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Morgan Stanley
Project Tower
Presentation to the Committee of Independent Directors of the Board of Directors of Tribune 1 April 2007
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64867
Project Tower
Morgan Stanley
Table of Contents
Section 1
Section 2
Section 3
Appendix A
Appendix B
Zell! ESOP Proposal Overv]e;y
Valuation Summary
Leveraged Recap I Broadcasting Spin Altcnlativc
Tmvcr Fimmcial Projcctions Ovcrvic\v
Discounted Cash Flow Anlllysis
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64868
Project Tower
Zell / ESOP Proposal Overview
Morgan Stanley
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64869
Project Tower
Morgan Stanley
Net Present Value Perspectives
• The current Zell ,I ESOP Proposal contemplates th .. '1t, upon consummation of the merger, Tmver shareholders 5hH11 receive .1 cHsh amount equal to:
- $34.00 per share (Lhe "Merger ConsideraLion"): plus
- A ticking fee of 8% per annum accming daily on the Merger Consideration beginning 1/1/08 through ,md including the date of consnmm<-ltion of the merger
• The economic value of the proposal to TO\ver shareholders is a flillction of the time to close and the <-Ippropriate risk-adjusted return
Net Present Value 01 Zell:' SSo'pproposal (Inclui:lirig:$17.:SO :Upfr'oot Oi~lribJition I
Assunied
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Assu nied Cost of Equity 5%
$33.38 $33.09
$33.07 $32.86 $32.66
$33.08 $32.53
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64870
Project Tower
Morgan Stanley
Comparative Zen I ESOP and Recapitalization Perspectives
Zell:fESOP Perspectives $ISn;lr~
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
o Merger
Consideration
P.·.:: ;::;' :1 Upfront Cash , .' ." Dstnbullon
Notes
Perspective #1 (NPV - 6 Month
Close) ",
PVofCash at ClOSing
Perspective #2 (NPV - 12 Month
Close) ,"
Publishing
Recapitalization Perspectives :$1S:h<!.rll
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
o Management Research
Plan Case DO\'.fiside
Case A DOlNrlside
Case B
Equity Value at 1.5:< _ Broadcasting _ EqUity Value at 9x
Broadcasting Equity Value at 11x
Source Management, Wall Street Research
1 Pe"'pectivo #1 end Pe"'pllCtive#2 ""ume e or 12 months to dose, respectively .nd 1 O'l(, cost of eqUity 2
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64871
Project Tower
Implied Premium Perspectives
Implied Pr.emium Perspectives
Recent Tower Prices
March 28. 2007
March 20 2007
52-Week Low
52-Week High
Rsference Price
$31.13
$28.81
$27.09
$34.28
Alferage Price Perspectlves (1)
1-Year $30.72
$32.45
$36.14
2-Years
3-Years
Merger
ConsideTatioil ($34.00)
9.2%
180%
255%
(0.8%)
10.7%
48%
(59%)
Recapitalization Perspectives _ Discounted EquityiValue III
Management Plan $31.r7 70%
Research Case
Dovmside Case A
Do'.vnslde Case B
Notes 1 As an~.rch 28, 2007
$31.37
$24.04
$21.18
84%
41 4%
605%
PErspeotive #1: NPV - 6 Month Close
100k :Cost of Equity 1133.23)
6.8%
15.3%
22.7%
(3.1%)
8.2%
2.4%
(8.0%)
4.6%
5.9%
38.2%
56.9%
PeJs:pet-ti:ve #2: NPV -:12:Month:Close
1{rlfo. Cost cif EqtiitY ($32.80)
5.4%
138%
211%
(43%)
6.8%
11%
(92%)
32%
46%
364%
549%
Morgan Stanley 2. Based on the pre,ent value orthe proiected equity value in 2009, a"uming a Pul:ii,hing EBITDA multiple 017.5><, a Broadcasting mukiple o19.0x and an 11% cost olequity 3
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS· EYES ONLY MS 64872
Project Tower
Morgan Stanley
Implied Transaction Multiples
Implied Transactlon Multiples til $MM; except per share values
Implied Equity Value ilTlpiit;lu Agglt;lQClit;l VCliut;l (t;lXL:i. UIIL:urr:::;.) '-~.
Implied Aggregate Value (incl. Uncons.)
M~rge:r
: Consideratlon 1$34,(0)
$8,242
11,127
13,327
Aggregate Value Multiples (exel. Uncons.) 12)(31 :
2007E EBITDA 8.9x
8.5x 2008E EBITDA
Aggregate Value Multiples (incl. Uncons.) (3)
2007E EBITDA 2008E EBITDA
Equity Value Multiples jJj
2007E Nellncome
2008E Nellncome
i;uu:~
10.7x 10.2x
17.0x
15.4x
1 Based on FDSO 01242.4MM net debt ofS5.095MM and unconsolidated asset vakJe ofS2.200MM 2 Unconsolidated assets valued al S2 200MM 3 Mu~iples based on management plan estimates
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
Perspet:l:ive =#1:
NPV • 6 Month Close :1Q% Cost of Equity
{$".2,)
$8,056
10,941
13,141
8.8x
8.3x
10.6x 10.0x
16.6x
15.0x
Perspective #2;
NPV· 12:Month Clcise 1 0%: Cost of Equity
($32 .• "1
$7,951
10,836
13,036
8.7x
8.3x
10.5x 9,9x
16.4x
14.8x
4
MS 64873
Project Tower
Pro Forma Capitalization
PrQ:Forma ToWer Capitaliiafion:- ZeU:1 ESOP:ProposaF
PmFonna Capit.lizalion
Cash and Cash Equivalenls
N_Terrn Loan B
lsi Priortty Guaranteed Debt
~Je'", Se,,;o, ~J0t""
Guaranteed !lebl
~ommeraal paper
Term Loan A
Bridge Loan
Medium Term Notes Roll-over Notes
Capitali2ed Real Estate Obligation
SVIaPS and OtherObllgatlons
Senior !lebl
PHO~!ES
Total Debt (incl. PHONESI
Less: PV of Tax Savings ~\
Total Adjusted Debl
Credtt Slalis~cs LTM PF Adj EBITDA
lsi Priority Guaranteed Debll L TM PF Adi. EBITDA
Guaranteed Debt I L TM PF Adj EBfTDA
Senior Debt I L Till PF Adj EBITDA Total Debt I L TM PF Adj, EBITDA
Net Debt I L TM PF Adj, EBITDA
Total AdJ Debt I LTM PF Adj. EBITDA
Morgan Stanley
"'''' PraForma
'" '" '" (10) '" 175
0 0 7,015 7,015 0'316'0 6,699 2,125 B 824
'" W $7,015 $6,699 $8,824
2,100 2WJ
'" W $7,015 $6,699 54,225 $10,924
" "' (S(I
1,500 , ~O (1,500)
1,310 1240 (1,240)
'"' '" '" '" '" 1,165 1 165 1,165 1.166 ,,~
;0 " " (15) " " " " " ,
" " $4,432 54,357 $8,535 $8,207 $12,432
9QO 9DQ 90D 9QO 900
$5,JJ2 $5,257 <$-~~~~) $9,107 ,~ ~$-~~-~.) (1,071) (1071)
$5,331 $5,157 59,435 $9,107 $3,154 $12,261 -"""'--""""-
$1437 $1412 $1,412 $1389 $1469
a.ox O~ ;~ 4.8x 00,
a.ox 00, ;lli 4.8x ", 3.1x ;h /i1h-·,. 5.9x /!".~.\ Ux ,~ r 6,7:{ \ 6.6x
3.6x ,~ ~ 6,~ i "" \ .. :,~;;j 3.1x 'h \.....6h/ 6.6x
i;uu:~
Shown pro forma for proceecls fi'om sale 01 seNI Assumes 01 cash ftow I""ces, cash IS used toward payoown ollhe e~lstlng bridge loan Esllmated value oIl"" savings as per Rallng Agency Presenlatlon daled March 2007 [calculaled as Ihe 1 lI-year presenlvalue olannual tax savings d,soountsd.t. 7.5% discount r.ts) Pro Form. for $BOMM of In ore mont. I e.oh eost oavlngo
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
BaJe. af Cubs { Pro Forma
175
(602) 8222
S8,222
2100 510,322
'" 1 166 ;0
" 511,829
9DQ
($~1,7;~') (1071)
$11,658 -""""--"""'-
$1434
;;, ,~
1~B2?\
\ ::: ) ',~y/
5
MS 64874
Project Tower
Valuation Summary
Morgan Stanley
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64875
Project Tower
L::'.::.:::'.:I Management Plan Projections
Morgan Stanley
Preliminary Valuation Summary
Tower EquitY Vallie per Share (1)
-Since Dutch Auction Tender
_One Year
,:) " Equity Research Pr1ce Targets
- Targel Price
-PVoITargeiPrice
':,J ' Public Markot Trading Comparwles """
-8 Oll-ll,5x Consolidated 200/E EBITDA
-I 5x-l3.0x Publlshilg 2007E EBITDA 901<-11 0, Bro.dc.sting 2007E EBITDA
-12.0><-14.0.: Con.olidaled 2007E EPS
':,4) Private Market Preoedent Transactions [~P'
_/ OX---9,O~ Publ,shilg 2007E EBITDA 10 Dx_12 Ox SWH,JcH.i",y 20Q7E EStTDA
- Research Prlvale Market Value
- McClalchylKnlght Ridder (9 1<_9,9< Forw.rd EBITDA:O
Notes
Zelll ESOP PrDposal
Comments-
(I': Trading Range
• Tender announced 5/30/06
(2 :Equty Researoh Pr1ce Targets
Median target price 01$31
Median di.cwnted larget price oIS26 based on 11% discoum factor
200lE EBITDA 01 $1 245MM (Mgrnt)
200lE EBITDA: SB63MM IPubllshlng): $3B2MM (Broadcasijng) (Mgmt) Blended 2007E EBITDA mult'ple af8 0<_8 9,
Con.olidated 2007E EPS estimate. of $2.00 (Mgmt.)
