political and

administrative activities. Kampala has a population of about 1.8 million and a high annual

population growth rate of about 3.9%, compared to the national rate at about 3.3%. With about

50% of Uganda’s urban population1, Kampala is the primate city of Uganda and the next largest

urban center has less than 10% of its population. Kampala is also the political hub and economic

engine of the country – accounting for around 50% of GDP. The economic future of Uganda is

thus intrinsically related to the performance of Kampala as a locus of productive activity and

investment.

2. Kampala is divided into five urban divisions namely Central, Kawempe, Makindye,

Lubaga, Nakawa, totaling 189 square kilometers. Approximately 23% of its area is fully

urbanized; a significant portion - around 60% - semi-urbanized; and the remaining 7% is rural

settlements. Kampala is also part of a rapidly growing metropolitan area, linked to several

adjacent towns, and therefore experiences a high transient population of about 1 million that

commute daily into the city from the outskirts of the city or more distant locations.

Sector and Institutional Background

3. The infrastructure provision and service delivery levels in key sectors (such as

roads, drainage, solid waste, markets etc.) in Kampala have not kept pace with its economic

and demographic growth and have deteriorated over time. Most of Kampala's roads were

constructed in the 1940s and 1950s and the majority has never undergone any major rehabilitation

or reconstruction since. The city's roads outside the central business district are heavily potholed

and in a high state of disrepair; and drainage systems are overloaded, clogged and poorly

maintained. Only 10% of the city's population is connected to the sewer lines of the National

Water and Sewerage Corporation; and the amount of solid waste generated overwhelms the

capacity of the city authority to collect and dispose - only 30% of the total waste generated is

removed by the authority.

4. Kampala’s local authorities have faced multiple challenges in delivering

infrastructure and services effectively for the city. The Kampala City Council (KCC) and its

five Divisions are primarily responsibility for infrastructure and service delivery for Kampala.

Over the years, KCC developed serious deficiencies in organizational, management, financial and

human resource capacities making it difficult to meet the needs of the city. The City has also had

a fundamental lack of vision and weak public service orientation. In addition, while progress has

been made in the areas of enhancing transparency and accountability, the service delivery process

faced political interference, with weak internal control systems and a weak governance regime.

These issues directly impacted on the areas of procurement, financial management and public

disclosure, and subsequently affected KCC’s public image.

5. Over the past decade, various attempts had been made to deal with these problems,

notably the formulation of the “Strategic Framework for Reform” (SFR) by KCC launched

in January 1997 to push for fundamental reforms. The SFR focused on three broad areas of

reform for achieving real changes in performance: (i) restructuring KCC aimed at changing the

1 2002 Uganda population and Housing census.

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administrative structure to improve efficiency and rationalizing (down-sizing) staff; (ii) service

delivery liberalization by enhancing private sector participation in service delivery; and (iii)

financial and fiscal reform.

6. While a number of positive results had been achieved under SFR2, the progress of

organizational reforms was not as fast as envisaged at the time of its formulation. This was

compounded by the extremely weak financial position of the city at the time. As such the

intermediate results of SFR needed to be carried forward and brought to maturity through

institutionalization and application of the strategies, systems and procedures to KCC’s day-to-day

operations. As these successes were unlikely to be sustained or integrated into KCC’s operations

without additional support and deep commitment to mainstreaming the approaches and capacities,

in 2004, KCC carried out a review of the SFR implementation achievements and developed a

revised SFR-II.

7. The SFR-II aimed at consolidating the achievements KCC made during

implementation of the first SFR; and enabling achievement of its vision under two pillars3 –

good governance and good urban management. Priority activities to be implemented were

identified, especially in the areas of institutional development (institutional restructuring, revenue

enhancement, information and communication technology, urban planning), and infrastructure

development (drainage system, traffic and road maintenance management, solid waste

management and urban markets infrastructure). These activities were considered critical in

realizing the SFR-II.

8. In March 2010, the Kampala Capital City Authority (KCCA) took over the

operations of KCC. The Parliament of Uganda passed a new bill - the Kampala Capital City Act

2010 - which replaced the Local Government Act, 1997 as the legal basis for managing Kampala

City. Kampala City was elevated from a Local Government to a Capital City with the main

objective of improving its administration and improving the quality of services to the public under

an effective, efficient and accountable framework placed under the direct supervision of the

Central Government. This effectively led to the new KCCA, being converted to a central

government agency, with an Executive Director (rather than a Town Clerk) at the rank of a

Permanent Secretary. As a successor to the SFR-II and previous reform efforts, KCCA launched a

new KCCA Corporate Strategy (2013 – 2018) which was formulated based on the SFR and

retained similar focus and priority activities.

Rationale for Bank Assistance

9. The Bank has been supporting Kampala City since the late 1980s through three

main operations – Uganda First Urban Project (UFUP), Nakivubo Channel Rehabilitation

Project (NCRP), and Local Government Development Program (LGDP I). While each project

brought about a number of positive results and supported the KCC to implement some aspects of

its reform, KCC was still lacking in certain areas of institutional reform and financial

sustainability. In response to the government request for a follow on operation to support SFR-II,

2 For example, in the areas of development of strategies, and systems and procedures in all facets of KCC

operations including development of accurate information and data on revenues, manpower, financial

situation, contracting out revenue assessment and collection, reliable and accurate budgeting, expenditure

control, institutional restructuring, and ICT development and applications. 3 In addition to the pillars, particular strategies identified to be implemented are: (i) institutional policy

formulation and enhanced performance; (ii) organizational reform through implementation of a new

organizational structure that focuses on core functions; (iii) implementation of a financial recovery action

plan with transparent budgeting; (iv) expenditure control and increasing revenue; (v) improved service

delivery through enhanced private sector participation; (vi) adequate resource allocation for O & M; and

(vii) effective contracts management.

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the Bank prepared the KIIDP. This project aimed to support KCC to consolidate the gains made

thus far, prevent an unraveling of the progress achieved and place Kampala on a solid foundation

for sustained service delivery. KIIDP therefore, was to function as a more concentrated and

comprehensive effort to promote the institutional and fiscal strengthening of city government than

previously attempted.

10. The project was conceived as the first of a three phase Adaptable Program Loan

(APL) to provide support for the implementation of KCC’s long-term development program

which would require step-by-step policy reform and institutional development over a sustained

period. The APL was designed to support the SFR and therefore phased its activities in a manner

that was intended to focus on institutional strengthening in the first phase, to build a solid

foundation for expanding the focus on infrastructure investments in later phases. The APL was

also expected to enable an early adjustment in course in the event that institutional changes

occurred or commitment to reforms dissipated. Project preparation activities leading to pre-

appraisal were therefore made conditional on KCC taking key measures to demonstrate

commitment to the reforms outlined in the SFR. (The original indicative financing plan and

implementation period for the three phases are shown in table below.)

APL Indicative Financing Plan Estimated

Implementation Period

IDA

(US$ Mil)

% of Total

IDA

Program

GoU

(US$ Mil)

Total

(US$ Mil)

Start Date Closing

Date

APL1 33.6 37 3.5 37.1 01/01/2008 12/31/2010

APL2 40.0 44 4.0 44.0 01/01/2011 12/31/2014

APL3 17.4 19 1.5 18.9 01/01/2015 12/31/2017

Total 91.0 100 9.0 100.0

11. The project was also aligned to the higher-level objectives of the country and the

World Bank. In 2005, seven major Uganda’s development partners developed a Uganda Joint

Assistance Strategy (UJAS) centered on three principles: supporting implementation of the

country owned and led revised Poverty Eradication Action Plan (PEAP) to achieve the

Millennium Development Goals (MDGs); collaborating more effectively among the development

partners and with the government; and focusing on results and outcomes. The project (planned to

be effective in FY 2008) was therefore identified as one of the instruments to support the UJAS;a

key pillar of IDA’s Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) for Uganda (Report no. 16540-UG April

30 1997) and in the National Development Strategy (1998/99) as a tool for reducing poverty

through increased economic activity, flowing directly from the positive effects of the institutional

and infrastructure improvements under the project.

1.2 Original Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Key Indicators (as approved)

12. The original project development objective is to support the Recipient’s efforts to

improve the institutional efficiency of Kampala City Council (KCC) through the

implementation of the Strategic Framework for Reform of the KCC. As KIIDP was designed as

phase 1 of a three phase APL, an overall Program objective was also defined in the PAD, that is,

to “develop a strong governance and management capacity in KCC to enhance service delivery

and economic development”.

13. In line with the initial focus on institutional outputs intended by KIIDP, the original PDO

level indicators were:

(i) reduce overdue liabilities from Ushs 8 billion to Ushs 3 billion;

(ii) increase the share of KCC own source revenue spent on service delivery from 10% to 30%;

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(iii) increase in KCC own source revenue from Ushs 22 billion to Ushs 30 billion; and

(iv) increase in public satisfaction in service delivery in the following areas: roads from 18% to

50%, drainage from 22% to 31%, and solid waste from 44% to 60%.

14. The focus on institutional outcomes was also supported by the KIIDP APL triggers,

which focused on five institutional outputs: (i) new organizational system operational; (ii)

establish and implement a formal public consultation process; (iii) implementation of financial

recovery action plan (FRAP); (iv) comprehensive O&M plan for infrastructure; and (v) effective

implementation of the infrastructure rehabilitation and maintenance.

1.3 Revised PDO (as approved by original approving authority) and Key Indicators, and

reasons/justification

15. The project objective was not revised.

16. Changes were made to project-level indicators and targets during the mid-term

review (MTR) and first restructuring completed on December 3, 20104. Two new project-

level indicators were added and some of the original project-level indicator targets were revised.

No further changes were made to the PDO or indicators in the second restructuring (which was

only for an extension of closing date). A summary of the project-level revised indicators, targets

and cited reasons for changes is included in the table below:

Changes to PDO-level Indicators and Targets Original (Project Approval) Revised

(at MTR and 1st Restructuring)

Rationale for Changes5

1 Reduce overdue liabilities from

Ushs 8 billion to Ushs 3 billion.

No change in indicator.

Target revised to Ushs 0.5 billion.

Target of Ushs 3 billion

achieved at MTR.

2 The share of KCC own source

revenue spent on service delivery

increase from 10% to 30%.

No change in indicator.

Target revised to 34%.

Target of 30% achieved at

MTR.

3 Increase in public satisfaction

with service delivery in:

- Roads from 18% to 50%

- Drainage from 22% to 31%

- Solid waste from 44% to 60%

No change in indicator and targets. NA

4 Increase in KCC own source

revenue from Ushs 22 billion to

Ushs 30 billion.

No change in indicator.

Target revised to Ushs 33.5 billion.

Target of Ushs 30 billion

achieved at MTR.

5 NA New indicator:

Average traffic growth on KIIDP

upgraded roads (increase from 2%

to 20%).

New indicator added as

best proxy for measuring

impact of city-wide

upgraded roads.

6 NA New indicator:

Number of people directly affected

by floods along Lubigi Channel

(decrease from 8800 to 0).

New indicator added for

measuring impact of main

drainage works under the

project.

1.4 Main Beneficiaries

17. The primary project beneficiaries are the residents, visitors and businesses of Kampala

city, including the flow of both daily and long term migrants who will benefit from KCC/KCCA

4 Date of countersigning by client indicating agreement to the amended Financing Agreement.

5 Rationale for changes as quoted from restructuring paper.

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institutional enhancement and better infrastructure/service delivery. Kampala City has an

estimated population of 1.5 million people in 2013. In addition, about 1 million people from

outside the city commute to Kampala daily. Other beneficiaries include contractors and workers

hired to implement the various civil works financed under the project. KCC/KCCA staff also

benefitted directly from capacity building and training activities.

1.5 Original Components (as approved)

18. Project Funding. The KIIDP IDA Credit was SDR 22 million (equivalent to US$33.6

million). The total value of the Project was equivalent to US$37.1 million, including co-financing

of US$3.5 million (9.4%) from GoU.

Original Financing Plan

Component

Funding / Percentage Contribution

Total

(US$ Mil)

% of

Project

IDA

(US$ Mil) IDA %

GoU

(US$ Mil) GoU %

1. Institutional

Development 5.80 15.6% 5.22 90.0% 0.58 10.0%

2. Kampala city

Infrastructure and

Services Improvement 28.49 76.8% 25.87 90.8% 2.62 9.2%

3. Project Implementation,

Monitoring and

Evaluation 2.79 7.5% 2.51 90.0% 0.28 10.0%

Total 37.08 100.0% 33.60 90.6% 3.48 9.4%

19. The project consisted of the following three components and various sub-components:

20. Component 1 - Institutional Development. The component focused on institutional

development activities that support organizational development and governance, the

implementation of the Financial Recovery Action Plan (FRAP), and actions to enhance

effectiveness of service delivery. The sub-components were:

i. Support to Organizational Development and Governance: to develop a comprehensive

approach to municipal development. Sub-components include: (i) human resource

management and training; (ii) general administration; (iii) education information system;

(iv) gender, welfare and community services; (v) planning and M&E; (vi) communication

strategy; and (vii) environmental management.

ii. Support to Financial Recovery: to implement a detailed financial recovery plan designed

to place KCC on a sound financial position by the end of the program. The sub-

components are: (i) enhancing revenue management capacity; (ii) enhancing expenditure

management capacity; and (iii) establishing a framework for the reduction, and control of

expenditures.

iii. Strengthening Service Delivery, providing support to strengthen KCC’s capacity in

service delivery. Activities in the following areas were to be supported: (i) public health

and environment; (ii) quality assurances for infrastructure; (iii) urban planning and land

management; (iv) information and communication technology; and (v) environmental

monitoring and preparation of environmental studies.

21. Component 2 – Kampala City Infrastructure and Services Improvement. This

component supported activities aimed at improving the provision of critical services to the city.

The investment in infrastructure and service improvements sought to address the following five

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priority areas which were critical for public confidence and contributed to the economic and

commercial development of the city:

i. Drainage system improvement - to increase the capacity of the Lubigi primary channel

(total length 3.6km); expand the capacities and lining of secondary channels (total length

4km); and undertake remedial measures on 4 tertiary drainage “black spots” in various

parts of the city;

ii. Traffic management –to improve (i) area traffic management including measures for

improved traffic flow through provision of traffic management infrastructure such as

guard rails, signs etc.; and (ii) improvements in five junctions by providing localized

widening and signalizing;

iii. Road maintenance and upgrading – to undertake (i) maintenance of about 26km of

selected tarmac roads and (ii) upgrading of about 14.42km of high priority gravel roads to

bitumen standard;

iv. Solid waste management – to support (i) expansion of a landfill by 6 acres, (ii) testing

and installation of a landfill gas collection and flaring system at the existing landfill, and

(iii) design of a new landfill site to be identified and acquired by KCC; and

v. Urban markets infrastructure - provide infrastructure to two markets (Kibuli and

Kawempe) through improved access roads, lighting, and sanitation.

vi. Resettlement Action Plan implementation.

22. Component 3 - Project Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation. This component

encompassed the management activities associated with the implementation of the project, the

establishment and implementation of a monitoring and evaluation (M&E) system and the

preparation of the next phase of the project. Activities included: (i) project implementation

support; (ii) monitoring and evaluation, (iii) the annual citizen’s report card; and (iv) staff and

councilor survey.

1.6 Revised Components

23. The original components were not revised. However, changes were made to sub-

components in response to practical constraints that emerged - mainly implementation delays and

escalating project costs. The changes are detailed in the next section.

1.7 Other significant changes

First Restructuring.

24. A level-2 restructuring was completed on December 3, 2010 and allowed for: (i)

extension of the closing date by twenty four months from December 31, 2010 to December 31,

2012; (ii) reduction in total project funding (to reflect a decrease in counterpart funding); (iii)

reallocation of the credit between components and; (iv) additional category of eligible expenditure

(grants to community for involuntary resettlement).

25. The restructuring was both corrective and adaptive in nature. The main reason for

the extension in project closing was to accommodate a 9 month delay incurred when obtaining

Parliamentary approval for the project (also experienced by various other Bank projects). More

time was also required to complete the Component 2 civil works. Delay in the implementation of

Component 2 activities was mainly due to the long procurement turnaround time when the

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responsibility rested with the Ministry of Local Government (MoLG) 6

(discussed later in the

Fiduciary section).

26. The reduction in total project funding occurred as GoU was unable to fully meet the

agreed funding contribution7 due to budget deficits. The original total project funding was

reduced from US$37.1 million to US$35.15 million - GoU contribution decreased from US$3.5

million to US$1.55 million (IDA funding remained at US$33.6 million). The majority of the GoU

funding was dedicated to resettlement compensation.

27. The reallocation in funding between components was necessary mainly to: (i)

accommodate increased consultancy and operating costs (from SDR 4.4 million to SDR 6.7

million; and from SDR 530,000 to SDR 622,000 respectively) over the additional two years of

project implementation period; and (ii) supplement funds required to pay involuntary resettlement

costs8 under the Resettlement Action Plan (RAP) – with IDA credit financing. The resettlement

cost was originally to be fully funded by GoU but as the full contribution was still not availed by

MTR, in order to avoid further delays in the implementation of civil works (which could not start

before the payment of the associated involuntary resettlement cost), the Bank agreed with GoU to

fund the shortfall from the IDA credit through reallocation of funding between components9.

28. Adjustments were made to project sub-components in response to the reallocation in

funding and delay in project effectiveness. Several sub-component activities were dropped due to

the decrease in funding available to support them (as IDA funds were directed to RAP costs,

extended consultancies and additional operating costs, as explained above.) The sub-components

which remained were those identified as having the highest priority, largest potential impact10

,

and no funding from other sources. Some of the sub-components which were dropped were

planned to be taken up in future phases of the APL. The changes in project sub-components are

summarized in the table below.

Original and Revised Project Sub-Components

Original Components

(Project Approval)

Revised

(After 1st Restructuring)

Reasons for

Sub-Component Changes

Component 1: Institutional Development

• Human Resource Management

and Development

– training, general

administration, education

information system, welfare &

• Human Resource Management and

Development

– training, general administration,

education information system,

welfare & community service,

Ministry of Public Service

implemented an Integrated

Personnel and Payroll System

(IPPS)

6 Contract execution/implementation delays across the board due to failure by Solicitor-General’s office to

expeditiously approve/clear contracts. 7 The exact reason for GoU not being able to fully meet the co-funding contribution was unknown, but

generally attributed to budget constraints or inavailability of alternative funding. While IDA funding was

reallocated to cover the outstanding GOU contribution (mainly RAP costs) at MTR, an additional valuation

conducted for the RAP (after the MTR) led to even higher RAP cost being assessed. After KCCA was

formed it took over GoU’s responsibility for the Project’s RAP cost. The revised RAP cost - not covered

through the IDA reallocation - was therefore financed by KCCA. 8 During the restructuring, the estimated full amount of outstanding RAP costs that need to be paid was

US$1.684 million or SDR 1.155 million. 9 As approved by the IDA Land Committee in September 2010.

10 Priority and impact were determined mainly from the result of two strategic studies – the Kampala

Drainage Master Plan and the Kampala Urban Traffic Improvement and Road Maintenance Plan - carried

out under the NCRP.

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community service,

communication strategy,

environmental management.

communication strategy,

environmental management.

(HR management system

dropped.)

• Support to Financial Recovery

- Enhance revenue and

management capacity, enhance

expenditure management,

expenditure control

No Change

NA

• Strengthening Service Delivery

- Public health and

environment services, quality

assurance for infra, urban

planning (Kampala structure

plan), InfoComm technology

No Change NA

Component 2: City Wide Infrastructure and Services Improvement

• Drainage system improvement

- Lubigi primary channel (total

length 3.6km)

- secondary channels (total

length 4km)

- remedial measures to 4

tertiary drainage “black spots”

in various parts of the city.

Lubigi primary channel

(total length 3.6km)

(Secondary and tertiary drainage

channel works dropped)

Lack of funding (escalated

construction costs)

• Traffic management

– area traffic management

- junctions improvement

• (Traffic management dropped) Lack of funding (escalated

construction costs)

• Road maintenance and

upgrading

- maintenance of about 26km

of selected tarmac roads

- upgrading of about 14.42km

of high priority gravel roads to

bitumen standard

Upgrading of about 12.00km11

of

high priority gravel roads to

bitumen standard

(Maintenance of roads dropped)

-

• New funding source from

central government through the

Road Fund was made available

to finance road maintenance.

• Solid waste management

- developing land adjacent to

existing site,

- landfill gas collection and

flaring system,

- design for new landfill

Solid waste management

- Develop land adjacent to existing

site

- Design for new landfill

(Landfill gas collection and flaring

system dropped12)

• Lack of funding (escalated

construction costs)

• Urban markets infrastructure

- Provision of infrastructure for

two markets (Kibuli and

Kawempe) eg access, lighting

etc., detailed design for high

priority markets

• (Urban markets infrastructure

dropped.)

• -Lack of funding (escalated

construction costs);

• -Land availability issues

• - ADB plan to finance the

development of seven markets

in Kampala.

11 Namely Bukoto-Kisasi Road, Kalerwe Road, Kawempe-Mpererwe Road, Kimera Road, Soweto Road

and Salaama Road. 12

An assessment on the potential yield of the landfill gas was carried out under the project.

