Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Presentation by Major Campbell Robertsto Early Education Federation
November 2010
To those that have more shall be givenINEQUALITY IN EARLY CHILDHOOD EDUCATION
Children are our future and should be treasured
Social gradients
Inequality in ECE
The Silver Tsunami
An overview
1
2
3
Social Gradients1
RICHARD WILKINSON & KATE PICKETT
Social Gradients1
Maths & literacy scores of 15 years by income inequality of country
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Income inequality
Ave
rag
e o
f m
ath
s &
lit
era
cy s
core
s
LOW
HIGH
New Zealand Australia
UK
Finland
Israel
Belgium
USA
Portugal
Japan
Netherlands
Canada
Italy
Greece
Norway
Spain
Austria
Denmark
Sweden SwitzerlandIreland
Germany
France
SOURCE: Figure 8.1 The Spirit Level
Childrens' literacy scores in relation to their parents' education
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
Less than middle school Less than high school High School Less than college College and higher
Parents' education
Lit
era
ct s
co
re o
f ch
ildre
n
United States
United Kingdom
Belgium
Finland
SOURCE: Figure 8.4 The Spirit Level
Social gradients1
Social Gradients1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Decile of School
NCEA Pass rates by School Decile % of YEAR 11 STUDENTS PASSING LEVEL 1
POORESTWEALTHIEST
2004 Results
2009 Results Results
Social Gradients1
Percentage of Year 1 students who attended ECE - 2009
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
Decile 1 Decile 2 Decile 3 Decile 4 Decile 5 Decile 6 Decile 7 Decile 8 Decile 9 Decile 10 Average
School decile
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
ne
w e
ntr
an
ts
Maori participation in ECE 2000-2009
Inequality in Early Childhood Education2
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Num
bers
of
Chi
ldre
n
Maori children enrolled in ECE
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Num
bers
of
Chi
ldre
n
Maori children enrolled in ECE
Maori children aged under 5
Maori participation in ECE 2000-2009
Inequality in Early Childhood Education2
Maori participation in ECE 2000-2009
Inequality in Early Childhood Education2
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Num
bers
of
Chi
ldre
n
Maori children enrolled in ECE
Maori children aged under 5
Births ie. Maori children aged under 1
Maori participation in ECE 2000-2009
Inequality in Early Childhood Education2
2000 2009 Change
Under 5s population 285,000 306,000 21,000
ECE Enrolments 153,967 180,910 26,943
Under 5s Maori 74,000 85,290 11,290
Maori enrolments 30,134 36,118 5,984
% Maori population 26% 28% 54%
% Maori enrolments 20% 20% 22%
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
As at July
Enr
olm
ents
in li
cenc
ed c
entr
es p
er 1
000
child
ren
aged
und
er 5
Maori
Non-Maori
Rates of enrolment of under 5’s in ECE – Maori v non-Maori rate per 1000 children under 5
Inequality in Early Childhood Education2
THIS GROUP OF CHILDREN NEED FURTHER INVESTMENT
A GROUP OF NEW ZEALAND CHILDREN ARE IMPACTED BY SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC DISADVANTAGE
Population forescast 2011-2031 based on Statistcs NZ "Medium" forecast
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2011 2016 2021 2026 2031
June years
Pe
op
le (
00
0's
)
Working age population (15-64 years)
Children (0-14 years)
Retired population (+ 65 years)
The Silver Tsunami2
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20310
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
June years
Additional New Zealanders aged over 65 years old on a weekly basis
The Silver Tsunami2
Distribution of taxable personal income 2010
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Zero $0-10K $10-20K $20-30K $30-40K $40-50K $50-60K $60-70K $70-80K $80-90K $90-100K $100-150K
$150K+
Personal income
Nu
mb
er o
f ta
xpay
ers
The Silver Tsunami2
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20310
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
June years
Additional taxpayers required to pay for superannuation* on a weekly basis
Additional taxpayers
Additional New Zealanders aged over 65
* Assumes continuation of current NZ Superannuation entitlement
The Silver Tsunami2
* Assumes labour force participation rate of 70% of working age population
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20310
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
June years
Additional working New Zealanders* on a weekly basis
Additional working taxpayers required to pay for NZ Superannuation
The Silver Tsunami2
Unemployment rate and children living only on benefits
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10
Quarterly
Per
cent
Official unemployment rate
Proportion of all children living on benefit with any other declared
income
The Silver Tsunami2
Population forescast 2011-2031 based on Statistcs NZ "Medium" forecast
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2011 2016 2021 2026 2031
June years
Pe
op
le (
00
0's
)
Working age population (15-64 years)
Children (0-14 years)
Retired population (+ 65 years)
CHILDREN ARE OUR DIMINISHING RESOURCE
The Silver Tsunami2
Rates of enrolment in early childhood education
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
As at July
Enr
olm
ents
in li
cenc
ed c
entr
es p
er 1
000
child
ren
aged
und
er 5
Maori
Non-Maori
The Silver Tsunami2
The Silver Tsunami2
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
December years
Proportion of students leaving school without qualifications
Maori
Non-Maori