(4)Ptivate Market Precedent Transactions ~,,,,
200lE EBITDA: SB63MM (Publ,sh,ng:,; $3B2MM (Broodc.sting) ,:Mgml::, tlt~",J~J 2DiJ,E EBtTDA ",ui,,~i~ of, 9,_9,9,
2007E EBITDA of $1 245MM (Mgml::O
1 ASEJJmes FDSO of242.4MM .nd net debt 0lS5 OB5MM (pro form. lor prooM<is from s.l. 01 seN I:, Voluat,on metrloo (e~olud'ng those booed on PIE) repreoent yolues a.""ming PHONES net value of$900MM 6 2 B .... d on M.nagoment Plan projections, Cubs y.lued sep.rately.t 5450MM Tct.1 unoDnsol,d,tsd ."sls ""Iued.t S2 200MM
3 Broadcasting 200TE EBITDA rotcludes Cubs OCF or$19MM
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64876
Project Tower
~':::':':::':::':'::I Management Plan Projections
f:,:;',:,:;:,:;',) Rcsc~rch Prcjcctions
Management Downside Case A Projections
:'::,::':::::,::',:, Management Downside Case B Projections
Morgan Stanley
Preliminary Valuation Summary (cont'd)
Tower EquitY Vallie per Share (1)
_Management Plan
- Resean;n Case
-M~t. Downside Cas. A
-M~t Downside Case B
<~> 2009E Discounted Equity Value 11)(4)
"~;7.5x Publ.; 9_11x Broad. -Management Plan
- Resean;h Case
-M\Jllt. Downside Cas. A
-M""t Downside Case B
(j)8.0x Publ.; 9-11x Broad.
-Management Plan
-M~t Downside Case A
-M~t. Downside Cas. B
!'!otes
524 ::l $26
'"
$25 n $27
'"
Zelll ESOP Proposal
Comments
8-9x 2012E exit multiple, Discount rate, 7-8% (All cases) Cash tax rate ~33-35% (Alt oases)
2012E EBITDA ofS1.386MM IMgmt Plan)
20 i2E EBiTDA ofSi.319i,i~i \Researon)
2012E EBITDA of5932MM [Mgmt. DownSide Case A)
2012E EBITDA of5839MM [Mgmt. DownSide Case B)
,'~~, 2009E Discounted Equi1y Value (1][4)(5)
Ca)7.5X Publ.; 9-11x Broad. 2010E EBITDA (PubllBroad.): $B99MM I $460M~~
2010E EB[TDA (Publ,lBroad.): $872MM I $458MM
2010E EBITDA (Put> IBroad.): $692MM I $365MM
2010E EBITDA (Publ.lBroad,), $5S9MM I $::l54MM
Tax rate: ~33-35% IPubl,)139,5% IBroad,1 (A[I Ca,es)
(~)8.Ox Publ.; 9-11x Broad.
2010E EBITDA (PubIIBroad)' $899MM I $450MM
2uiuE EBITDA (Publ 'Broad.' $872;";;'; I $458,",,,
2010E EB[TDA (Pub[.IBroad,), $692MM I $::l65MM
2010E EBITDA (Put> IBroad.): $589t'AM I S354MM
Tax rate, ~33-35% (Publ.)139,5% (Broad,) I!\I[ Casesl
1 Assumes FDSO of 242 4~~M and net d.bt of$5,OO5MM (pro forma iJr proClleds from sal. ofSCNQ whloh assumes PHONES net value of$900MM Valuation IS as of March 31 2007
2 DCF assumes 0 WACC of 7_8%, and a 8 Ox·9.0x eXit multiple in 2012 Bo.ed on mono9oment e.tlmot"" ond re.eorcn e.tlmole •• o. Indlooled Cub. volued .ep<lrolety 8t $450MM T,"",I UnOOMot,doted 0 .. 01 ...... Iued ot $2,200MM Assumes unconsolidated assets currently valued at $1 ,600MM (Food Ne~'.'Ork, $8DOMM, CareerBui[der. S65DMM, Other Interactive Assets, $150MMI and that unconsolldoted asset value grows at 8,!(, pili" y.ar Cubs and Comeast SpcrtsNet are sold ot post.tax ""Iue of$602MM
5 For eaoh SCIll10rlO, eqUltyvolues ore based on PV of projected stock priee.t year end 20Q9 assuming. 11% cost of .qUlty
7
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS64877
Project Tower
Tower C ..... tal.z;il:.ori ~MM
Curr.nt Sh.r. Pric. ," FDSO,MM)
EqultyValue
Debt'"
Ca.h
Net Debt Agg, Value(lnol. Ultonsolldated assets)
Less' Unconsolidated A"eI,
Agg, Value(excl. Unconsolidated assets)
$31.13
2424
$7,546
5,260
--"-' ~
512,631
2,200
510,431
AVIEB1TDA PIE lOOlE :ZOO8E laD7E :20DllE
Gannett "", Beiu Q,h
Med,a General '"' M~" S.1><
Median a.ox
Unconsolidated: Assets
,MM
Publishing Ass~ls
Career Builder
Other tnteract,ve Assets
Tat,1 Publishing
Broadcasting Ass~ts
Chicago Cub.
Food Neh'rork
Comeast SportsNet
Tatal Broadcasting
, ", 7,G~
""' 7.Sx
7.6x
Morgan Stanley
119x ll1x
17,9~ 14,4~
16 8~ 126~
15.Sx 12.7)[
16.8>< 12.6x
Aml:umed Value
$800
S1.400
7,700
Tower Valuation Matrix
TU'm'r Valuatio'n Matrix ~M, except per:snare a.ta:
%Prem.J Agg.ValuelEBlmA ~Dis:c.):to Ayg. Valu~ Agg: VahJe: (ex ct. U<leOns.:"",,"t,,)
March 20 PMe EqUIt\l (Inct U1COM. (e~u: un~Ot'Is. Manaat!!!~nt ReSl!atch Price jS2:B-.~1) Vat .... A,.sd;sj I'l A""d';I(~l.r ~" '"00 :zoU] >OM
StatlStrc $1,245 $1,311 $1,239 tl.273
$2600 (10"") $6,302 $11,388 $9188 7Ax 7.0x 74x 72x / .. ,
2700 (6"") 6545 11,630 9,430 " " 7.6 i " (;~~ \ /'''', \ 7 6 2800 (3"") 6787 11,873 9,673 I " \ ! 7.8 :
\..\8~~) , ,,~~,
29,00 " 7,030 12,115 9,915 \ ,., 8.0/ 7,8 '-.,~.,
30,00 " 7,272 12,357 10,157 .. , U "' '.0
31,00 "' 7,514 12,600 10,400 .. , ,., "'
., 32,00 '" 7,757 12,842 10,542 .. , .. , ", ., 33,00 '" 7,999 13,085 10.885 .. , .. , ... eo
3'UO '" 8,~42. 13,3~7 11,127 .. , M M " 3500 '" "'"' 13,569 11,369 " OJ "' "" 3600 '" 8 726 13,812 11,612 '.0 ." ", Of
I'~.-.,
~ Comparable ", ... -"' C:ompe_~;e. M~en! M~d;"n ~,
Notes Sh,"~ pric~~" ofM~rch 2B, 2007 Agge9.le V.lue Including unconsolld.led ••• et. demed •• EqullyV.'ue + Nel Debl Nol debt,. PF lor procoed. of$73M'J ~om •• Ie of SeNI A<sumes PHON~S v.tued.t $OOOMM
PIE
Managtment: 2007 ,~
$200 $221
13.0,- II.ax
13.5 12.2 c .. ,
14.0 /12.7':. ! !
