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  • 8/11/2019 P.Steduto.pdf

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    AquaCrop

    A new model for crop prediction

    under water deficit conditionsPasquale STEDUTO1, Theodore C. HSIAO2, Elias FERERES3,

    Dirk RAES4, Lee HENG5, G. Izzi1 and J. Hoogeven1

    Drought Management: Scientific and technological innovationsZaragoza, SPAIN, 12-14 June, 2008

    1 Land and Water Division, FAO, United Nations, Rome, Italy2 Dept. of Land, Air and Water Resources, Univ. of California, Davis, USA3 IAS-CSIC and Univ. of Cordoba, Spain4 Dept. of Land Management and Economics, K. Univ. Leuven, Belgium5 Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture,

    IAEA, Vienna, Austria

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    Background

    Revision of the 1979 FAO I & D Paper no.33,

    Yield Response to Water

    Consultative process with experts

    Separation between herbaceous-crops andtrees: AquaCrop & Guidelines

    AquaCrop as one model with crop-specific

    parameters

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    Evolution from Paper 33

    (b)(a)

    =

    x

    axy

    x

    ax

    ET

    ETET

    Y

    YYk

    CanopyCanopy

    TranspirationTranspiration

    (c)

    (a) (b)

    BIOMASSBIOMASS

    CropCropEvapotEvapotranspirationranspiration

    YIELDYIELD(c)

    EHI

    Paper 33Paper 33

    {AquaCropAquaCrop

    long-term sums

    daily time-steps

    Ky

    WP

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    Atmosphere

    Soil

    Crop

    AquaCrop Conceptual Framework

    Manag

    ement

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    CLIMATE

    Rain

    AquaCrop Conceptual Framework | Atmosphere

    RS, T, RH, u

    ETo

    T (oC) CO2

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    T (oC) Es TaETo

    Phenology Canopy CoverLeaf expansion gs

    Senescence

    Biomass

    WP

    YieldHI

    Rooting depth

    AquaCrop Conceptual Framework | Crop

    CO2

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    Canopy Cover (CC)

    CGC

    CCx

    start of canopy senescence

    time to harvest

    canopy

    cover

    timetime to full canopy

    CDC

    CCo

    CC follows the exponential

    growth during the first halfof the full development (Eq. 1)

    and an exponential decay

    during the second half of thefull development (Eq. 2)

    tCGCoeCCCC

    = (1) tCGCoxx

    e)CCCC(CCCC = (2)

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    WPWater Productivity

    (g m-2 mm-1)

    =

    CT

    BiomassWP

    (g m-2)

    )2000(COO

    C

    *

    2

    ETT

    BiomassWP

    =

    ETc (mm x 1000)0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9

    Biomass

    (kgm

    -2)

    0

    1

    2

    3Sorghum

    Sunflower

    Chickpea

    Wheat

    CT (ETc/ETo)0 40 80 120 160

    Biomas

    s

    (kgm-2)

    0

    1

    2

    3SorghumSunflowerChickpeaWheat

    )ET/T( OC

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    Soil water (& salt) balance

    Infiltration

    UptakeRedistribution

    Runoff

    Rain

    KsEs Ta

    AquaCrop Conceptual Framework | Soil

    deeppercolationcapillaryrise

    Leaf expansiongs

    Senescence

    WP

    HI

    Texture 1

    Texture 2Texture

    Ksat

    FCPWP

    Irrig.

    Runoff

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    Stresses

    Ks for leaf expansion, maize

    Ksfor stomata, maize

    Ks for senescence, maize

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    Field Management

    Water Management

    Fertility level (non-limiting; moderate; poor)

    Field-surface practices (mulching; soil bunds)

    Rainfed

    User defined schedule (timing and depth) Model-generated schedule (fixed interval; fixed depth;

    % of RAW) Irrigation method (drip; sprinkler;

    surface basin; border; furrow)

    Irrigation

    AquaCrop Conceptual Framework | Management

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    AquaCrop Flow-Chart

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    AquaCrop Tests

    Wheat

    TexasTexas

    KansasKansas

    SardiniaSardinia

    QuzhouQuzhou

    LuanchengLuancheng

    FengquiFengqui

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    China Quzhou Wheat 98-99

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    0 50 100 150 200 250DAP

    Bio

    mass(t/ha)

    China Quzhou Wheat 98-99

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    0 50 100 150 200

    DAP

    MinandMaxTemper

    ature(oC)

    China Quzhou Wheat 98-990

    25

    50

    75

    100

    0 50 100 150 200 250

    DAP

    CanopyCover(%

    )

    YieldYield

    (ton ha(ton ha--11

    ))

    MeasuredMeasured SimulatedSimulated

    6.726.72 6.506.50 3%3%

    China

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    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    0 50 100 150 200 250

    DAP

    Bio

    mass(t/ha)

    China Quzhou Wheat 99-00

    China Quzhou Wheat 99-00

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    1 31 61 91 121 151 181 211

    DAP

    MinandMaxTemperature(oC)

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    0 50 100 150 200 250

    DAP

    CanopyCover(%

    )

    China Quzhou Wheat 99-00

    YieldYield

    (ton ha(ton ha--11

    ))

    MeasuredMeasured SimulatedSimulated

    6.226.22 7.097.09 14%14%

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    Maize

    TexasTexas

    CaliforniaCalifornia

    FloridaFlorida

    SpainSpainQuzhouQuzhou

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    I55 treatment biom ass

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

    DAP

    cumD

    M

    (g/m2)

    DM

    Biomass

    Treatments:

    Irrigated (I)Rainfed (NI)

    Irrig. day 55 onward (I55)

    I

    NII55

    Biomass

    24.3

    16.821.2

    Yield

    11.4

    5.210.3

    NI treatm ent biom as s

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

    DAP

    cumD

    M

    (g/m2)

    DM

    Biomass

    I55 (IRR on Day55) tr eatm ent Ground Cove r

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

    DAP

    GC(%)

    Calc GC

    CC

    22.7

    16.822.4

    10.8

    6.210.6

    measured

    simulated

    California

    NI (No IRR) tr eatm ent Ground Cover

    0

    1020

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

    DAP

    GC(%)

    Calc GC

    CC

    I treatm ent biom ass

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

    DAP

    cumD

    M

    (g/m2)

    DM

    Biomass

    I (Full IRR) treatm ent Ground Cover

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

    DAP

    GC(%)

    Calc GC

    CC

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    Cotton

    SpainSpainTexasTexas

    GreeceGreece

    TurkeyTurkey

    SyriaSyria

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    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

    DAS

    GC

    (%)

    Measur

    Model

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

    Obser ved (t ha-1)

    Simulated(tha-1)

    Yield

    Biomass

    1:1

    Cordoba (SPAIN)Cordoba (SPAIN)

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    Conclusions

    AquaCrop is explicit and mostly intuitive, and maintains anoptimum balance between simplicity, accuracy and robustness

    AquaCrop differs from other models for being water-driven,and for its relatively small number of parameters

    AquaCrop is aimed at practical end-users, as those in farmers

    and irrigation associations, extension services, governmentalagencies and NGOs, for devising water management and savingstrategies

    AquaCrop is also particularly suited for perspective studies(e.g., under different climate change scenarios)

    AquaCrop is also aimed at planners and economists who needestimates of production for given amounts of water

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    Thank You

    www.fao.org/nr/water