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• Implementation of the

Resettlement Action Plan

• No change • NA

Component 3: Project Implementation Support, Monitoring and Evaluation

• Project Implementation

Support

No Change NA

• Monitoring and Evaluation No Change NA

• Annual Citizen’s Report Card No Change. NA

• Staff and Councilor Survey No Change NA

Second Restructuring

29. The second restructuring (level 2) was completed on December 27, 201213

. and

allowed for a further extension of closing date from December 31, 2012 to December 31, 2013.

Delays in civil works, mainly due to compensation for resettlement issues and contractual issues,

required a further extension of project closing in order for Component 2 works to be completed

(challenges in implementation are further discussed below). No change in scope of work was

required.

2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes

2.1 Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry

Analytical

30. The analytical foundation and project design of KIIDP was in full alignment with the

SFR-II, and thus enabled high ownership by the client. The project components and sub-

components mirrored the two main categories of activities in the SFR-II (see table below) -

Component 1 therefore directly supported the improvements in institutional efficiency while both

Components 1 and 2 contributed to the implementation of priority activities identified in the SFR-

II. In particular, the civil works in Component 2 were a selection of those identified as priority

activities in the SFR-II.

31. In addition, many results indicators and APL triggers were borrowed from the SFR-II

monitoring and evaluation framework. The project design was and remains highly relevant to the

needs of the city, in response to the mainstream government strategy and framework. As the

project design was intertwined with the drafting of the SFR-II (both occurred around the same

time, and KIIDP was intended to support SFR-II), the wider public and stakeholder consultation

undertaken for the SFR-II was also directly relevant to KIIDP. The consultations included an

independent consultant review of the SFR, a high level workshop with major stakeholders, and

creation of Kampala’s first-ever Citizens Report Card. The project scoping and preparations were

also carried out with full participation of the key KCC staff across all directorates.

13 Date of countersigning by client indicating agreement to the Financing Agreement.

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SFR-II Strategies & Priorities and KIIDP Project Design

SFR-II KIIDP Components

SFR-II Strategies Priority Activities identified to

implement SFR-II strategies

1. Institution policy

formulation and

performance

2. Political support,

management and

teamwork

3. Communication and

corporate image

building

4. Organizational reform

5. Financial recovery

6. Works and physical

planning

7. Public Health

8. Management systems

1. Institutional development

• Institutional restructuring

• Revenue enhancement

• ICT

• Urban planning

2. City-wide infrastructure and

service improvement

• Drainage system

• Traffic and road maintenance

management

• Solid waste management

• Urban markets infrastructure

3. Civil society participation and

management

• Support CSOs for effective

participation

• Increase transparency (SFR)

4. Monitoring & Evaluation of

SFR-II

Component 1: Institutional

Development (US$5.8 million)

• Human Resource Management

• Support to Financial Recovery

• Strengthening Service Delivery

Component 2: Kampala City

Infrastructure and Services

Improvement (US$28.5 million)

• Drainage system improvement

• Traffic management

• Road maintenance and upgrading

• Solid waste management

• Urban markets infrastructure

• Implementation of the

Resettlement Action Plan

Component 3: Project

Implementation, Monitoring and

Evaluation (US$2.8 million)

• Project Implementation Support

• Monitoring and Evaluation

• Annual Citizen’s Report Card

• Staff and Councilor Survey

32. Besides a strong alignment with the SFR-II, the analytical basis of KIIDP was also built

upon previous projects and informed by studies conducted under them. Its focus on institutional

improvements filled in the gaps and reinforced the efforts of past operations (UFUP, LGDP 1 and

NCRP). In particular, the scoping and selection of the Component 2 infrastructure sub-projects

were mainly based on two strategic studies carried out under the NCRP – the Kampala Drainage

Master Plan and the Kampala Urban Traffic Improvement and Road Maintenance Plan. Under

these two studies, qualified international consultants prioritized sub-projects which would address

immediate needs of the city, and prepared the detailed design including draft bidding documents

for these priority interventions. Unfortunately, as significant time elapsed from the preparation of

these studies and sub-projects to the time that the implementation of KIIDP could begin, most of

the detailed designs required updates. This took additional time and caused delays in

implementation.

Assessment of project design

33. KIIDP was designed as the first of a three phase APL with the intention to strengthen and

build institutions in order to create a foundation for sustainable infrastructure investments. The

first phase primarily targeted institutional outcomes, while the infrastructure component was

intended to be smaller and more targeted to enable the implementation agency to “learn-by-doing”.

This is reflected consistently in its PDO, and throughout the design of the results framework and

the APL pre-conditions and triggers for phase 2. The APL was designed to leave more substantial

infrastructure works to its second and third phases, and although the APL instrument was

discontinued, the follow-on operation, KIIDP2, has continued its alignment with the original

thinking and included large scale infrastructure works with more substantial funding.

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34. The project implementation arrangement was appropriate and relatively straight-forward,

with one main counterpart (KCC, and later KCCA). The project also intended to mainstream the

Project Coordination Unit (PCU) functions within the agency. This took varying forms under

KCC and subsequently under KCCA. In KCC, the key consultants were hired by the PCU and

attached under the various KCC directorates; they tended to act rather independently from the

directorates. When KCCA was established, in-house staff was appointed to implement KIIDP and

implementation was integrated into the agency. However, the staff had to work both on KIIDP

and other KCCA work and was at times overstretched.

35. The project design made provisions for institutional reforms in anticipation of the

impending constitutional changes – resulting in the KCC to KCCA transition. A specific clause

was included in the Financing Agreement (FA) to first notify the Bank of the change and to

ensure that, in consultation with the Bank, the new entity will be designated and assume all the

responsibilities of KCC for the project. This put in place a vital transitional arrangement that

ensured continuity of activities, and enabled a seamless transfer of KCC’s responsibilities and

obligations for KIIDP to KCCA.

36. The original scope of works (with activities spanning 11 institutional improvements and 5

types of infrastructure works) was rather ambitious. However these investments were derived

from the SFR-II and were intended to ensure alignment of objectives outlined in both documents.

In addition, it was expected that a suite of complementary activities undertaken together would

yield greater synergies and achieve better results especially in support of institutional

improvements; and that rapid service delivery improvements were expected to address the urgent

needs.

Assessment of risks

37. The project rightly recognized several risks affecting achievement of the PDO and the

components. During project design, three risks were rated as high: (i) failure to develop and

implement an effective fiscal discipline in KCC; (ii) change in current policies/Acts by central

government that would affect Kampala’s ability to implement the SFR; and (iii) lack of capacity

in Directorates to carry out project implementation activities effectively. The project was largely

successful in mitigating these high risks, especially through provisions in the financing agreement

(as discussed earlier), and building in the various Component 1 activities focused on supporting

organizational development and governance, financial recovery and service delivery capacity. In

addition, again by closely aligning the project design with the SFR II, this helped to increase the

sense of ownership and strengthen client commitment, thus reducing potential implementation

risks. (Despite these, implementation delays were still encountered – these are discussed in the

subsequent sections.)

38. No quality at entry review for the project was carried out by the Quality Assurance Group

(QAG).

2.2 Implementation

39. The project went through two project restructurings and was extended by 3 years in total,

largely due to an initial delay in securing parliamentary approval14

and several implementation

challenges, especially on contractual issues encountered for infrastructure works. The major

factors that affected implementation are summarized here:

14 KIIDP was approved by the Board of Directors on November 6, 2007, signed on 20 February 2008 and

became effective on 19 November 2008.

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Factors outside the control of government or implementing agency -

a. Contractual issues and delays due to external factors;

b. Technical challenges of relocating utility services15

in order to clear the right of way

for civil works;

c. Inadequate staffing and capacity of KCC/KCCA, due to a general country-wide skills

and human resource issue;

Factors generally subject to government control –

a. Delay in Parliament approval of project;

b. Delay and failure in fulfilling the total committed amount of counterpart funding to

support RAP costs;

c. Delay when procurement was being approved by the MoLG before being taken over

by the dedicated PDU under KCC;

d. Transition from KCC to KCCA and complete staff change (which is inherently

disruptive and resulted in, to certain extents, the loss of institutional capacity and

knowledge );

e. Unresolved structural issues in KCCA – friction between political and technical

wing16

.

Factors generally subject to implementing agency control -

a. Inadequate staffing and capacity of KCC/KCCA;

b. Ineffective enforcement and implementation of RAP, resulting in escalated RAP costs

and delays;

c. Contract management and supervision issues17

: a general lack of capacity to

effectively handle contract management and supervision, poor packaging of the civil

works contract packages, ineffective due diligence conducted to verify contractors

capacity and qualification, and delayed and ineffective procurement;

d. Inadequate capacity to follow up with safeguards requirements.

40. A MTR was conducted in end 201018

and appropriately recommended that the project

should be extended by 24 months to allow completion of project activities. The MTR also

provided valuable inputs for managing the implementation delays. For example, as the GoU was

still unable to fully supply the committed funding to cover the RAP cost then, the team proposed

the alternative of reallocating the IDA funds to cover this cost in order to prevent further

implementation delays.

41. Although the various sub-component activities that were dropped or deferred inherently

compromised or delayed the potential project impacts which could have been achieved – mainly

15 There is a common challenge associated with the identification and relocation of underground utility lines

(water and telephone). These utility lines were laid many years back and there are no proper records or

maps showing where they are located. 16

There are two wings within KCCA - a political wing headed by the Lord Mayor and an administrative

wing headed by the Executive Director. The tension between the technical and political leadership of

KCCA, and the governance environment is largely due to the interplay between the interests of central

Government, KCCA locally elected leaders, and staff. 17

Various contractual and contractor issues were experienced in KIIDP which led to much delay of the

infrastructure works. For example, several contracts were awarded to the lowest cost bidders, whom under

quoted and also have insufficient capacity and capital fund flow to complete the assignment within the

specific time and budget. This leads to delays and sometimes further complications from renegotiations and

re-bidding of contracts for incomplete works packages. In other cases, inadequate supervision, court

injunctions and other administrative reviews also delayed the infrastructure works and caused additional

costs. 18

The MTR was conducted later than the April 30, 2009 date per the legal covenant due to delay in project

effectiveness.

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from the greater improvements to roads and drainage network, traffic management and new or

enhanced markets and landfill gas collection and flaring system – it should be noted that the

institutional objectives were largely achieved, including all triggers to move to APL 2.

2.3 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Design, Implementation and Utilization

42. M&E Design: The M&E framework design had a good coverage of indicators to measure

the two main project components. At the PDO-level, three out of the four original indicators were

directly relevant to the PDO of institutional improvement, giving it the necessary emphasis. In

addition, it was commendable that the targets of these three indicators were further increased

during restructuring to set a higher bar of performance. It was also laudable to have aligned the

indicators with the borrower’s own system – the SFR-II monitoring and evaluation framework,

which allowed easier tracking and measurement, and laid the foundation for systematic

assessment of progress at city level. However, one indirect result of this, was that some of the

indicators cannot be solely attributed to actions taken/investments made under KIIDP. They relate

to city wide impacts, influenced by a broader context and external actions (for example, in

addition to specific measures supported by the project KCCA took additional measures (e.g.

passed policies) which also boosted their financial performance).

43. A specific example is the indicator on “public satisfaction in service delivery”. This

indicator did not provide an accurate and objective reflection of KIIDP impacts because it was

measured using the Citizens Report Card Surveys (CRCS) which pertains to city wide

improvements rather than KIIDP-specific infrastructure and services. It is thus not a good proxy

of the public satisfaction with infrastructure and services provided by KIIDP. (This is further

discussed in Section 3.2.) In addition, given the lower level of investment in infrastructure that

was expected under the first phase of the APL, this indicator is likely to improve after completion

of KIIDP II and as other donor and government funded investments are scaled up.Lastly, the two

new PDO-level indicators which were added during the first project restructuring, while having

useful intent, were not convincing PDO-level indicators, and perhaps could have been

intermediate result indicators instead.

44. M&E Implementation and Utilization: KCCA was primarily responsible for all M&E

data collection. The majority was made available through mainstream data collection performed

by KCC/KCCA such as through their quarterly/annual financial reports and the mid-term and

annual review reports. Several of the indicators, especially those on KCCA’s financial

performance, have been mainstreamed into the overall KCCA corporate M&E framework, and

would be monitored beyond the project period. Generally, reporting of the results was done

regularly and consistently during implementation. For the two PDO-level indicators added during

project restructuring, a baseline was established when they were first introduced. However, for the

indicator measuring “average traffic growth on KIIDP upgraded roads”, as some road works were

delayed and not fully completed by project closing (but were completed by end May 2014), the

actual traffic count could not be carried out and has therefore only been estimated.

2.4 Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance

Safeguards

45. Environment. KIIDP was an Environmental Category B project, triggering OP4.01

Environmental Assessment and OP 4.04 Natural Habitats. During project preparation, an

Environmental Analysis (EA) of the planned infrastructure investments was carried out. The EA

included an Environmental Management Plan (EMP) which outlined institutional arrangements

for the implementation of appropriate mitigation and monitoring measures, as well as capacity

building measures and cost estimates.

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46. During project implementation, there were deficiencies in complying with environmental

mitigation or safeguard measures. (The last five Implementation Supervision Report (ISR) until

project closing rated overall safeguards as moderately unsatisfactory.) This was mainly due to

KCC/KCCA lacking sufficient capacity in environment and social safeguards and had no relevant

specialists in the Procurement and Disposable Unit (PDU) – which was responsible for carrying

out this function. Therefore, KCC/KCCA was generally slow in following up with the necessary

actions such as conducting the environmental audit which had been recommended since 2010 (but

this was eventually completed by project closure).

47. Deficiencies in safeguards implementation were observed especially for the landfill

operations, starting with initial land acquisition and including: (i) poor handling of the landfill

acquisition with no proper due diligence undertaken prior to the purchase of the 6-acre extension

landfill (existing encumbrances delayed KCC from taking possession until fully resolved); (ii)

KCC/KCCA relied on temporary licenses19

to operate the landfill for a longer period of time than

expected (while awaiting resolution of environmental issues), (iii) incomplete fencing around

landfill site (which was eventually completed by project closure); and (iv) inadequate leachate

monitoring and treatment system, not commensurate with the national wastewater treatment and

discharge standard, posing health and safety risks to the public (landfill extension work including

satisfactory leachate monitoring and treatment system was eventually completed by 31st January,

2014).

48. Social. OP 4.12 Involuntary Resettlement was triggered for the project. While a detailed

RAP was completed during project preparation, there was a general lack of capacity in

KCC/KCCA to manage the RAP process effectively. This, compounded by a difficult external

environment, resulted in multiple challenges to the implementation of the RAP, including: (i)

inadequate GoU funding for compensation; (ii) increased RAP costs from the original valuation,

(iii) discrepancies and inadequacies in documentation; and (iv) weak enforcement by KCCA in

fully securing the areas acquired. Three valuation reports20

were carried out throughout the project

period, each with different compensation costs identified. As a result some RAP compensation

remained outstanding at project closing - as of 31st December 2013, a total of 494 Project

Affected Persons (PAPs) had been compensated with UGX 7,562,420,039 (approximately

US$2.95 million), leaving a balance of 239 PAPs to be compensated and a total outstanding

compensation of UGX 1,404,337,726 (approximately US$550,000). However, these outstanding

payments were largely due to unsubstantiated claims. With a further round of public advertising

and verification, all eligible claims were paid off at the time of concluding this ICR.

19 The landfill operation licenses are issued by the National Environmental Management Authority (NEMA).

NEMA required the environmental audit to be completed before issuing the permanent license. 20

In the 1st and 2nd valuation reports, UGX 5,764,909,478 was approved as payment to the 689 PAPs on

the Lubigi channel, phase I and II roads and Kiteezi landfill site. A total of UGX 4,850,017,492 was paid to

480 PAPs, leaving a balance of UGX 914,891,986 to be paid to 209 PAPs. During construction, additional

properties and land were affected following a change in the design of the Lubigi channel, roads and

junctions. Additional complaints were also registered by the people who had been assessed and/or

compensated under the 1st and 2nd valuations. This resulted in the third and final supplementary valuation

report comprising a total of 46 beneficiaries with a total compensation of UGX 801,848,287. In March

2013, out of the 46 beneficiaries, a total payment of UGX 312,402,547 was made to 16 of them, leaving a

balance of UGX 489,445,740. The total outstanding RAP compensation resulting from the 1st, 2nd and 3rd

valuation is therefore UGX 1,404,337,726. Out of these, UGX 1,187,067,720 did not have the necessary

supporting documentation. In an attempt to conclude the exercise, KCCA publicly advertised the call for

claimants and the deadline for submission of claims expired on February 19, 2014. 21 submissions were

received, of which, only 10 had complete documentation and were eligible for further verification; the other

11 were requested to provide additional information by 7 June 2014, and if not, will be deemed as

ineligible. Out of the 10 with complete documentation, 6 were found to be valid claims (totaling

UGX21,376,675) and these have been paid for; while the other 4 were found to be ineligible as they had

been previously paid off. Since the deadline for submission has passed, no further claims will be eligible.

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Fiduciary

49. Financial Management. In general, the project complied with project financial

management requirements and GoU financial regulations. The financial management system of

the project was generally adequate to manage project resources and a Financial Management

Manual was prepared as part of the Project Implementation Plan (PIP). Over the course of the

project implementation, quarterly financial and progress reports were prepared and reviewed

timely. Formal audits including review of financial statements were carried out annually in

accordance with the International Standards on Auditing. The last available audit confirmed that

“adequate records have been maintained concerning the project progress and financial statements

were adequately supported and presented a true and fair view of the financial position of the

project and of its operating expenditures” (as of 30 June 2013).

50. Procurement. The procurement processes, including procurement initiation, planning,

publications, bidding, evaluation and award were generally compliant with the GoU law and IDA

Procurement and Consultant guidelines. The PIP and the Procurement Plan as approved at project

design was generally adhered to and complied with, and updates were made and approved by IDA

as and when it has been required.

51. The project rightly assessed the procurement risk as High during project preparation and

built in measures to mitigate this risk. These measures included the establishment of a

Procurement and Disposable Unit (PDU) in KCC, preparation of overall project procurement plan

satisfactory to IDA, providing training to staff, sensitizing councilors on the procurement system

and law, amongst others. As KCC initially lacked procurement capacity, the procurement function

was held by the MoLG until May 2010. This introduced another layer of approval and both

contributed to, and resulted in, further unnecessary delays. A fully staffed PDU was established in

KCC only at the first project restructuring, after which, the PDU took over the responsibility for

all project procurement. The PDU greatly reduced the procurement turnaround time (time

required for Contracts Committee clearances reduced from two months to two weeks) and

improved progress on the implementation of project activities. However, the general lack of

procurement capacity in KCC/KCCA21

was a factor throughout the project. Delays were

frequently experienced in the procurement process (the final two Implementation Status and

Results Report both rated procurement as moderately unsatisfactory).

52. In general, KCCA had developed controls for Internal Audit, Financial Management and

Procurement and made efforts to integrate financial management into the KCCA framework. The

draft KCCA financial management manuals, internal audit manuals and procurement management

manual are underway to be approved. Arrangements were also made to bring on board the Quality

Assurance Unit within the Internal Audit Directorate to address weaknesses in covering project

procurement activities.

2.5 Post-completion Operation/Next Phase

53. Preparation of a follow on project, KIIDP II has just been completed and Board Approval

obtained on March 20, 2014. KIIDP II adopts the Investment Project Financing (IPF) instrument

as the APL instrument is no longer available. The objective of KIIDP II builds upon the

foundation of KIIDP and, along the same lines, seeks to “enhance infrastructure and institutional

21 The procurement audit conducted in October 2013 for FY2011/2012 found that “the PDU team lacked

appreciation or proficiency in procurement management under IDA financed projects with limited

experience especially in procurement processing for works contracts. This is based on the findings carried

out on all assessed civil works files where there is little or no participation of the PDU with contract

management issues.”

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capacity of KCCA to improve urban mobility in Kampala.” KIIDP II continued the alignment

with the original thinking of KIIDP as an APL, and focused its support on scaling up service

deliver through large scale infrastructure works with more substantial funding. Its design has also

incorporated various lessons learnt from KIIDP and built in appropriate measures to enhance

results. This includes: (i) supporting the client to develop capacity for rigorous due diligence

before award of contracts; (ii) preparing larger contract packages so as to attract bigger and more

competent firms, with option of joint ventures or sub-contracting of critical elements such as

drainage structures; (iii) improving capacity to manage safeguards, including technical and

financial arrangements for timely compensation; and (iv) further strengthening of KCCA

technical capacity through technical assistance and recruitment of critical staff in the relevant

technical departments.

3. Assessment of Outcomes

54. As the PDO level indicators changed during the first restructuring, a split evaluation has

been carried out.

3.1 Relevance of Objectives, Design and Implementation

55. The overall relevance of objectives, design and implementation is Satisfactory.

56. The overall project objectives was and remains highly relevant and consistent with the

country’s current development priorities, as well as the Bank’s current country and sectoral

assistance strategies and corporate goals (cross reference to section 2.1). At the country level, the

project objectives were in line with the IDA’s long-term CAS for Uganda. The project objectives

were highly in line with, and referred directly to supporting the implementation and priority

activities of the SFR-II.