14.5 '- 13.1 ! , ..... '. 15,0 13.6
1155 ':, : ' , 14.0
. ; \. 16.0,' 14.5 'j
16,5 14.9
17.0 15.4
17.5 15.8
18.0 16.3
4 Unoonsolld.led ."lIIs indude Food Nolwork (S800MM) C.reerBullder ($B50MMI. Ceme.st SporlsNet ($150MM), Cubs ($45[t~M) .nd ether Inter.ctive ."ets ($150MM) 5 Comparable compantes Include Gannett, Beto and Media General
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
RHUrch ,.~ 2008
~2DO $216
13.0x 12 Ox -~
13.5 /125\
\ 13 0 ) 14.0 ,.j
14.5 13.4
15.0 13.9 /''''-. r 15.5 \ 14,3
~ i " 16.0/ 14,8 '-.,....-
16,5 15,3
17.0 15,7
17.5 '" 18.0 '"'
8
MS 64878
Project Tower
The Wall Street median target price is $31
Results in an implied present value of $28 based on an 11% cost of equity
The private market value of T ........... .... ........... or; ..- ........ 1 ....... 1 .... VV ... " ... A ......... ~.'''' ... ,AI.7""
median; is approximately $34
EBiTDA E~tirilaie~ 14)
$MM
2007E 2OO8E
R~C3rch
Lov,. S1,203 $1,244
High 1298 1402
Median 1270 1277
Average 1265 1302
Mgmt. Plan 1270 1340
source Management Plan. Wall Street research
Morgan Stanley
Summary of Selected Research Analyst Targets Brokers Reporting Since Q4 Earnings Release
Wall Street Perspectives Since Q4 Earnings Rele<lse:
"= T;\I'~ % Upside to PV of:Ptice RevenlH; Marg!n: RiwMUe M:arOirt Rating
Pric.e Cureent pricJ>I'1 Ta'gel'Oj (lM.M) (%) ($:!liM) (%)
Mor~an Stanley " "' "' 5,:>22 1.234 '" 5.354 1.2133 ~%
UBS Neunl ~O" 9% $3063 " " " " "' " '.G Edwards Held "' "' ,- 1,268 23% 5,497 1,277 ~" Prudential Underweight 2/00 (13)% 2432 5,415 1,298 24% 5,/22 1,402 24'!<',
Credit Suisse Outporform ~O" 0%, 3063 5,41/ 1,286 24% 5,528 1,365 ~" L~I-",-, .. , 8,~tt,~'~ U"~""i~'91,t 18,00 lJ8i% 17,12 NA r,A r,A r,A NA r,A
Wachcvla MarkotWelght 3000 (4)% 2/03 5,303 1,203 23% 5,398 1,244 ~" C~igroup Hold 33,00 0% 29,73 " " " " "' " Benchmark Market Weight ~O" " ~o e3 "' " " " "' " Bear Stearns Peer Perform 31,00 (01% 27,93 5,382 1,270 '" 5,400 1,259 n%
Deutsche Bank Hold 3100 (01% 2/93 5,351 1,295 24% 5,383 1,305 ~"
:~~~~ :' :'¥':D~::: :iD)!~ :'~::g~":" ;5i~-:: ' _102'76' ;24~ .- ~i;U-! :-~~::
Source Watl Strsot research
Tower Broker Recommendations: 12 Month Consensus
Private Market Value Consensus (3:)
Sourc. FadSel
Buy 15%
Sell 15%
1'·.· .•. ·•· .•• · .•. Er:;~··· •• · •• ·· •• ·· •• · •• ·· •• ·i
Based on share price 01$31,13 as 01 March 28, 2007 Discounted OIlS yoar at 11%, oest ef e<pJlty
3 Targets reftect plivate market valuaijon, based on pubtlcly announced review ofstrnteglc alternatives 4 Include Cubs BCF and SeNI OCF
Firm
UBS
Lehman
Wachovla
Deutsche Bank
Souroe W.II Str~ot ",.nrch
Private marke't Value ($)
34
34
35
25-35
:34:
9
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64879
Project Tower
fmpJied Tower Shan; Price'Base-d:on Mg'mt. Plan'
2001E Towor Munlplo '" '" Tower EBITDA (excl CubsBeF) $1,245 $1,245
Impled Tower Aggregate Value S9,957 S10,579
Less' Net Debt (5,0851 (5,085)
Plus' Uncon,oMaiM Assels 2,200 2,200
Impled Tower EqultyValue 51,071 51,6g4-
FDSa ~" ~" !!!!P!"" T~ ... e,V"'!.., !"e, ~~._'" S?~ "' S~, 7",
Morgan Stanley
Selected Public Market Trading Comparables 2007 and 2008 EBITDA Multiples Without Unconsolidated Assets
AV) 2007E EBITDA 0)(2)
(J!:I
Tower 4Di~eraified Publishing Pure Play Publishing Broadcasting
14_1 13,2 1 16 14 12 10 8.4 8.4 87 8.0
+-7]-"::'; 116
7 ~, . 1~'7, 18',6
1 ~',~ I ~, ,n:'::1 :::j IT] ::::?I
.- --;--4. . ............ --;--4 .......... f--................ J--........... ·.f--;--- •.•...•...... f-- .......•. f--......•.......•.. f--.•...•...•. ·.t ' ------L-l ;",;' ~ ',;", !----';",;' l--;' ;",l_----L-,:,:"l----', ',:l----:':'"I----:,: :'
. I 1111 ·1111
Tower eo,
Tower Mgmt
Bela Gsnnetl Media Journal Lee NY Times McClatchy i Hearst- LIN TV Gray Sinclair
AV i2008E E6i luA r:)f21 (!C)
•
General Reg
Di~eraified Publishing 4 J
Arg\lle
Pure Play Publishing • Broadcasting • 14
12 10 8
8 , 8,0 1
, J
118
-~~--rcrr~-'lc9'-----7'-.6"--6-9-~~8~9"--_~,~.,,-_<'~.''-__ 7_,_,-.· •• ·.~~':'~'0L --c---rr~·· .• ·.·r-I ---'-Cl-'---•• ·• +- 11>11 6 I
4
··1 TI 2
0 Tower Tower Gannett Ro> Mgmt
Notes 1 Based on ,hare prices a, of March 28, 2007 2 EBITDA includes ,lock, based oompensallon
II >1111(11 8elo Media Journal Lee NY Times McClatchy, Hearst- Sinclair Gray LIN TV
General Reg Arg\lle
10
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64880
Project Tower
Privale:MiorkeE ValilaEior> ~M~'
Hig!1
2007E Tower Publ Muniple ,~ '"' Tower Pub!. EBITDA 5803 $803
Implied PltIl. Aggr.gate ..... ue $6,0 .... 1 $1,161
2007E TaWl!r Bro.d. Muilipl. 100, 120,
Taw" Broad EBITDA S:l82 $382
Implied Broad. Ag!regate value $3,816 $4,579
Implied Tower Aggregate "'alue $9,857 $12,346
L"" ..... iD ... \5.065, \5.ua5)
PI"" Unoan,olid.I.;A,,,,,t, 2.2DO 2.20D
Implied Tower Equlty"'alue $6,971 $1,461
FDSO "" ", ImplIed Tower ... alue Per Share i28.16 $39.03
Morgan Stanley
Selected Private Market Precedent Transactions Newspapers and TV Broadcasting
Selected Newspaper PtecooelitTransaclions Aggfegat~ Vah,re} Traillng J;eITPA 1:x1
16
12
8
4
o
Purchase Price (S~:
Date:
AVI31B1 Star Tribune
", ", "~
Phll.dolph,. Medial
Phll.dolph,.
Inquirer
562:2,
'" ,,~
Selected 1V B roadcastirig;pr.etederlt Transactions Aggregate. ValileJSCFlxJ
30
10
o
Purohase Price ($MM):
Date:
14.9
Oak HIli!
M"
575 ,., 2007
Sources Company dam, Wall Strosl estimates
Notes
14.6'
Sunbeam I Freedom I Tribune Tribune Boston Albany
'" " ''" '"" 2006 2006
Medi. New, & He.r:;;!1
McClatchy Nowspapers
1,000
Ae' 2005
12.4")
Gannett! Tribune I'Jlanta
", '"' 2006
1 Asrumes 2005 EBITDA lor Star Tribune ol$79MM ~urchase price excluding tw benent 0IS150MM would result In a 6 7x mU~lole 2 Purthase price indudes pension liability ofS47MM 3 9.5, forw~rd multlpl~ ~,cludlng non,cOr9 u .. ~N, B,7x with 'i'n~r91~' and 11 ,Ox pom u .. ot ,ulu 4 Based on forward BCF 5 Based on trailing BCF 6 BaSBd on 2005·2006 blended BCF multiple
BaSBd on 2004·2005 blended BCF multiple
Hearst Argyle! EnmlS Orlando
'" M., ,"00
Mccr.lchyl Knight Ridder
5500 ,,, 2006
Median: 13.2)(
14,0'
MEG! NBC
stations
"00 Aeo 2006
11
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64881
Project Tower
On March 13, 2006, McClatchy and Knight Ridder entered into a definitive agreement under which McClatchy acquired Knight Ridder in a transaction valued at$S7,25 per share(1)
The combined Company has 32 daily newspapers and approximately 50 non-dailies and total daily circulation of 3.2MM (pro forma fer divestiture of 12 Knight Ridder papers)
Second largest newspaper company in the U.S, based on circulation
Morgan Stanley
McClatchy Acquisition of Knight Ridder Transaction Overview
KeY: Transactian:Terms Offer: Price: SerlsitNity
• Consideratioll:(l) - S40 per share in cash
- 0.5118 rvlcClatchy Class A shares (fixed exchange ratio)
McClatchy Shares % of 3/10/06
Knight Ridder Consideration Total Offer '05 EBITDA
Price Price Value Multiple
- S4.5Bll equity value 10/31/2005 $62.68 18% S72.08 10.7x
- S(i.5Bn aggrcgat0 value iil1412005 66.17 24% 73.87 iO 9x
12 1lcwspap.:;rs " .... ith daily circuiati011 of 1.5\·fl\..T (S6%.
of\vhich is Philadelphia. Bay Area, Akron. and st. Paul) and "05 ERITDA o[$"219\·fl\·f an; schcdukd for divcstitur.:;
r-------------------------·-------------·--------------------- -----------------------.----------. : 311 012006 53.24 0% 67.25 10.2>: t _________________________ • _____________ • ____________________________________________ • _________ ~
Govt:rn:mct:: "2 Knight Riddt:r dirt:ulors wt:n; askt:d to
join tht: rvfL:C'1alch~· noard of Dire\:lors
Source Company press release
Valuatiofl:and:Multiples:
Implied value per share: $67.25(1)
Premium to last close (3110/06): 3.5':"0
Premium to U11aff.:;ctcd (10131 105): 20.0%
Pro forma kvt:ragt:: 4.gx lkbl / '05 PI- EUlIDA (prt:msct divc~titurcs)
No Synergies Qnd. Unconsolldated
Assetsl
'05 EBITDA'" 10.2><
'06 EBITDA , .. Source Company prBs. rBllIBSB
Notes
WHh$60MIII No Synergies of Annrunced (Excl. Unconsolldated ~.!]ies Assetsl
"~ 9.5>:
9.1x 9.2x
311312006'" 51.73 (3%)
411312006''3) 47.18 (11%)
612612006'" 40.63 (24%)
Source Company filings, company pre .. releases
Ass~t Sales (ffiM~)
Pffi.Tax Pre.Trix
TTarn,,\~tjQn P(-Q.,~d:; Mutliel'il
Northern Callfomla I St Paul $1.000 11 5;:
Philadelphia 562 10.1
other") 538 3 1
,oia; 2, HiD 10.2x
PF Multiple Paid w/oul Synergies 11.0x
PF Leverage 38,
1 ~iXt~e~~h:;~:nM~~~~ ~g~~~~tlon and 0 5119 shares orMcClalclTy Class A common stock S67.25 merger cons,d.".at,on based on McClalchy closing price
2 Ba""d on transaction value 01 $a 5Bn and a<suming:lO value lor Knighl Ridder's off_balance <>hoet assot< and S638MM 012005 Knight Ridd~r EBITOA (pro
~~~~~J ;:;;'lt~s~11°~~~:~S~·a~ly;:p::,~·t~~ Bellingha~ newspapers) Includes Akron Beacon JournaIIOH). Oululh News Tribune (MN), Grand Forks Herald (ND). FortWayne Ne\'" .. Sentinel (INI, Aberdeen American News (SOl, Wilkes-Barre Times Leader [PAl
66.48 10 lx
64.15 99><
60.79 95,
Estimated After·Tax Affec_Tai<
PrQce!'ld!S Muftiel'il
$705 e" 426 7.7
368 5.5
$1,498 7.3x
12
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64882
Project Tower
Public Mail<et:Valliati<m
gM~'
High
2007E Tower Publ Muniple 'fu eo. Tower Pub!. EBITDA 5803 $863
Implied Pltll. Aggr.gate ..... ue $6,473 $1,90 ....
