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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
1/24
7
Pxcomnrlck ca J|bxcicdlnPxcomnrlck ca J|bxcicdlnLfpgnr~ ca Nilfgrm Njgkdm ckLfpgnr~ ca Nilfgrm Njgkdm ck
rjm Ecxmgk Tgrmx~jmb~rjm Ecxmgk Tgrmx~jmb~&& Pxmilflkgx| g~~m~~fmkrPxmilflkgx| g~~m~~fmkr & &
J}lnjm}i O]KD*jnjo}kd@eml+xm+ex,
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Rjm 8kb Kgrlckgi Tcxe~jcp ck Mnckcfln~ ca Nilfgrm Njgkdm gkbIct Ngxhck Dxctrj ^rxgrmdlm~ lk Kcxrjmg~r G~lg
Dxgkb Gfhg~~gbcx Jcrmi) ^mc}i) Ecxmg) 7= Cnrchmx 8070
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
2/24
Tgxflkd rmfpmxgr}xm?^kctfmir x}kcaa tlii hm njgkdmb lk rlflkd gkb rjm pmge qci}fmTgrmx ~}ppilm~ axcf dignlmx~ gkb ~kct ncqmx gxm pxcomnrmb rc bmnilkmTgrmx w}gilr| gkb gw}grln mnc~|~rmf nc}ib hm bmrmxlcxgrmb b}m rc lknxmg~lkdtgrmx rmfpmxgr}xm
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Lfpgnr~ ca nilfgrm njgkdm ckdichgi axm~jtgrmx xm~c}xnm~ *LPNN GX2) TD&LL) PF) 8004,
8
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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Lknxmg~m~ lk tgrmx ~ngxnlr| *EFG XNF G8 ~nmkgxlc, ?72- lknxmg~m ca fmgk gkk}gi pxmnlplrgrlck gkb %>+12
N lknxmg~m ca fmgkgkk}gi rmfpmxgr}xm *8017&80> z 70 < rck # |x lk8010~ *cqmx rjm ~rcxgdm ca ^c|gkdgkd Bgf) 8< z 70 < rck ,
X}kcaa bmnxmg~m lk Kgnebckd *&8+2-,) Dm}f *&7>+>-,) \c}kd~gk *&70+:-, lk 8010~
Lknxmg~m~ lk mzrxmfm mqmkr~?Lknxmg~m lk axmw}mkn| ca jmgq| xglkagii
8+4 rlfm~ *700 ff#b,n}xxmkr 700|x xmr}xk pmxlcb xglkagii =: |x
Lknxmg~m lk axmw}mkn| ca bxc}djr |mgx~>+2 rlfm~) =4- bmnxmg~m ca x}kcaa
Lfpgnr~ ca nilfgrm njgkdm ckEcxmgk tgrmx xm~c}xnm~ *O}km 8070 h| FIRF,
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
4/24
2
G~~m~~lkd pcrmkrlgi j|bxcicdlngi lfpgnr~ ca nilfgrm njgkdmck Ecxmgk tgrmx~jmb~
Rc lbmkrla| rjm ~pgrlgi bl~rxlh}rlck~ ca j|bxcicdlngi jcr&~pcr~ *a}r}xm x}kcaa) aiccb gkb bxc}djr mqmkr~,Rc mqgi}grm rjm a}r}xm lfpgnr~ m~rlfgrmb h| FIRFRc mqgi}grm mnc~|~rmf nckrxlh}rlck rc a}r}xm x}kcaa njgkdm~
Ghc}r 40- ca rjm Ecxmgk pmklk~}ig l~ cnn}plmb h| acxm~r~5 Ghc}r 42- ca gkk}gi pxmnlplrgrlck *6 7)841 z 70 : rck # |x) 72+2 Flzmb) 87+1 Nxcpigkb) 80+>
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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C}rilkm ca lfpgnr g~~m~~fmkr
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Bmalkm gkb bmqmicp dmcdxgpjln gkb mncicdlngi ~ncpm ca Ecxmgk Bmalkm gkb bmqmicp dmcdxgpjln gkb mncicdlngi ~ncpm ca Ecxmgkmnc~|~rmf gkb tgrmx~jmb~mnc~|~rmf gkb tgrmx~jmb~
Bmqmicpfmkr gkb mqgi}grlck ca nilfgrm njgkdm ~nmkgxlc~ *=ef
xm~ci}rlck,
^rcnjg~rln tmgrjmxdmkmxgrlck tlrj fckrji|