57. The project design addressed the objectives of the KCC/KCCA institutional reforms

which were critical for delivering the much-needed services and infrastructure for Kampala. The

project components mirrored the priority activities identified in the SFR-II, which the project

sought to support (as discussed earlier under the project design section). The project design is

commendable for striving to be fully integrated within the mainstream government strategy and

framework. It is notable that KCCA maintained their focus on the reform agenda outlined in APL

1 and as a result by project closing all triggers for proceeding with the second phase of the APL

(APL 2) were met.

58. The Bank’s implementation assistance was responsive to changing needs and context.

When the new KCCA was formed to replace KCC, the PDO and project design were re-examined

during the MTR and found to continue to be relevant to the new institution and needs of Kampala.

In addition, as some sub-component activities were dropped due to a decrease in the funding

balance for such activities, the team worked with KCCA to select those sub-projects of the highest

priority and potential impact, based on previous studies conducted (for example, the Lubigi

primary channel works was retained while secondary and tertiary drainage channel works were

dropped) .

3.2 Achievement of Project Development Objectives

59. The project development objective was to “support the Recipient’s efforts to improve the

institutional efficiency of Kampala City Council (KCC), through the implementation of the

Strategic Framework for Reform of the KCC”. The PDO consisted of two inter-related parts, the

achievements against each are further assessed below. (The complete results framework and

details are included in the datasheet on page vii.)

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(i) Improve institutional efficiency of KCC

60. The overall focus and objective of the project was to support the institutional

improvements of KCC and later KCCA. Indeed, during the lifetime of the project, KCC/KCCA’s

institutional efficiency improved dramatically despite the challenging broader environment.

Impressive achievements have been made especially in two areas: KCC/KCCA’s (i) financial

health and (ii) governance.

61. The financial health improvements were clearly demonstrated through three of the four

original PDO-level indicators (ie. reduce overdue liabilities, increase in KCC own source revenue

(OSR) and increase share of KCC own source revenue spent on service delivery). These

indicators were more closely related to the PDO and therefore should receive a higher weightage

in determining how well the PDO is achieved. These three PDO-level indicators were all met by

the first restructuring and in fact, performed exceptionally well (although the indicator on

“increase share of KCC own source revenue spent on service delivery” was slightly short of

eventual target). KCCA greatly reduced its stock of overdue liability, from UGX 8 billion to 0

billion; and increased its OSR from UGX 22 billion at project start in FY2005/2006 to UGX

55.71 billion by FY2012/13 at the end of the project - a 166 percent achievement above the set

target. This is largely a result of the successful implementation of KCCA’s Financial Recovery

Action Plan (FRAP) and the notable improvements made in the collection of current property

rates, local service tax and hotel tax.

62. In addition, substantial improvements in governance have been achieved, especially after

the transition to KCCA. The last assessment of implementation of the KIIDP governance

assessment and action plan (GAAP) showed a significant paradigm shift towards better

governance and anti-corruption (GAC). The leadership team introduced a new results-driven

working culture that included a dynamic and aggressive approach to addressing GAC issues.

KCCA management has been taking action on a range of transparency and accountability issues,

key of which is the enforcement of a zero tolerance policy for corruption, taking appropriate

disciplinary actions22 on errant staff and immediate sanctioning of staff involved in corrupt

activities. In addition, KCCA management introduced a performance based compensation system

for key staff and staff is being appraised bi-annually using the balance score system. There is also

enhanced engagement of citizen and civil society organizations (CSOs), as reflected by: (i)

holding a series of grassroots neighborhood dialogues modelled along the traditional “baraza”

meetings, (ii) establishing a formal public consultation process with annual budget meetings held

for all stakeholders; and (iii) increasing public engagement through websites and social media.

Many of these were a result of KIIDP inputs including, amongst others, the staff performance-

based compensation system, enforcing the code of conduct, improvements in records management

system of the general administration, various communication strategy implementation and

trainings for staff.

63. KIIDP’s contribution to institutional improvements are mainly achieved through the

following: (i) revenue enhancement activities supported under the project which led to increase in

own-source revenue; (ii) technical assistance (TA) and policy dialogues conducted as part of the

project which influenced changes in behavior and mindset of KCC/KCCA leadership and staff;

(iii) effective systems put in place and supported under KIIDP to improve governance; (iv)

capacity building activities such as training for staff, equipping them with necessary skills

relevant to their functional roles; and (v) enhanced communication, consultation and rebranding

activities supported under KIIDP which improved KCCA’s image and relation with the public. It

is noted that the KIIDP served a demonstrative role and supplemented the overall institutional

improvement efforts being concurrently undertaken through non-KIIDP initiatives and resources.

22 In FY2012/13 disciplinary actions were taken on a total of 31 KCCA staff (16 termination, 8 interdictions,

3 warnings, and 4 interdictions being lifted).

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64. In addition, the institutional focus of KIIDP as a phase 1 APL is also illustrated by: (i) the

key actions/conditions to be met as agreed during KIIDP project preparation23

(these included

formal adoption of the SFR-II; approval of codes of conduct for KCC Councilors and Officers;

preparation of the Kampala Financial Recovery Action Plan (FRAP) including completion of the

valuation rolls of all properties in Kampala and setting up a revenue task team; completion of the

process for organizational restructuring of KCC on the basis of the approved structure; and

incorporation of the Kampala Citizens’ Score Card in the SFR); and (ii) APL triggers (such as

performance based compensation system implemented for key staff, enforcement of the

leadership code, media strategy implemented, reduce the stock of overdue liability, increase own

source revenue, provision and release of adequate O&M budget, infrastructure investments

selected based on sound appraisal and public consultation etc.) under the project. As the

institution was required to meet these conditions and targets before embarking on the project and

before moving to the second phase of the APL respectively, this provided large incentives to

achieve the required institutional improvements

65. By the first restructuring in November 2010, great progress had already been made with

regards to institutional reform of the then KCC - three of the four PDO-level outcomes more

closely related to the PDO had all been achieved24

. Due to the impressive achievement, the final

targets for these three indicators were further raised during the restructuring, setting the bar even

higher.

(ii) Implementation of the SFR-II.

66. Implementation of the SFR-II was the key vehicle chosen to support realization of the

PDO, and it is an appropriate one. As discussed in Section 2.1, the SFR-II strategies largely

addressed institutional improvements and it further identified priority activities in four key areas:

(i) institutional development; (ii) city-wide infrastructure and service improvement; (iii) civil

society participation and management; and (iv) monitoring and evaluation. As the overall

achievement of the PDO on improving institutional efficiency has already been discussed above,

the following discussion focuses on the achievements of the infrastructure and services.

67. One of the original four PDO-level indicators was directly related to the implementation

of infrastructure ie. the “Increase in public satisfaction in service delivery in (a) Roads, (b)

Drainage and (c) Solid waste”. This indicator has not been met by project closure. This indicator

is measured by results from the CRCS25

. It is noted that the CRCS does not pertain solely to

KIIDP-specific infrastructure and services but measures performance in the whole of Kampala,

which KIIDP infrastructure only contributed marginally to26

. As such, the results from the CRCS

could not be taken as a direct reflection of the beneficiaries’ satisfaction with infrastructure and

services provided under KIIDP. While the indicator is not a good proxy of project impact, it is a

key indicator of the SFR-II and a useful measure reflecting overall improvements of infrastructure

and service delivery in the city. The CRCS showed that overall, there was vast improvement in

23 The project preparation was pre-conditioned to KCC taking certain initial measures towards

implementation of the SFR to enable KCC to demonstrate its commitment to the reform agenda. 24

The PDO indicators achieved were: (i) Reduce overdue liabilities from Ushs 8 billion to Ushs 3 billion;

(ii) The share of KCC own source revenue spent on service delivery increase from 10% to 30%; and (iii)

increase in KCC own source revenue from Ushs 22 billion to Ushs 30 billion. 25

The methodology for the Citizens Report Card survey combined both quantitative and qualitative

methods that included face-to-face interviews, focus group discussions, personal interviews and literature

review. 26

For example, in terms of roads improvement, approximately 12km of road upgrading was targeted to be

completed under KIIDP, compared to approximately 100km of roads reconstructed by KCC/KCCA during

the same period, and in a city with about 1,200 km of road network in total.

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the satisfaction level with KCCA services from 2005 to 2011 and 2012. Satisfaction levels have

risen in the areas of solid waste, roads and drainage, which in fact coincide with the areas of

infrastructure improvements undertaken in KIIDP. (Refer to Annex 5 for more detail.) In addition,

two new PDO-level indicators added during the first restructuring were associated with measuring

infrastructure implementation: (i) average traffic growth on KIIDP upgraded roads; and (ii)

number of people directly affected by floods along Lubigi Channel. Both indicators were met by

project closing.

68. However, some of the infrastructure works were not completed27

by project closure: (i)

the Lubigi Channel works was 98% complete; (ii) three out of six roads were 100% upgraded

(while Kimera Road was at 90% completion, Soweto Road at 75% completion and the funding of

Salaama Road was taken over by KCCA during project implementation; all road works were

completed by end May 2014); and (iii) solid waste management works were around 90%

completed.

69. As implementation of the infrastructure works faced multiple challenges throughout the

project, little progress had been made in the infrastructure works by the first project restructuring

(mainly due to the delays in credit effectiveness and delays in RAP implementation, as explained

earlier). The infrastructure work scope was then reduced during the restructuring as the balance in

funding for such works was reduced (four out of eight intermediate level indicators were dropped

as a result). This inherently reduced the potential impact that could have been achieved if the

original scope of work was kept (however, several priority works have been moved to KIIDP II).

After project restructuring, the implementation challenges were largely attributed to poor

contractual management and supervision (as the then KCC had inadequate capacity) and

insufficient contractors capacities (inadequate financial and equipment). Rigorous contract

management measures came too late in the project implementation by the time of the new KCCA

administration. (Factors affecting project implementation were discussed in Section 2.2.)

70. The infrastructure built under the project achieved visible, positive impacts. On the

upgraded roads, the immediate impact included improved accessibility and better traffic flow. In

addition, observations made during site visits and discussion with residents and road users post

project completion revealed additional benefits such as: (i) general improvement in the

environment (due to better road conditions and roadside drains provided), (ii) improved safety and

security (due to the provision of sidewalks and street lights), and (iii) longer business hours

enabled for the business and shops along the improved roads. For the Lubigi channel

improvement, it allowed for better drainage, reduction in flooding in the Bwaise, Kawala and

Kalerwe areas and other environmental benefits (such as reduced incidences of diseases and

enhanced public health and environmental cleanliness). From focus group 28 conducted with

communities in the area, respondents indicated that the construction has resulted in an immediate

reduction in flooding. Lastly for the landfill improvements, it allowed for extended life and

increased capacity of solid waste disposal.

3.3 Efficiency

71. The overall efficiency of the project is Satisfactory.

Economic and Financial Analysis of Components

72. For Component 1, the relevant PDO-level indicators performed exceptionally well –

especially the stock of overdue liability was reduced from UGX 8 billion to 0 billion; and its OSR

27 KCCA has set aside budget within its own resources and will fund the necessary completion of remaining

works. 28

Conducted as part of the CRCS 2012.

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was increased from UGX 22 billion to UGX 55.71 billion. A potential economic analysis on this

component will examine the performance of in a with-and-without project scenario. However,

data to support such a counterfactual analysis is unavailable. As a proxy and taking the indicator

on increase in OSR for KCC/KCCA, a comparison is made between the period before the project

commenced and that during the project implementation. The results showed that the average

annual growth rate of the OSR for the seven years (FY00-06) leading up to the start of the project

was 6.4%. In contrast, that for the project period (FY0629

-FY14) was at 12.2% - almost double

that of the previous period. (See figure below.)

Comparison of OSR Annual Growth Rate Before and During KIIDP

73. In addition, there are two main sub-components in KIIDP which directly supported the

outcome of institutional achievement: Organizational Development & Governance (project cost of

US$1.46mil) and Support to Financial Recovery (project cost of US$0.16 mil), at total project

cost of US$1.62mil. This is, comparatively a much smaller sum with respect to the leveraged gain

– such as the OSR increase of approximately UGX33.71 billion (or approximately US$17 mil) (in

addition to many other benefits as discussed earlier), demonstrating potentially very high

efficiency (as noted earlier not all the institutional gains could be attributed solely to KIIDP.)

74. For Component 2, the economic analysis was conducted for the infrastructure works

mainly for roads and drainage system (details of the analysis are included in Annex 3). Results of

the project efficiency and economic analysis showed that the main infrastructure investments

yielded largely positive NPVs with an overall EIRR of 29.8% for the roads improvements and

approximately 17.5% for the Lubigi Channel.

Roads Improvement

75. The approach used for the economic analysis is the cost-benefit analysis of a “with” or

“without project” case. The economic analysis is based on homogenous road sections, in terms of

physical characteristics, traffic and road condition. The Highway Development and Management

Model (HDM-4) was used as the analytical tool. The roads analyzed are those completed under

KIIDP, including Bukoto-Kisaasi Road, Kalerwe-Tula Road, Kawempe-Mpererwe Road, Kimera

Road and Soweto Road. The discount rate used for the analysis is 12 percent, and the analysis

period is 20 years with the base year for the analysis as 2012.

29 Baseline was set using FY06 figures although project was approved in 2007.

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

UG

X (

Bill

ion

)

Year

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76. The main benefits of the roads improvement are savings in vehicle operating costs (VOC)

and savings in passenger travel time. Net benefits were estimated using HDM-4 which simulates

road life cycle and vehicle operation conditions and costs for multiple road design and

maintenance alternatives. Vehicle operating costs were for nine vehicle classes. Periodic

maintenance and upgrading costs estimated in financial terms were converted into economic

terms (net of taxes). The benefits are calculated in terms of savings in road user costs. It was

found that the savings in VOC is US$17.37 million and the savings in travel time cost is US$3.00

million, both discounted over the analysis period. (It is assumed there are no savings in accident

costs for the KIIDP road improvements as much anecdotal evidence in Africa suggest that the

frequency of accidents may actually increase after unpaved roads are improved to tarmac surface

as vehicle speed increases.) In addition, when compared with estimated benefits during appraisal,

those at project closing were higher for both the savings in VOC and travel time cost.

77. The economic analysis of KIIDP road improvements at project closing found that the

overall Net Present Value (NPV) is US$13.098 million with an EIRR 0f 29.8%, NPV/RAC ratio

1.31 and overall Benefit-Cost Ratio of 2.31. Three road projects yielded positive NPVs and

EIRRs greater than the discount rate of 12% and two roads gave negative NPVs and EIRRs less

than 12%. (As compared with analysis done during appraisal, phase 1 roads – Bukoto-Kisaasi,

Kalerwe-Tula and Kawempe-Mpererwe all yielded much higher NPVs and EIRRs at project

closing than the appraisal estimates. However, phase 2 roads – Kimera and Soweto roads had

much higher actual construction cost per km and both yielded negative NPV. Overall, the EIRR at

project closing is slightly less but close to that determined at appraisal. The net benefit at project

closing is greater than that at project appraisal by US$4.45 million.) The approximate timing

when the discounted cumulative net benefit of investments will become positive (i.e. the break-

even point) was determined to be Year 7 (i.e. 2018 since the base year for this analysis is 2012).

Comparison of Economic Indicators for Roads at Appraisal and Project Closing

Road

Name

Economic

Indicators

At Appraisal

(from PAD)

At Project

Closing

Comments

Bukoto -

Kisaasi

EIRR % 38 67.8 The net benefit at project closing is

almost 5 times higher than that at

appraisal. The difference is US$ 8.259

million, notwithstanding the relatively

higher actual cost per km.

NPV (US$ mil) 2.113 10.372

B/C Not available 5.36

Unit Cost

US$ per km

403,333 779,636

Kalerwe -

Tula

EIRR % 17 25.5 The net benefit at project closing is

almost 6.5 times higher than that at

appraisal. The difference is US$ 2.202

million, notwithstanding the relatively

higher actual cost per km.

NPV (US$ mil) 0.399 2.601

B/C Not available 1.94

Unit Cost

US$ per km

368,421 869,261.32

Kawempe-

Mpererwe

EIRR % 15 17.7 The net benefit at project closing is

almost 4 times higher than that at

appraisal. The difference is US$ 0.547

million, notwithstanding the relatively

higher actual cost per km.

NPV (US$ mil) 0.191 0.738

B/C Not available 1.37

Unit Cost

US$ per km

333,333 873,736.55

Kimera2 EIRR % 32 7.9 The net benefit at appraisal is positive

but the net benefit at project closing is

negative US$ 0.378 million. This can be

attributed to the very high actual

construction cost per km (more than

twice the estimated unit cost).

NPV (US$ mil) 0.225 -0.378

B/C Not available 0.73

Unit Cost

US$ per km

805,714.11 1 1,753,480.89

Soweto2 EIRR % Not analysed 9.6 This road was not included in the

economic appraisal (not stated in PAD). NPV (US$ mil) Not analysed -0.256

B/C Not analysed 0.84

Unit Cost

US$ per km

Not analysed 303,921.31

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Overall3 EIRR % 32 29.8 The EIRR at project closing is slightly

less but close to that determined at

Appraisal. The net benefit at project

closing is greater than that at project

appraisal by US$ 4.45 million.

However, it is important to consider the

notes below the table.

NPV (US$ mil) 8.648 13.098

B/C Not available 2.31

Unit Cost

US$ per km

Not available 1,027,621.21

Notes Used conversion of UGX1 = US$0.0005 according to PAD conversion 1 Based on estimated cost in 2007

2 Values assume fully completed roads.

3 For PAD the list includes other roads that were dropped (e.g. St Barnabas Road)

78. After being subjected to sensitivity analysis using 15% increase in construction and

maintenance cost and 15% decrease in total benefits in both cases, the NPVs of the three roads

remained positive and of the other two roads remained negative. A simultaneous increase of 15%

in total construction and maintenance costs on one hand and a decrease of 15% in total benefits on

the other resulted in an overall NPV of US$8.951 million at a discount rate of 12% and an overall

EIRR of 23.1%, indicating that the selected projects represent a positive return on investment

even in a worst case scenario.

Drainage system improvement

79. The Lubigi primary drainage system is 14km long with 17 secondary channels totaling

45km located within and outside the Kampala District boundary. Under KIIDP, the improvement

of 3.6km of the Lubigi channel was implemented. The basis of the economic analysis of the

drainage sub-component is the cost-benefit analysis of a “With Project” and a “Without Project”.

The cost-benefit analysis evaluates the project capital and maintenance costs for the channel

improvement, compared with the associated benefits of better drainage. The design of the channel

is for a 10-year return storm period with an economic life of 40 years and the base year of analysis

is 2011, at the start of project implementation, with actual construction period of 2.5 years. In

addition, it is assumed: GDP growth rate at 5.5% per annum, population growth rate of 3.9% and

inflation rate at 7.8% per annum. The cost-benefit evaluations of the drainage subcomponent are

based on detailed data collected and presented in Kampala Drainage Master Plan (KDMP) in

March 2003 with updated costs to December 2013.

80. The estimated cost for Lubigi channel under KIIDP is US$ 8,755,463 and the actual cost

of implementation is US$ 11,633,655 (including consultancy services and resettlement

compensation). A conservative value of 1% of capital investment costs has been assumed to cover

the annual operating and maintenance costs for the Lubigi channel. The operational and

maintenance costs are therefore US$ 116,337 per annum.

81. The main inferred benefits are both quantifiable and non-quantifiable. Among the

quantifiable are: savings from prevention of road damage and damage to property and structures,

prevention of disruption to commercial and industrial activities and traffic, additional income

from rentals. In addition, notional amounts are assigned to savings in agricultural produce and

reduced health and environmental impacts.

82. Investment in Lubigi channel yielded positive NPVs at US$6.5 million for the base

scenario and EIRRs greater than 12%. The sensitivity analysis indicates that the implemented

project has a positive return on investment even for the worst case scenario of 15% increase in

cost and 15% decrease in benefits. In addition, the net benefit determined at project closing is

much greater than the amount estimated at appraisal, at a difference of US$ 5.793 million. The

approximate timing when the discounted cumulative net benefit of investments will become

positive (i.e. the break-even point) was determined to be Year 15 (i.e. 2025 since the base year for

this analysis is 2011).

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Comparison of Economic Indicators for Lubigi Channel at Appraisal and Project Closing Economic

Indicators

At Appraisal

(from PAD)

At Project

Closing

Comments

EIRR % 14.0 17.5 The net benefit determined from evaluation at

project closing is much greater than the

amount estimated at appraisal. The difference

is US$ 5.793 million.

NPV (US$ mil) 0.708 6.501

3.4 Justification of Overall Outcome Rating

83. Based on all the assessment discussed earlier, the overall project outcome is rated

Moderately Satisfactory, with a rating of Moderately Satisfactory as measured against the original

PDO/targets and Moderately Satisfactory against revised PDO/targets (refer to split evaluation

calculations in table below).

