7
3 The abbreviations used are: PNET, primitive neuroectodermal tumor; Mb, medulloblastoma; FISH, fluorescence in situ hybridization; RFS, recurrence-free survival. Vol. 3, 473-478, March 1997 Clinical Cancer Research 473 Prognostic Significance of Chromosome l7p Deletions in Childhood Primitive Neuroectodermal Tumors (Medulloblastomas) of the Central Nervous System’ Jaclyn A. Biegel,2 Anna J. Janss, Corey Raffel, Leslie Sutton, Lucy B. Rorke, James M. Harper, and Peter C. Phillips Divisions of Human Genetics and Molecular Biology [J. A. B.], Neurology [A. J. J., P. C. P.], Neurosurgery [L. S.], and Oncology [P. C. P.] and Department of Pathology (L. B. Ri, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104; Division of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota 55905 [C. R.]; and COVANCE, Radnor, Pennsylvania 19087 [J. M. H.] ABSTRACT Deletions in the short arm of chromosome 17 (Yip) are the most common genetic abnormality in primitive neuro- ectodermal tumors of the posterior fossa/medulloblastoma (PNETIMb). The biological consequences of these deletions are not known for children with PNETIMb; however, the presence of a tumor suppressor gene located in l’lp, distinct from p53, has been implicated in tumorigenesis. Two recent studies suggest that l’7p deletions in PNETIMb are associ- ated with a poor prognosis. To address this question, we identified deletions of chromosome lip by cytogenetic and/or molecular biology methods in tumor biopsy samples from 56 patients with PNETIMb. Associations between din- ical characteristics or survival outcomes and Yip status were examined by multivariate analysis. Forty-one percent of PNETIMb cases had a deletion of l’7p. No significant asso- ciation was found between lip deletion and shorter survival duration or higher metastatic stage. Multivariate analysis did not find independent prognostic significance for l7p deletions after accounting for the effects of significant din- ical variables. A larger study of the prognostic value of l7p deletion should be considered; however, clinical use of this Received 9/17/96; revised 12/5/96; accepted 12/18/96. The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact. I Supported by Grants CA-46274 (to J. A. B.) and CA-36245 (to A. J. J.) from the National Cancer Institute, Grant NS-3l 102 (to P. C. P.) from the National Institute of Neurological Diseases and Stroke, Grant HD-26979 (to L. B. R.) from the National Institute of Childhood Health and Development, a grant from Ronald MacDonald Children’s Charities (to J. A. B. and P. C. P.), and a grant from the American Brain Tumor Association/Jordan Bassett Fellowship (to A.J.J.). 2 To whom requests for reprints should be addressed, at Division of Human Genetics and Molecular Biology, Room 1002, Abramson Re- search Center, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, 34th and Civic Center Boulevard, Philadelphia, PA 19104. Phone: (215) 590-3856; Fax: (215) 590-3764. factor to distinguish high-risk from standard-risk PNETIMb populations is not warranted at this time. INTRODUCTION Clinical prognostic factors play a major role in therapeutic decisions for children with PNET3IMb. Single-institution and collaborative group studies have identified clinical factors such as metastatic stage, patient age, and extent of tumor resection as characteristics that have independent prognostic significance for PNETIMb survival outcomes (1-4). These factors are currently used to distinguish children with a high risk of PNETIMb recurrence (e.g., age < 4 years, large postoperative residual tumor, or leptomeningeal metastasis) from those with a standard risk. Based on this classification, patients with high-risk PNETIMb receive more intensive treatment than those with standard-risk disease. Because the quality of life for long-term survivors of PNETIMb is often severely impaired by cognitive deficits and other late effects of treatment, recent therapeutic trials designed to reduce late treatment effects rely on clinical prognostic factors for appropriate patient selection (5). In contrast to clinical prognostic factors, most efforts to identify biological prognostic factors for PNETIMb have been inconclusive. In other childhood malignancies, tumor biology characteristics add to the prognostic power of established din- ical factors, identify clinically relevant subsets of high-, inter- mediate-, or low-risk patients, or may provide insight into patterns of treatment response, resistance, or metastatic poten- tial. Neuroblastorna biological factors such as N-myc amplifica- tion or deletion of chromosome lp have independent prognostic significance that equals or exceeds any of the clinical prognostic factors for this tumor (6, 7). For PNETIMb, various tumor characteristics have been evaluated for potential clinical signif- icance including ploidy, mitotic index, differentiation lineage, and Trk expression (8-15). The conclusions from many of these studies are either contradictory or based on an insufficiently large sample size to establish the independent prognostic sig- nificance of the candidate biological factor when the effects of other known prognostic variables are controlled. Several recent studies report that deletions of chromosome I 7p, which are found in up to 50% of all cases of PNETIMb, predict a poor survival outcome (16-19). However, conclusions from these studies are based on unspecified tumor sample selection criteria, and potentially relevant clinical characteristics of the patient populations were not described. At present, no published study Research. on February 1, 2020. © 1997 American Association for Cancer clincancerres.aacrjournals.org Downloaded from

