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Designing a business. The process of development with design thinking and business innovation team members.
Citation preview
Perennial Care
Care Coordination for the Senior Life Stage
In collaboration with the Mayo Clinic Center for InnovationMelissa Cliver • Dave Passavant • Christina Payne
Designing + Leading a Business Profs. Boni, Evenson + Weingart
Carnegie Mellon UniversitySpring 2009
Contents
IntroductionProcess, Territory Map
ResearchLiterature Review, SynthesisChristensen, Value Chain
Discovery Implications, Innovations, Care Network, Patient Journey, Why Seniors
ConceptPerennial Care, Framework, Disruptions Value Proposition
StrategyBusiness Strategy, Revenue, Costs Risks, Next Steps
5
Our Process
The current state of health care in the US is both unsustainable yet essential to
our economy. At 16% of GDP, our nation’s total quality of care is not aligned with
the immense and rising costs. At the highest level, our objective is to increase
the holistic value delivered by the health care system while reducing costs from
current levels. Throughout the process, we designed a disruptive business con-
cept that delivers new value for all stakeholders while offering a reduced and
sustainable cost structure.
We began by understanding the landscape and key players in the health care
system. In order to create our territory map, we considered
five lenses:
• Rewards & incentives in the system and determine where they do not
promote the health of the overall system.
• Examine where costs and values are out of alignment in the system.
• Motivation, fear, frustration of the current players in the system
• Non-market forces that have impacted the evolution of the current system
(social factors, environmental factors)
• Resistors to change in the system.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
education
providers
COMMUNITY
SOCIETY
payers
RISINGCOSTS
CARE/VALUE
RISK MANAGEMENT
patients & family
home
jobs
taxes
healthypeople
economicbenefits
stimulusimpact
advancingscience
secondarybenefits
universitysystem
pharma
physiciansleadership
staff
insurancemedicaremedicaid
risk
pr
otectio
n
partic
ipatio
n
fun
dcarecustomers
TECHNOLOGYPROCESSIMPROVEMENT
Territory Map
7
Our territory map illustrates the importance of the 3P’s in the system and the
relationship between them. Ultimately, waste and added costs not only affect
those direct interactions in health care, but also the community and society as a
whole. We also noted that educating the 3P’s about the impact their individual
actions have on the health care system while re-engineering incentives to reward
keeping costs low would be an integral part of our concept.
In our introductory meeting with Bill Bertschinger, he suggested we focus on
leadership, community and staff. At the Mayo Clinic, billing was the least favored
experience for patients, second only to parking. We endeavored to study this
process as an example of a health care process that is causing confusion,
frustration, and waste in the system. We were also encouraged to focus on
individuals and away from hospitals and to disrupt the equilibrium to create the
ideal state.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Literature Review
Chakravorti, Bhaskar. The New Rules For Bringing Innovations to Market Harvard Business Review March 2004
Porter, Michael. Redefining Competition in Health Care Harvard Business Review June 2004
Burns, Lawton & Wharton School Colleagues. The Health Care Value Chain. Jossey-Bass March 2002
Mango, Paul D. & Vivian E Riefberg. Three Imperatives for improving US health-care. The McKinsey Quarterly, December 2008
Farrell, Diana. Why Americans pay more for health care. The McKinsey Quarterly, December 2008
Matthews, Anna Wilde. Surprise Health Bills Make People See Red. Wall Street Journal, December 4, 2008
Daschle, Tom et al. Critical: What we can do about the Health Care Crisis St. Martins Press 2008
Christensen, Clayton M., Scott D. Anthony, Erik A. Roth. Healing the 800-Pound Gorilla: The Future of Health Care Harvard Business Review June 2004
Christensen, Clayton M., Jerome H. Grossman M.D., and Jason Hwang M.D. The Innovator’s Prescription: A Disruptive Solution for Health Care
9
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Synthesis
For our literature review, we sought articles mostly regarding current health
care issues and innovations. In order to synthesize our findings, we used our five
lenses as a guide to detect patterns and inefficiencies. Based on our literature
review and several brainstorming sessions we created the following team
observations and insights:
The Health care system in the US is not built to effectively service all types of
care. It is built for catastrophic and acute care, services chronic care and ignores
holistic care.
