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1Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan
Introduction to research in psychology.
1/5/09Right click for “full Screen” or “end
show”. Left click to proceed,
The Class web site is: http://www.uic.edu/classes/psych/psych242
Look in the "Announcements" window on the home page for Web updates or class announcements.
Please e-mail me ASAP if you find a broken or incorrect link!
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2Psychology 242Introductionto Research We will cover some basic topics in science…
What is science?
How can research answer basic questions about behavior?
How do we ensure our research is ethical?
How do we gather data that is reliable and valid?
Who do we study, and why?
How do we answer research questions when a true experiment is not possible?
How do we use statistics to evaluate our results?
How much of what we “know” is actually superstition?
Rational?
How does science differ from…common sense?religious belief?intuition?
How do we state an issue as a research question?
What is a “theory”?A “hypothesis”?An “operational definition”?
What are the basic features of a “true” experiment?
How do experiments differ from simple measurement?
How do we decide who we should be studying?
How do we make sure our sample represents the population?
How do we conduct “experiments in nature”?
How do we use surveys to test hypotheses?
How do statistical approaches affect the way we see the world?
How do we use statistics to test if our results are “significant” or meaningful?
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3Psychology 242Introductionto Research The course…
The course is based on the web site. All lecture notes are there All your readings & discussion group assignments Complete term paper instructions
The core course content is given in lectures.
Exams are (almost) completely lecture – based. You get course points via “i>Clicker” devices in
class
The term paper is central to the course.
Working on the paper will help you “get” the rest of the course materials (really!).
Begin early!~!
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
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4Psychology 242Introductionto Research Grades..
Grading: 3 exams, each worth 15% of your grade Lecture attendance, 10% Discussion group attendance & assignments, 15% Research paper, 30%
Exams take content from the lectures
Discussion groups require both attendance and assignment completion
Talk to your TA and begin the paper early!!
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
An i>clicker remote is required for this course.
You can purchase a new or used clicker through the bookstore, from other students, or possibly used on-line.
How will we use the clicker?
I pose questions on the screen during lecture.
You answer using your i>clicker remote.
Class results are tallied.
I display a graph with the class results on the screen.
We discuss the questions and answers.
You get points both for lecture participation and for answering questions correctly.
How do you vote?
Turn on the clicker by pressing the bottom “On/Off” button.
A blue “Power” light will appear at the top of the remote.
How do you vote?
When I ask a question in class (and start the timer), select A, B, C, D, or E as your vote.
I may also ask you to talk about your answer in class.
How do you know your vote was received?
Check your “Vote Status” Light: Green light = your vote was sent
AND received. Red flashing light = you need to
vote again.
Not sure you saw the light?
Just vote again.
Want to change your vote?
You can vote again as long as the timer is still going.
Registering your i>clicker
Until you register your i>clicker, your responses are tied to your clicker remote ID (located on the back of your clicker), rather than to you.
When you do register, your previously recorded voting responses will be assigned to you.
Registering your i>clicker online
REGISTER AT www.iclicker.com
1. Go to www.iclicker.com.
2. Click “REGISTER.”3. Enter these 4 details and
click “submit.”
IMPORTANT!! You MUST enter your student ID in the STUDENT ID field to ensure proper crediting.
Other tips If you bought a used clicker, replace the AAA batteries (all
of them). Do not use Duracell (they are a bit short for the casing). Do not use rechargeable batteries (they harm the clicker).
Register your clicker by the second week of classes. Before using a new clicker for the first time, pull the
plastic tab out of the battery compartment. Bring your clicker to class every day! Make sure your remote is on when voting! Do not submerge your clicker in liquid (and avoid liquid
near the clicker); like most electronics, liquid + your clicker is a bad combination.
Check out www.iclicker.com for FAQs. Contact [email protected] for help.
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13Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
The big picture: Introductory lectures
How do we “know” something?
Science, anti-science, pseudoscience.
Where does our knowledge of the world come from?
What does science do?
The core features of a research study.
Overall Research approaches.
Authority Intuition Simple Empiricism Rationalism
Describe the world Predict behavior Test theories Test applications
of theoriesObservational or
Measurement research
Experimental studies
Simple Descriptive
CorrelationalQuasi-
ExperimentTrue
Experiment
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14Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Introduction to science, 1
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we know something?
Science, anti-science, pseudoscience.