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Page 1: Prognostic Significance of Chromosome l7p Deletions in ...clincancerres.aacrjournals.org/content/clincanres/3/3/473.full.pdftion or deletion of chromosome lp have independent prognostic

3 The abbreviations used are: PNET, primitive neuroectodermal tumor;Mb, medulloblastoma; FISH, fluorescence in situ hybridization; RFS,recurrence-free survival.

Vol. 3, 473-478, March 1997 Clinical Cancer Research 473

Prognostic Significance of Chromosome l7p Deletions in Childhood

Primitive Neuroectodermal Tumors (Medulloblastomas) of the

Central Nervous System’

Jaclyn A. Biegel,2 Anna J. Janss, Corey Raffel,

Leslie Sutton, Lucy B. Rorke, James M. Harper,

and Peter C. Phillips

Divisions of Human Genetics and Molecular Biology [J. A. B.],

Neurology [A. J. J., P. C. P.], Neurosurgery [L. S.], and Oncology[P. C. P.] and Department of Pathology (L. B. Ri, Children’s Hospitalof Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104; Division of

Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota 55905 [C. R.]; andCOVANCE, Radnor, Pennsylvania 19087 [J. M. H.]

ABSTRACT

Deletions in the short arm of chromosome 17 (Yip) arethe most common genetic abnormality in primitive neuro-ectodermal tumors of the posterior fossa/medulloblastoma(PNETIMb). The biological consequences of these deletions

are not known for children with PNETIMb; however, thepresence of a tumor suppressor gene located in l’lp, distinct

from p53, has been implicated in tumorigenesis. Two recentstudies suggest that l’7p deletions in PNETIMb are associ-

ated with a poor prognosis. To address this question, we

identified deletions of chromosome lip by cytogenetic

and/or molecular biology methods in tumor biopsy samples

from 56 patients with PNETIMb. Associations between din-ical characteristics or survival outcomes and Yip status wereexamined by multivariate analysis. Forty-one percent of

PNETIMb cases had a deletion of l’7p. No significant asso-

ciation was found between lip deletion and shorter survival

duration or higher metastatic stage. Multivariate analysisdid not find independent prognostic significance for l7pdeletions after accounting for the effects of significant din-ical variables. A larger study of the prognostic value of l7pdeletion should be considered; however, clinical use of this

Received 9/17/96; revised 12/5/96; accepted 12/18/96.The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by thepayment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby markedadvertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely toindicate this fact.

