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PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND
Malcolm MacourtCCSR 3rd April 2007
PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND
COUNTING THE PEOPLE OF GOD?
A question in the Census since 1861 Exploring the meanings of ‘religious
profession’ used by respondents to the Census over 150 years
Using census sources, a study of the causes of change in the Church of Ireland population since 1861
PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND
Reviewing the development of the Censuses, North and South
670,000 in 1861 – now 360,000 Increasing % in the North until
1951, then decline getting faster Steady % in the South until 1911,
then fast decline, then increase
CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND
MEASURING NEW SOCIAL PHENOMENA IN THE CENSUS:
The ‘New Irish’ and religion – a case study
[only the Republic of Ireland]
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDpopulation history since 1926
Slow decline until the 1960s 2.8m Stop-start increase until mid 1990s The ‘Celtic Tiger’ economy 1996-2002: inward migration
250,000 [apparent slow-down since 2004]
4.3m
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’
Who are the ‘New Irish’? religion? nationality? country of birth? immediate past residence? ?? Ethnicity ??
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’: Religion
What is your religion? 1. Roman Catholic 2. Church of Ireland 3. Presbyterian 4. Methodist 5. Islam 6. Other, write in your RELIGION
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’: Place of Birth
What is your place of birth? Give the place where your
mother lived at the time of your birth
…… If elsewhere ABROAD, write in
the COUNTRY.
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’: When? Have you lived outside the Republic
of Ireland for a continuous period of one year or more?
If YES: Write in the YEAR of last taking up
residence in the Republic of Ireland AND the country of last previous
residence
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’: Nationality
What is your Nationality? If you have more than one
nationality, please declare all of them
1. Irish 2. Other NATIONALITY, write in … 3. No nationality
CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND2002 CENSUS Population: de jure and de facto Those temporarily in the state – e.g.
tourists and business people – 58,708 in 2002
13 themed volumes: Volume 4: Usual Residence,
Migration, Birthplaces and Nationalities
Volume 12: Religion
CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND The ‘New Irish’ 1 table religion (10 categories) by
nationality (9 categories) 1 table nationality (17) by birth country
(12) 1 table birth country (8) by religion (10) usual residence one year previously
outside the State: 1 table born in Republic or elsewhere by former
country of usual residence (25 categories) 1 table Irish nationality or other nationality by
former country of usual residence (25 categories)
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’ : SAR
2002 5% SAR 29 variables [also 2002 15% Place of Work SAR] Geography: county AND urban/rural Religion:
Roman Catholic (88½%), Church of Ireland (3%), Other Stated Religions (3%), None (3½%), Not Stated (2%)
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’ : SAR
Birthplace and previous residence: NI, GB, EU-13, USA, others
Nationality: Irish/not Irish Year of (last) moving to
Republic: <51, 51-60, 61-70, 71-80, 81-90, 91-95, 96-02
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’ : ‘SAPS’ Small Area Population Statistics 1161 items on each Electoral Division 3400 Electoral Divisions [pop 3.9m ‘02] Wildly different sizes: most 300–1000 in
rural areas; 3,000-10,000 urban areas Nothing at all on ‘When?’ Limited range of responses included
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’ : ‘SAPS’ Religion: Roman Catholic (88½
%); All other stated religions (6%); None (3½%); not stated (2%)
Nationality: Irish (including dual nationality); British; Other
Birth country: Republic; UK; elsewhere
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDresults in published volumes
R C C of I Pres Meth
Orth ‘Ch’ Islam OSR None NS
Irish 3314899
83488 12840
4698 1166 13802 5123 18392 88293 42274
Non-Irish 224261 24891 5606 4039 7830 6389 12592 17597 39069 8910
British 52588 19927
3396 1841
104 1488 473 3950 17304 2405
EU-13 14396 1615 314 88 263 375 240 2739 8238 1692
E European
7258 367 161 61 6797 698 1598 1784 2908 1473
African 5031 1336 955 1554
103 2752 4310 3114 717 1109
Asian 4363 229 94 161 298 356 5472 4170 5611 1025
American 9934 572 313 190 48 464 96 1189 1837 740