Overall Outcome Rating

Ratings

Against Original

PDO/Targets

Against Revised

PDO/Targets Overall

1. Relevance Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory

2. Achievements Moderately

Satisfactory

Moderately

Satisfactory

Moderately

Satisfactory

3. Efficiency Moderately

Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory

Overall Rating Moderately

Satisfactory

Moderately

Satisfactory -

Rating Value 4 4 -

Weighted

(% disbursed before/after

revision)

10.54%30

89.40% 99.94%31

Weighted Value 0.42 3.58 4.00

Final rating (rounded) - - Moderately

Satisfactory

Note: Ratings and values- Highly Satisfactory=6; Satisfactory=5; Moderately Satisfactory=4; Moderately

Unsatisfactory=3; Unsatisfactory=2; and Highly Unsatisfactory=1

3.5 Overarching Themes, Other Outcomes and Impacts

(a) Poverty Impacts, Gender Aspects, and Social Development

84. The project contributed to poverty reduction, gender and social development. While no

detailed analysis or data were conducted to demonstrate the poverty dimensions of the project,

KIIDP benefitted all the residents, visitors and businesses of Kampala. As described earlier,

improvements supported under KIIDP contributed to the more efficient functioning of Kampala,

and therefore supports firm growth and job creation which in turn reduces poverty. In addition,

attention to gender and community issues were reflected on various levels under KIIDP, including

the project design (as a sub-component under Component 1 and as capacity building activities)

30 Project disbursement is US$3.54 million as on October 5, 2010, before the first project restructuring.

31 Total project disbursement is US$33.58 million i.e. 99.94% of the total US$33.6 million IDA credit.

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and approach (adopting the Harmonized Participatory Planning Guidelines (HPPG)32

). The

investments identified, prioritized and funded have been done in a participatory, transparent and

accountable manner. Similarly, the same participatory processes were observed during

implementation and for monitoring and evaluation. Related to this were the efforts in public

consultations (“barazas” and CRCS) and the piloting of a gender community welfare policy under

the KIIDP (this is awaiting the final approval for implementation).

(b) Institutional Change/Strengthening

85. KIIDP significantly contributed to strengthening the institutional efficiency and capacity

of KCC/KCCA, as well as overall governance. The development objective of the project is

directly linked to institutional change and improvements. In particular, Component 1 was

designed to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of KCC/KCCA and capacity/productivity of

its staff while Component 2 supports this objective as well. (Refer to earlier sections.)

(c) Other Unintended Outcomes and Impacts (positive or negative)

86. NA

3.6 Summary of Findings of Beneficiary Survey and/or Stakeholder Workshops

87. No specific beneficiary survey or stakeholder workshop was conducted for KIIDP.

However, throughout the project period, various stakeholder meetings (citizens’ forum and

“barazas”) were held and two CRCS (in 2011 and 2012) on service level and quality for Kampala

as a whole, were conducted. Various consultative and feedback meetings were also held with

different stakeholders at ward and divisional levels.

88. In general, there was vast improvement in the satisfaction level with KCCA services from

2005 (which set the baseline for KIIDP) to 2011 and 201233

. Even just focusing on 2011 to 2012,

respondents who were either very satisfied or satisfied with KCCA services rose significantly

from only 5% in the 2011 CRCS to 30% in 2012; the level of dissatisfaction has also fallen

dramatically from 70% in 2011 to 25% in 2012. For specific areas including solid waste, roads

and drainage, satisfaction levels have also risen. These coincides with the infrastructure

improvements areas under KIIDP. (Refer to Annex 5 for more details.)

4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome

89. The likelihood of risks occurring which will be detrimental to maintaining the

development outcome is Moderate.

90. All new and rehabilitated assets of KIIDP are expected to be managed and maintained by

KCCA and the relevant division urban councils. Under the directorate of Engineering and

Technical Services of the KCCA, budgetary provisions have been made to regularly repair and

maintain the infrastructure built under the project, including the roads, Lubigi channel and the

extension of landfill. Also, Kampala receives funding for road maintenance under the Road

Fund34

which will ensure the sustainability of KIIDP roads.

32 The HPPG is a framework formulated and promoted by both local authorities and civil society in Uganda

and has the aim of promoting citizen empowerment and social inclusion. 33

The Citizens Report Card Survey was conducted twice during the project period, in 2011 and 2012.

While designed as an annual exercise, the lapse in the early years of KIIDP was mainly due to the transition

from KCC to KCCA. 34

The Road Fund allocation to KCCA is assumed to increase by 5 percent per annum, taking FY2012/13 as

the base year which will adequately cover the future maintenance of KIIDP roads.

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91. Other relevant reasons which reduces the risk to development outcomes are:

a. Strong commitment demonstrated by GoU and KCCA to the new Corporate Strategy,

the successor to the SFR;

b. Adequate capacity and resources of KCCA and the relevant division urban councils

in managing and maintaining the infrastructure built under the Project especially

given its relatively small scale; and Continuity of support. KIIDP was conceived as

part of a larger program. Indeed, the Bank will continue to support institutional and

infrastructure investments in Kampala through the follow-on KIIDP II. This will

enable continued efforts in improving capacity development and ensure the

sustainability of KIIDP outcomes.

92. However, the sustainability of the outcome is at risk from the relative instability of KCCA

as a new organization. KCCA is yet to be fully staffed (currently at about 30% of the approved

establishment) and faces friction between political and technical wing (as mentioned earlier under

factors affecting implementation). This poses risks to the overall effective institutional

functioning of KCCA and its delivery of infrastructure and services.

5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance

5.1 Bank Performance

(a) Bank Performance in Ensuring Quality at Entry

Rating: Moderately Satisfactory

93. KIIDP was a continuation of the Bank’s engagement with GoU in support of the

development of Kampala City since the 1990s. The Bank appropriately identified the key issues

and designed a highly relevant operation, adopting the country’s own strategy, and responded to

the critical needs of the city. The project design was based on analytical work from previous

projects and the process was carried out with full participation and buy-in from the GoU and KCC.

However, the project could have been more conservative and designed to have fewer

infrastructure activities and a longer implementation period. The indicator targets on “increase in

public satisfaction in service delivery” could have been tailored to KIIDP work scope

(documented as a subset of the CRCS) to allow better attribution of impacts.

(b) Quality of Supervision

Rating: Satisfactory

94. Supervision was adequate and intensive, averaging two full missions per year with

continual support by staff in the Bank's Kampala office (averaging one meeting every fortnight).

The team worked effectively with both KCC/KCCA teams during the transition period to ensure

proper handing over and continued commitment towards achieving the PDO. Missions responded

to implementation issues in a timely manner as they were emerging and repeatedly urged for

necessary actions to be taken by the implementing agency. For example, restructuring and

extension of project closing dates were initiated when the project was not on track to meet its

development objective. The team also focused on contractual, procurement and supervision issues

which prevented further such problems from arising. However, the revision of indicators and

targets of the monitoring and evaluation framework during project restructuring could have been

more rigorous (e.g. revise the public satisfaction indicator and targets).

(c) Justification of Rating for Overall Bank Performance

95. Based on the assessment of performance at project entry and during supervision, the

overall Bank performance is rated Moderately Satisfactory.

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5.2 Borrower Performance

(a) Government Performance

Rating: Moderately Satisfactory

96. The government remained committed to the project and its objectives throughout the

project period. There was close cooperation between GoU, KCC/KCCA and the World Bank and

responses from GoU were generally prompt. GoU continuously showed concern and followed up

on the project progress with the implementation agency. However, project effectiveness was

delayed for almost a year while waiting for parliament approval. Government commitment of

project counterpart funding was not fully realized, and not paid on schedule, causing major delays

in implementing the RAP, and thus negatively impacting the overall project implementation

timetable and costs. (However, after KCCA took over the counterpart funding responsibility from

GoU from 2012, it has adequately provided for the counterpart funding to the project since.)

(b) Implementing Agency or Agencies Performance

Rating: Moderately Satisfactory

97. There were inherent challenges during the transition from KCC to KCCA, mainly due to

changes in leadership and direction, funding constraints, entire staff turnover, time required for

staff recruitment, general uncertainty during the change, tension between outgoing and incoming

KIIDP project team etc. Despite the statutory, administrative and structural changes during the

transition, the implementing agency remained committed to the project and its objectives,

devoting a core team of staff to oversee the implementation. The new KCCA KIIDP project team

also demonstrated an improvement in attitude and performance. The KCCA team maintained

close engagement with Bank staff, and its Executive Director showed keen interest regarding

project implementation issues. A number of innovative solutions (such as use of escrow accounts

to address working capital constraints for contractors) were employed leading to improvements in

the implementation progress of civil works.

98. However, KCC/KCCA faced multiple challenges during implementation, largely due to

inadequate staffing and capacity constraints. Lapses were encountered in the enforcement and

implementation of RAP, resulting in escalated overall costs. Capacities in procurement, safeguard

measures, contractual management and supervision were lacking during implementation and

therefore, the environmental mitigation or safeguard measures recommended could not be taken

up speedily sometimes.

(c) Justification of Rating for Overall Borrower Performance

99. Based on the assessment of government and implementing agency performance, the

overall borrower performance is rated Moderately Satisfactory.

6. Lessons Learned

100. Strengthening country systems and strategy. The KCCA made impressive progress in

governance and institutional efficiency. One key factor was that instead of re-inventing the wheel,

KIIDP adopted, complemented and strengthened the organization’s strategy – the SFR and filled

in the resource gap where needed. This was essential to the sustainability of the institutional

objectives as it ensured ownership, was not disruptive, avoided duplication and increased

efficiency in resource usage and implementation. It also allowed transferability and flexibility -

where possible, when conditions matured and capacity was sufficiently built up, project activities

were mainstreamed within the directorates of the KCCA. For example, activities to enhance

revenue management capacity and expenditure management, and to establish a framework for

reduction and control of expenditure originally planned under KIIDP were mainstreamed and

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taken over by the relevant KCCA directorates during the course of the project. The process was

largely seamless and ensured high sustainability and ownership.

101. Managing external influences and risks. KIIDP made a commendable effort in

proactively addressing such external risks through its project design. These proved to be largely

effective. This was demonstrated through two main examples: (i) provision of conditions in the

FA to ensure continued commitment and uninterrupted implementation of KIIDP in view of the

transition of KCC to KCCA; and (ii) building in a KIIDP specific GAC action plan (as part of a

larger KCCA wide GAC action plan) to strengthen GAC around KIIDP and reduce corruptive

practices which may affect the project impacts.

102. Sustaining Institutional and governance improvements. Broader lessons could be drawn

from the improvements made by KCC/KCCA in its institutional efficiency and governance.

- Firstly, there is a strong continuity in the reform direction despite the transit of KCC

to KCCA. The new entity did not abandon the original SFR, rather built upon it. The

successor to the SFR- the Corporate Strategy (2013 – 2018) – has largely similar

focus: (i) KCCA institutional development, (ii) infrastructure and civil works; (iii)

social services development, and (iv) economic growth, sustainability and

development.

- Secondly, the SFR was comprehensive and adopted a multi-pronged approach,

covering a range of areas from institution policy formulation and performance;

political support, management and teamwork; organizational reform; management

systems; communication and corporate image building; to financial recovery; works

and physical planning and public health.

- Thirdly, the implementation of the SFR, through translating the strategies into actual

actions, was effective overall. A detailed analysis will be needed to properly study the

multitude of reasons for effective implementation. However, a few of the observable

factors were strong leadership and commitment and increased capacity of staff.

KIIDP also played a key role contributing to the implementation.

103. Strengthening contract management and implementation.. One of the key challenges of

the project was effective and timely implementation of the infrastructure works. Several lessons

can be drawn from the experience:

- Rigorous client due diligence – Implementing agencies should enforce more stringent

standards when conducting due diligence before contract award so as to avoid

awarding contracts to firms which do not have the requisite technical staff, equipment

and financial resources to deliver the task.

- Contract packaging – Civil works contracts should be packaged in such a way that

they provide sufficient incentives to attract competent firms with the necessary

capacity and resources to deliver on the assignment.

- Supervision – It is crucial for the implementing agency to check on the performance

of both the contractor and supervising consultants directly and frequently. The team

should also be vigilant in detecting any indication of any potential issues so as to take

the necessary mitigation measures as soon as possible.

104. Ensuring timely RAP implementation. Ensuring that there is sufficient human and

financial capacity for timely and complete implementation of RAPs requires upfront planning and

preparation. Weak capacity in safeguard handling can significantly delay infrastructure

investments, inflate project costs and may lead to adjustments to project design. Making adequate

arrangements to prepare quality RAPs, setting aside funding for each RAP, and completing

compensation in a timely manner are critical factors. While these were not sufficiently provided

for in KIIDP, the design of KIIDP II RAP has taken the lessons learned into account. In particular,

the following factors were considered: (i) streamlining the RAP preparation and implementation

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process; (ii) specifying/clarifying cut-off dates early on; (iii) setting aside funding for

compensation and resettlement; (iv) establishing clear grievance management mechanism; and (v)

strengthening grievances resolution processes.

105. Application of lessons learned. The follow-on operation, KIIDP II, has taken into

consideration the above lessons from KIIDP and put in place appropriate mitigation measures.

These include: (i) supporting the client to develop capacity for rigorous due diligence before

award of contracts, (ii) preparing larger contract packages so as to attract bigger and more

competent firms, with option of joint ventures or sub-contracting of critical elements such as

drainage structures, (iii) improving capacity to manage safeguards, including technical and

financial arrangements for timely compensation, and (iv) strengthening of KCCA technical

capacity through technical assistance and recruitment of critical staff in the relevant technical

departments.

7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners

(a) Borrower/implementing agencies

106. No specific issues raised (refer to Annex 7 for a Summary of Borrower's ICR).

(b) Co-financiers NA

(c) Other partners and stakeholders NA

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Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing

(a) Project Cost by Component (in USD Million equivalent)

Components Appraisal Estimate

(USD millions)

Actual

(USD millions)

Percentage of

Appraisal

1-Institutional Development 5.80 6.93 119.48%

2-Kampala City Infrastructure

and Services Improvement 28.50 25.64 89.96%

3-Project Implementation,

Monitoring and Evaluation 2.80 3.07 109.64%

Total Project Costs 37.10 35.64 96.06%

Front-end fee PPF NA NA NA

Front-end fee IBRD NA NA NA

Total Financing Required 37.10 35.64

Total Undisbursed 0.023

Percentage Disbursed 99.94%

(b) Financing

Source of Funds Type of

Cofinancing

Appraisal

Estimate

(USD millions)

Actual

Expenditure

(including

committed)

(USD millions)

Percentage

of Appraisal

Borrower Parallel

Co-financing 3.50 2.06 58.85%

International

Development

Association (IDA)

33.60 33.58 99.94%

Total 37.10 35.64 96.06%

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Annex 2. Outputs by Component

Components/

Tasks Final Outputs

Comments

(including outputs designed at

appraisal but not delivered)

Actual

Expenditure

(USD)

Component 1: Institutional Development

Focus on institutional development activities that support organizational development and governance, the

implementation of the Financial Recovery Action Plan, and actions to enhance effectiveness of service delivery.

Component 1.1 Organizational Development & Governance

Human Resource

Management

Training (refer to detailed table

below.)

-Total number of staff trained:

76

-Technical Cooperation with

Hyderabad Municipal

Corporation. (Exchanges

through visiting delegations)

Visit to Hyderabad took place

between 19th and 25th July

2010 in Israel and Cape Town.

Performance-based

compensation system

(Performance based

compensation system for key

staff being fully implemented.)

Code of Conduct

The staff code of conduct is

being enforced. In FY2012/13

disciplinary actions were taken

on a total of 31 KCCA staff (16

termination, 8 interdictions, 3

warnings, and 4 interdictions

being lifted.)

HR Management System was

dropped during project

restructuring as the Ministry of

Public Service rolled out the

Integrated Personnel and Payroll

System (IPPS).

$582,000

General

Administration

Records management system

(in legal department),

Records management

equipment

SFR performance workshops

Completing strategic plan

development process

Printers, 25 vehicles were

procured.

$155,722

Implementation of

Communication

Strategy

PR Strategy

Public consultations &

Stakeholders engagements – 5

barazas & workshops

Publicity of new Mission,

Vision & Core Values;

Rebranding; Unveiling new

corporate identity;

communication equipment

The following items were not

implemented/deferred:

"Knowledge, attitudes and

perception survey" in end 2010

Complaints management system

Customer care desks

Client Charter

$365,719

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Education PC, Vehicles Education Information System for

KCC was dropped. $39,999

Gender Welfare &

Community

Development

Piloting gender community

welfare policy

Implementation support of

RAP (incl. training, legal

services)

$321,296

Component 1.1 Sub-Total $1,464,736

Component 1.2 Support to Financial Recovery

- Enhance revenue and management capacity, enhance expenditure management, expenditure control

Support to

Financial

Recovery

PCs, Vehicles

A study on documenting owner

occupied costs

Various activities on enhancing

revenue and management

capacity, enhancing expenditure

management and expenditure

control were mainstreamed and

taken up directly by KCCA as

they acquired sufficient capacity. $160,707

Component 1.2 Sub-Total $160,707

Component 1.3 Strengthening Service Delivery

Strategic Plan for

Health &

Environment

Services

HIV/AIDS workplace strategy

Capacity Building for EMP

Environment audit

Vehicles, PC

$414,806

Works

(Engineering

Services)

Quality assurance system for

infra;

Vehicles, PC

Engineering software

$298,328

Urban Planning &

Land Management

Update Kampala Physical

Development Plan;

Hardware/software - GIS

Vehicles

$3,789,022

ICT

Extension of network;

IT equipment (Network servers,

radios, UPS, Routers and

switches

75 computers, 5 multipurpose

photo copiers, 75 IP phones, 2

smart board screens and a 65”

LED smart screen

Software

$672,992

Component 1.3 Sub-Total $5,175,148

COMPONENT 1 SUB-TOTAL $6,800,591

Component 2: Kampala City Wide Infrastructure and Services Improvement

Component 2 will finance infrastructure mainly focusing on rehabilitation of high priority infrastructure which

were identified as critical to maintaining the productivity and welfare of the City and that the proposed activities

are ready for implementation. The objectives of the physical investments are the preservation of the current assets

and arrest the deterioration of the assets. It will enable KCC to be a functioning capital city and position itself to

attract investors.

Drainage Works Lubigi primary channel

(total length 3.6km)

Lack of funding (escalated

construction costs) led to dropping

(i) secondary channels (total

length 4km); and (ii) remedial

measures to 4 tertiary drainage

“black spots” in various parts of

$11,755,148

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the city.

Urban Traffic

Improvements Nil

Lack of funding (escalated

construction costs) led to dropping

of: (i) area traffic management;

and (ii) junctions improvement.

$0

Road Maintenance

& Upgrading

Upgrading of 11.81 km of roads.

(Namely Bukoto-Kisasi Road

(3.0km) from Kira Road to Kisasi

Road, Kalerwe Road (3.27 km)

from Gayaza Road to Tula Road,

Kawempe-Mpererwe Road

(2.46km) from Bombo Road to

Gayaza Road, Kimera Road

(0.90km) from Apollo Road to

Kawala Road, Soweto Road

(1.22km) from Gaba Road to

Lukuli Road and Salaama Road

(0.96km) from Wavamuno Road

to Kabaka’s landing site.)

Lack of funding (escalated

construction costs) led to dropping

of: i) maintenance of roads; and ii)

and dropping of incomplete

Salaama road from KIIDP (cost to

complete taken over by KCCA)

$11,905,563

Solid Waste

Management

Developed land adjacent to

existing site (Kietz Landfill);

Landfill gas collection and flaring

system dropped.

Design for new landfill was

dropped due to unavailability of

land. KCCA is in the process of

acquiring land.

$1,977,481

Markets Nil

Originally targeted for provision

of infrastructure for two markets

(Kibuli and Kawempe) eg. access,

lighting etc. and detailed design

for high priority markets.

This was dropped due to: • Lack

of funding (escalated construction

costs); • Land availability issues;

and • ADB had a plan to finance

the development of seven markets

in Kampala.

$0

COMPONENT 2 SUB-TOTAL $25,638,192

Component 3: Project Implementation Support, Monitoring and Evaluation (US$2.8 million)

Component 3 will support project management and M & E activities.

Project Support

Operating costs, personnel,

equipment, Project Audit, MTR,

Study, ICR Preparation,

Procurement Audit $2,104,030

Economic Planning

Unit

KCC M&E framework

produced.