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lkrmk~lr|
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ca xmfglklkd acxm~r ncqmx Njgkdm~ lk igkb }~m giicngrlck
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acx lfpimfmkrlkdgbgprgrlck ~rxgrmdlm~
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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1
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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77
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Fckrji| aict gkb fcbmi maalnlmkn| }~lkd dmkmxgrmb bgli| nilfgrmFckrji| fmgk hlg~ mxxcx? &:{0+= - *7< ~rgrlck~,Fckrji| aict x 8 ? 0+ # f c k
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
12/24
78
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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7>
A}r}xm nilfgrm njgkdm ~nmkgxlc~
O}k+&^mp+ Cnr+&Fg| Gkk}gi O}k+&^mp+ Cnr+&Fg| Gkk}gi O}k+&^mp+ Cnr+&Fg| Gkk}gi O}k+&^mp+ Cnr+&Fg| Gkk}giXCE 7+1 8+1 8+> 28+7 2+0 82+2 8+0 >+7 8+4 71+< &=+7 1+4BPE 7+= >+0 8+= >4+0 80+2 >0+< 8+> >+= >+7 7&80=0, 80+12
N lknxmg~m ca fmgk gkk}girmfpmxgr}xm *8017&80 G8&MNJGF*RGX,g82 G8&JGBNF*RGX,g8= G8 &KNGXPNF*RGX,g81 G8&NNNFG*GX2,g84 G8&N^LXC*GX2,g8: G8&MNJGF*GX2,g8< G8&DABI*GX2,
h7 H7&N LXC*RGX,h87 H8&NNNFG*RGX,h88 H8&N LXC*RGX,h8> H8&MNJGF*RGX,h82 H8&JGBNF*RGX,h8= H8&KNGXPNF*RGX,x20 G8&FXL*XNF,8020~x
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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Hg~m ~nmkgxlc *7+4-) BPE? 74+4-FLXCN G7H? XCE >=+8-) BPE? 22+
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
15/24
7=
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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71
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8020~8000
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8020~8000
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8020~8000
200
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8020~80
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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74
L+XCE&D|mckd~gkd
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8020~8000
200
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8020~8000
200
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8020~80
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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Njgkdm~ lk bxc}djr xl~e aict *80:7&8700,?FXL&XNF G8? XCE &=+2{&72+4-) BPE? &78+>-)
FLXCN G7H? Kckm
Nilfgrm njgkdm lfpgnr~ ck mzrxmfm aict~ *8,?Bxc}djr xl~e aict
7-) BPE 82- ca
lkigkb gxmg
Nilfgrm njgkdm lfpgnr~ ck mzrxmfm aict~ *>,?Pcrmkrlgi xl~e gxmg~
80
8020~ *80>7&80=0, 80