Where does our knowledge of the world come from?
What does science do?
The core features of a research study.
Overall Research approaches.
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15Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we know things? Gay marriage would destroy the institution of marriage. The movie will begin at 9:00.
Iran is a clear and present danger to the U.S. About 3,000 people were killed on 9/11/01.
Each of us has an intrinsic purpose that we must discover.
The earth is about 3.5 billion years old.
We will make a key distinction between beliefs and empirical statements
Beliefs may be true and important, but cannot be empirically tested or demonstrated.
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16Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we know things?
What research could you do on this statement?
Gay marriage would destroy the institution of marriage. The movie will begin at 9:00.
Iran is a clear and present danger to the U.S. About 3,000 people were killed on 9/11/01.
Each of us has an intrinsic purpose that we must discover.
The earth is about 3.5 billion years old.
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17Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
All ideas have some merit and should be considered equally.
Let’s answer some knowledge attitude questions… using your i>clickers
Most any idea is worthy of study. Scientific acceptance of ideas is not
egalitarian; ideas that are coherent and have empirical support are better.
A = TrueB = I’m not sureC = False
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18Psychology 242Introductionto Research Knowledge attitudes, 2
If a lot of people believe something there is probably something to that.
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Popular opinion per se is an important area of study.
Scientific is not democratic; the data “win”, not the majority of believers
Many foolish or dangerous ideas were accepted by many people, even scientists, until countered by data.
A = TrueB = I’m not sureC = False
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19Psychology 242Introductionto Research Knowledge attitudes, 3
I can just sense when something is true or false.
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Intuition is an important source of hypotheses or theories
Intuition describes your emotions, not necessarily the read world.
Emotionality & subjectivity are unscientific until they are empirically tested.
A = TrueB = I’m not sureC = False
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20Psychology 242Introductionto Research Knowledge attitudes, 4
Everyone is biased, even scientists, so why shouldn’t I just believe what makes sense to me?
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
A = TrueB = I’m not sureC = False
Preconception can be useful when based on previous research
Science is designed to not be person based – Science is about methods, not people and their bias’ Scientific method specifically works to lessen personal
bias.
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21Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Some ideas are “better” than others. Science is based on methods and evidence, not
people. Evidence from the natural world > personal
biases or beliefs.
Logic or rational thought > emotions, fear.
Science represents some core values about knowledge
Is it logically coherent? Is it supported by evidence?
Importance of “real world” tests of ideas or plans.
Refusal to “Cherry pick” confirmatory or self-serving evidence.
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22Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Introduction to science, 2
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we know something?
Science, anti-science, pseudoscience.
Where does our knowledge of the world come from?
What does science do?
The core features of a research study.
Overall Research approaches.
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23Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Are we rational?
Is American society “rational”?
Are our beliefs generally scientific?
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
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24Psychology 242Introductionto Research Beliefs…
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How much do you believe in…
ESP or Extrasensory Perception
A = I believe in this
B = I am not sure
C = I do not believe in this
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25Psychology 242Introductionto Research Beliefs, 2…
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How much do you believe…
That houses can be haunted
A = I believe in this
B = I am not sure
C = I do not believe in this
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26Psychology 242Introductionto Research Beliefs, 3…
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Have you ever… Been protected
from harm by an angel?
A = Yes
B = I am not sure
C = No
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27Psychology 242Introductionto Research Beliefs, 4…
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Have you ever… Had a dream that
later became true?
A = Yes
B = I am not sure
C = No
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28Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Science on the run
Science & rationality are on the run in the 21st Century
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
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29Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Science & rationality on the run
Beliefs in “Para-normal” phenomena
Gallup poll, June 2005, on paranormal beliefs. N = 1,002 adults 18 and older, sampling error = ±3% @ 95% CI
% Believe
% Not sure
% Do not
believe
Psychic healing / power of the human mind to heal the body
People … are sometimes possessed by the devil
ESP or Extrasensory Perception
That houses can be haunted
Ghosts/spirits of the dead come back in certain … situations
Telepathy / communication … without traditional senses
Clairvoyance / power … to know the past / predict the future
Astrology / position of stars & planets affect people's lives
Extra-terrestrial beings have visited earth…
People can communicate mentally with someone who has died
Witches
Reincarnation … rebirth of the soul in a new body after death
Channeling / allowing 'spirit-being' to temporarily control body
55
42
41
37
32
31
26
25
24
21
21
20
9
17
13
25
16
19
27
24
19
24
23
12
20
20
26
44
32
46
48
42
50
55
51
55
66
59
70
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30Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Science & rationality on the run, cont.
