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  HHUNTERSVILLE  PPOLICE 

DDEPARTMENT  102 Gilead Road P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C. 28070

(704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200Philip K. Potter, CLEE

Chief of Police

MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN

Motor Vehicle TheftSeptember 2011

Activity Summary:

• There were four (4) motor vehicle thefts reported in September 2011. There were three (3) motor vehicle

thefts reported during the same time frame in 2010. This is a 33% increase from 2010 to 2011.

• The incidents occurred in the B3, C2 and D1 reporting tracts.

• All four incidents are open for further investigation.

Historically, HPD has an average of 6 motor vehicle thefts during the month of September with a current threshold of 

4 to 8. This September, we were within the threshold with 4 reported MV Thefts.

Forecast for October:

The average number of MV Thefts for the month of October is 5 plus or minus 3. By the end of October, there is a

68% chance HPD will have received between 2 and 8 reported MV Thefts.

Prepared by: Laura Rooks, Crime AnalystSubmitted to: Philip K. Potter, Chief of Police

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4 Motor Vehicle Thefts Reported in September 2011

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MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT

September 2011

Geographic Analysis

Incidents per Reporting Tract Number of Crimes per Location

 

 Incidents by Response Area

Location # % of totalCommercial 1 25%

Residential 3 75%

Church

Hotel/Motel

Roadway

4 100%

Tract # % of total

A1

A2

A3

A4

A5

B1

B2

B3 2 50%B4

C1

C2 1 25%

C3

C4

C5

C6

D1 1 25%D2

D3

D4

D5

99

4 100%

Beat # % of  total

East 1

East 2 2 50%

East 3 1 25%

West 1

West 2

West 3 1 25%  4 100%

District # % of  

total

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Temporal Analysis

# of Incidents/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

Modus Operandi Analysis

  Method of Entry

Forced or Non-forced Entries

Entry Type # % of total

Forced 1 25%Unforced 3 75%

Unknown

  4 100%

Point of EntryPoint of Entry # % of total

Door (Driver) 3 75%

Door (Pass)

Day # % Total

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesda

y

Thursday 1 25%

Friday 2 50%

Saturday 1 25%

4 100%

Time Period # % per Allocation

0000-0359

0400-0759 1 25%0800-1159 1 25%

1200-1559 1 25%

1600-1959

2000-2359 1 25%

4 100%

Method # % of total

Broke Glass

Force DoorForced Window

Bodily Force

Pried/Jimmied Lock 

No Force 3 75%

Other

Unknown 1 25%

4 100%

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Monthly Crime Analysis for September 2011

Motor Vehicle Theft

Tract Case # Address Date From: Time From: Date To: Time To: Common Name:

A1 None Reported

A2 None ReportedA3 None Reported

A4 None Reported

A5 None Reported

B1 None Reported

B2 None Reported

B3 110924225901

110930062002

Lavenham RdFirst St

9/24/119/29/11

14302000

9/24/119/30/11

22580615

B4 None Reported

C1 None Reported

C2 110929141001 Cimmaron Rd 9/28/11 1901 9/29/11 1308C3 None Reported

C4 None Reported

C5 None Reported

D1 110930100501 Statesville Rd 9/26/11 1000 9/30/11 0900

D2 None Reported

D3 None Reported

D4 None Reported

D5 None Reported

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 Incidents per Month 2010 Compared to 2011

September and October Motor Vehicle Thefts Over Time

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

   #

  o   f   I  n  c   i   d  e  n   t  s

September 

October 

   NC = Non-Calculable

Comparison of # of Incidents in September to # of Incidents in October over time

Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean # Change by Month

September 2005 8 October 2005 12 10 +4

September 2006 7 October 2006 3 5 -4

September 2007 7 October 2007 5 6 -2

September 2008 5 October 2008 3 4 -2September 2009 6 October 2009 3 4.5 -3

September 2010 3 October 2010 4 3.5 +1

Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2005-2010 +-2.36  Standard Deviation for change inincidents # b/w Sept and Oct:

+-2.96 

Month Year # of  Incidents

% Change

September 2010 3September 2011 4 33%