Opaque processes in service structure create unnecessary complexity for
health consumers.
Accessibility and format of medical information is not consistent or
comprehensible.
Stakeholders incentives are misaligned which impedes change and
positive growth.
Just in case procedures and use of technology are over prescribed
regardless of cost.
Innovation disbursement is stunted because of an infrastructure that
resists change.
Short term solutions do not facilitate a strong network among the 3ps.
Christensen on Innovation
Harvard Business School Professor Clay Christensen’s theories regarding indus-
try innovation were central to much of our thinking. In December 2008,
Christensen published “The Innovator’s Prescription”, which applies his theories
of industry innovation to the health care industry.
The concepts of sustaining and disruptive innovation are fundamental to Chris-
tensen’s thinking. Sustaining innovation occurs when technology or ideas,
even breakthrough ideas, sustain the functioning of the current system (pg. 2).
Christensen notes that incumbent market leaders almost always win the battle
of sustaining innovation, because they are defending leadership position in a
system that they are succeeding in. Most of the innovation in health care today
that focuses on cost transfer would be considered sustaining innovation.
But he argues that disruptive innovation is actually what is required to drive
true change in health care. Disruptive innovation occurs when a firm brings to
market a business that transforms formerly expensive and complex products,
services, or capabilities into simple and affordable ones for a consumer. The
disruptive innovation helps the consumer do a job or task that they are already
trying to do. He notes that historically it is almost always new companies or
totally independent business units of existing firms that succeed in disrupting an
industry. (pg. 3)
Christensen further theorizes that there are three fundamental conceptual busi-
ness models that drive innovation in any industry (pg. 20).
11
Solution Shops provide intuitive, specialized recommendations of solutions to
unstructured problems. Consulting firms are an example of a Solution Shop.
Value-Adding Process transforms inputs into outputs of higher value via a
repeatable process.
Facilitated Networks institutions that operate systems in which customers buy
and sell, and deliver and receive things from other participants.
Christensen argues that in any industry disruption occurs when new businesses
focus on innovating using one type of the three models above. He argues that it
is inefficient for a business to operate in a hybrid of these models and that effi-
ciency gains from business model specialization ultimately allow firms to deliver
superior products and services at lower cost.
What does this mean for health care? Christensen argues that most of health
care innovation has resulted from technological advancements in drugs and
medical devices and small process changes aimed at reducing costs. But he ar-
gues what is actually needed are new disruptive business models to accompany
the technological disruption.
For example, he argues that modern hospitals today are a combination of
Solution Shops and Value Added Providers. This is driving cost inefficiency. It
would, for example, be more efficient to have a building of specialized Orthope-
dic doctors that would send you to an MRI business that does nothing but MRIs
and does them in a cost effective manner. If coordinated well this would drive
costs down in the system and for the patient.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Accountable Care Organization
Christensen recognizes that care coordination to help patients navigate the
increasing complexity of health care is a key role in a disrupted health care
delivery model (pg. 129). Essentially the advisor is able to direct patients and
caregivers through the complex array of treatment and care options. The advi-
sor directs patients to providers in either of the three business models depend-
ing on the patients need.
Christensen and his team conclude that advisory attempts in the past have
failed primarily because they were led by primary care physicians. He concluded
that effective advisory must be led by an independent entity, thus freeing the
model from the cost burden of being physician led, and allowing physicians to
focus on delivering, not coordinating, care.
Chronic Care
Christensen also focuses on the severity of chronic disease diagnosis and man-
agement in a system built to service acute problems. We learned that 75% of
health care costs are related to chronic disease. These findings narrowed our
focus on creating an innovative model for chronic disease management.