# para-normal beliefs people
endorse
% endorsing
Cumulative %
All 10 of 10
Any 9 of 10
Any 8
7
6
5
4
3
2
Any 1
None
1%
2
3
3
6
7
10
11
14
16
27
1%
3
6
9
15
22
32
43
57
73
100
Only 27% do not endorse any para-normal belief
73% endorse at least one irrational belief
57% endorse at least 2 beliefs
Beliefs such as haunted houses or demonic possession are common (~ 40%).
Our anti-empirical society:
27%27%
57%57%73%73%
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31Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Direct paranormal experiences among Americans
55% of Americans : "I was protected from harm
by a guardian angel.“
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.Baylor University nationally representative survey of 1,721 respondents
Paranormal Experiences in the United StatesPercent that report the following experiences:
Used acupuncture or other forms of alternative medicine 28%
Consulted a horoscope to get an idea about the course of your life 28%
Called or consulted a medium, fortune teller or psychic 13%
Visited or lived in a house or place believed to be haunted 22%
Consulted a Ouija board to contact a deceased person or spirit 8%
Had a dream that later came true 43%
Witnessed an object in the sky that you could not identify (UFO) 17%
Used acupuncture or other forms of alternative medicine 28%
Consulted a horoscope to get an idea about the course of your life 28%
Called or consulted a medium, fortune teller or psychic 13%
Visited or lived in a house or place believed to be haunted 22%
Consulted a Ouija board to contact a deceased person or spirit 8%
Had a dream that later came true 43%
Witnessed an object in the sky that you could not identify (UFO) 17%
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32Psychology 242Introductionto Research
The U.S. is a deeply religious country
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
89% consider themselves affiliated with a religion
Of “unaffiliated” 63% believe in God (to a greater or lesser extent).
Only 4% have no affiliation and do not believe in God
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33Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
The role of religion in Anti-science attitudes
2005 Gallup poll on evolution / origins of life
53%
12%
31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
% endorsing each belief
God created humans as the Bibledescribes it.
Evolution with no divineintervention
Evolution, with God guiding theprocess (ID)
Evolution has become a core “wedge issue” in U.S. religious & cultural politics.
Gallup data: Few endorse a wholly
scientific view of the origins of species
“Intelligent Design” version of creationism relatively common
Biblical creation view most common.
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34Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Anti-science attitudes: the evolution debate, cont.
Americans are the least accepting of evolution in Western countries…
Key predictors of rejecting evolution: “Fundamentalist” religious
identity Politically conservative /
Republican ideology Less scientifically literate Anti-choice & stem cell
research Older, male
only Turkey scores lower.
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35Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Studying beliefs about science
Beliefs about science can themselves be scientifically studied
Following is an example of a complex correlational study of attitudes toward evolution.
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
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36Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Predictors of pro-evolution attitudes: U.S. v. Europe
In both the U.S. and Europe education strongly predicts genetic literacy,
which itself underlies acceptance of evolution.
In both areas religiosity and pro-life attitudes lead to greater political conservatism…
And to less acceptance of evolution.
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37Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Where do ideas about science come from?Education versus politics
Religiosity and “pro-life” attitudes have much stronger influence on political ideology and attitudes toward evolution
in the U.S.
…and political conservatism predicts rejection of evolution
in the U.S.,
but not in Europe.
than in Europe.
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38Psychology 242Introductionto Research Bottom line
Conservative & religious politics are generally not supportive of empirical or scientific thought
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
A scientific (rational, empirical) perspective: combines rational thought with empirical
evidence is not just a “research method”, but is a
larger approach to knowledge.
Social class and health Stem cell research Abstinence-only sex Ed. Teaching of Evolution Project DARE drug prevention Global warming
Science education is increasingly crucial.
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39Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Introduction to science, 3
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we know something?
Science, anti-science, pseudoscience.
Where does our knowledge of the world come from?
What does science do?
The core features of a research study.
Overall Research approaches.
Woman with book, Pablo Picasso.
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40Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Intuition: “I believe my Gut feelings”
Emotionality or a “hunch”
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Four basic sources of knowledge or information:
Authority: “I believe what they tell me to”
Credible / powerful peopleImportant social institutionsSimple tradition
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41Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Authority-based belief
Advantages: Stable core of beliefs or principles.
