27
Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report Premier Insight 5 November 2018 News & Analysis Corporates BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the 4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’ approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11 th , 2018. (Investor Daily). PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining 2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance, namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia). Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11% growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with TP of Rp2,100. Markets & Sector Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for 2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan, Bisnis Indonesia). Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000). Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters). Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000). JCI Index - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 5,600 5,650 5,700 5,750 5,800 5,850 5,900 5,950 4-Oct 5-Oct 8-Oct 9-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct 12-Oct 15-Oct 16-Oct 17-Oct 18-Oct 19-Oct 22-Oct 23-Oct 24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 29-Oct 30-Oct 31-Oct 1-Nov 2-Nov Rp bn JCI Index Foreign net buy (sell) -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% (1,000) (500) - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 18-Oct 19-Oct 22-Oct 23-Oct 24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 29-Oct 30-Oct 31-Oct 1-Nov 2-Nov % net buy/market turnover Net buy (sell) in Rp bn Key Indexes Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1% LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8% DJI 25,271 - 0.4% 7.4% 2.2% SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1% HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5% NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6% FTSE 7,094 - 0.3% -6.2% -7.7% FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4% EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6% Commodity price Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year (in USD) Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5% CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7% Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0% Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2% Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6% Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4% Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4% Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9% Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2% Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2% Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4% Source : Bloomberg Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily

Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

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Page 1: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

esearc

h D

aily

Page 2: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 3: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Head Office

PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS

Wisma GKBI 7/F Suite 718

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28

Jakarta 10210 - Indonesia

p +62.21.5793.1168

f +62.21.5793.1167

INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility

or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general

circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular

needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.

Page 4: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

esearc

h D

aily

Page 5: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 6: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Head Office

PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS

Wisma GKBI 7/F Suite 718

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28

Jakarta 10210 - Indonesia

p +62.21.5793.1168

f +62.21.5793.1167

INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility

or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general

circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular

needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.

Page 7: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

esearc

h D

aily

Page 8: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 9: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Head Office

PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS

Wisma GKBI 7/F Suite 718

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28

Jakarta 10210 - Indonesia

p +62.21.5793.1168

f +62.21.5793.1167

INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility

or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general

circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular

needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.

Page 10: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

esearc

h D

aily

Page 11: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 12: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Head Office

PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS

Wisma GKBI 7/F Suite 718

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28

Jakarta 10210 - Indonesia

p +62.21.5793.1168

f +62.21.5793.1167

INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility

or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general

circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular

needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.

Page 13: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

esearc

h D

aily

Page 14: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 15: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Head Office

PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS

Wisma GKBI 7/F Suite 718

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28

Jakarta 10210 - Indonesia

p +62.21.5793.1168

f +62.21.5793.1167

INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility

or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general

circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular

needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.

Page 16: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

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Page 17: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 18: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Head Office

PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS

Wisma GKBI 7/F Suite 718

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28

Jakarta 10210 - Indonesia

p +62.21.5793.1168

f +62.21.5793.1167

INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility

or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general

circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular

needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.

Page 19: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

esearc

h D

aily

Page 20: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 21: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Head Office

PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS

Wisma GKBI 7/F Suite 718

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28

Jakarta 10210 - Indonesia

p +62.21.5793.1168

f +62.21.5793.1167

INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility

or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general

circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular

needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.

Page 22: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

esearc

h D

aily

Page 23: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 24: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Head Office

PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS

Wisma GKBI 7/F Suite 718

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28

Jakarta 10210 - Indonesia

p +62.21.5793.1168

f +62.21.5793.1167

INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility

or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general

circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular

needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.

Page 25: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Premier Insight

5 November 2018

News & Analysis Corporates

BJBR: Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat (BJBR IJ; Rp1,800; Not Rated) will

offer its new 360.1mn shares (equivalent to 3.7% of paid-in-capital) at a

minimum of Rp1,900/shares with private placement scheme (non-HMETD) in the

4Q18 to West Java and Banten provincial government and this private placement

proceed amounts to Rp684bn that will be used for strengthening its capital to

expand its credit disbursement. This corporate action awaits for the shareholders’

approval on the upcoming EGMS scheduled on December 11th, 2018. (Investor

Daily).

PTPP: PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ; Rp1,390; Buy) targets revenue and

earnings growth of 15% and 10-12% respectively in FY18F. In the remaining

2018, there are several project which expected to boost PTPP performance,

namely Makassar New Port, Kalibaru, and Papua power plant with total contract

worth of Rp7tn. (Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: We continue to like PTPP as the company is the only SOE contractor

with positive new contract growth (+1% yoy) per 10M18. In addition, PTPP

earnings target were in-line with our earnings forecast for FY18F with 11%

growth. Maintain Buy on PTPP as one of our top picks in construction sector with

TP of Rp2,100.