2 Citizen Score Cards

Staff & Council Surveys

conducted

$124,825

Project Preparation

Facility $973,900

COMPONENT 3 SUB-TOTAL $3,202,755

PROJECT TOTAL $35,641,538

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Summary of Training under KIIDP (KCC) Course Dates and Location Number of

Participants

Cost in

US$

Monitoring and Evaluation February 15-March 15, 2010,

Durban, South Africa

2 18,616

Design and Implementation of a Performance

Management System

April 19-30, 2010, Mombasa,

Kenya

3 19,254

Performance Auditing May 3-14, 2010, Mbabane,

Swaziland

2 13,948

Goods and Equipment Procurement

Programme

June 7-25, 2010, Mombasa, Kenya 3 34,515

Environmental Management July 5-30, 2010, Lilongwe, Malawi 2 26,675

Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) August 9-20, 2010, Arusha,

Tanzania

5 31,840

Computer assisted Financial Management 18th

April – 13th

May 2011 2 20,090

Procurement procedures for World Bank

aided projects

November 1-12, 2010, India 5 48,801

Total Number of Staff Benefiting and Cost 24 213,739

Summary of Training under KIIDP (KCCA)

Names Course/Program Institution Cost in US$

1 Harriat Mudondo Exposure visit Municipal of Cape Town 2,971

2 Jennifer Kaggwa Exposure visit Municipal of Cape Town 2,971

3 Kaujju Peter Exposure visit Municipal of Cape Town 2,971

4 Bolingo Robert Exposure visit Municipal of Cape Town 2,971

5 Mpaata Elizabeth Exposure visit Municipal of Cape Town 2,971

6 Mutyaba Robert Exposure visit Municipal of Cape Town 2,971

7 Ndagimana Richard Exposure visit Municipal of Cape Town 2,971

8 Musoke Patrick Strategy Management (Boot camp) Kapan Norton Balanced

S.Card 15,306

9 Tumwebaze Charles Strategy Management (Boot camp) Kapan Norton Balanced

S.Card 15,306

10 Nantamu Simon Strategy Management (Boot camp) Kapan Norton Balanced

S.Card 15,306

11 Jill Aijuka Property & Asset Management ESAMI 10,094

12 Naggayi Vanessa PR and customer care ESAMI 6,085

13 Mbatudde Shiela Modernising HRM &

Development ESAMI 8,529

14 J.S Musisi Exposure visit - Israel Benchmark 3,381

15 Charles Ouma Exposure visit - Israel Benchmark 3,381

16 Jacqueline Asiimwe Exposure visit - Israel Benchmark 3,381

17 Bidong Bosco Bernard Exposure visit - Israel Benchmark 3,381

18 Bwambale Eddger Exposure visit - Israel Benchmark 3,381

19 Prisca Asiimwe Exposure visit - Israel Benchmark 3,381

20 Isaac Sempebwa Exposure visit - Israel Benchmark 3,381

21 Thomas Ssentongo South Africa - Compensation &

Benefits ESAMI 6,238

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22 Richard Lule South Africa - Org. Dev. IMTC 7,937

23 Nuwe Saison Swaziland - PCA Africa Institute for

Capacity Development 4,946

24 Bukirwa Juliet Walakira South Africa - Protocol and Events

Management IMTC 8,219

25 Josephine Mukasa South Africa - Gender IMTC 5,385

26 Kabatabire Donny Swaziland - PCA Africa Institute 7,066

27 Jennifer B. Kaggwa London - Modernizing Public

Institutions Ripa 12,884

28 Phoebe Lutaaya London - Modernizing Public

Institutions Ripa 12,884

29 Mudondo Harriet Uganda/ISRAEL UMI 9,080

30 KITONSA Edward Uganda/ISRAEL UMI 8,864

31 Edison Maseruka Uganda/ISRAEL UMI 8,864

32 Elizabeth Kamanyire Uganda/ISRAEL UMI 8,864

33 Robert Nowere Uganda/ISRAEL UMI 8,936

34 Moses Wasswa Uganda/ISRAEL UMI 8,864

35 Prosper Lwamasaka Uganda/ISRAEL UMI 8,864

36 Nambi Diana Uganda - Land Acquisition World Bank 919

37 Faridah Kiggwe Uganda World Bank 919

38 Ndiwalana Robert Uganda - Land Acquisition World Bank 919

39 Grace Abenitwe Uganda - Land Acquisition World Bank 919

40 Asiimwe Christine Uganda - Land Acquisition World Bank 919

41 Hospitality Corporate

Governance Politicians 45,632

42 Consultants Corporate

Governance Politicians 8,654

43 Disaster Preparedness Uganda 6,000

44 Luzinda Janet M & E of projects in Private and

Public Sector South Africa 8,340

45 Ishaq Mawanda Project and program management,

monitoring and control Setym 10,971

46 Charles Tumwebaze Effective Leadership and project

team management Setym 10,506

47 Innocent Silver Project management master class USA 9,437

48 Henry Kikonyongo ISO 26000 Project management Kenya 600

49 Patrick Musoke Strategy management and business

development Dubai 10,499

50 Fred Andema Cost analysis to support strategic

decisions Dubai 7,110

51 Francis Waligwa Budgeting and cost control Dubai 7,110

52 Kizza Micheal Building leaders in Urban

Transport Planning Seoul 9,650

53 Jacob Betubiza

Byamukama

Building leaders in Urban

Transport Planning Seoul 9,650

TOTAL 391,739

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Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis

A. METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS FOR ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

1. For Component 1, the two most relevant PDO-level indicators both performed exceptionally

well - the stock of overdue liability was reduced from UGX 8 billion to 0 billion; and its OSR

was increased from UGX 22 billion to UGX 55.71 billion. A potential economic analysis on

this component will examine the performance of these two indicators in a with-and-without

KIIDP scenario. However, data to support such a counterfactual analysis is unavailable. As a

proxy and taking the indicator on increase in OSR for KCC/KCCA, a comparison is made

between the period before the project commenced and that during the project implementation.

The results showed that the average annual growth rate of the OSR for the seven years (FY00-

06) leading up to the start of the project was 6.4%. In contrast, that for the project period

(FY0635

-FY14) was at 12.2% - almost double that of the previous period. (See table and

figure below).

Comparison of OSR annual growth rate before and during KIIDP

Year 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 13/14

Total Local

Revenue (UGX

Billion) 14433 18276 15816 21342 20409 24274 22251 24301 27804 30230 38296 44596 41690 55710

Average Annual

Growth Rate (%) 6.4 12.2

2. In addition, there are two main sub-components in KIIDP which directly supported the

outcome of institutional achievement: Organizational Development & Governance

(US$1.46mil) and Support to Financial Recovery (US$0.16 mil), totaling US$1.62mil. This is,

comparatively a much smaller sum compared to the leveraged gain – such as the OSR

increase of approximately US$17 mil (in addition to many other benefits as discussed earlier),

demonstrating potentially very high efficiency. (It is noted that not all the institutional gains

could be attributed solely to KIIDP.)

3. For Component 2, the economic analysis was conducted for the infrastructure works under the

three categories of intervention:

35 Baseline was set using FY06 figures although project was approved in 2007.

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

UG

X (

Bill

ion

)

Year

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Roads improvement, and

Drainage system improvement

Solid Waste improvement

1. Roads Improvement

1.1 Analytical Framework and Tool

4. The approach used for the economic analysis is the cost-benefit analysis of “with” or “without

project” case. The economic analysis is based on homogenous road sections, in terms of

physical characteristics, traffic and road condition. The list of roads considered for economic

analysis is given in Table 3.

5. HDM-4 was used as the analytical tool for this project. The HDM-4 analytical framework is

based on the concept of pavement life cycle analysis, which is typically 15 to 40 years. This is

applied to predict road deterioration, road works effects, road user effects and socio-economic

and environmental effects (Odoki and Kerali, 2000).

6. After its construction, a road pavement deteriorates as a consequence of several factors, most

notably: traffic volume and loading, pavement design, material types, construction quality,

environmental weathering and the effect of inadequate drainage systems. The rate of

pavement deterioration is directly affected by the standards of maintenance applied to repair

defects on the pavement surface or to preserve the structural integrity of the pavement thereby

permitting the road to carry traffic in accordance with its design function. Consequently, in

addition to the capital costs of road construction, the total costs that are incurred by road

agencies will depend on the standards of maintenance and improvement applied.

7. The impacts of the road condition (as well as the road design standards) on road users are

measured in terms of road user costs (RUC), and other social and environmental effects. RUC

comprise: vehicle operation costs (i.e., fuel, lubricating oil, parts consumption, maintenance

labour, tyres, depreciation, crew and overhead), costs of travel time for both passengers and

cargo due to road condition and traffic congestion, and costs to the economy of road accidents

(i.e., loss of life, injury to road users, damage to vehicles and roadside objects). The social and

environmental effects comprise: vehicle emissions, energy consumption, traffic noise and

other welfare benefits to the population served by the roads.

8. The interacting sets of costs, related to those incurred by the road authority and those incurred

by the road users, are added together over time in discounted present values. Economic

benefits are then determined by comparing the total cost streams for various maintenance and

construction alternatives with a base case, typically a ‘do nothing’ or minimum maintenance

scenario. For this research, economic benefits were calculated as the difference between the

do nothing option and the various scenarios for both options. The HDM-4 model was used to

simulate future changes to the KIIDP roads from current conditions. The reliability of the

results is dependent upon two primary considerations.

How well the data provided to the model represent the reality of current conditions

and influencing factors, in the terms understood by the model; and,

How well the predictions of the model fit the real behaviour and the interactions

between various factors for the variety of conditions to which it is applied.

Application of the HDM-4 model thus involves two important initial steps:

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Data input: a correct interpretation of the data input requirements, and achieving a

quality of input data that is appropriate to the desired reliability of the results.

Calibration of output: adjusting the model parameters to enhance the convergence of

the computed road behaviour with that observed in the field for the various

interventions. Calibration of the HDM model focuses on the components that

determine the physical quantities, costs and benefits predicted by the analyses.

9. Since HDM-4 is designed to be used in a wide range of environments, it needed to be

configured to reflect the situation in Kampala Capital City Area. The data for this relates to

traffic flows, climate zones and road types. Calibration is intended to improve the accuracy of

predicted pavement performance and vehicle resource consumption. A fundamental

assumption made prior to using HDM-4 is that the pavement performance models will be

calibrated to reflect the observed rates of pavement deterioration on the roads where the

models are applied.

10. The calibration data used were obtained from Uganda National Road Authority (UNRA). For

this level of analysis, this together with HDM-4 default data was considered adequate.

1.2 Data Requirements

The main data sets required as inputs for HDM-4 analyses are categorised as follows:

(i) Road network data: include inventory, geometry, pavement type, pavement strength, road

condition

(ii) Vehicle fleet data: include vehicle physical characteristics, tyres, utilisation, loading and

performance.

(iii) Traffic data: include details of traffic composition, volumes and growth rates, speed-flow

types and traffic flow pattern.

(iv) Road works data: include a range of construction and maintenance work items together

with their unit costs.

(v) Economic analysis components and parameters

11. The sources of data used in this study included the following: Kampala Capital City Authority,

Uganda National Road Authority, previous studies conducted in Kampala, Internet literature

review and HDM-4 parameter default values.

Road Network Data

12. The KIIDP roads were defined as a series of homogeneous road sections with unique

characteristics. The list of sections studied and the key data requirements are given in Table 2.

A major assumption made in this study was that the data used was reasonably accurate for this

level of analysis. The overall confidence level in the project data used have been qualitatively

assessed and categorised by the Consultant as “Medium”.

13. The KIIDP roads analysed are: (i) Bukoto-Kisasi Road (3km) from Kira Road to Kisasi Road,

(ii) Kalerwe-Tula Road (3.27 km) from Gayaza Road to Tula Road, (iii) Kawempe-Mpererwe

Road (2.46km) from Bombo Road to Gayaza Road, (iv) Kimera Road (0.90km) from Apollo

Road to Kawala Road, and (v) Soweto Road (1.22km) from Gaba Road to Lukuli Road.

Salaama Road (0.96km) has not been completed with KIIDP funds.

Vehicle Fleet Data

14. A representation of the vehicle fleet that use the North-South Corridor was based on grouping

vehicles of similar characteristics and the types of goods they carry. This resulted in the

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following 10 vehicle types: (i) Cars (ii) Matatu Mini Bus (iii) Medium Bus (iv) Four-wheel

Drives and Pick-up (v) Light Trucks (vi) Medium Bus (vii) Medium Truck (viii) Heavy Truck

(ix) Articulated Truck & Trailers, and (x) Motorcycles. The key vehicle fleet data used in this

study were obtained from UNRA and these are presented in Table 3. HDM-4 default data

were used where local data were not available.

Traffic Data

15. The traffic data used in this study includes annual average daily traffic (AADT) and

composition by vehicle types for each road section, and average traffic growth rate. The

AADT data was estimated on the basis of road functional class and data obtained from KCCA.

16. Details of two-way AADT including traffic composition for each of the roads studied are

given in Table 4. Traffic growth rate is assumed to be 5% per annum.

Road Works and Unit Costs

17. The primary sources of the unit cost data were KCCA and UNRA. Table 5 shows the road

work costs and a summary of the unit costs used for future periodic and routine maintenance.

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Table 2: KIIDP Roads ID Road

Name

Length

(Km)

Road Class and

Surface Class

AADT Road Condition Type of

Intervention

Implementation

Period

Costs (US$)

Before

(2011)

Current

(2014)

Before

(2011)

Current

(2014)

Start End Estimated in

2007

Actual

1 Bukoto -

Kisaasi

3.00 Collector road

(C)

2-lane single

carriageway

Unsealed

C B Poor Good Full upgrade

from gravel to

paved

bituminous

standard

Feb

2012

Feb 2013 2,130,522.6 2,338,908.5

2 Kalerwe -

Tula

3.27 Local road (D)

2-lane single

carriageway

Unsealed

D B Poor Good Full upgrade

from gravel to

paved

bituminous

standard

Feb

2012

Feb 2013 2,730,042.6 2,842,484.5

3 Kawempe -

Mpererwe

2.46 Local road (D)

2-lane single

carriageway

Unsealed

D B Poor Good Full upgrade

from gravel to

paved

bituminous

standard

Feb

2012

Feb 2013 2,245,335.8 2,149,391.9

4 Kimera 0.90 Local road (D)

2-lane single

carriageway

Unsealed

D C Poor Good Full upgrade

from gravel to

paved

bituminous

standard

Feb

2012

Dec 2013 725,142.7 1,578,132.8

5 Soweto 1.22 Local road (D)

2-lane single

carriageway

Unsealed

D C Poor Good Full upgrade

from gravel to

paved

bituminous

standard

Feb

2012

Dec 2013 950,269.4 1,869,988.4

6 Salaama 0.96 Local road (D)

2-lane single

carriageway

Unsealed

D D Poor Fair Full upgrade

from gravel to

paved

bituminous

standard

Feb

2012

Has not

been

completed

674,152.8 Not

available

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Table 3: Vehicle Fleet Unit Costs (in US$) Vehicle Type New

Vehicle

Price

Replace-

ment

Tyre

Fuel

(per

litre)

Lubricant

(per litre)

Maintenance

Labour (per

hr)

Crew

Wages

(per

hour)

Annual

Overhead

Annual

Interest

(%)

Passenger

Work Time

(per hr)

Passenger

Non-Work

Time (per

hr)

Cargo

Holdin

g (per

hr)

06-Light truck 25,000 75 1.30 3.00 0.65 0.65 1,200 12.00 0.65 0.26 0.01

02-Four Wheel Drive 40,000 75 1.30 3.00 0.65 0.65 1,200 12.00 4.00 1.60 0.00

09-Articulated Truck &

Trailer 130,000 400 1.30 3.00 2.24 1.62 3,050 12.00 0.65 0.26 0.03

04-Medium bus 70,000 100 1.30 3.00 0.65 0.82 2,020 12.00 0.65 0.26 0.00

10-Motorcycle 900 35 1.30 3.00 0.17 0.17 110 12.00 0.65 0.26 0.00

05-Large bus 80,000 300 1.30 3.00 2.24 1.62 2,870 12.00 1.42 0.57 0.00

03-Matatu 33,000 60 1.30 3.00 0.65 0.82 1,380 12.00 0.65 0.26 0.00

01-Car 20,000 50 1.30 3.00 0.65 0.65 650 12.00 4.00 1.60 0.00

07-Medium truck 50,000 150 1.30 3.00 0.65 0.82 960 12.00 0.65 0.26 0.02

08-Heavy truck 95,000 270 1.30 3.00 0.65 0.82 1,330 12.00 0.65 0.26 0.03

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41

Table 4: Roads Hierarchy and Traffic Levels

Road class name Code

KCCA Traffic Functionality Attributes

Urban expressway U

Over 20000

Representative

AADT 30,000

Traffic movement is a primary function

No property access;

Speed limits 80 to 100 km/hr;

No local transit service;

Pedestrians and cyclists prohibited;

Grade-separated intersections (no traffic

signals)

Major arterial road A

Over 20000

Representative

AADT 25,000

for Bituminous

roads

Traffic movement is a primary function

Subject to access controls;

Greater than 20,000 vehicles per day;

Public transport route

Speed limits 50 to 60 km/hr;

Sidewalks on both sides; may have bicycle

lanes

Minor arterial road B

8000-20000

Representative

AADT 14,000

for Bituminous

roads and 1000

for Unsealed

roads

Traffic movement is a primary function

8,000 to 20,000 vehicles per day

Public transit route

Speed limits 40 to 60 km/hr

No “Stop” signs; main intersections

controlled by traffic signals;

Sidewalks on both sides; may have bicycle

lanes

Collector road C

2500-8000

Representative

AADT 5,000 for

Bituminous roads

and 750 for

Unsealed roads

Provide access to property and traffic

movement

2,500 to 8,000 vehicles per day

Public transit route

Signalized intersections at arterial roads;

Sidewalks on both sides of the road

Local road D

0 – 2500

Representative

AADT 1,000 for

Bituminous roads

and 400 for

Unsealed roads

Provide access to properties

Less than 2,500 vehicles per day

Low traffic speed;

No public transit routes

Sidewalks on at least one side of road

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43

Table 5: Road Works and Unit Costs

Work Type Description Economic

Costs (US$)

Financial

Costs

(US$)

Units

Patching Potholes

Repair of surface distresses such as

potholing, wide structural cracking

and ravelling

30.50

35.00 m2

Edge Break Repair Patching edge failures on paved roads 30.50 35.00 m2

Surface Dressing

Single sealing of the carriageway with

shape correction in order to delay

major intervention and to renew the

skid resistance.

3.91 4.6 m2

40mm Overlay 40mm overlay to existing asphalt

concrete road. 40.48 47.62 m

2

Reconstruction (STGB)1

Reconstruction of existing surface

treatment road comprising double

surface dressing on granular base

683,333.00 803,922.00 Per Km

Reconstruction (AMGB)2

Pavement reconstruction of existing

asphalt concrete road comprising

50mm asphalt concrete surfacing on

granular base.

800,000.00 941176.00 Per Km

Miscellaneous Works for

Paved Roads

Includes shoulder repairs, vegetation

control, road sign repairs and

replacement, line marking, guardrail

repair and replacement, etc.

4,250.00 5,000.00 Per km per

Year

Miscellaneous Works for

Unsealed Roads

Includes shoulder repairs, vegetation

control, road sign repairs and

replacement, line marking, guardrail

repair and replacement, etc.

1,750.00 2,000 Per km per

Year

Regravelling Regravelling existing unpaved road to

a final grave thickness of 150mm 72 85 m

3

Grading

Heavy motorised grading of unpaved

roads with water and light roller

compaction

10,417.00 12,255.00 Per Km

Spot Regravelling Spot regravelling to unpaved roads to

replace 80% of annual material loss 71 84 m

3

1. STGB refers to road pavement type comprising Surface Treatment on Granular Base 2. AMGB refers to road pavement type comprising Asphalt Mix on Granular Base

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1.3 Economic Analysis Components and Parameters

18. The study considered one improvement alternatives for each road section which was defined

and compared against the Base Case. Thus for each section, two alternatives were defined as

follows:

“Base Case” alternative: aimed at preserving the existing asset using the present

practice without KIIDP investment.

Improvement alternative: aimed at improving the road standard and maintaining it by

applying periodic maintenance and routine maintenance such that average long-term

road condition will not exceed a certain threshold roughness value.

19. For each alternative, road work standards were defined in such a way that the objective of the

alternative can be achieved. A work standard comprises one or more works item (e.g. overlay,

reseal, patching), defined intervention criteria to determine the timing, design characteristics,

the unit costs, and the after works effects.

Discount Rate and Analysis Period

20. The discount rate used for the analysis is 12 percent, and analysis period of 20 years starting

from 2012. The base year for the analysis is 2012.

Salvage Value

21. By the end of the design life of the road most of the components would have low residual

value. Earthwork (e.g. fills and cuts), culverts, bridges, etc. would have significant

percentages of their values remaining. Salvage values estimated for the different road sections

depending on the type of road investment works.

Standard Conversion Factor

22. To convert financial costs into economic costs a standard conversion factor (SCF) of 0.85

was used in this Study. The SCF was derived from the following expression:

SCF = [border price value of all imports plus border price value of all exports] divided by

[(value of all imports plus all taxes on imports) plus (value of all exports minus all taxes on

exports)]

23. The SCF value of 0.85 was estimated using data on Uganda exports and imports from 2003 to

2008 obtained from Uganda Revenue Authority (URA).

Economic Indicators

24. The Net Present Value (NPV) of investment option m relative to base option n is the sum of

the discounted annual net benefits or costs, calculated from the relationship:

Y

1=y

1)-(y

n)-y(mn)(m

r]*0.01 + [1

NB = NPV

where: NBy(m-n) is the net economic benefit of investment option m relative to base option n in

year y

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45

r discount rate (%)

y analysis year (y = 1, 2, ... ., Y)

25. The IRR of a project is defined as the discount rate at which the present value of costs equals

the present value of benefits, i.e. when NPV is zero. It is calculated by solving the implicit

relationship for r:

0 = ]r*0.01 + 1[

NBY

1=y1)-(y

n)y(m

26. This equation is solved for r by evaluating the NPV at 5 percent intervals of discount rates

between -95 and +900 percent, and determining the zero(es) of the equation by linear

interpolation of adjacent discount rates with NPV of opposite signs. Depending on the nature

of the net benefit stream, NBy(m-n), it is possible to find one solution, multiple solutions, or

none at all. The IRR gives no indication of the size of the costs or benefits of an investment;

it acts as a guide to the profitability of the investment - the higher the better. If the computed

IRR is larger than the planning discount rate, then the investment is economically justified.