2007E TaWl!r Broad. Muilipl. '"' 110,
Tower Broad. EBITDA 5382 $J82
Implied Broad. AQ!regate "'alue $JAJ4 $4,1Q7
Implied To_rAggregai:e V .. ue $UD1 $11,101
L ..... N.tD.t.; ':;.08G) ,:;.08:;, Plus. Un,on,olidaled As ... t, 2.200 2.200
Impliad To_rEqultyValu. $7,021 $1,:1:16
FDS:D "" ". Impli"" To_r Val ... P ... S:h.", $28.91 $3].89
Privale'Mirket Vililaiiolt
"" ,~ l'iigt1
2007E Tower Publ Mu~\,le 'fu '" Tow", P"hl FRlm~ S863 $863
Impliad PLtJI. Aggr.gat ..... lu. $6,041 $1,167 2007E To,,".r Brood. Muilipl. 10.0x 12.0x Tower Broad EBITDA 5382 $382
Implied Broad. Ag!regate "'alue $3.816 $4.579 Impliad To_r Agg"'g.m V_lua $9,857 $1!~6
L""s:N.tD.bI (5.085) (5.0851 Plus' Un,on,olld"led Asset, 2.200 2.200
Implied Tower EqullyValue $6,971 $1,461
FDSD "" ". rmplied To_r Var"" Per Share U8.76 $3<J.03
Morgan Stanley
Sum-of-the-Parts Valuation Perspectives
trripii~ Sha:re PticEiPI(2} l'ita:n~erjlen'l p-lan
Sr¢ad<;;aisllng W07E .EBITDA
1it~ltipiel~) 7.0)( 7.5x 8~Ox 3.5x
8.5x S26.40
':) Ux 2f.19
9.5x 27.97
10.0x 28.76
10.5x 29.55
11.Ox 30.33
11.5x 31.12
12.Ox 31.91
12.5x 32.69
Public Market Valuation
Note
$28.18
3290
3369
3448
Private Market Valuation
S29.96
3U fj
3i .53
3468
3547
3626
$31.74
::J:.:' j3
33.31
3410
3489
3567
3646
3725
3804
~ .... d on ~l)<;O ot L4:.'.4MM not dabl 01 ~~.OH~MM (pro term. ter proc.ods trnm s.l. ol<;(;NI) Hnd unconsolld.tod .ssats al~L :.'OOMM (road Notwork ($BOOMM). Car~~rBulld~r ($6S0I.llM). ComO"s! Sport<N~ ($1S0MM). Cub~ ($450MM) .no <rl:h~r inl~r"dlv~ as<oI~ ($lS0MM)) Corporate overhead has been alocated to Publishing and Broadca.ting ba.ed on 2007E revenue contribution B .... d on Bro.do_stlng EBITDAinciuding st""k·b.sod camponsHtlOn of $382MM (axludlng $19MM for Cubs)
4 Bared on Publishing EBITDA including stock-based rompen5<ltion of$8e""~M
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
9.0x 9:5):
S33.52 $35.30
3431 31:) u,:)
35.09 36.87
3588 3766
3667 3845
3745 3923
3824 4002
3903 4081
3932 4160
13
MS 64883
Project Tower
Premiums Paid in Public-to-Private Transactions Selected Transactions> $58n
Premium Paid in: Pubtic~to-Ptivabl:rran$actiori$:(Deats ofSS.O:BnOJ m:ow since:20041 1'm,;",:V9llie Pri<:e:P<!r
AilnOtinc-ed Tatge! A£<f,limr lfBiI) Shat'el$)'
26-Feb 07 TXU Corp KKR, TPG 45.0 69.25
19-Nov-06 Equity Ofke Properties Blackstone 39.0 55.50
24-Ju106 HCA Inc Investor Group 32.1 51.00
18-Dec-06 Harrah's Entertainment Inc Apollo. TPG 219 9000
29-May-06 Kinder Morgan Inc Investor Group 276 10750
16-Nov-06 Clear Channel Comms Inc Investor Group 267 3760
13-Nov-05 Georgia-Pacific Corp Koch Forest Products Inc 20.5 48.00
15-Sep-06 Freescale Semiconductor Inc Firestone Holdings LLC 175 40.00
22-Jan-06 Albertsons Inc SupeNalu. Investor Group 174 2629
8-Gct-06 Cablevislon Systems Corp Investor Group 165 2700
27 Jun-06 Unlvlsion Communications Inc Investor Group 13.4 36.25
13-Dec-06 Quantas Airways Investor Group 131 441
18-Dec 06 Biomet Inc Investor Group 10.9 44.00
28-Mru--0~· SunGard Data Systems Investor Group 108 3600
26-Feb_07 Siabon Casinos Inc Colony Capital 85 9000
2-Aug-04 Cox Communications Cox EnterpriSes 84 34 15
1-May-06 ARAMARK Corp Investor Group 8.2 33.80
24-Nov-06 ASE Group Carlyle Group 64 594
29-Aug-05 PanAmSaI Holding Corp Intelsat Ltd 63 2500
17-Mar-05 Toys "R" Us Inc Investor Group 6 1 26 15
3O-Jun-06 Mlchael~ store~ Inc Investor Group 5.6 44.00
2-May-05 Neiman Marcus Group Inc Investor Group 52 10000
12 Dec 06 Sabre Holdings Corp TPG, Silver Lake 5.0 32.75
Maan:
Madfan:
Tower Zell! ESOP snoo
Source PubliC ftllngs and FactSet
Premiuil1ro DayPri'or 1 Wee~ AV~ 4 W"er. AV~ 31\1<itiflAvg llM:intllA.vg
23.5%
23.1%
6.5%
9.5%
27.4%
10.2%
38.5%
6.6%
9.0%
12.8%
13.2%
10.5%
4.8%
141%
7.6%
26.0%
20.2%
12.9%
26.3%
8.0%
15.8%
1.1%
7.6%
14.6%
12.8%
61%
22.0%
21.2%
12.3%
127%
287%
91%
43.4%
115%
122%
156%
8.5%
91%
5.4%
145%
79%
236%
21.8%
152%
261%
114%
16.3%
17%
14.5%
16'.1%
14.5%
90%
24.8%
30.7%
16.6%
145%
244%
118%
49.2%
272%
184%
157%
3.4%
195%
12.6%
330%
82%
241%
19.2%
228%
259%
161%
15.6%
63%
19.9%
20.0%
19.2%
99%
25.2%
38.1%
16.6%
20.1%
20.1%
22.4%
47.9%
35.9%
11.3%
19.3%
3.3%
36.0%
20.7%
34.0%
11.4%
17.6%
19.3%
22.6%
24.6%
23.1%
15.8%
21.9%
29.4%
23.3%
21.9%
8.4%
17.8%
45.0%
12.3%
294%
171%
242%
46.2%
357%
136%
215%
7.4%
561%
27.4%
270%
124%
23.4%
253%
313%
330%
22.(%
331%
40.[1"",
27.7%
27.0%
50%
Morgan Stanley 14
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64884
Project Tower
Leveraged Recap I Broadcasting Spin Alternative
Morgan Stanley
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64885
Project Tower
The Recapitalization contemplates a pro-rata distribution of $17.50 per share
Following the tax-free separation of Broadcasting from Publishing; existing Tower shareholders would continue to own 100% of both businesses
Summary of Unconsolidated Assets $MM
Asset ASJil.umed
Value
Publishing Assets
Food Network
Olh .. r Inl .. r~cli"" As ... ls
Tolal Publishing
Broadcasting Ass81s
None
Morgan Stanley
S800
650
51,600
i
Recapitalization Transaction Overview Recapitalization with Broadcasting Spin; $17.50 Dividend
TransaCtion:Overv[ew
Transaction Steps
Tower 1everage~ up to" Rx T .Tv! consolidated adJu~ted EBlmA (6 2.--:: exchldlllg PH01<ES)
- D::bt pr0c-;eds ll~cd to pay a sp-;cial dividcnd pcr share 0f apprw;lmatdy $17,50 to all Tow<;;r ,hard-told"'r~
Broi\d(,i\~til1g kveraged to 7 Ix
- D-;bt pr0c-;eds ll~cd to repay d-;bt at Iowcr
Tax-fr-;e ~pin-0ff of Br0adca~tillg to all To\',--;r ~harcholdcr,
(,uh~ and Corn cast SporbNet ~old
Pro Forma Publishing Asset Portfolio
('areerDU11der (4~ S~"[)'I and Other Tnteractlve A~set~
F00d Network (3IY,o)
I'nhune ~vlt:(.ba Services
LA Recycler and Varillus l<!eall':sLaLe
Pro Forma Broadcasting Asset Portfolio
.'\11 e70.1~Lmg TV bruaJ~<J!;Lmg ~lallons and Superslallon
\VCiN l{aUID
Tnbune Elllt'namlllt'lli
Assets to be Sold
• C,~b~. Com~a~\ Sport~Nd (25,3"'oj and SeNl (1)
Notes 1 Company has announcBd ths sal .. of SCNI Ie Gannstt fer $73MM
Transaction Outcome
Tower shareholders own 100% of the Publishing bUSiness and 100% of the Broadcasting bUSiness
Tower does not incur corporate tax on the spin-off
Tower shareholders receive a special diVidend of approximately $17.50 per share
Tower shareholders are su bjeot to tax on the oash diVidend at long-term rates (15% federal rate for Individuals)
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
15
MS 64886
Project Tower
A $17.50 special dividend would represent the second largest special dividend in aggregate dollar value and the largest as a percent of current stock price in the last two years
Morgan Stanley
i
Precedent Special Dividends
~!~ei!id LargllSt SPIl<iia/ DfVidlll¥Js '
.Di~idend
Declared Amolln! S~cial Dhidllnd C",rlij Rating ftI Pricelme!!c:f Company D~' lMM! Amount Yie1d P~Div. PO$tDiv. ,., Microsoft 07120104 $32,640 $3.00 10.6% AA AA 1.3%
To .... er" $17 50 Di"";dend Illustrative CF·357.') $17.50 (~~i2%~) 6<l.lIB6+' Bll B~ :",
"A Cablevision 04107106 $2.896 $10.00 37.0% "' Bl :-, 09%
Cammark Rx Inc 01116107 $2.526 $6.00 10.6% '" '" (1.0%)
Health Management Assoc 01117107 $2,407 $10.00 48.5% '" ,. 2.6%
Aiberta-Cuiver Co 06ii9JCi6 $2.3·i9 $25.00 53.6% Baa i i BBB+ Baa2i BBB- 20%
Dean Foods Co 03102107 $1,926 $15.00 33.0% Ball BB+ Bal: 'I BB 3.6%
Clear Channel Ccrnmunications 04129105 $1.644 $300 9.4% Baa3 1 BBB- Baa3 '-II BBB- :-1 (02%)
Ashland Inc 09114106 $725 $10.20 16.1% BBB- ". 1.3%
Potlatch 09119105 $440 $15.15 27.2% ". " (2.3%)
Saks 10103106 $548 $4.00 23.4% B+ ,- B+ ,+, 2.7%
Scotts Miracle-8m 12112106 $500 $7.6B 15.1% Ba11 BB Ba1 ( 'I B8 50%
Longview Fibre 06114106 $385 $7.54 30.1% ,,' " 04%
Montpelier Re Holdings 02125105 $342 $5.50 14.0% BBB' BBB" 07%
Banta 09114106 $386 $16.00 33.9% " Ba2IBB: 1 (1.5%)
Gr""l AII~nlic & P~clfi~ T~~ 04104106 $298 $7.25 20.9% B31 B_ eo' 'I B- I 1"1.
