Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time

Alan E. GelfandDepartment of Statistical Science

Duke University(Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

And now to the applications!

Cape Floristic (Biogeographic) Region

90,000 km2

9000+ plant species

70% found nowhere else

1400+ threatened or

endangered species

Area: <500km2

Plant species: 2600+ total (160+ found nowhere else)

130+ threatened or endangered

39 extinctions over last 100 years

Cape of Good Hope Peninsula

Cape Floristic region

Fynbos

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