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Project NEON Delivery Method August 18, 2014 Transportation Board 1

Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

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Page 1: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Project NEON

Delivery Method

August 18, 2014

Transportation Board

1

Page 2: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Project Benefits

• Safety & Congestion – 1,000 crashes per year!

• Connectivity /Mobility for City Redevelopment Efforts

• Congestion: Improves Freight Mobility & Economy

• Creates 5,000 Jobs in Hard-hit Employment Sector

• Southern NV needs 21st century transportation system

• Benefit / Cost Ratio = 5.8 (exponential improvement!)

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Page 3: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Statewide Comparison

• Insert Project Map

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Page 4: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Downtown Redevelopment

4

US 95

I-15

Charleston Blvd.

Page 5: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Major Construction Elements

HOV Connector

Page 6: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Major Construction Elements Local Connectivity

Page 7: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

NEON at a Glance

Page 8: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Can We Afford NEON?

• Maintain a minimum of $90M in Highway Fund

– Helps bridge potential gaps in federal funding

• Do not exceed Historical Annual Debt Service Payments

– $100 Million per year maximum

– Under $89 Million per year maintains AAA rating with S&P

• Maintain the same Statewide Capital Program

– No decrease in funding for other statewide projects

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Page 9: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

What’s Changed?

• Reanalyzed delivery method due to federal funding uncertainty caused by federal highway bill debate

• Continuous monitoring of interest rates and market variability/quantitative easing

• Bonding payments eligible for up to 95% federal reimbursement vs. 64.9% with P3

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Page 10: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Due Diligence

• Sale of $100M ROW Bonds

– High demand for bonds

– AAA Rating + 16 bidders = lower interest rate for state

• Working with Treasurer’s Office

– Sale conducted by Public Financial Management, Inc. (PFM)

– PFM Provided Independent third party analysis of future bond sales

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Page 11: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Why Bond instead of P3?

1. Market demand for bonds and competitive pricing makes bonding even more affordable than originally projected

2. Right-of-way acquisitions may affect schedule

3. P3 teams concerned about appropriation risk and are now requesting progress payment(s)

4. Project can be completed within similar timeframe by bonding as with P3 resulting in no realized efficiency savings

5. NDOT maintains control of future O&M program and funding

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Page 12: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Recommend Bonding

• NDOT has good experience with DB method • Ability to structure bond sales more closely around

ROW acquisition schedule • NEON paid off by 2039 providing an average annual

capacity of $47M (after paying O&M and lifecycle costs) for new projects starting in 2040

• Continue to realize savings of $250M from doing 4 phases together

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Page 13: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

Mill

ions

$500M Baseline $540M Conservative 3X MADS (AAA)

Both bond scenarios under 3X MADS to maintain AAA rating. Assumes no increase in ROW costs

Construction Bond Debt

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Page 14: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Affordability Concerns Concern: Can NDOT afford NEON if project costs are substantially

greater than projected?

Answer: Yes! Even with a worst case scenario, NDOT can still afford NEON and can still fund needed projects through out Clark County and other parts of the State.

Mitigation: NDOT has engaged risk analysis and bonding experts to analyze risks: Bonding provides greatest flexibility against unknown outcomes

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Page 15: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

$110

Mill

ions

50% Increase 70% Increase 3X MADS $100M Affordability Target

Bond debt profile in the event there are unanticipated increases in costs

Bond Debt Service

Page 16: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

16

Delivery Timelines Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2014 2015 2016 2020

Design and Construction RFP Response and Evaluation

RFQ Response and Evaluation and RFP Development

Issue RFQ

Issue RFP

Preferred Proposer Selected

Contract Execution

RFQ Dev.

Design Build Delivery

Page 17: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Request Approval to Bond

• NEON is largest project in Nevada history • Bonding more affordable than projected • Top benefits for P3 Procurement have eroded • Bonding provides greatest flexibility to control

– Right-of-way acquisition schedule – Timing bond sales and managing payments – O&M and lifecycle schedule

• Request Board approval for DB procurement

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Page 18: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

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Page 19: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

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Delivery Timelines

Design and Construction

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Financial Close

Issue RFP

Technical Proposals Due

Preferred Proposer Selected

Financial Proposals Due

Neg. RFP Response and Evaluation

2014 2015 2016 2020

Design and Construction RFP Response and Evaluation

RFQ Response and Evaluation and RFP Development

P3 Delivery Schedule

DB Delivery Schedule Issue RFQ

Issue RFP

Preferred Proposer Selected

Contract Execution

RFQ Dev.

Delivery Timelines

Page 20: Project NEON Delivery Method - Nevada

Construction Costs

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100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Construction Design Administration Contingency

Increase was due to including more phases

Estimated construction costs have fluctuated little