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Presentation of consolidated results
For the 52 weeks ended 30 March 2013
1
Agenda
2
Jürgen Schreiber
CEO
Strategic and
operational update
Mark Bower
Deputy CEO & CFO
Financial review Looking forward
Jürgen Schreiber
CEO
Strategic and operational update
3
Vision
4
Creating unique
experiences
Focused customer
groupings
Exceptional value
proposition and
choice of product
Distinctive retail
formats
Strategy – key levers
5
• Revamp stores and service
• Store optimisation
• Improve product and assortment
• Leverage loyalty programme
• Grow existing
format footprint
• Expand into rest
of Africa
• Rollout of tested
new formats
• Sourcing
• Pricing management
• Group efficiencies
• Realise
opportunities
Comparable
store growth
New space
growth Credit
Margin
expansion
Trading environment
Macro backdrop
• GDP growth expectations softening
• CPI remains within 4-6% band
• Repo rate at 15 year low of 5% with no expectation
of change
• Consumer pressure remains despite sound fiscal
framework
• Rand depreciation
Real GDP growth (%)(1)
3.1%
2.5% 2.4%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
2011 2012 2013F
6 (1) SARB - 10 May 2013
Salient features for quarter ended 30 March 2013
Edgars division Discount division
• First period of positive LFL sales in quarter
• Gross profit margin of 36.9% for quarter
• Ave space growth of 7.6% for quarter,
compared to same quarter in prior year
• Improved sales performance in the quarter
• Gross profit margin of 31.4% for quarter
• Ave space growth of 0.7% for quarter,
compared to same quarter in prior year
7
1.9
4.9 4.1
5.8
4.1
-2.5 -2.4 -2.1
0.5
-1.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY2013
Retail sales growth (%) LFL sales growth %
1.8
-0.1
-5.9
6.6
-0.3
5.1 4.9
-5.8
8.6
2.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY2013
Retail sales growth (%) LFL sales growth (%)
Salient features for quarter ended 30 March 2013 (continued)
CNA division Group
• Stronger sales performance
• Gross profit margin of 33.5% for quarter
• Ave space reduced 1.2% for quarter, compared
to same quarter in prior year
• Improved sales performance in the quarter
• Gross profit margin of 34.4% for quarter
• Ave space growth of 4.0% for quarter,
compared to same quarter in prior year
8
1.9
-1.2 -1.5
4.1
0.7
3.8
2.7
-0.6
4.3
2.4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY2013
Retail sales growth (%) LFL sales growth %
1.8 2.4
-0.4
5.9
2.0
0.9 0.8
-3.4
4.0
0.4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY2013
Retail sales growth (%) LFL sales growth (%)
Salient features for the period ended 30 March 2013
Delivery against strategic plan Strategic initiatives disruptive in
the short term
• Refurbishment on track • Discount complete
• Edgars at Phase II
• Brand pipeline growing for Edgars
• Tested new formats and first
mono-branded store launched
• Over 9 million loyalty customers
• Comparable store retail sales
up 0.4%
Profitability Sound capital structure management
• GP margin 0.1 pts lower
• Pro forma adjusted EBITDA down
13.1%
• Sale of trade receivables book
• Unwind of securitisation program
• Refinance of all short term, 2014, maturities (by
20 May)
• Migration of funding structure to rand
• Foreign debt principal and coupon substantially
hedged
9
Ave space
growth
3.4%
Retail sales
2.0%
Gross profit
1.8%
LFL Average
715.4 m2
392 stores
GP
margin
39.7%
Edgars division
Comp store growth
• Phase 1 of TP successfully completed
• Key brands secured, not meaningfully rolled out yet
• Optimising marketing plans
• Increased quick response sourcing
New space growth Margin expansion
• New stores and new concepts rolled out including Edgars Active, Edgars Shoe Gallery and standalone Topshop
• Edgars Active format expanded to 124 stores
• Increased promotional and clearance activity
• Input mark up improvements
10
1.1% 8.0% 1.1pts
Edgars division (continued)
Transformation in progress
• Retail sales up 4.1%
• Brands in Edgars and mono-branded stores in line
with expectations
• Private label in transition
• Tipping point stores transformation in progress
• Capex investment of R810 million planned in FY14
for transformation and space growth
Capex FY13 (R millions)
94
208
Expansion Refurbishment
11
LFL Average
580.7 m2
646 stores
GP
margin
33.0%
Discount division
Comp store growth
• Excluding weaker
Q3FY13, LFL
