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May 3, 2017 Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017

Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

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Page 1: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

May 3, 2017

Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017

Page 2: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Forward-Looking Statement & Cautionary Note

1

Variations

If no further specification is included, comparisons are made against the same realized period of the last year. Rounding

Numbers may not total due to rounding.

Financial Information

Excluding budgetary and volumetric information, the financial information included in this report and the annexes hereto is based on unaudited consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the

International Accounting Standards Board (“IFRS”), which PEMEX has adopted effective January 1, 2012. Information from prior periods has been retrospectively adjusted in certain accounts to make it comparable with the unaudited consolidated financial information

under IFRS. For more information regarding the transition to IFRS, see Note 23 to the consolidated financial statements included in Petróleos Mexicanos’ 2012 Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and its Annual Report filed with the

Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores (CNBV). EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure. We show a reconciliation of EBITDA to net income in Table 33 of the annexes to PEMEX’s Results Report as of March 31, 2015. Budgetary information is based on standards from

Mexican governmental accounting; therefore, it does not include information from the subsidiary companies or affiliates of Petróleos Mexicanos. It is important to mention, that our current financing agreements do not include financial covenants or events of default that

would be triggered as a result of our having negative equity.

Methodology

We might change the methodology of the information disclosed in order to enhance its quality and usefulness, and/or to comply with international standards and best practices.

Foreign Exchange Conversions

Convenience translations into U.S. dollars of amounts in Mexican pesos have been made at the exchange rate at close for the corresponding period, unless otherwise noted. Due to market volatility, the difference between the average exchange rate, the exchange

rate at close and the spot exchange rate, or any other exchange rate used could be material. Such translations should not be construed as a representation that the Mexican peso amounts have been or could be converted into U.S. dollars at the foregoing or any other

rate. It is important to note that we maintain our consolidated financial statements and accounting records in pesos. As of March 31, 2017, the exchange rate of MXN 18.8092 = USD 1.00 is used.

Fiscal Regime

Beginning January 1, 2015, Petróleos Mexicanos’ fiscal regime is governed by the Ley de Ingresos sobre Hidrocarburos (Hydrocarbons Revenue Law). From January 1, 2006 and to December 31, 2014, PEP was subject to a fiscal regime governed by the Federal

Duties Law, while the tax regimes of the other Subsidiary Entities were governed by the Federal Revenue Law.

On April 18, 2016, a decree was published in the Official Gazette of the Federation that allows assignment operators to choose between two schemes to calculate the cap on permitted deductions applicable to the Profit-Sharing Duty: (i) the scheme established within

the Hydrocarbons Revenue Law, based on a percentage of the value of extracted hydrocarbons; or (ii) the scheme proposed by the SHCP, calculated upon established fixed fees, USD 6.1 for shallow water fields and USD 8.3 for onshore fields.

The Special Tax on Production and Services (IEPS) applicable to automotive gasoline and diesel is established in the Production and Services Special Tax Law “Ley del Impuesto Especial sobre Producción y Servicios”. As an intermediary between the Ministry of

Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) and the final consumer, PEMEX retains the amount of the IEPS and transfers it to the Mexican Government. In 2016, the SHCP published a decree trough which it modified the calculation of the IEPS, based on the past five months

of international reference price quotes for gasoline and diesel.

As of January 1 2016, and until December 31, 2017, the SHCP will establish monthly fixed maximum prices of gasoline and diesel based on the following: maximum prices will be referenced to prices in the U.S. Gulf Coast, plus a margin that includes retails, freight,

transportation, quality adjustment and management costs, plus the applicable IEPS to automotive fuel, plus other concepts (IEPS tax on fossil fuel, established quotas on the IEPS Law and value added tax).

PEMEX’s “producer price” is calculated in reference to that of an efficient refinery operating in the Gulf of Mexico. Until December 31, 2017, the Mexican Government is authorized to continue issuing pricing decrees to regulate the maximum prices for the retail sale of

gasoline and diesel fuel, taking into account transportation costs between regions, inflation and the volatility of international fuel prices, among other factors. Beginning in 2018, the prices of gasoline and diesel fuel will be freely determined by market conditions.

However the Federal Commission for Economic Competition, based on the existence of effective competitive conditions, has the authority to declare that prices of gasoline and diesel fuel are to be freely determined by market conditions before 2018.

Hydrocarbon Reserves

In accordance with the Hydrocarbons Law, published in the Official Gazette on August 11, 2014, the National Hydrocarbons Commission (CNH) will establish and will manage the National Hydrocarbons Information Center, comprised by a system to obtain, safeguard,

manage, use, analyze, keep updated and publish information and statistics related; which includes estimations, valuation studies and certifications. On August 13, 2015, the CNH published the Guidelines that rule the valuation and certification of Mexico’s reserves

and the related contingency resources.