Commonwealth Telephone En!. 05103105 $275 $13.00 27.8% " " 8.4%
Sun-Times r,ledia Group Inc 01127105 $272 $3.00 20.8% " " (1.0%)
Mar""~ 01117106 $213 $7.00 30.7% " " 16.2%)
Emmis Communi~ations 09118106 $149 $400 34.0% Ba31 B+ Ball B 20%
r.l<;<;ij'" 10.20/. 0.2~
M"dian"~ 2.8% O.9%:
Notes 1 Includes cash dividends by Index members at the ijme of announcement
Cr~Jil r~ii"y> ~r~ ,,~>~ci 1.0, Curl-'Jr~i~ F~r"iiy R~li"y iur iviuuui~ ~"ci Curl-'Jr~'" Cr~uii Rcij"y iur S&P i-) l ,.,., i"ciic~i~~ lI~y~ii,~ l ~u>ilj"" uuliu"," Sh;Ye price appreciation less return In the S&P 500 over the same period Denotes Illustrative rating for To','er Illustrative rating for Broadcasting SpilCo is B118+to Ba3IBB-
5 Excludes Tower
,+30
11.8%)
"A (231%)
114%
11.5%)
(0.3%)
" (7.1%)
4.5%
(159%)
12.2%
34%
124.6%)
(129%)
(0.7%)
(21 B%)
13.3%
(20.7%)
2.6%
(03%)
(1.~0/.)
O."%:
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
:Excess Return,:'1 ,., ,+30
0.6% 11.2%)
" " ,me (244%)
(1.1%) '~A
2.7% 13.2%)
20'"' Ci ;,ok,
4.8% " (1.4%) (12.0%)
1.4% 0.9'%
(2.3%) (11.8%)
2.5% 9.4%
;" '~A
(0.2%) (26.1%)
(0.2%) (10 5%)
(1.4%1 (4.3%)
05% (223%)
8.5% 9.9'%
(1.1%) (23.9%)
(5.8%) 3.2%
CO% (38%)
o..1'k (2.Q0/.)
0.8% •. "1
16
MS 64887
Project Tower
Pri:l:Form'a ToWer Capitalii:<Itiort ~ $17,50Dfvii:lend
Pro Forma Capitalization -Publishing (Parent]
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Roll_ov@rNot@s
Term Loan A Bridge Loan Oth~, E~;'t;~g D~bt'"
Total Existing Debl
New I erm Loan A New Term Loan B
Total Debl (excl. PHONES)
PHONES
Total Debl (incl. PHONES)
Prooeed. tom Exerci.ed Option.
Total Sources
LTM PF Adj. EBITDA
Actual 121J1120(J6
m
1,526 1,500 1,310 ,. '''''
4,433
''" 5,333
$1,437
15t Priority Guaranteed Debt I LUI PF Adj. EBITDA SeniorDebtILTMPFAdj.EBrrDA 31x Total Debt I L TM PF Ad) EBITDA 3.7x
prQ- Forma CapiWizaiioo ~erQadeasting
New Term Loan A New Term Loan B
Bari-; Debt
New Senior Sub Noles
Tota! Debt
Credit Statistics LTM PF Adj. EBITDA
Senior Debt I L TM PF Adj. EBrrDA Total Debt I L TM PF Adj EBITDA
Morgan Stanley
i
Pro Forma Capitalization - $17.50 Dividend
------------,
Q1 Cash Flaw
~1.(S(rh~nl$
Pmjecte:d:,,: R"",apitalizatlO'n:j Pro:Forma:
JIJ1r.!O(1r !\;ljU?Il"flE!~t$ i 313112tJ07
'" '" I" 1 521
1 500 (1,500) (70) 1 240 (1,240)
97 {97)
4,358
~."UU 4.695
4.358 7,195
000
5.258 7,195
'"
$1.423 $1.412
Notes Sh"""" ~r" '''rrrl~ lur >~i~ '" SCi,i ~mi H"y ""'N>~~~"'~ Includes lees olS144MM
", 1 521
1,521
~."uu 4,695
8.716
000
9.616
'" ____ .~,~~_9 _______
$1.412
5.1x 62x eo,
Q2:&Q3t
!'IilIU'ln1el1t~
(10)
1"
I"~) (126)
Assumes Ql cash How I excess cash IS used toward paydown olthe rotlsling bridge loan 4 Includes c'p,talizod ReBI EstBts Option Bnd S"'BPS Bnd Oth~r obligotlons
Include. $33MM f •• ",b.te .Ithe time of the Spin_off
Projected 9I31lJ2007
m
1,512
1,512
~.44" 4.569
3,526
''" 9,426
'"
$1.390
5.0x 6.h 6.ax
Spin-off
Adj!lSI)'nenj$
(~.44:O)
(376»'
(2,321)
Spin"",if Adjusbnents
"0 1.600
1000
Pro F:orma
9JJDllOIrI
m
1,512
1,512
4.193
5,705
''" 6,605
'" 6,748
$986
4.3x ,~
6.7x
Pro Forma 09!3D1D7
''" 1,600 1,850
1,000
"01 ,.~
7.1x
:Sale otCub",/
com:cast
{602',
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
Pro:Forma
1113012007
1 512
1,512
3,591
5.103
'"' 6.003
,<0 6,146
Pro Forma 091JD1D7 ,,,
1.600 1,850
1 000
$401
,.~
",
17
MS 64888
Project Tower
Management Plan $T5hwe
40
35
30
25
20
15
10 17 50
5
a Publishing "I 75x
Broadcas1lng' , 9x
~ Cash Distribution
Projected Equity V3lue in 2009 (${Sh3re): - Broadcasting $6_00-- Publishlnf] $12.77
17.50
7.5x
'"
$9.70 $12.77
Morgan Stanley
i
Recapitalization Package Value 7.5x Publishing Multiple Includes Upfront Cash Dls'b'lbutlon and Publishing and Broadcasting Equity Values (1)
Research Case Management Downside Case: A (4) Management OownstdeCase:B(~) $Oi Sn~re
40
35
30
25
20
15 -
10
5
a
1750
7.5x
'"
1750
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
a
l1li Publishing Equity Value ::.: illJJ Broadcasting Equity Value 1'1
$580 $12AJ
$9,48 $12.42,
unconsolldaled assel value grows al S% per year 2 Assumed forNard EBITDA mUlllple al year end 2009
$2404
1750
7.5x
'"
5222 $6.;:0
$2624
17.50
7.5x 11,
$515 $6.20
3 For Bach SCBnariC eqUltyvaluBs arB based cn PV cfprojllC!ed stock prieB at year Bnd 2Q09 assuming a 11% cost of .""ty
$:; 5hwe
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
o 75x 9,
4 Management Downside Case A project< nat Broadcasting OCF and a 2')0 decline In publIShing revenue per year Management Downside Case B project<; a 1% decline in Broadcasting OCF and a 3% decline in publishing revenu. per year
$2331
75x
'"
$5.90-$J.71
18
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64889
Project Tower
40
35
30
25
20
15
10 17.50
5
o PUDlisning . 8x
Broad~asilng ," 9x
~ Cash Distribution
Projet1aJl Equity Value in 2009 ($IShartl); - BrOOdcaSnhg $6.00 - PubllstJing $14.58
$3590
17.50
8,
,"
$9.70 $14.58
Morgan Stanley
-
i
Recapitalization Package Value - 8x Publishing Multiple Includes Upfront Cash Dls"b'lbutlon and Publishing and Broadcasting Equity Values (1)
Research Case:
40
35
30
25
20
15 -
10
5
o
17.50
8,
"
$35 44
17.50
8, 11<
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
o
Publishing Equity Value ::.: U2W Broadcasting Equity Value 1'1
Notes
$5.80 $14.18
$9:.48 $14.112.