I Supported by Grants CA-46274 (to J. A. B.) and CA-36245 (toA. J. J.) from the National Cancer Institute, Grant NS-3l 102 (toP. C. P.) from the National Institute of Neurological Diseases andStroke, Grant HD-26979 (to L. B. R.) from the National Institute of

Childhood Health and Development, a grant from Ronald MacDonald

Children’s Charities (to J. A. B. and P. C. P.), and a grant from theAmerican Brain Tumor Association/Jordan Bassett Fellowship (to

A.J.J.).2 To whom requests for reprints should be addressed, at Division of

Human Genetics and Molecular Biology, Room 1002, Abramson Re-search Center, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, 34th and Civic

Center Boulevard, Philadelphia, PA 19104. Phone: (215) 590-3856;Fax: (215) 590-3764.

factor to distinguish high-risk from standard-risk PNETIMbpopulations is not warranted at this time.

INTRODUCTION

Clinical prognostic factors play a major role in therapeutic

decisions for children with PNET3IMb. Single-institution and

collaborative group studies have identified clinical factors such

as metastatic stage, patient age, and extent of tumor resection as

characteristics that have independent prognostic significance for

PNETIMb survival outcomes (1-4). These factors are currently

used to distinguish children with a high risk of PNETIMb

recurrence (e.g., age < 4 years, large postoperative residual

tumor, or leptomeningeal metastasis) from those with a standard

risk. Based on this classification, patients with high-risk

PNETIMb receive more intensive treatment than those with

standard-risk disease. Because the quality of life for long-term

survivors of PNETIMb is often severely impaired by cognitive

deficits and other late effects of treatment, recent therapeutic

trials designed to reduce late treatment effects rely on clinical

prognostic factors for appropriate patient selection (5).

In contrast to clinical prognostic factors, most efforts to

identify biological prognostic factors for PNETIMb have been

inconclusive. In other childhood malignancies, tumor biology

characteristics add to the prognostic power of established din-

ical factors, identify clinically relevant subsets of high-, inter-

mediate-, or low-risk patients, or may provide insight into

patterns of treatment response, resistance, or metastatic poten-

tial. Neuroblastorna biological factors such as N-myc amplifica-

tion or deletion of chromosome lp have independent prognostic

significance that equals or exceeds any of the clinical prognostic

factors for this tumor (6, 7). For PNETIMb, various tumor

characteristics have been evaluated for potential clinical signif-

icance including ploidy, mitotic index, differentiation lineage,

and Trk expression (8-15). The conclusions from many of these

studies are either contradictory or based on an insufficiently

large sample size to establish the independent prognostic sig-

nificance of the candidate biological factor when the effects of

other known prognostic variables are controlled. Several recent

studies report that deletions of chromosome I 7p, which are

found in up to 50% of all cases of PNETIMb, predict a poor

survival outcome (16-19). However, conclusions from these

studies are based on unspecified tumor sample selection criteria,

and potentially relevant clinical characteristics of the patient

populations were not described. At present, no published study

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474 Chromosome l7p Deletions and Clinical Outcome in PNETIMb

has established the independent prognostic significance of l7p

deletions in PNETIMb.

We evaluated PNETIMb biopsy samples from 56 children

by use of cytogenetic methods, FISH, and molecular genetic

techniques to determine loss of heterozygosity and detect dde-

tions in chromosome I’7p. The results of cytogenetic and mo-

lecular studies of chromosome I 7 were then compared with

patient survival outcomes and with clinical factors of independ-

ent prognostic significance. In this study, the largest evaluation

of the prognostic significance of F/p deletion in PNETIMb, we

did not find significant differences in survival between patients

with or without l’7p deletions. Furthermore, when corrected for

the effects of independent clinical prognostic factors by multi-

variate analysis, l7p deletion status did not have independent

prognostic significance.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Clinical and Laboratory Studies. The following inclu-

sionary criteria defined the patient population for this study: (a)

diagnosis of a posterior fossa PNETIMb; (b) evaluation of l7p

in the initial diagnosis primary tumor specimen; (c) complete

clinical information that identified the patient’s gender, date of

birth, date of diagnosis, tumor location, and treatment; (d)

complete evaluation for metastatic disease by cerebral spinal

fluid cytological studies and myelography or magnetic reso-

nance imaging of the entire spine; and (e) clinical and neuro-

imaging follow-up of nonrelapsed patients for at least 2 years

after completion of therapy. Fifty-six patients with posterior

fossa PNETIMb met all of the above inclusion criteria and were

included in this study.

