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Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki (RFF) Sunny Jardine and Jim Sanchirico (UC Davis) Dave McLaughlin and Danny Morris (RFF) Funding provided by Linden Trust for Conservation, Victoria and Roger Sant, and Resources for the Future

Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Page 1: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from

Coastal Ecosystems

RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011

Juha Siikamäki (RFF)

Sunny Jardine and Jim Sanchirico (UC Davis)

Dave McLaughlin and Danny Morris (RFF)

Funding provided by

Linden Trust for Conservation, Victoria and Roger Sant, and Resources for the Future

Page 2: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Motivation

Coastal ecosystems constitute significant carbon storage

Coastal development Agriculture, aquaculture, residential, tourism, industrial

Reduces mangrove area by 0.7-2% annually (estimates vary)

Releases carbon stored in biomass and soils, prevents further accumulation

Forests and REDD Potential for low-cost emission reductions

Integral part of climate policy considerations

Is there potential for “blue REDD”?

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Page 3: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Typical Mangroves

Page 4: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Mangroves Are Especially Carbon

Rich Forests

Source: Donato et al. 2011, Nature Geoscience April 3, 2011

Page 5: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Information Needs in Evaluating

Economic Potential of Blue REDD

Location of carbon rich coastal ecosystems

Volume carbon stored

Volume of carbon is accumulated

Rate of development for alternative uses

Volume of carbon released as a result of development

Current protection areas

Cost of additional protections

All of the above may vary by location; collect information on different locations

Predict the cost of blue carbon emissions avoided (per ton C, CO2)

Evaluate whether blue carbon presents cost-effective emission reduction

possibilities (relative to other opportunities such as other offsets, direct

reductions)

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Page 6: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Mangroves Areas Globally

Map drawn in ArcGIS using data from Giri, C. et al;. (2011), Status and distribution of mangrove forests of the world using

earth observation satellite data. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 20: 154–159.

Page 7: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Americas

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Page 8: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Bahamas, Cuba

Page 9: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Bahamas Close-up

Page 10: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Mangrove Areas in Bahamas

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Bahamas Close-up II

Page 11: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Comparison to UNEP data

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Comparison to Earlier Data (UNEP)

Page 12: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

South Florida

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Page 13: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

SE Asia, Oceania

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Page 14: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Borneo

Page 15: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Borneo: Protected Areas

Page 16: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Mangroves, Global Distribution

(% share of total)

Page 17: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Carbon Storage (% share of total)

Page 18: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Mangrove Centers

Total area globally about 139,000 km2 (13.9

million hectares, 35 million acres)

Indonesia alone accounts for roughly one fifth

Six countries account for more than 50%:

Indonesia, Brazil, Australia, Mexico, Nigeria,

Malaysia

Regionally, Southeast Asia contains almost

half of all global mangroves

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Page 19: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Globally Countries with

Current Losses

Annual Losses

Mangroves, km2 139,170 128,213 1,023

Total C, millions tons 3,448 3,214 30.1

Total C, tons per hectare

on average 247 251 294

Protections, ha 560,461 541,959 4,000 (avoided)

Protections, mt C 400.5 388.3 1.1 (avoided)

Mangrove Area, Carbon, and

Current Protections (Preliminary)

Page 20: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

$14

$16

$18

$20

- 14 29 43 57 71 86 100 114

$/ton CO2

CO2, millions of tons annually

Marginal Cost of Preserving Mangrove

Blue Carbon (Preliminary)

Page 21: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

$14

$16

$18

$20

- 14 29 43 57 71 86 100 114

$/ton CO2

CO2, millions of tons annually

Marginal Cost of Preserving Mangrove

Blue Carbon (Preliminary)

EU ETS: CER CLOSE

May 31, 2011 12.94 €

($18.61)

Page 22: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

21 Note: The above estimates are in C, not in CO2 (one ton C = 3.67 tons CO2)

Americas and Caribbean

Global and Regional Supply Curves

(Preliminary)

Page 23: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Governance Considerations

(Preliminary)

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Americas and Caribbean

Page 24: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Summary Mangroves

store large amounts of carbon

are subject to considerable development threats

have high emissions per hectare lost relative to tropical forests

Preliminary results

Potential for considerable and cost-effective emission reductions

Southeast Asia emerges as a central region

Governance issues may restrict volume of low-cost emission reductions

Knowledge accumulating, but lot more to learn

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Page 25: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Future Research Needs

Regional and local assessment

Regional and country level assessments

Reduce uncertainties, unknowns

Better targeting of conservation investments

Salt marshes and sea grasses

Serious lack of information

Systematic assessments limited by data

Carbon is not the only benefit from coastal ecosystems

Potential co-benefits to other ecosystem services may be

considerable, surely worthy of systematic assessments

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Page 26: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

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Birds

Page 27: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Fish

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Page 28: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

Other species

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Page 29: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

People

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Page 30: Preserving Blue Carbon - media.rff.org€¦ · Preserving Blue Carbon: Global Options for Reducing Emissions from Coastal Ecosystems RFF Briefing New York, June 2, 2011 Juha Siikamäki

For more information, please contact

Juha Siikamäki

Resources for the Future

[email protected]

Tel. 202-328-517

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