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LookAhead™PredictiveAnalytics
Identify how adverse economic trends will affect your portfolio.
See shifts in credit quality beyond what is shown by a traditional score.
Customize your forecasts based on your data, scenarios and management events.
Forecast future turning points in portfolio performance due to maturing loans.
LookAhead™, powered by Interthinx’s Predictive
Analytics, gives financial institutions control over
loss forecasting and stress testing, and provides a
repeatable and transparent process, accompanied
by support and training from experts.
Transp
are
nt P
rocess
PredictiveAnalytics800.333.4510 [email protected] more information about LookAhead or other products, please contact: interthinx.com
LookAhead is configurable to
enhance business functions across
the organization
• LossandDelinquencyForecasting
• PortfolioStressTesting
• Collections&RecoveryForecasting
• MarketingandOriginationsPerformance
• ProfitabilityForecasting
• CreditCards
• AutoLoansandLeases
• Mortgages
• HomeEquityLoans and Lines
• PersonalLoans and Lines
• StudentLoans
• SmallBusiness Loans and Lines
LookAhead can be used for all retail
lending portfolios including:
KEY BENEFITS
Traditional approaches incorporate variables that have driven performance in the past, but may miss new ones. In today’s dynamic global economy, the portfolio performance factors are no longer constant (e.g. housing prices became a key driver of performance during the most recent US mortgage crisis). Because the Dual-time Dynamics (DtD) approach does not presume to know all underlying variables affecting performance, the environment factors may expose new unexpected factors, resulting in better forecasts.
By utilizing multiple economic scenarios along with analyzing and de-composing past history, financial institutions can stress test and view a vast array of possible outcomes to better see how much of the profits and/or losses were contributed by each of the key performance drivers.
Robust and Flexible Scenario-based Forecasts
• Extensivereportingcapabilities.• Controloverforecastassumptionswiththeabilitytocreate,
calibrate and validate forecast models using your own data. • Enablesimportofmacroeconomics,futureoriginations
and campaign assumptions to generate customized forecasts.• UniqueDual-timeDynamicsallowsindependentanalysisof
keydriverssuchaslifecycle,environmentandcreditquality.• Provenandvalidatedmodelingapproachtestedovermore
than a decade of global economic change.
Real-time Results
Once data has been loaded and forecasting models have been created, LookAhead provides concurrent results with no lengthy implementation or model development.
• Enablesthecreationofauser-controlled,efficientanddefensible process for loss forecasting.
• Permitschangingmacroeconomicvariablesandscenarioassumptions along the process without model rebuilds.
...financial institutions can view a vast array of possible outcomes
PredictiveAnalytics
Explainable and Transparent Forecasts
LookAhead’s internationally published forecasting methodology provides transparency for greater insight into detail, unlike black box ambiguity. Its modeling approach is clear and explainable, and has been validated by peers and regulators.
• Providesvaluableportfolioinsightsthatmay have been missed.
• Assuresanindependentmeasureofcredit qualityandenablesyoutoidentifyvintagesthat represent a higher or lower risk than were anticipated by your origination process. It also allows you to make changes accordingly and ensureseasyidentificationandadjustmentforone-time management events that may have affected historical trends, without carryover to future forecasts.
• Empowersyoutodemonstratetoseniormanagement scenarios under which your portfolio targets are achievable and realistic.
Expert Support
• Providesindustrybestpracticesconsulting and knowledge transfer.
• Experienced,in-houseanalyticsteam provides training, forecasting assistance, andquick-startportfolioforecastsatthe service level you choose.
• CustomerCareguidesyouthrough rapid software installation and deployment.
Benefi
ts + H
ow
It Work
s
800.333.4510 [email protected] more information about LookAhead or other products, please contact: interthinx.com
KEY FEATURES
PredictiveAnalytics
Far more than simply a reporting tool, LookAhead is a mature, end-user software solution built specifically for scenario-based portfolio forecasting.
TheDtDapproachdecomposesandquantifieskey drivers of portfolio performance:
Account lifecycle – Maturation Curve
Economic environment and management actions accounts live through – Exogenous Curve
Vintage credit – Quality Curve
Vintage Analysis Decomposition
Proven through multiple global crises LookAhead leverages our patented Dual-Time Dynamics (DtD) technology.
Maturation
Months-on-Books
Account
Flo
w T
hro
ugh
60
-89
DP
D R
ate
Exogenous
Date
Rela
tive
Change
Quality
VintageR
ela
tive
Change
800.333.4510 [email protected] more information about LookAhead or other products, please contact: interthinx.com
Using a powerful interface, LookAhead enables customers to:
• Generateexplainable,transparent and accurate forecasts.
• Forecastvalidation.• Goalseekfunctionality
solving for actions needed to achieve desired goals.
• Adjustformanagementevents.
• Inputmacroeconomicdata.
• CreateEconomic Response Models.
• Usedrag-and-dropfunctionality through a flexible pivot table.
• Useatableandplotview, with the ability to export data.
• Immediatelyaccessresults as data is entered and modelsareadjusted.
• Generateportfolio performance reports.
• Createscenariocomparisons.• Designscenariosforforecasts.• Correlateperformancewith
macroeconomic data. • Validateforecastsunder
many portfolio management and economic scenarios — all in one place.
HOW DOES IT WORK? LookAhead’s clear and explainable modeling approach has been validated by peers and regulators.
proven risk intelligence for lenders and investors 800.333.4510 interthinx.com [email protected]
©2012. All rights reserved. Interthinx is a registered trademark ofVeriskAnalytics.LookAheadandTrueCapitalaretrademarksofInterthinx,Inc.,FraudGUARD,ValueGUARD,ClearValue,PredProtectareregisteredtrademarksofInterthinx,Inc.
ProvenMortgage Fraud Mitigation & Verification Services
FraudGUARD®
SafeCheckSSN Direct4506-T
ExpertCollateral Risk & Valuation Solutions
ValueGUARD®
Interthinx Review Appraisal ServicesClear Value® AVMiAVM Plus
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TPRRegs DataCivil/Criminal Background Checks
AuthenticLoan ReviewSolutions
Repurchase ReviewsMI RescissionQuality ControlCollateral Value ReviewTPO ReviewCompliance ReviewFraud Investigation
VisionaryPredictive Analytics
MBS & ABS Forecasting Mortgage Loan Assessment ABS ForecastingLookAhead™
Portfolio Forecasting TrueCapital™
Capital Planning
Interthinx End-to-End Risk Mitigation As the largest aggregator of mortgage application data and the most comprehensive proprietary database, Interthinx provides proven end-to-end risk mitigation tools and a leading team of experts in mortgage fraud, collateral risk, regulatory compliance, loss forecasting and audit services.