27. The Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) of investment option m, relative to base option n, is the ratio is

calculated as follows:

1C

NPVBCR

m

-n)(m-n)(m =

.

where:

BCR(m-n) benefit cost ratio of investment option m relative to base option n

NPV(m-n) discounted total net benefit of investment option m relative to base

option n. This is the Net Present Value at discount rate r

Cm discounted total road agency costs (RAC) of implementing investment

option m

28. If the NPV(m-n) is zero, then (NPV/C)(m-n) is zero. These ratios give an indication of the

profitability of investment option m relative to base option n at a given discount rate. These

measures eliminate the bias of NPV towards larger project options but, like the IRR, they

give no indication of the size of the costs or benefits involved.

Project Benefits

29. The main benefits of the roads improvement are savings in vehicle operating costs and

savings in passenger travel time. Net benefits estimates were based on Highway Development

and Management Model (HDM-4), which simulates road life cycle and vehicle operation

conditions and costs for multiple road design and maintenance alternatives. Vehicle operating

costs were for nine vehicle classes. Periodic maintenance and upgrading costs estimated in

financial terms were converted into economic terms (net of taxes).

30. The benefits are calculated in terms of savings in road user costs. The annual economic

benefits are calculated separately by components (savings in VOC, savings in travel time

costs and reduction in accident cost) and traffic categories as described below.

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46

a) Savings in vehicle operating costs

31. Vehicle operating costs increase as a function of roughness (or riding quality) and the speed

travelled. Vehicle operating benefits due to normal and diverted traffic is calculated as

follows:

s s

msnsn)(m VCN - VCN = VCN

k

nsknskns UC*TN = VCN

k

mskmskms UC*TN = VCN

Vehicle operating benefits due to generated traffic is calculated as follows:

s k

msknsknskmskn)(m UCUC*TGTG*0.5 = VCG

The summations are over all the vehicle types (k = 1, 2, ..., K) specified by the user, and all road

sections (s = 1, 2, ... ., S) being analysed, see Table 3 above.

The annual saving in vehicle operating costs is given by the following expression:

nmnmnm VCGVCN VOC

where:

VCN(m-n) vehicle operating benefits due to normal and diverted traffic of investment

option m relative to base option n

VCNjs annual vehicle operating cost due to normal and diverted traffic over the

road section s with investment option j

TNjsk normal and diverted traffic, in number of vehicles per year in both

directions on road s, investment option j, for vehicle type k

UCjsk annual average operating cost per vehicle-trip over road section s, for

vehicle type k under investment option j (where j = n or m)

VCGjs annual vehicle operating cost due to generated traffic over road section s

with investment option j

VCG(m-n) vehicle operating benefits due to generated traffic of investment option m

relative to base option n

TGjsk generated traffic, in number of vehicles per year in both directions on road

s, for vehicle type k, due to investment option j

VOC(m-n) savings in vehicle operating costs due to the total traffic of investment

option m relative to base option n

b) Savings in travel time costs

32. Travel time is calculated from vehicle speeds. Vehicle travel time benefits due to normal and

diverted traffic are calculated as follows:

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47

s s

msnsn)(m TCN - TCN = TCN

k

nsknskns UT*TN = TCN

k

mskmskms UT*TN = TCN

Vehicle travel time benefits due to generated traffic are calculated as follows:

s k

msknsknskmskn)(m UTUT*TGTG*0.5 = TCG

The annual savings in travel time costs are given by the expression:

nmnmnm TCGTCN TTC

where:

TCN(m-n) travel time benefits due to normal and diverted traffic of investment

option m relative to base option n

TCNjs annual vehicle travel time cost due to normal and diverted traffic over

road section s with investment option j

UTjsk annual average travel time cost per vehicle-trip over the road section s, for

vehicle type k, under investment option j (where j = n or m)

TCGjs annual vehicle travel time cost due to generated traffic over road section s

with investment option j

TCG(m-n) travel time benefits due to generated traffic of investment option m

relative to base option n on the given road section in the given year

TTC(m-n) savings in travel time costs due to total traffic of investment option m

relative to base option n

c) Reduction in accident costs

33. The benefits from reduction in total accident costs are given by the expression:

mnn)(m- AC- ACACC

where:

ACC(m-n) the accident reduction benefits due to implementing investment option

m relative to base option n

ACj the total accident costs under investment option j (where j = n or m)

34. However, for unpaved road upgrading - to paved road surface - projects, no changes in

accident rates are attributed. There is much anecdotal evidence in Africa to suggest that the

frequency of accidents may actually increase after unpaved roads are improved to tarmac

surface. Additionally, research evidence (from TRL in UK and VTI in Sweden) shows that

accident rates, and the severity of injuries, increase geometrically with increases in vehicle

speed. All roads implemented under KIIDP1 fall under this category of intervention.

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Total road user benefits

35. The annual savings in road user costs are given by the expression:

n)-(mn)-(mn)-(mnm ACC TTC VOC RUC

where:

RUC(m-n) the total road user benefits of investment option m relative to base

option n

2 Drainage System Improvement

2.1 The Basis of Economic Analysis

36. Lubigi Primary drainage system is 14km long. It has 17 secondary channels, with a length of

45km located within and outside Kampala District boundary. Under KIIDP the improvement

of 3.6km of the Primary Drainage System was implemented. The main features of the

improved system are presented in Table 7.

Table 7: Lubigi Primary Drainage System

Length

(Km)

Drainage channel Condition Type of

maintenance

Intervention

Implementation Period

Before (in 2010) Current (in 2014) Start End

3.6 Poor. Channels

too small for the

peak flows.

Frequent flooding

and damages.

Good.

Frequency of

flooding greatly

reduced.

Works Contract in

Defects Liability

Period. De-silting

and solid waste

removal.

29/6/2011 30/12/2013

37. The drainage systems in Kampala form integrated networks. The construction and

rehabilitation works for Lubigi impacted on the performance of the channels both

downstream and upstream. Improvement in the selected drainage is considered in terms of

both local impacts and within the broader context of better operation of drainage channels as

a whole. The scale of the impact of flooding in Kampala is reflected in the extent of present

and anticipated socio-economic development in the City. This is considered within a broad

context of the rapid urbanisation currently underway in Uganda.

38. The basis of the economic analysis of the drainage sub-component is the cost-benefit analysis

a “With Project” and a “Without Project”. Thus, the cost-benefit analysis evaluates the

project capital and maintenance costs for the channel improvement, compared with the

associated benefits of better drainage. The design of the channel is for a 10-year return storm

period with an economic life of 40 years. The cost-benefit evaluations of the drainage

subcomponent are based on detailed data collected and presented in Kampala Drainage

Master Plan (KDMP) in March 2003 with updated costs to December 2013 as part of the

Appraisal of KIIDP.

39. As stated in the Terms of Reference (ToR), it is required to use the model, methodology and

assumptions used during the project appraisal. The analysis period is 40 years and the base

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year of analysis is 2011, that is the start of project implementation, with actual construction

period of 2.5 years. In this analysis, future development within Kampala was considered as

follows:

GDP growth rate of 5.5% per annum

Population growth rate of 3.9% (National average is 3.2% from 1999 to 2011)

Inflation rate of 7.8% per annum

2.2 Project Costs

40. The estimated cost for Lubigi Primary Channel project under KIIDP is US$ 8,755,463

(source KCCA, 2007) and the actual cost of implementation is US$ 11,633,655 (including

consultancy services and resettlement compensation).

41. Operational and maintenance costs for the Nakivubo Channel were estimated at 0.5% per

annum of the cost of Channel Rehabilitation. Costs will, however, be a function of the type of

channel (concrete or earth) as well as its size. A conservative value equal to 1% of capital

investment costs has been used to cover annual operating and maintenance costs for the

purpose of economic analysis of Lubigi Primary Drainage system. The operational and

maintenance costs are therefore US$ 116,337 per annum.

2.3 Project Benefits

42. The main inferred benefits are both quantifiable and non-quantifiable. Among the

quantifiable are: savings from prevention of road damage, property and structures, prevention

of disruption to commercial and industrial activities, additional income from rentals and

savings in agricultural produce.

43. The basis for impacts quantification by category is defined as presented in Table 8. Flooding

from the channels has impact on residential, commercial and industrial buildings, road

network, environment, health; mitigation measures to be used and even on peri-urban

agriculture produces. Some of the costs to individuals and society attributed to flooding are

quantifiable and others are non-quantifiable.

Table 8: Basis for Impacts Quantification by Category

No Category Impacts

1 Residential Damage to buildings and structures

Impact on property values

Additional costs in flood prevention and reduction

2 Road Networks Physical damage

Maintenance costs

Traffic delays

Additional vehicle operating costs

3 Commercial and Industrial Physical damage to property and goods

4 Environment Deterioration

5 Health Disease

Loss of work-days

6 Mitigation Measures Applicable during construction

7 Agricultural Loss of crop areas

Source: Kampala Drainage Master Plan (KDMP, 2003)

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44. Where possible all the impacts and benefits attributed to improved drainage have been

quantified as described below.

Damages to Residential and Commercial Properties

45. The flooding of residential property damages buildings and structures, adversely impacts the

value of property, and causes additional expenses in cleaning-up and flood prevention and

reduction measures. Flooding impacts significantly affect rental value. Residential houses in

flooded areas have rents below the rents of similar houses in non-flooded areas of the city.

For example, a residential room has rental value of UGX 550 per square metre per month in

flooded areas. A comparable room in non-flooded areas rents for UGX 916 per square metre;

represents an increase of 67% indicating the importance of drainage in residential

investments. The savings in cleaning-up, maintenance and flood prevention measures

attributable to improved drainage is estimated to be about 5% of the construction cost per m2

and is assumed to have grown at a similar rate to GDP growth at about 5.5% starting 2007.

The updated values assigned by house categories are given in Table 9.

Table 9: Updated Values assigned by house categories

Building Type Rental Values (UGX

per room per month)

Construction costs per

m2 (UGX)

Attributed flood repair

costs (5%)

Residential:

Low level

7,330 to 14,660 85,400 4,270

Medium 14,660 to 21,990 170,810 8,540

High 21,990 to 36,650 256,220 12,810

Commercial:

shacks/boutiques

36,650 85,400 4,270

Solid construction

(medium)

87,960 170,810 8,540

Table 10: Estimated flood damages in residential areas for a 10-year flood

Building Type Areas affected

(m2)

Construction

costs per m2

(UGX)

Flood repair costs

(5%) (UGX)

Estimated Annual

costs (in 1000

UGX)

Low level 50,000 85,400 4,270 213,500

Permanent

(medium)

45,000 170,810 8,540 384,300

Permanent

(medium – high)

45,000 256,220 12,810 576,450

TOTAL 140,000 1,174,250

46. According to valuation officers consulted in the various Divisions, KDMP concluded that

there is consensus that rental values of similar buildings in flooded and non-flooded areas

have a differential of 100%. Table 11 gives the estimated annual rental value benefits of

improved drainage.

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Table 11: Estimated annual rental value benefits to improved drainage in Lubigi Channel

Building Type Areas affected (m2) Increased Rental

Values ((UGX/m2 per

month)

Annual Benefits (in

1000 UGX )

Low level 50,000 550 330,000

Medium 45,000 916 494,640

High 45,000 1,466 791,640

TOTAL 140,000 1,616,280

47. Table 12 gives the estimated damages to the commercial sector in terms of annual rental

losses and flood repair costs. These will become annual benefits due to improvement in the

drainage system.

Table 12: Estimated damages to the commercial sector

Building Type Boutiques Medium (solid

construction)

Annual Benefits (in

1000 UGX)

Areas affected by floods

(m2)

2,500 5,000

Assumed Rental Values

(UGX/m2 per month)

855 1,710

Annual rental losses

(in 1000 UGX)

25,650 102,600 128,250

Construction cost per m2

(UGX)

85,400 170,810

Flood repair costs

(5%) (in 1000 UGX)

10,675 42,703 533,778

Disruption of commercial and industrial activities

48. The impact of flooding on commercial and industrial activities is reflected both in delays to

transport of goods, raw materials and personnel, as well as damages to goods in transit and

storage. However, it is not easy to assess the full impact of the disruption to commerce and

industry. An income survey of retail traders was carried out based on a sample of 251 traders

in a Social Impact Assessment Study for the Nakivubo Channel (KDMP, 2003). The study

estimated that the trader’s average income was around UGX 250,000 per month or UGX 3

million per annum. On this basis the estimated loss of benefit per trader per year due to lack

of improved drainage was around UGX 150,000 or 5% of the average annual income. These

figures have been updated to values in 2013 by applying GDP growth rate factor. The result

gives an estimate of the trader’s average income to be UGX 427,000 per month or UGX

5,124,000 per annum. The loss of benefit per trader per year due to lack of improved drainage

is estimated to be UGX 256,200, that is 5% of the average annual income. Assuming that

around 150 traders would be severely affected, annual losses would be around UGX 38.43

million.

49. It is therefore proposed to use a total figure of UGX 100 million per annum to cover losses

for the commercial sector, taking into consideration the impact categories of flooding

mentioned above.

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Road damages

50. A good drainage system reduces the rate of road network deterioration and results in savings

in road user costs. With improved drainage systems, less frequent repairs and periodic

maintenance and rehabilitation will be required. The expected economic life of the road

network will be enhanced and the effect of reduced roughness results in savings of vehicle

operating costs to the road users.

51. The JICA Study (1997) indicated approximately one kilometre of major roads and two

kilometres of secondary roads in the Lubigi System will be seriously affected by floods, and

will require to be rehabilitated more frequently than in a non-flood situation.

52. In the “With” project case, rehabilitation of primary roads will only be required twice over

the project life of 40 years, compared with four times in the “Without” project case. In the 10-

year flood case, some repair will be involved on the roadbase and total replacement will be

needed of the overlay at a cost of UGX 800 million per km. This gives an estimated savings

in road agency costs of two overlays.

53. Usually secondary (unpaved) roads are regravelled every second year, but it is assumed that

flooded sections of secondary roads would require an annual treatment. Over the project life,

there would, therefore be a saving of the costs of twenty treatments over 40 years. The cost of

regravelling is estimated UGX 77 million per km.

Disruption to Traffic

54. Under the Uganda rainfall condition, the frequency of flooding in Kampala is between 10 to

15 times in a year lasing 3 to 4 hours per flooding. Private and commercial vehicles are

blocked from passing or significantly delayed. The cost of this is measured in terms of

additional vehicle operating cost (VOC) and the value of passenger time.

55. Table 13 shows the estimated coefficients for VOC savings and passenger value of time by

vehicle type. The VOC coefficients were derived using HDM-4 for vehicles travelling at 30

km/h. The VOC figures shown are updated to 2013 values from those figures given in KDMP

(2003) by applying annual inflation rate of 7.8% per annum. The time value figures were

obtained from the latest HDM-4 customisation data by UNRA, see also Table 3 given above

in Sub-section 2.1.2.

Table 13: Estimated Coefficients for VOC savings and passengers value of time

Vehicle Type Potential savings in VOC when

the road roughness is reduced

from 7 IRI to 3 IRI (in UGX

per km)

Passenger time value per

vehicle (in UGX per hour)

Car 155 8,050

Pick-up 131 9,450

Bus 138 8,076

Medium Truck 394 1,300

Heavy Truck 1,129 1,300

56. These coefficient values are applied to the 2013 traffic and future traffic forecast as growing

at 5% per annum and used to calculate the annual savings in VOC as presented in Table 14

and the annual savings in travel time as presented in Table 15.

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Table 14: Estimated VOC savings on a “with” and “without” project case

Vehicle Category Average hourly

traffic in 2013

Traffic delayed

over 30 hours per

year (vehicles)

Savings in VOC

per kilometre

(UGX)

Annual Savings

in VOC (in UGX)

Private Vehicles

(Car and Pick-up)

2,019 60,570 155 9,388,350

Heavy Vehicles (Medium

and Heavy Trucks)

228 6,840 1,129 7,722,360

Public Buses 1,307 39,210 138 5,410,980

TOTAL 3,554 22,521,690

Table 15: Estimated Travel Time savings on a “with” and “without” project case

Vehicle Category Average hourly

traffic in 2013

Traffic delayed

over 30 hours per

year (vehicles)

Travel time cost

per vehicle (UGX

per hour)

Annual Savings

in Travel Time

Cost (in UGX)

Private Vehicles

(Car and Pick-up)

2,019 60,570 8,050 487,588,500

Heavy Vehicles (Medium

and Heavy Trucks)

228 6,840 1,300 8,892,000

Public Buses 1,307 39,210 8,076 316,659,960

TOTAL 3,554 813,140,460

Other damages

57. There is a small amount of agriculture within Lubigi Drainage System. However, this is not

estimated to be significant in terms of flood damage. Agricultural crops on the sides of the

drainage channels are often damaged by flooding. The saving estimates in losses are valued

on the basis of the compensation schedule agreed by KCC and the Ministry of Lands and

Environment.

58. It is difficult to quantify the health impacts of bad drainage of the Lubigi System in terms of

statistics, since many of these diseases might have been contracted in other areas of Kampala.

In the city as a whole, water-borne diseases are one of the major causes of illness.

59. Improvements to the environment, health benefits from water borne disease due to improved

drainage, better functioning of markets and reduction in the loss of goods, etc., are significant.

The impact of such benefits is not fully reflected in the cost-benefit assessments indicating

that the cost-benefit estimates are conservatives.

60. A notional amount of UGX 150 million per annum is attributed to these factors.

Summary of Project Benefits

61. Table 16 summarizes the benefits of the improvement to the whole Lubigi System,

comprising both primary and secondary channels, for a 10-year flood.

62. According to KDMP (2003), it is assumed that 80% of the benefits are attributable to

improvements of the primary channel. The adjustment factor of 0.8 was applied to calculate

the benefits attributable to the KIIDP project of improving Lubigi Primary Channel. The

result is presented in Table 17.

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Table 16: Benefits of improving the whole of Lubigi Drainage System

Category Annual Benefits in Year

2014 (in 1000 UGX)

Specific Benefits

(in 1000 UGX)

Observations

Housing Repairs 1,174,250 Increasing in line with

population growth

Loss in residential rental

values

1,616,280 Increasing in line with

population growth

Commercial and

Industrial Sector damage

533,778 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Loss in commercial and

industrial rental values

128,250 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Loss of commercial

earnings

100,000 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Savings in Vehicle

Operating Costs

22,522 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Travel Time Savings 813,140 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Road damage (Primary

paved roads)

800,000 per

rehabilitation

x 2 = 1,600,000

In year 10 and year 30

increasing in line with

traffic growth

Road damage

(Secondary unpaved

roads)

77,000 per operation

x 20 = 1,540,000

x 2 km = 3,080,000

Re-gravelling required

every other year

instead of every year.

Increasing in line with

traffic growth

Others 150,000 Notional

Table 17: Benefits of the improvement to the 3.6km of Lubigi Primary Drainage System

Category Annual Benefits in Year

2014 (in US$)

Specific Benefits

(in US$)

Observations

Housing Repairs 469,698 Increasing in line with

population growth

Loss in residential rental

values

646,5132 Increasing in line with

population growth

Commercial and

Industrial Sector damage

213,512 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Loss in commercial and

industrial rental values

51,299 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Loss of commercial

earnings

40,000 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Savings in Vehicle

Operating Costs

9,008 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Travel Time Savings 325,258 Increasing in line with

GDP growth

Road damage (Primary

paved roads)

320,000 per

rehabilitation

x 2 = 640,000

In year 10 and year 30

increasing in line with

traffic growth

Road damage

(Secondary unpaved

roads)

30,800 per operation

x 20 x 2 = 1,232,000

Re-gravelling required

every other year instead

of every year. Increasing

in line with traffic

growth.

Others 60,000 Notional

Note: 1 US$ = UGX 2,500

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3 Solid Waste Improvement

63. This sub component supported two activities namely: (i) Expansion works of the existing

Mpererwe landfill by 6 acres, including consulting services for design update, preparation of

bidding documents; and construction supervision of the works; (ii) consulting services for

testing, feasibility study and design for installation of landfill gas extraction and flaring

system. The status of each is as follows:

(a) Expansion of the Mpererwe Landfill: A new landfill was constructed as an extension to

the KCCA Mpererwe Landfill in the interim while KCCA procures land and constructs a new

solid waste treatment facility. The new landfill extension covers 6 acres and it is adjacent to

the old landfill. According to recent projections, it will be used for disposal of garbage for

approximately 2 years (2014-2016). In addition to the 3 landfill cells constructed, this

extension was constructed with a natural impervious liner to prevent groundwater

contamination, a porous drainage layer which drains leachate to a collection pond for onward

treatment, a new chain-link fence to prevent access to the landfill, a new groundwater

monitoring well and internal circulation roads.