Move a field beyond the data; Visionaries, revolutionaries
Disadvantages:
Insensitive to proof or evidence
Highly susceptible to political bias
Can require evidence / science be corrupted, distorted or ignored.
Ignore or circumvent normal scientific procedures (e.g., Intelligent Design content in biology instruction).
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42Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Intuition, emotion, superstition
Advantages:
Emotional or personal insight
Origin of novel hypotheses or theories
Move a field beyond the data
Disadvantages:
Insensitive to proof or evidence
Wishful thinking? ; often explicitly non-empirical
Emotion (e.g., fear) > rationality or evidence
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43Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Intuition and Magical thought
Our brains may be “hard wired” for intuitive, “Magical Thought”
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44Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Intuition, Magical Thought & science
The brain has evolved to make snap judgments about causation:
We leap to conclusions before logic can be applied.
Psychological biases can lead to distorted beliefs.
Our tendency toward for “magical thought” makes make scientific arguments a harder sell.
Emotional information processing is faster than logical or verbal processing
Simple perceptual biases precede any processing…
Co-occurrence / correlation causality
Emotional need for personal control personal causation.
Taking a rational, empirical approach can require that we suppress or reject our intuitive sense of causation
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45Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Empiricism or simple exposure
Advantages:
Grounds knowledge in external, real world.
Confirm intuition by direct observation
Makes knowledge public (e.g., Copernican revolution)
Disadvantages / limitations:
Simple illusions / misperceptions / measurement error Confirmatory bias Oversensitive to emotional / perceptual salience Spurious correlations Anti-science use of naïve empiricism
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46Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Limits of empiricism: optical illusions
Akiyoshi KITAOKA, Professor, Department of Psychology, Ritsumeikan University, Kyoto, Japan
http://www.ritsumei.ac.jp/~akitaoka/index-e.html
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47Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Empiricism and the confirmatory bias
Cops and doughnuts
Yes No
Yes
No
Police officer present?
Doughnut present?
= memorability
subjective co-occurrence matrix.
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48Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Emotional / perceptual salience
Certain experiences are more cognitively available.
Observation is never neutral or “objective”
Their perceptual salience Our emotional needs
Which is more hazardous: airline travel or automobile travel? Which is more common in women: breast cancer or cardio-
vascular disease? Conspiracy theories: could Kennedy have been killed by a single
person? (law of effect) Fear based attitude change: Saddam is an evil Arab Arabs
attacked us on 9/11 Saddam must be responsible for 9/11.
Which is more hazardous: airline travel or automobile travel? Which is more common in women: breast cancer or cardio-
vascular disease? Conspiracy theories: could Kennedy have been killed by a single
person? (law of effect) Fear based attitude change: Saddam is an evil Arab Arabs
attacked us on 9/11 Saddam must be responsible for 9/11.
Events / stimuli we pay attention to & remember are influenced by:
We only notice certain things We only “encode” certain things We only recall certain things in a given situation
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49Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
empiricism and spurious (naïve empirical) correlations:
The Japanese eat very little fat and suffer fewer heart attacks than the British or Americans.
The French eat a lot of fat and also suffer fewer heart attacks than the British or Americans.
The Japanese drink very little red wine and suffer fewer heart attacks than the British or Americans.
The Italians drink lots of red wine and suffer fewer heart attacks than the British or Americans.
Conclusion: Eat & drink what you like. It's speaking English that kills you.
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50Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Naïve empiricism
Naïve Empiricismcan reflect anti-scientific bias
(e.g., creationism arguments; see Schafley editorial.) Science asks “why?”, not simply “what?”
Scientific data are often not directly observable
Empirical evidence can involve a large time scale
Microscopic / atomic level
Indirect evidence via instrumentation or accretion
Theory & hypothesis testing > simple data
Paleontology, geology, astrophysics
Developmental Psychology
(I won’t believe it unless I can directly see it myself)
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51Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Advantages:
Develop larger, coherent principles or theories.
Accept conclusions that correspond to other knowledge
Disadvantages: Correspondence to empirical world?