For all patients, the diagnosis of posterior fossa PNETIMb

was determined by histological assessment of tumors obtained

at surgery at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia (43 pa-

tients) or the Children’s Hospital of Los Angeles (13 patients).

Immunohistochemical studies with antibodies to neurofilarnent

protein and glial fibrillary acidic protein were used as an adjunct

to the routine histological examination of the surgical specimen.

Clinical information was obtained from tumor registries, surgi-

cal reports, and clinic records. Two patients were diagnosed in

1978, and the remaining 54 patients were diagnosed between

1985 and 1993. The extent of surgical resection was determined

by postoperative neuro-imaging, with the exception of one pa-

tient who was classified according to the surgeon’s assessment

given in the operative report. Patients were classified according

to the following groups: (a) gross total resection (�90% re-

moval of tumor); (b) partial resection (<90% but >50% re-

moval of tumor); and (c) biopsy (<50% removal of tumor).

Metastatic staging was reported according to the Chang classi-

fication scheme (20) and grouped for the purpose of statistical

analysis into two categories, MO versus Ml-3. Clinical outcome

measures included RFS (i.e. time from initial diagnosis to tumor

recurrence) and total survival (i.e. time from initial diagnosis to

death from progressive tumor).

A combination of cytogenetic and molecular methods was

used to identify chromosome I 7p deletions in these patients.

The I 3 cases from the Children’s Hospital of Los Angeles were

evaluated by RFLP analysis (21). Sixteen of the 43 cases from

the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia were evaluated by stand-

ard cytogenetic analysis alone (22, 23). The remaining 27 cases

were analyzed by FISH (24) and/or loss of heterozygosity

analysis by RFLP (25) or single-strand conformation polymor-

phism analysis (26). All of the results of the F/p deletion

analysis for the 56 patients have been described in detail in

previous publications (2 1-26).

Statistical Methods. In this analysis, the results of the

cytogenetic and molecular genetic studies were determined

without knowledge of the recurrence or survival status of the

children. Tests of differences between percentages were per-

formed using the Pearson x2 test or, if the sample size was too

small, Fisher’s exact test (27). All estimates of RFS and total

survival times were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method,

which adjusts for the fact that some patients did not experience

the event of interest during the study (28). A forward stepwise

with elimination Cox regression procedure (29) was used to

identify clinical prognostic variables, exclusive of chromosome

l7p deletion, that were associated (P � 0.1) with time to

recurrence of PNETIMb. The prognostic significance of chro-

mosorne l7p deletion was assessed with a Cox regression model

that included the above-identified clinical prognostic variables.

Cox regression analysis thereby provided an accurate estimate

of adjusting for the effects of clinical prognostic variables.

Sample size and power were calculated using the method de-

scribed by Lachin (30). All descriptive statistics, Kaplan-Meier

estimates, Cox regression, power, and sample size results were

calculated using SAS version 6.09 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).

The Wald �2 test statistic was used to determine the P value for

all Cox regression results. A two-sided P value of 0.05 or less

was considered significant for all tests.

RESULTS

Clinical Parameters. Table 1 summarizes the demo-

graphic characteristics of all 56 patients in this study. The

median age at diagnosis was 6.5 years (range, 0.8 -21 .8 years).

For subsequent age-related statistical analyses, patients were

grouped by age �3 years versus >3 years at initial diagnosis.

Forty patients (71%) had a gross total resection, and 16 (29%)

had a partial resection. No patient had a biopsy only. The

predominance of males (63%) is consistent with previous re-

ports (2, 4). Twelve patients (2 1%) had evidence of metastatic

disease (Ml-3), and 44 (79%) patients were MO at initial

presentation. For subsequent statistical analyses, patients were

grouped by metastatic stage MO versus Ml-3. Median fol-

low-up time for all patients was 4.4 years (range, 0.4-12.9

years), whereas the median follow-up time for surviving patients

was 5.5 years (range, 2.0-9.3 years).