Any program for resolving our runaway health-care costs that
does not have a credible plan for changing the way we care
for the chronically ill can’t make more than a small dent in the
total problem.
Clayton Christensen, The Innovator’s Prescription
13
Degree to which behavior change is requiredextensiveminimal
weak
strong
Mo
tivati
on
to
co
mp
ly w
ith
be
st k
no
wn
th
era
py
Myopia
Hypothyroidism
Multiple Sclerosis
HIVEpilepsy
Psoriasis
AllergiesInfertility
Depression
GERDChronic back pain
Crohn’s disease
Celiac disease
Ulcerative colitis
Sickle cell anemia
AsthmaCongestive heart failure
Type II DiabetesSchizophrenia
Alzheimers
Obesity
AddictionsBipolar disorder
Cerebrovascular disease
Hyperlipidemia
Hypertension
Osteoporosis
Coronary artery disease
Chronic hepatitis B
Cystic fibrosis
Parkinson’s
Type I Diabetes
Tech
no
log
y-d
ep
en
de
nt
dis
ease
s
Be
havio
r-d
ep
en
de
nt
dis
ease
s
Diseases with deferred consequences
Diseases with immediate consequences
Christensen’s Chronic Quadrangle.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Producers
Innovators Gatekeepers Distributors Delivery Consumers
Insurance Purchasers Providers Payers
Gov’tEmployersIndividuals
HospitalsPhysiciansIDNsPharmacies
WholesalersMail-OrderGroup Purchasing Orgs
HMOsBenefit Managers
Rx MfgrsDevice MfgrsMedical-Surgical Mfgrs
Health Care Value Chain
To familiarize ourselves with the Health Care industry we studied the structure of
the current value chain. This core structure for this chart was taken from a 2000
study done by Burns at the Wharton School of Business at The University of
Pennsylvania. We have added the titles above the chevrons as meta-classifica-
tions of the roles that members of each point in the value chain typically play.
15
We note that recent innovation in the health care industry has been largely
driven by horizontal integration in the value chain. Meaning, parties that fall into
the same chevron have been merging or otherwise consolidating, largely to cre-
ate buying leverage with suppliers that precede them in the value chain. While
this type of consolidation can drive cost savings, it ultimately is unlikely to lead
to substantial disruptive innovation. An example of this would be networks of
hospitals (such as UPMC in Pittsburgh) that are consolidations of multiple
formerly independent regional hospitals.
Opportunities for disruptive innovation exist in the form of partnerships and col-
laborations between multiple disconnected members of the value chain. These
are termed vertical partnerships. The ideas that we pursued focused not on
driving more cost savings via horizontal consolidation of like partners, but rather
opportunities for disruptive innovation between formerly disconnected
members of separate meta-categories in the value chain.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
DesignImplications
Create a platform that aligns care
with customized services
Incorporate development of
technology with transparency
and education
Create incentives that foster a
sustainable health care system.
Create a system that rapidly adopts
and implements valuable disruptive
innovations
Support long term patient health
needs and offer integrated
holistic care.
Other Innovations
We found other successful models
that service specific needs and reduce
waste in health care systems, such as
D-life (facilitated network for diabetes
management), Hello Health (targeted
acute care service), and Health Dialog
(aggregated healthcare data service.)
While these business models are sus-
tainable, we determined that chronic
care support networks are siloed and
enter patients’ lives post-diagnosis.
These models address some of the
patient’s support network and focus
on collecting and disseminating patient
experience and treatment information.
This led to our analysis of the
patient’s support system and journey
to managing care before conditions
become worse.
