Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Populationmiamioh.edu/cas/_files/documents/scripps... · This report describes the characteristics of Ohio’s 60-plus population in 2010,

Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population

SHAHLA MEHDIZADEH, KARL CHOW, WENXUAN HUANG, SUZANNE KUNKEL,

JANE STRAKER, ANTHONY BARDO

Scripps Gerontology CenterAn Ohio Center of Excellence

Scripps Gerontology Center (2013). Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population. Scripps Gerontology Center,Miami University, Oxford, OH. Available at www.ohio-population.org

Wenxuan Huang, MGS

Suzanne R. Kunkel, Ph.D.

Jane K. Straker, Ph.D.

Antony Bardo, MGS

January 2014

Scripps Gerontology Center

Miami University

This research was funded as part of a grant from the Ohio General Assembly, through the Ohio Board of Regents to the Ohio Long-

Term Care Research Project. For additional information about this funding source see [email protected]; and for this report see

www.ohio-population.org or contact us at Scripps Gerontology Center, Miami University, Oxford, OH 45056; (513) 529-2914;

[email protected] .

Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population

Ohio

Suggested citation:

Project Team:

Shahla A. Mehdizadeh, Ph.D.

Karl Chow, MBA

1 OhioCover.xls

2000 2010 U.S. (2010)

1,963,489 2,287,424 57,085,908

17.3 19.8 18.5

12.4 11.8 11.7

$15,400 $20,320 $20,152

89.7 88.7 78.7

58.3 57.5 57.7

68.54 79.34 79.7

3.47 3.61 5.43

10.2 10.4 8.8

This report describes the characteristics of Ohio’s 60-plus population in 2010, and changes in that population since 2000. This chart book also includes population characteristics such as education, income level, marital status, and living alone status, that have been shown to be associated with need for long-term care services and supports. There are also charts that compare the older population of Ohio with the U.S. as a whole.

In addition, the projected size of the 60+ population and those with physical and/or cognitive disability are included. These projections are intended to assist planners, decisions makers, and service providers in preparing for the aging population, particularly those with needs for assistance.

Percent of 65+ Medicaid Recipient

Ohio

Percent at or Below Poverty

Total Population

Percent of Population Age 60+

Median Income

Percent White

Percent Married

Profile of 60+ Population

Percent with High School Diploma Or Higher Education

Percent Having Grandchildren Living at Home

Source: United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.

1 OhioOverall.xls

Ohio Total Population (2010) 11,536,494

Ohio 60+ Population (2010) 2,287,414

Ohio Total Population (2000) 11,353,140

Ohio 60+ Population (2000) 1,963,489

U.S. Population (2010) 308,745,538

Ohio

United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.

4.0%

3.5% 3.4%

2.9%

1.9%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

5.8%

4.2%

3.2%

2.6%

2.1%

1.3%

0.5%

0.1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

60+ Population as a Percentage of Total Population by Age Group, 2000 - 2010

2000 2010

5.8%

4.2%

3.2%

2.6%

2.1%

1.3%

0.5%

0.1%

5.4%

4.0%

3.0%

2.4%

1.9%

1.2%

0.5%

0.1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

60+ Population as a Percentage of Total Population by Age Group for Ohio and U.S., 2010

Ohio U.S.

1 OhioAge.xls

1,963,489

2,287,414

57,085,908

Ohio

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.

Ohio 60+ Population (2000)


U.S 60+ Population (2010)

United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.

3.5%

28.0%

38.7%

16.5%

7.9%

5.4%

2.5%

18.1%

41.0%

20.5%

10.2%

7.6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

6th Gradeor Less

7th- 12th(No

Diploma)

HighSchool

Graduate

SomeCollege

Bachelor'sDegree

GraduateDegree

Distribution of 60+ Population by Education 2000 - 2010

2000 2010

2.5%

18.1%

41.0%

20.5%

10.2%

7.6% 5.5%

14.8%

32.8%

23.7%

12.9%

10.3%

6th Grade orLess

7th- 12th(No

Diploma)

High SchoolGraduate

SomeCollege

Bachelor'sDegree

GraduateDegree

Distribution of 60+ Population by Education Ohio and U.S., 2010

Ohio U.S.

