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DRAFT
Presentation to the
Santee Cooper Ad Hoc Committee
®
Today’s Agenda
• Reform Plan Overview – Mark Bonsall
• Resource Planning – Charlie Duckworth
• Governance & Oversight – Pamela Williams
• Closing – Mark Bonsall
2
®
What Did We Find?
• 9% less than IOU average
Low-Cost Provider
• 1st among large agencies, 2nd highest among all agencies (SC Human Affairs Commission)
Diverse Workforce
• #4 of 534 IOUs and co-ops, US EIA
Superior Reliability
• APPA First Place 2 out of last 3 years
Award-Winning Safety
date-unit no-pres no-33
®
What Did We Find? (cont’d)
• 93% residential, 97% commercial
High Retail Customer Satisfaction
• Received DHEC Community Star Award in 2019
Strong Environmental Stewardship
• Volvo, statewide successes with Cooperatives
Innovative Economic Development
• “A” Credit Rating
Solid Financial Metrics
date-unit no-pres no-44
®
Problems to Solve
VCS 2/3 Debt and Mitigation
Transparency
We will take these in turn
in this presentation.
5
®
Debt Challenge
What can we save to offset VCS 2/3 while:
– Preserving reliability
– Preserving safety
– Preserving economic development
– Preserving water operations
– Preserving State and community support
– Preserving jobs
– Without cost shifts to taxpayers
6
®
The Reform Plan saves
$4 billion
in future costs
Key Takeaway #1
7
®
Reform Plan
Capacity and Demand
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038
MW
Axis Title
Winter Peak Demand Plus Req. Reserves Total Capacity
8
®
Modernizing the Fleet
• Coal down
• CapEx down
• Solar up
• Batteries up
• Demand-side management up
• Supply and demand balance maintained
• Modular, modular, modular!
9
®
Leaner, greener and more flexible
These are “principle-driven” changes
They are not a guess
They are subject to extensive oversight
Key Takeaway #2
10
®
Results
$158m
$39m
$79m
$237m
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038
$ m
illio
ns
Reform Plan Savings vs. Nuclear Interest Cost
Nuclear Debt - Interest Cost Reform Plan Savings
11
®
Strategic Choices
$6.9B $2.0B
8.33 ȼ/kWh
7.32 ȼ/kWh
5.61 ȼ/kWh
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
Bill
ion
s
cen
ts/k
Wh
Reform Plan – Debt Outstanding and System Rate
Debt Outstanding System Avg Rate (Nominal) System Avg Rate (Real)
12
®
Key Takeaway #3
Reform Plan savings provide:
Long-term price stability
Aggressive debt reduction
13
®
$73$71
$71
$70 $69 $69$71
$72 $72 $73$75 $75
$76 $77 $77$78
$79 $80$80
$83 $83
$70
$71 $70 $71
$72$73 $73
$74$75
$78 $78
$80$81
$82$83
$85
$87
$90
$92
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
Reform Plan DOA Normalized
DOA Normalized:
Santee Cooper
DOA’s experts normalized Santee Cooper prices for comparison
Reform Plan vs DOA Normalized (21-39)
Reform Plan aggregate revenues $1.4 billion lower than DOA normalized
scenario ($900 million present value savings)
$/M
Wh
14
®
$70$71
$70$71
$72$73 $73
$74$75
$78 $78$80
$81$82
$83$85
$87
$90$92
$64 $64 $64 $64
$77 $77 $77$78
$79$81 $81
$84$85
$86$87
$89$91
$93$94
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
Santee Cooper Normalized NextEra Normalized
DOA Normalized:
Santee Cooper and NextEra
Santee Cooper versus NextEra (‘Market Case’ Normalized by DOA)
$/M
Wh
Santee Cooper Normalized vs NextEra Normalized (21-39)
Santee Cooper plan saves estimated $840 million over NextEra bid, after
normalized by DOA ($450 million present value savings)
15
®
$/M
Wh
DOA Normalized (incl. credits):
Santee Cooper and NextEraAssuming a $500m settlement, Santee Cooper’s rates are
comparable during rate freeze and lower following 2024
$65$66
$65$66
$72$73 $73
$74$75
$78 $78$80
$81$82
$83$85
$87
$90$92
$64 $64 $64 $64
$77 $77 $77$78
$79$81 $81
$84$85
$86$87
$89$91
$93$94
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
Santee Cooper Normalized NextEra Normalized
Santee Cooper Normalized vs NextEra Normalized (21-39)
After adjusting for assumed settlement, Santee Cooper plan saves
$1.3 billion over NextEra bid ($910 million present value savings)
16
®
Prices to CentralCentral Cost of Service
4.79 4.80 4.75 4.69 4.64 4.73 4.78 4.80 4.77 4.87 4.85 4.87 4.87 4.86 4.89 4.86 4.87 4.90 5.03 5.00
2.35 2.30 2.20 2.21 2.23 2.26 2.32 2.36 2.43 2.52 2.57 2.61 2.70 2.77 2.81 2.93 2.95 3.01 3.13 3.21
7.28 7.15 7.03 7.14 7.09 6.95 6.91 6.87 6.99 7.10 7.16 7.20 7.39 7.42 7.48 7.58 7.62 7.70 7.79 7.82 7.91
8.16 8.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
(¢/K
Wh
)
12 years of stable prices
Fuel