Susceptible to ideological bias or authority – based belief systems
Rationalism
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52Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Bottom line: Ways of knowing and science
Authority / authoritarianism Provides stable, core principles or beliefs Limits empirical evidence or alternative views
Intuition / subjective “hunch” Important source of novel hypotheses / theories / scientific
approaches Emotion-based “wishful thinking” or “magical thought” can
make us irrational or ignore / distort empirical facts.
Empiricism Grounds knowledge in “real” world, provides important
hypothesis-testing perspective Our perceptions are subject to cognitive / emotional biases.
Rationalism / theory Central purpose of science: coherent explanation of “why” or
“how” nature works. When subject to political pressure can limit hypothesis testing
or lessen respect for empirical evidence.
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53Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we “Know” something?
Science: Integration of..Rationalism
TheoryHypothesis
Empiricism Objective observationControlOperational definitions Replication
Developing theories – explanations of how / why behavior works – is a core purpose of research.
Empirical data helps us:describe the world test hypotheses & develop theory.
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54Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Introduction to science, 4
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we know something?
Science, anti-science, pseudoscience.
Where does our knowledge of the world come from?
What does science do?
The core features of a research study.
Overall Research approaches.
Back NextHomePage
55Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
What does science do?
Describe the world Initial approach to scientific study: “what is it” Leads to hypotheses
Predict events Core feature of a hypothesis: if “X” then “Y”. Often still descriptive rather than experimental.
Test theories Cause and effect questions involving hypothetical
constructs. Often controlled experiments or complex correlation
designs. Test applications of theories Using theory to model change Testing interventions or policy
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56Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Science: A. Describing the world
Taxonomies or behavioral categories
Major personality "types"?
Categories of mental illnesses
"Types" of drug users.
Epidemiology rate of behavior or status x a population
Distribution of HIV/AIDS: sifts by time, place, demographics
Uniform crime rates
Distribution of drug use types across ages…
Direct behavioral description typically qualitative
Consumer decision making processes.
Actual mechanics of drug acquisition & use...
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57Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Science: B. Prediction of events
Simple prediction
What test score or personal attribute predicts college success?
How can I predict which employees will develop a drug problem?
“Method of similarity” (Correlation)
What child rearing style correlates with extroversion?
What personality types correlate with drug use?
“Method of differences" (Experiment)
1. Two groups differ in one attribute
(Independent variable)-- an existing condition / behavior-- an imposed treatment
2. Do they also differ in a second attribute?
(Dependent var.)
solve a practical problem
test a theory
Test efficacy of a heroin agonist v. placebo in treating drug addicts
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58Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Science: C. Testing theories
Direct cause & effect questions
What causes individual differences in academic ability?
How does personality create vulnerability to drug use?
Identifying basic psychological processes
How is language consolidated in the brain?
What brain & behavioral changes underlie drug tolerance?
Showing how processes are relatedMediationMediation:: Do drugs lead to risk by making people more
impulsive?
ModerationModeration:: Do drugs lead to risk primarily among men who are depressed? (Does depression create vulnerability to drug-related risk…?)
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59Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Testing theory: Mediating effects
Simple empirical effect:
Mediating (theory testing) hypothesis:
Drug useRisky
behavior
Drug use ImpulsivityRisky
behavior
How does an effect “work”? Why or How does drug use lead to risk?
Where / how might we change it?
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60Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Testing theory: “Moderating” effects
Moderating (theory limiting) hypothesis:
When or among whom does an effect “work”?
Where / how might we change it in different groups?
Drug use RiskDepressed men
Non-depressed men
Drug use Risk
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Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Science: D. Testing applications of theories
Using theory to design an intervention
Using basic learning theory to “teach” people to no longer have phobias.
Designing alternatives to drug use for people with high “sensation seeking” disposition…
Using an intervention study to actually test a theory
Comparing drug treatment to cognitive-behavioral treatment for depression.
Testing social network approaches to drug prevention among college students.
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What does science do: Summary?
Descriptive studies “who what where…”
Predict events Correlational studies Experiments / Hypothesis tests
Test theories“How / why it works
Testing applications of theories
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63Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Introduction to science, 5
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we know something?
Science, anti-science, pseudoscience.
Where does our knowledge of the world come from?
What does science do?
The core features of a research study.
Overall Research approaches.
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64Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
The core features of a research study
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65Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Basics of research: what is a theory?
Hypothetical Constructs Abstract statements of psychological processes…
““stress”, “depression”, “learning”, “attraction”…stress”, “depression”, “learning”, “attraction”…
…that cannot be directly observed: we observe their effects only.