17
Care Network
The care network includes all the possible support and resources available to
a patient. Our goal was to utilize and connect these different entities to enable
a more holistic approach to managing care. We divided the care network into
three classifications of sub-categories: support, medical expertise, and
institutionalized processes.
insurance
primary care
specialists
wellness
other patients
community
work
education
government
friends/family
medicalexper
ts
CARE NETW
ORK
inst
itutio
ns / standardization
sup
po
rt
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Patient Journey
We began to determine what steps
and tools patients need to maintain
a healthy lifestyle and avoid chronic
complications. The upper left diagram
was our initial attempt to flush out the
steps based on our knowledge about
the process that patients go through
when identifying a need for care and
receiving it. We also identified barriers
in that process.
Demographics and life stages impact a
person’s ability to adhere to a healthy
lifestyle, and there are patterns of
complications when segmenting the
population in this way. This was the
catalyst that made us examine
different life stages and health
consequences. We determined that
each life stage has its own journey.
awareness
knowledge
incentive access
barriers
environmentnutrition
community
geographic economic
peer pressure
LEARNING
ACTION
education negative reinforcement
timestepstools
commitment
rewardsatisfactionfeedback
recognition
task validation
PAPPTA
IENT
CHRONIC
JOURN
EY
awareness
action
diagnosis
re
actio
n
ad
here
nce
management
SENIOR CARE
prenatal
infant
child
adolescent
young adult
adult
senior
life stage
19
Medicare will cost 27% of total federal budget
by 2030. 55% of medicare patients ages 65 - 74
have 3 or 4 chronic conditions simultaneously.
Why Seniors?
The baby boomer generation will double from 36 million in 2003 to 72 million
in 2030. More than half of Medicare patients have 3-4 separate simultaneous
chronic conditions, have difficulty gathering and coordinating relevant informa-
tion, getting around and piecing together the demands of contemporary society.
The average caregiver accompanying a senior is a woman in her mid 30’s to 50’s
with her own children and responsibilities, working full-time earning approxi-
mately $30,000 per year.
The statistics about elderly care admittance to the ER are severe. According to a
study published in the Annals of Internal Medicine, side effects from three com-
monly prescribed drugs (warfarin, insulin and digoxin) are responsible for a third
of all emergency room visits by senior citizens suffering from adverse reactions.
In addition, many other visits are due to complications or an acute exacerbation
from multiple chronic diseases not properly managed. These trends are leading
to hospital crowding, which could have serious repercussions in only a few years.
As it stands, the senior population does not have another location or resource to
redirect themselves.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Our Concept: Perennial Care
Perennial Care is a long-term support service for seniors to navigate the
complexity of health care using a coordinated ecosystem of partnerships,
enabling informed health care decisions for those receiving care, as well as
for the caregiver.
We developed Perennial in response to the recognition that while there are
many services both local and national to support seniors, many are under
utilized. This lack of knowledge and planning drives seniors to the Emergency
room for expensive care and contributes to high costs and misaligned care.
The Perennial Care Management team is comprised around three separate but
equally critical roles: Medical midlevel, Guide, and Manager.
Within the overarching realm of Life Stage Planning for Health care we envision
an opportunity to brand similar care coordination businesses targeted at
different life stages.
Perennial is:
Long-term ongoing care, affiliated with life and beauty; maintenance and care to
bloom for many years, evoking imagery of perennial flowers.
Definition:
1. Lasting for an indefinitely long time; enduring perennial beauty.
2. (Of plants) having a life cycle lasting more than two years.
3. Lasting or continuing throughout the year, as a stream.
4. Perpetual, everlasting, continuing; recurrent.
21
Medical
This person has enough formal medi-
cal training to perform basic triage
and patient diagnosis. Supporting
chronic or complex conditions, com-
pliance, drug interaction awareness,
and basic testing administered by a
mid-level PA or nurse practitioner. A
holistic thinker, a “pharm-assist”, and
more importantly can direct a patient
to a VAP or Solution Shop if further
diagnosis and testing is needed.
Guidance
This person spurs the dialogue need-
ed around various topics pertain-
ing to social and life planning. This
person would gently discuss how
the patients and their family want
to manage this stage when thinking
about the extension of life inter-
twined with the quality of life. They
understand the resources available
in the community such as transpor-
tation and housing options. They
can also identify mental conditions a
senior may exhibit and recommend
lifestyle changes or direct them to a
physician for further evaluation.
