20
Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: [email protected]

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: [email protected]

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.

Covering analyst: Christian MeunierEmail: [email protected]

Page 2: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Business Overview

› Founded in 1956

› Headquartered in Riverside, California

› 5th largest deposit market share in Riverside County.

› $1.5 Billion in assets, $971.4 million in deposits

› Community Savings and Loan bank

Page 3: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Products and Offerings

› Community Banking– Single-Family Mortgages– Multi-Family Mortgages– Commercial Real Estate Mortgages– Commercial and Consumer Loans

› Mortgage Banking

- Origination for sale of Single-Family Mortgages

› Volume of loan origination has gone up last 3 years.

Page 4: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Loans held for investment analysis

Page 5: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Market/Location

› 15 banking offices in Riverside County

› Inland Empire

› 18 mortgage offices in California

Page 6: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Operations

Page 7: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Loans Originated, Sold, and Purchased ($thousand)

Page 8: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Revenue

Page 9: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Savings and Loans

› Struggling Industry.

› Expected to see an annual growth percentage of -1.8%– Regulation– Commercial Banks– Still seeing impact of housing collapse– Low interest rates

Page 10: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Prime Rates

› Current Prime Rate is 3.25% (record low)– Available to most credit worthy customers

› “Operation Twist” will keep rates low till 2015

› Growth will come

Page 11: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Housing Price Index

› Captures trends in the national housing market

› Peaked in 2006

› Growth is forecasted until 2018

Page 12: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Local Economy

› Riverside hurt by housing collapse– 3.1% drop in average wages– Housing prices fell 55%

› Currently fastest growing recovery– Housing prices increased 10.9%– Housing inventory down 32.3%– 65% decrease in foreclosures – 8 months of home sale improvement– 10.5% unemployment – Still poor compared to national economy

Page 13: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Comparable

› PACW -35%

› PPBI -35%

› BOFI -15%

› HMST -15%

› SMPL -0%

Page 14: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Valuation

Page 15: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Beta

› Regressions came out to around 0.44 – High standard deviation

› Used Hamada to get 0.96– Closer to industry beta– More reasonable

Page 16: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Excess Return

› Used Excess Return Model– Pin-pointing debt is difficult in banks– Does not use WACC– Depreciation and Amortization– Capital Expenditure

– Only take into account equity– Trust Book Value (financials more likely to be at market

value)

Page 17: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Valuation

Page 18: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Final Valuation

Page 19: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

QUESTIONS?

Page 20: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier Email: Meunier@uoregon.edu

Recommendation

› Buy for Svigal and Tall Fir portfolios