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Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from
Coastal Ecosystems
RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011
Juha Siikamäki (RFF)
Sunny Jardine and Jim Sanchirico (UC Davis)
Dave McLaughlin and Danny Morris (RFF)
Funding provided by
Linden Trust for Conservation, Victoria and Roger Sant, and Resources for the Future
Motivation
Coastal ecosystems constitute significant carbon storage
Coastal development Agriculture, aquaculture, residential, tourism, industrial
Reduces mangrove area by 0.7-2% annually (estimates vary)
Releases carbon stored in biomass and soils, prevents further accumulation
Forests and REDD Potential for low-cost emission reductions
Integral part of climate policy considerations
Is there potential for “blue REDD”?
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2
Typical Mangroves
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Mangroves Are Especially Carbon
Rich Forests
Source: Donato et al. 2011, Nature Geoscience April 3, 2011
Information Needs in Evaluating
Economic Potential of Blue REDD
Location of carbon rich coastal ecosystems
Volume carbon stored
Volume of carbon is accumulated
Rate of development for alternative uses
Volume of carbon released as a result of development
Current protection areas
Cost of additional protections
All of the above may vary by location; collect information on different locations
Predict the cost of blue carbon emissions avoided (per ton C, CO2)
Evaluate whether blue carbon presents cost-effective emission reduction
possibilities (relative to other opportunities such as other offsets, direct
reductions)
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Mangroves Areas Globally
Map drawn in ArcGIS using data from Giri, C. et al;. (2011), Status and distribution of mangrove forests of the world using
earth observation satellite data. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 20: 154–159.
Americas
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Bahamas, Cuba
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Bahamas Close-up
Mangrove Areas in Bahamas
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Bahamas Close-up II
Comparison to UNEP data
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Comparison to Earlier Data (UNEP)
South Florida
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SE Asia, Oceania
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Borneo
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Borneo: Protected Areas
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Mangroves, Global Distribution
(% share of total)
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Carbon Storage (% share of total)
Mangrove Centers
Total area globally about 139,000 km2 (13.9
million hectares, 35 million acres)
Indonesia alone accounts for roughly one fifth
Six countries account for more than 50%:
Indonesia, Brazil, Australia, Mexico, Nigeria,
Malaysia
Regionally, Southeast Asia contains almost
half of all global mangroves
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Globally Countries with
Current Losses
Annual Losses
Mangroves, km2 139,170 128,213 1,023
Total C, millions tons 3,448 3,214 30.1
Total C, tons per hectare
on average 247 251 294
Protections, ha 560,461 541,959 4,000 (avoided)
Protections, mt C 400.5 388.3 1.1 (avoided)
Mangrove Area, Carbon, and
Current Protections (Preliminary)
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$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
- 14 29 43 57 71 86 100 114
$/ton CO2
CO2, millions of tons annually
Marginal Cost of Preserving Mangrove
Blue Carbon (Preliminary)
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$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
- 14 29 43 57 71 86 100 114
$/ton CO2
CO2, millions of tons annually
Marginal Cost of Preserving Mangrove
Blue Carbon (Preliminary)
EU ETS: CER CLOSE
May 31, 2011 12.94 €
($18.61)
21 Note: The above estimates are in C, not in CO2 (one ton C = 3.67 tons CO2)
Americas and Caribbean
Global and Regional Supply Curves
(Preliminary)
Governance Considerations
(Preliminary)
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Americas and Caribbean
Summary Mangroves
store large amounts of carbon
are subject to considerable development threats
have high emissions per hectare lost relative to tropical forests
Preliminary results
Potential for considerable and cost-effective emission reductions
Southeast Asia emerges as a central region
Governance issues may restrict volume of low-cost emission reductions
Knowledge accumulating, but lot more to learn
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Future Research Needs
Regional and local assessment
Regional and country level assessments
Reduce uncertainties, unknowns
Better targeting of conservation investments
Salt marshes and sea grasses
Serious lack of information
Systematic assessments limited by data
Carbon is not the only benefit from coastal ecosystems
Potential co-benefits to other ecosystem services may be
considerable, surely worthy of systematic assessments
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Birds
Fish
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Other species
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People
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For more information, please contact
Juha Siikamäki
Resources for the Future
Tel. 202-328-517
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