Management
Helps the senior and caregiver navi-
gate the complex options available
relative to medical records and pay-
ments. We expect seniors to have
increasingly complex choices relative
to combining Medicare payments with
private insurance and out of pocket
payment options. This person would
also be working with the EHR, EMR
and other related software. The Man-
ager provides value by explaining the
payment options available depending
on the coverage each senior has, and
assisting with an optimal payment
and financing strategy so that seniors
maximize the value their coverage can
provide, regardless of the source.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Our Framework
Shown to the right, we begin at the top with innovations primarily in the techno-
logical realm that funnel into the process. Our care team is charged with under-
standing and keeping abreast of current innovations as well as hard data and
research. The team will focus on research that is evidence based and particular
to the life stage of the service.
The Journey
The patient journey in this context is comprised of awareness, action, diagnosis,
reaction, adherence, and management. We utilize this process to understand
where the patient is in their care journey, and what support they need for them-
selves and their caregiver. For example, the section of reaction and adherence
could be a major life transition that could greatly impact the caregiver.
The “guide” of our service would be very aware of the needs of the caregiver at
this time. Similarly in the action and diagnosis phase the “manager” would be
astute at providing the resources and details for the journey to both the patient
and the caregiver. The “midlevel medical person” or Nurse practitioner or Physi-
cians Assistant would be very present during the diagnosis to management
phase and particular to our service, would continue to be at top form during on
going management.
This avoids the current situation where the “reaction” might be the winding
down of direct medical services. The Care network is similar to the innovations
that funnel through the top. The team needs to be aware of how each of these
bubbles of support are affecting the patients and the caregiver. What resources
do they have? Can they access the entire care network? e.g. They have a little-
23
insurance
primary care
specialists
wellness
other patients
community
work
education
government
friends/family
medical exp
erts
CARE NETW
ORK
inst
itutio
ns / st
andardization
sup
po
rt
PATIENT
JOURNEY
aw
areness
actio
n
diagnosis re
actio
n
ad
here
nce
m
anagement
VAP
SSFN
EMR/EHR
innovations
homecare
telemed
internet
data mining
SEN
IOR
money, but get government support,
have a large family and feel comfort-
able and active in their community
occasionally seeing a specialist, or
conversely they might not have
access to most of the care network,
then a different set of arrangements
would be suggested.
Perennial uses this pathway to
facilitate the care of the patient and
the caregiver and refer them to the
destination needed within some or
all of the health care innovators, then
maintains the relationship.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Why we are disruptive
An early insight we found in our research is that the US health care system was
built around the need of delivering care for acute or episodic conditions. How-
ever today 75% of health care costs are driven by chronic conditions such as
diabetes, heart disease, obesity, and depression.
The current care delivery model does not fit the health needs of our population.
We decided to focus on the fact that the care delivery model today is centered
around one expensive and scare resource: the physician. We observed that many
customers are being “over served” today, meaning they are obtaining health
care services from a physician whose expertise exceeds the care need required
by the patient. This dynamic has led to businesses like Minute Clinic, where
simple, empirical health care is delivered by nurse practitioners, not physicians.
This principle for disruptive care can be extended to a life stage care model that
focuses on developing relationships between elderly and non-physician health
care delivery workers.
This relationship, combined with increased input from caregivers, should en-
able care providers to gain better holistic insight into the health of a patient and
address the issues that lead to chronic conditions. The overall cost structure for
this type of care is substantially lower than traditional hospital and physician
care model for three primary reasons:
25
Lower cost of workers. The model requires that patients are matched with
worker expertise that matches the level of care that the patients need. There is
no over-supply of expertise to need. The cost of the workers is lower because
the intuitive skills and schooling required to service patients at this level is lower.
