PPP Release NM 0208

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    Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]

    FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 8, 2011

    INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media

    inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen)

    QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312

    Bingaman safe, Johnson Dems only threat in open seat race

    Raleigh, N.C. New Mexico Senator Jeff Bingaman generally cruises to re-election, and

    if he chooses to go for a sixth term, he would start off as a heavy favorite. But there has

    been some speculation he will instead retire. In his stead, Democrats should still be instrong shape to hold his seat unless popular former Governor Gary Johnson declines a run

    for president to make a bid for Congress upper chamber instead.

    With a 56-27 approval-disapproval margin, Bingaman is more popular at home than allbut four of the 77 colleagues which PPP has measured in the last year or so. This strong

    favor with his voters gives Bingaman formidable odds to walk to re-election, even against

    Johson, whose 44-32 favorability rating makes him considerably the best liked of thenon-Bingaman candidates, and who is almost equally popular with Democrats,

    Republicans, and independents.

    Johnson comes closest to beating the incumbent, yet still trails, 51-40. By comparison,

    Rep. Steve Pearce lags Bingaman, 57-34, and Rep. Heather Wilson trails, 56-37. The

    Republicans all do what would make them far more competitive in almost any other state:

    they at least match the incumbent in party unity and take more of his voters from himthan he does of theirs. But the Democrats 26-point turnout advantage and independentsDemocratic leanings make these matchups blowouts. Bingaman wins unaffiliated voters

    support by 7 points over Johnson, 28 over Wilson, and 30 over Pearce.

    If Bingaman retires, prospective replacements Reps. Martin Heinrich and Ben Ray Lujanwould also post strong leads against Pearce and Wilson (53-38 and 50-39 for Heinrich

    and 49-37 and 48-40 for Lujan). But Heinrich would narrowly lag Johnson, 43-44, and

    Lujan would fall behind, 40-45. Heinrich and Lujan lose more of their voters to theRepublicans than does Bingaman, but they post double-digit leads with independents,

    except when Lujan faces Johnson, who takes independents by eight points.

    Jeff Bingaman is a near lock for reelection, said Dean Debnam, President of PublicPolicy Polling. Gary Johnson could be competitive in an open seat situation but whether

    some of his unorthodox views would allow him to get the Republican nomination is a

    different question.

    PPP surveyed 545 New Mexico voters from February 4 th to 6th. The surveys margin of

    error is +/-4.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, mayintroduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

  • 8/7/2019 PPP Release NM 0208

    2/26

    February 4-6, 2011Survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    February 4-6, 2011Survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    New Mexico Survey Results

    Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Gary Johnson?

    44%Favorable........................................................

    32%Unfavorable....................................................

    24%Not sure..........................................................

    Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator JeffBingamans job performance?

    56%Approve..........................................................

    27%Disapprove......................................................

    17%Not sure..........................................................

    Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Martin Heinrich?

    39%Favorable........................................................

    34%Unfavorable....................................................

    28%Not sure..........................................................

    Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ben Ray Lujan?

    36%Favorable........................................................

    34%Unfavorable....................................................

    30%Not sure..........................................................

    Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Steve Pearce?

    35%Favorable........................................................

    44%Unfavorable....................................................

    21%Not sure..........................................................

    Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Heather Wilson?

    39%Favorable........................................................

    45%Unfavorable....................................................

    16%Not sure..........................................................

    Q7 If the candidates for US Senate next year wereDemocrat Jeff Bingaman and Republican GaryJohnson, who would you vote for?

    51%Jeff Bingaman.................................................

    40%Gary Johnson.................................................

    9%Undecided.......................................................

    Q8 If the candidates for US Senate next year wereDemocrat Jeff Bingaman and RepublicanSteve Pearce, who would you vote for?

    57%Jeff Bingaman.................................................34%Steve Pearce..................................................

    9%Undecided.......................................................

    Q9 If the candidates for US Senate next year wereDemocrat Jeff Bingaman and RepublicanHeather Wilson, who would you vote for?

    56%Jeff Bingaman.................................................

    37%Heather Wilson...............................................

    7%Undecided.......................................................

    Q10 If the candidates for US Senate next year wereDemocrat Martin Heinrich and RepublicanGary Johnson, who would you vote for?

    43%Martin Heinrich................................................

    44%Gary Johnson.................................................

    14%Undecided.......................................................

    Q11 If the candidates for US Senate next year wereDemocrat Martin Heinrich and RepublicanSteve Pearce, who would you vote for?

    53%Martin Heinrich................................................

    38%Steve Pearce..................................................

    10%Undecided.......................................................

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    February 4-6, 2011Survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    February 4-6, 2011Survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Q12 If the candidates for US Senate next year were

    Democrat Martin Heinrich and RepublicanHeather Wilson, who would you vote for?