2.7%

17.6%

36.3%

21.1%

12.0% 10.3%

2.4%

18.6%

44.7%

20.0%

8.8%

5.6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

6th Grade orLess

7th- 12th (NoDiploma)

High SchoolGraduate

Some College Bachelor'sDegree

GraduateDegree

Distribution of 60+ Population by Education and Gender 2010

Men Women

1 OhioEducation.xls

188,192

149,302

845,303

802,374

11,536,494

2,287,414

1,963,4892,287,414

57,085,908

County Total Population (2000)




Ohio Total Population (2010)

Ohio



U.S. 60+ Population (2010)

County 60+ Population (2000)

County Total Population (2010)

County 60+ population (2010)

White Non-Hispanic, 88.7%

Black Non-Hispanic, 8.6%

Other Races Non-Hispanic,

1.6% Hispanic, 1.1%

Ohio 60+ Population by Race, 2010



Other Races Non-Hispanic, 5.1%

Hispanic, 7.3%

U.S. 60+ Population by Race, 2010



Other Races Non-Hispanic, 1.2%

Hispanic, 0.7%

Ohio 60+ Population by Race, 2000

1 OhioRace-Pie.xls

Ohio 60+ Population (2000) 1,963,489

Ohio 60+ Population (2010) 2,287,414

Ohio 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 1,005,859

Ohio 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 1,281,555

U.S. 60+ Population (2010) 57,085,908

Ohio

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.

57.5%

37.6%

4.9%

57.7%

36.9%

5.5%

Married W/D/S Never Married

Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status Ohio and U.S., 2010

W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated

Ohio U.S.

71.8%

23.3%

5.0%

46.4% 48.8%

4.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%


Marital Status

Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status and Gender, 2010

W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated

Men Women

58.3%

37.6%

4.1%

57.5%

37.6%

4.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%


Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status 2000 - 2010

W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated 2000 2010

67.5% 66.0%

61.0%

54.6%

43.4%

30.6%

14.2%

26.4% 29.1%

34.8%

41.2%

52.3%

65.2%

81.4%

6.1% 4.9% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2% 4.4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+

Age Group (Population)

Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status and Age Group, 2010

Married

Widowed/Divorced/Separated

Never Married

1 OhioMarita.xls

Ohio 60+ Population (2000) 1,963,489

Ohio 60+ Population (2010) 2,287,414

Ohio 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 1,005,859

Ohio 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 1,281,555

U.S. 60+ Population (2010) 57,085,908



Ohio

32.1%

27.8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

2000 2010

Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone, 2000 - 2010

27.8%

25.6%

Ohio U.S.

Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone Ohio and U.S., 2010

16.9% 16.4% 17.0% 19.4%

26.1%

30.6%

45.1%

22.3%

26.6%

33.5%

40.1%

49.8%

58.8%

64.1%

60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+

Age Group (Population)

Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone by Gender and Age Group, 2010

Men Women

19.7% 22.0%

26.1%

31.2%

40.1%

48.8%

58.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+

Age Group

Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone by Age Group, 2010

1 OhioLiving.xls

Persons in family

Poverty

Guideline (65

and older)

Poverty

Guideline

(Younger than

65)

1 11,344.00$ 10,458.00$

2 14,676.00$ 13,194.00$ Ohio 60+ Population (2000) 1,963,4893 17,374.00$ 17,374.00$ Ohio 60+ Population (2010) 2,287,4144 22,314.00$ 22,314.00$ Ohio 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 1,005,8595 26,439.00$ 26,439.00$ Ohio 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 1,281,5556 29,897.00$ 29,897.00$ U.S. 60+ Population (2010) 57,085,908

http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/data/threshld/index.html.

Federal Poverty Threshold in 2010*

Ohio

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample

(PUMS), 2006-2010.

*U.S. Census Bureau. Poverty thresholds by Size of Family and Number

of Children. Retrieved August 5, 2013 from

12.4%

18.7% 20.0%

15.9%

33.0%

11.8%

19.9% 20.1%

15.5%

32.8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Less than 1.00 1.00-1.99 2.00-2.99 3.00-3.99 4 or moreIncome-to-Poverty-Threshold Ratio

Distribution of 60+ Population by Income-to-Poverty-Threshold Ratio, 2000 and 2010

2000 2010

11.8%

19.9% 20.1%

15.5%

32.8%

11.7%

19.5%

17.6%

13.8%

37.4%

Less than 1.00 1.00-1.99 2.00-2.99 3.00-3.99 4 or moreIncome-to-Poverty-Threshold Ratio

Distribution of 60+ Population by Income-to Poverty-Threshold Ratio, 2010

Ohio U.S.

