11
1 Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation The Hon Peter Costello MP Treasurer

Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

  • Upload
    frye

  • View
    25

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

The Hon Peter Costello MP Treasurer. Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation. Australia’s economic position in 1996. Source: ABS Cat. No.5206.0. Underlying cash balance. Source: Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2005-06. General government net debt. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

1

Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

The Hon Peter Costello MPTreasurer

Page 2: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Australia’s economic position in 1996

Source: ABS Cat. No.5206.0

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

1972-73 1976-77 1980-81 1984-85 1988-89 1992-93 1996-97 2000-01 2004-05

-4

-2

0

2

4

6Per cent Per cent

Page 3: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Underlying cash balance

Source: Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2005-06

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

1994-95 1996-97 1998-99 2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07(e) 2008-09(p)

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

Ou

tco

me

s

Est

ima

tes

Pro

ject

ion

s

Per cent of GDP Per cent of GDP

Page 4: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

General government net debt

Source: Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2005-06

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

United States Japan Canada OECD Australia

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Decade from 1997 to 2006

Per cent of GDP Per cent of GDP

Page 5: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Continuing economic growth

Source: ABS Cat. No. 5206.0

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

1972-73 1976-77 1980-81 1984-85 1988-89 1992-93 1996-97 2000-01 2004-05

-4

-2

0

2

4

6Per cent Per cent

Page 6: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Australia’s economic recovery(The difference between Australian and OECD average GDP per person)*

Source: Groningen Growth and Development Centre and The Conference Board, Total Economy Database, August 2005, http://www.ggdc.net

* 'OECD' includes only the 24 oldest member countries

-3,000

-2,000

-1,000

0

1,000

2,000

1956 1964 1972 1980 1988 1996 2004

-3,000

-2,000

-1,000

0

1,000

2,000

The difference between Australia and the OECD average

GDP per capita (2002 dollars) GDP per capita (2002 dollars)

Page 7: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Current account balance

Source: ABS Cat. No. 5302.0, 5206.0 and Treasury

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

1993-94 1997-98 2001-02 2005-06

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

Fo

reca

st

Per cent of GDP Per cent of GDP

Page 8: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Terms of trade

Source: ABS Cat. No. 5302.0

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Sep-63 Sep-69 Sep-75 Sep-81 Sep-87 Sep-93 Sep-99 Sep-05

70

80

90

100

110

120

130Ratio (2003-2004 = 100) Ratio (2003-2004 = 100)

Page 9: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Australia’s GDP rank (2004, US$billion, PPP exchange rates)

Source: IMF WEO database, September 2005

Rank Country US$billion Share of World GDP (%)

1 United States 11,605 20.92 China 7,334 13.23 Japan 3,817 6.94 India 3,291 5.95 Germany 2,392 4.36 United Kingdom 1,736 3.17 France 1,725 3.18 Italy 1,620 2.99 Brazil 1,462 2.6

10 Russia 1,449 2.611 Canada 1,050 1.912 Korea 1,030 1.913 Mexico 1,005 1.814 Spain 972 1.715 Indonesia 801 1.416 Australia 602 1.117 Taiwan 590 1.118 Turkey 530 1.019 Iran 519 0.920 Thailand 512 0.9

Page 10: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Share of global population*

2005 Share 2050 Share 2050 (2005 plus projected growth rate of population)

World 100 100 140.4United States 4.6 4.4 6.1Europe 11.3 7.2 10.1China 20.4 15.3 21.5India 17.1 17.5 24.6Africa 14 21.3 30.0ASEAN 9.1 8.3 12.4Japan 2.1 1.2 1.8Korea 0.8 0.5 0.7Other 20.3 23.9 32.7Australia 0.3 0.3 0.4

Source: Treasury calculations based on UN Population Division projections

* Due to rounding, individual country and region figures will not add up exactly to the world figure

Page 11: Presentation to the Young Presidents’ Organisation

Share of global GDP (PPP)

Share of World GDP (%) 2004 2050

China 13.2 20.3India 5.9 12.3United States 20.9 14.3European Union 21.0 10.0Australia 1.1 0.7

Source: IMF data and Treasury Estimates 2005