    50%Martin Heinrich................................................

    39%Heather Wilson...............................................

    11%Undecided.......................................................

    Q13 If the candidates for US Senate next year wereDemocrat Ben Ray Lujan and Republican GaryJohnson, who would you vote for?

    40%Ben Ray Lujan................................................

    45%Gary Johnson.................................................

    15%Undecided.......................................................Q14 If the candidates for US Senate next year were

    Democrat Ben Ray Lujan and RepublicanSteve Pearce, who would you vote for?

    49%Ben Ray Lujan................................................

    37%Steve Pearce..................................................

    14%Undecided.......................................................

    Q15 If the candidates for US Senate next year wereDemocrat Ben Ray Lujan and RepublicanHeather Wilson, who would you vote for?

    48%Ben Ray Lujan................................................

    40%Heather Wilson...............................................

    12%Undecided.......................................................

    Q16 Who did you vote for President in 2008?

    39%John McCain...................................................

    55%Barack Obama................................................

    6%Someone Else/Don't Remember.....................

    Q17 Would you describe yourself as a liberal,

    moderate, or conservative?23%Liberal.............................................................

    46%Moderate.........................................................

    32%Conservative...................................................

    Q18 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

    54%Woman...........................................................

    46%Man.................................................................

    Q19 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If aRepublican, press 2. If you are an independentor identify with another party, press 3.

    55%Democrat........................................................

    29%Republican......................................................

    16%Independent/Other..........................................

    Q20 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.If other, press 3.

    39%Hispanic..........................................................

    53%White..............................................................

    8%Other...............................................................

    Q21 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.

    12%18 to 29...........................................................

    24%30 to 45...........................................................

    44%46 to 65...........................................................

    20%Older than 65..................................................

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    Remember

    Johnson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    44% 47% 42% 38%

    32% 23% 39% 27%

    24% 29% 19% 35%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    Remember

    Bingaman Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    56% 24% 80% 44%

    27% 56% 7% 13%

    17% 20% 13% 43%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    RememberHeinrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    39% 14% 57% 26%

    34% 57% 18% 23%

    28% 28% 25% 51%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    RememberLujan Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    36% 10% 54% 38%

    34% 58% 18% 24%

    30% 32% 28% 37%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    Remember

    Pearce Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    35% 64% 15% 36%

    44% 15% 65% 35%

    21% 21% 21% 29%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    Remember

    Wilson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    39% 66% 19% 44%

    45% 17% 67% 22%

    16% 17% 14% 34%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    RememberBingaman/Johnson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    51% 16% 78% 37%

    40% 74% 15% 40%

    9% 10% 7% 23%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    RememberBingaman/Pearce

    Jeff Bingaman

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    57% 17% 87% 43%

    34% 72% 8% 30%

    9% 12% 5% 26%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    Remember

    Bingaman/Wilson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    56% 15% 88% 36%

    37% 77% 8% 36%

    7% 8% 4% 28%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    Remember

    Heinrich/Johnson

    Martin Heinrich

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    43% 11% 66% 31%

    44% 77% 21% 37%

    14% 12% 13% 32%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    RememberHeinrich/Pearce

    Martin Heinrich

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    53% 14% 83% 30%

    38% 76% 10% 36%

    10% 10% 7% 34%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    RememberHeinrich/Wilson

    Martin Heinrich

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    50% 9% 80% 42%

    39% 79% 11% 35%

    11% 12% 9% 23%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    Remember

    Lujan/Johnson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    40% 8% 64% 31%

    45% 80% 22% 32%

    15% 13% 15% 37%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    Remember

    Lujan/Pearce

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    49% 9% 79% 34%

    37% 79% 9% 26%

    14% 12% 12% 40%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone Else/Don't

    RememberLujan/Wilson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    48% 9% 78% 36%

    40% 80% 12% 26%

    12% 11% 10% 39%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Johnson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    44% 38% 43% 50%

    32% 47% 31% 24%

    24% 16% 26% 26%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Bingaman Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    56% 80% 65% 26%

    27% 6% 16% 58%

    17% 14% 20% 17%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Heinrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    39% 61% 43% 16%

    34% 14% 26% 58%

    28% 25% 31% 26%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Lujan Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    36% 56% 38% 19%

    34% 13% 30% 56%

    30% 31% 32% 26%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Pearce Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    35% 10% 25% 68%

    44% 69% 49% 16%

    21% 21% 25% 15%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Wilson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    39% 12% 34% 64%

    45% 79% 44% 21%

    16% 8% 21% 15%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Bingaman/Johnson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    51% 82% 58% 19%

