PRSP Process in the Western Balkans ECSPE: Presentation at SIDA 1 PRSP Process in the Balkans Current Status, The World Bank Support and Future Work Program

ECSPE: Presentation at SIDA

1 Europe and Central Asia RegionPoverty Team

PRSP Process in the Western Balkans

PRSP Process in the Balkans

Current Status,

The World Bank Support

and

Future Work Program

Ruslan Yemtsov

ECSPE




Overview Status of PRS Processes World Bank program in support of

PRS s Country case studies

• Bosnia and Herzegovina• Serbia and Montenegro• Albania• Macedonia

Regional initiatives Common themes and lessons

learned Issues, challenges and plans

Focus:

TA, Analytical studies & capacity building

Not covered:

general principles of PRSP approach (www.worldbank.org/strategies)

project specific details (for info see last slide)

political issues




Status of PRSPsBiH SAM Albania FRYOM

I-PRSPs/JSA/Board June 2000/ / June 2002 /July2002/August2002

June 2000 Nov2000//Dec2000

Consultations 2002First DraftSecond Draft

2002-2003First Draft

2000-2002 2002One draft

PRSP/JSA/Board Expected ->2003 Expected ->2003 (NSEED)Nov2001/April2002/June2002

Dec 2002/ /

Progress Reports/JSA May2003/June2003




World Bank Work Program: Links to PRSP/Poverty Strategies

Alb

ania

BiH

Bul

garia

Cro

atia

FR

YO

M

Kos

ovo

SA

M

Rom

ania

TSS/CAS

PRGF/PRCS/TF/other

PovertyAssessments

PublicExpenditures

SBA EFF




SAM: Programmatic Approach

2003

2002

2001

2000

World BankNGO s

(SMMRI, ISSP) MOSA

LSMS Data Analysis

LSMS round 2,Roma Surveys

LSMS results

Implementation M&E

I-PRSP

PRSP Poverty Assessment

Poverty Update

Poverty “survey”

LSMS Design

20042005

LSMS round 1

Poverty papersStat.O




BiH: capacity building

2003

2002

2001

-2000

World BankPartners (UNDP, DFID, SIDA… Stat. officesPRSP

LSMS Survey Design, Field work

LSMS Data Analysis

Living in BiH panel

LSMS results

LSMS data dissemination

PRSP

PRSP

Draft PA

PA Finalization

I-PRSP




Macedonia: Continuity

Poverty Assessment I, 1998-1999 I-PRSP: Qualitative surveys,

analysis of HBS data, consultations, public expenditure work, 2000-2002

Poverty Assessment II, 2003-2004

Other poverty related work: CEM on Labor, 2003

The key challenge in Macedonia has bee to avoid politicizing of the poverty reduction strategy process




Albania: Integration and Coordination

Poverty Assessment and LSMS work Census LSMS 2002 and other capacity

building initiatives (role of MoF) Partnerships between the Bank, IMF

and other donors (UNDP, DFID etc.) Collaborative Poverty Assessment

with Statistical offices and policy analysis units in MoF




Regional initiatives Poverty Forum for

Balkan countries Gender study Roma report Achieving MDGs Work on international

poverty line and regional database of household surveys

WBI Poverty analysis initiative capacity building

Distribution of region's poor by countries, around 2000-02

Other58%

Kosovo23%

Croatia7%

Macedonia9%

Bosnia and Herzegovina19%

Slovenia1%

Montenegro3%

Serbia38%

Source: SAM: Poverty Assessment (forthcoming)




Lessons Learned: Designing PRSPs

Ownership• official commitment• understanding of PRSP principles• links to existing planning and budget processes• location and horizontal links between Government agencies

Prioritization and costing (MTEF) Importance of data collection and analysis Civil society (Parliaments), donor coordination,

“South-South” leaning Monitoring and evaluation plans




Issues and Challenges: General Continuity through broader

ownership and political process Resourcing: external (IFI, EU and

other donors) and reforms of the budget process

Regional: synergies with SAA Monitoring and Evaluation




Role of M&E in PRSP

Poverty Measurement and Diagnostics

Strengthening national capacity in poverty measurement and diagnostics; provides baseline for monitoring and evaluating the outcomes of the PRSP.

Evaluation

Strengthening national capacity to carry out both ex-ante (PSIA) and ex-post evaluation of the poverty and social impact of projects, programs, and policies.

Better Data Collection and Dissemination Strategy

Supports all of the above, via specific tools, techniques and procedures

Monitoring

Strengthening the monitoring systems, follow established indicators of progress and development identified initially with reference to baseline




Issues and Challenges: Monitoring and Evaluation

Institutionalizing poverty monitoring LSMS and HBS Transparency Access Capacity

MDGs Donor coordination Line ministries

PSIA s

Likely Possible Unlikely

Very unlikely No data

Child Primary Gender Child Maternal HIV/AIDS malnutrition school equality mortality mortality prevalence Countries ranked in ascending completion in school order by Atlas GNI per capita Tajikistan .. .. Kyrgyz Republic .. .. Moldova .. Armenia .. .. .. Georgia .. .. .. Azerbaijan .. .. Uzbekistan .. .. .. Ukraine .. .. .. Turkmenistan .. .. .. .. Albania .. .. Kazakhstan .. .. Bosnia and Herzegovina .. .. .. .. Bulgaria .. .. Russian Federation Romania .. Macedonia, FYR .. .. Latvia .. Lithuania .. .. Belarus .. Turkey .. Estonia .. .. Slovak Republic .. Poland .. .. Croatia Hungary .. Czech Republic .. Isle of Man .. .. .. .. .. .. Yugoslavia, Fed. Rep. .. ..

Note: Atlas GNI per capita figures are not available for countries shown in italics.

Source: Achieving MDGs in ECA (World bank 2003)




World Bank Poverty Work: Plans

Poverty and Social Impact Analysis (PSIA)

• Albania• BiH• …

Regional Poverty Report (Update) Second Poverty Forum Gender Assessments Country Poverty Assessments Capacity Building: country PAIs




FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES AVAILABLE AT:Serbia PRSP::

www.prsp.sr.gov.yu/main.asp?lang=en

WB : www.worldbank.org.yu

Montenegro PRSP: www.mnprsp.vlada.cg.yu/en.en.html

Bosnia and Herzegovina

PRSP www.bih.prsp.info/knjiga/ZA-WEB/english/index2.html

WB: www.worldbank.org.ba

Albania PRSP www.minfin.gov.al/initiatives/gprs/

WB /lnweb18.worldbank.org/eca/albania.nsf

Macedonia I-PRSP www.finance.gov.mk/gb/download/poverty_reduction.pdf

www.worldbank.org.mk/

Regional WB/IMF/UNDP www.worldbank.org/wbi/povertyanalysis/ lnweb18.worldbank.org/eca

Other: www.prspsynthesis.org

Documents

PRSP Process in the Western Balkans ECSPE: Presentation at SIDA 1 PRSP Process in the Balkans Current Status, The World Bank Support and Future Work Program