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Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to Machine Learning (ML) approach Ranendu Ghosh Professor and Dean, DAIICT Ms Megha Pandya JRF, DAIICT Presentation at AU December 17 2019

Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

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Page 1: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) –

From Conventional to Machine Learning (ML) approach

Ranendu Ghosh

Professor and Dean, DAIICT

Ms Megha Pandya

JRF, DAIICT

Presentation at AU

December 17 2019

Page 2: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Soil as Resource

…any material within 2 m from the Earth’s surface that is in

contact with the atmosphere, with the exclusion of living

organisms, areas with continuous ice not covered by other

material, and water bodies deeper than 2 m.

FAO/ISRIC/ISSS 2006

20/12/2019 2 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 3: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Soil as Resource

Heterogeneous

Disperse

Three dimensional

Three phase system

20/12/2019 3 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 4: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Soil Profile

20/12/2019 4 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 5: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Conventional Soil Mapping

20/12/2019 5 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

• A soil map is a graphic representation for transmitting

information about the spatial distribution of soil attributes

(Yaalon, 1989).

• The earliest soil maps were produced in the mid 18th century

to delineate homogeneous areas with intrinsic soil attributes

useful in determining suitable land use, and not for soil

classification.

• In the 19th century the Russian school stressed the

importance of genetic soil type, while in the USA the stress is

on the soil's intrinsic properties.

• In conventional soil survey, soil is mapped based on a soil

surveyor's conceptual or mental model (Hudson, 1992).

Page 6: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Conventional Soil Mapping

20/12/2019 6 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 7: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Conventional Soil Mapping - Process

20/12/2019 7 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

• Aerial photographs, satellite images, and (DEMs) are used to

identify environmental features relating to geology, landform

or vegetation.

• This process is then verified with field observations

• The final product is a map with a legend of soil types, which

can be difficult to interpret and use.

Page 8: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Conventional Soil Mapping

20/12/2019 8 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 9: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Conventional Soil Mapping

20/12/2019 9 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 10: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Conventional Soil Mapping

20/12/2019 10 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 11: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Conventional Soil Mapping

20/12/2019 11 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

The main drawbacks of polygon maps are as follows:

• They are static. The maps do not provide direct information on the

dynamics of soil condition (e.g., rates of nutrient depletion)

• They are inflexible for quantitative studies. Such studies

(e.g., food production, land degradation, carbon balance, greenhouse

gas emission) generally require information on the soil’s functional

properties rather than a soil name.

• They imply that soil variation is abrupt and only occurs at the

boundary of the mapping units.

• Some information is lost on polygon maps.

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20/12/2019 12

Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ. December 17

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Predictive (Digital) Soil Modeling

Predictive Soil Mapping (PSM) is based on applying statistical

and/or machine learning techniques to fit models for the purpose

of producing spatial and/or spatiotemporal predictions of soil

variables, i.e. maps of soil properties and classes at different

resolutions.

It is a multidisciplinary field combining statistics, data science,

soil science, physical geography, remote sensing, geoinformation

science and a number of other sciences

Scull et al. 2003; McBratney, Mendonça Santos, and Minasny 2003; Henderson et al. 2004;

Boettinger et al. 2010; Zhu et al. 2015

20/12/2019 13 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 14: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

20/12/2019 14 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Predictive (Digital) Soil Modeling

Three main goals of PSM are to:

To understand the relationship between environmental variables and soil properties in order to more efficiently collect soil data,

Produce and present data that better represent soil landscape continuity, and

Clearly incorporate expert knowledge in modeling.