    40% 13% 31% 72%

    9% 5% 11% 9%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Bingaman/Pearce

    Jeff Bingaman

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    57% 96% 64% 19%

    34% 4% 24% 71%

    9% - 12% 10%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Bingaman/Wilson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    56% 93% 63% 19%

    37% 6% 27% 74%

    7% 1% 10% 7%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Heinrich/Johnson

    Martin Heinrich

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    43% 73% 49% 11%

    44% 17% 34% 78%

    14% 10% 18% 11%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Heinrich/Pearce

    Martin Heinrich

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    53% 90% 61% 14%

    38% 4% 26% 79%

    10% 6% 13% 7%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Heinrich/Wilson

    Martin Heinrich

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    50% 87% 56% 14%

    39% 6% 31% 75%

    11% 6% 13% 11%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Lujan/Johnson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    40% 69% 41% 17%

    45% 17% 41% 72%

    15% 15% 18% 12%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Lujan/Pearce

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    49% 86% 54% 15%

    37% 2% 28% 76%

    14% 12% 18% 9%

    Base

    Ideology

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    Lujan/Wilson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    48% 85% 52% 17%

    40% 6% 33% 74%

    12% 9% 15% 10%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Johnson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    44% 41% 47%

    32% 33% 32%

    24% 26% 21%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Bingaman Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    56% 60% 51%

    27% 21% 33%

    17% 19% 16%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Heinrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    39% 38% 39%

    34% 30% 38%

    28% 32% 23%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Lujan Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    36% 36% 36%

    34% 30% 39%

    30% 34% 25%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Pearce Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    35% 34% 37%

    44% 41% 47%

    21% 25% 17%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Wilson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    39% 35% 43%

    45% 48% 41%

    16% 16% 16%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Bingaman/Johnson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    51% 54% 48%

    40% 35% 45%

    9% 11% 7%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Bingaman/Pearce

    Jeff Bingaman

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    57% 59% 54%

    34% 30% 40%

    9% 11% 6%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Bingaman/Wilson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    56% 59% 53%

    37% 35% 40%

    7% 6% 8%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Heinrich/Johnson

    Martin Heinrich

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    43% 48% 36%

    44% 38% 51%

    14% 15% 13%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Heinrich/Pearce

    Martin Heinrich

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    53% 54% 51%

    38% 35% 41%

    10% 11% 8%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Heinrich/Wilson

    Martin Heinrich

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    50% 52% 48%

    39% 36% 43%

    11% 12% 10%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Lujan/Johnson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    40% 42% 37%

    45% 40% 51%

    15% 18% 12%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Lujan/Pearce

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    49% 48% 50%

    37% 35% 40%

    14% 17% 10%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Lujan/Wilson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    48% 51% 46%

    40% 35% 44%

    12% 14% 10%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Johnson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    44% 44% 43% 46%

    32% 37% 27% 25%

    24% 19% 30% 29%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Bingaman ApprovalApprove

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    56% 77% 19% 50%

    27% 10% 61% 21%

    17% 13% 19% 28%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Heinrich FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    39% 52% 10% 42%

    34% 22% 58% 30%

    28% 26% 32% 28%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Lujan Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    36% 50% 8% 37%

    34% 23% 59% 28%

    30% 27% 32% 35%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Pearce Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    35% 22% 68% 22%

    44% 57% 15% 49%

    21% 21% 17% 29%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Wilson FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    39% 24% 66% 39%

    45% 60% 17% 43%

    16% 16% 17% 17%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Bingaman/JohnsonJeff Bingaman

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    51% 75% 13% 41%

    40% 21% 79% 34%

    9% 5% 9% 26%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Bingaman/Pearce

    Jeff Bingaman

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    57% 83% 8% 55%

    34% 12% 82% 25%

    9% 5% 1 0% 20%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Bingaman/Wilson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    56% 82% 10% 53%

    37% 16% 82% 28%

    7% 3% 8% 19%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Heinrich/JohnsonMartin Heinrich

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    43% 61% 8% 44%

    44% 27% 82% 33%

    14% 12% 11% 24%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Heinrich/PearceMartin Heinrich

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    53% 76% 8% 56%

    38% 16% 86% 24%

    10% 8% 6% 20%

  • 8/7/2019 PPP Release NM 0208

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Heinrich/Wilson

    Martin Heinrich

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    50% 73% 6% 50%

    39% 18% 85% 28%

    11% 9% 9% 21%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Lujan/Johnson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    40% 60% 8% 29%

    45% 28% 83% 37%

    15% 12% 9% 34%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Lujan/PearceBen Ray Lujan

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    49% 73% 6% 44%

    37% 15% 86% 24%

    14% 12% 7% 31%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Lujan/WilsonBen Ray Lujan

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    48% 72% 5% 46%

    40% 17% 85% 33%

    12% 11% 9% 20%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Johnson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    44% 52% 39% 40%