Postoperative therapy included radiation and/or chernother-

apy. Of the 56 patients in the study, 52 (93%) were treated with

radiation therapy; all received combined local and craniospinal

radiation according to previously described protocols (4, 5, 31).

For nine patients (16%), treatment was limited to radiation only.

The posterior fossa radiation dose was less than 5000 cGy in one

patient due to chemotherapy for Wilrns’ tumor 8 years before

the diagnosis of a posterior fossa PNETIMb. Craniospinal radi-

ation cumulative doses ranged from I 800-3600 cGy. Whereas

4 1 patients received craniospinal radiation at conventional doses

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Clinical Cancer Research 475

Table I Clinical characteristics of PNET/Mb patients

l7pdeletion No deletion

Total no. no. (%) no. (%)

All patients 56 23 (41) 33 (59)

SexMale 35 16 (46) 19 (54)

Female 21 7 (33) 14 (67)

Age at diagnosis

�3 yrs 10 2 (20) 8 (80)

>3 yrs 46 21 (46) 25 (54)

Metastatic stage

MO 44 17 (39) 27 (61)Ml-3 12 6 (50) 6 (50)

Surgical resection

Gross total 40 19 (48) 2 1 (52)

Partial 16 4 (25) 12 (75)

Therapy

XRT” + chemo 43 18 (42) 25 (58)

Chemo alone 4 0 (0) 4 (100)XRT alone 9 5 (56) 4 (44)

a XRT, radiation therapy; chemo, chemotherapy.

(e.g., 3600 cGy), craniospinal doses were reduced in I I younger

patients.

Chemotherapy was administered to 47 patients (84% of the

study population). Thirty-seven patients were treated with radi-

ation therapy and a chemotherapy regimen that included cis-

platinum, 1-(2-chloroethyl)-3-cyclohexyl-l-nitrosourea, and

vincristine (4). Four young children received an infant brain

tumor chemotherapy regimen (31), three with and one without

subsequent radiation therapy. One young child received a chem-

otherapy regimen including Cytoxan, carboplatin, and vincris-

tine, followed by radiation therapy (St. Jude Children’s Hospital

institutional study). Two patients received a regimen of eight

chemotherapeutic agents in 1 day (32) but no radiation therapy.

Three patients received other chemotherapeutic regimens, two

with and one without craniospinal irradiation.

Evaluation of Chromosome l’7p Deletion. The 56 pa-

tient samples were obtained at the time of the initial surgical

resection. To identify chromosome 17p deletions, specimens

were evaluated by standard cytogenetic analysis (35 cases; Refs.

22-25), interphase FISH analysis (1 1 cases; Ref. 24), and/or loss

of heterozygosity assays (34 cases; Refs. 21, 25, and 26).

Sixteen of the 56 cases were successfully analyzed by standard

cytogenetic methods alone. Fifteen of the 16 cases (94%) dem-

onstrated tumor-specific abnormalities. One tumor, which had

been directly harvested after surgery, had a normal karyotype.

The I 5 tumors with abnormal karyotypes demonstrated a variety

of numerical and structural chromosome abnormalities, includ-

ing 5 cases with an i(17q). No tumor had a primary deletion of

chromosome 22 or monosorny 22, which is characteristic of

atypical teratoid or rhabdoid tumor (33). Twenty-one cases were

successfully evaluated by two or more methods and showed

concordant results. Deletion of chromosome 17p was seen in 23

(41%) of the 56 tumors included in this study (2 1-26).