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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X}kcaa njgkdm~ lk rjm ~mimnr mldjr acxm~rmb tgrmx~jmb~ *8>- ca rjm tjcim kgrlck, h| 80:7&8700Rjxmm kcqmi gppxcgnjm~ rc mqgi}grm rjm mnc~|~rmf nckrxlh}rlckrc a}r}xm x}kcaa lknxmg~mNg~m N? Nilfgrm njgkdm cki| *FXLXNF&G8 ~nmkgxlc,
Ng~m NP? N % Pj|~lcicdlngi acxnlkd) P*Grfc~pjmxln NC 8 nckn)+ 6400ppfq+,Ng~m NPQ? NP % Qmdmrgrlck bl~rxlh}rlck njgkdm) Q *>=- lknxmg~m~ lk rjmbmnlb}c}~ acxm~r axgnrlck,
Mnc~|~rmf Nckrxlh}rlck rc X}kcaa Njgkdm *7,?Mzpmxlfmkr ~mrrlkd
87
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R*
N, >+0 8+: 8+< 8+: 8+: 8+< 8+4 8+1 8+:P*-, 77+2- 72+1- 71+>- 4+7- 1+4- 88+7- 7>+4- 7>+8- 7>+7-T lkb*-, 0+8- &0+7- 0+7- &0+>- &0+7- 0+=- &0+4- &7+1- &0+>-J }flblr|*-, 7:+4- 74+4- 7:+0- 74+1- 74+4- 74+:- 71+:- 71+4- 74+1-Xgblgrlck*-, 7+0- 0+=- 7+:- &0+>- 0+7- 0+4- 0+:- 0+2- 0+1-
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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Nilfgrm njgkdm gickm? 78- *8{74-, lknxmg~m lk x}kcaa NP njgkdm? 71- *={>8-, lknxmg~m lk x}kcaa
NPQ njgkdm? 74- *:{8:-, lknxmg~m lk x}kcaa
Lknxmg~mb NC8 maamnr ck x}kcaa? >+>- *7+7{4+4-,
Lknxmg~mb NC8 gkb bmnlb}c}~ acxm~r~ maamnr~? =+0- *8+={70+:-,
Mnc~|~rmf Nckrxlh}rlck rc X}kcaa Njgkdm *8,?Xm~}ir~
88
| 6 0+
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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X}kcaa rmkb~ rc hm lknxmg~mb lk tm~rmxk ncg~rgi xmdlck ca rjm pmklk~}iggkb }ppmx lkrmxlcx xmdlck ca rjm Jgk Xlqmx Hg~lk gxc}kb rjm Dtgkdtckpxcqlknm+
Mzrxmfm aict~ rmkb rc hm lknxmg~mb lk fgxlrlfm pgxr~ ca rjm pmklk~}ig +Aiccb~ fg| hm lknxmg~mb cqmx rjm tjcim pmklk~}ig) m~pmnlgii| tm~rmxkncg~rgi xmdlck gkb Kcxrj Ecxmg) hmng}~m ca lknxmg~m~ ca rjm jmgq| xglkagiilk ~}ffmx ~mg~ck+
Ict aict gi~c rmkb~ rc hm lknxmg~mb jctmqmx rjm tm~rmxk ncg~rgi xmdlckca rjm pmklk~}ig gkb rjm flbbim pgxr~ ca rjm Jgk Xlqmx hg~lk gxm ~jctlkdxmb}nmb ict aict h| 80
8/8/2019 Projection of Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Korean Watersheds
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82
Nckni}blkd xmfgxe~
^mxlc}~ njgkdm~ lk mzrxmfm mqmkr~ gxm ncknmxkmb gkb tgrmx~ngxnm xmdlck lk rjm a}r}xm l~ hg~lngii| ncxxm~pckblkd rc mzlrlkdjcr&~pcr~ kmgx rjm ncg~rgi xmdlckLk cxbmx rc pxcqlbm }~ma}i lkacxfgrlck acx lfpgnr gkbgbgprgrlck g~~m~~fmkr ~r}blm~)
Rjm }knmxrglkrlm~ lk xmdlckgi nilfgrm pxcomnrlck~ kmmb rca}ii| njgxgnrmxl mb gkb xmb}nmb *pxchghlil~rln g~~m~~fmkr,Rjm xcim ca mnc~|~rmf *gkb n}xxmkr ~cnlc&mnckcflngnrlqlrlm~, ~jc}ib hm nck~lbmxmb lk rjm fcbmilkd axgfmtcxe *m+d+) BGF h}liblkd) }klalngrlck lk rjm kmgx a}r}xm)lkrmdxgrlck ca j}fgk tgrmx ~mn}xlr| gkb xlqmx hlcblqmx~lr|mrn+,