Provincial Planning: What’s New

Ontario East Municipal Conference

September 12, 2012

Kingston

2

Global Provincial Municipal

3

4

5

6

Kingston

Ottawa

Cornwall

Peterborough

Bancroft

Deep River

7

Demographics

Ontario’s population is projected grow over the

next 25 years, , from an

estimated 13.4 million on July 1, 2011 to

17.7 million by July 1, 2036.

By 2025, 1 in 5 Ontarians will be 65

years or older

Toward 2025: Assessing

Ontario’s Long-Term Outlook

Source: Ministry of Finance. Towards 2025: Assessing Ontario’s Long-Term Outlook. 2005.

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2011 – 2036, Spring 2012

rising 32.7 %

Growth Plan for the Greater

Golden Horseshoe

8

Housing

Municipal Tools for Affordable

Housing Handbook

Long-Term Affordable

Housing Strategy

Source: Statistical Bulletin of Selected Housing Market Indicators for Ontario and Census Metropolitan Areas

– Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Nu

mb

er

of

Ho

us

ing

Sta

rts

Year

Housing Starts in Ontario Single

Multiple

Semi

row

Apartment

9

Health

Health sector spending

will increase its share

on Ontario’s budget from

42% to 70% in less than

15 years if health costs

continue to rise at the same

pace.

Planning by Design: a healthy

communities handbook

OPPI “Healthy Communities”

Call to Action

From 2010 to 2020,

another 700,000 people are expected

to be diagnosed with

diabetes.

70% 42%

2012 2025

Sources: Ontario Ministry of Finance, 2011

An Economic Tsunami: The Cost of Diabetes in Ontario, Canadian Diabetes Association, 2009

10

Water

Less than 3% of water on earth is fresh –

and most of that is ice

Lake Simcoe Protection Plan

Ontario Great Lakes

Protection

Sources: United Nations . State of World population 2001

USGS Where is the Earth’s Water http://ga.water.usgs.gov/edu/earthwherewater.html

In the 20th century, the world’s population

grew 3x whereas water usage grew

6 fold

11

Climate Change

Average annual temperature increase of

Ontario Adaptation Strategy

and Action Plan

The annual costs of extreme weather brought on by

climate change in Ontario could equate to about

Source: Ministry of Environment, Climate Ready, 2011

c

$5.66 billion per year

1.4° per year since 1948

Ontario Climate Action Plan

12

Natural Heritage

Between 1982 and 2002, Southern Ontario lost 25 acres

of wetlands every day.

Ontario Biodiversity Strategy

MNR Natural Heritage

Reference Manual

Sources: Southern Ontario Wetland Conversion Analysis, Ducks Unlimited Canada, 2010

Ministry of Natural Resources, 2011

94 endangered species and

53 threatened species

There are currently

listed on the Species at Risk in

Ontario list as of June 2011.

That’s 25 soccer fields per day

13

Agriculture

Over hectares of agricultural lands

have been lost to non-agricultural uses in

Ontario since 1966

OPPI “Planning for Food

Systems” Call to Action

Foodland Ontario

Sources: Preservation Agricultural Lands Society, 2002

Ontario Farmland Trust’s report Planning Regional Food Systems, August 2011

Agriculture and agri-food is Ontario’s second

largest industry, producing over in

gross farm receipts annually $10 billion

1.5 million

14

Energy

Ontario’s Long-Term

Energy Plan

Feed-in Tariff Guidelines [2.0]

Sources: The World Bank International Energy Agency Statistics © OECD/IEA

Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Urban Travel: Tool for Evaluating Neighbourhood Sustainability, CMHC, 2000

Canada has the world’s third highest per-capita consumption of energy, higher than

the United States

Single-use, dispersed neighbourhoods produce

nearly three times more annual emissions

per household than mixed use, compact

neighbourhoods near the downtown

15

Active Transportation

Sources: Statistics Canada

Shaping Active, Healthy Commujities, Heart & Stroke Foundation

79% of Ontarians commuted to work by car in 2006

Only 9% of boys and 4% of girls aged 6 to 19 meet the

Canadian guidelines of 60 minutes of daily physical exercise

MTO Transit-Supportive

Guidelines

OPPI “Healthy Communities”

Call to Action

16

Infrastructure

Long-Term Infrastructure Plan

Guide for Municipal Asset

Management Plans

Sources: Renew Ontario Progress Report 2006

MOE ROMA-OGRA 2012

Ontario’s Infrastructure deficit is estimated to

exceed $100 Billion

Municipalities own about 40% of Ontario’s

public infrastructure.

17

Resources for Municipalities

18

Resources for Municipalities

19

Policy Integration

water

natural heritage

agriculture

gro

wth

hazards

cultural heritage mineral

population

wate

rsh

ed

ecosystem

housing

waste

20

Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing

Provincial Planning Policy Branch 14th Floor, 777 Bay Street

Toronto, ON M5G 2E5

Ontario.ca/mah

416.585.6014

Contact Us