(b) Landfill gas extraction and flaring: A consultant investigated the potential for recovery of

landfill gas from the existing Mpererwe Landfill through pumping trials, assessed the

feasibility of utilization of land fill gas for power generation, and prepared detailed design for

feasible landfill gas utilization. The results from this study are being used to inform the

landfill management component of forthcoming Integrated Solid Waste Management Project

which will be done using a Public Private Partnership (PPP) arrangement.

64. It is KCCA’s policy and budgetary allocation are made on a yearly basis to maintain the

landfill. KCCA will extend the maintenance services to the new landfill after its completion.

The maintenance of the land fill falls in the docket of the directorate of Public Health and

Environment.

65. The actual expenditure on the implementation of the solid waste component is US$ 1,882,833.

The information available was not sufficient to conduct a meaningful economic analysis of

solid waste project. The function of the compositing facility is to optimize the operation of

the existing facility and is considered the most cost-effective alternative available for KCCA

in the short run.

B. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS RESULTS

66. The economic analysis results are presented below under the following headings:

Roads improvement

Drainage system improvement

1 Roads Improvement

67. The result of economic analysis of KIIDP road improvement sub-component is summarized

in Tables 18, 19 and 20. The following are the key points:

a) The overall NPV for KIIDP roads improvement project is US$ 13.098 million at a discount

rate of 12% with an EIRR 0f 29.8%, NPV/RAC ratio 1.31 and overall Benefit-Cost Ratio of

2.31

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b) Three road projects yielded positive NPVs and EIRRs greater than the discount rate of 12%

and two roads gave negative NPVs and EIRRs less than 12%

c) After being subjected to sensitivity analysis using 15% increase in construction and

maintenance cost and 15% decrease in total benefits in both cases, the NPVs of the three

roads remained positive and of the other two roads remained negative.

d) A simultaneous increase of 15% in total construction and maintenance costs on one hand and

a decrease of 15% in total benefits on the other resulted in an overall NPV of US$ 8.951

million at a discount rate of 12% and an overall EIRR of 23.1%, indicating that the selected

projects represent a positive return on investment even in a bad case scenario.

Table 18: Economic Indicators of KIIDP Improved Roads Scenario

ID Road

Name

Length

in Km

Average

Financial

Cost US$ per

km

Actual

Financial

Cost in US$

Net Present

Value NPV

in

US$ million

NPV/Road

Agency

Cost Ratio

Economic

Internal

Rate of

Return

(EIRR %)

1 Bukoto –

Kisaasi 3.00 779,636.18 2,338,908.5 10.372 4.36 67.8

2 Kalerwe -

Tula 3.27 869,261.32 2,842,484.5 2.601 0.94 25.5

3 Kawempe

-

Mpererwe

2.46 873,736.55 2,149,391.9 0.738 0.37 17.7

4 Kimera 0.90 1,753,480.89 1,578,132.8 -0.358 -0.27 7.9

5 Soweto 1.22 303,921.31 370,784.0 -0.256 -0.16 9.6

All Roads 10.85 1,027,621.21 11,149,690.1 13.098 1.31 29.8

Note: Salaama Road has not been completed and is not included in the economic analysis.

Table 19: Sensitivity Analysis for KIIDP Roads – Net Present Values

ID Road

Name

Length

in Km

Improved Roads

Scenario Net

Present Value

NPV in

US$ million

Sensitivity NPVs (in US$ million)

15% Increase in

Construction and

Maintenance Cost

15%

Decrease in

total

benefits

15% Increase

in Cost and

15% Decrease

in total

Benefits

1 Bukoto –

Kisaasi 3.00 10.372 10.147 8.591 8.366

2 Kalerwe -

Tula 3.27 2.601 2.307 1.916 1.622

3 Kawempe -

Mpererwe 2.46 0.738 0.525 0.414 0.201

4 Kimera 0.90 -0.358 -0.524 -0.471 -0.637

5 Soweto

1.22 -0.256 -0.447 -0.409 -0.600

All Roads 10.85 13.098 12.007 10.042 8.951

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Table 20: Sensitivity Analysis for KIIDP Roads – Economic Internal Rate of Return

ID Road

Name

Length

in Km

Improved

Roads

Scenario

EIRR (%)

Sensitivity EIRRs (%)

15% Increase in

Construction and

Maintenance Cost

15%

Decrease in

total

benefits

15% Increase in

Cost and 15%

Decrease in total

benefits

1 Bukoto –

Kisaasi 3.00 67.8 60.0 58.8 52.1

2 Kalerwe -

Tula 3.27 25.5 22.7 22.2 19.7

3 Kawempe -

Mpererwe 2.46 17.7 15.6 15.3 13.5

4 Kimera

0.90 7.9 6.6 6.4 5.2

5 Soweto

1.22 9.6 8.2 7.9 6.7

All Roads 10.85 29.8 26.5 26.0 23.1

Present Values of Benefits

68. Savings in vehicle operating cost is US$ 17.37 million, discounted over the analysis period.

Savings in travel time cost is US$ 3.00 million, discounted over the analysis period. The

magnitude of benefits determined at Appraisal and Evaluation are given in Table 21.

Table 21: Comparison of Evaluation to Appraisal (PAD) Present Values of Benefits

Benefit component At Appraisal

(from PAD)

At Project

Closing

Comments

Decrease in Vehicle Operating

Costs (in US$ million)

14.27 17.37 The benefit determined at

Evaluation is US$ 3.1 million

more than that at Appraisal

Decrease in passenger time costs

(in US$ million)

2.54 3.00 The benefit determined at

Evaluation is US$ 0.46

million more than that at

Appraisal

Decrease in accident costs (in

US$ million)

0.40 0.00 There are no savings in

accident costs for paving the 5

roads. This is explained in

Sub-section 2.1.3 under

reduction in accidents

69. The proportions of the road user benefit determined at Evaluation are illustrated in Figure 1.

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Figure 1: Road User Benefits Distribution

Cumulative Net Benefits Stream

70. Figure 2 shows the cumulative net benefits of investment over the analysis period. The

approximate timing when the discounted cumulative net benefit of investments will become

positive (i.e. the break-even point) was determined to be Year 7 (i.e. 2018 since the base year

for this analysis is 2012).

Figure 2: Cumulative Net Benefits over the Analysis Period

Appraisal Summary Results

71. The results of economic evaluation compared to the economic appraisal results (from PAD)

are summarized in Table 22.

85%

15%

Road user benefits distribution

Savings in VOC Savings in Travel Time Costs

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

Cu

mu

lati

ve N

et

Ben

efi

ts U

S$

(Millio

ns)

Year

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Table 22: Comparison of Evaluation to Appraisal (PAD) Economic Indicators

Road Name Economic

Indicators

At Appraisal

(from PAD)

At Project

Closing

Comments

Bukoto - Kisaasi EIRR % 38 67.8 The net benefit at project

closing is almost 5 times

higher than that at appraisal.

The difference is US$ 8.259

million, notwithstanding the

relatively higher actual cost

per km.

NPV (US$ mil) 2.113 10.372

B/C Not available 5.36

Unit Cost US$ per

km

403,333 779,636

Kalerwe - Tula EIRR % 17 25.5 The net benefit at project

closing is almost 6.5 times

higher than that at appraisal.

The difference is US$ 2.202

million, notwithstanding the

relatively higher actual cost

per km.

NPV (US$ mil) 0.399 2.601

B/C Not available 1.94

Unit Cost US$ per

km

368,421 869,261.32

Kawempe-

Mpererwe

EIRR % 15 17.7 The net benefit at project

closing is almost 4 times

higher than that at appraisal.

The difference is US$ 0.547

million, notwithstanding the

relatively higher actual cost

per km.

NPV (US$ mil) 0.191 0.738

B/C Not available 1.37

Unit Cost US$ per

km

333,333 873,736.55

Kimera EIRR % 32 7.9 The net benefit at appraisal is

positive but the net benefit at

project closing is negative

US$ 0.378 million. This can

be attributed to the very high

actual construction cost per

km (more than twice the

estimated unit cost).

NPV (US$ mil) 0.225 -0.378

B/C Not available 0.73

Unit Cost US$ per

km

805,714.11 1 1,753,480.89

Soweto EIRR % Not analysed 9.6 This road was not included in

the economic appraisal (not

stated in PAD). NPV (US$ mil) Not analysed -0.256

B/C Not analysed 0.84

Unit Cost US$ per

km

Not analysed 303,921.31

Overall 2 EIRR % 32 29.8 The EIRR at project closing is

slightly less but close to that

determined at Appraisal. The

net benefit at project closing is

greater than that at project

appraisal by US$ 4.45 million.

However, it is important to

consider the notes below the

table.

NPV (US$ mil) 8.648 13.098

B/C Not available 2.31

Unit Cost

US$ per km

Not available 1,027,621.21

Notes Used conversion of UGX1 = US$0.0005 according to PAD conversion 1 Based on estimated cost in 2007 (see also Table 2 in Section 2.1.2 above)

2 For PAD the list includes other roads that were dropped (e.g. St Barnabas Road)

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2 Drainage Systems Improvement

72. The result of economic analysis for Lubigi drainage channel and the sensitivity analysis

results are summarised in Table 23. Investment in Lubigi Primary drainage systems projects

yielded positive NPVs with EIRRs greater than 12%. The sensitivity analysis indicates that

the implemented project has a positive return on investment.

Table 23: Economic Indicators and Sensitivity Analysis Results for Lubigi Drainage Channel

Drainage

System

Actual

Financial

Cost

Base Scenario 15% Increase in

Construction

and Maintenance

Cost

15% Decrease in

Benefits

15% Increase in

Cost and 15%

Decrease in

Benefits

NPV

(US$M)

EIRR

(%)

NPV

(US$ M)

EIRR

(%)

NPV

(US$ M)

EIRR

(%)

NPV

(US$ M)

EIRR

(%)

Lubigi

Primary

11,633,65

5 6.501 17.5 5.034 15.8 6.243 17.2 4.776 15.6

73. For the drainage system improvement the net benefits distribution over the Analysis Period

(in US$) is illustrated in Figure 3 and summarized in Table 24.

Table 24: Benefits Distribution by Category

Benefit Category Amount in US$

Reduction in building damage 72,761,972

Increase in rental values 67,013,778

Increased commercial and industrial earnings 5,464,225

Savings in road agency costs 44,235,079

Savings in road user costs 45,662,553

Others 60,006,096

74. Details of the methodology and methods used to determine the benefits by categories are

provided in Section 2.2.

Figure 3: Benefits distribution

25%

23%

2% 15%

15%

20%

Benefits distribution

Reduction in buildingdamage

Increase in rental values

Increased commercial andindustrial earnings

Savings in road agencycosts

Savings in road user costs

Others

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75. Table 25 gives a comparison of the economic appraisal result (from PAD) to the economic

evaluation result at project closing.

Table 25: Comparison of Evaluation to Appraisal (PAD) Economic Indicators for Lubigi Channel

Economic Indicators At Appraisal (from PAD) At Project Closing Comments

EIRR % 14.0 17.5 The net benefit

determined from

evaluation at project

closing is much greater

than the amount estimated

at appraisal. The

difference is US$ 5.793

million.

NPV (US$ mil) 0.708 6.501

76. Figure 3 shows the cumulative net benefit of investment over the analysis period. The

approximate timing when the discounted cumulative net benefit of investments will become

positive (i.e. the break-even point) was determined to be Year 15 (i.e. 2025 since the base

year for this analysis is 2011).

Figure 4: Cumulative Net Benefits over the Analysis Period

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43

Cu

mu

lati

ve N

et

Ben

efi

ts

US

$ (

Millio

ns)

Year

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Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes

(a) Task Team members

Names Title Unit Responsibility/

Specialty

Lending

Modupe A. Adebowale Consultant AFTME

Solomon Alemu Consultant AFTU1

Yvette Laure Djachechi Senior Social Development Spec AFTCS

Serigne Omar Fye Consultant CICAF

Edeltraut Gilgan-Hunt Consultant AFTTR

Matthew D. Glasser Adviser OPSKL

Katherine Kuper Sr Urban Spec. AFTU1

Rowena J. Martinez Consultant AFTU1

Barjor E. Mehta Lead Urban Specialist SASDU

Lance Morrell Consultant IEGPS

Edith Ruguru Mwenda Senior Counsel LEGAM

Richard Olowo Lead Procurement Specialist AFTPE

Perla San Juan Temporary AFTU1

Patrick Piker Umah Tete Sr Financial Management Specia AFTMW

Supervision/ICR

Solomon Alemu Consultant AFTU1

Tewodros Tigabu Alemu Consultant FEUCA

Mary C.K. Bitekerezo Senior Social Development Spec EASDE

Martin Fodor Senior Environmental Specialis AFTN3

Edeltraut Gilgan-Hunt Consultant AFTTR

Paul Kato Kamuchwezi Financial Management Specialis AFTME

Agnes Kaye Program Assistant AFMUG

Marie Claire M. Li Tin Yue Senior Program Assistant AFTU1

Barbara K. Magezi HRSSD-

HIS

Mbuba Mbungu Consultant AFTU1

Barjor E. Mehta Lead Urban Specialist SASDU

Grace Nakuya Musoke

Munanura Senior Procurement Specialist AFTPE

Edith Ruguru Mwenda Senior Counsel LEGAM

Naa Dei Nikoi Operations Adviser LCSDE

Martin Onyach-Olaa Sr Urban Spec. AFTU1

Zara Inga Sarzin Senior Urban Development Speci AFTU1

Kristine Schwebach Social Development Specialist AFTCS

Patrick Piker Umah Tete Sr Financial Management Specia AFTMW

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(b) Staff Time and Cost

Stage of Project Cycle

Staff Time and Cost (Bank Budget Only)

No. of staff weeks USD Thousands (including

travel and consultant costs)

Lending

FY03 18.62

FY04 37.70

FY05 110.48

FY06 209.72

FY07 188.96

FY08 73.90

Total: 639.38

Supervision/ICR

FY03 0.00

FY04 0.00

FY05 0.00

FY06 0.00

FY07 0.00

FY08 38.90

Total: 38.90

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Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results

1. No specific beneficiary survey or stakeholder workshop was conducted for KIIDP.

However, throughout the project period, various stakeholder meetings (or “barazas”) were held

and two Citizens Report Card Surveys36

(CRCS) (in 2011 and 2012) on the overall Kampala

service level and quality were conducted. Various consultative and feedback meetings were also

held with different stakeholders at ward and divisional levels. While multiple factors (such as

design of survey, sample size, manner in which survey was conducted etc.) affect the results of

such surveys and are generally subjective, they are useful engagement tools which shed light on

the overall service delivery, quality and capacity of KCC/KCCA. In spite of this, it is to be noted

that these engagements were not pertaining specifically to KIIDP but the whole of Kampala.

Therefore, the results from the CRCS could not be taken as a direct reflection of the beneficiaries’

satisfaction with infrastructure and services provided under KIIDP.

2. In general, there was vast improvement in the satisfaction level with KCCA services from

2005 (which set the baseline for KIIDP) to 2011 and 201237

. Even just focusing on 2011-2012,

30% of the respondents were either very satisfied or satisfied with KCCA services in the 2012

CRCS compared to only 5% in the 2011 CRCS; level of dissatisfaction has also fallen

dramatically from 70% in 2011 to 25% in 2012. Satisfaction levels have also risen in the areas of

solid waste, roads, drainage and public toilets. However, satisfaction fell in the areas of education

services, water services, medical services and public transport services during this period.

3. On the satisfaction with roads, respondents were asked to indicate their levels of

satisfaction with various aspects of the roads in Kampala such as condition of the roads, safety of

the roads, safety of passengers, maintenance of roads, road width and pedestrian walkways as

indicated in Table below. Respondents who overall rated roads to be outstanding or above

average rose from 14% in 2011 to 23% in 2012. There has been a remarkable decline in the

respondents who consider the condition of the roads as poor from 72% to 54%.

Table: Rating of roads (percent)

Service Outstanding/ Above

Average

Average Below Average/

Poor

2012

CRCS

2011

CRCS

2012

CRCS

2011

CRCS

2012

CRCS

2011

CRCS

Conditions of roads 23 14 23 14 54 72

Safety of the roads 22 10 30 23 48 67

Safety of a passenger 18 n/a 34 n/a 48 n/a

Maintenance of roads 13 8 35 16 52 76

Road width 16 17 31 19 43 64

Availability of

pedestrian walkways 17 12 30 21 43 67

36 The methodology for the Citizens Report Card survey combined both quantitative and qualitative

methods that included face-to-face interviews, focus group discussions, personal interviews and literature

review. 37

The Citizens Report Card Survey was conducted twice during the project period, in 2011 and 2012.

While designed as an annual exercise, the lapse in the early years of KIIDP was mainly due to the transition

from KCC to KCCA.

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4. Levels of satisfaction with roads have more than doubled from 13% in the 2011 CRCS to

29% in the 2012 CRCS. There has also been a decline in the respondents who are dissatisfied

with roads overall form 67% in 2011 to 53% in 2012. (Refer to figure below). This indicates a

perceived improvement of the roads in Kampala as indicated in the efforts by in all urban council

in the financial year 2011/2012.

Figure: Satisfaction with Roads overall

5. On the satisfaction with drains, respondents were asked to rate three aspects of the

drainage system: condition, cleanliness and maintenance. The results are as indicated in the table

below. However, a majority of the respondents, 64%, 61% and 61%, rated the 3 aspects of the

drainage systems as poor and below average respectively. Only 12%-13% rated the various

aspects as outstanding and above average. There was no substantial difference in the results of the

2 years apart from ratings on cleanliness and maintenance of the drains where the proportion of

the respondents who thought these aspects were poor and below average declined from 78%and

73% in 2011 to 61% and 61% in 2012 respectively.

Table: Rating of drains (percent)

Outstanding/

Above Average

Average Below Average/

Poor

2012

CRCS

2011

CRCS

2012

CRCS

2011

CRCS

2012

CRCS

2011

CRCS

Condition of the drains 13 14 23 22 64 64

Cleanliness of the drains (litter,

rubbish, plastic bags “buveera” etc) 12 12 27 10 61 78

Maintenance of the drains 13 11 26 16 61 73

6. Overall in terms of satisfaction, there was an increase of 10% in the levels of satisfaction

by respondents from 12% in 2011 t0 22% in 2012. There was also a sharp decline in the

proportion of the dissatisfied respondents with the state of drainage systems from 71% in 2011 to

57% in 2012. (Refer to figure below.) These are the result of efforts by KCCA in resolving the

problems of flooding and other related issues.

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Figure: Satisfaction with Drainage Overall

7. Challenges remain in various areas for effective service delivery, including limited

funding, inadequate staff and capacity and need to continuously sensitize and educate the public

and other stakeholders on proper usage and maintenance of public services and infrastructure, and

their roles and responsibilities, in addition to that of KCCA’s.

Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results

Refer to Annex 5.

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Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR

Background

1. Kampala started as a municipality in 1947 and became Uganda’s capital city at

independence in 1962. Kampala has since grown to become the largest city in Uganda.

The 2002 Uganda population and housing census indicated that 50% of Uganda’s urban

population resides in Kampala. It’s the hub of the economic, political and administrative

activities. It was estimated that 80% of the country’s industrial and services sector are

located in Kampala and generates 65% of the national GDP. Therefore the economic

future of Uganda is intrinsically related to the performance of Kampala as a locus of

productive activities and investment and this in turn relies on the city’s ability to provide

the services and infrastructure for which businesses and residents rely on.

2. Kampala City is currently divided into five urban divisions namely Central, Kawempe,

Makindye, Lubaga, Nakawa, covering a total of 189 square km, with 169 squares km of

land and 19 square km of water. About 23% of Kampala’s area is fully urbanized, a

significant portion (60%) semi-urbanized and the rest considered rural settlements.

Kampala displays a clear radial structure with a denser center and clear concentric rings

around it. A further ring is developing in its peri-urban periphery. Kampala’s clear radial

structure and network concentrates almost all activities of significance, apart from

residence, in and around the city center. This has resulted in a very high transient

population of about 2.5 million that are economically engaged in the city center and live

in the neighboring districts.

3. The Kampala City Council (KCC) and five Divisions have the primary responsibility for

infrastructure and service delivery for Kampala. In 2010, the Government of Uganda

(GoU) created Kampala Capital City Authority (KCCA) following the enactment of the

KCC Act 2010 with the overall intention of streamlining operations and improving

service delivery. The Act elevated Kampala from a district status under the Ministry of

Local Government (MoLG) to a Central Government Agency under the Office of the

President. Together with the development of a Strategic Plan, a successor to the Strategic

Framework for Reform II (SFR II), these efforts seek to address the deteriorating quality

of service delivery, rebuild key institutional structures responsible for the delivery of

goods and services, and respond to the challenges of increasing urbanization influenced

by a younger population and rural urban migration.

Brief Project Description

4. Adding to the efforts to address the service delivery concerns of the citizens of Kampala,

one of the most significant was support by the World Bank through financing the

Kampala Institutional and Infrastructure Development Project (KIIDP). The KIIDP was a

three phase project funded by the World Bank through an Adaptable Program Loan

(APL) equivalent to US$ 100million. The first phase (KIIDP i.e. current Project) was

allocated US$ 33.6 million. The Project Development Objective (PDO) was to “improve

institutional efficiency of the Kampala City Council (KCC) by implementing the

Strategic Framework for Reform II (SFR II)”.