17.50
S2.22 57.04
$2728
17.50
8, 11,
$5.15 $7.64
40
35
30
25
20
15
10 17.50
5
0
" 9,
52.26 55.2::'
1 Assumes unconsolidated assets currently valued at $1 600MM (Food Network' SSOOMM: CareerBUIlder: S650~~M' Other Interactive Assets' $150MMI and that uncon,oliaated a,.et value gro",. at B-::. per year A«um~d r!m .... d EIlITDA Multipl~.1 Y".r ~nd 2009 For each scenario, eqUlt~ value, are based on PV of proJecled stock price .I~ear end 2009. assuMing. 11% ,oslofeqully
4 Mo"ogsmont D"""Slds Coss AproJsots fio! B",odoosting OCF ond 0 2%, dsolins in publishing rovsnus psr ylIBr Monagsmon! Downslds Case B prOjscts a 1%, d@cin@ln Bro8dc • .tlng OCF 8nd. 3% d@cllnolnpubl,.hlngr ..... en ... p"r Y08r
$2420
17.50
$5.90 $5.23
19
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64890
Project Tower
Management Plan $TShare
15
12
9
6
3
a
$12,29
Multiple: n 7 Ox 7 5x 8 Ox 8.5x
l1li Publishing EquityValue 12)
Pr<l-j~ct~d EquilyValu~ SI0.OO $12n S14.58 $1538 in 2009 ($ISham):
Morgan Stanley
Pro Forma Publishing Equity Value Per Share Based on Forward EBITDA Multiple at Year End 2009 (1)
Researcli Case $ JSliare
Management DoWilside Case A (4)
$1 Share
Management Dowriside Case;H(4j $JSliare
15 15 15
$1196 12 ----- 12 12
9 9 9
$6,78
6 6 6
5395
3 3 3
a a a 70x 75x 80x 85x 7 Ox 7.5x 8 Ox 8.5x 70x 75x BOx 85x
$1068 $12.43 514 18 515,93 $2.20 $371 $523 $675
Notes A •• um~. "nwn.oiid~:~d ~ .. ~:. cu" .. ':I, ~~I ... d~: Sj,eOOMM (Fcod n":-"ori;: S800MM, C~r~;B"ild~;, $$SOMM; 0tl1~, In:~r~ctlv~A .. ~tl, S150MM) ~nd th~t unoonsolld.lsd .,,'" v.lue ,,"ows.1 8% psr y •• r Assumed forward EBITDA mUlllple al year end 2009 For each scenario, equity value. are b .. ed on PV oiproiect.d .wck price at yearend 2009, a.""ming a 11 % cosl oiequity M"nag~monl D",,'n~ld~ Ca<~ Aprol~ol<" 2% d~olino In publi<hlng r~v~nu~ p~ry~ .. M"n.g~m~nt Down<ldo C"~~ B P"'J~ot<" 3% d~ol,"~ In publl<hlng revenue por year
20
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64891
Project Tower
Free cash flow assumes Tower exercises option to acquire real estate owned by the TMCT partnerships for $175MM as per management business plan
Total Publishing:OIlllI (incl PHONES] $BiI
~g(rri Re'ea"'h ivJl'lmi ilijgrtn: I'arioil PI~n c~~~ O:QVM:A ClQ\Vn.:S:
PF 03'07 S6,6 S6,6 $6,6 $6,6
2007 " 5.9 ,., " 2008 5,9 5.9 " " 2009 ,; ,., ,; " 2010 5,3 5.1 5,5 5,6
Morgan Stanley
i
Pro F onna Publishing Leverage Profile - $17.50 Dividend Following Dividend, Spin and Sale of Assets (1)
Total Debt IAdj.EBITDA(2) x:{in~luding PHONES}
8,Ox
7.2 {,2
Free Cash Flow 12)(3)
$MM
500 ---------
400
319
300
234
403
356 •
Adj.E8ITDAIlnt.fe.t(~
•
3.0
27,/ .
3.3
60,
299
200 1 '1m., 2,5x /1"'2 6 ~.1§-- ~~6
~~,~.rl·~ 5,9 ",\5.5
, '-5.4, 2,Ox
\4.9
\, 49
1,5x
40, PF PF'07 08 '09 ,0 -100 ------------ 10x
03'07 PP07 '08 '09 '10 PF'07 '08 '09
- M.nBgsment DawnSids Case B
- Management Downside Case A Management Downside Case B
__ Management Downside Case A Management Downside Case B
••••••. Management Downside Case A
Research Case Research Case Research Case
- Management Ptan -- Management Plan ~ Manag.ment Plan
Notes 1 Assume. Cub., Com"".t Sport.Net. SCNI and LA Recycler are sold and that Food Network i. tran.rerred to Publi.hing 2 Assumes 2007 Adjusted PubtlShlng EBITDA of S961 111M. $952MM $S22MM $OO9MM for Management Plan. Research Case and lIIanagement Downsicle A and B.
respectively. All Adjusted ~BITDA figures include equity income rrOOl unconsolidated assets and e.clude stock·based compensatim expense 3 Free CBsh Flow definsd.s EBITDA _ Capex _ InvBStment in Working Capltat _ T.xes _ Net Interest Expense _ tnvestments In IntsrHctlvs & PublIShing (lncl
S175MM in exercISed option on TMCT reat estate)
'10
21
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64892
Project Tower
Management Plan $TShare
12
9
6
3
0 Multiple' :', 90, 10 Ox
$7.46
110x
Broadcasting EquityValue (21
$785 '" 70
Morgan Stanley
i
Pro Forma Broadcasting Equity Value Per Share Based on Forward EBITDA Multiple at Year End 2009 (1)
Researcli Case $ JSliare
12
9
6
3
0 90,
S580
r-lotcs
$7.30
10 Ox 11 Ox
$7,64 $9.48
Assumed fo~,,'ard EBITDA multiple at year end 2009
Management DOwnside Case A (~l $1 Share
12
9
6
$405
3
0 90, 10 Ox 11.0x
5222 $3.68 $515
For each scenario. eqUlt~ vatue, are based on PV of projected stock price at year end 2009, assuming a 11% cost ofequl!y
Management Dowriside Case;a: lJ) $JSliare
12
9
6
$3.64
3
0 9.0x 10 Ox 110x
$2.26 $4,08 $590
3 MB"BgSmont D"""Slds CB"" AproJeots fiB! BroBdoB:mng O(;F. Management Downside Case B projects a 1'" dedlne In Broadcasting OCF per 1ear 22
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64893
Project Tower
Tot; Broadcasting: Debt $Br.
",,", Research Mgmt 'oM I"eflod """ Case Dowo.A Dowo. B.
PF Q3'OT "" "" ,," S2.9
2007 '" '" '" '" 2008 " " '" n
2009 " " " " 2010 " " " , .•
Morgan Stanley
i
Pro F onna Broadcasting Leverage Profile - $17.50 Dividend Following Dividend and Spin (1)
Total Debt I Adj.EBITDA(~ x :iilOlt;ll,Idif!g:PHQ!\IE$)
74 74
7,Ox
6,Ox
40, PF PF'07 " '09 ,0
03'07
---- Management Down.ide Case B
- Mene9smsnt DownSids Cess A
Rsssarch Cess
- Management Plan
Notes
Free Cash Flow (2X3) $MlVI
200
150 139
" //125
100
50
o PF'07
.;{~~. 100-/102./"
;/ / 88' .
,I oj
'08 '09
___ m Mene9smsn! Downs,ds Case B _ Management Downside Cass A
Research Case ~ Management Plan
'10
1 Assumes Cubs and Comeast SportsNet are sold and thai Food Nel,mrk is Irnnsferred to Publishing
Adj. EBITDA II nt.,.st1~ , 30, ----------
25, _________ --'2C'L-
19 . .-;; ,.' 2 0 1.8
1,V" 1.7 .~. Jl>--' _.~ :;;. ~~~ -'--~"'" ~_r' 1.8 18
1 7 1.7
15, ----------
10x -----------
PF'07 '08 '09
~~anagemenl Downside Case B ~ Management Downside Case A
Reseerch Caso -~ Management Plan
'10
2 AS"-lmes 2007 Mjusted Broadcasting EBITDA of$390M~4. $393M~4. $382M, $382MM for Management Plan Research Ca,e and Management Downside Case A and B, respedivsly All Adjusted EBITDA ~gu",s 'ndude squity Income from unconsol,datsd e"ets end e,dude stock-based componsatIOn expsnss
3 Free Cash Flow de~ned", EBITDA- Cape~ -Inves/menlln Working Capital - T""M - Net Interest Bqlense
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64894
Project Tower
Tower Financial Projections Overview
Morgan Stanley
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64895
Project Tower
For Tower Consolidated we have analyzed four sets of projections for the period 2007E - 2011E
Management Plan based on Management's Revised Operating Budget received on March 17, 2007
Research Case based on current '.'Vall Street consensus
Management Downside A projects a 2% annual decline in Publishing revenue and flat Broadcasting OCF as per management projections as of March 17, 2007
Management Downside B projects a 3% annual decline in Publishing revenue and a 1% annual decline Broadcasting OCF as per management projections as of March 17, 2007
Consolidated HistmiQaI:Fimmcial:s \<Ci
$M:r.1 2G03A N.l4A 20a~ 200""';
R .. ""nu .. $5,456 55,591 $5,473 S5395
% Growth 3.9% '" 12.1)% (14!%
EBITDA ,', $1543 $1,410 $1,361 $1301
% Growth 7.9% (861% 13.5)% (44!%
% Margll7 28.3% 25.2% 24,9% 24,1%
Morgan Stanley
Tower Consolidated Projections Management, Research and Management Downside Cases (1)
toWer Consaiidated:Revenue (2)
$MM ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
CAGR '07E '11E 7,000 ManagemenlPlan 11%
Research Case 1 4% 6,500 Mgmt DownSide Case A (1 2%)
Mgmt Downside Case B 120%)
6,000 ~""O~'"'~'~'""~'"5~30"'15".~?6~,~="''"'S.~''"9=O~'-,-c------s-.. -,-"c.-"cs------CoCooC'"5'.5""'-----'5'.5,""",,5'.6~4rn6-----~j~~ ----"Cr""-'"'II "-'.>li~I~II~l~"'~=-~5-------J-----,I=-iiil---=In=5~S04C--91---cITIIm-II-=i-4948-----jllJ~::"-oc
2009E 2010E 2011E 2007E
Ma nagement Plan
2008E
Research Gase _ Management DownSide Case A U Management Downside Case B
Source Management BUSiness ~Ian and Wall Street research
'MOl
CAGR '07E-'11!: Mgmt Case 22%
1 800 Research Case 24% Mgmt DownSide Case A (4.3%)
1 600 Mgmt Downside Case B (6.9%)
1 400
1 200
1,000
800
1, 386 1,357 1,3811381
2009E 2010E 2011E 200lE ED Management Plan
2008E Research Case Management DownSide Case A C Management DOINnside Case B
Margin (%] 236236229225 245239223215 248241219205
Source Management BuS;'BSS ~Ian and Wall Street r.sBarch
,",ore 1 Management Plan and Management Downside Case. based on March 2007 revised Tower financial packa~e 2 All caSBS arB ~ro forma for sale of seNI and Albany Atlanta and Boston TV "'atims 3 Includes stock-based compensation ""pense and allocated corporate overhead based on revenue con1ributlon
248241219205 24.7245202183
24
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64896
Project Tower
For the Publishing business we have analyzed four sets of projections for the period 2007E - 2011 E
Publi5hing Historical Financials 1!)
