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Third Quarter 2005 Preliminary & Unaudited November 2, 2005

Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

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Page 1: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Third Quarter 2005

Preliminary & Unaudited

November 2, 2005

Page 2: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Table of Contents

• Highlights• Operating Statistics• Revenue Highlights• Expense Highlights• Balance Sheet

Page 3: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 MillionConsolidated

(millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004

ChangeFav./(Unfav.)

Oper. Revenue $ 2,833 $ 2,496 $ 337

Oper. Expense 2,513 2,253 (260)

Oper. Income 320 243 77

Non-oper. Income (Expense) (38) (133) 95

Inc. (Loss) Before Reorg., FX & Tax 282 110 172

Reorganization Items - (313) 313

Non-controlling Interest (9) - (9)

FX Gain 125 123 2

Income (Loss) Before Tax $ 398 $ (80) $ 478

Page 4: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Q3 Non-Op Favourable Due $95 mln Primarily Due Provisions on Assets in '04

(millions)

Q3 2005

Change

Fav./(Unfav.)

Net Interest Inc. (Exp.) $ (54) $ 6

Gain (Loss) on Sale 2 64

Other Non-Operating Inc. (Exp.) 14 25

Total Non-Operating Inc. (Exp.) $ (38) $ 95

Page 5: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

ACE's Q3 Operating Margin Best Among North American Carriers

% Operating Margin

ACE

Alas

ka*

Cont

.*

Sthw

est*

Amer

ican

JetB

lue

Air T

ran

Delta

*

Unite

d

Nthw

est*

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

* Adjusted for non recurring & special items

Page 6: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

ACE's Q3 EBITDAR Margin of 19.4% Close to Top

% EBITDAR Margin

Alas

ka*

ACE

Cont

.*

Air T

ran

JetB

lue

Unite

d

Amer

ican

Sthw

est*

Nthw

est*

Delta

*

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

* Adjusted for non recurring & special items

Page 7: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Q3 2005*Actual vs Prior Year (1)

Mainline Operations

* Preliminary and subject to change.1) Beginning in Oct 2004, Aeroplan air redemption

revenues are recorded in psgr. revenues. Previously, these revenues were recorded in incidental revenues.

ASMs RPMs PLF Yield RASM Rev

Canada 6.0% 10.8% 3.6 PP 6.0% 10.8% 17.4%

US Transborder 1.8% 5.3% 5.3 PP 0.5% 7.8% 5.9%

Atlantic 6.7% 9.1% 1.9 PP 0.0% 2.3% 9.1%

Pacific 9.0% 4.5% 3.5 PP 0.6% 3.6% 5.1%

Latin Amer. & Other 13.8% 17.1% 2.3 PP 1.2% 4.1% 18.5%

Total (excluding Aeroplan) 6.0% 8.8% 2.0PP 2.7% 5.3% 11.7%

Total (including Aeroplan) 6.0% 8.8% 2.0 PP 6.6% 9.3% 15.9%

Total Expense 11.5

Total CASM 5.1%

Total CASM excl. Fuel 3.3%

Page 8: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Domestic Capacity Up Primarily on Higher Transcontinental Flying (Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Capacity)

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q3 2004/2003 Q4 2004/2003 Q1 2005/2004 Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004

% Change in ASMs

Page 9: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Domestic Traffic Accelerates Growth –International Remains Strong(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Traffic)

-10%

-5%0%

5%10%

15%20%

25%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q3 2004/2003 Q4 2004/2003 Q1 2005/2004 Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004

% Change in RPMs

Page 10: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Greatly Improved North America Yields Offset Softening International Yields

(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Passenger Yield)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q3 2004/2003 Q4 2004/2003 Q1 2005/2004 Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004

% Change in Yield

Page 11: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

North America RASMs Up Sharply on Higher Load Factors and Yields(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Revenue per ASM)

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q3 2004/2003 Q4 2004/2003 Q1 2005/2004 Q2 2005/2004 Q3 20052004

% Change in RASM

Page 12: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

North America Revenue Up Sharply While International Remains Solid

(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Passenger Revenue)

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q3 2004/2003 Q4 2004/2003 Q1 2005/2004 Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004

% Change in Revenue

Page 13: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Canada* – Q3 RASM Up on 3.6 PP Load Factor Improvement and Strong Yield