Interview data, behavioral symptoms, questionnaire…Interview data, behavioral symptoms, questionnaire…
That are linked as a proposition. Specifies how one construct is related to another…
stress + genetics stress + genetics depression depression
…and Generally specifies what causes an outcome
Theory:Abstract statement of how two processes
relate to each other…
Answers why or how the phenomenon “works.”A theory has two core ingredients…
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66Psychology 242Introductionto Research
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How do we use theory in research?
Test a theory: does stereotype threat actually exist and govern performance?
Compare theories: Which best explains women’s statistics performance: stereotype threat or social role learning
Extend an established theory to a new outcome or phenomenon: can stereotype threat help us explain athletic as well as academic performance?
Apply a theory to change behavior: can I create instructions that relieve stereotype threat for women during statistics.
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67Psychology 242Introductionto Research
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The core features of a research study
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68Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Basics of research: hypothesis
An hypothesis is a Prediction It links variables derived from the theory.
It implicitly specifies your idea of cause and effect.
Hypotheses are expressed in control terms for experiments.
If X then Y: if I make people relaxed their fear and if I make people relaxed their fear and loathing of statistics will decrease…loathing of statistics will decrease…
…and as a simple relation for measurement studies.
People who are (already) relaxed will tend to fear People who are (already) relaxed will tend to fear statistics lessstatistics less
…that is potentially falsifiable (see text for discussion)
Can be conceivably / logically shown to be untrue
Specific enough to be tested
Hypothesis A concrete statement of how processes relate to each other..
about variables derived from your theory.
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The core features of a research study
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70Psychology 242Introductionto Research
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Basics of research: methods
Core element of scientific approach Objective; designed to separate data from person Public: Copernican Revolution / Galileo
Replicable: others can repeat or expand the study
Test variables via operation definition Specify operations that express construct Define / understand variable in terms of operations
Methods
Depression“vegetative”; sleep, eating
Verbal behavior
AppearanceSuicide, drug use, work…
etc…
Turn variables into research procedures.
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What does it mean to operationalize a variable?1. Specify a manipulation that creates the
variable. Typical of the independent variable in experiments To relate stress to memory I may create “stress” in the lab via…
Threatening information. Shock. Requiring a difficult performance in front of others.
2. Specify a measurement to capture a variable For measurement studies and the dependent variable
in experiments. Measurement-based operational definitions of stress may be:
A questionnaire scale Heart rate
Anxious behavior, sleep loss, appetite change…
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Why use operational definitions?
Any theory must be operationalized to be heuristically useful
Generate concrete & testable hypotheses
Test or eliminates jargon, pop psych, new age constructs
Many ψ concepts are abstract, so their real meaning critically depends on an operational definition.
Attitudes “ Cognitive load”
Operational definitions orient us toward real world in theory development.
“Stress” I.Q.
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The limits of “operationism”
Science consists of theories & explanations, not just measures. Measures that do not have the goal of explaining a ψ
process are vacuous.
Science wants general laws, not measure-specific findings. A concept pertains to a class of measures (e.g., diverse
measures of depression, motivation, etc.), not one specific measure.
Ultimately, science does not care about the measures or the numbers
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Methods of operationally defining variables
Some variables are easy to operationalize; e.g., the effect of a drug dose on hypertension. IV = drug1 v. drug dose2 v. placebo
DV = blood pressure, serum measure, etc.
Some constructs can only be roughly operationalized. Variables such as “future orientation”, “identity integration”…
Some constructs have diverging operational definitions. How do you operationally define “stress”?
…motivation?
Some domains may not be operationalizable. String theory…
Relativity v. quantum mechanics views of gravity; indirect derivations can be tested, but not the core construct
“Spirituality”? “Happiness”?
Behavior?
Self-perception?
Physiological?
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The core features of a research study
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Basics of research: Data & Analyses:
Provide a Numerical representation (or
operational definition…) of reality
Rating scales: ratio, interval, ordinal, categorical
Statistics can be Descriptive
Simply characterize a phenomenon: “what is it?”.
Test a theory: “how does it work?”
“Statistical reasoning” is central to interpreting research.
We use the normal distribution & probability judgements to determine whether observations are meaningful
Statistics
or Inferential.
