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Industry Steering Committee on Wellbore Survey Accuracy Wellbore Positioning Technical Section 48 th General Meeting Sept 27th, 2018 Dallas, USA PRESENTATION TITLE 1 Declination Error at Depth: A Comparison Study of Gyro vs. MWD Surveys Chad Hanak

PRESENTATION TITLE · 2019. 6. 19. · North (ft) Plan View: Gabriel A 1H 16772 ft 17711 ft 18368 ft EOW 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200-6800-6600-6400-6200-6000-5800-5600-5400

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  • Industry Steering Committee onWellbore Survey Accuracy

    Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA

    PRESENTATION TITLE

    1

    • Declination Error at Depth: A Comparison Study of Gyro vs. MWD Surveys

    • Chad Hanak

  • Industry Steering Committee onWellbore Survey Accuracy

    Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA

    • Chad Hanak• President• September 27, 2018• Superior QC

    Speaker Information

    2

  • Speaker Bio• President of Superior QC

    • A Patterson-UTI Company• Survey FDIR

    • Past Experience: • NASA• Baker Hughes

    • University of Texas• Ph.D. in Aerospace Engineering• Specialized in Guidance, Navigation, and Control

    • Based in Houston• Expertise

    • Wellbore navigation (survey correction)• Automation• Machine Learning

    3

    https://www.superiorqc.com/

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Why Are You Re-correcting Surveys!?

    4

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    35° Turn in Lateral Results in Back Corrections5

    -4000 -2000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000

    East (ft)

    -9000

    -8000

    -7000

    -6000

    -5000

    -4000

    -3000

    -2000

    -1000

    0

    Nor

    th (f

    t)

    Plan View: Gabriel A 1H

    16772 ft

    17711 ft

    18368 ft

    EOW

    3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200

    East (ft)

    -6800

    -6600

    -6400

    -6200

    -6000

    -5800

    -5600

    -5400

    Nor

    th (f

    t)

    Plan View: Gabriel A 1H

    16772 ft

    17711 ft

    18368 ft

    EOW

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    AMI & Twist Estimates Gain Observability in Turn6

    1.65 1.7 1.75 1.8 1.85 1.9 1.95 2 2.05 2.1 2.15

    MD (ft) 10 4

    -700

    -650

    -600

    -550

    -500

    -450

    -400

    -350

    -300

    -250

    Axia

    l Mag

    netic

    Inte

    rfere

    nce

    (nT)

    Axial Magnetic Interference Estimate Thru the Turn

    Estimate

    3- Uncertainty

    1.65 1.7 1.75 1.8 1.85 1.9 1.95 2 2.05 2.1 2.15

    MD (ft) 10 4

    -0.1

    -0.05

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0.15

    0.2

    0.25

    0.3

    0.35

    Twis

    t (de

    g)

    Twist Estimate Thru the Turn

    Estimate

    3- Uncertainty

    Median Estimate from QDC Roll Test

    Turn Straight Hole

    Turn Straight Hole

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    A 5° Lateral Turn Example Using Multi-Station Analysis (MSA)7

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Declination Error at DepthHow Do the IFR and BGGM Error Models Fare?

    8

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Standard MWD9

    Azimuth Referenced to

    True North

    Azimuth Referenced to

    Grid North

    MWD Sensor

    Raw Magnetic Azimuth

    Azimuth Referenced to Magnetic North

    Grid Convergence+= Declination -

    IFR

    Reference Btotal ~ 50 nTDip ~ 0.1°

    Reference Dec ~ 0.16°

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Magnetic SurveyCorrections

    10

    Azimuth Referenced to

    True North

    Azimuth Referenced to

    Grid North

    MWD Sensor

    Raw Magnetic Azimuth

    Azimuth Referenced to Magnetic North

    Grid Convergence+= Declination -

    IFR

    Reference Btotal ~ 50 nTDip ~ 0.1°

    Reference Dec ~ 0.16°

    Survey Correction

    Corrected Magnetic Azimuth

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    How Accurate is IFR Data at Depth?11

    IFR data frequently comes from aero-mag surveys, hundreds of feet above the ground.

    May be checked at ground level for accuracy.

    IFR error level at depth is not well known.

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Raw MWD, Corrected MWD, and Gyro Final Positions (Downhole View)

    12

    Gyro TD MWD TD

    Upper Left 12,545 ft 17,886 ft

    Upper Right 16,907 ft 19,016 ft

    Bottom 14,976 ft 19,957 ft• Blue represents raw MWD surveys• Orange represents FDIR corrected surveys• Green represents gyro surveys

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Disagreement Between Gyro and Corrected MWD Can be Attributed to Three Sources

    13

    MWD Correction

    Error

    Magnetic Declination

    Error

    GyroError

    Only one error source is global to all the wells on a pad

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    After Removing Declination Error14

    Dec. Diff. from HDGM

    HDGM 4.98 deg --

    IFR 4.95 deg -0.03 deg

    Estimated from Gyro

    5.23 deg 0.25 deg

    • Orange represents MWD Corrections with declination error removed based on downhole measurement with gyro comparison