Rate
Non-
Fuel
Rate
1
17
®
Pricing Principles
– Santee Cooper to adopt Pricing Principles, subject to annual
compliance review by the ORS, which are:
• Mission – Limit price increases to less than inflation and maintain
competitiveness in the region
• Equity – Allocate costs to specific customer classes in a reasonable,
equitable and defensible manner
• Efficiency – Design prices so that conservation savings are shared with
the customers
• Adequacy – Provide sufficient revenue to preserve the financial integrity of
Santee Cooper
• Notice – Ensure customer notice and engagement in rate proceedings
• Protection – Allow reasonable relief mechanisms for financially distressed
customers
• Transparency – Require openness in annual review of compliance with
Pricing Principles
18
Resource Planning
19
®
Resource Planning Principles
• Customer Focus
• Cost Management
• Ensuring Reliability
• Environmental Stewardship
• Optionality: Long-Term View
• Resource Additions in Small Increments
• Embracing Innovation
• Transparency20
®
Power Supply Plan
• Retire Winyah 3&4 in 2023
• Retire Winyah 1&2 in 2027
Meaningful Reduction in Coal
• 100 MW of dual-fuel aeroderivative CTs in 2023
Reliability
• Addition of ~500 MW of combined cycle generation in 2027
• Power Purchases in 2030s to match needs
Natural Gas Resources
21
®
Power Supply Plan
• 1,000 MW of solar by 2024 and another 500MW by 2031
Sustainable Resources
• 200 MW of energy storage, phased in 2024-2028
Energy Storage
• 150 MW phased in 2020-2027
• 50 MW phased in 2028-2037
Demand Side Programs
22
®
New, Diverse L&R Path
2030’s Energy Mix
Old L&R New Plan
52%
9%
29%
5% 5%
33%
10%30%
17%
5% 5%
23
®
Solar Resources
Utility scale solar costs have declined by 89% since 2009.
Data Source: Lazard, “Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis – Version 13.0”, November 2019.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
% o
f 2
00
9 C
ost
s
24
®
Battery Storage
Battery storage costs have declined by 85% since 2010.
Data Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, “A Behind the Scenes Take on Lithium-ion Battery
Prices, March 2019.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
% o
f 2
01
0 C
ost
s
25
®
Reform Plan
New Generation Capex
Santee Cooper’s plan is low risk with low capital needs
17
44 68
121 117
91
29
59
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038
$ m
illio
ns
Only $547 million of
capital expenditures
26
®Moving Forward under the
Coordination Agreement (CA)
• Reform Plan provides over a decade of price stability
• CA remains fully effective with beneficial changes
– 5-year contract term reduction to 2053
– Remove Cap on distributed energy resources
• subject to implementing policies and processes that avoid cost
shifts between Central and retail customers
– Evaluate sale of transmission assets after Act 95
process
– Improved communications and coordination on energy
risk management
date-unit no-pres no-2727
®Moving Forward under the
Coordination Agreement (cont’d)
• Resource planning and implementation
– Central would work side-by-side with Santee Cooper through new
planning and oversight processes to meet full Combined System loads
– Would together consider options for improving economics of Reform
Plan resources, which can be implemented by
• Santee Cooper on behalf of all customers or
• Central and Santee Cooper on a load ratio share basis
– Santee Cooper’s Commitment
• Integrated Resource Planning to be based on best interests for all
customers - Central and all retail customers
• Subject to new State Energy Office review process
• Mediation if Central and Santee Cooper cannot agree on resource
plans28
®
Together Santee Cooper and
Central can …
• The Reform Plan has been structured to:
– Minimize implementation challenges and risks
– Shift significant project risk from customers to
developers
– Moderate longer-term risks
• Central and Santee Cooper share similar missions
– Low cost, reliable service to Customers
• Together, we can realize benefits of the Reform
Plan
– Economic benefits and reliability
date-unit no-pres no-2929
Governance & Oversight
30
®
Governance & Oversight
• The General Assembly determines Santee
Cooper’s governance structure
• Reform Plan attempts to address areas of
concern
• Balance – appropriate oversight with efficient
operations and legal requirements
• We are ready to assist as requested
31
®
Governance & Oversight
Focus on:
• Board structural changes
• Pricing and Planning Principles