As of January 1, 2010, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) changed its rules to permit oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose not only proved reserves, but also probable reserves and possible reserves. Nevertheless, any

description of probable or possible reserves included herein may not meet the recoverability thresholds established by the SEC in its definitions. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F and our Annual Report to the CNBV and SEC,

available at http://www.pemex.com/.

Forward-looking Statements

• This report contains forward-looking statements. We may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in our periodic reports to the CNBV and the SEC, in our annual reports, in our offering circulars and prospectuses, in press releases and other written

materials and in oral statements made by our officers, directors or employees to third parties. We may include forward-looking statements that address, among other things, our:

• exploration and production activities, including drilling;

• activities relating to import, export, refining, petrochemicals and transportation, storage and distribution of petroleum, natural gas and oil products;

• activities relating to our lines of business, including the generation of electricity;

• projected and targeted capital expenditures and other costs, commitments and revenues;

• liquidity and sources of funding, including our ability to continue operating as a going concern;

• strategic alliances with other companies; and

• the monetization of certain of our assets.

• Actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements as a result of various factors that may be beyond our control. These factors include, but are not limited to:

• changes in international crude oil and natural gas prices;

• effects on us from competition, including on our ability to hire and retain skilled personnel;

• limitations on our access to sources of financing on competitive terms;

• our ability to find, acquire or gain access to additional reserves and to develop the reserves that we obtain successfully;

• uncertainties inherent in making estimates of oil and gas reserves, including recently discovered oil and gas reserves;

• technical difficulties;

• significant developments in the global economy;

• significant economic or political developments in Mexico;

• developments affecting the energy sector; and

• changes in our legal regime or regulatory environment, including tax and environmental regulations.

Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. In any event, these statements speak only as of their dates, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events

or otherwise. These risks and uncertainties are more fully detailed in our most recent Annual Report filed with the CNBV and available through the Mexican Stock Exchange (http://www.bmv.com.mx/) and our most recent Form 20-F filing filed with the SEC

(http://www.sec.gov/). These factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.

Page 3: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Index

2

Key Highlights 1

2

3

4

5

Financial Results

Exploration & Production

Industrial Transformation

Questions & Answers

Page 4: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Key Highlights 1Q17

3

Crude oil production averaged 2,018 Mbd, in line

with 2017 goal

Gas flaring decreased by 5.4%

Operating expenses decreased by 14%

Positive net result for two quarters in a row

Sales positively impacted due to updates in fuel

prices and recognition of logistics costs

The recovery of crude oil prices and FX positively

impacted the financial results

Crude oil processing increased by 21%, as

compared to year-end 2016

Page 5: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Index

4

Key Messages 1

2

3

4

5

Financial Results

Exploration & Production

Industrial Transformation

Questions & Answers

Page 6: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Gross Income

5

1 2

1 Includes distribution, transportation and sales expenses, administration expenses and other expenses (revenues).

2 Includes interest expense, interest income, income (cost) due to financial derivatives, foreign exchange profit (loss) and profit

sharing in non-consolidated subsidiaries and affiliates.

Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding.

225

162

63

(31)

31

(28)

3

65

(62)

349

258

91

(18)

73

121

193

105 88

-100

-50

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Total Sales Cost ofSales

GrossIncome

GeneralExpenses

OperatingIncome

Net FinancialCost

Incomebefore

Taxes andDuties

Taxes andDuties

Net Income(loss)

MXN billion 1Q16

1Q17

Page 7: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Operating Income

6

1 2

1 Includes distribution, transportation and sales expenses, administration expenses and other expenses (revenues).

2 Includes interest expense, interest income, income (cost) due to financial derivatives, foreign exchange profit (loss) and profit

sharing in non-consolidated subsidiaries and affiliates.

Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding.

225

162

63

(31)

31

(28)

3

65

(62)

349

258

91

(18)

73

121

193

105 88

-100

-50

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Total Sales Cost ofSales

GrossIncome

GeneralExpenses

OperatingIncome

Net FinancialCost

Incomebefore

Taxes andDuties

Taxes andDuties

Net Income(loss)

MXN billion 1Q16

1Q17

Page 8: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Net Financial Cost

7

1 2

1 Includes distribution, transportation and sales expenses, administration expenses and other expenses (revenues).

2 Includes interest expense, interest income, income (cost) due to financial derivatives, foreign exchange profit (loss) and profit

sharing in non-consolidated subsidiaries and affiliates.

Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding.

225

162

63

(31)

31

(28)

3

65

(62)

349

258

91

(18)

73

121

193

105 88

-100

-50

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Total Sales Cost ofSales

GrossIncome

GeneralExpenses

OperatingIncome

Net FinancialCost

Incomebefore

Taxes andDuties

Taxes andDuties

Net Income(loss)

MXN billion 1Q16

1Q17

Page 9: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Net Income

8

1 2

1 Includes distribution, transportation and sales expenses, administration expenses and other expenses (revenues).

2 Includes interest expense, interest income, income (cost) due to financial derivatives, foreign exchange profit (loss) and profit

sharing in non-consolidated subsidiaries and affiliates.

Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding.

225

162

63

(31)

31

(28)

3

65

(62)

349

258

91

(18)

73

121

193

105 88

-100

-50

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Total Sales Cost ofSales

GrossIncome

GeneralExpenses

OperatingIncome

Net FinancialCost

Incomebefore

Taxes andDuties

Taxes andDuties

Net Income(loss)

MXN billion 1Q16

1Q17

Page 10: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

0

40

80

120Net Income (loss) and Mexican Crude Oil Basket Price

PEMEX records net income for two quarters in a row

9

Net

Inc

om

e1

MX

N b

illio

n

Me

xic

an

Mix

Pri

ce

US

D/b

Average: 76.6 USD/b

1 Audited quarterly results, except for preliminary results as of March 31, 2017.

4

9

(81

) (24

)

33

(26

)

23

(28

) (4)

(49

)

(39

)

(77

)

(15

3)

(11

4)

16

(19

)

(1

01

)

(85

)

(1

68

)

(3

60

)

(6

2)

(83

)

(11

8)

73

88

(450)

(370)

(290)

(210)

(130)

(50)

30

110

1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15 3Q15 1Q16 3Q16 1Q17

Page 11: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Positive Evolution Of Working Capital

10

(176)

(83) (90)

1

(71)

(15)

(200)

(160)

(120)

(80)

(40)

-

40

4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Evolution of Working Capital MXN billion

(15)

(141)

(85)

(39) (45)

(19)

105

152 44 7 5

(50)

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Cash &Cash

Equivalents

Accounts,Notes

Receivableand Other

Inventories Non-current

Assets Keptfor Sale

DerivativeFinancial

Instruments

Short-termFinancial

Debt

Suppliers Accountsand

AccruedExpensesPayable

Taxes andDuties

Payable

DerivativeFinancial

Instruments

WorkingCapital

Mil

lare

s

Composition of Working Capital as of March 31, 2017 Current Assets

Current Liabilities

1

1 Audited quarterly results, except for preliminary results as of March 31, 2017.

2 Includes committed revolving credit lines.

Page 12: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Decreased Financial Debt

1 Includes Finance Public Works Contracts Program.

2 Includes accrued interests and amortized cost. 11

-6.4%

178 (152) ( 142)

1,983 1,855

(11)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

Financial Debtas of

December 31,2016

FinancingActivities

Amortizations ForeignExchangeFluctuation

Others Financial Debtas of March 31,

2017

Mil

lare

s

Financial Debt MXN billion

1

2

Page 13: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Index

12

Key Highlights 1

2

3

4

5

Financial Results

Exploration & Production

Industrial Transformation

Questions & Answers

Page 14: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Crude Oil Production Performance

13

50.0% 50.5% 51.6% 52.7% 53.2%

37.1% 36.9% 36.2% 35.6% 35.7%

12.9% 12.6% 12.2% 11.7% 11.1%

2,230 2,176 2,138 2,070 2,018

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Crude Oil Production Mbd

Heavy Light Extra-light

-

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

2,400

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Crude Oil Production by Asset Mbd

Other

Samaria-Luna

Abkatún-Pol Chuc

Litoral de Tabasco

Cantarell

Ku-Maloob-Zaap

14%

11% 5%

43%

10%

18%

2,018

81%

19%

Crude Oil Production 1Q17

Offshore Onshore

Page 15: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Natural Gas Production Performance

14 1 Does not include nitrogen.