The results of cytogenetic and molecular genetic Yip de-

letion studies were analyzed with respect to patient age at

diagnosis, metastatic stage, and histology, each of which has

been previously reported to be associated with prognosis (2, 4,

Table 2 Five-year RFS for PNETIMb study patients

RFS (SE)”

All patients 64% (±7)

Age at presentation

�3yrs f,()C/c(±15)

>3yrs MCk(±8)

Metastatic stage

MO 68%(±8)Ml-3 5O%(±14)

Surgical resection

Gross total 64% ( ± 8)

Partial 63%(±12)

Therapy

XRT + chemo 69% (±8)

Chemo alone 50% ( ±25)

XRTalone 44%(±17)Chromosome I 7p

Deletion of l7p 59% (±11)

No deletion 67% (±9)

C’ Kaplan-Meier RFS rate at 5 years. Total survival rates were

identical and thus are not shown. XRT, radiation therapy: chemo,

chemotherapy.

8, 12, 34-37). As shown in Table 1, although the percentage of

patients with deletions of Yip who were older than 3 years of

age at diagnosis was more than double that of infants younger

than 3 years of age, this difference was not statistically signif-

icant (P < 0.17, Fisher’s exact test). Metastatic stage was not

significantly associated with V/p deletion status either (P <

0.52, Fisher’s exact test). The percentage of tumors with a

chromosome 17p deletion among PNETsIMb without evidence

of differentiation was similar to those with glial and/or neuronal

differentiation. However, because different immunohistochem-

ical methods may have been used during the period of the initial

patient accrual to evaluate tumors for evidence of differentia-

tion, the statistical comparisons of Yip deletion and histology

are not presented, and differentiation status was not included in

the survival analysis.

Survival Outcomes. Table 2 indicates the Kaplan-Meier

RFS rates for all patients at S years and summarizes survival

outcomes when grouped according to the following character-

istics: age at diagnosis, metastatic stage (MO versus Ml-3),

extent of resection (partial versus gross total resection), and

treatment (radiation alone, chemotherapy alone, or radiation and

chemotherapy). The 5-year RFS rates and 5-year total survival

rates were identical (64%). When the survival rates at the end of

the study were examined, 34 patients (4 1%) remained free from

tumor recurrence, and 35 patients (43%) were alive.

As shown in Table 2, patients older than 3 years of age had

nearly identical disease-free survival rates compared to the

infants. Similarly, patients with gross total resections had sim-

ilar survival rates compared to those who had partial resections.

As expected, patients with metastatic disease at diagnosis had a

lower RFS rate than MO patients, and children with combination

therapy survived longer than patients with single modality ther-

apy. Fig. I shows a Kaplan-Meier plot of the probability of

recurrence according to chromosome ] 7p deletion during the

follow-up period. Although the probability of RFS was at least

8% less for patients with l7p deletion compared to those with-

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�. - ‘ Abnormal chromosome lip

�a�hmmo��omosome lip

476 Chromosome Y/p Deletions and Clinical Outcome in PNET/Mb

0.8.�

�i� 0.2

0.6

2 4 6 8

Recurrence-free Survival

(Years)

10

Fig. 1 Kaplan-Meier curve of RFS for 56 patients with PNETIMbstratified by chromosome l7p deletion status. The probability of RFS

for patients whose tumors had no deletion of chromosome l7p (broken

line) was not significantly different (P = 0.25) from patients whosetumors had l7p deletion (solid line). The last horizontal segment of thecurve for the nondeleted patients was added to indicate the total lengthof patient follow-up.

out Yip deletion, this difference was not statistically significant

(P = 0.25, Cox regression).

Multivariate Analysis of Chromosome l’7p Deletion and

Prognosis. The prognostic value of chromosome Yip deletion

was examined using multivariate Cox regression analysis. First,

we evaluated the predictive significance of clinical variables

including age at diagnosis, extent of resection, metastatic stage,

and treatment in predicting RFS time. In our study population,

only treatment modalities (P = 0.046) and metastatic stage (P =

0.090) showed levels of significance P < 0.1, the threshold that

we prospectively established for inclusion in subsequent Cox

regression models (see “Patients and Methods”). Second, to

evaluate the independent prognostic value of chromosome Yip

deletion, we adjusted for the effect of prognostically significant

clinical variables (i.e. treatment and metastasis) on RFS rates by

use of the Cox regression model. When the effects of significant

clinical factors on RFS are accounted for, the difference in

disease-free survival rates between patients with or without

chromosome l’7p deletion was not statistically significant (P =

0.213). Results of multivariate Cox regression analyses on total

survival were virtually identical. The clinical variables, metas-

tasis and treatment modalities, were independently associated

with total survival at P < 0.1 levels of significance. Again,

when adjusted for the effect of the clinical variables, the differ-

ence in total survival rates between patients with or without

chromosome l’7p deletion were not statistically significant (P <

0.299, Cox regression analysis).

