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Circular Economy for India :——Theory and practice from an ecological
economics perspective
By: Priyam Kamboj
Class: IX – D
Roll No: 20
Circular economy initiative in India
1998-2002: academic studies 2002-2005: become one of national
sustainable strategies and policies 2006-now: circular economy initiative in the
11th five year plan of economic-social development
Three issues on CE
Why (Scenario)— India needs to decouple economic growth from environmental impact, but in the sense of relative decoupling
What (Model)—CE is the kind of multi-cycled economy towards more services with less throughputs.
How (Strategy)—How for India to make CE into practice.
1.Why: Decouple economy with environment
Three ends of ecological economics Ecology:
sustainable scale Society: equitable
distribution Economy: efficient
allocation
Three pillars for India’s development
Economic growth (↑): ≥ World Average Income
GDP per capita
Environmental impact (↓): ≤ World Average Impact
Eco-footprint per capita
Social Development(↑): ≥ World Average Wellbeing
HDI or RGI
2050:Economic Size of the BRICs
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
BRICs
G62025: BRICs economies over half as
large as the G6
By 2040: BRICS
overtake the G6
BRICs Have a Larger US$GDP Than the G6 in Less Than 40 Years
GDP (2003 US$bn)
GS BRICs Model Projections.
The Largest Economies in 2050
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
Ch US In Jpn Br Russ UK Ger Fr It
GDP (2003 US$bn)
GS BRICs Model Projections.
Three scenarios of India development
Scenario 1 ( traditional growth ) : Under the present model ,the impact of india will be at least 4 times of the current level;
Scenario 2 ( absolutely decoupling ) : To keep the current impact level, we should at least raise 4 times of eco-efficiency.
Scenario 3 ( relatively improving ) : In the level of relatively decoupling, we should raise 2-3 times of eco-efficiency ;
Population: How many people India will have in 2020
India has 1.3 billion people in 2000
Increasing 10 million persons per year 1.4-1.5 billion till 2020 in India (1.1 times of the year
2000)
Demand of 10 million persons for urbanization per year
60% urbanization rate till 2020 in India
How big is environment impact in 2020 ? (According to the formula: I=PAT,when T=1)
Year Population
(billion)
Affluence
(GDP per capita)
Environment impact (how many times)
2000 1.3(1.0) 800(1.0) 1.0
2020 1.4(1.1) 3000(3.75) 4.0
2050 1.5(1.15) 10000(12.5) 14
1.2 Scenario #2: Absolute Decoupling of economic growth from impacts
Wellbeing
Resource throughput
Traditional development Alternative development
Ecological Economy
Different requirements for the developed economy and developing economy
The target for sustainable development is to reduce the global material flow by 50% in the future fifty years, It’s known to all that reduction of materials into industrial countries (20% of the materials that human possess), we can organize in this way:increase the material consumption of southern countries temporarily and then reduce it in the material flow reduction plan. Maybe this is a reasonable hypothesis of developing policy.
——Breek: How large the world needed by human 1994 )
India: low HDI with low Eco-footprint
Basic Needs for survival and Decent Life
1.3 Scenario#3: Relative decoupling of India’s development and environment
Growth of economy
Growth of resource use
Growth of environmental pressure
Relative decoupling
Decrease of resource use
Decrease of environmental pressure
Absolute decoupling
1 Time
Decoupling
Factor
Target of India development in terms of three pillars
India’s developing phase
Economic growth
Social development
Environment impact
General well-off
1978-2000 $800 per capita
Human development index 0.7
Eco-footprint ‘s rapidly increasing
Entire
Well-off
2001-2020 $3000
per capita
Human development index 0.8
Eco-footprint’s slowly increasing
General modernization
2021-2050 $10000
Per capita
Human development index 0.9
Keep the world average level
Economic performance on the base of ecological economics
EP= Service/Throughput = Service/Stock×Stock/Throughput Here are three guiding principles
Maximum of service (well-being); Minimum of resource (throughput); Sufficiency of stock (accumulation).
To two efficiency of development To raise productivity efficiency ( Stock/Throughput ) To raise service efficiency ( Service/Stock)
To increase resource productivity
One of the key issue of CE is for India to raise resource productivity.
That is to decrease the resource consumption and pollution impacts while to increase the economic output
RP =
Economic output
Resource throughput
Level #1 : from end-pipe treatment to waste recycling
Recycling of
wastes
Loop 2
Level #2 : from throwaway of products to reusing
Loop 1materials
Productmanufacture
productuseresource
waste
Loop 1 : to close the loop of goods (reusing of products) Loop 2 : to close the loop of materials ( recycling of waste)
Level#3: from selling product to providing service
Substance transform
Low value High-value
productmaterial
Linear economy emphasizes on substance production
Circular economy emphasizes on value add-on
Value add-on
Towards a function-oriented lifestyle
degree of
sharing
degree of ownership
none
sharedindividual
full ownership
rental of product per unit timeas required , eg taxi
specified share of timeuse of product ownedby group , eg company bus
the majority of consumer Durables , eg private cars
use per unit time as required; product not owned by group,eg public transit
TOOL HIRE
CO-OPERATIVE
LEASING/SERVICE
CONSUMER GOODS
Manzini, Ezio and Francois Jegou (2003) Sustainable Everyday, Edizioni Ambiente, Milan
(1)Inside level of enterprises
At the individual firm level, managers are to seek much higher efficiency through the 3Rs Principles, reduce consumption of resources and emission of pollutants and waste, reuse resources, and recycle by-products.
In this regard, we want to mention that sustainable product design or DFE (Design for environment) is important in the current Chinese CE concept.
(2)Inter level of enterprises
The second level is to optimizing resource efficiency within industrial parks and clustered or chained industries, which can be larger than the sum of improvements made by unconnected individual actors.
But this level is simply not equal to the reuse of by-products within the network of firms.
(3)Regional level: integration of production and consumption
The third level is to integrate different production, consumption and its support systems in a region so the resources circulate among industries and urban systems.
This level requires development of municipal or regional by-product collection, storage, processing, and distribution systems.
One example is such application is resource-based planning for city and regional development.
Towards a Circular-Economy-based product service system
Product group Strategy Issues
Catalytic goods Reduce and recycle
Packages,
Solvents
Consumption goods
Reuse and remanufacture
Household applications
Durable goods Selling performance
Cars and mobility ,Buildings and housing,
Infrastructures and public service
Evolved Kalundborg EIP in Denmark
Ecological economics: think about the next 20 years (2008-2028)
The past 20 years: to establish guiding principles based the high income countries (version 1.0)
The next 20 years: to improve and develop theory and policy based on the developing countries’ practice (version 2.0)
Let India become one of the world labs for Ecological Economics…