growth up 6.3%
• New generation
fixtures rolled out
New space growth Margin expansion
• Right-sizing of
stores according to
demand and
location slowed
growth
• Impact of Discom
format closure
• Improved pricing
• Optimal sourcing
• Category mix shifts
12
2.1% 0.8% 1.2 pts
Discount division (continued)
Improved customer perception
• Retail sales down 0.3%; impacted by Discom
closure
• Improvement in product and price perception
• Capex investment of R233 million planned in FY14
for expansion and remaining refits
Capex FY13 (R millions)
13
52
186
Expansion Refurbishment
LFL Average
89.6 m2
195 stores
GP
margin
32.4%
CNA division
Comp store growth
• Lower mobile sales
• Product mix
changing to digital
• Traditional
categories under
market pressure
New space growth Margin expansion
• No significant space
growth planned
• Focus on rightsizing
existing and closing
unprofitable stores
• Impacted by sales
mix as a higher
proportion of lower
margin items such
as electronics and
branded toys were
sold
14
2.4% 2.9% 0.7 pts
CNA division (continued)
Ongoing rationalisation
• Retail sales up 0.7%
• Capex investment of R21 million planned in FY14
for ongoing store upgrades
Capex FY13 (R millions)
15
4
37
Expansion Refurbishment
Group initiatives
16
• More than 9m
• 70% of sales on loyalty
cards
• Largest retail loyalty
program in the country
• Insights will help
customise offerings
• Increased focus on
direct supply
• Quick response
implementation
• Increased local and
regional sourcing
• Sale of trade receivables
• System requirements
completed
• Opportunity complicated by
current environment
• Growth in average
space of 3.4%
(4% growth in closing
space)
• Ongoing rightsizing
of stores
Loyalty
Credit
Sourcing
Property
Financial review
17
Key financial considerations
Tax settlement Sale of trade receivables
• No cash tax payments before Sep ’14
• Curtailment of use of R9b of assessed losses
(NOL’s)(1) FY13
• Only 50% of future interest on 14’s and 15’s,
and replacement debt, deductible
• 100% of interest deductible post IPO subject to
post-IPO period cap
• R8 667m of receivables sold to Absa on
1 November 2012
• OtC(2) unwound and notes of R4 300m repaid,
so deconsolidation of OtC no longer appropriate
• Completion of the remaining eligible receivables
anticipated in FY14
• Expenses associated with receivables sale
included in “transitional costs”
• Credit operations (not insurance) reflected in
discontinued operations
18
Events after the reporting period
• Repayment of the remaining 2014 notes,
financed by the R4.12 billion senior secured
term loan facility and proceeds from the unwind
of hedges
• Further R469 million of the book sold to Absa in
April 2013
(1) Net operating losses
(2) OntheCards Investments II (Pty)
Statement of comprehensive income
(R millions) FY12 FY13 % change
Retail sales 24 664 25 169 2.0
Gross profit 9 022 9 184 1.8
Other income 719 774 7.6
Store costs (4 622) (4 990) 8.0
Transitional costs (278) (599) 115.5
Other operating costs (3 552) (3 672) 3.4
Income from JV 541 666 23.1
Trading Profit 1 830 1 363
Derivative loss (10) (897)
Foreign exchange (loss)/gain (680) (1 108)
Discount on repurchase of senior secured notes 36
Impairment of brands and goodwill (126) (465)
Profit/ (Loss) before net financing costs 1 050 (1 107)
Net financing costs (3 688) (3 013)
Taxation 176 (1 107)
Profit after tax from discontinued operations 463 199
Net Loss (1 999) (5 028)
19
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA
(R millions) FY12 FY13 % change
Net Loss(1)
(1 999)
(5 028)
Taxation 4 1 185
Net financing costs 3 688 3 013
Depreciation & amortisation 1 172 1 049
EBITDA 2 865 219
Asset write-off and impairment of intangible assets 148 487
Net fair value movement on notes and associated derivatives 690 2 005
Discount on repurchase of senior floating rate notes (36)
Transitional costs 278 599
Other(3) 96 (54)
Adjusted EBITDA 4 041 3 256
Net reduction resulting from pro forma transactions(2) (860) (493)
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 3 181 2 763 (13.1)
20
1) The results of discontinued operations are included being R463 million (FY2012) and R199 million (FY2013).
2) Pro forma income “lost” to Absa for the portion of the trade receivables book sold including finance charges revenue, bad debts and provisions and including a pro forma fee earned by
Edcon under the new arrangement with Absa.
