Public Copy_MV Theft_June 13

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  • 7/28/2019 Public Copy_MV Theft_June 13

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    HHH UUU NNN TTT EEE RRR SSSVVV III LLL LLL EEE PPP OOO LLL III CCC EEE DDD EEE PPP AAA RRR TTT MMM EEE NNNTTT 9630 Julian Clark Ave P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C. 28070

    (704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200Philip K. Potter, CLEE

    Chief of Police

    MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN

    Motor Vehicle TheftJune 2013

    Activity Summary: There were five (5) motor vehicle thefts reported in June 2013 . There were three (3) motor vehicle thefts

    reported during the same time frame in 2012 . This is a 67% increase from 2012 to 2013 . All five (5) incidents are open for further investigation .

    Historically, HPD has an average of 5 motor vehicle thefts during the month of June with a current threshold of 2 to 8.This June, we were within the threshold with 5 reported motor vehicle thefts.

    Forecast for July:The average number of MV Thefts for the month of July is 5 plus or minus 4. By the end of July there is a 68%chance HPD will have received between 1 and 9 reported MV Thefts.

    Prepared by: Laura Rooks, Crime Analyst Submitted to: Philip K. Potter, Chief of Police

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    MOTOR VEHICLE THEFTJune 2013

    Geographic Analysis

    Incidents per Reporting Tract Number of Crimes per Location

    Incidents by Response Area

    Incidents by District

    Location # % of totalCommercial 2 40%Residential 2 40%PVA 1 20%Hotel/Motel 0 0%Roadway 0 0%

    5 100%

    Tract # % of total

    Zone # % of total

    9211(W1) 0 0%

    9212(E1) 1 20%

    9213(W2) 1 20%9214(E2) 3 60%

    5 100%

    District # % of total

    East 4 80%West 1 20%

    5 100%

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    Temporal Analysis

    # of Incidents/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

    Modus Operandi Analysis

    Method of Entry Forced or Non-forced Entries

    Entry Type

    # % of totalForced 1 20%Unforced 4 80%Unknown 0 0%

    5 100%

    Point of EntryPoint of Entry

    # % of totalDoor (Driver) 0 0%Door (Pass) 0 0%Door (Back) 0 0%Window 0 0%Unknown 3 60%

    N/A/Other 2 40%5 100%

    Day

    # % TotalSunday 1 20%Monday 1 20%Tuesday 0 0%Wednesday 2 40%Thursday 0 0%Friday 1 20%Saturday 0 0%

    5 100%

    Time Period # % per Allocation

    0000-0359 0 0%0400-0759 2 40%0800-1159 0 0%1200-1559 0 0%1600-1959 3 60%2000-2359 0 0%

    5 100%

    Method # % of total

    Broke Glass 0 0%Force Door 0 0%Forced Window 0 0%Bodily Force 0 0%Pried/Punch Lock 0 0%No Force 4 80%Other 1 20%Unknown 0 0%

    5 100%

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    * H onor * P rofessionalism * Dedication *

    Monthly Crime Analysis for June 2013Motor Vehicle Theft

    Zone Case # Address Date From: Time From: Date To: Time To: Common Name:9211 None Reported9212 20130602212604 Sam Furr Rd 5/31/13 1600 6/2/13 21269213 20130616190102 Mt Holly-Huntersville Rd 6/15/13 1000 6/16/13 19009214 20130624175001

    2013061911320120130626072904

    Statesville RdLevins Hall RdOld Vermillion Dr

    6/22/136/19/136/26/13

    120000300030

    6/24/136/19/136/26/13

    183505300600

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    * H onor * P rofessionalism * Dedication *

    Incidents per Month 2012 Compared to 2013

    June and July Motor Vehicle Thefts Over Time

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    # o

    f I n c

    i d e n

    t s

    June

    July

    NC = Non-Calculable

    Comparison of # of Incidents in June to # of Incidents in July over timeMonth Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean # Change by MonthJune 2007 10 July 2007 8 9 -2June 2008 8 July 2008 7 7.5 -1June 2009 0 July 2009 5 2.5 +5June 2010 1 July 2010 1 1 0

    June 2011 3 July 2011 2 2.5 -1June 2012 3 July 2012 1 2 -2Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2007-2012 +-3 Standard Deviation for change in

    incidents # b/w June and July:+-3

    Month Year # of Incidents

    % Change

    June 2012 3June 2013 5 67%