    32% 32% 32% 33%

    24% 16% 29% 28%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Bingaman Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    56% 68% 47% 54%

    27% 19% 33% 19%

    17% 13% 20% 26%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Heinrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    39% 43% 35% 42%

    34% 31% 37% 22%

    28% 26% 28% 36%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Lujan Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    36% 47% 27% 38%

    34% 27% 40% 28%

    30% 25% 33% 35%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Pearce Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    35% 28% 41% 36%

    44% 50% 40% 35%

    21% 22% 19% 29%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Wilson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    39% 30% 46% 32%

    45% 53% 39% 45%

    16% 17% 15% 23%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Bingaman/Johnson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    51% 67% 41% 41%

    40% 26% 50% 39%

    9% 7% 9% 20%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Bingaman/Pearce

    Jeff Bingaman

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    57% 67% 50% 55%

    34% 22% 43% 35%

    9% 11% 7% 10%

  • 8/7/2019 PPP Release NM 0208

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Bingaman/Wilson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    56% 73% 46% 44%

    37% 23% 47% 38%

    7% 4% 7% 18%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Heinrich/Johnson

    Martin Heinrich

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    43% 50% 37% 43%

    44% 34% 52% 34%

    14% 15% 11% 23%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Heinrich/Pearce

    Martin Heinrich

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    53% 63% 44% 57%

    38% 26% 47% 30%

    10% 10% 8% 12%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Heinrich/Wilson

    Martin Heinrich

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    50% 63% 41% 42%

    39% 25% 49% 40%

    11% 12% 9% 18%

  • 8/7/2019 PPP Release NM 0208

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Lujan/Johnson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    40% 51% 31% 42%

    45% 33% 55% 41%

    15% 16% 14% 17%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Lujan/Pearce

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    49% 59% 41% 48%

    37% 26% 46% 35%

    14% 15% 13% 17%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White Other

    Lujan/Wilson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    48% 62% 39% 45%

    40% 25% 50% 40%

    12% 13% 11% 15%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Johnson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    44% 52% 35% 49% 39%

    32% 27% 34% 31% 37%

    24% 21% 31% 20% 24%

  • 8/7/2019 PPP Release NM 0208

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Bingaman Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    56% 61% 49% 60% 53%

    27% 24% 22% 26% 35%

    17% 15% 29% 14% 12%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Heinrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    39% 48% 34% 41% 34%

    34% 27% 38% 31% 37%

    28% 24% 28% 28% 30%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Lujan Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    36% 33% 34% 38% 37%

    34% 33% 32% 33% 39%

    30% 33% 34% 29% 24%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Pearce Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    35% 36% 25% 38% 40%

    44% 36% 46% 43% 46%

    21% 27% 28% 19% 13%

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Wilson Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    39% 33% 37% 37% 48%

    45% 48% 49% 46% 37%

    16% 18% 15% 17% 14%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Bingaman/Johnson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    51% 48% 51% 53% 48%

    40% 33% 40% 39% 46%

    9% 18% 9% 8% 6%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Bingaman/Pearce

    Jeff Bingaman

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    57% 52% 59% 59% 53%

    34% 33% 32% 34% 39%

    9% 15% 9% 7% 8%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Bingaman/Wilson

    Jeff Bingaman

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    56% 58% 59% 57% 50%

    37% 36% 34% 35% 44%

    7% 6% 7% 7% 6%

  • 8/7/2019 PPP Release NM 0208

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    February 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico votersFebruary 4-6, 2011survey of 545 New Mexico voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Heinrich/Johnson

    Martin Heinrich

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    43% 52% 44% 41% 39%

    44% 33% 44% 43% 50%

    14% 15% 12% 15% 11%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Heinrich/Pearce

    Martin Heinrich

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    53% 61% 57% 52% 44%

    38% 27% 37% 37% 46%

    10% 12% 6% 11% 10%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Heinrich/Wilson

    Martin Heinrich

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    50% 55% 53% 51% 41%

    39% 36% 37% 37% 49%

    11% 9% 10% 12% 10%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Lujan/Johnson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Gary Johnson

    Undecided

    40% 39% 40% 43% 34%

    45% 33% 44% 46% 52%

    15% 27% 16% 12% 14%

  • 8/7/2019 PPP Release NM 0208

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    February 4-6, 2011February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd.R l i h NC 27604

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.R l i h NC 27604

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Lujan/Pearce

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Steve Pearce

    Undecided

    49% 45% 54% 50% 41%

    37% 33% 31% 39% 44%

    14% 21% 15% 11% 15%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Lujan/Wilson

    Ben Ray Lujan

    Heather Wilson

    Undecided

    48% 56% 49% 49% 42%

    40% 34% 38% 37% 49%

    12% 9% 13% 13% 9%