50%

50%

Natural Gas Production 1Q17

Offshore Onshore

72.7% 73.5% 75.1% 76.1% 76.3%

27.3% 26.5% 24.9% 23.9% 23.7%

5,174 4,946 4,770 4,580 4,367

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Natural Gas Production1

MMcfd

Associated Non-Associated

525 599

502 420

288

91.4% 89.8% 91.2% 92.4% 94.6%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

0

200

400

600

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Natural Gas Use MMcfd Gas Flaring (MMcfd)

Natural Gas Use /Total Gas Produced

Page 16: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Discoveries Confirm the Production Potential of the Southern Portion of the Gulf of Mexico

15

Business Unit Well Geologic Age

Initial Production Water Depth

Type of

Hydrocarbons Oil and

Condensates

(bd)

Gas

(MMcfd) Meters

Litoral de Tabasco Koban-1 Late Jurassic Kimmeridgian 3,276.0 11.0 12 Gas and

condensates

Litoral de Tabasco Teekit-1001 Middle Pliocene 2,472.0 0.9 30 Oil and gas

Total 5,748.0 11.9

Koban-1

Teekit-1001

Page 17: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Progress and Business Outlook 2017

Ayín-Batsil

Ek-Balam

Ogarrio & Cárdenas-Mora

San

Ramón &

Basilio

16 1 Exploration and Extraction Integrated Service Contracts.

• PEMEX continues taking advantage of the flexibility and advantages brought forward by

the Energy Reform, allowing it to share financial, technology and geological risks, that

complement its operation and investment capabilities

Farm-outs (Ronda 2)

• Ogarrio, Cárdenas-Mora &

Ayín-Batsil

Board of Directors approves

second deep-water farm-out

• Maximino-Nobilis

Migrations without a partner

• Ek-Balam

May 2, 2017

• Future case-by-case analysis

CSIEE1

• Advanced model contract

• San Ramón and Blasillo to

be signed during the 2H17

Trion Maximino-

Nobilis

Page 18: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Index

17

Key Highlights 1

2

3

4

5

Financial Results

Exploration & Production

Industrial Transformation

Questions & Answers

Page 19: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

18 1 Includes mainly light cycle oil, dry gas, coke and asphalt.

Crude Oil Processing & Petroleum Products Production Performance

1 • Crude oil processing rebounds

after completion of

maintenance cycles by year-

end 2016

• Stable variable refining

margin, due to value

maximization of production

and the recovery of prices for

refined products

598 624 484 428

552

483 397

365 356

395

1,081 1,021

849 784

948

-

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Crude Oil Processing Mbd

Heavy Crude

Light Crude

2.50

7.71

2.65

5.01 4.91

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Variable Refining Margin USD / b

379 343 273 248 305

228 255 217 213

277

262 247

195 162

188

23 19

13 13

19

49 40

41 41

46

177 151

138 125

124

1,118 1,056

876 802

959

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Production of Petroleum Products Mbd

Other*

Jet Fuel

LPG

Diesel

Fuel oil

Automotivegasolines

Page 20: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Natural Gas Processing and Production

19 1 Includes streams of condensates for fractionating.

3,100 3,023 3,004 2,862 2,813

747 701 644 608 600

3,847 3,724 3,648 3,470 3,413

-

800

1,600

2,400

3,200

4,000

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Natural Gas Processing MMcfd

Sweet Wet Gas

Sour Wet Gas

3,255

3,103

2,994

2,838 2,783

306 311 317

296 306

280

310

340

370

400

430

2,500

2,700

2,900

3,100

3,300

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Mbd MMcfd

Dry Natural Gas and Gas Liquids Production Dry Gas from Plants(MMcfd)

Natural Gas Liquids(Mbd)

1

Page 21: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Production of Petrochemicals

20 1 Includes basic petrochemicals, muriatic acid, butadiene, polyethylene wax, petrochemical specialties, BTX liquids, hydrogen,

isohexane, pyrolysis liquids, oxygen, CPDI, isopropyl alcohol, amorphous gasoline, octane basis gasoline and heavy naphtha.

235 195 232 198 171

254 191

218 168

147

185

181 193

212

142

127

91 83

65

75

196

179 151

140

143

86

71 68

66

77

123

82 65

64

37

1,207

989 1,010

914

792

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Mt

Other*

Carbon black

Sulfur

Propylene andDerivatives

Aromatics andDerivatives

Ethane Derivatives

Methane Derivatives

1

Production of petrochemicals

Thousand tons

Page 22: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Investor Relations

(+52 55) 1944-9700

[email protected]

www.pemex.com/en/investors

Page 23: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

Index

22

Key Highlights 1

2

3

4

5

Financial Results

Exploration & Production

Industrial Transformation

Questions & Answers

Page 24: Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 · 2017-05-04 · 350 400 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income General Expenses Operating Income Net Financial Cost Income before Taxes

23

Questions & Answers

Juan Pablo Newman

Chief Financial Officer

Luis Ramos

Deputy Director of E&P Portfolio

Management

Carlos Murrieta

Director General of Industrial

Transformation