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2018-2023 Baseline Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017

Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

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Page 1: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

2018-2023 Baseline

Presentation to the Customer Review PanelJanuary 31, 2017

Page 2: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Purpose of this Presentation

Provide a detailed look into the baseline rate path for 2018-2023

1. Reminder of the rate path options and main components: baseline; savings; action plans

2. Reminder of Baseline break out

3. O&M increments

4. CIP overview and increments

Page 3: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

2018-2023 Rate Path Options and Rate Math

Starting Point (September 2016) 6.8%• Scrubbed base & assumptions• Prioritized & removed investments

• Expenditure reductions of $171M

Current baseline operations 5.2%

Plus action plan investments 0.7%

Minus additional savings (0.3%)

Option A: Average Annual Rate Increase 5.6%Option B: Medium Risk 5.4%Option C: Higher Risk 5.3%

Page 4: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline Rates Overview

Baseline Definition: • Baseline rates are the future cost of “business as usual.”

Why we calculate a baseline: • The baseline is our starting point for rate discussions.

Why are baseline rates higher than inflation? • See the next slide for components of the baseline rate

Page 5: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline Rates Overview

Baseline = 5.2%

Components of the 1.70% increase in

operations above general inflationSeattle Inflation,

2.40%

All Other, 0.26%

Capital Financing, 0.84%

O&M, 1.70%

Taxes, 0.39%

Large Contracts Inflation,

0.56%

O&M inflation,

0.61%

O&M adjustments,

0.15%

Page 6: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Detail for the O&M Baseline Component: Focus on Taxes (0.39%)

• Why is tax impact higher than Seattle inflation?

o SPU baseline rates = 5.2% average annual increase

o City and State tax payments are levied on SPU revenues, and so will increase roughly 5.2%

o SPU’s City and State tax rates are fixed during the 2018-2023 rate period

Taxes, 0.39%

Large Contracts Inflation,

0.56%

O&M inflation,

0.61%

O&M adjustments,

0.15%

Page 7: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Detail for the O&M Baseline Component: Focus on Taxes (0.39%) continued

Taxes, 0.39%

Large Contracts Inflation,

0.56%

O&M inflation,

0.61%

O&M adjustments,

0.15%• What are the impacts of the 2016 Solid Waste tax rate increase?

o Tax rate increase from 11.5% to 14.2% included in the 2017-2019 solid waste rate study

o Impacts the % increase in solid waste rates in 2017 by 2.5%

Page 8: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Detail for the O&M Baseline Component: Focus on Contracts (0.56%)

• Two sets of large contracts:

o Treatment of wastewater and stormwater

o Solid waste contractors for pick up, hauling, and disposal of garbage, organics, and recyclables

Taxes, 0.39%

Large Contracts Inflation,

0.56%

O&M inflation,

0.61%

O&M adjustments,

0.15%

Page 9: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Detail for the O&M Baseline Component: Focus on Contracts (0.56%) continued

Taxes, 0.39%

Large Contracts Inflation,

0.56%

O&M inflation,

0.61%

O&M adjustments,

0.15%• King County treatment rates expected to go up 3% per year on average

o 2017 payment to King County = $158M; 2023 payment = $203M

• Solid Waste contractor rates expected to increase 2.75% per year from 2018-2023

o 2017 payment to contractors = $107M; 2023 payment = $133M

Page 10: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Detail for the O&M Baseline Component: Focus on O&M inflation (0.61%)

• Why is there an O&M inflation component over and above the general Seattle inflation rate?

o Some cost categories are inflated at rates higher than the general rate of inflation based on historical experience and future projections

Taxes, 0.39%

Large Contracts Inflation,

0.56%

O&M inflation,

0.61%

O&M adjustments,

0.15%

Page 11: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Detail for the O&M Baseline Component: Focus on O&M inflation (0.61%) continued

Taxes, 0.39%

Large Contracts Inflation,

0.56%

O&M inflation,

0.61%

O&M adjustments,

0.15%• Generally, which factors are higher than

2.4%:

o Professional services inflated at 3%/year

o Health care inflated at 6.4% in 2018; 6.0%/year thereafter

o General cost allocation from other City departments inflated at 6.0%/year

Page 12: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Detail for the O&M Baseline Component: Focus on O&M adjustments (0.15%)

Taxes, 0.39%

Large Contracts Inflation, 0.56%

O&M inflation, 0.61%

O&M adjustments,

0.15%

70% Recycling

Goal, $12.8

Regulations, $7.4

Operating Assets, $14.3

Business as Usual,

$6.9

Page 13: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments: Focus on Regulations

$s in millions

70% Recycling Goal, $12.8

Regulations, $7.4

Operating Assets, $14.3

Business as Usual, $6.9

2018-2023 O&M Baseline Adjustments 6-years = $41.4M

Page 14: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $7.4M Regulations

• $2.7M Source control in the Duwamish including monitoring and line cleaning

• $1.0M Wastewater sampling for outfalls

• $0.8M DWW permitting position

Page 15: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $7.4M Regulations continued

• $0.7M Stormwater code permit

• $0.3M Utility locate 3 positions conversions and non-labor

• ($1.4M) Sewer cleaning

Page 16: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $7.4M Regulations continued

• $1.5M Landfill operation consultant and transfer station monitoring

• $0.8M ADA and energy efficiency compliance

• $0.6M South Fork Tolt Relicensing

• $0.4M Water quality sampling

Page 17: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments: Focus on 70% Recycling Goal