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SCORPAN model

20/12/2019 15 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

S = f (cl; o; r; p; t), Jenny, 1941

Sc = f (s, c, o, r, p, a, n) + e McBratney et al. (2003)

Sa = f (s, c, o, r, p, a, n) + e McBratney et al. (2003)

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Harmonized World Soil Database 2012

Source databases

Soil Map of the World (DSMW)

SOTER regional studies (SOTWIS)

The European Soil Database (ESDB)

The Soil Map of China 1:1 Million scale (CHINA)

Soil parameter estimates based on the World Inventory of Soil

Emission Potential (WISE) database, 14K profile data

20/12/2019 16 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 17: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Harmonized World Soil Database 2012

20/12/2019 17 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 18: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

1. Data base contents

Resolution of about 1 km (30 arc seconds by 30 arc seconds) was

selected. The resulting raster database consists of 21600 rows and

43200 columns, of which 221 million grid cells cover the globe’s

land territory

Over 16000 different soil mapping units are recognized in the

Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD.

A SMU can have up to 9 soil unit/topsoil texture combination

2. Harmonization of data base

Attribute Spatial

20/12/2019 18 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Harmonized World Soil Database 2012

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SoilGrids250m - Global gridded soil

information based on machine learning (Launched in 2014)

Linear models replaced with tree-based, non-linear machine

learning models to account for non-linear relationships

especially for modeling soil property-depth relationships,

Single prediction models replaced with an ensemble framework

i.e. we use at least two methods for each soil variable to

reduce overshooting effects,

List of covariates extended to include a wider diversity of

MODIS land products and to better represent factors of soil

formation.

20/12/2019 19 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 20: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

SoilGrids250m - Global gridded soil

information based on machine learning

Target variables

SoilGrids provides predictions for the following list of standard

soil properties as a function of soil depth

Soil organic carbon content in %,

Soil pH,

Sand, silt and clay (weight %),

Bulk density (kg m−3) of the fine earth fraction (< 2 mm),

Cation-exchange capacity (cmol + /kg) of the fine earth fraction,

Coarse fragments (volumetric %),

Depth to bedrock (cm) and occurrence of R horizon,

20/12/2019 20 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 21: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

SoilGrids250m - Global gridded soil

information based on machine learning

Target variables

SoilGrids provides predictions for the following list of standard

soil classes

World Reference Base (WRB) class

At present, 118 unique soil classes,

United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)

Soil Taxonomy suborders i.e. 67 soil classes.

20/12/2019 21 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 22: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

SoilGrids250m - Global gridded soil

information based on machine learning

Generated predictions at seven standard depths for all numeric soil properties

0 cm, 5 cm, 15 cm, 30 cm, 60 cm, 100 cm and 200 cm, following the vertical

discretisation

Averages over (standard) depth intervals, e.g. 0-5 cm or 0-30 cm, can be

derived by taking a weighted average of the predictions within the depth

interval using numerical integration, such as the trapezoidal rule:

where N is the number of depths, xk is the k-th depth and f(xk) is the value of the target

Variable (i.e., soil property) at depth xk.

20/12/2019 22 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 23: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Example of numerical integration following the trapezoidal rule.

SoilGrids250m - Global gridded soil

information based on machine learning

20/12/2019 23 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

For example,

for the 0-30 cm depth

interval, with soil pH values

at the first four standard

depths equal to 4.5, 5.0, 5.3 and 5.0, the pH is estimated

as

[(5 – 0) * (4.5 – 5.0) + (15 – 5)

* (5.0 - 5.3) + (30 – 15) * (5.3 – 5.0)] /30 .0.5 = 5.083

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Input profile data World distribution of soil profiles used for model fitting (about 150,000 points shown

on the map)

http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0169748

20/12/2019 24 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 25: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Soil covariates TWI is the Topographic Wetness Index (values multiplied by 100), EVI is the MODIS Enhanced Vegetation Index (values multiplied by 10,000), s.d. LST is the long-term standard deviation of

MODIS Land Surface Temperatures (values in Celsius degrees).

20/12/2019 25 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 26: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Spatial Prediction Framework

Spatial prediction, i.e. fitting of models and generation of maps, consists of four main steps

overlay points and covariates and prepare regression matrix,

fit spatial prediction models,

apply spatial prediction models using tiled raster stacks (covariates),

assess accuracy using cross-validation.