$M,~ 2~~lA ~~MA 2.!lQ!;A WCM
R .. venu" $3,998 $4,090 $4,058 53987
% GIUt,'th '" 2.3% (08)% (17)%
EBITDA )1 $1,016 $991 S942 $880
% GIUt\·th 3,5% 12.51% [4,91% r6,7)%
% Margin "" 24.2% 23.2% 221%
Morgan Stanley
Publishing Projections Management, Research and Management Downside Cases (1)
Punlishlrig ReventieY) $MM
CAGR '07E-'11E 5,000 Management Plan 07%
Research Case 04% Mgmt Downside Case A (2.0%)
4,500 ~Mcg,mc'cDcocwco'c;dcecCc'c'cecB~_c(c3cOc%"i~
3 9463,93t 3,9083 867 3,9683,960 3 B29_ __ 3, 997 3,948 4, 0233,969 4,0523,991
-C;C.':"'C::':C:':lB~~C"'oo."'CI --cr::C:'::C'::'~::1 'CC"."'-',c, "OO,-----,lcfc::::c:::Ic:c~~CJ'52"3-6-3-8---"·~:~"·: "ti"1 =c3c,OC,"O-3-3-,,----iNTI'---,13-,s-o-,---
I,ll I I III I IIIII II ILl INTI I, 15 4,000
3,500
3,000 2009E 2010E 2011E 2007E
IJ] Management Plan 2008E
Research Case _ Management DoVllllslde Case A D Management Downside Case B
Source Management BUSiness ~Ian and Wall Sireel research
Publishing ESITDA (<'l(~
'MOl
CAGR '07E-'11E Mgmt Case 1 4%
1,200 Research Case 07% Mgmt Downside Case A (6.4%)
1 000 L'M,g"m~'~D,O"W"O,,",'"C~'",,',B---'(100",2~%.i._~------------'"~'".------------.ec-c"'----------~H4-,,~""----------863 854,824 791 ITT 856 782 ._._ ~ 864 ITa 815
bOO IlI1IIl I II Iil!iF"=II .:. '" III I Hili '-HI 600
400 2009E 2010E 2011E 2007E
rrrn Management Plan 200SE
Research Case
222216204193
Management Downside Case A I Management DownSide Case B
Margin (%] 21 921 7 21 1 205 223219197180
Source Managem.nt Busiless Plan and Wall Street r.search
,",ore 1 Management PI"" and Managemenl Downside Case. based on March 2007 revised Tower financial package 2 All cases are pro forma for sale ofSCNI 3 Includes slock-ba,ed compensallon ""pense and allocaled corporale overhead based on revenue con1ribullon
224220189166 225220176151
25
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64897
Project Tower
For the Broadcasting business we have analyzed four sets of projections for the period 2007E - 2011 E
Revenue
% Gro .... th
EBITDA 1<
% Gro .... tll
% Margin
$1,457 $1,501 51,415
7.9% 30% (57j%
$525 $549 S447 11.9% '" (1851%
36,0% 36,6% 31.6%
Morgan Stanley
$1,408
(05)%
$422 (571%
29,9%
Broadcasting Projections Management, Research and Management Downside Cases (1)
B roadcastirig: Revenue: (2) $:MM
CAGR '07E-'11E 2,200 Management Plan 2,2% Research Case 4,1% 2,000 Mgmt Downside A 11%
l,800L!M=g~m~'~D;g~W~g'~'d~e~C;;~;=====Oi6~%~~~~~~====~~~~~~~====='~~~~~~~==~~~~~~~:===
:;:: ~.';lt4IOm'393~'4:0~1402hlF.'4II~C .. , •... ,.:' .. : •... , •.• I~ ~liiilrli'4T= 'm ==11·111 I =i l I PIIII I =il I . I
2009E 201 DE 2011 E 2007E lJj Management Plan
2008E L Research Case IIfM Management Downside Case A U Management DOlNrlside Case B
Source Management BlJSlnBSS Plan and Wall Street r.sBarch
'MOl
600
500
CAGR MgmtCase Research Case Mgmt Downside A Mgmt Downside C
'07E-'11E 41% 5,6%
(0.2%) (1.3%) 484 482 470 502 ___ _
_,,4c01""4_04 .. 3,,92.,39_' __ -jmTIt-----l391 387 ?rn390 382 mIT in 377
1
If:i:::i::::i!: 373
1 jJJI i ~Jil I b:1 I =1It I HI I t 400
300
200
20D7E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E
W:t Management Plan Research Case m Management Downside Case A U Management Downside Case B
Margin (%] 28,628,628,228,2 30,6 29,9 27,5 27,6 31 ,4 29,7 27,6 27, 1 31,6 30,0 27,1 26,6 30,7 30,3 26,7 26,1
Source Management Busiless Plan and Wall street research
"o(e 1 Management PI"" and Management Downside Case. ba.ed on March 2007 revised T"wer financial package 2 All caSBS arB pro forma for sale of Albany, Atlanta and Bosten TV st,tlons 3 Includes stock-based compensation ""pense and allocated corporate overhead based on revenue con1ributlon 26
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64898
Project Tower
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Morgan Stanley
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64899
Project Tower
Key assumptions
4.75 year DCF
3/31107 valuation date
Mid-year discounting
Cash tax rate of -33-35%
Treais ::;iock-based compensation as cash
Cubs separately valued
Unconsolidated assets include Food Network ($800MM) and CareerBuilder ($650MM), Comeasl SportsNet ($150MM), Cubs ($450MM) and other interactive assets ($150M M)
Morgan Stanley
DCF Analysis: Management Plan
sumhHtl)' Of KeyFlhM:elaFS for DCFAnatySIS:
Revenue Growth (%)
EBITDA
Margm (%)
D&A
Operating Income
Less Tax Tax Rate (%)
Add Back' D&A
Less' Capex & Investments
Change In Working Capital
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Source Management Busilsss plan
Manageillent,Plan !5MM,exQept Pili" $hil;re iIIT\O!.Injsf
Di$Co\.lit Rate 2012 E"it Multiple
Presenl Value of
C~sh flew _ Ys~rs 1 _ 5
Terminal Value
Aggregate Value
Less Net Debt
Add: Unconsolidated Investments' I,
EquityValue
Valu .. psr ShHr .. ll • P......,.,oumIjDlscaunl) ill "",,..,,t /%/,'<)
Terminal Value as % of Agg Value
Implied Perpetual Gro'Nlh:"
Implied 2007 EBITDA Multiple-
Notes
S5,407
$1,357
($208)
S1,149
($344) 29,9%
$208
($276)
(S39) $698
8.0"
$2,177
7,512
$10,181
(5,085)
2,200
$7,295
$30.10
(33%j
74%
(04%)
"',
S5,195 $5,153 $5,246 (08%) 18%
$1,278 $1,245 $1,311 246% 242% 250%
($221) ($236) ($236)
Sl,057 $1,008 $1,074
($358) ($334) ($373) 33,8% 33,1% 34,7%
$221 $236 $236
($425) ($221) ($446)
(S56) (S20) (S27) $440 $670 $484
7.00% 8.5". ,."
$2177 $2,177
7981 8,451
$10,649 $11,118
',5085) (5,085)
2,200 2,200
$7764 $8,233
",.ro $33.96
2);1% ,,.
'" 7&'10
(00%) 03%
" ", " ",
$5,278 $5,345 06% 13%
$1,336 $1,362 253% 25.5%
($240) ($240)
$1,095 $1,122
($379) ($381) 34.5% 33.9%
$240 $240
($226) ($224)
(S28) ($28) $703 $729
8.00";1, ,", ".
$2121 $2,121
7120 7,565
$9,733 810,177
(5085) (5,085,'
2,200 2,200
$5847 $7,291
$28.25 $W.OS
(9.3%! 134%)
'" 74%
04% 0.8%
, ", "~
1 Unconsolidated assets include Food Network (SBOOMM) and CareerBUIlde, ($650MM) Comca" SportsNetl$150MMI Cubs ($450MM) and other interactive ~»~,~(SI50ivi;,;!
Based on 242 4MM FDSO Based on Tower share price ofS31.13 as of March 213, 2007
4 Excludes value ofunoon.olidated inve"'menls
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
$5,370 05%
$1,358 25.3%
($181)
$1,177
($356) 30.2%
$181
($224)
($28) $749
", $2,121
8,010
$10,i121
(5,085)
2,200
$7,736
$'3:1;91
''''' '" 12%
e "
27
MS 64900
Project Tower
Key assumptions
4.75 year DCF
3/31107 valuation date
Mid-year discounting
Cash tax rate of -33-35%
Treais ::;iock-based compensation as cash
Cubs separately valued
Unconsolidated assets include Food Network ($800MM) and CareerBuilder ($650MM), Comeasl SportsNet ($150MM), Cubs ($450MM) and other interactive assets ($150M M)
Morgan Stanley
DCF Analysis: Research Case
sumhHtl)' Of KeyFlhM:elaFS for DCFAnatySIS:
Revenue Growth (%)
EBITDA Margm (%)
D&A
Operating Income
Less Tax Tax Rate (%)
Add Back' D&A
Less' Capex & Investments
Change In Working Capital
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Source Wall Street researoh
Research Gase t-$!.'IM; ~Jl<;ept:p"rsh:ilT!>"IlJDI<I"sl
DiSccil..i1tRate 2Q12 ElIitMultipie
Presenl Value of
Cash flow - Years 1 - 5
Terminal Value
Aggregate Value
leSS: Net UeOt
Add: Unconsolldaled InvestmMts'-'
EqUity Value
Value p~r Share'''!