1 OhioPoverty.xls

Source: United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata

Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.

In 2010, about 12% of the 60+ population in Ohio had an annual income at or below the poverty level (about

$11,000 for an individual 65 and older). Nearly 20% lived between poverty and two times the poverty income

level (between $11,344 and about $22,700). Compared to the U.S. as a whole, a higher percentage of Ohio’s

60+ population had incomes below three times the poverty threshold (51.8% v. 48.8%), and a lower percentage

of its older population had incomes in the highest category of at least four times the poverty threshold (32.8%

v. 37.4%). Poverty is more prevalent among older women in Ohio: Within all age groups, the percentage of

older women in poverty exceeds that of men. On the other hand, a lower percentage of women had income

four of more times poverty threshold income at every age compared to men.

Ohio

9.2%

6.9% 7.1% 9.0%

10.9%

15.8%

20.4%

10.4% 8.9%

11.6%

14.0%

19.5%

23.0%

35.8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

60 - 64 65 - 69 70 - 74 75 - 79 80 - 84 85 - 89 90+

Age Group

Proportion 60+ Population at or Below Poverty Threshold Income by Gender and Age Group, 2010

Men Women

47.7%

43.4%

35.0%

27.6%

23.7% 22.8% 21.1%

42.6%

34.9%

25.0%

20.4%

17.1% 15.4% 15.1%

60 - 64 65 - 69 70 - 74 75 - 79 80 - 84 85 - 89 90+

Age Group

Proportion of 60+ Population at 4 or More Times Poverty Threshold Income by Gender and Age

Group, 2010

Men Women

2 OhioPoverty.xls

YearTotal 60+

Population

NumberPercentage of 60+

PopulationNumber

Percentage of 60+ Population

2010 2,287,414 150,696 6.6% 77,476 3.4%

2015 2,600,352 166,342 6.4% 86,022 3.3%

2020 2,952,661 184,718 6.3% 96,591 3.3%

2025 3,227,543 208,313 6.5% 107,634 3.3%

2030 3,371,907 236,043 7.0% 116,970 3.5%

Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability

Ohio

Projected 60+ Population with Physical and/or Cognitive Disability, 2010-2030

Moderate Physical and/or Cognitive Disability

Source: Scripps Gerontology Center. (2013). Projections of Ohio's Population with a Disability 2010-2030 . Oxford, OH: Scripps Gerontology

Center, Miami University.



18.5%

20.8%

23.1%

24.9% 25.7%

19.8%

22.3%

25.2%

27.5% 28.7%

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Year

Projections of 60+ Population as a Percentage of Total Population for Ohio and U.S., 2010-2030

US Ohio

1 OhioDisability 2.xls

Click on: Estimating Prevalence of Disability





Ohio

For Prevalence of Disability Estimation Methodology:

Click on: Population Projection Methodology

For projection methodology see ohio-population.org/DataDownload

24,157 29,448 32,848 34,260 31,823

39,233 43,036

52,384

64,224

72,288

62,252 62,618 63,466

71,639

89,656

25,054

31,240

36,020 38,190

42,276

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Year

Projections of the Number of People Age 60+ with Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability, 2010 to 2030, by Age

60-69 70-79 80-89 90+

167,670

183,315

203,613

231,748

263,797

53,258 57,965 64,093

72,652 82,390

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Year

Projections of the Number of People Age 60+ with Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability Who Have Income Below 200% of Poverty, 2010 to 2030

Severe Disability Medicaid eligible

2 OhioDisability 2.xls

This presentation of state population trends reveals important indicators of current and

future need for long-term care services and supports. Ohio is aging; the share of the

population that is 60 years and older will continue to grow over the next 20 years. A

higher proportion of the older population experiences poverty, compared to other

adults. In addition, those at very advanced ages are mostly women who have outlived

their spouses and most likely live alone. The combination of lower income, living alone

and higher prevalence of disability among older women are all contributors to the need

for long-term care services and supports.

Summary

Scripps Gerontology Center (2013). Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population . Scripps Gerontology

Center, Miami University, Oxford, OH. Available at www.ohio-population.org

Suggested citation:

http://www.ohio-population.org/




Documents

Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Populationmiamioh.edu/cas/_files/documents/scripps... · This report describes the characteristics of Ohio’s 60-plus population in 2010,