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77Psychology 242Introductionto Research
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Basics of research: Results Descriptive or measurement studies
typically address… A simple “empirical question”…
What % of adolescents use X or Y drugs? Demographic profile of an “undecided” voter?
Or an exploratory account of a question… What are the correlates of college success?
Experiments (and some measurement studies) always test a hypothesis:
How do we know if the hypothesis was supported? What statistical criteria did we use? Are there alternative explanations for the results?
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The core features of a research study
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Basics of research: Discussion Core issue: What are the implications of the
results for our theory. What does it mean that the hypothesis was (was not) supported? What future research does this lead to? What other hypotheses might these data support?
Study limitations: what are the boundaries on what this study can tell us?
Internal validity: How well did we model or represent the hypothetical constructs we were
interested in? Quality / nature of operationalization & design.
External validity: Our sample? Our manipulation or measurement of the independent variable(s)? Our assessment of the dependent or outcome variable(s)? The research setting itself
How representative was…
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80Psychology 242Introductionto Research
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Core features of a research study:
Hypothesis
Theory
Methods
Data & Analysis
Discussion
Hypothetical constructs In important relationship
More specific variables Falsifiable prediction
Operational definition Internal & external validity
Numerical representation Normal distribution Probability
Meaning of these results for the theory Limitations of methods: sample, setting, variables
Results Descriptive: Empirical question or exploration Hypothesis: Statistical significance
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81Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Basic Elements of a Research Project
MethodsMeasurement v.
experimental
Move from the “big question” and theory…
Each element of the project corresponds to a later / earlier issue…
ConclusionsFuture research?
…then back to larger issues.
PhenomenonBig picture / question
Theory Hypothetical Constructs
Causal explanation
Hypothesis Operational definition
Specific prediction
Data / Results• Descriptive data• Test hypothesis
DiscussionImplications for theory
To specific methods, the core of a scientific study…
…to a concrete hypothesis…
To actual data…
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82Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Introduction to science, 6
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
How do we know something?
Science, anti-science, pseudoscience.
Where does our knowledge of the world come from?
What does science do?
The core features of a research study.
Overall Research approaches.
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83Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Overall research strategies
Observation or Measurement Experiments
Simple Description Correlational Studies
Quasi-experiment
s
“True” experiment
sQualitative Quantitative
Explore the actual process of a behavior.
Describe behavioral or social trends.
Relate measured variables to each other to test hypotheses.
Test hypotheses or study naturally occurring event in field studies or less controlled experiments.
Test specific hypotheses via controlled “lab” conditions. Rich / detailed
description using direct observation, interviews, or existing text.
Typically small samples that are highly targeted, e.g., specific risk groups.
Computer analyses can link parts of text.
Simple counts, “blocked” by, e.g., age, gender, ethnicity.
Use probability or highly targeted non-probability sampling.
May use existing archival data as “markers” of psychological processes.
Often uses non-probability / targeted methods to sample specific groups.
Key: standard, reliable & valid scales (e.g., of attitudes) or behavioral reports (e.g., smoking).
Experimental design, but…
no control over Independent Variable
groups non-equivalent (not blind, not randomly assigned, self-selected…).
Manipulate Independent Variable, measure effects on Dependent Variable.
Control the IV and all observations, randomly assign participants, etc.
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Overall research strategies: Drug use
Observation or Measurement Experiments
Simple Description Correlational Studies
Quasi-experiment
s
“True” experiment
sQualitative Quantitative
Methods: Surveys, face-
to-face interviews, archival data (e.g., drug arrests, ER visits..)
Block by demographic variables (age, ethnicity…)
Methods: hypothesis-
oriented surveys or interviews (potentially with targeted samples: people in rehab., etc.).
Test ψ variables (motivation, emotions, attitudes…)
Methods:
Experimental-like design comparing two treatment groups.
Groups are non-equivalent (not blind, not randomly assigned, self-selected…).
Methods: Experimental design:
Operationalize drug “craving” in rats (DV),
Stimulate specific brain areas (IV) to map brain structure onto craving / drug-seeking.
Methods: Direct observation of “shooting galleries” or corner drug markets, in-depth interviews with drug users…
Research Question:
How does drug use actually occur?
Research Question:
Who tends to use drugs, how often, etc.? (epidemiology of drug use).
Research Question:
What social or ψ variables are associated with drug use?
Research Question:
Does one form of drug treatment work better than another?