$s in millions

70% Recycling Goal, $12.8

Regulations, $7.4

Operating Assets, $14.3

Business as Usual, $6.9

2018-2023 O&M Baseline Adjustments = $41.4M

Page 18: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $12.8M Recycling Goal

• $7.8M Diaper & Pet Waste Composting Program

• $4.0M Construction & Demolition Sorting Pilot

• $1.0M Waste Prevention Programs

Page 19: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments: Focus on Operating Assets

$s in millions

70% Recycling Goal, $12.8

Regulations, $7.4

Operating Assets, $14.3

Business as Usual, $6.9

2018-2023 O&M Baseline Adjustments = $41.4M

Page 20: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $14.3M O&M Operating Assets• $2.5M Green Stormwater Infrastructure

• $2.2M 4 DWW positions for system control and management

• $1.8M 2 positions for new the dewatering facility

• $1.7M 2 DWW positions for grounds maintenance

• $1.3M Pond maintenance

Page 21: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $14.3M O&M Operating Assets continued

• $1.6M New south operations complex facility costs

• $0.6M South Park and Broadview monitoring

• $2.3M City Financial System enhancements

• $0.3M South Transfer Station Phase 2 operational costs

Page 22: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments: Focus on Business as Usual

$s in millions

70% Recycling Goal, $12.8

Regulations, $7.4

Operating Assets, $14.3

Business as Usual, $6.9

2018-2023 O&M Baseline Adjustments = $41.4M

Page 23: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $7M Business as Usual

• $0.7M Transfer station recycling and reuse payments

• $0.9M 1 Landfill operations position

• $1.1M Tolt DBO contract above inflation

• $2.2M IT maintenance costs

Tolt treatment facility

Page 24: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $7M Business as Usual continued

• Position conversions and reallocations 2015-2020 Action Plans

• E-Learning

• Materials consolidation

• Tool room management

• Asset hierarchy

• Greenhouse inventory

Page 25: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

O&M Adjustments Details : $7M Business as Usual continued

• Position conversions and reallocations new items includes the following:

• CIP support communications and project services

• Environmental Justice Social Equity

• Administrative and strategic support

• Mechanical engineer

Page 26: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline Rates Overview

Baseline = 5.2%

Pipe replacement, Flooding, Culverts,

etc., $506

Infrastructure Related to

Transportation, $184 Facilities

& Other, $86

Technology, $66

Regulatory, $695

2018-2023 Baseline CIP = $1.5B

$s in millions

Seattle Inflation,

2.40%

All Other, 0.26%

Capital Financing, 0.84%

O&M, 1.70%

Page 27: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline CIP: Water 2015-2020

$116

$12$2

$22

$52

$11

$82

$36

$169

$65

$2

$26

$59

$13

$165

$47

$0

$100

$200

6-Year 2015-2020 SBP Comparison ($'s in Millions)

Orig SBP - $332M New SBP - $484M

Page 28: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline CIP: Water 2015-2023

$84 $85

$103

$121

$92

$61$70 $74

$65

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

2015-2023 Actual/Projected SBP by BCL($'s in Millions)

Distribution Transmission

Watershed Stewardship Water Quality & Treatment

Water Resources Habitat Conservation Program

Shared Cost Projects Transportation

Technology

Page 29: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline CIP: Drainage & Wastewater 2015-2020

$42$64

$185

$109$94

$65

$35

$71

$36

$247

$164

$129

$169

$44

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

Protection ofBeneficial

Uses

Sediments CombinedSewer

Overflows

Rehabilitation Flooding,Sewer Backup

& Lndsl

Shared CostProjects

Technology

2015-2020 SBP Comparison($'s in Millions)

2015-2020 SBP - $594M Actuals/Projected SBP - $859M

Page 30: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline CIP: Drainage & Wastewater 2015-2023

$116 $126 $123$146

$171 $177 $177 $187

$171

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Actual/Projected SBP by BCL($'s in Millions)

Protection of Beneficial Uses Sediments

Combined Sewer Overflows Rehabilitation

Flooding, Sewer Backup & Lndsl Shared Cost Projects

Transportation Technology

Page 31: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline CIP: Solid Waste 2015-2020

$85

$1$12

$17

$115

$1

$14$25

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

New Facilities Rehabilitation & HeavyEqpt

Shared Cost Projects Technology

6-Year 2015-2020 SBP Comparison ($'s in Millions)

Orig SBP - $115M New SBP - $62M

Page 32: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline CIP: Solid Waste 2015-2023

$54

$31

$18

$27

$14$11

$3 $4 $3

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

2015-2023 Actual/Projected SBP by BCL($'s in Millions)

New Facilities Rehabilitation & Heavy Eqpt

Shared Cost Projects Technology

Page 33: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Baseline CIP: 2015-2023

$253 $242 $244$294 $277

$249 $250 $265$240

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Actual/Projected SBP by BCL All BCLs and Funds($'s in Millions)

Protection of Beneficial Uses Sediments Combined Sewer Overflows

Rehabilitation Flooding, Sewer Backup & Lndsl New Facilities

Rehabilitation & Heavy Eqpt Distribution Transmission

Watershed Stewardship Water Quality & Treatment Water Resources

Habitat Conservation Program Shared Cost Projects Transportation

Technology

Page 34: Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017 · Presentation to the Customer Review Panel January 31, 2017. Purpose of this Presentation Provide a detailed look into

Next:

• February 22nd

• O&M Baseline details

• Action Plan details

• Financial Assumptions, if time permits

• March

• Detail on reduction options