Post Hoc Sample Size Considerations. Because no sta-

tistically significant difference in RFS was detected between

patients with and without 1’lp deletions, we retrospectively

examined two considerations related to the sample size required

for conducting another study. A difference in RFS of 37% or

greater between the patients with and without Yip deletions

could have been detected in a study with 56 patients (5%

a-error, 80% power; Ref. 30). Conversely, to detect a clinically

meaningful difference in RFS (e.g., 25%) between patients with

and without Yip deletion, a sample size of 122 patients would be

required (30).

DISCUSSION

The deletion of chromosome Yip sequences that results

from the formation of an i(17q) has been implicated as a primary

genetic event in PNETIMb tumorigenesis, based on the finding

of an i(l7q) as the only structural change in several tumors (23)

and the loss of this chromosomal region in up to 50% of

PNETsIMb (24). These findings implicate an as yet unidentified

tumor suppressor gene distinct from p53 (25, 38, 39) that maps

to l7p. For neuroblastoma, a neural tumor of the peripheral

nervous system, deletion of chromosome ip is found in 25-30%

of all cases and is associated with poor prognosis (6, 7). The

clinical significance of the loss of Yip in PNETsIMb, however,

is not yet understood.

The objective of the present study was to determine if

deletion of chromosome Yip is an independent prognostic factor

in children with PNETs. Our study was limited to patients with

posterior fossa PNETIMb because, in most reports, the clinical

outcome for supratentorial PNETs versus posterior fossa

PNET/Mb is different (1, 34). Furthermore, the only cases

included were those in which we obtained unambiguous results

from the cytogenetic or molecular analyses. Because the labo-

ratory studies were conducted over an 8-year period, a number

of different cytogenetic and molecular genetic techniques were

used to evaluate the tumors for deletions of l’7p. Although

interphase FISH analysis is currently the most sensitive and

specific means of detecting deletions (24), the cytogenetic stud-

ies and loss of heterozygosity assays were equally successful

due to the highly informative nature of the loci examined and

the fact that deletions of Yip in central nervous system

PNETIMb encompass almost all of Yip (21, 24, 25). Clearly,

once the locus on chromosome 17 that is involved in the

development of PNETIMb has been identified, much more

detailed genotype-phenotype correlations will be possible.

In contrast to reports suggesting that deletion of Yip is

associated with poor prognosis in PNETIMb (16, 17), we found

that this deletion was not an independent predictor of clinical

outcome in the largest reported group of genetically character-

ized primary posterior fossa PNETs evaluated by means of

multivaiate analysis. After adjusting for the effects of meta-

static stage and treatment, the independent value of Yip deletion

status for the prediction of RFS or total survival is not statisti-

cally significant or clinically useful in our study group. Further-

more, we did not find significant associations between Yip

deletion and patient age at initial diagnosis, metastatic stage, or

tumor differentiation.

In 1991, Cogen (17) concluded that childhood Mb patients

with loss of heterozygosity for l’7p had a higher incidence of

tumor recurrence than those without Yip deletions. After strat-

ifying 22 patients into “good-risk” (n = 1 1) or poor-risk (n =

1 1) groups according to the extent of resection and metastatic

stage, they observed that 4 good-risk patients had distal and

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Clinical Cancer Research 477

proximal deletions of chromosome Yip, and all of these patients

had tumor recurrence. No good-risk patient without Yip deletion

had tumor recurrence. For poor-risk patients, the number of

relapsed patients with or without Yip deletions was nearly

identical. However, it is difficult to interpret this data in any

other way than hypothesis-generating because the number of

patients is small, statistical analysis was not used, relevant

clinical data was not described, and the average follow-up time

was short (24 months). Despite comparable rates of Yip deletion

for the present study and that of Cogen (41 and 45%, respec-

tively; Ref. 17), our different conclusions for the prognostic

value of l7p deletions may be due to significant differences in

patient characteristics and data analysis methods.