Increased use of technology. Medical technologies, from Electronic Health
Records, to Telemedicine and Drug Management software are still in the process
of development and adoption in the industry. Technology diffusion has been
stunted because of incentives that do not encourage or reward firms to take risk
and drive innovation. The model we are proposing is built on the foundation of
being a low cost service delivery business and from the coordination benefits of
adopting these leading technologies. And a new organization is free to engineer
new processes to fully utilize these technology enablers.
Partnership with value-added providers. By focusing on care coordination and
delivering intuitive medical services, our model will benefit from partnerships
with low cost, highly specialized VAP service providers. These providers may
be co-located in the same facility, or may be remote. The key principle is to be
vigilant not to chase revenue by engaging in VAP activities that may increase
the top line but will ultimately drive an inflated cost structure and reduced spe-
cialization.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
GP
Caregiver
ER
SP
Rx
Rx Rx
Caregiver
ERGP
Value Proposition
In addition to the value offered to
the patient and the caregiver stated
above, we also offer great value to
those paying the bill. Insurers will save
tremendously because one of our
main goals is to keep seniors out of
the emergency room.
Many seniors are also misdiagnosed
with dementia and placed in nursing
homes because of reactions to drugs
that make them dizzy or “out of it.”
Slurring speech is a symptom of both
brain deterioration and a drug
reaction. In many cases it takes time
to understand the implications of a
combination of drugs: time our service
can provide. This simple adjustment
will save billions of dollars to the payer,
keep the senior safe and alert and
alleviate extreme anxiety and time
spent for the caregiver. While the
institutions housing the emergency
room will lose profits in this proposi-
tion, we argue that the overcrowded
emergency room will be a thing of the
past easing the chaos and allowing the
emergency room personnel to focus
on the many patients to serve in a less
overwhelming state.
before and after: process for senior patient
27
before and after: process for senior patient
Business Strategy
Framework
The business model for our idea was developed using a framework outlined by
Christensen in his book “The Innovator’s Prescription”. It contains the following
components (pg. 9):
• Unique value proposition that helps a customer do a job they’re already
trying to do.
• Unique resources the company brings to bear to deliver on the value
proposition.
• The processes a firm uses to transfer resources into something of value to
the customer.
• The profit formula the firm employs to cover costs and meet the required
investment return targets for deployed capital.
Based on individual experience we added two more components to
this framework:
• Risks and Assumptions we recognized while developing the plan. Including
the probability or importance of each and an implication or mitigation plan
for each.
• An actionable Implementation Plan that can be used as a starting point for a
firm to create an operational plan should they choose to launch the business
model created.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Selecting a Target Market
In health care there is no shortage of revenue to pursue. Health care spend
was $2.2T in 2007 (source Department of Health and Human Services), or more
than 16% of US GDP. This figure is expected to grow to $4.3T by 2017, which is
projected to represent over 20% of US GDP (source, Centers for Medicare and
Medicaid Services). The first challenge in creating a business plan was to decide
which portion of the massive health care market to target for disruption.
Defining a total addressable market (TAM) consumed several weeks of our time.
We noted that in health care there is no shortage of opinions and very good
ideas about how to drive reform in the industry. The breakdown has occurred in
the focusing and implementation of the ideas. Few firms have been able to cre-
ate business models that allow them to profitably transfer their good ideas into
sustainable disruptive businesses.
We had the benefit of being industry outsiders. We were able to analyze indus-
try dynamics and record insights free from status quo bias or experience bias
that results from professional experience in an industry.
Our research and insights ultimately led us to focus on a disruptive health care
delivery model for seniors. Simple demographic trends driven by the aging of
the Baby Boomer generation and the disproportionately high cost of elderly
care were key drivers in our decision. There is a deluge of statistics that high-
light the importance of disrupting the current model of senior care:
29
• Per person personal health care spending for the 65 and older population
was $14,797 in 2004, 5.6 times higher than spending per child ($2,650) and
3.3 times spending per working-age person ($4,511).