5. The scope of the project comprised three components namely: (i) institutional

development, (ii) city wide infrastructure and services improvement, and (iii) project

management, monitoring and evaluation. The first component aimed at assisting the then

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KCC (and later KCCA) to improve its institutional efficiency by implementing strategies

and measures as identified in the SFRII. The objective of component two was to preserve

the current assets and arrest the deterioration of the assets which would enable Kampala

to be a functional capital city and position its self to attract investors. The third

component supported the implementation of the project as well as its monitoring and

evaluation.

Project Outputs and Outcomes

Component 1 - Institutional Development

6. The project had positive institutional development impacts. The capacity building

component in the project provided the new KCCA staff with skills relevant to their

functional roles and also to identify, implement, and supervise projects. KIIDP team

showed significant improvements in project management by the closure of the project in

December 2013. Significant improvements in procurement, financial and project

management were observed.

7. Some of the approved policies, strategies and plans are already in use. Communication

within and outside the institution has greatly improved following the purchase of

communication equipment as well as vehicles. The rebranding exercise re-oriented

people’s minds away from the KCC bad experiences to a new institution (KCCA) with a

difference. The financial standing of KCCA has also improved as shown in the results

indicator, particularly on the improvement of KCCA’s own source revenue collection.

Component 2 - City Wide Infrastructure & Services Improvement

8. At project closure, not all infrastructure works were completed. The status of the

infrastructure sub-components were:

i. Drainage System Improvements - All the critical civil works on the Lubigi Channel

had progressed to 98% completion levels with minor works remaining on the

greening, silt dredging and other minor reinstatement works for road crossings.

Culvert crossings on Hoima road, Kawaala road, Bombo road & Kampala Northern

bypass have been completed and the reinstatement works finalized. (By 31 January

2014 lanes of the Kampala Northern Bypass were open to traffic. All drainage works

have been substantially completed however, cleaning of the main channel,

construction of secondary channel and unblocking of the box culverts in still

ongoing.)

ii. Upgrading of Gravel Roads to Bitumen Standard - Upgrading of Phase 1 roads

(Bukoto – Kisaasi; Mpererwe – Kawempe and Kalerwe – Ttula roads) to bitumen

standard had progressed to 100% level of completion by 31st March, 2013. Phase 2

roads, Kimera Road and Soweto Road, had progressed to approximately 90% and

75% completion levels respectively at project closure. (As of 31st January, 2014, the

progress on Kimera and Soweto roads stands at 95% and 85.7% respectively and the

pending works include: completion of the walkways particularly around the

manholes, installation of street light protection pillars, signage and guard rails.) In

addition, due to lack in KIIDP funding, the construction costs of Salaama Road was

taken over by KCCA during the later stage of project implementation.

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iii. Solid Waste Management - Landfill extension works at Kiteezi had progressed to

90% completion levels by 31st

December, 2013 (and progressed to 100% completion

levels by 31st January, 2014).

9. Overall, there are large positive impacts from the infrastructure works. The new road

infrastructure constructed has increased traffic flow in the area and helped to decongest

the nearby Bombo and Gayaza Roads. They helped to increase accessibility and

connectivity, and opened up new catchment areas to economic development and new

economic activities along the project road corridors have already emerged. This included

the emergence of new buildings and developments such as retail shops. This in turn has

enhanced the socioeconomic standards of the residents in Kampala city.

10. The project has improved the livelihoods of the people living close to the infrastructural

improvements and generated skilled and unskilled employment for the local people, For

example, in the area of Kawempe-Tula, Bukoto-Kisasi, Bwaise-Kawaala and Kawempe-

Mpererwe, both short term and long term off-farm employment opportunities for local

people were created, including maintaining existing roads, building new roads, driving

vehicles, and working in automobile workshops. The roads were constructed using highly

labor-intensive methods which generated greater employment. In addition, the people

living at Kisaasi roundabout informed the team during the May 2013 mission that the

hours of business have extended beyond mid-night, in contrast to before the project

interventions when shops would close by 8.00pm.

11. The continuous flooding phenomenon in the area of Bwaise, Karelwe and Kawaala

whenever it rains (which was a result of the previous small drainage channel) has not

reoccurred after the construction of Lubigi channel. This has reduced sanitation related

issues and in turn, less time spent in health centers as evidenced in the OPD utilization

rate in the KCCA health centers. This implies more time devoted to work which

translates into better living standards.

Other Impacts

12. Social and Economic Impact: The project was envisaged to enhance improvement in

service delivery for Kampala city resident with an aim of bettering their lives. There was

overwhelming stakeholder support for the KIIDP project as a whole, as it would lead to

improved social and economic opportunities. As mentioned, the project generated local

employment and benefitted the local economy through wages earned during construction

and payment to service providers. The constructed roads established useful road linkages

and increased accessibility amongst residents and market/employment centers and

facilitated the flow of goods & services. This, in turn, enhanced the socioeconomic

standards of the residents in Kampala city.

13. Environmental Impact: There was no major negative environment impact as the roads

did not pass through any environmentally sensitive areas (wetland) and the infrastructure

improvements generally led to better environment and improved public health (e.g.

Lubigi Channel). However, some environmental challenges were experienced during

project implementation. For the Lubigi Channel, the main challenge was the recurring

water hyacinth growth on the completed section of the channel caused by stagnant water

in the channel and inappropriate disposal of excavated materials (provision for waste-

tipping areas in the design was inadequate, as was site supervision during excavation;

disposal of waste improved during the later phases of the project implementation). Steps

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have been taken to resolve this issue and the hyacinth was removed by project

completion.

Implementation Issues and Challenges Encountered

14. Contracts management and construction supervision: The ISM for November 18 – 25,

2011 noted some delays in the procurement processes which were attributed to the delays

in the review by the Contract’s Committee. Some contracts were awarded based on the

lowest bidder principle. In most cases, these contractors under quoted the assignments

which heavily constrained their capacity to deliver the expected outputs on time. This

was exacerbated by diversion of advance payments by the contractors to other jobs rather

than deploying the resources to the execution of the project. As a result, such contractors

were always cash stricken and did not have sufficient cash flow to advance the works at

the desired pace. Hence, delayed completion of the projects.

15. The special account threshold (US$ 2 million) was in some cases inadequate to support

the project in meeting the payment requirements. Therefore, the team was compelled to

issue direct payments in some cases. The direct payment process is quite lengthy and it

increases the payment period by another two weeks. This has been mitigated by changes

being implemented where the replenishment is guided by the Financial Management

Reports (FMRs) that will be based on 6 months cash flow forecasts submitted by the

project team.

16. Inadequate contract supervision resulting from incompetence on the side of the consultant

but also due to dual role played by KCCA staff (supervising the project while carrying

out other functional roles). Injunctions and other administrative reviews also delayed the

commencement of some projects, for example, Kimera Road and Soweto Road. This did

not only affect the completion dates but exposed the institution to additional costs.

17. Challenges in implementing RAP. Implementation of the RAP became a challenge.

Originally it was the role of the Government of Uganda to implement the RAP. However,

because of deficits in the budget, the Government was unable to honor its obligations.

This resulted in delay in the implementation of the project since settlement of RAP has to

be completed before infrastructure works could begin. During the midterm review, the

Bank together with KCCA provided USD 1,860,000 (approximately UGX 5 Billion) for

compensation. This was however insufficient to settle the affected people on all the

KIIDP projects, as deemed by further valuations. By project closing on 31st December,

2013, UGX 1.4 Billion had not been resolved, causing damage to institutional image.

However all outstanding eligible RAP has since been paid for.

18. Inadequate staffing. This posed a challenge when it came to implementation of project

activities. This perhaps explains the delays in procurements, effective supervision and

execution of project activities and fund replenishments. Previously in KCC, the project

team was solely responsible for implementation of the whole project yet later in KCCA,

the project was fully mainstreamed. However since KCCA was operating at 30% of the

overall structure, this meant multi-tasking for the few staff. This probably explains the

slow pace at which the project activities were executed.

19. Transition from KCC to KCCA. The transition process partially affected the performance

of the project given that the new staff did not participate in the project development

process and therefore required significant time to understand and thereafter implement

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the project. The team was also not very conversant with the World Bank project

implementation guidelines and this resulted in longer transaction time.

Sustainability

20. The sustainability of the Project is rated likely. The measures being put in place are

summarized as below:

a. Institutional Improvements. KCCA has made a provision in its annual budget

for the repair and maintenance of the IT equipment’s that were procured under

KIIDP. KCCA is planning for a framework contract for the maintenance of the

vehicles. To ensure sustainability of the capacity built, the Directorate of

Administration and Human resource came up with the Staff Training and

Development Bond agreement that bonds the beneficiary for a period not less

than 3 years. Following approval of the Kampala Physical Development Plan,

KCCA through the directorate of Physical planning is planning to develop the

detailed master plans for the 5 Divisions and KCCA needs Parliament support

and funds to execute this as a priority. The functionality of the installed GIS

software in the Physical Planning Directorate will be instrumental in enhancing

revenue collection although it needs to be enhanced. To ensure quality control,

KCCA put in place a Quality Management System (QMS) for the Engineering &

Technical Services directorate together with Physical Planning. Processes for the

two directorates were re-engineered and standards of service developed. The

QMS will be rolled to other directorates and once completed will form a critical

input into the development of the Institutional service charter.

b. Infrastructure. It is the mandate of Technical Services directorate to keep all city

roads and infrastructure in good condition and the maintenance of the land fill

falls under the responsibility of the directorate of Public Health and Environment.

KCCA is planning to budget and provide adequately for the repair and

maintenance of the road infrastructure, drainage channel and landfill. KCCA is

already maintaining the newly constructed roads by regularly sweeping them.

Regular de-silting will be carried out in order to keep the Lubigi Channel in good

shape. On a yearly basis, budgetary allocations are made to maintain the landfill

and KCCA will extend the maintenance services to the new landfill.

Key Lessons Learnt and Recommendations

21. The project gives rise to a number of lessons learnt and recommendations as summarized

below.

a) Construction works of both roads and drainage channels require a high level of site

supervision to ensure timely delivery of the required output, quality standards and to

support contractor in executing their works. Therefore in phase 2 of the project,

provisions for resident clerk of works, planning advisor, site agent and quality

assurance specialist should be made to ensure quality of works and timely delivery

of works.

b) Advance recruitment of consultants, where possible, sufficient due diligence on

contractors and establishing necessary project management systems should be

undertaken in development projects to facilitate infrastructure works. This is to

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avoid unnecessary delays in implementation. Staff should also be adequately trained

and equipped with the appropriate project implementation skills to ensure better

project management and supervision.

c) A simplified procedure for approval and payment to contractors should be

established and put into operation before any construction starts. This will help

address the delays that were experienced while implementing the project. Measures

should be put in place to ensure that contractors pay service providers and laborers

on time to avoid delay in provision of required inputs and strikes by the laborers.

(KCCA had addressed this by opening up an Escrow account to pay for the required

inputs from the service providers and the laborers.)

d) Road maintenance needs to be considered from the planning phase to the post -

construction phase. Commitments need to be monitored against indicators during

the implementation stage, so that a reliable mechanism to carry out operation and

maintenance after construction can be put in place

e) An increase in the traffic flow was observed especially on Karerwe – Tula road

which has resulted in traffic jam on peak hours and accidents during normal times

because of speeding. KCCA needs to upgrade the nearby Mambule road and

signalize junction so as to decongest the newly constructed Kalerwe –Tula road.

Future road improvements should be informed by broader, more comprehensive

city-wide transport planning so as to reduce traffic congestion as much as possible.

f) The project has been instrumental in building capacity of the KCCA staff in various

fields. The acquired skills will be of great importance in operation and maintenance

of KIIDP infrastructure as well as in implementation of KIIDP II. So the institution

should devise ways of retaining the trained staff to ensure sustainability of the

project outcomes.

g) The project did not generate any quantified data on the impact that the project has

had on land use and the development of social, economic and commercial activities.

The Bank and KCCA should include monitoring of socio-economic indicators in

KIIDP II.

h) Community participation/involvement is very important especially when the Project

is seen to be addressing urgent needs of the community. Community engagement

activities under KIIDP, such as through the barazas and citizen scorecards could be

further enhanced, in terms of the frequency, types of activities and how they are

conducted. The engagement of local NGOs can also ensure that local people are

better informed and mobilized.

Bank Performance

22. Project design and implementation support: Bank performance overall was considered

efficient and effective. Bank provided adequate staff time for missions and field

supervision. Eight (8) Implementation Support Missions (ISM) and one (1) midterm

review missions were conducted regularly during project design, implementation and at

closure of the project. The Bank also allowed flexibility and in the ISM of November 18

– 25, 2011 agreed to a number of adjustments to overcome problems that had arisen

during the transformation process from KCC to KCCA. In that regard, the Bank agreed to

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a one year extension of the loan closing date from 31st December, 2012 to 31

st December,

2013 (which had already been extended by a year before). Bank supervision made it

possible to resolve some issues encountered during the implementation phase and

enhanced the progress of project implementation, in particular on technical and financial

problems related to works on the Lubigi channel, phase 2 roads and extension and

fencing of Kiteezi landfill. For example, in the November 26-30, 2012 mission, the Bank

advised KCCA to negotiate with Lubigi Contractor to sub-contract the box culvert for the

Northern bypass crossing and Bwaise culvert crossing to reduce time needed and finish

the project within the extended contract date.

23. Environmental and Social management: The Bank environmental specialist provided

guidance to mitigate the impacts as set out in the Environmental Analysis (EA) report and

Environment Management Plan (EMP). The Governance and Anti-corruption team

(GAC) also successfully monitored the transparency measures related to the institution.

24. Fiduciary: The Bank continuously carried out procurement capacity assessment for KCC

as indicated in the successive implementation missions. For example in the November

2012 mission, the Bank agreed with KCCA to organize post procurement review mission

and share findings with the borrower. Bank missions regularly reviewed Procurement

Plan, audit reports and provided comments where necessary and the required clearances

timely.

Borrower’s Performance

25. Project design and Implementation: The performance of the KCCA in carrying out the

responsibilities assigned to them was satisfactory. KCCA prioritized the implementation

of the KIIDP and ensured availability of the counterpart funding, after taking over from

KCC. The assessment of KCC’s capacity at appraisal was reasonably accurate however

staffing levels after the transition process into KCCA were not satisfactory (398

permanent staff or 30% of overall structure). However, KCCA provided as many as

possible, suitable qualified and experienced staff, resources and support facilities for the

project implementation. A KIIDP team led by the Project Coordinator, supervised by the

Deputy Director Strategy Management and under the Deputy Executive Director was

behind the project implementation. This team coordinated all the project activities well

and provided support to component owners under the relevant Directorates so that they

could implement their components successfully. However, delivery was adversely

affected by (i) transition process from KCC to KCCA and (ii) lack of closer supervision

of the contractor.

26. General Execution and Implementation: The project team strove to implement all the

recommendations of the supervision missions in a timely manner, although there were

lapses due to various factors and capacity issues. For the most part, the Borrower/Donor

used the works progress reports, project account audit reports and the recommendations

of supervision missions in their decision-making.

27. Fiduciary: The arrangements for implementation of the project, contracting and

disbursements were kept the same throughout the project as was set out in the PAD, the

loan agreement and the Protocol of Agreement. However, delays in procurement and

sometimes ineffectiveness were encountered. (It is to be noted though, that the KIIDP

project team does have other responsibilities within KCCA and thus a general lack in

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sufficient capacity to support project implementation.) There were notable improvements

in payment processing with minimum delays, although lapses exist (such as the

automated accounting system was not functioning properly as expected). The project

team has been active in submitting applications for both replenishments and direct

payments through e-disbursements. External audit reports for the subsequent financial

years were regularly prepared, approved and submitted to the Bank.

Comments on Draft ICR (if any)

28. No additional comments.

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Annex 8. Comments of Co-financiers and Other Partners/Stakeholders

NA

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Annex 9. APL Triggers, Benchmarks and Status

Triggers Benchmarks Status (at Project Closure – 31 December 2013)

New organizational

system operational

Staffing level 80%38

filled.

Partially Achieved. As at December 31, 2013 a total of 399

permanent staff and 529 temporary staff have been appointed

out of the 1332 staff required. Hence current staff level is

69.6% filled, higher than the 68% midterm review target for

the financial year 2012/2013. Staffing level started at zero

when KCCA was formed, in place of KCC and thus a longer

time was required to increase the staff level. The filling of

vacancies is also being halted by limited funds for staff

salaries.

Performance based

compensation system

implemented for Key

staff (Heads of

Department, Deputy

Heads and Senior

Principal Assistant

Town Clerks).

Achieved. Performance based compensation system for key

staff including Directors, Deputy Directors and other Senior

Staff has been fully implemented.

• Out of the 359 staff who had been appointed by June

2013, 230 had made six months and thus qualified for

performance evaluation.

• Out of the 230, 95.1% met and exceeded their

performance expectations, while 4.8% required

improvement. There were neither outstanding nor

unsatisfactory performances registered

• Level 1 – Unsatisfactory performance –

Termination on performance grounds

• Level 2 – Needs improvement – Put on

Performance improvement plan (PIP)

• Level 3 – Meets expectations – Paid a normal

monthly salary and encouraged to improve further

• Level 4 – Exceeds expectations – Promoted if a

vacancy exists

• Level 5 – Outstanding performance – Promoted

immediately and paid a performance bonus.

Enforcement of the

Leadership Code.

Achieved. The staff code of conduct is being enforced.

KCCA management is committed to implementing GAC

activities particularly those aimed at enhancing the culture of

transparency, accountability and due process. Management is

also enforcing a policy of “zero” tolerance to corruption. In

FY2012/13 disciplinary actions were taken on a total of 31

KCCA staff (16 termination, 8 interdictions, 3 warnings, and

4 interdictions being lifted).

Establish and

implement a formal

public consultation

process

Framework for

measuring KCCA

performance by

stakeholders in place.

Achieved. The Citizens Scorecard has been conducted

annually except with lapses during the transition period from

KCC to KCCA. Under KIIDP, two Citizen Scorecard Card

reports were completed - in 2011 and 2012 and a copy has

been shared with the Bank. KCCA management has

continued to take on board the findings so as to address

citizens’ views and concerns.

38 This is the percentage level recommended by Public Service.

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Media strategy

implemented

Achieved. Following the preparation of the new KCCA

Corporate Strategy, the media strategy has been discussed by

KCCA management and a rebranding process completed.

The new KCCA corporate identity and status, including a

new logo was launched on November 29, 2012. The

implementation of the media strategy is on-going.

Budget and

development planning

consultation carried out

Achieved. KCCA has continued to hold conference for all

stakeholders. Since April KCCA has held five “barazas”39

and shared three of the reports with IDA team during the

November 2013 mission.

Implementation of

financial recovery

action plan (FRAP)

Reduce the stock of

overdue liability from

UGX 8 billion to UGX

0.5 billion

Achieved. Overdue liabilities had been reduced from

UGX8bn to 040

.

Increase own source

revenue from UGX 22

billion to UGX 33.5

billion

Achieved. OSR collection for FY2012/13 was UGX55.71

billion.

Comprehensive

O&M plan for

infrastructure

Provision and release of

adequate O&M budget

Achieved. In the FY2012/13, out of a total OSR budget of

UGX75.69 billion, UGX24.75billion (32.7%) was allocated

to O&M.

Quality control system

in place and

operationalized for both

O&M and new

construction.

Achieved. The Quality Management System (QMS) were

introduced in Engineering and Works and Physical Planning

Directorate. Plans are underway to roll out the system to the

other Directorates/Departments under the proposed KIIDP

II.

Effective

implementation of

the infrastructure

rehabilitation and

maintenance

Infrastructure

investments selected

based on sound

appraisal and public

consultation.

Achieved. Infrastructure investments were selected based on

sound appraisal and public consultation.

Quality Assurance

system is operational.

Achieved. QAS has been started in the engineering and

technical services with plans to roll out the system to all the

KCCA departments.

39 Public stakeholders’ meetings.

40 While an amount of UGX 2.6 billion was still recorded as KCCA liabilities, there are no supporting

documents for the claims. KCCA is in the process of clearing off the liabilities officially through the

Accountant General. So far, public notices have been published in the print media requesting for potential

claimants to come forward but no response was received. Thus the liabilities would most likely be written

off by mid-year after further verification by the Accountant General.

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Annex 10. List of Supporting Documents

1. Strategic Framework for Reform II (2005-2010), August 2006

2. KIIDP Project Appraisal Document, September 2007

3. KIIDP Financing Agreement, February 2008

4. KIIDP Project Agreement, February 2008

5. KIIDP Resettlement Action Plan, October 2006

6. KIIDP Environmental Analysis, November 2006

7. KIIDP Aide Memoires and Implementation Status and Results Reports, Various Dates

8. KIIDP Restructuring Papers and Amendments to Financing Agreement, October 2010

and December 2012

9. KIIDP Mid-Term Review Report (Technical Assessment Report), December 2010

10. KIIDP Audit Reports, Various Dates

11. The Kampala Capital City Act, 2010

12. KCCA Strategic Plan 2013/14-2017/18, Draft, November 2013

13. Community Baraza reports, Various Dates

14. Citizens Report Card Final Reports, November 2011 and February 2013

15. KIIDP Implementation Completion Report by KCCA, April 2014