Batra et a!. (16) reported lower survivals for Mb patients

with deletions of Yip. They suggested that the association be-

tween this deletion and shorter survival “represents a potentially

significant trend.” In their retrospective analysis, 28 patients

with Mb were selected for evaluation of loss of heterozygosity

for markers on Yip. The clinical characteristics at initial diag-

nosis, tumor staging results, and treatment information were not

reported. It is therefore difficult to compare our study population

with that of Batra et al. (16) or to explain the apparent difference

in our results.

Even if one disregards the possible differences in clinical

characteristics (e.g. , patient age, extent of resection, rnetastatic

stage, or treatment) between the patient populations in our study

and that of Batra et al. (16), differences in statistical analysis

may explain the different conclusions. To identify the independ-

ent prognostic value of l7p deletions, we used multivariate

analysis to control for the effect of clinical variables whose

independent prognostic significance has been confirmed in other

large studies (2, 4, 8, 12, 34-37). This approach is often not

feasible in studies with small patient numbers. Accordingly,

Batra et al. (16) analyzed their survival data by the univariate

log-rank x2 statistic. However, these authors used a one-tailed

test to determine if chromosome Yip deletion was associated

with a worse prognosis and concluded that patients with loss of

heterozygosity for Yip showed significantly different survival

(P = 0.045). We know of no reason to conclude a priori that

deletion of l7p is only clinically relevant if it predicts a worse

clinical outcome or that this deletion cannot be associated with

a better outcome. Therefore, we used a two-tailed test of sig-

nificance to examine the hypothesis that Yip deletions in chil-

dren with PNETIMb are associated with a different survival

outcome than the absence of 17p deletions. If one reevaluates

the data of Batra et al. (16) using a two-tailed test of signifi-

cance, loss of heterozygosity for I 7p would not have prognostic

significance (P = 0.09), and our conclusions would be in

agreement.

More recently, Ernadian et al. (40) analyzed a cohort of 21

Mb patients for Yip deletion status and clinical outcome. The

patients were stratified into good-risk (13 patients) or poor-risk

(8 patients) groups based on the extent of surgical resection and

metastatic disease. There was no association found between loss

of heterozygosity for Yip and poor clinical risk (Fisher’s exact

test, P = 0.66). Furthermore, there was no difference in survival

between patients with and without Yip deletions (log-rank test,

P = 0.77). However, based on the limited sample size in their

study, the authors indicated that they had only moderate power

to detect a 10-fold or greater risk of recurrence associated with

Yip deletion status.

We have demonstrated in a large study of primary

PNET/Mb patients that deletion of Yip is not an independent

predictor of survival outcomes. The median follow-up time for

the present study was 5.5 years. Although this brings us to a

relatively stable region of the survival curve for posterior fossa

PNET/Mb (4), we cannot exclude the possibility that with

longer follow-up, we will see additional tumor recurrence and

deaths in our patient groups that may change the results of our

rnultivaiate analyses. Nevertheless, potentially interesting

trends seen here and in previous studies (2 1 , 40), such as a

difference in the incidence of l’7p deletions in younger and older

patients, warrant further investigation. This may be best accom-

plished as part of a multi-institution effort that will generate the

large number of patients needed to determine the prognostic

value of this chromosomal deletion with a high degree of

confidence. Until such a study is completed and independently

confirmed, the use of Yip deletion status together with estab-

lished clinical prognostic factors to classify PNETIMb patients

according to their risk of relapse or for other clinical decision-

making purposes is not warranted.

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