3) Other consists of advisory fees relating to funding and Mastercard sale
• Pro forma adjusted EBITDA is adjusted to exclude transitional costs and to take into account the transaction with Absa
Divisional analysis
Division Total retail sales
growth %
Comparable store
sales growth % Gross profit margin
%
Contribution %
FY12
Actual
FY13
Actual
FY12
LFL(1)
FY13
LFL(1)
FY12
Actual
FY13
Actual
FY13
Retail
sales
FY13
Gross
profit
Edgars 8.7 4.1 4.9 (1.1) 40.8 39.7 53 58
Discount 8.4 (0.3) 10.8 2.1 31.8 33.0 39 35
CNA 8.5 0.7 7.7 2.4 33.1 32.4 8 7
Total 8.6 2.0 7.4 0.4 36.6 36.5 100 100
93%
7%
Retail sales: Geographic split
South Africa
Rest of Africa
21 (1) Like-for-like (comparable store sales)
Cost analysis for FY13
Store costs
• Increased 8.0% for the year
• Key costs
• Rental on premises increased 11.7% affected also
by a 3.4% increase in average space
• Water and electricity increased by 15.0%
• Productivity improvements
22
Other operating costs
• Moderate growth of 3.4%, excluding transitional
costs
• Transitional costs of R 599m compared to
R278m in FY2012
• Mainly due to sale of trade receivables to Absa
• Costs of administering book for Absa included
from 1 November 2012
Cashflow for FY13
23
75 138
55
TY cashflow
7 705
Taxation Net
financing
costs
Captial
expenditure
Working
capital
10 050
Transitional
costs
Operating
activities
463
LY cashflow
-1 679
321
57
102
10 050
8 667
Rec’bles
ongoing
Inventory Rec’bles
sold
1 224
Payables Total
Capex investment for FY13
Refurbishment key
• Total capex of R819 million (excluding finance leases) for FY13
(FY12: R710 million)
• 147 stores opened (incl. 128 conversions)
• Store refurbishment still key to strategy across the group
• R431 million spent on refurbishments vs. R239 million
in FY12
• Spend on information systems infrastructure declined by 35.5%
as implementation of new planning system was now
completed.
Total capex breakdown (R millions)
302
238
41
189
49
Edgars Discount CNA IT Other
Store capex mix (R millions)
150
431
Expansion Refurbishment
24
Movement on net debt for quarter ended 30 March 2013
25
2 633
8 189 8 116
967 1 300
Debt repaid
19 514
FY2013 Hedges Q3 FY2013 Working
capital
New debt
raised (1)
16 475
FX and
other
(1) Including drawings from cash on hand and €300 fixed rate notes
Liquidity and capital resources
• 81% of all foreign debt principal and
100% of coupon hedged to ZAR between
March 2014 and March 2015
• Refinanced 2014 FRN’s after the
reporting period
• 2015s not urgent at this time
• Remaining eligible receivables classified
as held-for-sale
(R millions)
FY2013
Drawn(1)
Super senior secured
Revolving credit facility in ZAR 1 456
2016’s ZAR Floating notes – J+625bps 1 010
Senior secured
2014’s € FRN’s – E+325bps 4 543
2018’s € Fixed rate – 9.5% 6 950
2018’s $ Fixed rate – 9.5% 2 228
Senior
2015’s € FRN’s – E+550bps 4 406
Deferred option premium 305
Lease liabilities 313
Gross debt 21 211
Derivatives (1 028)
Cash on hand (669)
Net debt 19 514
26
As at 30 March 2013
(1) March 30, 2013 FX Rates used for translation ZAR/USD R 9.16 ZAR/EURO R11.78
Events after the reporting period
Ongoing management Gross debt (pro forma)
• Update to hedging strategy
• Coupon fully hedged
• Approximately 17% of principal remains unhedged
• Extension of RCF to 31 December 2016
• Repayment of remaining senior secured
floating rate notes
• Second closing of sale of the trade receivables
• Further R469 million of the SA book sold to Absa
• Expect to complete sale of remaining eligible
receivables in FY14
35%
11% 37%
17%
ZAR USD (hedged) EURO (hedged) EURO (unhedged)
27
Events after the reporting period (continued)
28
(R millions) FY2013 Hedges
Absa sale
2nd closing
Repayment of
2014 notes
Pro forma
closing
Super senior secured
Revolving credit facility in ZAR 1 456 1 456
2016’s ZAR Floating notes –
J+625bps 1 010 1 010
Senior secured
2014’s € FRN’s – E+325bps 4 543 (4 543) 0
2018’s € Fixed rate – 9.5% 6 950 6 950
2018’s $ Fixed rate – 9.5% 2 228 2 228
Term loan in ZAR – J+700bps - 4 120 4 120
Senior
2015’s € FRN’s – E+550bps 4 406 4 406
Deferred option premium 305 271 576
Lease liabilities 313 313
Gross debt 21 211 21 059
Derivatives (1 028) 581 (447)
Cash on hand (669) (469) (158) (1 297)
Net debt 19 514 271 (469) 0 19 315
Looking forward
29
Outlook
• Implementation of Edgars strategy
• Space growth and rollout in rest of Africa
• Continue with Discount strategy
• Reduce cost base and grow loyalty / credit
30
Thank you
For more information
Our website: www.edcon.co.za
Edcon contacts for more information:
Executive Investor Relations and Media:
Debbie Millar 011 495 4086 / [email protected]
31