• Stakeholder engagement and transparency
• Regulatory oversight
32
®
Board Changes
• Term Limits (2 full terms)
• PSC qualifications
• Independent Experts
– Resource planning
– Pricing
– Finance
• Livestreaming of Board/Board Committee
meetings
– Board Materials and archived livestreams publicly
available
33
®
Planning and Pricing Principles
• Established by Santee Cooper Board
– Resource Planning Principles (ultimately
drives pricing)
– Pricing Principles
• Compliance reviews by independent
groups
34
®
Stakeholder Engagement
• IRP Group
– Broad Representation
– Participates in Act 62 IRP Process
– Public Meetings & Compliance Report
• Public Hearings for Major Project Siting
– Public notice
– ORS participation
• Public Hearings for Pricing Changes
– Public notice
– ORS participation35
®
Regulatory Oversight
• In cooperation with Central, Act 62 IRP submitted
to the State Energy Office (or other appropriate
regulatory body) for review and concurrence
• ORS reviews and comments on the Board’s siting
decisions, with differences resolved by PSC
• ORS reviews and comments on the annual pricing
compliance report
• Annual Act 95 report to the General Assembly
36
®
We recognize the need for reforms
Four critical areas
Board changes
Principle-based decision-making
Stakeholder engagement and transparency
Regulatory oversight
The final decision is yours
Key Takeaway #4
37
Additional Information
38
®
Reactor Coolant Pump
Escrow in Progress
39
®
What We Have Done
• Hired new leadership
• Held headcount to 10% below 2017 budget
• Produced Business Forecast
• Developed Reform Plan
• Reorganized to focus on customers, planning
and innovation
• Issued RFI for new solar projects
• Debt: paid off $1.3B, refinanced $163M
• Reduced use of coal to 38% of energy mix
(down from 52% in 2016)
40
®
Act 95 Process
• 300 employees
• 300 requests from DOA bankers, lawyers, consultants
• 20,000+ documents initially into data room
• 450 questions before management presentations
• 5 management presentations
• 10 site visits
• 2,000 incremental questions
• 52 conference calls
• 30,000 documents ultimately in data room
• 50 due diligence schedules
• Reform Plan submitted on time and in full compliance
41
®
HR Actions
• 30% reduction in officer positions
– vice presidents and above
• Maintain 10% headcount reduction from 2017 budget
• 2020 budget headcount = 1,675
• Headcount will decline through attrition and retirement
with closure of Winyah
• Supplemental retirement plans closed to new participants
42
®
New Org Structure
Charlie Duckworth
Deputy CEO & Chief Plan & Inn Officer
Financial & Resource Planning
Supply & Trading
Transmission Planning
Technology & Innovation
Research & Development
Pamela Williams Chief Financial
Officer
Controller’s Office
Treasurer’s Office
Corporate Budget & Pricing
Economic Development
Real Estate & Camp Hall
Environmental & Water Systems
Mike Baxley
Chief Public Affairs Officer & Gen
Counsel
Legal Services -Litigation
Legal Services –Regulatory Comp
Corporate Communications
Federal & State
Govt Relations
Local Govt & Comm Relations
Law Enforce & Security
VCSNS 2&3
Ken Lott
Chief Administration Officer & Corp Sec
Employee Relations
Talent Management
Occupational
Safety & Health
Employee Service Center
Supply Chain Management
Corporate
Services
Corporate Secretary Office
Tommy Curtis
Chief Generation
Officer
Cross Generating Station
Rainey Generating Station
Winyah Generating Station
Renewable Generation
Gen Services
Inc. VCSNS 1
Construction Services
Mike Poston
Chief Customer Officer
Cust Service
Wholesale/Indust
Customer Service
Retail
Power System Eng& Control
Distribution Ops
& Engineering
Monique Washington
General Auditor
43
®
Next Steps
• Be responsive to legislative guidance
• Lock in natural gas and purchase power pricing,
and study joint savings with neighboring utilities
• Coordinate with Central – CA and resources
• Work with state regulators to define new working
relationships
• Launch IRP group and process
• Initiate Winyah redeployment plan
• Issue initial solar RFP
• Depth assessment and succession planning
44
®
Benefits for South Carolina
The Santee Cooper Reform Plan :
Transforms customers’ power supply
Aggressively pays down debt
Stabilizes prices
Continues excellent reliability and safety
Continues strong economic development
Continues strong commitment to the Santee
Cooper Lakes
Adds substantial oversight and public input
Holds us accountable to you
45
®
Questions?
46