Research Question:
What brain centers control “drug craving”?
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Overall Research strategies: measurement v. experiments
Many areas not amenable to true experiments, e.g., medical, educational, policy studies… Readings: Diet & health, mammography, maternal employment
Key: degree of control over variables
ExperimentHigh control / ‘lab’ conditions
Internalvalidity
Determine “cause and effect”: validly interpret data
MeasurementLess control; ‘research in nature’
Externalvalidity
Data can generalize to “real world” & capture more complexity
Core issue: controlled experiments are “gold standard” for testing hypotheses or treatments.
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86Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Overall Research strategies: Validity
Observation or Measurement Experiments
Simple Description Correlational Studies
Quasi-experiment
s
“True” experiment
sQualitative Quantitative
Explore the actual process of a behavior.
Describe a behavioral or social trend.
Relate measured variables to each other to test hypotheses.
Test hypotheses in naturally occurring events or field studies.
Test specific hypotheses via controlled “lab” conditions.
External validityInternal validity
Less control:
Observe / test phenomenon under natural conditions.
More accurate portrayal of: “how it works in nature” complexity of phenomenon
Less able to interpret cause & effect
More control:
Isolate (or create) the phenomenon in a lab or controlled environment
Addresses more specific questions or hypotheses
More ability to interpret cause & effect
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87Psychology 242Introductionto Research
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Research Strategies: Key issues
Key research issues
Observation or Measurement Quasi
Experiment
True Experimen
tSimple
Descriptive Correlational
Uses
Tests a Hypothesis?
Variables
Control
Statistics
Internal Validity
External Validity
Test causality, theory
Naturally occurring events or groups.
Non-experimental theory test
Exploration & description, epidemiology.
AlwaysTypicallyYes, or complex description
Often not, descriptive only
Manipulated & measured
Measured and/or manipulated
Subjective ratings, behavior
Behavior, text, status markers
High, via I.V. & exp. procedures
Moderate to high, except sampling
Moderate, via context or stats.
Little to moderate
Analyses of variance
Analysis of variance
Complex correlations
None or simple descriptive
Very highModerate to HighModerate, high in some designs
Often low to moderate
Often lowModerate to highModerate to highHigh (given sampling)
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88Psychology 242Introductionto Research overview
Overview
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
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89Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Core course topics
How do we know things? What does scientific method tell us that other
methods (political, religious thought) do not?
What does science do? Describe the world
Taxonomies Epidemiology Qualitative research
Predict events Simple predictions Correlational studies Experiments
Test theories Cause & effect Identify basic processes Show how processes are
related
Test applications of theories
E.g., behavioral interventions
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90Psychology 242Introductionto Research Ways of knowing
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Authority / authoritarianism Provides stable, core principles or beliefs Limits empirical evidence or alternative views
Intuition / subjective “hunch” Important source of novel hypotheses / theories / scientific
approaches Emotion-based “wishful thinking” or “magical thought” can
make us irrational or ignore / distort empirical facts.
Empiricism Grounds knowledge in “real” world, provides important
hypothesis-testing perspective Our perceptions are subject to cognitive / emotional biases.
Rationalism / theory Central purpose of science: coherent explanation of “why” or
“how” nature works. When subject to political pressure can limit hypothesis testing
or lessen respect for empirical evidence.
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key terms
Features of research: Key terms Theory Hypothetical construct Hypothesis Variable Operational definition Internal & external validity Independent v. Dependent variables
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92Psychology 242Introductionto Research
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Basic Elements of a Research Project
MethodsMeasurement v.
experimental
ConclusionsFuture research?
PhenomenonBig picture / question
Theory Hypothetical Constructs
Causal explanationHypothesis
Operational definitionSpecific prediction
Data / Results• Descriptive data• Test hypothesis
DiscussionImplications for theory
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93Psychology 242Introductionto Research Basics of major forms of research.
Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Weeks 1 & 2; Introduction to scienceWeeks 1 & 2; Introduction to science.
Observation or Measurement Experiments
Simple Description Correlational Studies
Quasi-experiment
s
“True” experiment
sQualitative Quantitative
Explore the actual process of a behavior.
Describe a behavioral or social trend.
Relate measured variables to each other to test hypotheses.
Test hypotheses in naturally occurring events or field studies.
Test specific hypotheses via controlled “lab” conditions.
External validityInternal validity