Pr",,,hlm/(Disoo,mllio ow-renl (~I (:
Terminal Value as % of Agg Value
Implied Perpetual Gro',Ah';
Implied 2007 EBITDA Multiple'"
Notes
S5,407
$1,357
($208)
S1,149
($344) 29,9%
$208
($196)
S70 $887
a.ox
$2,321
7476 $10,304
(),u~~)
2.200 $7,419
$30.61
111%/
73%
(1.1%) 8.3)(
S5,302 $5,147 (29%)
$1,299 $1,239 245% 241%
($232) ($224)
Sl,067 $1,01e,
($361) ($336) 33,8% 33,1%
$232 $224
($203) ($192)
(S56) (S20)
$679 $692
7.00~
8.5x
$2,321
7,943
810,770
1~,Utl»)
2,200
$7,665
$:325-3 ". ,,%
0'07%1
",
$5,227 $5,293 $5,364 16% 13% 13%
$1,273 $1,301 $1,333 243% 246% 24.9%
($228) ($230) ($233)
$1,04e. $1,071 $1,100
($363) ($370) ($373) 34,7% 34.6% 33.9%
$228 $230 $233
($364) ($178) ($174)
(S27) ($28) ($28)
$519 $725 $757
8.1J0";l, 9.0x , .... a<,
82,321 $2,260 82,260
8410 7,086 7529 811,237 $9,654 $10,296
(),Utl:>l 1~,UtIO) (),U~~I
2,200 2,200 2,200
86,351 $6,969 87,411
$34.45- $28.75- $30.57
tol%. f7.fi%; (1B%/
>0% n% n% (0.3%) (03%) ,,%
9.1x ", 8.3)(
1 Unconsolidated assets include Food Network (SBOOMM) and CareerBUIlder ($650MM) Cornca" SportsNetl$150MMI Cubs ($450MM) and other interactive ~»~,~(SI50ivi;';.'
Based on 242 4MM FDSO Based on Tower share price ofS31.t3 as ofM"rch 213, 2007
4 Excludes value of uno en. elida ted inve"'menls
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
$5,434 13%
$1,358 25.0%
($236)
$1,122
($339) 30.2%
$236
($173)
($28)
$818
9.0x
$2,260
7,972
$10,736
(~,OOO)
2,200
$7,653
$324U
'" 74%
06% 8.7)(
28
MS 64901
Project Tower
Key assumptions
4.75 year DCF
3/31107 valuation date
Mid-year discounting
Cash tax rate of -33-35%
Treais ::;iock-based compensation as cash
Cubs separately valued
Unconsolidated assets include Food Network ($800MM) and CareerBuilder ($650MM), Comeasl SportsNet ($150MM), Cubs ($450MM) and other interactive assets ($150M M)
Morgan Stanley
DCF Analysis: Downside Case A
sumhHtl)' Of KeyFlhM:elaFS for DCFAnatySIS:
Revenue Growth (%)
EBITDA Margm (%)
D&A
Operating Income
Less Tax Tax Rate (%)
Add Back' D&A
Less' Capex & Investments
Change In Working Capital
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Source Wall street research
Man agem ehtDoWti side:Case: A t-$!.'IM; ~Jl<;ept:p"rsh:ilT!>"IlJDI<I"sl
DiSccil..i1tRate 2Q12 ElIitMultipie
Presenl Value of
Cash flow - Years 1 - 5
Terminal Value
Aggregate Value
leSS: Net UeOt
Add: Unconsolldaled InvestmMts'-'
EqUity Value
Value p~r Share'''!
Pr",,,hlm/(Disoo,mllio ow-renl (~I (:
Terminal Value as % of Agg Value
Implied Perpetual Gro',Ah';
Implied 2007 EBITDA Multiple'"
Notes
S5,407
$1,357
($208)
S1,149
($344) 29,9%
$208
($276)
(S39) $698
a.ox
$1,761
5323
$7,550
(),u~~)
2,200
$4,664
$19.24
1382%1
71%
(0.6%)
6.3)(
S5,195 $5,107 $5,047 (17%) (12%)
$1,278 $1,197 $1,150 246% 234% 228%
($221) ($223) ($216)
Sl,057 $97e, $934
($358) ($322) ($324) 33,8% 33,1% 34,7%
$221 $223 $216
($425) ($221) ($376)
(S56) (S20) (S27) $440 $634 $422
7.00~
8.5x 9.0x
$1,761 81,761
5,656 "" $7,662 86,213
1~,lJtI») (),Utl:>l
2,200 2,200
$4,996 85,326
"',., $21.111
1338%) 12Q 4%/
n% n% 0'02%'1 0>%
", O~
$4,957 $4,905 (18%) (10%)
$1,106 $1,061 223% 21.6%
($214) ($209)
$392 $352
($308) ($289) 34.6% 33.9%
$214 $209
($176) ($174)
(S28) ($28)
.'" $569
8.1J0";l, , .... a<,
$1,717 81,717
5,046 5361
$7,226 87,542
1~,lJtI») (),U~~I
2,200 2,200
$4,343 84,657
$17.91 $19.21
1425%; 1383%/
'~h '" O~h ,'" 0', 6.3)(
1 Unconsolidated assets include Food Network (8BOOMM) and CareerBUIlder ($650MM) Corncast SportsNetl$150MMI Cubs ($450MM) and other interactive ~»~,~(SI50ivi;';.' Based on 242 4MM FDSO Based on Tower share price ofS31.13 as of March 213, 2007
4 Excludes v.lue ofunoon.olidated inve"'menls
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
$4,845 (12%)
$997 20.6%
($163)
S334
($252) 30.2%
$163
($174)
($28)
.'"
9.0x
$1,717
5,677
$7,857
(~,OO»)
2,200
$4,972
OW" (341%;
n% 10%
6.6)(
29
MS 64902
Project Tower
Key assumptions
4.75 year DCF
3/31107 valuation date
Mid-year discounting
Cash tax rate of -33-35%
Treais ::;iock-based compensation as cash
Cubs separately valued
Unconsolidated assets include Food Network ($800MM) and CareerBuilder ($650MM), Comeasl SportsNet ($150MM), Cubs ($450MM) and other interactive assets ($150M M)
Morgan Stanley
DCF Analysis: Downside Case B
Summary of Key :Finarn::ials for DCF:Analys[s
Revenue Growth (%)
EBITDA Margm (%)
D&A
opcmt:ng inccmc
Less: Tax Tax Rate (%)
Add Back OM
Less: Capex & Investments
Cha nge in Working Ca pita I
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Source Wall street research
Man agem ehtDoWti side:Case: B t-$!.'IM; ~Jl<;ept:p"rsh:ilT!>"IlJDI<I"sl
DiScciLi1tRate 2Q12 ElIitMultipie
Presenl Value of
Cash flow - Years 1 - 5
Terminal Value
Aggregate Value
LeSS: Net UeOt
Add: Unconsolldaled Investm€!nts'-'
EqUity Value
Value p~r Share'''!
Pr",,,hlm/(Disoo,mllio owrenl (~I (:
Terminal Value as % of Agg Value
Implied Perpetual Gro',Ah';
Implied 2007 EBITDA Multiple'"
Notes
$5,323
$1,357
(S221)
$1,136
(S340) 299%
S221
(S108)
($39)
$870
a.ox
$1.602
4550
$6.608 ().u~~)
2.200
$3.722
$15.36
1507%1
69%
10.7%) 5.7)(
$5,195 35066 S4950 (2_5%) (23%)
$1,278 $1,164 $1,087 246% 230% 220%
(S221) ($221) ($212)
$1,057 $943 $875
(S358) ($312) ($304) 338% 331% 347%
S221 $221 $212
(S247) ($211) ($356)
($56) ($20) ($27)
$617 $621 $400
7.00~
S.5x 9.0x
$1,602 81.602
4,834 5118
$6,891 57.175
1~,lJtI») ().Utl:>l
2,200 2.200
$4,006 54.289
$:16;5-3 $17.70
1469%) 1432%/
,,% ,,%
m2%1 0;%
;" 6~
$4,843 $4,739 (22%) (21%)
$1,014 '946 209% 20_0%
($209) ($202)
$805 $744
($278) ($252) 34_6% 33_9%
$209 $202
($156) ($154)
($28) (S28)
$552 $511
8.1J0";l, S .... a<,
$1,56.2 81.562
4,313 4582
$6,331 56.599
1~,lJtI») ().U~~I
2,200 2.200
$3,445 53.714
$14.21 $15.32
15-4-3%; (5Q8%/
68% 00%
O~h 00%
", 5_7)(
1 Unconsolldaled assets include Food Nelwork (SBOOMM) and CareerBUIlder ($650MM) Corncast SportsNell$150MMI Cubs ($450MM) and other inleractlve ~»~,~(SI50ivi;,;!
Based on 242 4MM FDSO Based on Tower share price ofS31_13 as of March 213, 2007
4 Excludes v.lue ofunoon.olidated inve"'menls
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY
$4,638 (21%)
'864 18_6%
($157)
$707
($214) 30_2%
$157
($154)
(S28)
$468
9.0x
$1,562
4,852
$6,008 (~,OO»)
2,200
$3,983
$"16;43
1472%;
71%
10% 5_9)(
JO
MS 64903
Project Tower
DCI" Assumptlens - Broker Consensus w~c ,G,
MS 96% 1.6%
Cltlgroup 100% NA
Lehman 9.5% 2.8%
Deutsche 8.1% 2.5%
BMO 91% 2.5%
Average g.~% 2.~%
Median 9.5% 2.5%
Morgan Stanley
Discount Rate Perspectives
WACC Ca]culation
Component
Risk-Free Rate (1)
Equity Market Risk Premium
Tower Equity Beta
Assumed D I (D+E)
Cost of Equity
Pre-tax Cost of Debt
Assumed Tax Rate
TowerWACC
Note 1 Per Bloomberg 2 B .... d on I.st lws"s months .v.r.ge bsm
Input
4.6%
4.0%
0.73
40.6%
7.5%
6.8%
39.5%
Commentary:
• 10-Year U.S. Treasury yield as of March 28, 2007
• Consistent with historical data, academic surveys and forwardlooking market data
• Tower predicted equity beta per Barra
• Projected D I (D+E) as of 2006 year end
• Calculated using CAPM
• Weighted average cost of debt for 2007 (based on management projections)
• Tower marginal tax rate
• Estimated Weighted Average Cost of Capital
31
MORGAN STANLEY - HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL-ATTORNEYS' EYES ONLY MS 64904