• The elderly represent 12% of the US population but drive 34% of the costs of
health care, or almost $700B per year in 2007.
• As the leading edge of the Baby Boomer generation becomes eligible for
Medicare, average annual spending growth by public payers (7.2 percent)
is expected to outpace that of private payers (5.3 percent). As a result, the
public share of total national health care spending is expected to exceed 50
percent by 2016. (Source: Department of Health and Human Services.)
Note that our decision to focus on elderly care is a focusing of our larger idea
of creating a care model that focuses on meeting the needs of consumers
based on their life stage. Our research led us to conclude that consumers have
dramatically different needs, or jobs to do, depending on their life stage. The
sample care model we have developed focuses on the senior population, but
similar models could be developed targeting young professionals, new families,
empty nesters, etc.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Insurance
Private insurance companies pay for
the service based on cost
savings. An increasing number of
seniors have private insurance to
supplement or replace Medicare.
An increasing number of physicians
are not accepting Medicare, which
they can do because of the physician
shortage. If effectively implemented
this service will drive substantial
savings in the cost of senior care
by reducing emergency room visits,
encouraging lifestyle change that
addresses chronic care, and driving
better patient adherence to
treatment regimens.
Patient/Caregiver
As seniors and caregivers increasingly
personally take on the costs of their
care they will be incentivized to
manage those costs to keep them
low. As the shortage of Primary
Care Physicians worsens we expect
relationships between PCPs and
seniors to become increasingly
strained simply due to a lack of
availability of physicians and ap-
pointments. These consumers will
be looking to an alternate source for
guidance in dealing with their health.
Medicare
Similar to idea #1, if the cost sav-
ings of the model can be proven the
government will be incentivized to
subsidize senior participation in the
program. Documenting and explain-
ing a clear ROI will be critical to
convincing the government that
payment for this service is a good
investment. Medicare has been ex-
perimenting with reimbursing for care
coordination services, but the lack
of a well executed business model
that focuses on tasks that reduce ER
visits, chronic illness, and increase
patient treatment adherence have led
to inconsistent results.
Revenue Sources
31
We created a quantitative revenue
and cost model based on our
analysis of how the sources of
revenue and cost structure of this
business may likely be developed.
As with any model, this model is
driven by the assumptions that were
made around business growth rates,
resource costs, advertising success,
customer willingness to pay, and
many other factors that impact the
profit function.
We did not spend time to research
the exact expected costs (for exam-
ple, the loaded salary cost of Nurse
Practitioner). Rather, we recommend
that our model be used as a
conceptual starting point for a
business team that is tasked with
building a comprehensive profit
model for this concept.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Costs
A key objective of the Perennial Care concept is to keep fixed costs low. We will
achieve this by engineering the business as a service business, driven primarily
by variable costs that increase only as the number of patients served increases.
While we have not done a deep dive into the real costs of each component of
our service, we have identified key conceptual costs buckets that we believe will
define the cost structure for the Perennial care service. They are as follows:
People
First and foremost we expect these costs to be lower than the salary costs in
most health care business today because our service is not physician led. Our
goal is to match consumer to exactly the amount of expertise they need from
our staff, and not provide more or less. Recall that our people costs revolve
around three key roles, the mid-level or nurse practitioner, the social guide, and
the business or payment manager. Other than the nurse practitioner we believe
these roles do not exist at large in health care practices.
Property, Plant, and Equipment.
Our objective was to design a business that could be delivered without strict fa-
cilities requirements. Meaning, we could launch a Perennial care site in any exist-
ing basic office building. The goal is to free the service from the cost burden of
having to exist in a medical hospital. The Perennial service would require basic
office equipment including computers and office supplies etc. Depending on
the level of basic testing and triage delivered on site, basic medical and diagnos-
tic supplies would also be required.
