Public Copy_MV Theft_Sept 13

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    HHHUUUNNNTTTEEERRRSSSVVVIIILLLLLLEEE PPPOOOLLLIIICCCEEE DDDEEEPPPAAARRRTTTMMMEEENNNTTT9630 Julian Clark Ave P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C. 28070

    (704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200

    MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN

    Motor Vehicle Theft

    September 2013

    Activity Summary: There were three(3) motor vehicle thefts reported in September 2013. There were two(2) motor vehicle

    thefts reported during the same time frame in 2012. This is a 50% increase from 2012 to 2013.

    Two (2) incidents are open for further investigation and one (1) has been closed with leads exhausted.Historically, HPD has an average of 5 motor vehicle thefts during the month of September with a current threshold of3 to 7. This September, we were withinthethreshold with 3 reported motor vehicle thefts.

    Forecast for October:The average number of MV Thefts for the month ofOctober is 5 plus or minus 3. By the end of October there is a

    68% chance HPD will have received between 2 and 8 reported MV Thefts.

    Prepared by: L. Rooks, Crime Analyst

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    MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT

    September 2013

    Geographic Analysis

    Number of Crimes per Location

    Incidents by Response Area

    Incidents by District

    Location # % of total

    Commercial 0 0%

    Residential 2 66%

    Other 0 0%

    Hotel/Motel 0 0%

    Roadway 1 33%

    3 100%

    Zone # % of

    total

    9211(W1) 0 0%

    9212(E1) 0 0%

    9213(W2) 1 33%

    9214(E2) 2 66%

    3 100%

    District # % of

    total

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    Temporal Analysis

    # of Incidents/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

    Modus Operandi Analysis

    Method of EntryForced or Non-forced Entries

    Entry Type

    # % of totalForced 0 0%

    Unforced 3 99%

    Unknown 0 0%

    3 100%

    Point of Entry

    Point of Entry # % of total

    Door (Driver) 1 33%

    Day

    # % Total

    Sunday 0 0%

    Monday 0 0%

    Tuesday 1 33%

    Wednesday 2 66%

    Thursday 0 0%

    Friday 0 0%

    Saturday 0 0%

    3 100%

    Time Period # % per Allocation

    0000-0359

    0 0%0400-0759 0 0%

    0800-1159 1 33%

    1200-1559 1 33%

    1600-1959 1 33%

    2000-2359 0 0%

    3 100%

    Method # % of total

    Broke Glass 0 0%Force Door 0 0%

    Forced Window 0 0%

    Bodily Force 0 0%

    Pried/Punch Lock 0 0%

    No Force 3 99%

    Other 0 0%

    Unknown 0 0%

    3 100%

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    Monthly Crime Analysis for September 2013

    Motor Vehicle Theft

    Zone Case # Address Date From: Time From: Date To: Time To: Common Name:

    9211 None Reported

    9212 None Reported9213 20130918190300 McCoy Rd 9/18/13 1900 9/18/13 1903

    9214 2013090410550020130903142303

    Hunters RdFifth St

    9/3/139/3/13

    22301030

    9/4/139/3/13

    10301430

    * Honor * Professionalism * Dedication *

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    Incidents per Month 2012 Compared to 2013

    NC = Non-Calculable

    Comparison of # of Incidents in September to # of Incidents in October over time

    Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean # Change by Month

    September 2007 7 October 2007 5 6 -2

    September 2008 5 October 2008 3 4 -2

    September 2009 6 October 2009 3 4.5 -3

    September 2010 3 October 2010 4 3.5 +1September 2011 4 October 2011 2 3 -2

    September 2012 2 October 2012 5 3.5 +3

    Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2007-2012 +-1 Standard Deviation for change inincidents # b/w September & October:

    +-2

    Month Year # of

    Incidents

    % Change

    September 2012 2September 2013 3 50%

    * Honor * Professionalism * Dedication *