Other 3768 845 373 144 217 256 403 651 2454 466
Not Stated
23456 776 122 61 159 157 264 262 685 23317
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDresults from published volumes 54% of Muslims had African or Asian
nationalities 20% of Methodists and 15% of
‘Christians’ had African nationalities 75% of (eastern) Orthodox (Christians)
had eastern European nationalities 25% of those with African nationalities
were Roman Catholic 25% of those with Asian nationalities
declared that they had no religion
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDresults from published volumes
20,977 born in the USA – but 11,135 with United States (only) nationality
Born in Nigeria 8,893; in China (inc HK) 7,163; South Africa 6,137; Australia 5,947; Romania 5,765; Philippines 3,927; Pakistan 3,322; India 3,311
[2006: Poland 63,100, Lithuania 24,800]
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDresults from published volumes
UK nationals constituted: a little over half of those Roman
Catholics who were not Irish 80% of those reported as Church of
Ireland who were not Irish Half of all UK nationals were Roman
Catholics; 20% were reported as Church of Ireland; 15% had no religion
CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND5% SAR: Migrated from USA and RC
5%SAR Birth place Nati onal ityYear migrated
Republic USA UK Other Total Irish Non-Irish
NS
<1991 776 199 40 9 1024 943 77 4
91-02 968 318 94 25 1405 1183 223 9
Not Stated
45 20 3 0 68 55 13 0
Total 1789 537 137 34 2497 2181 303 13
CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND5% SAR: Migrated from GB and CofI
5% SAR Birth place Natio nality
Year migrated
Republic UK Other Total Irish Non-Irish
<1991 119 222 18 359 158 201
91-02 89 514 35 638 105 533
NotStated
5 26 1 32 6 26
Total 213 762 55 1030 269 760
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDSAPS: 3 small towns in the west
TOWN Resident population
Born outside
Isles
Other stated religions
Religion Not stated
Ballyhaunis 2122 273 225 27
Gort 1762 149 12 156
Roscommon 5253 368 154 33
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDSAPS: dormitory suburb LUCAN
Ward of LUCAN
Resident population
Born outside
Isles
Other stated religions
No religion
Lucan-Esker 20557 2096 1850 1124
Lucan-
St. Helens
7045 338 308 338
Lucan Heights 5719 239 262 239
Lucan North 338 17 21 17
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’
Dramatic reduction in ‘asylum seekers’:
Principle of ‘safe country of origin’ incorporated into the State’s immigration laws in 2003
Automatic citizenship for those born in Ireland stopped by referendum decision in 2004
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’
What would provide a coherent description of the ‘New Irish’ from a coherent Census?
Could additional questions be used to identify relevant information?
CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND
Can new information be provided in a form which does NOT:
threaten the integrity of the Census
endanger the response rate endanger the lives and
livelihoods of immigrants
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’
New question in the CENSUS held in APRIL 2006
What is your ethnic or cultural background?
Choose one section from A to D, then tick the appropriate box
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDEthnic or cultural background A: White 1. Irish 2. Irish Traveller
3. Any other White background B: Black or Black Irish 4. African
5. Any other Black background C: Asian or Asian Irish 6. Chinese
7. Any other Asian background D: Other, including mixed
background 8. Other, write in description…
CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDpublished 29th March 2007
White: Irish 3,645.2 87.4%
White: Irish Traveller 22.4 0.5%
Any other White background 289.0 6.9%
Black or Black Irish: African 40.5 1.0%
Any other Black background 3.8 0.1%
Asian or Asian Irish: Chinese 16.5 0.4%
Any other Asian background 35.8 0.9%
Other including mixed background 46.4 1.1%
Not Stated 72.3 1.7%
Total 4,172.0 100.0%
PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND
To what extent should a conventional Census of Population provide detailed evidence on a new social phenomenon?
PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND
Should questions in a national census be devised to address proximal social questions? OR
Should a census be a bench-marking tool, asking long-tested questions?
PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND In publishing Census data where
should the balance be struck between: Individual and family privacy
AND Society’s need to have reliable
evidence through which social needs may be addressed