Y-O-Y Change

-10

-5

0

5

10% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10

Load FactorPP Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10

Yield % Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10

15

P-RASM % Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

*Consolidated

Page 14: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

US Transborder* – RASM Up Sharply on Strong LF Improvement and Positive Yield

Y-O-Y Change

-15

-10

-5

0

5

Yield % Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10PP Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

Load Factor

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10

P-RASM % Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

*Consolidated

Page 15: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Atlantic –Higher L.F. Offsets Flat Yield to Keep RASM Rising

Y-O-Y Change

-10

-5

0

5

10% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-2

0

2

4

6Load FactorPP Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10

15% Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

P-RASM

-5

0

5

10

Yield% Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

Page 16: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Pacific – While Market is Strong, Increased Competitive Capacity Pushes RASM Down

Y-O-Y Change

-4

-2

0

2

4PP Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

Load Factor

-200

20406080

100% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10

15

Yield% Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10

15

P-RASM% Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

Page 17: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Caribbean, Latin America & Australia –Higher Load Factor Helps Push RASM Up

Y-O-Y Change

-10

0

10

20

30% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-2

0

2

4

6

Load FactorPP Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10% Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-3

0

3

6% Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

Yield P-RASM

Page 18: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Total* –RASM Up on Equally Strong Yield & Higher LF

Y-O-Y Change

-2

0

2

4

6

Load FactorPP Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10% Change Capacity (ASM)

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-5

0

5

10CASM RASM

P-RASM% Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

-6

-3

0

3% Change

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2004 2005

Yield

*Consolidated

Page 19: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Average Salary Down 1.9%, Employee Levels Up 571or 1.8%(Y-O-Y Change – Average Salaries* & Employees*)

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05

Average Salaries Employees

% Change Y-O-Y

*Q3'05 consolidated - prior quarters, mainline (excluding Jazz)

Page 20: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Cost Per Litre Up 35.7% While Fuel Productivity Declined 1.5%(Fuel Productivity* & Unit Cost*)

-10%0%

10%20%30%40%50%60%

Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05

Fuel Productivity (ASMs/Lt) Fuel Cost (Cdn cts/Lt)

% Change Y-O-Y

*Q3'05 consolidated - prior quarters, mainline (excluding Jazz)

Page 21: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Higher Terminal Handling Chgs., Customer Mtce Mats. and Cr. Card Fees Push Up "Other" Cat.RP

Ms

ASM

s

S &

W

Bene

fitsA/

C Fu

elA/

C Re

ntUs

er F

ees

Mtc

e M

at.

Com

& IT

Food

/ Ba

rDe

prec

.

Com

miss

.O

ther

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%

0%10%20%30%40%50%

% Change Y-O-Y

Q3 2005/2004Consolidated

Page 22: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Unit Cost Excluding Fuel, Down 3.3%(Cost Per ASM*)

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05

* Consolidated

% Change Y-O-Y

Page 23: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Balance Sheet* - Good Liquidity, Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities Pushes Debt Up (ACE Aviation Holdings - Consolidated)

Sept 30/05 $ mlns

Dec 31/04 $ mlns

% Change

• Cash $ 2,481 $ 1,632 52% • Current Assets $ 3,746 $ 2,695 39% • Property & Equip. $ 5,163 $ 3,696 40% • Current Liabilities $ 3,041 $ 2,491 22% • Long Term Debt $ 3,400 $ 2,328 46% • Shareholder’s Equity $ 1.258 $ 203 520%• Book Value per share $ 12.42 $ 2.29 442%

*Preliminary & unaudited

Page 24: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833

Caution Concerning Forward-looking Information:

Certain statements made in this presentation may be of a forward-looking nature and subject to important risks and uncertainties.The results indicated in these statements could differ materially from actual results for a number of reasons, including without limitation, general industry, market and economic conditions, the ability to reduce operating costs, employment relations, energy prices, currency exchange rates, interest rates, changes in laws, adverse regulatory developments or proceedings and pending litigation. Any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation represent Air Canada’s expectations as of November 2, 2005 and are subject to change after such date. However, Air Canada disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Page 25: Preliminary & Unaudited - ACE Aviation Holdings · ACE Operating Results Improve By $77 Million Consolidated (millions) Q3 2005 Q3 2004 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,833