20/12/2019 26 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

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Spatial Prediction Framework

20/12/2019 27 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 28: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Fitted variable importance plots for target variables. (based on R2 values = (1 – SSE/SST) * 100

DEPTH.f is depth from soil surface, TMOD3 and NMOD3 are mean monthly temperatures daytime and nighttime (red color),

TWI, DEM, VBF and VDP are DEM-parameters (bisque color), MMOD4 are mean monthly MODIS NIR band reflectance (cyan

color), PMRG3 are mean monthly precipitation (blue color), EMOD5 are mean monthly EVI derivatives (dark green color),

VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light green color)

and ASSDAC3 is the average soil and sedimentary deposit thickness (brown color).

20/12/2019 28 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 29: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Examples of relationships for target variables

and the most important covariates ( RF model)

• DEPTH.f is the observed depth from soil surface,

• T09MOD3 is mean monthly temperature for September, TMDMOD3 is mean annual temperature,

• PRSMRG3 is total annual precipitation,

• M04MOD4 is mean monthly MODIS NIR band reflectance for April,

• P07MRG3 is mean monthly precipitation for July,

• T01MOD3 is mean monthly temperature for January, and T02MOD3 is mean monthly temperature for February .

20/12/2019 29 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 30: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Predicting SEC, pH and SOC using ML approach

Objectives

• To develop PSM model, different approaches has been applied.

• Regression methods and neural network based model approach has been explored.

• SHC was used for training and validation as point data source while satellite based environmental parameters were used as covariates.

• The model trained for 2011-2012 data and tested for the year 2018.

20/12/2019 30 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 31: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Methodology

S = f (S,C,O,R,P,A,N)

f – Regression Methods

Decision trees,

Neural networks,

etc..

20/12/2019 31 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

SHC Covariates

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Datasets Used

20/12/2019 32 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

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Artificial Neural Network Architecture

*W

*W

*W

*W

Rainfall Data

NDVI

Digital Elevation Model

Slope

Input Layer Hidden Layer

Error

Estimation

Predicted

Value Check

Threshold

Back to next iteration

Within

threshold

Outside

threshold

Output

Value

Output Layer

20/12/2019 33 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 34: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

NN Architecture

• Input layer are the covariates.

• PSM model has been trained with 2011-2014 environmental

data, and predicted soil properties values for the year 2018.

• For particular those points covariates has been extracted and

trained the model.

• Hidden layer contains different activation functions through which

model can learn non-linearity for prediction.

• Output layer contains predicted values.

20/12/2019 34 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 35: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Working Of Neural Networks • The concept of neural network is based on three main steps:

1. For each neuron in a layer, multiply input to weight.

2. Then for each layer, sum all (input) x (weights) of neurons together.

3. Finally, apply activation function on the output to compute new output.

Y = Activation (Ʃ(weight*input) + bias)

20/12/2019 35 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 36: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

• Specifically in NN we do the sum of products of inputs(X) and their

corresponding Weights(W) and apply a Activation function f(x) to it to

get the output of that layer and feed it as an input to the next layer.

• Here f(x) is activation functions which can be different mathematical

functions.

• Some of the popular activation functions for regression based neural

network are,

– Sigmoid function/ Logistic function

– Tanh function

– ReLU function

• Sigmoid function give the

best result compare to other

activation functions.

20/12/2019 36 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Activation Functions in Neural Networks

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Loss functions in Neural Networks

• All kinds of algorithms in machine learning rely on minimizing the ‘loss’ function. A loss function indicates how good is the model in being able to predict the expected outcome.

• It measures the irregularity in the predicted and actual value. It helps in model to train better by controlling the update of its parameters.

• We have done a comprehensive study on various loss functions and chose the optimal one for our network.

• Different loss functions for regression based Neural Networks are,

– MSE (Mean Square error)

– MAE(Mean Absolute error)

– Huber loss

• From above three different loss functions we get better accuracy with MSE.

• Mean squared error (MSE) loss is calculated by the mean of square of the

differences between actual and predicted values across the training

examples.

• Loss function accuracy has been tested with different optimizers also.