Markets & Sector

Cigarettes sector: Government decided not to increase tobacco excise tax for

2019. This potentially disrupt the revenue from excise tax for next year as

Government previously has decided APBN 2019 tobacco excise tax for 2019F

increase 7.15% to Rp158.8tn (2018F: Rp148.2tn). Government also decided to

delay the simplification. With the current simplification, mid to low cigarettes will

remain to fight against bigger players. As of October 2018, Excise tax reached

Rp106tn (+9.8% yoy) where 95% coming from tobacco excise tax. (Kontan,

Bisnis Indonesia).

Comment: After the announcement last Friday, both HMSP and GGRM stock price

has rallied 4% and 6% respectively. We think this is a momentum for the

industry as we expect sales volumes are starting to recover. Maintain Buy for

both HMSP (TP: Rp4,200) and GGRM (TP: Rp84,000).

Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas

Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not

be sustainable as the current price level makes palm oil competitive and would

help producers to boost exports, allowing domestic inventory to decrease. Palm

oil prices are expected to improve next year as production growth will ease and

China shifts some of its vegetable oil demand to palm due to its trade dispute

with the United States, according to top industry analysts at Indonesia Palm Oil

Conference in Nusa Dua Bali. Palm oil price is expected to trade between

MYR2,200 to MYR2,600 per ton in 2019. (Reuters).

Comment: We maintain our positive view on plantation sector and reiterate our

Buy recommendation for AALI (TP: Rp14,000).

JCI Index

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5,600

5,650

5,700

5,750

5,800

5,850

5,900

5,950

4-O

ct

5-O

ct

8-O

ct

9-O

ct

10-O

ct

11-O

ct

12-O

ct

15-O

ct

16-O

ct

17-O

ct

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov

Rp

bn

JC

I I

nd

ex

Foreign net buy (sell)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

18-O

ct

19-O

ct

22-O

ct

23-O

ct

24-O

ct

25-O

ct

26-O

ct

29-O

ct

30-O

ct

31-O

ct

1-N

ov

2-N

ov %

net b

uy

/m

ark

et

turn

over

Ne

t b

uy (

sell) i

n R

p b

n

Key Indexes

Index Closing 1 day 1 year YTD

JCI 5,906 1.2% -2.2% -7.1%

LQ45 942 1.7% -6.4% -12.8%

DJI 25,271 -0.4% 7.4% 2.2%

SET 1,682 0.9% -1.2% -4.1%

HSI 26,486 4.2% -7.4% -11.5%

NKY 22,244 2.6% -1.3% -3.6%

FTSE 7,094 -0.3% -6.2% -7.7%

FSSTI 3,116 1.8% -7.9% -8.4%

EIDO 23 0.2% -15.3% -19.6%

Commodity price

Commodities Last price Ret 1 day Ret 1 year

(in USD)

Oil/barrel (WTI) 63.1 -0.9% 13.5%

CPO/tonne 516.9 0.4% -23.7%

Soy/bushel 8.2 1.4% -14.0%

Rubber/kg 1.5 -1.1% -22.2%

Nickel/tonne 11,861 1.2% -5.6%

Tins/tonne 19,110 0.0% -3.4%

Copper/tonne 6,319 3.5% -8.4%

Gold/try.oz (Spot) 1,233 0.0% -2.9%

Coal/tonne 103.4 0.5% 3.2%

Corn/bushel 3.3 1.2% 2.2%

Wheat/bushel (USd) 508.8 0.1% 19.4%

Source : Bloomberg

Equity |

Indonesia

| R

esearc

h D

aily

Page 26: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

PremierInsight

2 Refer to Important disclosures in the last page of this report

Poultry sector: Corn price would likely decrease as the government allowed

corn import quota of 100k tons despite sufficient corn production in Indonesia.

Imported corn will be supplied to several areas in Indonesia which have logistic

obstacles. Corn import is expected to reduce domestic corn price which reached

Rp4,500 per kg. (Detik).

Comment: This is positive for poultry counters as lower corn price would reduce

poultry feed costs and improve poultry feed sales volumes as farming activities

increase.

Property sector: Astra land built a JV with PT Hong Kong Land Ltd to develop

two apartment towers and one office tower in Gatot Subroto in 3.2ha area with

total gross development value of Rp4.1tn. For the first phase, Astra land will

launch a luxury apartment in 3Q19. Astra Land’s existing project, Arumaya has

sold 40% of its stock, while Anandamaya apartment has only 25 unit left. Going

forward Astra land will create a JV with land owner to develop future projects.

(Kontan).

Page 27: Premier Insight Plantation sector: Some industry experts including Dorab Mistry and Thomas Mielke shared the same view that low palm oil price at MYR2,100 per ton will not be sustainable

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INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period

HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period

SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period

ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the

research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

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