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NSR
At last few years, we are faced with global warming. Global
warming and climate change areterms for the observed century-scale
rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate
system and its related effects. Global warming is bed for our
environment in so many ways,
but there is one good thing. The mean air temperature in the
Arctic has increased by around
twice the rate of the rest of the world, and it enabled melting
glaciers. Melting glaciers have
opened up a new route for commercial shipping, The orthern !ea
"oute # !"$.
The main tas% for my partner and me was to e&plore why is
this route important and useful,
who can use it, and how will this route improve commercial
shipping. Also we learned a lot,
because our %nowledge about this sub ect was poor. (t was
intresting doing this sub ect
because it was new, un%nown and helpful for our profession.
Also, it was hard to read artic%le
about this sub ect, because there are words and terms that are
un%nown to us, and we have to
struggle with that. )ut, the advantage is that we wor%ed
together, so we helped each other.
The orthern !ea "oute lies within the polar circle and
e&tends along the northern shores of
"ussia. (t is good because it shorts ship distances between
Europe and Asia. The opening this
route also enable hydrocarbon e&ploration. *aterway through
the Arctic and in the future
would be seasonal, limited to parts of the year when the ice has
thinned. )ut, sailing this route
has many problems. +n of them is the possibility of delay ris%.
(n this paper the delay ris%
will be assessed with a fu y bow-tie-based analysis. A bow-tie
analysis is way of performing
ris% analysis and is very helpful to describe the different
ris%s, barriers and conse uences
related to an unwanted event. )ut that is not ehough, so we must
use fu y set theory. This
theory canaddress uncertainty related to e&pert %nowledge.
ombining these two analy es, the
author proposes method to do a semi uantitative bow-tie analysis
to assess the ris% of delay
for ships sailing the !". (t presents a basic concept for an
e&emplary routeing for a summer
transit. The method used could be a tool for policy ma%ers,
insurance companies and
operators to evaluate the use of !" by giving a clearer picture
of the ris% of being delayed.
As we can see, this sub ect opens a loto of other sub ects, such
as bow-tie analysis, fu y set
theory, commercial shipping etc. "eading this article we learn
something about that, but there
is always place for more research and %nowledge for us to do and
learn. Also reading this
article, caused debate between my partner and me. *e debate if
one of us will go to sail thisroute. *e both agreed that we would
not, because there is too much ris%s and the route is still
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climatehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climatehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climatehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climatehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate
8/16/2019 Project NSR
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not well researched. +n the other hand, we agreed that we will
follow the news and researchs
about route. The other sub ect that caught our attention is
global warming. *e agreed that tis
sub ect is very important to everyone. (t is important for the
public to learn and become aware
that this problem becoming more and more dangerous for our
environment and the world we
%now. !ure, we agreed that it is good for the orth !ea "oute,
but there are so many other
things that are very bad, such as droughts, floods, climate
changes etc. To conclude, for my
partner and me this pro ect was hard and challenging, but also
we learnd a lot about this
sub ect, we learnd new words and terms, we practiced our
english, team, presentation s%ills.
*e have learned to respect the opinions of others and debate
about problems.
My partner and me chosed this topic because it is intresting and
very helpful. (t is intresting
because we did not %now much about it, and it is helpful for our
future ob and %nowledge.
Also, we learnd that there is opportunities to e&plore. (
e&pect that we/ll find lot of useful
informations. 0or e&emple, we can e&plore how !" will
affect on world trade and economy,
on environment and relations between countries where route
passes. +n the other side, we
thin% that people are not familiar with this topic and
opportunities that route gives, so it is
important to inform the public. *e all thin% that in 12st
century we do not have more to
e&plore but the world we live is changing. !ometimes these
changes are good for us and
sometimes are bad. 0or e&le, it should not be ignored
hydrocarbon e&ploration. This
natural source can be beneficial to world trade and
e&ports.
( e&pected from my partner that he would cooperate and that
we had a good relationship. (
hope we made succesful student pro ect. And ( hope that in the
future we will wor% together
and that we wil be the best. (n the end of this essay. ( would
li%e to say that ( am satisfied how
we done this. ( thin% taht we done good ob, considering our
language s%ills. (t was hard and
painful, but we did it.