• Two different optimizer tested with MSE and Huber loss functions.

20/12/2019 37 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

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Fig. MSE with different combinations of loss function and

optimizer

• From above fig and table it has been concluded that Adam optimizer

with MSE loss function give the minimum error to the model.

• Model has been equipped with batch normalization and dropout.

20/12/2019 38 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Page 39: Predictive Soil Mapping/Modeling (PSM) From Conventional to … Soil... · VWMOD1 are monthly MODIS Precipitable Water Vapor images (orange color), CGLC5 are land cover classes (light

Results

• Above model shows the training accuracy 93% and testing accuracy

with 87%.

• To develop this model SHC data has been split in 80:20 ratio.

20/12/2019 39

Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ. December 17

Model training on Actual and Trained EC

Model Training accuracy for the year 2011-12 Model Testing accuracy for the year 2011-12

Model validation on Actual and Trained EC

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Mean of Actual EC = 0.38

Mean of Predicted EC = 0.37

Standard Deviation of Actual EC = 0.27

Standard Deviation of Predicted EC = 0.25

6.00

6.50

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49

Line graph between Actual and

Predicted pH

Predicted pH Actual pH

Mean of Actual pH = 7.71

Mean of Predicted pH = 7.87

Standard Deviation of Actual pH = 0.61

Standard Deviation of Predicted pH = 0.53

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49

Line graph between Actual and

Predicted OC

Predicted OC Actual OC

Mean of Actual OC = 0.37

Mean of Predicted OC = 0.39

Standard Deviation of Actual OC = 0.14

Standard Deviation of Predicted OC = 0.10

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49

Line graph between Actual and

Predicted SEC

Predicted EC Actual EC

20/12/2019 40 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Actual and predicted

values of soil properties for 2011 and 2018

respectively

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EC

No Change

Increasing Trend

Decreasing Trend

20/12/2019 41 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

OC pH

Change of soil properties during 2011-18 using

training model of 2011-12

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Thanks for your patience

20/12/2019 42 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

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References

• Bradley A. Miller, in Soil Mapping and Process Modeling for Sustainable Land Use Management, 2017

• B. Minasny, ... A.B.. McBratney, in Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences, 2014

• McBratney, A.B., Santos, M.M. and Minasny, B., 2003. On digital soil mapping. Geoderma, 117(1-2), pp.3-52.

20/12/2019 43 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

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• Inputs are fed into neuron 1, neuron 2 and neuron 3 as they belong to

the Input Layer. • Each neuron has a weight associated with it. When an input enters a

neuron, the weight on the neuron is multiplied to the input.

• For instance, weight 1 will be applied to the input of Neuron 1. If

weight 1 is 0.8 and input is 1 then 0.8 will be computed from Neuron

1: 1 * 0.8 = 0.8

• Sum of weight * inputs of neurons in a layer is calculated. As an

example, the calculated value on the hidden layer in the image will

be:

(Weight 4 x Input To Neuron 4) + (Weight 5 x Input To Neuron 5) • Finally an activation function is applied. Output calculated by the

neurons becomes input to the activation function which then

computes a new output.

• Assume, the activation function is: If (input > 1) Then 0 Else 1

• The output from activation function is then fed to the subsequent layers.

20/12/2019 44 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

Working Of Neural Networks

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• Activation function is a mathematical formula (algorithm) that is activated under

certain circumstances. When neurons compute weighted sum of inputs, they are passed to the activation function which checks if the computed value is above the required threshold.

• If the computed value is above the required threshold then the activation function is

activated and an output is computed.

• This output is then passed on to the next or previous layers (dependent on the

complexity of the network) which can help neural networks alter weights on their neurons.

• Activation functions are important to learn complicated and Non-linear complex functional mappings between the inputs and output variable. They introduce non-linear

properties to the network.

Activation Functions in Neural Networks

20/12/2019 45 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

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Methodology

20/12/2019 46 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17

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Conventional Soil Mapping

20/12/2019 47 Presentation at BDA 2019, Ahm Univ.

December 17