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December 8, 2004 1 Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee Site Visit Observations The Big Picture as Seen by An Outsider Dr. Tony Fabelo The JFA Institute

Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

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Page 1: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20041

Presentation to Kansas 3R

Legislative Committee

Site Visit Observations

The Big Picture as Seen by An

Outsider

Dr. Tony Fabelo

The JFA Institute

Page 2: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20042

Overview

• Framework of Tough and Smart

Policies in Place

• Framework Under Pressure

• Opportunities to Strengthen

Framework

Page 3: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20043

Framework

Tough Smart

Increased

punishments/incapacitation

for violent offenders

Increased alternatives

for low level non-

violent offenders

Sentencing Guidelines Structure

Page 4: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20044

Strong Policies in Place

• Sentencing guidelines structure

�Tougher sentences for serious offenders

�Expanded use of probation for low level drug possession offenders

�Extended probation for violators as “graduated sanction”

�Low number of absconders

� 2.5% of offenders under supervision

Page 5: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20045

Non Drug More Severe Admissions Up

*Kansas Sentencing Commission, Annual Report, 2003, page 62

Page 6: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20046

Probation Sentences Up

*Kansas Sentencing Commission, Annual Report, 2003, page 63

Page 7: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20047

Higher # of Lower Severity Drug

Probation Sentences

*Kansas Sentencing Commission, Annual Report, 2003, page 64

Page 8: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20048

Incarceration Rate Low

*2004 Corrections Briefing Report, Kansas DOC, page 37

Page 9: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 20049

Prison Capacity Planning in Place

• Projection model and consensus process in

place for long-term planning

�Prison capacity expanded at low cost

� 2,635 net capacity increase FY 95-04 mainly

using renovations at total cost of $28.9 million

• DOC strategic planning in place

�LSI-R Assessment implementation

� Level of service inventory at intake and

supervision that considers risk

– Level of Service Inventory-Revised Assessment

Page 10: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200410

Some Evaluation Capacity in Place

• Computerized data

�Available for potential analysis in different

systems but some improvements needed

• Sentencing Commission

�Conducts impact analysis

�Tracks impact of SB 123

• DOC

�Improving recidivism measures by using

uniform tracking times for evaluation

groups

Page 11: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200411

Overview

• Framework of Tough and Smart

Policies in Place

• Framework Under Pressure

• Opportunities to Strengthen

Framework

Page 12: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200412

Growing Prison Population

*Kansas Sentencing Commission, Fiscal Year 2005 Adult Inmate

Prison Population Projections, September 2004, page 21

Page 13: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200413

Correctional System at Capacity

*2004 Corrections Briefing Report, Kansas DOC, page 35

Page 14: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200414

Stacking Effect One Driver of Growth

*Kansas Sentencing Commission, Fiscal Year 2005 Adult Inmate

Prison Population Projections, September 2004, page 24

Page 15: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200415

Violations Another Driver of Growth

*Kansas Sentencing Commission, Fiscal Year 2005 Adult Inmate Prison

Population Projections, September 2004, page 41

29.3% of admissions in 2004 compared to 22.1% in 2000

Page 16: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200416

Parole Condition Revocations Rate Up

1 to 1.63,9272,4412002

1 to 1.53,8962,6542001

1 to 1.95,3853,1782000

1 to 2.65,6432,3471999

1 to 3.15,7731,9521998

1 to 3.65,5461,7031997

1 to 4.35,4251,8911996

Ratio Violations to

Supervision

Post-Supervision

Population

Condition

Violators

Year

* DOC, Statistical Profile, 2002 From Figure 2, page 3 and Figure 7, page 8

Page 17: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200417

Program Funding Down

*2004 Corrections Briefing Report, Kansas DOC, page 88

Page 18: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200418

Community Program Capacity Down

*2004 Corrections Briefing Report, Kansas DOC, page 87

Page 19: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200419

Prison Program Capacity Mainly Down

*2004 Corrections Briefing Report, Kansas DOC, page 86

Page 20: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200420

Overview

• Framework of Tough and Smart

Policies in Place

• Framework Under Pressure

• Opportunities to Strengthen

Framework

Page 21: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200421

Goal and Strategies

Goal: Maintain Sufficient

Prison Capacity to Lock-

up Violent Offenders

Reduce

Time in

Prison/

Stacking

Construct

More

Prisons

Cut Down Probation and Parole

Revocations

Improve Community Capacity

to Receive and Supervise

Offenders

Improve Performance Measures

Page 22: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200422

Why Probation Revocations Up?

1.What are the reasons for revocations

and the population characteristics?

2. Is disparity among counties/districts

an issue?

3. What is the risk profile?

4. Are intermediate sanctions/programs

available and effective as option?

Page 23: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200423

Why Parole Revocations Up?

1.What are the reasons for violations and

the population characteristics?

2. Is disparity among districts offices an issue?

3. What is the risk profile?

5. Are intermediate sanctions/programs

available and effective as option?

4. How frequently is the same offender

returned to prison for a violation?

Page 24: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200424

Better Program Outcomes An Issue?

Percent Returned as Condition Violator

27.9%29.5%31.5%Work Release

Reintegration

31.7%35.2%39.7%Pre-release

Reintegration

27.0%34.1%34.5%Vocational

Education

27.8%35.5%27.5%All Substance

Abuse Treatment

30.3%39.9%41.8%Sex Offender

Treatment

No Need/

No Program

Need/Completed

Program

Need/No

Program

Program

Measures need to improve and DOC working on this

Page 25: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200425

Key Locations

*Kansas Sentencing Commission, Fiscal Year 2005 Adult Inmate Prison

Population Projections, September 2004, page 75

Page 26: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200426

Targeting Areas

Identify

geographical

locations “receiving”

and “producing”

most offenders

Identify strategies to

more cohesively

deliver supervision,

treatment and

prevention services in

areas/for population

Develop evaluation

strategies to

determine impact on

reducing

recidivism/violations

Generate savings by

reducing correctional

costs

Reinvest for further

performance

Page 27: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200427

One Possibility

Court Services

Officers

(Probation)

Community

Corrections

Parole Supervision

Integrated

Use of LSI-R

Assessment

Develop

Uniform

Service

Inventory of:

Substance

Abuse

Job Training

Housing

Employment

Mental Health

Child Support

Page 28: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200428

Another Possibility

Re-entry Transition

Work Release Program

Intermediate Sanctions

Punishments and Programs

Faith Based/Other

Community Services

Caseworker Supervision

Strategies

Target

Community

Job Training/Assistance

for Supervision

Population

Day

Reporting

Center

Page 29: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200429

Information and Evaluations

Sentencing Commission

Examine expansion of role as “hub” for policy analysis and

evaluations to enhance policy development

Examine integration of LRS-R data for analysis

Computerize SC Journal Entry Data

KCIJS

Examine Data Exchange

Protocols

DOC

Examine computer platforms/integration

of data

Examine staff research capacity

Spanning Beyond Justice Boundaries

Develop social services, health and labor data exchange protocols and

measures to track needs and outcomes

Page 30: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200430

Overview

• Framework of Tough and Smart

Policies in Place

• Framework Under Pressure

• Opportunities to Strengthen

Framework

Page 31: Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committeejfa-associates.com/publications/jr/kansasbigpicfinal.pdf · Presentation to Kansas 3R Legislative Committee ... reducing recidivism/violations

December 8, 200431

Thank You