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Technology
Technology costs will be driven by the 5 major categories of technologies re-
quired that we have identified in our concept design. These are EHR software,
telemedicine equipment, caregiver tracking software, drug management soft-
ware, and call center technology for the 24/7 support line to provide seniors
with an alternative to emergency room care. A key assumption in our model
is that each of these technologies is available largely “off the shelf” and can be
implemented with little custom development. The goal of each of these tech-
nologies is to provide efficiency and allow us to deliver a high quality service
at a reduced cost. If custom development is required the startup costs for the
Perennial service will increase.
A final note is that we believe the Perennial service can reach profitability very
quickly based on the fact that it is primarily a service business. However there
are two key assumptions that would impact our ability to reach profitability
quickly. One is that the technology required, particularly the drug and caregiver
software, are available off the shelf and do not require extreme amounts of
custom development. We believe it is critical that all three of the management
roles in the Perennial system have an integrated view into the holistic health and
medical history of the patient. Our hope is that there is software available on
the market today that achieves this task, but we have not researched or identi-
fied this software.
Secondly, we are assuming that customer acquisition costs will be low because
customers will be directed to our service by either Medicare or their private
insurance provider. If we pursue the customer funded model we will incur cus-
tomer acquisition costs in the form of marketing and advertising that will create
a cost burden that is not reflected in the model today.
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Risks
We identified several risks that could inhibit the success of our model.
Electronic Health Record not compatible with existing physician and
hospital networks. Because we are essentially adding another care entity into
the existing care delivery model we want to make it as simple as possible to
transfer information between our service and existing primary care physicians
and specialists. Interoperable electronic medical and health records have long
been promised but still seem to be a distant reality. If we are unable to electron-
ically pass medical information to PCPs and specialists our service will still be
valuable but may be viewed by these parties as adding another layer of com-
plexity to delivering care for the patient.
Doctors resist Perennial care service. We have observed that the physician’s
main objectives are to deliver quality care to patients and to maximize the
profitability of their business. If we are successful we will help doctors do both.
However, as with any disruptive new concept we expect physicians to initially
view our service with skepticism. We must make every effort to ensure that pa-
tient information exchange is smooth and seamless between Perennial and PCPs
and specialists physicians. Our goal is that doctors will view Perennial as an
asset in care delivery that provides them with comprehensive information about
a patient’s health, and ultimately allows them to deliver better care more quickly,
spend less time on care coordination and administrative tasks, and thus utilize
their skills to better serve the patients that need their attention.
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Seniors must be convinced of the value of a non-doctor advisor. In our soci-
ety we are conditioned that a doctor is the only person that can provide quality
medical advice. We all, understandably, want the best possible expert medi-
cal care we can receive. A key to the success of our model will be convincing
seniors that they do not need to go to an MD to receive medical attention or
advice. If we are successful seniors may consider going to Perennial as “going
to the doctor”. We expect that if we are able to deliver expert level care and
advice and pay attention to comprehensive senior and caregiver needs in a way
that is simply impossible for a PCP to do today, both seniors and caregivers will
be exceptionally satisfied with the service and will recognize the benefits as op-
posed to the PCP centered care delivery model.
Next Steps
We firmly believe that Perennial Care can make a significant impact on the
increasing costs of healthcare. We recommend starting with a pilot project at
the Florida or Arizona Mayo Clinic facilities for validation with seniors. Below is
an estimated timeline for this concept to come to fruition.
Summer2009
Fall2009
Winter2009
Spring 2010
Perform supplemental research to confirm quantitative value claimed in business model.
Concept Validation withSeniors and Caregivers
Evaluate technology options
for 5 key technologies
Develop private insurance customer prospect list
Select pilot location (FLA or AZ)
Select resource team for pilot site
Document processes to be used in Solution Shop
Select VAP partners for testing
Launch pilot site
Introduction ResearchDiscoveryConceptStrategy
Thank youSpecial thanks to Maggie Breslin and Bill Bertschinger at the Mayo Clinic for their insight and collaboration.