    • Green represents gyro surveys

    • IFR Declination error estimated at 0.28°

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Declination Error Study (5 Multi-Well Pads & 3 Individual Wells)15

    Well/Pad Number of Wells/Gyros

    Azimuth IFR Dec. Error

    BGGM Dec. Error

    Dec. Agreement (IFR-BGGM)

    Pad 1 3 290° 0.29° 0.55° -0.33°

    Pad 2 3 280° 0.28° 0.24° -0.11°

    Pad 3 4 305° 0.01° -0.17° -0.03°

    Pad 4 3 90° -0.59° -0.64° -0.04°

    Pad 5 2 320° 0.17° 0.22° -0.14°

    Well 1 1 165° 0.16° 0.21° -0.05°

    Well 2 1 90° -0.11° -0.02° -0.12°

    Well 3 1 270° -0.79° -1.36° 0.08°

    IFR Error Model Dec. 1-σ

    BGGM Error Model Dec. 1-σ

    0.16° 0.42°

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Are the Downhole Results Consistent with the Error Model Declination Magnitudes

    16

    • Chi-Square metric with known mean and variance• Rejection of the Null Hypothesis at 1% probability or less

    Chi-Square Metric

    Probability of Agreement with

    Error Model

    Full Data Set 46.73 0.000017%

    Worst Point Removed 22.35 0.22%

    IFR: from error model, μ = 0, σ = 0.16°

    Chi-Square Metric

    Probability of Agreement with

    Error Model

    Full Data Set 15.79 4.5%

    Worst Point Removed 5.13 64%

    BGGM: from error model, μ = 0, σ = 0.42°

    Downhole declination disagreement with BGGM error model not statistically significant

    Downhole declination disagreement with IFR error model is statistically significant

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Fitting the Data to a Gaussian Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)

    17

    -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4

    Declination Error (deg)

    -1.5

    -1

    -0.5

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    yk

    , Inv

    erse

    CD

    F (d

    eg)

    Inverse Gaussian CDF vs. Sample Declination Errors

    Sample Declination Error

    Best Fit Line

    IFR

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Comparison to Error Model Magnitudes Based on CDF Fit18

    IFR Declination1-σ

    BGGM Declination1-σ

    Error Model Value 0.16° 0.42°

    Estimated Value 0.54° 0.82°

    % of EM Value 3.4x 2.0x

    CDF Fitting Results

    IFR Declination1-σ

    BGGM Declination1-σ

    Error Model Value 0.16° 0.42°

    Estimated Value 0.43° 0.50°

    % of EM Value 2.7x 1.2x

    CDF Fitting Results, Excluding Worst Point

    IFR error model appears optimistic in terms of declination by about 3x

    BGGM error model may be somewhat optimistic in terms of declination

    IFR shown to be an improvement over BGGM (recent BGGM improvements not considered)

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    Survey Corrections are Used to Fix Spacing Between Parallel Wells Originating from the Same Surface Location

    19

    Standard Magnetic Reference Field Model + MSA or FDIR

    Standard Magnetic Reference Field Model

    No CorrectionsSurvey Corrections Applied

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    IFR is Used to Fix Global Rotational Shift of All Wells Originating from the Same Surface Location

    20

    Standard Magnetic Reference Field Model

    IFR Magnetic Reference Field Model

    IFR Corrections AppliedStandard Geomagnetic Model

  • 48th General MeetingSept 27th, 2018Dallas, USA Wellbore Positioning Technical Section

    21

    Conclusion Regarding Downhole Declination Uncertainty

    • IFR error model• Appears to be optimistic based on downhole data• Statistically significant result• Uncertainty may be 3x the modeled value

    • BGGM error model• No statistically significant disagreement with downhole data• May still be somewhat optimistic

    • Results call into question anti-collision scans (IFR especially)• IFR still shown to be more accurate than BGGM

    • Recent BGGM improvements not considered

    PRESENTATION TITLESpeaker InformationSpeaker BioWhy Are You Re-correcting Surveys!?35° Turn in Lateral Results in Back CorrectionsAMI & Twist Estimates Gain Observability in TurnA 5° Lateral Turn Example Using Multi-Station Analysis (MSA)Declination Error at DepthStandard MWDMagnetic Survey�CorrectionsHow Accurate is IFR Data at Depth?Raw MWD, Corrected MWD, and Gyro Final Positions �(Downhole View)Disagreement Between Gyro and Corrected MWD �Can be Attributed to Three SourcesAfter Removing Declination ErrorDeclination Error Study (5 Multi-Well Pads & 3 Individual Wells)Are the Downhole Results Consistent with the Error Model Declination MagnitudesFitting the Data to a Gaussian �Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)Comparison to Error Model Magnitudes Based on CDF FitSurvey Corrections are Used to Fix Spacing Between �Parallel Wells Originating from the Same Surface LocationIFR is Used to Fix Global Rotational Shift of All Wells Originating from the Same Surface LocationConclusion Regarding Downhole Declination Uncertainty